department of infrastructure and transport
TRANSCRIPT
INVESTMENT PLAN MAXIMIZING PRODUCT YIELDS
AND VALUES FROM CURRENT
FOREST RESOURCES
DECEMBER 2012
AUTHORS: PROFESSOR ROGER SANDS
CONTENTS 1. OBJECTIVE ........................................................................................... 3 2. SUMMARY OF RECOMMENDATIONS ................................................ 3 3. SCOPE .................................................................................................. 4 4. PREVIOUS FWPA SPONSORED RESEARCH IN THE AREA ........... 5 5. SWOT ANALYSIS ................................................................................. 9 6. LATER AGE FERTILIZATION ............................................................. 13 7. STAND DYNAMICS ............................................................................. 14 8. REMOTE SENSING ............................................................................. 15 9. OPTIMIZATION OF VALUE AT HARVEST ........................................ 16 10. RESEARCH CAPACITY ...................................................................... 18 11. INVESTMENT PLAN ........................................................................... 19 12. PREDICTED OUTCOMES ................................................................... 19 13. CONSULTATION ................................................................................. 22 14. ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS ................................................. 23 15. REFERENCES..................................................................................... 24
1. OBJECTIVE
To develop a Research and Development Investment Plan for the five-
year period 2013-2017 for maximizing product yields and values from
current forest resources.
2. SUMMARY OF RECOMMENDATIONS
1. FWPA will invest in research into later age fertilization that
increases yield and value of plantation resources.
Precedence will be given to research that considers (a) the economic
and wood flow analysis of later age fertilization, (b) the economic
evaluation of alternative fertilization strategies, (c) the potential to
redeem non-performing plantations, and (d) the assessment of nutrient
requirements of mid-rotation and second rotation hardwood
plantations.
2. FWPA will invest in research into thinning, pruning, rotation age
and coppice management that will add value to softwood and
hardwood plantation resources.
Precedence will be given to research that considers (a) the
optimization of coppice management regimes, (b) the optimization of
pulp yield rotation length, (c) the re-evaluation of rotation length for
second rotation hardwood pulp stands, and (d) the fine tuning of
fertilizer x thinning interactions.
3. FWPA will support research that optimizes the value of each stem
at harvest and also the productivity of harvesting and haulage
operations.
Precedence will be given to research that (a) optimizes pulp yield, (b)
further develops tools and optimization technology to increase
harvesting productivity and value recovery in both plantation and
native forests, (c) optimizes the value of smaller piece sizes, and (d)
optimizes the value of low performing plantations and native forests.
3. SCOPE
This research and development plan focuses on adding value to the
grower from forest resources already in the ground. Much of the focus
is on plantations but optimizing the value of harvesting in native forests
is also included.
Consequently the plan does not include tree breeding and
establishment silviculture. It does not specifically address subsequent
rotations not yet established. Second rotation decline in some
hardwood plantations is a grim reality and mostly is caused by the first
rotation having depleted soil water storage. This is because plantings
were made on marginal sites that experienced prolonged (and
continuing) drought. Even so, there are options for increasing the
water use efficiency and therefore productivity of these stands is
considered in this plan.
Because most current contracts to supply are written on the basis of
volume alone, volume production will be important in this plan.
However, there is often an implied expectation for improved wood
properties in softwood contracts. In hardwood saw log regimes
improved wood properties will add value and, indeed, if wood
properties are not satisfactory the processer may not accept the wood
at all. For pulpwood, pulp yield rather than volume is the key property.
Consequently, improved wood properties will be considered in this
plan where they will add value now or are likely to in the near future.
Ideally optimization through the value chain should benefit both
grower and producer. Post-harvest technologies that return a benefit
to the grower will be included in this plan.
This plan looks at increasing the value of current forest resources
through increasing yield, reducing costs and increasing revenue. From
an economic perspective, increasing yield will increase NPV more than
does reducing costs. In this context, increasing yield covers both
plantation productivity and optimization of value at harvest. Cost
savings through more efficient maintenance will not greatly increase
NPV.
