Data Driven Decision-Making

Contents

• What can SIMCON do for you?

• How does SIMCON create value?

– Computer simulation

– Statistical data analysis

– Custom engineering software development

• Why work with SIMCON?

• Who is SIMCON?

• Project Examples and Industry Experience

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What can SIMCON do for you?

• Optimize resource management, including staff and equipment

• Reduce operating costs associated with production planning, scheduling, and inventory control

• Evaluate performance of current, new, or proposed processes and system configurations

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• Support management decision making with quantitative tools

• Quantify the impact of uncertainty on current and future system operations

• Help get buy-in from key stakeholders (internal and external) for new projects

• Provide ongoing support and training

• Deliver excellent ROI of 10:1 or better

How Does SIMCON Create Value?

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• Computer Simulation

– A mathematical tool that recreates a real-world process or system, and plays out that system over time with the goal of predicting and analyzing outcomes.

– Applications and Uses:

Experiments with systems that cannot be altered in reality because of cost, risk of destruction, or ethical considerations

Quantify the impact of uncertainty on performance

Complex systems where change is being considered (what-if analysis)

Communicate ideas and plans to stakeholders

Operational decisions and capital investment decisions

How Does SIMCON Create Value?

• Statistical Data Analysis

– The collection, organization, analysis, interpretation and presentation of data

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– Applications and Uses:

Predicting future system behavior from past data

Analysis of experimental data to estimate relationships between system variables and system performance

– Clinical trials, physical experiments

Monitoring and controlling process variability

Quantifying uncertainty associated with system components

Front-end and back-end to most simulation projects

How Does SIMCON Create Value?

• Custom Software Development

– Delivering deployable and easy to use software programs for client-specific engineering applications

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– Applications:

Custom simulation software programs

Designing graphical user interfaces to make programs easy to use

Automating repetitive data management and data analysis functions

Enhancing functionality of existing client software with new data mining, statistical analysis, or simulation features

Querying client databases for information and using this information in other software applications

• Our team has extensive professional experience, successfully completing projects in a diverse range of industries.

• SIMCON is committed to excellence and has a track record of exceeding client expectations.

Why Work With SIMCON?

• The SIMCON team is composed of highly educated and motivated individuals with diverse educational backgrounds and interests.

– All SIMCON consultants possess advanced degrees in technical fields.

– Healthcare

– Mining

– Manufacturing

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– Nuclear Safety

– Printing

– Supply Chain

Who is SIMCON?

• Small business based in Texas

• Focused on simulation modeling, simulation analysis, and custom software development

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• Services include:

– General Engineering Consulting

– Simulation Modeling

– Statistical Analysis

– Software Development

– Technical Oversight

Who is SIMCON?

Name Education Industry Areas of Focus

Dr. Jeremy TejadaPresident

B.S. Industrial EngineeringM.S. Industrial EngineeringPh.D. Industrial Engineering

Nuclear Safety, Healthcare, Manufacturing, Oil and Gas, Research, Education & Training

Matthew BallanIndustrial Engineer

B.S. Industrial Engineering M.S. Industrial Engineering

Nuclear Safety, Printing,Manufacturing, Logistics, Scheduling

Dr. Benjamin LoboConsultant

B.S. MathematicsM.S. Operations ResearchPh.D. Industrial Engineering

Logistics, Scheduling, Inventory Control, Production,Maintenance

Jose Munoz MataConsultant

MS Eng. Industrial EngineeringMasters Business AdministrationDoctorate Industrial Engineering

Manufacturing, Supply Chain, Mining, IT

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Collaboration & Oversight

Name Education Industry Areas of Focus

Dr. David MortonPartner

B.S. Mathematics and PhysicsM.S. Operations ResearchPh.D. Operations Research

Nuclear Safety, Finance and Economics, Military, Manufacturing, Healthcare

Dr. Ivilina PopovaPartner

M.S. MathematicsPh.D. Operations Research

Finance and Economics, Pricing, Asset Management,Nuclear Safety

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• Proximira, Inc.

– Engineering consulting firm based in Texas

– Extensive experience through numerous projects

– Partnered on multiple projects

Contact Us

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• Interested in learning more, discussing your project or challenge, or working with us?

SIMCON Solutions, LLC

(512) 693-8280

contact@simcon-solutions.com

http://simcon-solutions.com

Project Examples and

Industry Experience

Construction Equipment Manufacturer

• In-process inventory estimates needed to determine space requirements for a new production facility

– Developed simulation model of proposed production system

– Determined optimal batch sizes for client-specified system configuration

– Proposed new system configuration and determined new optimal batch sizes

• Deliverables:

– Computer simulation model of client’s proposed production system

– Report detailing solution methodologies and results:

Optimal batch sizes and in-process inventory estimates

Optimal number of turning, milling, shaping and hobbing operators and forklifts

Utilization percentages for the aforementioned resources

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System Configuration

Average Annual In-Process Inventory

Max. Annual In-Process Inventory

Original Client Plan 1746.2 5112.8

Original (optimized) 773.7 2278.1

Proposed (optimized) 152.2 695.1

Open-Pit Mining Operation

• A communication tool was needed to garner internal and external stakeholder support for planned chromite mining operations and supply chain

