det norske’s q4 and year-end 2008 presentation · sidetrack to test upper brent group planned for...
TRANSCRIPT
- CEO Erik Haugane
- CFO Finn Øistein Nordam
1
Det norske’s Q4 AND YEAR-END 2008 PRESENTATION
1
Ticker on OSE: ”DETNOR”
Disclaimer
2
All presentations and their appendices (hereinafter referred to as “Investor Presentations”) published on www.detnor.no have been prepared by Det norske oljeselskap ASA (“Det norske oljeselskap ” or the “Company”) exclusively for information purposes. The presentations have not been reviewed or registered with any public authority or stock exchange. Recipients of these presentations may not reproduce, redistribute or pass on, in whole or in part, these presentations to any other person. The distribution of these presentations and the offering, subscription, purchase or sale of securities issued by the Company in certain jurisdictions is restricted by law. Persons into whose possession these presentations may come are required by the Company to inform themselves about and to comply with all applicable laws and regulations in force in any jurisdiction in or from which it invests or receives or possesses these presentations and must obtain any consent, approval or permission required under the laws and regulations in force in such jurisdiction, and the Company shall not have any responsibility or liability for these obligations. These presentations do not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities in any jurisdiction to any person to whom is unlawful to make such an offer or solicitation in such jurisdiction.
[IN RELATION TO THE UNITED STATES AND U.S. PERSONS, THESE PRESENTATIONS ARE STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL AND ARE BEING FURNISHED SOLELY IN RELIANCE UPON APPLICABLE EXEMPTIONS FROM THE REGISTRATION REQUIREMENTS UNDER THE U.S. SECURITIES ACT OF 1933, AS AMENDED. THE SHARES OF THE COMPANY HAVE NOT AND WILL NOT BE REGISTERED UNDER THE U.S. SECURITIES ACT OR ANY STATE SECURITIES LAWS, AND MAY NOT BE OFFERED OR SOLD WITHIN THE UNITED STATES, UNLESS AN EXEMPTION FROM THE REGISTRATION REQUIREMENTS OF THE U.S. SECURITIES ACT IS AVAILABLE. ACCORDINGLY, ANY OFFER OR SALE OF SHARES IN THE COMPANY WILL ONLY BE OFFERED OR SOLD (I) WITHIN THE UNITED STATES, ONLY TO QUALIFIED INSTITUTIONAL BUYERS (“QIBs”) IN PRIVATE PLACEMENT TRANSACTIONS NOT INVOLVING A PUBLIC OFFERING AND (II) OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES IN OFFSHORE TRANSACTIONS IN ACCORDANCE WITH REGULATION S. ANY PURCHASER OF SHARES IN THE UNITED STATES, WILL BE REQUIRED TO MAKE CERTAIN REPRESENTATIONS AND ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS, INCLUDING WITHOUT LIMITATION THAT THE PURCHASER IS A QIB. PROSPECTIVE INVESTORS ARE HEREBY NOTIFIED THAT SELLERS OF THE NEW SHARES MAY BE RELYING ON THE EXEMPTIONS FROM THE PROVISIONS OF SECTIONS OF THE U.S. SECURITIES ACT PROVIDED BY RULE 144A.NONE OF THE COMPANY’S SHARES HAVE BEEN OR WILL BE QUALIFIED FOR SALE UNDER THE SECURITIES LAWS OF ANY PROVINCE OR TERRITORY OF CANADA. THE COMPANY’S SHARES ARE NOT BEING OFFERED AND MAY NOT BE OFFERED OR SOLD, DIRECTLY OR INDIRECTLY, IN CANADA OR TO OR FOR THE ACCOUNT OF ANY RESIDENT OF CANADA IN CONTRAVENTION OF THE SECURITIES LAWS OF ANY PROVINCE OR TERRITORY THEREOF.IN RELATION TO THE UNITED KINGDOM, THESE PRESENTATIONS AND THEIR CONTENTS ARE CONFIDENTIAL AND THEIR DISTRIBUTION (WHICH TERM SHALL INCLUDE ANY FORM OF COMMUNICATION) IS RESTRICTED PURSUANT TO SECTION 21 (RESTRICTIONS ON FINANCIAL PROMOTION) OF THE FINANCIAL SERVICES AND MARKETS ACT 2000 (FINANCIAL PROMOTION) ORDER 2005. IN RELATION TO THE UNITED KINGDOM, THESE PRESENTATIONS ARE ONLY DIRECTED AT, AND MAY ONLY BE DISTRIBUTED TO, PERSONS WHO FALL WITHIN THE MEANING OF ARTICLE 19 (INVESTMENT PROFESSIONALS) AND 49 (HIGH NET WORTH COMPANIES, UNINCORPORATED ASSOCIATIONS, ETC.) OF THE FINANCIAL SERVICES AND MARKETS ACT 2000 (FINANCIAL PROMOTION) ORDER 2005 OR WHO ARE PERSONS TO WHOM THE PRESENTATIONS MAY OTHERWISE LAWFULLY BE DISTRIBUTED.]The contents of these presentations are not to be construed as legal, business, investment or tax advice. Each recipient should consult with its own legal, business, investment and tax adviser as to legal business, investment and tax advice.
