deliberative document. draft working papers, not subject to foia release. unclassified1 rdml john...

Deliberative document. Draft working papers, not subject to FOIA release. UNCLASSIFIED 1

UNCLASSIFIED

RDML John RobertiRDML John RobertiDeputy Director Joint Strategic PlanningDeputy Director Joint Strategic Planning

APEX

The Overall Classification of the Briefing is UNCLASSIFIED


UNCLASSIFIED

AgendaAgenda

Strategy

Interagency decision-making process

Strategic Planning System

– Strategy Drives Processes

– National Strategic Guidance

– DoD Guidance and Policy

– Assessments

– Strategy timeline


UNCLASSIFIED

Strategy Strategy

Strategy – (DoD) A prudent idea or set of ideas for employing the instruments of… power in a synchronized and integrated fashion to achieve… objectives.

Strategy based upon long term objectives and environment

Elements of Strategy:

– Ends – What will be accomplished (Objectives)

– Ways – How it will be accomplished / (Lines of Operation / CONOPs)

– Means – Resources required to the achieve ends

– Prioritizes / Focuses Resource Allocation

– Identifies Risk (Acceptable / Unacceptable)

– Links / Mutually Supports


UNCLASSIFIED

Other executive depts/agencies/senior officials as appropriate

National Security Council (NSC)National Security Council (NSC)

MembersMembers

Economic issues include:- Commerce- US Trade Rep- Asst to Pres for Economic Policy- Chair, Council of Economic Advisors

Homeland Security/CT issues include:- Asst to Pres for Homeland Security & CT

Science & Tech issues include:- Director of Office of Science & Technology

Principal forum for consideration & integration of national security policy issues requiring Presidential determination

Invited to attend every NSC mtg:

- President’s Counsel

- Deputy Nat’l Security advisor

Statutory Statutory AdvisorsAdvisors

CJCS DNI

PP

D-1

(1

3 F

eb 0

9)S

tatu

tory

(1

947

NS

A)

US Rep to UN

Treasury Homeland Security

President Vice President

Secretary of State

Secretary of Defense

Secretary of Energy

Attorney General

President’s Chief of Staff

National Security Advisor


UNCLASSIFIED

NSC CommitteesNSC Committees

Invited to attend every PC:

• President’s Counsel

• Deputy Nat’l Security advisor

Senior interagency forum for national security policy issues

Chair: NSA• Sec State• Sec Treasury• Sec Defense• Attorney General• Sec Energy• Sec DHS• Director OMB• US Rep to UN• Pres. Chief of Staff• DNI• CJCS

* Others similar to NSC as appropriate

Chair: Deputy NSA• DepSec State• DepSec Treasury• DepSec Defense• Dep Attorney

General• DepSec Energy• DepSec DHS• DepDirector OMB• Dep US Rep to UN• Dep DNI• Vice CJCS• Asst to VP for NSA

Recommends actions to the PC and reviews/monitors work of NSC interagency process (IPCs)

* Others similar to PC as appropriate

Main day-to-day fora for interagency coord of

national security policy

Chairs: NSC Senior directors

• Established at direction of DC

• Convene on regular basis

• Replace policy coordination committees (PCCs)

• Not permanent / standing bodies

Sub - IPCsSub - IPCs

Chair: NSC directors• Action officer level

working groups supporting IPCs

• Country directors• Desk officers

Deputies Deputies Committee (DC)Committee (DC)

Principals Principals Committee (PC)Committee (PC)

Interagency PolicyInteragency PolicyCommittees (IPC)Committees (IPC)

DIRECT EXECUTE

ASSESSADVISE

Strategy as Process


UNCLASSIFIED

National Security Strategy – National Security Strategy – National PrioritiesNational Priorities

Employ the ForceEmploy the Force Manage the ForceManage the Force Develop the ForceDevelop the Force

National Defense Strategy/QDR – National Defense Strategy/QDR – Department GuidanceDepartment Guidance

National Military Strategy – National Military Strategy – Strategic DirectionStrategic Direction

Comprehensive Joint Assessment – Integrated Global/Regional ends-ways-means-risk analysis

Defense Planning and Programming Guidance – Priorities & Risk for the Future Force