Growers were consulted in the preparation of this plan and they were
consistent in their wish for further R&D in four areas: later age
fertilization; stand dynamics; value optimization at harvest; and, remote
sensing of stand characteristics. No recommendation will be made in
the area of remote sensing, important although it is, because this is
already incorporated in the FWPA Research and Development plan on
tools. There will be recommendations on later age fertilization and
stand dynamics and these are focused on plantations. There will be a
recommendation on value optimization at harvest and this is equally
applicable to both plantations and native forests.
No recommendations will be made in this plan that place the site
productivity of further plantation rotations at risk or increase the cost of
establishment of further rotations.
4. PREVIOUS FWPA SPONSORED RESEARCH IN THE AREA
During the period 2007-2012, FWPA invested in four projects relevant to
this plan.
(1) May, B., Smethurst, P., Carlyle, C., Mendam, D., Bruce, J. and Baillie,
C. 2009. Review of fertilizer use in Australian forestry. FWPA Project
Number PR07.4029.
This is a very comprehensive review, which shows that, in general,
fertilizing of both softwood and hardwood plantations was not
profitable at establishment but at later age (particularly at mid-
rotation) could be highly profitable. The increasing profitability with
stand age was attributed to larger relative growth responses and
shorter times to carry the cost of fertilizing with interest over the length
of the rotation. Although this review provides information on current
fertilizer use across Australia’s hardwood and softwood plantations, it is
not clear the extent to which predicted increases in yields and
profitability are actually being achieved at the operational level.
The review demonstrates that fertilizing plantations is relatively benign
compared to agriculture in off-site effects and in greenhouse gas
emissions.
Nutrition research is relatively mature for softwoods but less so for
hardwoods. The review recommends further research in 'improved
prediction and modelling of fertilizer responses, assessment of nutrient
requirements of mid-rotation and second rotation hardwood
plantations, improved economic modelling of the effects of alternative
fertiliser strategies, and application of remote sensing for broad-scale
assessment of nutritional requirements of individual stands across the
plantation estate.'
(2) Sims, N., Hopmans, P., Elms, S. and McGuire, D. 2009. Mapping
foliar nutrition in Pinus radiata from hyperspectral satellite image data.
FWPA Project Number PNC074-0708.
This study examined the use of hyperspectral satellite image data to
monitor foliar nutrition in Pinus radiata. The study was carried out in the
Rennick estate near the Victorian-South Australian border and spectral
data was compared to nutrient levels in foliar samples collected over a
range of age classes that covered a range of nutrient concentrations
(N, P, K, Fe, Zn, Cu, B) from deficient through marginal to adequate.
Models were calculated between spectral and field data. They
concluded that, except for areas of low cover (trees less than 3 years
of age), useful models of nutrient concentration could be calibrated
on field data collected from a range of age classes for several
nutrients. However, they were quite guarded in their conclusions
pointing to the limitations of Hyperion at the time of the study but
foreshadowed improvements in satellite image analysis systems in the
future that would be useful to explore. (At present date (2012)
appropriately loaded satellites have not yet been deployed).
(3) Stone, C., Turner, R., Kathuria, A., Carney, C., Worsley, P., Penman,
T., Hui-Quan Bi, Fox, J. and Watt, D. 2011. Adoption of new airborne
technologies for improving efficiencies and accuracy of estimating
standing volume and yield modelling in Pinus radiata plantations. FWPA
Project Number PNC058-0809.
This research examined the use of Lidar and airborne multispectral
cameras to produce modules that can be incorporated into existing
inventory data management systems in Pinus radiata plantations. The
techniques accurately estimated net stocked area, stem density
(stocking) and stand height. The techniques satisfactorily estimated
size and position of most individual trees. The authors were optimistic
about their results, which are probably past the experimental stage
and moving towards operational implementation. Their experiments
were carried out in Pinus radiata plantations in the Hume Region in
southern NSW but the authors considered there was much in common
between the silvicultural practices and spatial information in this study
and that in different regions and different companies in both Australia
and New Zealand. As such their results should have a widespread
application in which a final step would be specific customization for
companies/regions. Data on costs are provided. The cost efficiency
clearly depends on economies of scale. There are significant start up
and fixed costs associated with a viable Lidar/multispectral camera
capability. They estimated that the use of Lidar/multispectral camera
would cost from $1.50 per hectare for large areas to about $4 per
hectare for small areas. This compares to about $20 per hectare for
conventional inventory assessment.
