ROPA 2013 – spotreba, produkcia, export

Darina KováčováPOCR5

2013/2014

PoznámkyBarel - 158.98730 litrovBarel – 42 galónovM³ - 6.28981 barelovTona - 6–10,32 barelov (96,972 kg do 166,92 kg)Cena Brent – 106,32 USD/bbl (ICE - IPE), 15 druhov ropy z

nálezísk v SMCena WTI – 93,24 USD/bbl (NYMEX)najvyššia cena ropy v histórii: 147,27 USD/bbl 11.7. 08Dubai, Tapis (ľahká ropa, Malajzia),Minas (ťažká, Indonézia)$103.39 – kôš OPEC: Saharan Blend (Alg), Girassol (Ang),

Oriente (Ec), Iran Heavy (Ir), Basra Light (Iq), Kuwait Export (Kw), Es Sider (Ly), Bonny Light (Ng), Qatar Marine (Qat), Arab Light (Sa), Murban (UAE) and Merey (Ve).

Čo ovplyvňuje ceny ropy v súčasnostirast dopytu BRIC a OECD ( závisí od ekonomickej

situácie) špekulačné obchodykurz USD (pákový efekt: klesá USD, rastie ropa)strategické zásoby klimatické podmienky politika OPEC ťažba v krajinách mimo OPEC alternatívne zdroje energieburza, reguláciavzdialenosť vojny...

Table: Crude Oil Proved Reserves (Billion Barrels)

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Venezuela 79,729 80,012 87,035 99,377 99,377 211,17 211,17 297,57Saudi Arabia 266,81 262,3 266,751 266,71 262,4 262,6 267,02 267,91Canada 178,7924 179,21 178,592 178,092 175,214 175,214 173,6252 173,1052Iran 132,46 136,27 138,4 136,15 137,62 137,01 151,17 154,58Iraq 115 115 115 115 115 115 143,1 141,35Kuwait 104 101,5 104 104 104 104 104 104United Arab Emirates 97,8 97,8 97,8 97,8 97,8 97,8 97,8 97,8Russia 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 80Libya 39,126 41,464 41,464 43,66 44,27 46,42 47,1 48,01Nigeria 35,876 36,22 36,22 36,22 37,2 37,2 37,2 37,2Kazakhstan 9 30 30 30 30 30 30 30United States 21,757 20,972 21,317 19,121 20,682 23,267 26,544 NAChina 18,25 16 16 16 20,35 20,35 20,35 25,58468Qatar 15,207 15,207 15,207 15,21 25,41 25,38 25,38 25,38Brazil 11,2433 11,77264 12,18162 12,6239 12,8015 12,857 13,98671 13,1542Algeria 11,35 12,27 12,2 12,2 12,2 12,2 12,2 12,2Angola 5,412 8 9,035 9,04 9,5 9,5 9,5 10,47Norway 7,705 7,8493 6,86533 6,68 6,68 5,67 5,32 5,366Europe 16,38066 15,80031 14,26797 13,6573 13,30944 12,08376 11,8778 12,01863

Rezervy2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

World 1292,936 1316,662 1332,043 1340,011 1355,743 1473,761 1525,957 NA

Middle East 743,4106 739,2045 748,2855 745,9975 753,3575 752,9175 799,6074 802,1571Central & South America 103,364 102,7982 109,8565 122,6865 124,6396 237,1121 238,8172 325,9296

North America 213,4316 212,534 211,559 207,7142 206,3 208,901 210,5283 NA

Africa 102,5804 114,0734 114,8383 117,0642 119,1142 123,6091 124,2091 127,5891

Eurasia 77,832 98,886 98,886 98,886 98,886 98,886 98,886 118,886

Asia & Oceania 35,93642 33,36601 34,34984 34,00564 40,13664 40,2515 42,03109 47,22352

Europe 16,38066 15,80031 14,26797 13,6573 13,30944 12,08376 11,8778 12,01863

EU-27 8,04288 7,31306 6,75886 6,33336 6,02925 5,80769 5,95172 6,07329

OECD 230,1974 229,2246 226,6072 222,1566 222,2185 223,6487 223,1712 NA

Non OECD 1062,738 1087,438 1105,436 1117,855 1133,525 1250,112 1302,786 1421,001

Persian Gulf 731,4016 728,2016 737,2826 734,9946 742,3546 741,9146 788,5946 791,1446