Unified Command Plan – Combatant Command Missions & Responsibilities

Guidance for Employment of the Force* – DoD Planning Guidance & Priorities

Joint Strategic Capabilities Plan – CJCS Direction for Planning/Apportionment

CJCS Program Assessment –Appraisal of Programs & Budgets

Operational & Regional Strategies & Plans- Theater Strategies – Derived from UCP Missions & Responsibilities

- Global / Theater Campaign Plans – Focus on Global / Theater End States

-- Contingency Plans - Detailed Branches / Sequels to Campaign Plans

- Campaign Support Plans – Priorities/tasks to support COCOM TCPs

Force Development ProductsService / SOCOM Plans

DoD Analytic Agenda

National, DoD, Joint Strategic Planning SystemsNational, DoD, Joint Strategic Planning Systems

Nat

ion

al

Str

ateg

ies

Str

ateg

ic P

lan

nin

gD

ocu

men

ts

CJCS Risk Assessment – Military & Strategic Risk Assessment

CJCS Program Recommendations(Capabilities / Programs / Budgets)

Feedback Mechanisms

POTUS

SECDEF

CJCS

LEGEND

COCOM / SERVICE

* POTUS & SECDEF Document

Joint Strategy Review – Environment & Implications

GFMIG GFMAP


UNCLASSIFIED

National Security Strategy (NSS)National Security Strategy (NSS)

Title 50 U.S.C. Sec. 108. (a)(1) The President shall transmit to Congress each year a comprehensive report on the national security strategy of the United States

– Shall be transmitted on the date the President submits his budget to Congress

– Shall be completed no later than 150 days after a new President takes office.

– Shall include a comprehensive description/discussion of the following

Worldwide interests, goals, objectives that are vital to the U.S.

Foreign policy, worldwide commitments, national defense capabilities of the U.S. necessary to deter aggression and to implement the NSS

Short & Long-term uses of the pol, econ, mil, other elements of national power to protect/promote vital interests/goals/objectives

Adequacy of the capabilities of the U.S. to carry out the NSS, including an evaluation of the balance among elements of national power

“We must pursue a strategy of national renewal and global leadership.”

DIRECT EXECUTE

ASSESSADVISE

Strategy as Process

Enduring National Interests

• The security of the U.S., its citizens, and U.S. allies and partners

• A strong, innovative, and growing U.S. economy in an open international economic system that promotes opportunity and prosperity

• Respect for universal values at home and around the world

• An international order advanced by U.S. leadership that promotes peace, security, and opportunity through stronger cooperation to meet global challenges


UNCLASSIFIED

Title 10 U.S.C. 118 requires Secretary of Defense to conduct a quadrennial defense review and develop a defense strategy with a force structure and program capable of executing the strategy at low to moderate risk. Informed by NSS. Informs NMS, GEF and GDF

National Defense Strategy (NDS)National Defense Strategy (NDS)

Current NDS is incorporated in 2010 Quadrennial Defense Review

DIRECT EXECUTE

ASSESSADVISE

Strategy as Process


UNCLASSIFIED

Title 10 U.S.C. 118 requires SecDef to conduct a comprehensive review of defense strategy, force structure/infrastructure, force modernization plans, budget plan, and other elements of defense program and policies

– In consultation with CJCS, SecDef must determine US defense strategy and defense program for the next 20 years, and assess the nature and magnitude of the political, strategic and military risk associated with executing the strategy.

– Independent CJCS requirements: assessment of the QDR, assessment of risk, and assessment and recommendations on roles and missions

– QDR will use 2008 NDS as strategic point of departure

Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR)Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR)

DIRECT EXECUTE

ASSESSADVISE

Strategy as Process

“The United States needs a broad portfolio of military capabilities with maximum versatility across the widest possible spectrum of conflict.”