(4) White, D., Battaglia, M., Bruce, J., Benyon, R., Beadle, C., McGrath,
J., Kinal, J., Crombie, S. and Doody, T. 2009. Water-use efficient
plantations – separating the wood from the leaves. FWPA Project
Number PNC073-0708.
This project was reviewed in the FWPA R&D 'investment plan for water
use efficiency, access to water resources and balanced policy
outcomes' but is also relevant to this plan.
This research examined the water use efficiency for wood production
of Pinus radiata, Eucalyptus globulus and Eucalyptus nitens plantations
in predominantly 'Mediterranean' type climates (hot dry summers and
cool moist winters) across southern Australia. It shows that both wood
production and the water use efficiency for wood production will be
increased by any means (breeding or management including
fertilization) that increases the leaf area index during the early part of
the growing season (late winter and spring). The implication is that
increasing water use under these circumstances (providing water and
not carbon and nutrients are growth limiting) will increase the water
use efficiency of wood production. It follows that the same volume of
wood could be grown using the same volume of water by planting a
smaller area of higher water availability.
The research also shows that promoting an increase in leaf area index
exposes the plantation to the risk of tree deaths during drought years
but that appropriate planting densities and thinning regimes can
control this.
FWPA investment in these projects is shown in Table 1. FWPA invested
40% and industry 31% of total funding of $875,460. Government
(Commonwealth and State) contributed the remaining 29%.
Table 1. Investment in projects partly funded by FWPA and relevant to this
plan during the period 2007-2011.
Project
number
Title FWPA
budget
Industry Govern-
ment
Total
budget
% Cont-
ribution by
FWPA
PR07
.4029
Review of fertilizer use
in Australian forestry
$67,710 Nil $43,814 $111,524 61
PNC074-
0708
Mapping foliar
nutrition in Pinus
radiata from
hyperspectral satellite
image data
$60,000 $31,525 $28,400 $119,925 50
PNC058-
0809
Adoption of new
airborne technologies
for improving
efficiencies and
accuracy of
estimating standing
volume and yield
modelling in Pinus
radiata plantations
$125,215 $186,099 $145,097 $456,411 27
PNC073-
0708
Water-use efficient
plantations –
separating the wood
from the leaves
$94,600 $52,500 $40,500 $187,600 50
Total $347,525 $270,124 $257,811 $875,460 40
5. SWOT ANALYSIS
1. Later age fertilization
Strengths Weaknesses Opportunities Threats
Good research on mid
and late rotation
fertilization in softwoods
resulting in
demonstrated gains in
yield and value
Foliar diagnostics for
fertilizer application
Application and
development of
CABALA, BPOS and FPOS
Research on mid and late age
fertilization in hardwoods is
fragmented and incomplete
Models and practice do not
satisfactorily account for variability in
climate and site
Uncertainty in response
Some hardwood plantations may be
beyond redemption
Poor knowledge of nutrient
requirements and fertilizing strategies
in second rotation pulpwood stands
No accurate generic predictive
models
Insufficient fertiliser trials to cover a
range of climates and soils
Better prediction and modelling of responses to
fertilizing mid and late rotation
Assessment of nutrient requirements of mid rotation
and second rotation hardwood plantations
Economic evaluation of alternative fertilization
strategies
Remote sensing of leaf area and foliar nutrient
concentrations (see remote sensing category
below)
Potential to redeem non-performing plantations
Under canopy weed control to make more
nutrients available to the trees
Precision application of fertilizer
Optimizing fertilizer composition and form
Use of Lidar to evaluate operational responses to
later age fertilization and to adjust future
applications accordingly
Development of soil nutrient diagnostics to predict
fertilizer responses
Economic and woodflow analysis of later age
fertilization
Public perception of
adverse off-site effects
Drought
Higher temperatures
Uncertain climate
Reduced and
fragmented research
capability
2. Stand dynamics
Strengths Weaknesses Opportunities Threats
Good knowledge of
stand dynamics in
softwoods
Poor knowledge of stand dynamics
in hardwood solid wood regimes
(rotation age, thinning, coppicing,
pruning) in order to optimize value.
