deadly quarrels

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    From Inter-personal Fights to Inter-

    State Conflicts (War)

    Generalizations On Human

    Conflicts conflicts differ in their complexity andimportance, in the strategies to which they give

    rise, and in the solutions to which they lead(contention or yielding or conflict-avoidance or

    problem-solving)Conflicts at theinterpersonal, intergroup, inter-organizational,

    and international level are not the same.Nevertheless, we believe it is possible to developgeneralizations that cut across, and shed light

    on, most or all conflicts

    Pruitt and Kim, 2004

    Linking all Human Conflicts

    In his studies of war and violence,Lewis Richardson linkedinternational and domestic conflictsin his data set of DeadlyQuarrels. By deadly quarrels, hemeant any human quarrel whichcaused deaths to their participants.This definition directs the study ofhuman conflict beyondinternational wars alone andsuggest that any dead quarrel iswithin the ambit of conflict-studies,whether it is war, between states,

    civil wars within states, violencebetween criminal bands, guerrillawar and even murders.

    Implications Influenced by psychology and

    disdainful of the study of

    international politics, Richardson

    saw all human killings, whether it

    is an act of an individual crime,

    revolution, or war, as steaming

    from one causehuman

    aggression. Therefore, for

    Richardson, the only difference

    between wars and other forms of

    deadly quarrels are their magnitudein terms of numbers of casualties

    (deaths and wounded)

    Implications of the Definition There is some presumption that

    violent (deadly conflicts) havesome characteristics in commonwhich are not shared with non-deadly conflicts such as loversquarrel, strikes, trade wars.

    Quarrels which result in deathinvolve moral issues of a differentorder of magnitude from thosewhich is not. Thus, at theindividual level, murder isconsidered a crime in mostsocieties. However, at theinternational level, large-scalemurders like war and evengenocide are tolerated and evenloried.

    Pattern of Escalation from

    Stability to Deadly Quarrel

    Peaceful

    stable

    situation

    Political

    tension

    situation

    Political

    Crisis

    Low-

    Intensity

    conflict

    High-

    Intensity

    conflict

    Political

    stability

    legitimacy

    Systemic

    strain/

    Political

    Cleavage

    Erosion of

    the regime

    legitimacy/

    emergence

    of faction

    Open

    hostility/

    repression,

    Destruction

    of human

    lives/

    properties

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    What are deadly quarrels?

    Conflicts that involved thedeliberate infliction ofphysical injury or deathon one person or group ofpeople by another.

    Among states, violence isi n t e r p r e t e d a s a ninstrument with which toachieve something else, isbased on the notion thatv i o l e n c e i s u s e dinstrumentally for therational pursuit of a goal.

    Elements of Deadly Quarrel

    They involve the use of force or coercionand should be distinguished from non-

    violent conflicts such as strikes, trade wars,

    sanctions, or trade embargo.

    They result to deaths or injuries.

    Social Situations That Result to Deaths

    Accident a situationthat caused deathswithout any intention.

    Genocidedeliberateattempt by one group ofpeople to physicallyeliminate another. Theviolence is inflicted byanother with very little

    reciprocal violence bythe weaker side.

    Situations

    S o ma t i c V i o l e n c e t h e

    unavoidable deaths caused by the

    structure of society, i.e. inequality

    in resources, lack of medical

    services , epidemic , famine ,

    pestilence.

    Types of Conflict(According to the use of Violence)

    Face-to Face Murder,gang

    wars,criminal acts.

    Family quarrel,lovers quarrel

    Political (Impersonal) Interstate wars,

    revolutionary guerrilla

    warfare.

    Strike, trade-wars,diplomatic negotiations,

    Inter-State Conflicts

    War is organized violence carried on bypolitical units against each other.

    This definition of war as a contest ofarms between sovereign states is derived

    from the post-1448 experience, as well

    from the Cold War.

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    War as Organized Violence

    War is ordered activity with rules andcustoms.

    War is not random violence, it is focusedand directed.

    It is a collective and social, not an individualactivity.

    War as a Form of Violence

    It is carried out in the name of an organizedand legitimate political unit.

    It should be employed by the state againstanother state.

    War as Organized

    I t s h o u l d b eorganized violencewaged by a sovereignstate.

