cover results for the year ended 31 december 2011/media/files/b/...cover results for the year ended...

35
Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011 Tuesday, 7 February 2012

Upload: vonguyet

Post on 25-May-2018

213 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011/media/Files/B/...Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011 Tuesday, 7 February 2012 Disclaimer notice 2 Certain statements

Cover

Results for the year ended 31 December 2011 Tuesday, 7 February 2012

Page 2: Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011/media/Files/B/...Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011 Tuesday, 7 February 2012 Disclaimer notice 2 Certain statements

Disclaimer notice

2

Certain statements made in this presentation, both oral and written, are or may constitute “forward looking statements” with respect to the operation, performance and financial condition of the Company and/or the Group. These forward looking statements are not based on historical facts but rather reflect current beliefs and expectations regarding future events and results. Such forward looking statements can be identified from words such as “anticipates”, “may”, “will”, “believes”, “expects”, “intends”, “could”, “should”, “estimates”, “predict” and similar expressions in such statements or the negative thereof or other variations thereof or comparable terminology. These forward looking statements appear in a number of places throughout this document and involve significant inherent risks, uncertainties and other factors, known or unknown, which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company, or industry results, to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward looking statements. Given these uncertainties, such forward looking statements should not be read as guarantees of future performance or results and no undue reliance should be placed on such forward looking statements. A number of factors could cause actual results to differ materially from the results discussed in these forward-looking statements. The information and opinions contained in this presentation, including any forward looking statements, are provided, and reflect knowledge and information available, as at the date of this presentation and are subject to change without notice. There is no intention, nor is any duty or obligation assumed by the Company, the Group or the Directors to supplement, amend, update or revise any of the information, including any forward looking statements, contained in this presentation. All subsequent written and oral forward-looking statements attributable to the Company and/or the Group or to persons acting on its behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements referred to above and contained elsewhere in this document.

Page 3: Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011/media/Files/B/...Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011 Tuesday, 7 February 2012 Disclaimer notice 2 Certain statements

Contents

Overview of 2011 5-8 Financials Performance 10 Investments 11-12 Reserves 13-14 Capital 15 Solvency II 16 Underwriting review 17-23 Outlook 24 Appendix 26-35

3

Page 4: Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011/media/Files/B/...Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011 Tuesday, 7 February 2012 Disclaimer notice 2 Certain statements

Generic title white

Overview of 2011

Page 5: Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011/media/Files/B/...Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011 Tuesday, 7 February 2012 Disclaimer notice 2 Certain statements

Strong performance in difficult markets

• Profit before income tax of $62.7m (2010: $250.8m)

• Return on equity of 6% (2010: 19%)

• Gross written premiums decreased by 2% to $1,712.5m (2010: $1,741.6m)

• Combined ratio of 99% (2010: 88%)

• Rate increase on renewal portfolio of 1% (2010: 2% decrease)

• Prior year reserve releases of $186.5m (2010: $144.6m)

• Investment income of $39.3m, or 1.0% (2010: $37.5m)

• Second interim dividend of 5.4p taking total dividend for the year to 7.9p (2010: Full year 7.5p plus a special dividend of 2.5p)

5

Page 6: Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011/media/Files/B/...Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011 Tuesday, 7 February 2012 Disclaimer notice 2 Certain statements

Cover

6

Sustained high performance

1,561.0 1,620.0 1,751.3 1,741.6 1,712.5

0 200 400 600 800

1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Gross premiums written ($m)

51% 56% 55% 52% 62%

39% 34% 35% 36% 37%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Combined ratio (%)

Expense ratio Claims ratio

27%

8%

24% 19%

6% 0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Return on equity (%)

6.0 6.6 7.0 7.5 7.9

4.0 2.5

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Dividends per share (p)

Special Ordinary

Page 7: Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011/media/Files/B/...Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011 Tuesday, 7 February 2012 Disclaimer notice 2 Certain statements

• Well diversified portfolio enabled us to maintain track record of profitability in 2011 despite record natural catastrophes

• Rates now hardening in catastrophe exposed classes, notably commercial property and reinsurance. Market still very competitive for professional and management liability

• Additionally, we continue to invest in promising growth areas:

• Life, accident & health

o US: significant opportunities for ‘gap protection’ medical products that supplement the health benefits that US employers offer their employees

o Australia: Strong reputation as health benefits provider within superannuation (pension fund) market through AIP acquisition – attractive growth potential

• Data breach insurance

o Innovative product, strongly marketed, generated 125% premium growth between 2010 and 2011

After stormy year, an improving outlook

7

Page 8: Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011/media/Files/B/...Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011 Tuesday, 7 February 2012 Disclaimer notice 2 Certain statements

Board changes

8

Dennis Holt has more than 40 years experience in financial services markets. He was formerly a Main Board Executive Director at LloydsTSB (2000-01) and Chief Executive of AXA UK and a member of AXA’s Global Executive Committee (2001-06). He has been a Vice Chairman of the Association of British Insurers and Deputy Chairman of Bank of Ireland. He is currently Chairman of Liverpool Victoria and of Bank of Ireland UK.

