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•Daily Operations Briefing Saturday, September 21, 2013

8:30 a.m. EDT

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Significant Activity: Sep 20 – 21 Significant Events: Colorado flooding recovery

Tropical Activity:

• Atlantic – Area 1 (Low 0%); Area 2 (Low 10%)

• Eastern Pacific – No tropical activity expected next 48 hours

• Central Pacific – No tropical cyclone activity expected through late Sunday night

• Western Pacific – Tropical Storm 19W (Pabuk)

Significant Weather:

• Widespread significant rainfall – Southern U.S.

• Flash flooding possible – Lower Mississippi Valley & Florida Panhandle

• Rain & thunderstorms – Much of the West; Gulf Coast to Northeast

• Critical Fire Weather Areas: None

• Red Flag Warnings: WY, NV & CA

• Space Weather: No space weather storms observed/predicted

Earthquake Activity: No significant activity

Declaration Activity: Amendment No. 3 to FEMA-4145-DR-CO

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Flooding Recovery – Colorado Current Situation:

• IST White & 3 US&R teams continue operations in CO; UT-TF1 & NE-TF1 demobilized Sept 20

• All Denver water system dams are currently safe & not threatened

• River cresting will continue to move downstream, forecast to reach North Platte, NE today

Impacts:

• 7 (+1) confirmed fatalities; 143 (-61) residents missing

• 3,933 residents evacuated (number of evacuees in Weld County unknown)

• 9 (-3) shelters open with 227 (+86) occupants (NSS 5:00 a.m. EDT, Sep 21)

• 1,882 homes destroyed; 5,566 homes damaged (incomplete reporting)

• Water Quality engineers/USACE assessing water & wastewater infrastructure damage

• Cellular service to a majority of customers in eastern & southern CO interrupted Sept 20

• Schools & postal operations will resume regular schedules on Monday, Sept 23

• Sporadic power/natural gas outages continue

Colorado

• CO EOC fully activated

• CO NG continues rescue & security operations

FEMA Region VIII

• RRCC at Watch/Steady State

• Region VIII IMAT deployed to CO

• LNOs deployed to CO EOC & Larimer/El Paso County EOCs

• Logistics Federal Staging Area operational at Buckley AFB, CO

• 14 MCOVs deployed and operational, 7 en route

FEMA Headquarters

• NRCC not activated; NWC at Watch/Steady State

• National IMAT-West deployed to CO EOC

= Counties with evacuations

Colorado

= US&R Task Forces

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Updates at 2:00 am/pm and 8:00 am/pm EDT

Atlantic – Tropical Outlook

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Atlantic – Area 1 (Invest 95L) As of 8:00 a.m. EDT

• Currently over extreme NW Gulf of Mexico

• Becoming associated with a cold front

• Tropical cyclone is not expected

• Probability of tropical cyclone development:

• Next 48 hours: Low (0%)

• Next 5 days: Low (0%)

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Atlantic – Area 2 As of 8:00 a.m. EDT

• Located 350 miles SSE of Bermuda

• Producing a large but disorganized area of cloudiness & showers

• Upper level winds not conducive; development possible before

merging with cold front in a day

• Probability of tropical cyclone development:

• Next 48 hours: Low (10%)

• Next 5 days: Low (10%)

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http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_epac.shtml

This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and

11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be

issued as conditions warrant.

Eastern Pacific – Tropical Outlook

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http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/cphc/

This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and

11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be

issued as conditions warrant.

Central Pacific – Tropical Outlook

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http://www.usno.navy.mil/JTWC/

Western Pacific-Tropical Storm19W(Pabuk)

As of 8:00 a.m. EDT

• Located 351 miles SE of Iwo To

• Moving WNW at 7 mph

• Maximum sustained winds 46 mph with gust to 58 mph

Impacts to U.S. Territories

• Continues to move away from Guam

• Guam EOC has deactivated

• No injuries or fatalities reported

• 3 shelters open with 14 families

• No requests for FEMA assistance

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http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/noaa/noaad1.pdf

National Weather Forecast

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Active Watches/Warnings

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/largemap.php

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http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day1-3.shtml

Precipitation Forecast – 3 Day

Day 1

Day 2

Day 3

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http://water.weather.gov/ahps/forecasts.php?current_color=flood&current_type=all&fcst_t

ype=fcst&conus_map=d_map

River Forecast – 7 Day

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Convective Outlooks Days 1 – 3

Day 1 Day 2

Day 3

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Critical Fire Weather Areas Days 1 – 8

Day 1 Day 2

Day 3-8

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http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats_ie.php

Hazard Outlook: September 23 – 27

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NOAA Scales Activity (Range: 1/minor to 5/extreme)

Past

24 Hours Current

Next

24 Hours

Space Weather Activity: None None None

• Geomagnetic Storms None None None

• Solar Radiation Storms None None None

• Radio Blackouts None None None

http://www.swpc.noaa.n/index.html

Space Weather

Sunspot Activity

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/drap/global.html http://spaceweather.com/

HF Communication Impact

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U.S. Wildland Fire Preparedness Levels

As of September 21, 2013

National Preparedness Level: 2 Minimal mobilization of resources from other Geographic Areas is occurring. There is moderate commitment of national

resources with the potential to mobilize additional resources from other Geographic Areas.