    The concept of war was anoutcome of a long historicalprocess of limiting the wide-

    scale use of violence.

    Assumptions about War

    War is learned. War is a result if a long-term process. There is no

    such thing as an accidental war.

    War is a product of interactions and not a result ofsystemic factors.

    War is a means of making political decision. War is a multi-causal phenomenon.

    War is Learned War can be conceived as a

    learned behavior in twosenses:

    A collective learned to makewar as a general practice thatis available to them as ameans of resolving disputes;

    War is an appropriateresponse to other humancollectives given a particularsituation.

    War Results from a long-term

    Process of Political Interactions

    Wars are generatedfrom long-term political

    relationship that has

    become intractable,

    conflictive, hostile, and

    eventually violent.

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    Wars are Products of Political

    Interactions, not Simply of Systemic

    Conditions Wars become more likely when

    the sequence of diplomatic

    actions fail to resolve highly

    salient issues, resulting in an

    increase in the level of

    conflictive actions, and which inturn increase psychological

    hostility between political actors.

    This process produces a kind of

    relationship between two

    countries that is prone to

    conflictive actions leading to a

    militarized dispute.

    Wars are Means of Resolving

    Political Disputes War serves as a allocation

    mechanism or a set offormal and informalrules/devices/actions formaking and

    implementing politicaldecisions. It an organizedforce that resolves issueson the basis of the powerand determination of thecontending politicalactors.

    Wars are Multi-Causal Phenomena

    Wars can be generated byseveral distinct causalpaths or causal sequences.This accounts for theneed to understand thevarious typologies of war.Understanding the causesof wars requirescomprehending two setsof causality: a) necessary

    (underlying); and b)sufficient (triggering).

    Assumptions General

    Typologies of War There are different types

    of war.

    Wars of rivalry (PeerConflicts)/wars of

    inequality (Unequal

    Conflict).

    Institutionalized(limited)Wars/Total war

    Limited versus Total Wars

    Features Limited Wars National/Total

    Issues and Stakes Fought generally overmarginal borderquestions andcomparatively minorchanges in thedisposition of stakes

    (economic, strategic,or colonial advantages)

    Far-reaching territorialand ideologicaldemands, hegemonicclaims, or fundamentalchanges in the globalorder, and the rules of

    the global society.

    Wars of Inequality Relative Parity among the

    Parties can be measured in

    terms of

    Capabilityamount ofresources the belligerents

    can utilize to achieve its

    strategic goals.

    Reputation and statusPertains to the parties

    respective positions in the

    global hierarchy of power.

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    Typologies of War Wars of Equality Wars of

    Inequality

    (asymmetric)

    Institutionalized/

    Limited Wars

    China-U.S. War during

    the Korean War;

    China-Soviet Union

    1969; Crimean WarRussia, France, and

    U.K. Japan-China War

    of 1896. UK-Argentina

    1982;India-China 1962

    China-Vietnam War of

    1979;

    Soviet Union-Finland

    1939-40; U.S.-North

    Korea 1950-1953.

    Anatomy of a Militarized Interstate Conflict

    The External Environment( Stability, norms,power distribution, alignment pattern, third party)

    Characteristics of a Dispute (Issue and pattern ofevolution)

    Characteristics of the disputants (proximity,power/capabilities, domestic stability, ties, role,

    prior conflict experience, and risk propensity)

    Issues that Generated Wars(1648-1991)

    PeriodGeneral Characteristics of

    Wars

    Issues that Generated Wars

    Immediate post-Westpahalia

    1648-1700

    States were willing to limit

    their claims and the use of force

    for its sake.

    Territorial (12%)

    Commercial Navigation (8%)

    Dynastic (7%)

    Strategic (5%)

    State Survival (5%)

    The Classical Balance of

    Power System

    1715-1814

    War became then primarily of

    a great power activity and

    became intermingled.

    Territory (39%)

    Commercial Navigation (13%)

    Dynastic Issues (8%)

    Strategic Territory (6%)

    The Concert of Europe & thePeriod of Congress

    1815-1914

    There was an attempt to createa system to check or regulate

    ambitions but this had little

    i m p a ct o n t h e n a t i o n a l

    liberation movements.