Dennis Holt (joins Beazley plc Board as non-executive director and chairman elect)

Bob Deutsch is a partner at GCP Capital Partners LLC, where he focuses on insurance-related investments. He was the founding CEO of the Bermuda-based specialty insurer, Ironshore, Inc. Prior to that he served for five years as chief financial officer of CNA Financial Corporation. Between 1987 and 1999 he was CFO and chief actuary, as well as president of the two operating companies, at Executive Risk Inc.

Bob Deutsch (joins Beazley Furlonge Ltd Board as non-executive director)

Nick Furlonge (retires from Beazley but remains as non-executive director of Beazley Furlonge Ltd)

Nick Furlonge co-founded Beazley with Andrew Beazley in 1986. He was named “industry achiever of the year” at the Insurance Day awards in December 2011.

Page 9: Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011/media/Files/B/...Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011 Tuesday, 7 February 2012 Disclaimer notice 2 Certain statements

Generic title white

Financials

Page 10: Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011/media/Files/B/...Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011 Tuesday, 7 February 2012 Disclaimer notice 2 Certain statements

Maintaining our track record of profitability Year ended

31 Dec 2011

Year ended

31 Dec 2010

% increase/

(decrease)

Gross premiums written ($m) 1,712.5 1,741.6 (2%)

Net premiums written ($m) 1,374.0 1,402.1 (2%)

Net earned premiums ($m) 1,385.0 1,405.2 (1%)

Profit before income tax ($m) 62.7 250.8 (75%)

Earnings per share 8.1p 27.4p

Dividend per share * 7.9p 10.0p *

Net assets per share (pence) 137.6p 139.5p

Net tangible assets per share (pence) 120.8p 124.4p

10

* 2010 includes 2.5 pence per share special dividend

Page 11: Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011/media/Files/B/...Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011 Tuesday, 7 February 2012 Disclaimer notice 2 Certain statements

Portfolio delivers stable 1% return in 2011

11

52.5

21.3

43.5

8.5 22.5

52.0

-62.8

46.9

29.0

16.8

-5.0%

-4.0%

-3.0%

-2.0%

-1.0%

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

7.0%

-80.0

-60.0

-40.0

-20.0

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Inve

stm

ent

Ret

urn

($m

)

2nd half 1st half Return

Annual

ised

Inve

stm

ent

Ret

urn

Page 12: Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011/media/Files/B/...Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011 Tuesday, 7 February 2012 Disclaimer notice 2 Certain statements

12

Conservative portfolio positioning maintained

December 2011 December 2010

Cash and cash equivalents, 19.4%

Govt, Govt Agency, Regional and

Supranational, 44.8%

Corp Bond Financial Gtd, 13.5%

Corp Bond Financial Non-Gtd, 3.3%

ABS, MBS, CMBS, Corp Bonds Other,

7.7%

Alternative assets, 11.3%

Cash and cash equivalents

16.2%

Govt, Govt Agency, Regional and Supranational

50.1%

Corp Bond Financial Gtd

7.9%

Corp Bond Financial Non-Gtd

4.1%

ABS, MBS, CMBS, Corp Bonds Other

11.4%

Alternative assets 10.3%

Page 13: Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011/media/Files/B/...Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011 Tuesday, 7 February 2012 Disclaimer notice 2 Certain statements

Prior year reserve releases mitigate catastrophes

13

$m

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

14.0%

16.0%

-10

10

30

50

70

90

110

130

150

170

190

210

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Specialty lines Political risks and contingency Life accident and health Marine Property Reinsurance % of NEP

Page 14: Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011/media/Files/B/...Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011 Tuesday, 7 February 2012 Disclaimer notice 2 Certain statements

Whole account reserve strength within our target range

14

6.1%

6.7% 6.4%

6.7%

7.5% 7.4%

8.2% 7.9%

7.4%

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Financial year

Surplus in net held reserves

Preferred lower end

Preferred upper end

% a

bov

e ac

tuar

ial es

tim

ate

Page 15: Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011/media/Files/B/...Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011 Tuesday, 7 February 2012 Disclaimer notice 2 Certain statements

Strong capital position

15

Sources of funds Year Ended 31 Dec 2011 Year Ended 31 Dec 2010

Shareholders funds ($m) 1,071.0 1,082.9

Debt ($m) 249.0 248.8

1,320.0 1,331.7

Uses of funds

Lloyd’s underwriting ($m) 742.9 776.9

US Insurance Company ($m) 107.7 107.7

850.6 884.6

Surplus ($m) 469.4 447.1

Unavailable surplus ($m) (267.3) (206.8)