Poor knowledge of the impacts of
stand management on desirable
wood properties in hardwood solid
wood regimes
Poor knowledge of the impacts of
thinning and rotation length on pulp
yield and value at harvest in
hardwood pulpwood plantations
Optimize thinning in softwood plantations based on
crown class principles
To add value to solid wood regimes with thinning
and pruning
Optimize thinning of pulpwood plantations
Optimize pulp yield rotation length
Silviculture directed to preferred product range
Optimize spacing, thinning and rotation length to
produce optimum piece size and value at harvest
Optimize coppice management regimes
Quantify value gains from improved silviculture and
optimize spacing, thinning and rotation length
Re-evaluation of rotation length for second rotation
hardwood pulpwood stands
Fine tune thinning x fertilizer interactions
Lack of integration
along the value chain
Reduced and
fragmented research
capability
Uncertain climate
Continued drought in
the west
3. Remote sensing for resource evaluation and inventory
Strengths Weaknesses Opportunities Threats
Lidar and associated
multispectral camera
capabilities proven and
approaching operational
Lower cost inventory
Slow deployment of satellites for
spectral imaging
Expensive start up costs
Improve the accuracy and reliability of remote
sensing of foliar nutrients across plantations
covering a range of age classes and site
conditions.
Development of remote sensing of plantation
health
Low cost pest and disease recognition
Reducing the cost of inventory
Use of remote sensing to evaluate post thinning
fertilizer responses
Use of remote sensing to evaluate genetic
responses
Use of remote sensing to evaluate 'not getting it
right'
Use of remotely sensed information for efficient, on-
ground sampling strategies (e.g. stratification,
design-based versus model-based sampling design
and inference for pre-harvest inventory)
Remote detection of problem weeds
Mobile ground-based Lidar
Use of remotely sensed information to assist in
adding value when harvesting native forests
Reduced and
fragmented research
capability
4. Optimizing value at harvest
Strengths Weaknesses Opportunities Threats
Some research capacity
in value optimization
technology and practice
(on board computers on
harvesters, scanning
technologies for log
making)
NIR estimates of pulp
yield
Development of ALPACA
and Fastruk
Contracts to supply mostly do not
consider desirable wood properties
Low value of harvest residues for
biomass
Lack of alternate/complimentary
markets for residue, thinnings and
clearfell pulpwood material
Further development of tools and optimization
technology to increase harvesting productivity and
value recovery in both plantation and native forests
Optimizing tools to measure stiffness, density, sweep
class, and downgrade defects on all sides of the
tree
Optimizing, knots, tension wood, collapse, sawing
characteristics in hardwood solid wood regimes
Optimize pulp yield
Optimize the value of thinnings
Optimize the value of low performing forests
Develop regimes for recovering harvest residues
that do not reduce nutrient capital and site quality
(BUT see threats)
Incorporate desirable wood properties in future
contracts so that they increase value
Real time optimization of transport logistics
Consider biomass in value mix
Optimize value of smaller piece sizes
Identification and tracking of harvested logs
Link remotely sensed inventory to harvest and
haulage operations
Potential effect of
harvesting residues on
reducing site nutrient
stores and
consequent
productivity decline in
future plantations
Possibility of increased
soil erosion when
mineral soil is exposed
Reduced research
capability
6. LATER AGE FERTILIZATION
Nitrogen and phosphorus are the main nutrient deficiencies in
softwood and hardwood plantations and zinc, potassium, boron and
copper deficiencies also occur. There has been considerable research
into nutritional management of plantations in Australia and significant
gains in yield and value have been achieved through fertilization.
Variability in response remains a problem. Nutritional research in
softwood plantations is relatively mature compared to in hardwood
plantations and further research in softwoods will give diminishing but
real returns still worth chasing. In particular research that quantifies and
models responses together with economic and wood flow analysis
could add value. Even more compelling is the argument to invest in
the nutritional management of hardwood plantations.
The economic gains from fertilizer application vary widely. For example
Knott and Turner (1996) analyzed optimum fertilizer treatments across
NSW and found rates of return on investment would be expected to
exceed 8% with NPVs between $62 and $1169 per hectare. May et al
(2009) used an economic model to estimate the value of fertilizing at
various stand ages for both softwood and hardwoods. They used a
discount rate of 7.5% and estimated NPV and IRR at 0, 5, 15 and 25
years for a 31 year rotation of softwoods and at 0, 2, and 7 years for a
12 year rotation of hardwoods (assuming a type 2 fertilizer response
where the response to fertilizer continues until the end of the rotation).