. PL 1

PL 2

PL 1

PL 1

PL 2

PL 1 PL 5

Minimal Extreme

PL 1

PL 1

PL 1

PL 1

PL 1

PL 2

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http://activefiremaps.fs.fed.us/lg_fire2.php

September 21, 2013

• National Preparedness Level: 2

• Initial Attack Activity: Light (54 new fires)

• New Large Fires: 1

• Large Fires Contained: 1

• Uncontained Large Fires: 6

• *NIMOs Committed: 0 of 4

• National Teams Committed:

• Area Command Teams: 0 of 2

• Type-1 **IMT(s): 0 of 16

• Type-2 IMT(s): 3 of 35

• Affected States: CO, CA, OR, MT& AR

National Fire Activity

* National Incident Management Organization

** Incident Management Team

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FMAG Requests and Declarations

Action (since last report) Total FMAG No. and State

Requests DENIED 0

Requests APPROVED 0

Approved FMAG Data

Year Current YTD MTD Monthly

Average

Cumulative

Acres Burned YTD

Cumulative

Denied FMAGs YTD

2013 29 1 11 374,417 8

Year Total Previous FY ++ Yearly Average Total Acres Burned

Previous Year

Total Denied FMAGs

Previous Year

2012 48 61 580,716 17

* Reflects the 3-year average for current month/ ** Reflects 3-year total average

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Declaration Requests in Process Requests

APPROVED (since last report)

Requests DENIED

(since last report)

4 Date Requested 0 0

PA – DR (Appeal) Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, Tornadoes,

Flooding, & Mudslides September 6, 2013

Rosebud Sioux Tribe – DR Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, & Flooding September 10, 2013

NC – DR Severe Storms, Flooding, Landslides, & Mudslides September 12, 2013

Santa Clara Pueblo – DR Severe Storms & Flooding September 16, 2013

Disaster Requests & Declarations

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Disaster Amendments

A B C D E F G

Debris Removal Emergency Protective

Measures Road Systems & Bridges Water Control Facilities Public Buildings & Contents Public Utilities Parks, Recreational, & Other

Amendment Effective Date Action

Amendment No. 3

FEMA-4145-DR-CO September 20, 2013 Adds 2 counties for Individual Assistance

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Joint Preliminary Damage Assessments

Region State /

Location Event IA/PA

Number of Counties Start – End

Requested Complete

VI NM Severe Storms & Flooding

Sep 9, 2013 & continuing PA 11 (+1) 9 9/18 – TBD

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Open Field Offices as of September 21, 2013

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Deployed Detailed Available Not Available Total

27 2 9 2 40

OFDC Cadre Member Status

Total Available Type 1 Type 2 Type 3 Type 4

10* 1 5 2 2

As of: 09/20/2013

* All Type 1 FCOs are available unless deployed to a Level 1 event

Deployed Available Pending Hire On Board Positions

8 1 1 9 10

Federal Coordinating Officer

Federal Disaster Recovery Coordinator

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MCOV Fleet / Deployment Status

Fully Mission Capable 49 Partially Mission Capable 0 Non-Mission Capable 6 Total Not Deployed 34

MCOV FLEET STATUS MCOV DISASTER SUPPORT DEPLOYMENTS

Location Units

Assigned Available

FMC Deployed

Committed PMC Unavailable DR-State OPCON

En

Route Unit Prep

Open

Request Notes:

MERS Maynard 3 3 0 0 0 DR-4145-CO 14 7 0

MERS Frederick 8 6 2 0 0 0 0 0

MERS Thomasville 14 10 3 0 1 0 0 0

DC Ft Worth 20 5 14 0 1 0 0 0

MERS Denver 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 0

MERS Bothell 4 1 0 0 3 0 0 0

Sacramento 4 3 0 0 1 0 0 0

TOTAL 55 28 21 0 6 TOTAL 14 7 0 0

Included in above totals, units in route for turn-in. 0 0

Data as of: 09/21/13 @ 0700

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Active IA Disasters - Referral Status & Awards

Data as of: 09/21/13 @ 0700 # Max Grants = Applicants awarded maximum IHP ($31,900 as of FY 2013)