Surplus available for underwriting

Capital Returns

202.1 240.3

Share buy backs 1.2 29.4

Regular dividends 62.8 * 59.1 **

Special dividends - 19.7

Total 64.0 108.2

Un-utilised banking facility ($m) 225.0 150.0 * Includes both 2011 interims ** includes both 2010 interims

Page 16: Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011/media/Files/B/...Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011 Tuesday, 7 February 2012 Disclaimer notice 2 Certain statements

Solvency II – Beazley is on track

16

• We are already getting benefits from programme

• We remain alert for any growth opportunities SII might create

• We have a good understanding of our capital requirement using the SII model

Capital on Solvency II balance sheet increased by 40%

Capital requirement compared to ICA increases 39%

NET IS BROADLY NEUTRAL

Page 17: Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011/media/Files/B/...Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011 Tuesday, 7 February 2012 Disclaimer notice 2 Certain statements

Generic title white

Underwriting review

Page 18: Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011/media/Files/B/...Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011 Tuesday, 7 February 2012 Disclaimer notice 2 Certain statements

Underwriting review

18

• Combined ratio of 99% in line with earlier guidance reflecting benefits of our diversified

portfolio

• Worst year on record for natural catastrophes: Our share $215m

• No deterioration on large loss estimates from the first half of 2011

• We continue to reserve consistently, maintaining our surplus over best estimate

between 5-10%

• 2011 rate increase of 1%; 2012 expected to deliver increases

Page 19: Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011/media/Files/B/...Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011 Tuesday, 7 February 2012 Disclaimer notice 2 Certain statements

Underwriting review

Year Ended 31 Dec 2011 Year Ended 31 Dec 2010

Gross premiums written ($m) 1,712.5 1,741.6

Net premiums written ($m) 1,374.0 1,402.1

Net earned premiums ($m) 1,385.0 1,405.2

Expenses ratio 37% 36%

Claims (excl catastrophe claims) 46% 44%

Catastrophe related claims ratio 16% 8%

Combined ratio 99% 88%

Rate change on renewals 1% (2%)

19

Page 20: Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011/media/Files/B/...Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011 Tuesday, 7 February 2012 Disclaimer notice 2 Certain statements

Recent catastrophe events in context

20

insu

red los

ses

($bn)

Source: Munich Re

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

2005 2011

Other Australian Floods

New Zealand Earthquake Japan Earthquake

US Tornadoes Hurricane Irene

Thailand Floods

*Principally hurricanes Katrina, Rita and Wilma

Page 21: Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011/media/Files/B/...Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011 Tuesday, 7 February 2012 Disclaimer notice 2 Certain statements

21

Portfolio management achieves consistent combined ratio through market cycles

Combined Ratio %

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Year

Page 22: Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011/media/Files/B/...Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011 Tuesday, 7 February 2012 Disclaimer notice 2 Certain statements

Specialty lines incurred claims remain in line with expectations

Net ultimate premium $m

22

74%

114%

84%

56%

41% 42% 41% 45%

54%

48%

31%

16%

79 111 54 95 269 324 341 355 433 469 411 429

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

140%

1993-1996 1997-2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Net

incu

rred

loss

rat

io

Underwriting Year

Net incurred loss ratio at each development year

6 5

4 3

2 ULR

Development Year Development Year

Page 23: Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011/media/Files/B/...Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011 Tuesday, 7 February 2012 Disclaimer notice 2 Certain statements

23

Cumulative rate changes since 2001

80%

100%

120%

140%

160%

180%

200%

220%

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Underwriting Year

Life, accident & health Marine Political risks & contingency Property Reinsurance Specialty lines All Depts.

Rat

e Chan

ge

Page 24: Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011/media/Files/B/...Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011 Tuesday, 7 February 2012 Disclaimer notice 2 Certain statements

Outlook

• Seeing positive rate movements in aggregate

• Premium growth of 5-10% is planned in 2012

• We continue to explore organic and acquisition-driven growth opportunities

• We will maintain our dividend strategy

• Finance in place for known opportunities

• We wish the Olympic fencing team good luck at the games

24

Page 25: Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011/media/Files/B/...Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011 Tuesday, 7 February 2012 Disclaimer notice 2 Certain statements

Questions?

Any questions?

Page 26: Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011/media/Files/B/...Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011 Tuesday, 7 February 2012 Disclaimer notice 2 Certain statements

Generic title white

Appendix

Page 27: Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011/media/Files/B/...Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011 Tuesday, 7 February 2012 Disclaimer notice 2 Certain statements

US originated business delivers $366.2m GWP by Product

$m

27

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

150

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Architects and Engineers Technology and Media Management Liability Healthcare and Lawyers High Value Homeowners

Other Property Commercial Property Political risk Marine

Page 28: Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011/media/Files/B/...Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011 Tuesday, 7 February 2012 Disclaimer notice 2 Certain statements

28

Zoom on rate changes since 2008

90%

95%

100%

105%

110%

2008 2009 2010 2011

Rat

e Chan

ge

Underwriting Year Life, accident & health Marine Political risks & contingency Property Reinsurance Specialty lines All Depts.