Four Defense Objectives (Ends):

• Prevail in Today’s Wars

• Prevent and Deter Conflict

• Prepare to Defeat Adversaries and Succeed in a Wide Range of Contingencies

• Preserve and Enhance the All-Volunteer Force


UNCLASSIFIED

National Military Strategy (NMS)National Military Strategy (NMS)

National Military StrategyNational Military Strategy:

– Title 10 U.S.C. requires delineation of a national military strategy consistent with: (i) the most recent National Security Strategy prescribed by the President; (ii) the most recent annual report of the SECDEF to the President and Congress; and the most recent QDR conducted by the SECDEF. Informed by NSS, QDR, NDS, and CRA. Informs JSCP and provides CRA framework.

DIRECT EXECUTE

ASSESSADVISE

Strategy as Process


UNCLASSIFIED

Guidance for Employment of the Force (GEF)Guidance for Employment of the Force (GEF)

Title 10, Sec 113(g):– “The SecDef…shall provide…written policy guidance on…the priorities of military missions.”– “The SecDef…after consultation with CJCS, shall provide the Chairman written policy guidance for preparation and review of contingency plans.”

Articulates planning requirements and priorities Provides strategic context, endstates, and key partners Lists policy guidance for force allocation and posture Merged the CPG and SCG into a near term strategic guidance document Status:

– POTUS approved, SecDef signed in April, 2011

OSD required to provide policy guidance (not planning guidance)

DIRECT

ASSESSADVISE

Strategy Process

EXECUTE


UNCLASSIFIED

Joint Strategic Capabilities Plan (JSCP)Joint Strategic Capabilities Plan (JSCP)

Title 10, Sec 153(a): Subject to the authority…of POTUS and SecDef, the CJCS is responsible for:

– “Preparing strategic plans...”– “Providing for the preparation and review of contingency plans which conforms to policy guidance from POTUS and SecDef.”

Implements GEF by formally tasking planning requirements and plan levels Articulates all planning tasks and guidance Provides CCDRs seam and coordination guidance Lists force apportionment guidance and posture Status:

– CJCS signed in June 2011

JS required to prepare & review plans which conform to OSD policy

DIRECT

ASSESSADVISE

Strategy Process

EXECUTE


UNCLASSIFIED

Title 10, U.S.C 161 directs CJCS to periodically review (every two years or more) the missions, responsibilities (including geographic boundaries), and force structure of each combatant command; and recommend to the President any changes to missions, responsibilities, and force structures as may be necessary.

Status:– UCP 2011 signed in April 2011

– Revision 1 to UCP at NSC

Unified Command Plan (UCP)Unified Command Plan (UCP)

Changes in UCP

- AOR lines around the Arctic redrawn

- NORTHCOM given responsibility for advocating for Arctic capabilities

- Alaska Crosshatching removed

- TRANSCOM named the DOD synchronizer for global distribution

- STRATCOM’s role as CWMD synchronizer clarified

- JFCOM disestablished

Changes in UCP

- AOR lines around the Arctic redrawn

- NORTHCOM given responsibility for advocating for Arctic capabilities

- Alaska Crosshatching removed

- TRANSCOM named the DOD synchronizer for global distribution

- STRATCOM’s role as CWMD synchronizer clarified

- JFCOM disestablished

DIRECT

ASSESSADVISE

Strategy Process

EXECUTE


UNCLASSIFIED

Discussion: – Tool used to integrate force assignment, apportionment,

and allocation processes in support of the National Defense Strategy and Joint Force requirements

SecDef Assigns forces to CCDRs to meet UCP missions and responsibilities

SecDef Allocates forces to meet current operational requirements

CJCS Apportions forces to CCDRs for planning

– JS prepares and SecDef approves the GFMIG Section I: GFM Overview (J8)

Section II: Assignment of Forces (“Forces For”) (J-8)

Section III: Allocation of Forces (J3)

Section IV: Apportionment of Forces (J8)(CJCS approves)

Status:

– Document updated biannually. SecDef signed in 2010; Next major update scheduled for FY2012

Global Force Management Implementation Global Force Management Implementation Guidance (GFMIG)Guidance (GFMIG)

DIRECT

ASSESSADVISE

Strategy Process

EXECUTE

Global force ManagementImplementation Guidance

FY 2010-2011


UNCLASSIFIED

Defense Planning & Programming Guidance (DPPG) Defense Planning & Programming Guidance (DPPG)