There may have been changes in matters which affect the Company subsequent to the date of these presentations. Neither the issue nor delivery of these presentations shall under any circumstance create any implication that the information contained herein is correct as of any time subsequent to the date hereof or that the affairs of the Company have not since changed, and the Company does not intend, and does not assume any obligation, to update or correct any information included in these presentations.These presentations include and are based on, among other things, forward-looking information and statements. Such forward-looking information and statements are based on the current expectations, estimates and projections of the Company or assumptions based on information available to the Company. Such forward-looking information and statements reflect current views with respect to future events and are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions. The Company cannot give any assurance as to the correctness or such information and statements.An investment in the Company involves risk, and several factors could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements that may be expressed or implied by statements and information in these presentations, including, among others, risks or uncertainties associated with the Company’s business, segments, development, growth management, financing, market acceptance and relations with customers, and, more generally, general economic and business conditions, changes in domestic and foreign laws and regulations, taxes, changes in competition and pricing environments, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and interest rates and other factors. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those described in these documents.
Agenda
Recent Events
Development Projects
Financials
Exploration Update
Outlook and Summary
Appendix
3
Det norske – Since Third Quarter
APA 2008 – Det norske awarded 7 licenses (5 operatorships)
Fulla-discovery - Appraisal well planned this spring
Freke spudded on February 7, Ragnarrock Graben to be spudded shortly
10-year license extension for PL 364 granted (Frøy Field)
Operations have been carried out without any serious HSE incidents
Received about MNOK 1 900 in proceeds from Goliat and Yme sales
Applied for acreage in the 20th licensing round (Norwegian Sea and the Barents Sea)
Q4 result:
– Revenue of MNOK 363.9
– Exploration expenditures MNOK 238.6
– Total write downs MNOK 400.4
– After tax profit MNOK 235.6
Extraordinary Shareholder meeting: five new board members, including chairman
4
Highest Ever Oil Production in Q4
5
Bopd
Four Core Areas
6
Norwegian Sea:
Midgard
Njord – Draugen
North Sea:
Jotun – Draupne – Frøy
Varg
With existing infrastructure
Possibility for low cost developments
Higher probability of success
APA 2008 – Strengthening Core Areas
7
PL 504 in Jotun core area
PL 500 and PL 502 in
Draupne core area
North Sea – Jotun/DraupneNorwegian Sea
432B
512
PL 432B in Åsgard core area
PL 512 in Njord – Draugen
core area
Fulla Discovery – Sidetrack Planned this Spring
8
License ownership (PL 362)
– StatoilHydro (O) 30 percent
– Svenska Petr. 25 percent
– Det norske 15 percent
– Dana 10 percent
Discovered 6 to 19 MBOE of
gas/condensate
Sidetrack to test Upper Brent Group
planned for in April/May
Located 40 km north of Heimdal
Freke Spudded, North of Sleipner
9
License ownership
– ExxonMobil (O) 30 percent
– StatoilHydro 50 percent
– Det norske 20 percent
Spudded: February 7, 2009
Dagny/Ermintrude
Freke
Unrisked volumes (P90 – P10) 35 – 230 MBOE
Det norske estimates that about app. 20% of
Ermintrude is within PL 029B (15-20 MBOE)
Det norske is drilling the well on behalf of
operator ExxonMobil.