• Developed simulation models for both analytical and visualization purposes

– Developed dynamic simulation model for each of 5 supply chain stages

– Analytically modeled all mining operations, from ore mining to ferrochrome production to shipment

– Built three-dimensional visualization of system infrastructure and operations to scale

Mine pit, equipment, infrastructure, transportation and logistics

• Deliverables:

– Five simulation models for planned mining operation

– Marketing videos derived from visual components of simulation models

Pharmaceutical Automation

• Support was needed to develop an advanced prescription order fulfillment and sortation system

• Enhanced existing simulation model to include order tracking and sortation logic:– Evaluated throughput for conveyor system

– Optimized conveyor system logic for complex multi-level and high-volume sortation lanes, including gridlock prevention

– Programmed user controls, enabling model manipulation by the client

– Experimented with alternative system operating configurations

• Deliverables:– Enhanced simulation model with improved

sortation logic

– Accompanying user guide detailing model instructions and enhancements

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Nuclear Safety: LOCA Analysis

• General Safety Issue 191 (GSI-191): Loss of Coolant Accidents (LOCA) ̶ All US plants must address new NRC regulation

– Statistical data analysis for numerous physical tests, including head-loss testing and fiber penetration testing,

– Quantified uncertainty associated with all aspects of LOCA accidents

– Enhanced existing simulation software by adding several features, assisting with commercialization, implementing software quality assurance

– Represented multiple utilities in defending work to the NRC

• Deliverables:

– An enhanced and commercially viable simulation software program

– Numerous formal reports, including methodology reports, presentation of results, software quality assurance documents, technical memorandums

• Project Partner Organizations:

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Nuclear Safety: Flood Hazard Analysis

• Nuclear utilities located near large bodies of water must assess and mitigate flood-initiated plant failure

• Dam failure analysis may be a component in this risk assessment

– Developed working knowledge of hydraulic flow simulation software and utilized it to perform dam failure analyses

– Designed statistical experiments to quantify significance of key input parameters and their effect on key performance measures

– Performed statistical analyses on experimental data

• Deliverables:

– Results for suite of simulated dam break scenarios

– Statistical regression model quantifying relationship

between input parameters and key performance measures

– Periodic technical memorandums throughout project

– Technical reports upon completion of milestone tasks

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Oil & Gas: Pipeline Rupture Analysis

• Pipeline ruptures are extremely costly

– Significant product loss, repair and mitigation costs

– Environmental damage, human life, public image

• Pipeline ruptures are primarily caused by landslides in the Ohio Valley region

• Identified available landslide predictor data and suitable modeling strategies

• Evaluated several predictive models for landslide risk as a function of predictors using actual landslide data

– Parametric regression, non-parametric regression, machine learning algorithms

• Deliverables:

– Landslide risk scores for all grid squares in the region

– Extensive documentation of methodologies, results, and conclusions

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Printing and Bindery Operation

• Current product cost estimation software was inaccurate

• Developed custom web application in C#/.NET for estimating the cost of any possible job order

– Generated databases for all client resources

Machines, raw materials, product types

– Mathematically modeled all processing operations

Printing, cutting, bindery and finishing operations

– Developed simulation model of product cost

– Designed graphical web interface for ease of use

• Deliverables:

– Custom cost estimation web application

– Support documentation for software

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Diesel Engine Manufacturer

• Complex changeover processes lacked both standardization and documentation

• Documented existing changeover processes:

– Recorded 5 different changeover processes on each of 15 different machines

– Conducted time studies to identify common or unnecessary steps in procedure design

– Created flow charts and tool lists

• Partnered with machine operators to create work instructions for one standard changeover process for each machine

• Deliverables:

– Standardization of changeover processes

– Standard operating procedure documentation

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Engineering Services Firms

• Other engineering services firms often require expert support developing simulation models for industrial applications and for marketing purposes

– Industry Simulation Modeling Projects:

LOCA Accident Progression

Open-Pit Mining and Supply Chain

Pharmaceutical Sortation System

– Demo Simulation Models:

Open-Pit Mining Demo Simulation Model

Emergency Department Demo Simulation Model

Manufacturing Facility Demo Simulation Model

– Created graphical user interface (GUI) demos in Visual C# and linked them to Simio

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Academic Presence

• Ongoing academic projects with both North Carolina State University and the University of Texas at Austin

– NC State University: Simulation model of US breast cancer screening system

Determined breast cancer screening policy that optimized life-years saved while still considering cost effectiveness

Quantified impact of alternative policies on cost, life-years saved, breast cancer deaths, congestion at screening facilities, and many other aspects of the breast cancer screening system.

Publications: IIE Transactions Paper 1, IIE Transactions Paper 2, Winter Simulation Conference, IIE Magazine Article

– UT Austin: Risk-informed resolution of GSI-191

Developed simulation models, performed statistical analysis of data, developed custom software, and performed research

Publications: Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Analysis

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Software Experience

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Simulation Statistics Programming

Contact Us

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• Interested in learning more, discussing your project or challenge, or working with us?

SIMCON Solutions, LLC

(512) 693-8280

contact@simcon-solutions.com

http://simcon-solutions.com