They estimated that fertilizing softwood plantations at ages 15 years
and hardwood plantations at 7 years was the most profitable (NPVs
$1520 and $1272 per hectare and IRRs of 35% and 72% for softwood
and hardwood plantations respectively). The estimated profitability for
fertilization at establishment was disappointing. Estimates based on a
type 1 response (assuming a response period of 6 years) still predicted
that later age fertilization was superior to fertilization at establishment.
The advantages of later age fertilization are that the investment carries
its interest over a shorter time period, there are larger relative growth
responses and better quality (more mature) wood is laid down. Also,
later age fertilization should assist in maintaining the site productivity of
subsequent plantations (providing of course poor harvesting practice
and establishment silviculture does not negate this).
Existing tools to predict fertilizer response based on site and stand
variables (eg stand dynamics, water availability, foliar nutrient
concentrations, leaf area, soil properties) have been moderately
successful for specific regions, but not so when applied more widely.
Foliar rather than soil diagnostics are likely to be more important for
generic predictive tools. Growers need confidence that they will get a
return on the upfront costs of fertilizing. Opportunities for increasing
value are often missed because of this uncertainty. There is a need for
more robust predictive relationships that can be applied over a range
of conditions and in which growers have confidence. Decision support
systems need to be based on trials rigorous enough to detect and
model the variability in fertilizer responses. There are insufficient fertilizer
trials to cover the required range of climates and soils. Remote sensing
(see later) has the potential to characterize some of the key variables
at less cost than field measurement.
Many existing hardwood plantations are marginal or worse and will lose
money unless their yield and value can be increased within their
current rotation. The options to do so are limited and mid to late-age
fertilization is an obvious area to be examined in more detail. Desirable
wood properties should be considered in hardwood solid wood
regimes and pulp yield in pulpwood regimes. Later age fertilization
often follows thinning. There are significant areas of blue gum
pulpwood plantations in regions of Australia having 'Mediterranean
type climates' (cool moist winters and hot dry summers) where the
stand productivity is limited by summer water stress. Fertilization in
spring should increase leaf area under which circumstances water use
efficiency of wood production and overall productivity should be
increased (White et al 2009). This increases the risk of drought related
mortality but if fertilization follows thinning then this risk would probably
be reduced. Further research into this is warranted. Fertilizing is
expensive and detail on when fertilizer is not likely to bring an
economic benefit is also important research consideration.
Recommendation 1: FWPA will invest in research into later age
fertilization that increases yield and value of plantation resources.
Precedence will be given to research that considers (a) the economic
and wood flow analysis of later age fertilization, (b) the economic
evaluation of alternative fertilization strategies, (c) the potential to
redeem non-performing plantations, and (d) the assessment of nutrient
requirements of mid-rotation and second rotation hardwood
plantations.
7. STAND DYNAMICS
There is considerable experience in softwood plantations for optimizing
spacing, thinning, pruning and rotation age. There is less knowledge
and experience in hardwood plantations. Further research on thinning,
pruning and optimization of rotation age in both softwood and
hardwood saw log plantations has the potential to add value.
Improved wood properties (knots, tension wood, collapse, hardness,
stiffness, sawing characteristics) are important in solid wood hardwood
regimes. Indeed, if quality standards are not met the processor may
not accept the trees at all. Also, peeler logs will need to meet strict
quality standards to be acceptable to the processor. Pruning is an
expensive operation and any efficiency created here will make a
difference. Also, there is potential to add value by fine tuning thinning
x fertilizer interactions.
Some growers expressed an interest in adding value to pulpwood
plantations by thinning for biomass to produce larger pulpwood stems
at harvest. Other growers considered this to be fanciful.
Second rotation blue gum sites have particular problems. Second
rotation decline has occurred in many areas where the first rotation
mined stored soil water that has not been replaced because of
prolonged drought. Poor coppice management has contributed and
further research in optimizing coppice silviculture is recommended.
Recommendation 2: FWPA will invest in research into thinning, pruning,
rotation age and coppice management that will add value to softwood
and hardwood plantation resources.
Precedence will be given to research that considers (a) the
optimization of coppice management regimes, (b) the optimization of
pulp yield rotation length, (c) the re-evaluation of rotation length for
second rotation hardwood pulp stands, and (d) the fine tuning of
fertilizer x thinning interactions.