Agenda
10
Recent Events
Development Projects
Financials
Exploration Update
Outlook and Summary
Appendix
11
High Activity in the Draupne Area
11
Contingent Gross Resources (MBO):
Many development options
– Draupne/Hanz stand-alone
– Tie-back to Gudrun, Grane or Balder
– Joint development with Luno, etc.
Proposed appraisal well
Target: First oil 2013
Discovery PL 001B Low – Mid - High
Draupne (O) (35%)* 29 – 54 – 62
Hanz (O) (35%)* 5 – 9 – 12
Total 34 – 63 – 74
Luno** 65 – 115 - 190
Total 99 – 178 - 264
*Only oil, no free or associated gas
**Lundin Petroleum estimate
PL 001BDet norske (O)Draupne appr.
2010
PL 265STL (O)
Ragnarrock Graben - 2009
PL 336Lundin (O)
Luno app. 2008
PL 029BExxonMobil (O)
Freke 2009
10-Year extension for the Frøy-license (PL 364) Time to improve project economics
12
25 km radius from Frøy Field
Looking for partners
Cost reduction project
Drilling campaign to find more volumes
2009 exploration drilling
David in PL 102 to be drilled later this year
Øst Frigg Gamma Delta appraisal in PL 442
Storklakken in PL 460
Det norske holds equity in five of the licenses
surrounding Frøy, of which three include oil
discoveries
Cost overview – from idea to PDO
13
Ragnarrock
Fulla
Draupne
FrøyStorskrymten
V a l u e c r e a t i o n
MNOK Spent, 100% - pre tax
Dry Well Thorkildsen
Dry Well Trow
Prospects
prepared
for drilling
100% - since jan 2005, or from later awards
Dry
Well
Agenda
14
Recent Events
Development Projects
Financials
Exploration Update
Outlook and Summary
Appendix
Profit & Loss Q4 2008
15
MNOK Q4 2008 Q4 2007
Operating revenues 363.9 55.6
Exploration expenses 238.6 122.8
Production cost 44.3 9.8
Depreciation 32.8 17.5
Write-downs 400.4 0
Operating profit/EBIT -361.4 -112.2
Net financial items 132.6 -4.5
Pre-tax profit -228.8 -116.7
Tax cost -464.4 -97.3
Net profit 235.6 -19.4
Not audited
Exploration Expenses Q4 2008
16
MNOK Q4 2008 Q4 2007
Seismic, well data, field studies, etc. 18.8 18.6
Exploration expenses from license participation 85.8 24.8
Expensed capitalized expl. wells in previous years 124.91) 33
Expensed dry wells this year 0.2 63.1
OPEX reclassified as exploration expenses 8.2 7.9
Research and development 0.7 8.3
Exploration expenses 238.6 122.8
1) Storskrymten has been expensed as volumes proven so far are considered non-commercial as a stand alone discovery
17
Prudent write-downs due to low oil prices
400
50
24
252
225
Deferred tax
326
264
205
338
Net Write-downsGoodwill
33
Licensens
49
289
Producing assets
Glitne
NOIL
Jotun
NOIL
Varg
Jotun
NOIL
Jotun
Varg
(All Figures in MNOK)
Balance Sheet 31.12 2008
18
Assets (MNOK) Q4 2008 Q4 2007
Fixed assets 2 727.0 4 972.6
Goodwill 864.3 1 671.6
Capitalised exploration expenditures 251.5 517.9
Other intangible assets 1 264.6 2 423.3
Property, plant and equipment 298.1 354.7
Long-term receivable (prepayment) 48.5 5.2
Current assets 2 498.3 1 453.7
Inventories 14.7 2.6
Trade receivables 583.5 128.2
Other receivables 200.5 119.7
Short-term deposits 17.4 0
Calculated tax receivable 214.0 618.0
Cash / cash equivalents 1 468.3 585.1
Total assets 5 225.3 6 426.3
Not audited
Balance Sheet 31.12 2008 (Cont.)