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IA Registration Statistics

IA Registrations and IHP Amounts as of September 21, 2013 @ 0700

DR/EM # - State Registrations Approved

Applicants Total HA Approved

Total ONA

Approved Total IHP Approved

4122 - AK 369 270 $1,308,983 $1,693,349 $3,002,332

4145 - CO 13,912 4,577 $12,800,831 $260,270 $13,061,101

Totals 14,281 4,847 $14,109,814 $1,953,619 $16,063,433

24 hour change +1,935 +1,565 +$4,447,595 +$97,465 +$4,545,060

NPSC Call Data for September 19, 2013

Total Calls Answered (Help Line + Registration Intake) 3,784

Average time to answer call 18 seconds

Maximum / Minimum time to answer a call 1 minute, 32 seconds / 10 seconds

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Housing Inspection Statistics

Inspection Data as of September 21, 2013 @ 0700

DR #-State Inspectors Inspections

Assigned

Inspections

Completed Inspection % Complete

Turnaround Time

(Days)

4122 – AK 1 407 390 95.82% 3.9

4145 – CO 191 11,242 6,480 57.64% 2.7

TOTAL 192 11,649 6,870 58.98% 0.2

24 hour change +2 +1,632 +2,343 +13.78% -0.1

Workforce Type Total Available To

Deploy Deployed

Committed To Other

Activities or Exempt

from Deployment

Operational Readiness

Reservist 6,342 3,561 (63%) 2,203 (29%) 578 (8%) Mission Capable

Cadre of On-Call Response

Employees (CORE) 2,660 998 (40%) 1,660 (60%) 2 (0%) Mission Capable

Permanent Full Time (PFT) 5,048 1,881 (40%) 619 (10%) *2,548 (50%) Mission Capable

FEMA Corps 463 0 (0%) 313 (60%) 150 (40%) Mission Capable

DHS Surge Capacity Force 3,969 1,778 (44%) 0 (0%) ** 2,191 (56%) Awaiting DHS/FEMA Activation

Workforce Totals 18,482 8,218 (44%) 4,795 (26%) 5,469 (30%)

= <70% Deployed/Mission Capable = 70% - 79% Deployed/Partially Mission Capable

= >80% Deployed

= >80% Committed to Other Activities- Awaiting DHS/FEMA Activation

*This number will continue to be refined as Directorates/Regions identify and solidify the number of personnel required to support “mission critical home station”, and Emergency Relocation Group personnel

**Deployable based on FEMA’s need for DHS activation

Employees may be committed to other activities or exempt from deployment based on: leave status, training, travel related issues, or personnel status as ERG or mission critical home station employee

FEMA Workforce Status Report

Data as of 9/19/13

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IMAT Status National Teams

Team Status Team Status Team Status

Blue/White East West CO

Regional Teams Team Status Team Status Team Status

Region I Region V Region VIII CO

Region II Region VI-1 Region IX-1

Region III Region VI-2 Region IX-2 Karuk Tribe

Region IV-1 Region VII KS Region X

Region IV-2

= Assigned/Deployed

= Not Mission Capable

= Available/Mission Capable

= Available/Partially Mission Capable

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Urban Search & Rescue INCIDENT SUPPORT TEAMS (Red-White-Blue) – Monthly On Call Rotation

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC

WEST CENTRAL EAST

Team Status Team Status Team Status

CA-TF1 Available AZ-TF1 Available FL-TF1 Available

CA-TF2 Available CO-TF1 State Activated FL-TF2 Available

CA-TF3 Available IN-TF1 Available MA-TF1 Available

CA-TF4 Available MO-TF1 Activated MD-TF1 Available

CA-TF5 Available NE-TF1 Reconstituting NY-TF1 Available

CA-TF6 Available NM-TF1 Conditional PA-TF1 Available

CA-TF7 Available NV-TF1 Activated VA-TF1 Available

CA-TF8 Available TN-TF1 Available VA-TF2 Available

WA-TF1 Available TX-TF1 Available OH-TF1 Available

UT-TF1 Reconstituting

= Assigned/Deployed = Out-of-Service

= Available/Mission Capable = Available/Partially Mission Capable

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Region RRCC Regional Watch Center

I Watch/Steady State Maynard MOC (24/7)

II Watch/Steady State 24/7

III Watch/Steady State 24/7

IV Watch/Steady State 24/7

V Watch/Steady State 24/7

VI Watch/Steady State Denton MOC (24/7)

VII Watch/Steady State Enhanced Watch

VIII Watch/Steady State Denver MOC (24/7)

IX Watch/Steady State 24/7

X Watch/Steady State Bothell MOC (24/7)

RRCC / Regional Watch Center Status

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National Team Status

Team/Status Current Location Remarks

National Watch Center Washington, DC Watch/Steady State

NRCC Washington, DC Not Activated

HLT Miami, FL Activated

DEST Washington, DC Not Activated

Mission Capable Partially Mission Capable Not Mission Capable

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