8. REMOTE SENSING
Most growers considered resource characterization using remote
sensing to be an important opportunity to reduce costs. Technologies
include both airborne and satellite based systems. Remote sensing
potentially can be used to reduce the cost of inventory, to estimate
foliar nutrient levels and to characterize stand health.
Perhaps the most promising and nearest to operational utility is Lidar.
Lidar can be both ground-based or airborne. Currently airborne Lidar is
the most effective for application to forest inventory, although a
combination of airborne and ground-based may prove useful (Hiker et
al. 2012). Airborne Lidar uses a short pulse of laser energy to measure
the shape of solid objects on the ground (Culvenor et al 2005). It can
measure stand variables such as mean tree height and basal area. It
potentially can measure individual tree variables such as height, stem
form and size, and canopy architecture. Its versatility can be improved
if used in conjunction with airborne multispectral cameras (Stone et al
2011). An airborne Lidar/multispectral camera capability has
significant start up and fixed costs but economies of scale should make
Lidar a very cost effective tool for inventory. Stone et al (2011)
considered the use of Lidar in inventory of Pinus radiata plantations to
be mature enough for it to be customized for application nation wide.
They estimated in their study of Pinus radiata plantations in the Hume
Region of NSW that the use of Lidar/multispectral camera would cost
from $1.50 per hectare for large areas to about $4 per hectare for small
areas. This compares to about $20 per hectare for conventional
inventory assessment.
The use of airborne multispectral cameras has potential for assessing
stand health (Stone et al 2004) and satellite based imaging systems for
estimating foliar nutrition (Sims et al 2009). These capabilities are not as
industry-ready as Lidar and further research to assess their operational
utility is warranted. Sub-optimal health of stands can be due to pest
and disease, drought, nutrient deficiency, weed competition, high
temperatures and interactions between each of these. Remote
sensing may be able to differentiate between the causes of poor stand
health and thereby trigger appropriate remedial action (if possible).
Many plantations are established on marginal sites and in marginal
climates and where climate appears to be changing for the worse.
The goal should be the use of remotely sensed information to inform
site-specific management. The emphasis should be on making Lidar
operational. Research in remote sensing has been promoted in the
FWPA plan on tools and as such there will be no recommendation
about remote sensing made in this plan.
9. OPTIMIZATION OF VALUE AT HARVEST
Optimization of value at harvest is relevant to both plantation and
native forests.
From a sample of 15 levy payers, 14 had delivered sales (at mill door or
wharf gate) and for 12 of these it was at 100%. Consequently there is a
very strong case that harvesting and haulage should be considered in
this plan. Improving harvest recovery and pushing product mixes to
higher values will add value to the grower and any increase in the
productivity of harvesting and haulage operations may reduce costs to
the grower. Harvesting and haulage are an expensive part of the
value chain and small efficiencies can have a large impact.
Optimizing tools include on board computers (OBC) on harvesters,
mobile scanners for log making (Walsh 2012, Walsh et al 2012, Farrell et
al 2012) and tools for identification and tracking of harvested logs.
Harvester heads that optimize wood properties are a realistic
development for the future. Real time optimization of transport logistics
would also add value.
The emphasis in this plan is on current resources. Even so, research on
optimization should be flexible enough to foreshadow and deal with
future processing opportunities and product options that can create
value for growers. Surely growers, while understandably anxious about
current profitability, are interested in securing their future and this
means understanding the current and future needs of their customers.
A recent study (Walsh 2012) in harvesting 35 year-old Pinus radiata
showed that harvest optimization technology improved the
productivity of harvesting operations by 9% (about $1.50/m3) and
increased the value of logs harvested from each tree by 3% (about
$1/m3). Although these increases are relatively modest they are real
and could significantly add to the bottom line. Further research in
optimization technologies should provide further gains. Also, revenues
from production thinnings in softwood plantations are often slim and
cost effective optimization tools have the potential to add value here.