OPEC 907,3996 910,56 927,629 940,027 951,277 1064,79 1112,85 1204,71

Ropné spoločnosti 1 Saudi Arabian Oil Company (Saudi Arabia) 2 Gazprom (Russia) 3 National Iranian Oil Company (Iran) 4 ExxonMobil Corporation (United States) 5 OAO Rosneft (Russia) 6 Royal Dutch/Shell (Netherlands) 7 PetroChina Co. Ltd. (China) 8 Petroleos Mexicanos (Mexico) 9 Chevron Corporation (United States) 10 Kuwait Petroleum Corporation (Kuwait) 11 BP Corporation (United Kingdom) 12 Total (France) 13 Petronas (Malaysia) 14 Qatar General Petroleum Corporation

(Qatar) 15 Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (UAE) 16 OAO Lukoil (Russia) 17 Iraq National Oil Company (Iraq) 18 Sonatrach (Algeria) 19 Petroleos de Venezuela.S.A. (Venezuela) 20 Statoil (Norway)

Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (Nigeria) National Oil Company (Libya) Egyptian General Petroleum Corp. (Egypt) Petroleo Brasilerio S.A. (Brazil) ConocoPhillips (United States) Sonangol (Angola) Petroleum Development Oman LLC (Oman) ENI (Italy) Dubai Petroleum Company (United Arab Emirates) Petroleos de Ecuador (Ecuador) Pertamina (Indonesia) EnCana Corp. (Canada) Occidental Petroleum Corporation (United States) China National Offshore Oil Corp. (China) Devon Energy Corporation (United States) Anadarko Petroleum Corporation (United States) Repsol YPF (Spain) Canadian Natural Resources (Canada) XTO Energy (United States) Ecopetrol (Columbia) Chesapeake Energy Corp. (United States) Talisman Energy Ltd. (Canada) Apache Corp. (United States) EOG Resources (United States) Romanian National Oil Co. (Romania) BHP Billiton Ltd (Australia) BG Group PLC (United Kingdom) Hess Corp. (United States) Marathon Oil Corp. (United States) Shell Canada Ltd. (Canada)

http://www.forbes.com/pictures/mef45miid/the-worlds-biggest-oil-companies/

7 sestierExxon (was Standard Oil of New Jersey, then

Esso)Mobil (was Standard Oil of New York, which

merged with Vacuum Oil)Chevron (was Standard Oil of California)TexacoGulf Oil (controlled by the Mellons)Shell (Royal Dutch Petroleum)British Petroleum (Anglo-Iranian)

Table: Total Oil Supply (Thousand Barrels Per Day)

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Saudi Arabia 10665,44 10248,62 10782,3 9819,172 10642,33 11264,26 11725,68

United States 8317,005 8469,367 8564,232 9133,129 9692,433 10135,55 11114,72

Russia 9677,398 9878,389 9797,153 9933,827 10156,91 10239,16 10396,97

China 3884,346 3956,039 4036,666 4067,544 4362,658 4346,983 4416,177

Canada 3292,592 3448,563 3343,577 3318,829 3441,73 3597,333 3856,44

Iran 4149,34 4039,025 4177,537 4178,296 4243,073 4264,968 3589,386United Arab Emirates 2948,469 2947,497 3046,873 2794,552 2813,244 3088,256 3213,194

Iraq 2009,441 2096,636 2384,553 2399,167 2402,876 2628,993 2986,641

Mexico 3711,898 3500,29 3184,164 3000,791 2978,599 2959,989 2936,009

Kuwait 2671,513 2603,426 2727,895 2505,943 2460,293 2691,818 2796,788

Brazil 2169,464 2283,505 2431,469 2561,713 2712,473 2685,154 2651,894

Nigeria 2442,25 2352,756 2168,865 2212,18 2459,404 2554,488 2524,143

Venezuela 2746,534 2681,992 2655,696 2509,745 2404,996 2489,242 2489,242

Norway 2786,14 2564,894 2463,917 2352,555 2134,621 2007,35 1902,084

Produkcia 2012 2013

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN

United States 10767,97 10881,62 10849,97 10878,07 11002,1 10874,2 10873,84 10934,71 11204,8 11501,39 11795 11807,45 11594,97 11662,36 11804,19 12086,3 12086,97 12016,97