19
Equity and Liabilities (MNOK) Q4 2008 Q4 2007
Equity 3 758.1 3 563.3
Provisions 1 043.5 2 266.1
Pension obligations 16.2 8.1
Deferred taxes 847.6 2 166.5
Abandonment provision 134.6 81.3
Deferred revenues 45.1 10.4
Current liabilities 423.7 596.9
Short-term loan 0 128.6
Trade creditors 94.3 112.8
Taxes withheld and public duties payable 12.2 12.0
Other current liabilities 317.2 343.4
TOTAL LIABILITIES 1 467.2 2 863.0
Total equity and liabilities 5 225.3 6 426.3
Not audited
Cash Flow – Key Figures Q4 (MNOK)
20
1 468
327
Sale of licenses
495
Repayment of
loan
1 490
327
Investments Cash end of
period
Net cash from
operating
activities
473
Cash start of
period
*
*Does not include Yme-payment MNOK 546 received on January 20, 2009
Sale of Goliat and Yme
21
587
298
190
100
Changes in
deferred taxes
Total P&L
effect
Interest
income
Revenues
P&L Effects
Key balance sheet
effects
– Reduced balance
sheet total
– Goodwill, intangeble
assets and capitalised
exploration expenses
converted to cash
– Increased equity ratio
Agenda
22
Recent Events
Development Projects
Financials
Exploration Update
Outlook and Summary
Appendix
2009 Drilling schedule
23
Q4
2008 2009 2010
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Rig
17.02.09
PL 362 Fulla (STL) Partner
PL 029 Freke 20% B.Dolphin
PL 265 Graben (STL) 20% Partner
Aker Barents
Aker Barents53%
25%PL 321 Geitfjellet
B.Dolphin35%PL 027B Eitri/Phi
Partner20%
PL 460 Storklakken
Partner10%PL 102 David
PL 383 Struten 55% Deep Sea Delta
PL 380 Fongen 70% Deep Sea Delta
PL 356 Ryvingen 100% Mærsk Guardian
PL 027D Jetta 35%
15%
PL 332 Optimus (Talisman) 40% Partner
PL 476 Frusalen 40% Deep Sea Delta
Drilling operation
PL 442 Frigg GD (STL)
Partner30%PL 038 Grevling (Talisman)
DETNOR %
B.Dolphin
Det norske operated
Partner operated
Luno increases the possibility of oil in Graben
Objective is to find Luno analogue reservoirs.
Unrisked estimate (P90 – P10) : 50 -125 MBOE
StatoilHydro is drilling the well with West Epsilon.
Ragnarrock Graben – A Key Well in the Area
24
License ownership (PL 265)
– STL (O) 40 percent
– Petoro 30 percent
– Det norske 20 percent
– Talisman 10 percent
Spud: February 2009
Luno Graben
Grevling – Det norske has increased its stake to 30%
25
Primary reservoirs are in the Triassic, the
middle Jurassic Hugin and Sleipner Fm.