There is an emerging market for biomass to provide renewable energy
and biomass from forests could play an important part. In the future
pulpwood may compete with biomass in optimizing returns. Low
productivity hardwood plantations that are marginal for pulp might
achieve greater value if harvested for biomass (Ghaffariyan and
Wiedemann 2011). However there are risks associated with harvesting
forest residues. Harvest residues are a low value product and, except
in special circumstances, unlikely to turn a worthwhile profit. In any
case there is the real risk of degrading site productivity, particularly on
low productivity sites. There are existing trials looking at the impact of
removing harvest residues on the nutrient capital of the site. A
significant proportion of existing blue gum plantations will not have a
second rotation. In some instances leases are required to be returned
to the farmer in a 'clean' state. Under these circumstances, biomass
from harvest residues may offer an opportunity, albeit a slim one.
However, where a second rotation is contemplated, harvesting
residues carries significant nutritional risk.
Recommendation 3: FWPA will support research that optimizes the
value of each stem at harvest and also the productivity of harvesting
and haulage operations.
Precedence will be given to research that (a) optimizes pulp yield, (b)
further develops tools and optimization technology to increase
harvesting productivity and value recovery in both plantation and
native forests, (c) optimizes the value of smaller piece sizes, and (d)
optimizes the value of low performing plantation and native forests.
10. RESEARCH CAPACITY
Research capacity in forestry recently has declined in Australia to the
extent that some areas of research can no longer be serviced and
others are in danger of losing critical mass. FWPA has the capacity to
assist in rescuing some of the critical areas of research that bring
together a range of skills of benefit to levy holders.
Despite CSIRO reducing its capacity in forest research, it is still an
important player although now somewhat fragmented. CSIRO will
probably concentrate on decision support systems and modeling and
provide research services to companies that are prepared to pay for
science-based solutions. The CRC for Forestry finished in June 2012.
Research relationships between individuals in the various institutions
within the CRC may persist to some extent although a decrease in
capability and a fragmentation of effort is inevitable. Continuation will
be achieved to some extent through the recently announced National
Centre for Future Forest Industries (NCFFI). The aspirations of this newly
created Research Centre are compatible with the recommendations
made in this plan. The Centre plans to examine 'options and
opportunities for higher value uses of the now-maturing plantation
hardwood resource, in the context of declining industrial access to
native forests' and also to focus on 'urgently needed solutions to
second rotation productivity decline in hardwood plantations,
developed in a multi-rotation, economic framework'. However, the
Centre has restricted resources and then only until 2014.
The Forest Operations capability developed in Program 3 of the CRC
will continue with a key appointment at the University of the Sunshine
Coast and the consequent development of the Australian Forest
Operations Research Alliance (AFORA). This directly addresses
recommendation 4 in this plan. The University of Canterbury
(Christchurch) also has research expertise in forest operations.
The various state institutions have research capacity relevant to this
plan. So too do the universities, particularly Melbourne, Tasmania,
Sunshine Coast and Southern Cross. Private companies, eg HVP, are
keen to collaborate and private consultants, especially in nutrition
management, have played a key role in the past and may do so in the
future. There is considerable scope for institutions, both research
providers and research purchasers, to collaborate on areas of
common interest highlighted in this plan. Some growers are sitting on
valuable data, which if shared across a range of climates and sites
could assist in developing predictive relationships. The sharing of
diagnostic nutritional data between plantation companies has already
commenced and could be further encouraged.
Research into radiata pine is very well developed compared with that
of hardwoods. The predominantly pine companies have argued they
should not be ignored in this plan, stressing the relatively large
economic contribution made by the pine industry and the capacity to
add further value through research. Research into softwoods and
hardwoods need not be mutually exclusive. Empirical tools and
financial models may be generic for both softwood and hardwood
plantations.
11. INVESTMENT PLAN
FWPA will invest $2,070,000 over the period 2013 - 2017. Table 2 shows
how this would be invested over the period. Value optimization has the
highest priority with later age fertilization and stand dynamics being
equal second. The spread between years is flexible and could be
modified depending on research proposals. FWPA will invest an
average of 40% of the funding for any approved research project,
which means that the total funding (FWPA, other cash and in-kind) will
be $5,000,175. Successful proposals will provide evidence that the
research is likely to add value to current forest resources and will be
required in their final report to demonstrate whether or not this has
been achieved. All other things being equal, preference will be given
to projects with strong industry support. This plan focuses on current
forest resources already in the ground. However, successful proposals
will demonstrate a commitment to the future.