Saudi Arabia 11733,36 11933,36 11923,36 11823,36 11623,36 11913,36 11908,36 11908,36 11693,36 11693,36 11433,36 11133,36 11033,36 11033,36 11033,36 11338,36 11538,36 11738,36

Russia 10368,02 10363,02 10365,02 10334,02 10355,02 10334,02 10355,02 10382,02 10417,02 10462,02 10529,02 10498,02 10474,02 10468,02 10474,02 10481,02 10498,02 10798,02

China 4376,298 4396,298 4353,298 4398,298 4392,298 4302,298 4297,298 4415,298 4529,298 4504,298 4519,298 4511,298 4463,298 4441,298 4459,298 4469,298 4469,298 4540,298

Canada 3885,945 4056,945 3794,945 3922,945 3692,945 3601,945 3781,945 3761,945 3678,945 3900,945 4008,945 4194,945 4116,945 4027,945 4178,945 3986,945 3766,945 4095,945

Iran 4071,968 4021,968 3971,968 3821,968 3746,968 3571,968 3421,968 3321,968 3371,968 3221,968 3221,968 3321,968 3421,968 3421,968 3421,968 3421,968 3421,968 3421,968

United Arab Emirates 3129,588 3129,588 3229,588 3229,588 3229,588 3229,588 3229,588 3229,588 3229,588 3229,588 3229,588 3229,588 3229,588 3229,588 3229,588 3229,588 3229,588 3229,588

Iraq 2678,308 2578,308 2728,308 2968,308 2928,308 2978,308 3078,308 3178,308 3278,308 3078,308 3228,308 3128,308 3078,308 3078,308 3078,308 3178,308 3078,308 3103,308

Mexico 2912,902 2939,902 2957,902 2952,902 2944,902 2944,902 2920,902 2957,902 2944,902 2893,902 2946,902 2915,902 2952,902 2943,902 2894,902 2894,902 2877,902 2905,902

Brazil 2470,685 2452,66 2273,722 2315,819 2659,761 2704,034 2924,378 2970,705 2837,79 2906,392 2755,483 2538,626 2305,762 2248,594 2066,585 2463,036 2843,983 2903,426

Kuwait 2811,842 2811,842 2801,842 2801,842 2801,842 2791,842 2786,842 2786,842 2771,842 2771,842 2811,842 2811,842 2811,842 2811,842 2811,842 2811,842 2811,842 2811,842

Venezuela 2489,242 2489,242 2489,242 2489,242 2489,242 2489,242 2489,242 2489,242 2489,242 2489,242 2489,242 2489,242 2489,242 2489,242 2489,242 2489,242 2489,242 2489,242

Nigeria 2524,143 2584,143 2524,143 2644,143 2584,143 2584,143 2584,143 2644,143 2464,143 2344,143 2284,143 2524,143 2464,143 2424,143 2449,143 2404,143 2404,143 2304,143

Angola 1944,594 1994,594 1844,594 1944,594 1894,594 1844,594 1794,594 1894,594 1794,594 1844,594 1824,594 1844,594 1894,594 1844,594 1894,594 1909,594 1944,594 1824,594

Norway 2046,027 2091,027 2065,027 2039,027 2015,027 1871,027 1865,027 1844,027 1523,027 1813,027 1776,027 1876,027 1861,027 1797,027 1798,027 1876,027 1879,027 1692,027

Produkcia sveta - mesačneWorld 89267,82 89681,51 89207,56 89572,77 89238,62 88935,84 89247,49 89506,38 88771,74 89268,3 89727,69 89760,77 89009,37 88788,19 88755,89 89756,17 90068,74 90432,38