Primary risks: maturity of source and migration
Grevling (PL 038) (Det norske 30 percent)
– Unrisked resources (P90-P10) 10 – 80 MBO
– Planned drilled in Q1 2009
– Proximity to Varg would yield early production
– Operated by Talisman
15/12-21 GREVLING
Jotun B
15/12-1
15/12-10 S
15/12-11
15/12-14
15/12-15
15/12-2
15/12-3
15/12-4
15/12-5
15/12-6 S
15/12-7 S
15/12-8
15/12-9 S
15/2-1
15/3-1 S
15/3-215/3-2 R
15/3-3
15/3-4
15/3-5
15/3-6
15/3-7
15/5-1
15/5-2
15/5-3
15/5-4
15/5-5
15/5-6
15/6-1 X15/6-215/6-2 R
15/6-3
15/6-4
15/6-5
15/6-6
15/6-7
15/6-8 A15/6-8 S
15/8-1
15/9-1 T2
15/9-10
15/9-11
15/9-12 R
15/9-13
15/9-14
15/9-15
15/9-16
15/9-17
15/9-18
15/9-19 A15/9-19 SR
15/9-2
15/9-20 S
15/9-21 S
15/9-3
15/9-4
15/9-5
15/9-6
15/9-7 15/9-8
15/9-9
16/1-1
16/1-2
16/1-3
16/1-4
16/1-516/1-5 A
16/10-1
16/10-2
16/10-3
16/10-416/11-1 S16/11-1 ST3
16/11-2
16/2-1
16/2-2
16/3-1 X16/3-2
16/3-3
16/4-1
16/4-2
16/4-3
16/5-1
16/6-1
16/7-1
16/7-2
16/7-3
16/7-4
16/7-5
16/7-6
16/7-7 S16/7-7 ST2
16/8-1
16/8-2
16/9-1
17/10-1
17/11-1
17/11-2
17/12-117/12-1 R
17/12-2
17/12-3
17/3-1
17/4-1
17/9-1
17/9-1 R
18/10-1 18/11-1
24/12-124/12-1 R
24/12-224/12-2 T2
24/12-3 S
24/12-4
24/6-1
24/6-2
24/9-1
24/9-3
24/9-4
24/9-524/9-6
25/1-1
25/1-10
25/1-4
25/1-6
25/1-7
25/1-9
25/10-1
25/10-225/10-2 R25/10-2 RT225/10-2 RT3
25/10-3
25/10-4
25/10-5
25/10-6 S
25/10-7 S
25/10-825/10-8 A
25/11-1
25/11-10
25/11-11
25/11-12
25/11-1325/11-14 S25/11-14 ST2
25/11-15
25/11-16
25/11-17
25/11-18
25/11-19 S25/11-19 SR
25/11-2
25/11-20
25/11-21 AT225/11-21 S 25/11-22
25/11-23
25/11-3
25/11-4
25/11-5
25/11-6
25/11-7
25/11-8
25/11-9
25/12-1
25/2-1
25/2-10 S
25/2-11 T2
25/2-1225/2-12 A25/2-12 AT2
25/2-1325/2-13 T4
25/2-14
25/2-15 R2
25/2-16 S
25/2-2
25/2-3
25/2-4
25/2-625/2-6 T2
25/2-7
25/2-8
25/2-9
25/3-1
25/4-1
25/4-2
25/4-3
25/4-4
25/4-525/4-5 T2
25/4-6 S25/4-6 ST2
25/5-125/5-1 A
25/5-225/5-2 T225/5-2 T3
25/5-5
25/5-A-1
25/6-1
25/6-2
25/6-3
25/7-1 S
25/7-2
25/7-3
25/7-4 S
25/7-5
25/7-6
25/8-1
25/8-10 ST2
25/8-11
25/8-12 A
25/8-13
25/8-16S
25/8-2
25/8-3
25/8-4
25/8-5 S
25/8-6 T225/8-7
25/8-8 A25/8-8 B25/8-8 S
25/8-925/8-9 A
25/9-1
25/9-2 S
26/4-1
Well 1
Well 1Well 2
460000 462000 464000 466000 468000 470000 472000 474000
6574000
6576000
6578000
6580000
6582000
6584000
6586000
6588000
6590000
6592000
6594000
6596000
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000m
Ringhorne
PL027D
PL027D
Dn 35%
Dn 35%
Eitri
Iving
PL 103
Dn 70%
JOTUN
PL027B
Dn 7%
Jetta
Dn 57%
Dn 58.5%
Brandhaug
Paleocene.
Upper Jurassic
Statfjord Fm.