12. PREDICTED OUTCOMES
The research recommended in this plan is relatively low in risk and with
a reasonable probability of success in terms of measurable increases in
value of current resources. Past research in both later age fertilization
and stand dynamics of softwoods have produced real gains and it is
likely that similar research in hardwoods will show cost effective
increases in value. (This does not mean that further research will not
provide additional gains with softwoods). Further research in value
optimization at harvest looks particularly promising. Harvesting and
haulage are relatively expensive and even small gains will make a big
difference to the bottom line. There are new technologies just over the
horizon and there is an expanding quality research capacity in this
area. The research is very applied and it should be able to be
adopted operationally quite quickly.
Funding should favour proposals that demonstrate a strong empirical
chance of success.
Table 2: Indicative FWPA investment by recommendations
Recommendation 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017 Total
Later age fertilization $20,000 $120,000 $150,000 $150,000 $110,000 $550,000
Stand dynamics $20,000 $120,000 $150,000 $150,000 $110,000 $550,000
Value optimization $30,000 $260,000 $250,000 $220,000 $210,000 $970,000
Total $70,000 $500,000 $550,000 $520,000 $430,000 $2,070,000
13. CONSULTATION
The following were consulted in the preparation of this plan.
Australian Bluegum Plantations Pty Ltd
Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization
Cooperative Research Centre for Forestry
Elders Forestry Limited
Forest Products Commission (WA)
Forests New South Wales
Forest Strategy Pty Ltd
Forestry South Australia
Forestry Tasmania
Global Forest Partners
Green Triangle Forest Products
Hancock Victorian Plantations
Hurford Hardwood
Nippon Paper Resources Australia Pty Ltd
NSW Department of Primary Industries
PF Olsen (Aus) Pty Ltd
Queensland Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry
Queensland Department of Environment and Resource Management
SFM Forest Products
Southern Cross University
University of Melbourne
University of the Sunshine Coast
University of Sydney
University of Tasmania
Timberlands Pacific Pty Ltd
VicForests
14. ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS
AFORA Australian Forest Operations Research Alliance
ALPACA Australian Logging Productivity and Cost Assessment
B Boron
BPOS Blue gum productivity optimization system
CABALA Carbon Balance
CRC Cooperative Research Centre
CSIRO Commonwealth Scientific & Industrial Research Organization
Cu Copper
Fastruk Fast Truck
Fe Iron
FPOS Forest productivity optimization system
FWPA Forest and Wood Products Australia
HVP Hancock Victorian Plantations
IRR Internal Rate of Return
K Potassium
Lidar Light Detection and Ranging
N Nitrogen
NCFFI National Centre for Future Forest Industries
NIR Near Infra Red
NPV Net Present Value
OBC On Board Computer
P Phosphorus
R&D Research and Development
SWOT Strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats
Zn Zinc
15. REFERENCES
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Evaluation and validation of canopy laser radar systems for native and
plantation forest inventory – summary report. FWPRDC Project No.
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Farrell, R., Innes, T.C. and Harwood, C.E. 2012 Sorting Eucalypt nitens
plantation logs using acoustic wave velocity. Australian Forestry 75; 22-
30.
Ghaffariyan, M.R. and Wiedemann, J. 2011. Harvesting low-
productivity eucalypt plantations for biomass. CRC for Forestry Bulletin
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Hiker, T., Coops, N.C., Newnham, G.J., Leeuwen. M.van, Wulder, M.A.,
Stewart, J. and Culvenor, D.S. 2012. Comparison of Terrestrial and
Airborne LiDAR in Describing Stand Structure of a Thinned Lodgepole
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Knott, J and Turner, J, 1990. Fertilizer usage in Forestry Commission of
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Sims, N., Hopmans, P., Elms, S. and McGuire, D. 2009. Mapping foliar
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Hui-Quan Bi, Fox, J. and Watt, D. 2011. Adoption of new airborne
technologies for improving efficiencies and accuracy of estimating
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Walsh D. (2012) Quantifying the value recovery improvement using a
harvester optimiser. CRC for Forestry, Bulletin 26. 3pp.
Walsh D., Carter P. and Ardille, S. 2012. Evaluation of the Hitman PH330
Acoustic Assessment System for Harvesters. CRC for Forestry, Bulletin 25.
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