Middle East 27409,8 27337,6 27513,61 27519,09 27259,19 27410,52 27296,07 27299,15 27226,87 26881,21 26825,08 26540,48 26474,92 26480,94 26407,49 26747,52 26857,2 27110,68

North America 17566,82 17878,47 17602,82 17753,91 17639,94 17421,05 17576,69 17654,56 17828,65 18296,23 18750,85 18918,3 18664,82 18634,2 18878,04 18968,15 18731,82 19018,81

Eurasia 13428,53 13427,94 13431,61 13357,84 13369,39 13368,51 13389,82 13364,32 13346,91 13408,52 13547,13 13542,85 13533,1 13544,14 13526,5 13517,79 13422,81 13854,64

Africa 9969,605 10049,99 9988,708 10223,12 10125,18 10076,24 10033,71 10255,46 10024,1 9892,183 9762,073 9946,934 9935,021 9888,966 9921,792 9993,756 10123,87 9671,873

Asia & Oceania 8981,149 9044,102 8963,818 8993,937 8928,341 8817,401 8876,142 9027,337 9087,909 9049,028 9100,431 9092,178 8904,623 8953,32 8958,408 8967,01 8954,618 9044,845

Central & South America 7617,068 7569,586 7430,01 7472,19 7804,053 7821,299 8073,867 8106,964 7997,347 8068,127 7910,519 7720,115 7516,299 7447,452 7271,264 7684,496 8069,239 8099,202

Europe 4294,854 4373,825 4276,991 4252,671 4112,511 4020,822 4001,212 3798,597 3259,946 3672,992 3831,616 3999,917 3980,593 3839,163 3792,385 3877,453 3909,185 3632,337

2012 2013JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN

Produkcia sveta - Ročne2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

World 84501,43 84347,05 85475,79 84642,22 87170,85 87482,96 89348,12

Middle East 25195,77 24555,56 25836,06 24470,21 25589,93 27023,24 27208,8

North America 15321,5 15418,22 15091,97 15452,75 16112,76 16692,87 17907,17

Eurasia 12159,14 12627,79 12561 12943,47 13255,6 13332,26 13415,32

Africa 10214,94 10511,46 10639,61 10511,72 10744,85 9368,515 10028,91

Asia & Oceania 8539,537 8518,086 8692,861 8755,721 9132,533 8939,857 8996,522

Central & South America 7295,848 7270,366 7463,842 7525,382 7688,412 7857,259 7800,505

Europe 5774,7 5445,582 5190,445 4982,974 4646,775 4268,95 3990,879

Table: Total Petroleum Consumption (Thousand Barrels Per Day)

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

World 85141,1 85908,09 84565,3 84812,65 87446,21 88662,06 89275,12

Asia & Oceania 24674,83 25047,72 24709,71 26172,34 27718,94 28592,96 29566,67

North America 25048,28 25145,82 23892,97 23014,45 23534,48 23336,65 22995,25

Europe 16420,78 16245,23 16151,83 15375,2 15336,85 14960,96 14423,22

Middle East 6033,084 6266,697 6499,622 6752,088 6991,4 7538,466 7636,531

Central & South America 5737,814 5987,819 6014,053 6105,567 6330,543 6570,617 6764,533

Eurasia 4187,239 4093,644 4155,71 4132,844 4160,352 4365,507 4528,512

Africa 3039,069 3121,176 3141,395 3260,162 3373,635 3296,9 3360,403

1980-1983 1984-1987 1988-1991 1992-1995 1996-1999 2000-2003 2004-2007 2008-2010 2011 20120.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

90.0

100.0

60.6 61.2

66.368.5

73.7

78.0

84.386.6

88.7 89.3

Vývoj spotreby ropy vo svete (mil. bbl/deň)

mil.

bar

elov

Export

E – 1000bbl/deň1 Saudi Arabia2 Russia 3 Iran4 Nigeria5 United Arab Emirates6 Iraq7 Kuwait8 Canada9 Venezuela10 Angola11 Norway 12 Mexico

Import

Import -1000bbl/d1 USA2 Čína3 Japonsko4 India5 Južná Kórea6 Nemecko7 Taliansko8 Francúzsko9 Španielsko10 Veľká Británia

Ďakujem za pozornosť