Jotun – Det norske has 50% of Upside
26
PL169
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Jotun Area Prospects (MBOE)
Eitri (PL 027D) (Det norske 35 percent)
– Estimated resources 40 MBO
– To be drilled following ongoing well on Freke
– Proximity to Jotun would yield early production
Jetta (PL 027D/169/504) (Det norske 49 percent)
– Prospect located close to Jotun wellhead platform
– Estimated resources 30 - 70 MBO
– Low-cost production
– ExxonMobil supported by Det norske plans to drill
later this year
PL 504
Unrisked
Risked
Exploration Next 6 Months
27
Prospects Interest
UnriskedMBOE (P90) 100% BASIS
UnriskedMBOE (P10) 100% BASIS Operator
PL 029B Freke 20 % 35 230 ExxonM/Det norske
PL 265 Graben 20% 50 125 StatoilHydro
PL 038 Grevling 30% 10 80 Talisman Energy
PL 27D Eitri and Phi 35 % 25 120 ExxonM/Det norske
PL 362 Fulla 15 % Discovery Appraisal StatoilHydro
PL 102 David 10 % 15 125 Total
Total (excluding Fulla) 160 625
The following rigs will operate for Det norske in 2009:
• “Bredford Dolphin”
• “Deepsea Delta”
• “Aker Barents”
• “Mærsk Guardian”
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2009 2010
Prognosed discoveries
Historical discoveries
Resource Development in Det norske
28
Ne
t riske
d r
eso
urc
es to
De
t n
ors
ke
(M
BO
E)
Summary & Outlook
The company is now embarking on the largest independent exploration campaign ever– Four different rigs engaged
– 15 prospects prepared for drilling this year only, and well planning in good progress
– Positive feedback from safety audits from PSA
– Discovery in first well in 2009 - Fulla
– Two wells ongoing, Freke and Ragnarrock Graben
– 13 to follow this year, including two close to the Jotun field
Financial Robustness– Long-term engagements for significant production in five years
– 2 billon NOK in cash and tax receivable
– No debt to be refinanced
– Production at low cost (33 USD/bbl during 2008) makes Det norske less vulnerable to the present low oil prices
Frøy PDO has been submitted and a 10 year license extension has been granted– Project execution delayed due to low oil price and project financing challenges for contractor
Focus on core areas where significant production is within reach in near future
The 20th Round expected to give Det norske a new foothold in the Barents Sea– A competitive Barents Team established in the Harstad office
29
Agenda
30
Recent Events
Development Projects
Financials
Exploration Update
Outlook and Summary
Appendix
2009 Prospect Overview
31
2009 Interest %Net Risked mean resources
DETNOR (Mill. barrels) Operator
PL 29B Freke 20% 10.9 ExxonM/Det norske
PL 265 Ragnarrock Graben 20% 3.4 StatoilHyrdo
PL 038 Grevling 30 % 2.9 Talisman
PL 442 Frigg gamma 20% Appraisal StatoilHydro
PL 027D Eitri 35 % 5.0 ExxonM/Det norske
PL 362 Fulla 15% Appraisal StatoilHydro
PL 321 Geitfjellet 25 % 6.7 Det norske
PL 102 David 10% 1.4 Total
PL 460 Storklakken 52.5% 9.5 Det norske
PL 383 Struten 55 % 16.8 Det norske
PL 380 Fongen 70 % 11.8 Det norske
PL 356 Ryvingen 100% 15.9 Det norske
PL 027D Jetta 35 % 7.4 ExxonM/Det norske
PL 332 Optimus 40 % 3.4 Talisman
PL 476 Frusalen 40 % 6.1 Det norske
Total (Excluding appraisal wells) 101.9
2010 Prospect Overview
32
2010 Interest %Risked resources
DETNOR (Mill. barrels) Operator
PL 001B Draupne (Appraisal) 35% Appraisal Det norske
PL 483S Trolla 40 % 14.1 Det norske
PL 341 Stirby 30 % 37 Det norske
PL 321 Hoåsen 25 % 7.2 Det norske
PL 337 Storskrymten Heimdal 45 % 7.4 Det norske
PL 482 Røy 65 % 6.2 Det norske
PL 432 Nebba 100 % 39.6 Det norske
Total 111.5
20th Round awards may be on drilling schedule in 2010