Formerly the Guidance for Development of the Force (GDF) Establishes DoD’s force development and resource priorities needed to

meet future contingencies Consolidates and integrates force development planning priorities into

a single overarching document and replaces guidance previously promulgated through the Strategic Planning Guidance, Transformation Planning Guidance, Global Defense Posture, and Science and Technology priorities

Provides SECDEF guidance to inform development of the POM Informed by the QDR (NDS) and NMS Status:

– FY13-17 DPPG signed by SecDef on 29 August 2011

DIRECT EXECUTE

ASSESSADVISE

Strategy Process


UNCLASSIFIED

Title 10 U.S.C 153 requires annual CJCS assessment of strategic & military risks associated with executing National Military Strategy (NMS)• If Chairman’s risk assessment is significant or greater, the Secretary shall

include with the report…the Secretary’s plan for mitigating the risk.

CRA informed by Comprehensive Joint Assessment (CJA) survey from COCOMs/Svc Chiefs, Joint Combat Capability Assessments (JCCA), Global Force Management (GFM), and Joint Strategy Review (JSR)

Chairman’s Risk Assessment (CRA)Chairman’s Risk Assessment (CRA)

DIRECT EXECUTE

ASSESSADVISE

Strategy Process


UNCLASSIFIED

Joint Strategy Review (JSR)Joint Strategy Review (JSR)

The Joint Strategy Review (JSR) is the Joint Staff process that supports the Chairman’s statutory assessment, advisory, and directive activities. Every two years it produces a formal report focused on the long-term strategic environment. It does this by performing the following tasks:

– Assesses the overall strategic environment over time (20 yrs) Key conditions, trends, & variables (Political, Military, Economic, Social, Information, etc)

Strategic Challenges for U.S. Interests (WMD, Instability, Powerful States, etc)

– Derives national security implications

– Derives supporting national military implications and objectives

– Provides draft military strategy recommendations/options

Findings inform most directly the Chairman’s Risk Assessment (CRA) / Biennial NMS Review – NMS Development.

In “off years”, the JSR Process incorporates numerous data sources to update shared understanding of the strategic environment. Additionally the J5 conducts targeted independent studies on items of interest. These annual studies act as a “refresh cycle” for the formal report.

The Director, Strategic Plans & Policy (J5) oversees the development of the formal report

DIRECT EXECUTE

ASSESSADVISE

Strategy Process


UNCLASSIFIED

Take-AwaysTake-Aways

Interagency decision-making process is both deliberative (ideal) & dynamic (reality)

Existing process & documents provide strategic direction


UNCLASSIFIED

Questions?Questions?


UNCLASSIFIED

UCP Map of the World


UNCLASSIFIED

JSPS & Strategic Planning Schedule FY10 - FY13

FYDP

IPL IPL IPL IPL

CJA CJA CJA

2nd Qtr 3rd Qtr 4th Qtr

Year #1Fiscal Year 13




1st Qtr 2nd Qtr 3rd Qtr 4th Qtr 1st Qtr 2nd Qtr 3rd Qtr 4th Qtr 1st Qtr 2nd Qtr 3rd Qtr 4th Qtr1st Qtr

Elect- ion N

SS

FYDP

PB

NMS

JSCP

QDR

DPPG

UCP

Service

CoCom

JSR 11

QDR

JSR 10

CPA

CRA

CPR

NMS

JSCP

Service Plans

JSR 12

20102010 20112011 20122012 20132013

PB

UCPP

BPB

QDR

CJA

DPPG

DPPG

CPA

CRA

CPR

CPA

CRA

CPR

CPA

CRA

CPR

POM Build POM

POM Build POM

POM Build POM

POM Build POM

12-1612-16 14-1814-18

FYDP

11-1511-15

NSS

FYDP

NDS ?

DPPG

GEF

GEF

FY11 GFMAPGFMIG

FY13 GFMAPGFMIG

QR&M

QR&M13-1713-17

CG CGCG

AFG

New CJCSNMS?QDR PrepQR&M

New CJCSNMS?QDR PrepQR&M

FY 12 GFMAP

FY14 GFMAP

CENTCOM

EUCOM

NORTHCOM

PACOM

SOUTHCOM

AFRICOM

TCPsTCPs

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