    Maintain integrity of integrity ofState Empire (18%)

    Territorial (13%)

    N a t i o n a l L i b e r a t i o n / S t a t e

    Creation (9%)

    National Unification (8%)

    PeriodGeneral Characteristics of

    Wars

    Issues that Generated Wars

    Post World War I

    1919-1941

    There was a problem in terms

    of settlement between the

    belligerents of the Great War,

    and the need to create

    international institutions that

    w o u l d g u a r a n t e e t h e

    preservation of settlement and

    prevent wars.

    Territorial (14%)

    State Survival (11%)

    Enforce Treaty (9%)

    Maintain Integrity of State/empire

    (9%)

    Commerce/resources (6%)

    Post World War II

    1945-1991

    The forms of armed combat

    have diversified to the point

    where one can no longer speak

    of war as a single institution of

    the state system. The use of

    force for political purposesrange from intifadas, terrorism,

    guerrilla wars, peacekeeping,

    conventional war.

    Govt Composition (16%)

    National Liberation (16%)

    Maintain Integrity (16%)

    Territorial (14%)

    State/Regime Survival (12%)

    National Unification (10%)

    Issues

    Expected-Political Utility of War

    War as an instrument of nationalpolicy, a means by which a states

    objective is attained.

    Basic determinant of how theinternational system is shaped.

    Determinant of polarity.

    Expected Political Utility of War

    Enforcing international law.

    Preserving the balance of power.

    Means of promoting changes in the

    international system

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    Led to state-formation andexpansion.

    Triggered internal conflicts orrevolution.

    Fostered societal learningpatterns.

    Triggered non-constitutionalchanges in government anddemocratization.

    War and Its Impact on Socio-Political

    Conditions

    - Destruction of land, labor, and capital.- Diversion of civilian skills and resources

    to military purposes.

    - Diversion of investments for futuregrowth purposes to more immediateconsumption.

    Economic Implications of War

    (Negative)

    Economic Implications (Positive)

    Economic growth (state expansion and level ofdevelopment)

    Acceleration of technological innovation. Distribution of wealth. Centralization of the economy that can lead to

    productivity gains.

    The Phoenix factor.

    Technology,industrializa t i o n , m a s sconscript ions , andnationalism led to theemergence of total warsin the 20th centuryFirst, Second, and the

    Cold Wars.

    Wars in the 20th Century: From

    Institutionalized to Total War

    Total Wars

    Wars in the first part of the 20th century

    were marked by unconditional surrender,

    massive destruction, deliberate targeting

    of non-military targets, and impositions of

    new socio-economic systems on conquered

    states by the victors.

    War as a natural calamity. War as an unfortunate accident.

    Changing Perception Toward Wars

    War as a voluntary human activity (the ultimate contest).War as a pathological aberration that must be cured. Wasis a disease.

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    What is peace?

    Peace is not the mere absence of war.

    Peace is a situation that needs to be

    created. Peace must be defined as a

    situation in which the probability of

    war is so remote that it does not really

    enter in to the calculations of any of

    the states involved in the dispute.

    Conditions for Peace

    A higher expectation of utility and gains from peace thanwar.

    A civic culture. A commitment to the peaceful resolution of disputes. An ethical code that guides international relations. Mutual legitimatization; A social-communicative process. Shared trust. A collective purpose and social identity among states

    Security Community.

    Changing Nature of International

    Conflicts

    Since 1945, there have been approximately100 wars.

    Only 17 were fought by states on bothsides.

    9 of these 17 wars took place in just tworegions (South Asia and the Middle East)

    Transformation of War

    Most conflicts are of an intra-statenature-decolonization wars, civil war,

    secession wars, state terror and

    terrorism.

    These are considered war of the ThirdKind. They are organized violence

    that have to do with ideology/or the

    nature of community, rather than state

    interests.

    Experience with three total wars in the 20th century. The development of nuclear weapons. Stratification of the military powersthere is only one

    superpower.

    Conventional warfare has become a very expensiveaffair.

    Emergence of global norms against territorialconquest and subjugation.

    Immediate Causes of the Transformation

    Revolutionary Warfare,

    Secession, Civil War, and

    Terrorism