Page 29: Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011/media/Files/B/...Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011 Tuesday, 7 February 2012 Disclaimer notice 2 Certain statements

Recession planning: frequency has reverted to normal levels

29

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

110%

120%

130%

140%

150%

160%

170% Claims Frequency - Rolling 12 month average

US Lawyers US Architects & Engineers US D&O* US Employment Practices Liability UK Prof. Indemnity

*US D&O statistics are market-wide

Page 30: Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011/media/Files/B/...Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011 Tuesday, 7 February 2012 Disclaimer notice 2 Certain statements

Life accident & health

• Combined ratio 95% despite investment in business in US and Australia

• Beazley opened a Minneapolis office in 2011 where we will begin writing admitted accident and health business in 2012

• Presence in Australia increased with the acquisition of Australian Income Protection Pty Limited

Year Ended 31 December

2011 2010

Gross premiums written ($m) 86.9 78.1

Net premiums written ($m) 80.3 71.4

Net earned premiums ($m) 74.0 65.7

Claims ratio 48% 53%

Rate change on renewals 1% -

Percentage of business led 68% 58%

30

Page 31: Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011/media/Files/B/...Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011 Tuesday, 7 February 2012 Disclaimer notice 2 Certain statements

Marine

• Gross premiums increased due to strong performance in energy

• Delivery of combined ratio of 72% and achieved an average combined ratio of 77% over the last 7 years

• Prior year reserve releases of $39.9m (2010: $30.7m)

Year Ended 31 December

2011 2010

Gross premiums written ($m) 274.2 261.7

Net premiums written ($m) 245.1 235.6

Net earned premiums ($m) 231.7 233.9

Claims ratio 36% 38%

Rate change on renewals - (3%)

Percentage of business led 52% 53%

31

Page 32: Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011/media/Files/B/...Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011 Tuesday, 7 February 2012 Disclaimer notice 2 Certain statements

Political risks and contingency

Year ended 31 December

2011 2010

Gross premiums written ($m) 102.5 100.9

Net premiums written ($m) 85.2 79.9

Net earned premiums ($m) 84.3 87.4

Claims ratio 42% 29%

Rate change on renewals (1%) (2%)

Percentage of business led 67% 67%

32

• Combined ratio of 79% despite losses incurred in Libya on the political book

• Continued expansion of our global presence, with underwriters in the US, Singapore, Australia and plans for France

• Political: claims reserves on 2008 are stable

Page 33: Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011/media/Files/B/...Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011 Tuesday, 7 February 2012 Disclaimer notice 2 Certain statements

Property

Year ended 31 December

2011 2010

Gross premiums written ($m) 359.4 382.5

Net premiums written ($m) 273.9 283.8

Net earned premiums ($m) 283.7 285.9

Claims ratio 63% 49%

Rate change on renewals 3% (4%)

Percentage of business led 74% 77%

33

• Rate improvements follow the restructuring of our US portfolio to focus on excess and surplus lines business

• All teams saw rate increases in 2011 despite planned reductions

• Market continues to be competitive into 2012

• We continued to achieve a client retention rate of 82%,significantly above the market average

Page 34: Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011/media/Files/B/...Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011 Tuesday, 7 February 2012 Disclaimer notice 2 Certain statements

Reinsurance

• Multiple events impacted the performance during the worst year on record for natural catastrophes

• Beazley’s reinsurance team has implemented changes to by limiting territorial coverage and assigning a rate per peril

Year ended 31 December

2011 2010

Gross premiums written ($m) 178.3 174.4

Net premiums written ($m) 130.4 134.4

Net earned premiums ($m) 131.7 131.6

Claims ratio 130% 63%

Rate change on renewals 3% (3%)

Percentage of business led 41% 36%

34

Page 35: Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011/media/Files/B/...Cover Results for the year ended 31 December 2011 Tuesday, 7 February 2012 Disclaimer notice 2 Certain statements

Specialty lines

• Reduction in premiums – mainly in A&E and healthcare PI insurance

• Prior year releases of $61.8m (2010: $56.9m)

• Cycle management expertise contributed to a 94% combined ratio in often challenging markets

Year Ended 31 December

2011 2010

Gross premiums written ($m) 711.2 744.0

Net premiums written ($m) 559.1 597.0

Net earned premiums ($m) 579.6 600.7

Claims ratio 60% 61%

Rate change on renewals 1% (2%)

Percentage of business led 95% 93%

35