developments and trends in the online print industry of 2017
TRANSCRIPT
analysieren | beraten | umsetzen Bernd Zipper | CEO zipcon consultinganalyze | advise | action
Developments and trends in the online print industry of 2017VIGC Online Print event 21/06/2017 - Diegem, België
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What we’re talking about …… in the next 40 Minutes?
› What’s the Status Quo of Online Printing today?
› How Amazon is staring to discover online print.
› What are the major constructions areas for online print today?
› How mass customization will change the online print world….
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Online Customization
+ Textiles
Traditional Print Provider
There is no such thing as “the” typical online print provider …
5
Let’s talk about “sales generated online” …
Classic “Print Store”
B2B Platform/Procurement
PlatformOnline Print
Broker Online Print
Reseller
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Global print volume by revenuetotal print volume in 2014: 288 bn. EUR (production print/commercial print)
6
source: PIRA /RISI/Heidelberg/zipcon consulting
67
20
74 15
636
7024 %
Asia/Pacific
26 % West-Europe
2 % Middle East/Africa
5 % Eastern Europe
23 % North America
7 % South America
13 % China/HK
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Online print share in the global print volumeonline generated print volume in 2014
7
source: zipcon consulting
8 %Asia/Pacific
15 % West-Europe
0,7 % Middle East/Africa
7 % Eastern Europe
12 % North America
5 % South America
10 %China/HK
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Global print volumes in the online printonline generated print volume in 2014Tsd. billion pages A4 (44 trillion printed pages worldwide, 88% in offset printing)
8
source: zipcon consulting
8 %Asia/Pacific
15 % West-Europe
0,7 % Middle East/Africa
7 % Eastern Europe
12 % North America
5 % South America
10 %China/HK
1.214
154
1.716 154
6572
845
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Global print volumes in the online printonline print size 2015 in bn. EUR
9
source: zipcon consulting
8 %Asia/Pacific
17 % West-Europe
1,2 % Middle East/Africa
8 % Eastern Europe
13,5 % North America
6 % South America
11,5 %China/HK
9,05
1,2
12,6 1,2
0,074,14
5,6
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Global print volumes in the online printonline generated print volume in 2015Tsd. billion pages A4 (44 trillion printed pages worldwide, 87% in offset printing)
10
source: zipcon consulting
8 %Asia/Pacific
17 % West-Europe
1,2 % Middle East/Africa
8 % Eastern Europe
13,5 % North America
6 % South America
11,5 %China/HK
1.366
185
1.945 176
10658
845
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Trend: Online print share in the global print volumeEstimated online generated print volume by 2020 – Update 2016
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source: zipcon consulting
32 %Asia/Pacific
42 % West-Europe
6 % Middle East/Africa
25 % Eastern Europe
28 % North America
18 % South America
35 %China/HK
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2017: Open Stores – Online Print’s Track Record of Success Continues
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15.4 % growth to approx. 3.0 bn € * in D/A/CH
› Further growth in 2017› Growth rate higher than expected …
› … but first-generation online stores are stagnating - or losing sales/customers
› Entry of new players into the D/A/CH market
› Trend: customized B2C products promoted via Facebook are gaining popularity
* = Sales in bn € of all B2C products, incl. photobooks, textiles, promotional media and print – not including Closed Store (B2B) sales
0.8
1.1
1.4
1.7
2.12.3
2.52.6
3
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Calculated figures Forecast
Source: Market Research / Market Estimates by zipcon consulting gmbh © 2017
+ 15.4 %
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Trend in Online-Driven Sales in 2017- Forecast
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B2B/B2C
Switzerland
Germany
Austria
Market forecast D/A/CH 2017 - 7.5 bn €
3.12.34
0.850.41
0.55
0.25
4.53.0
B2C B2B
B2C
B2C
B2C
B2B
B2B
B2B
7.5 bn €
Source: Market Research / Market Estimates zipcon consulting gmbh © 2017
Source: Market Research / Market Estimates by zipcon consulting gmbh © 2017
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Forecast: Online-Driven Sales in D/A/CH
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Open/Closed Stores – Growth in Both Segments
Source: Market Research / Market Estimates by zipcon consulting gmbh © 2017
1,40 1,70 2,10 2,30 2,50 2,60 3.001.50
2.00
2.60
3.203.60
4.10
4.50
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017Open Store sales
Closed Storesales
Open Store forecast
Closed Store forecast
+ 9.76 %
+ 15.38 %
Forecast 20177.50 bn €
› Forecast: growth to 7.5 bn € in D/A/CH –online print in CH gaining greater acceptance
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0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Cewe/Saxo/Foto 480 503 527 524 554 593Flyeralarm 237 257 280 307 316 330WmD/Cimpress 9 23 48 95 252 274United Print 49 52 55 60 65 70Onlineprinters 45 60 75 89 96 105
Mill
ion
Euro
s/Sa
les
Sales Generated by Top 5 Online Print Store Providers 2011 – 2016
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Source: Market Research / Market Estimates by zipcon consulting gmbh © 2017
Total sales by Top 5
1.37 bn
+ 7.04 %+ 4.43 %+ 8.73 %+ 7.69 %+ 9.38 %
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Future Potential? No. of Print Companies Continues to Decline …
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Large print factories are benefiting – Smaller providers cannot compete
Quelle: Apenberg & Partner
FTE ranges
Number of German print businesses
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Business as of 2015
5.958
1.088
871
348
248
10
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Future Potential? Print in Germany Continues to Contract …
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Print market set to contract by 2025, yet at approx. -1% p.a. slower than forecast
Source: bvdm, Apenberg & Partner, zipcon consulting
0.1 0.1 0.1 .0,11.1 1.2 1.3 1.31.2 1 0.9 0.9
1.3 1.3 0.9 0.9
1.3 1.2 1.1 1.1
1.6 1.1 1.2 1.2
1.71.7 1.6 1.5
5.65.4
5.1 4.5
2010 2015 2020 2025
Marketing Material
Print, other
Magazines
Business Print
Newspaper
Books
Label
CalendarsForecast does not include
Packaging
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No Time to Rest Up: Challenges …
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Five issues that the online print industry will have to address in the next few months …
› Amazon› … is testing the online print market. Market entry on the quiet?
› Pure-Play on the way out, Multi-Play on the way in› … the “local” online print provider is becoming increasingly popular
› Mass Customization › … only a few consistent strategies in D/A/CH
› Emotional Commerce – Customer Centricity› … online print stores must get away from being “boring”
› Internationalization› … Europe is essential – Print “made in Germany” has great sales
opportunities in neighboring European countries
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Next big thing: Amazon Marketing Services
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AMS – an effective new marketing tool at the “Point of Search”
› Will AMS overtake Google? Amazon already dominates the “search entry point”› AMS records buying interests, names and addresses› Simple addressing of customers – direct to “product search”› Strategy: … reaching out to customers where Amazon flags “print”?
Where do online product searches start – 2015 and 2016 compared: Amazon dominates the search entry point at 55% – Source: BloomReach Survey, 2016
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Work in Progress: Mobility (…once again)
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Zipper Presentation Slide, OPS2016/2015
The same goes for mobile …
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Work in Progress: Quality
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Online print generally delivers great quality, but errors keep on occurring
› Errors that have repeatedly caught the zipcon team’s eye for 12 months now (!):› Business cards – uneven bleeds › Inks not dried thoroughly, pages stuck together › Uneven bleeds – white “streaks” on black products
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Work in Progress: Quality + Packaging
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Reality check after more than 200 mystery shopping orders …
› Packaging› Parcels frequently damaged on arrival at the customer – content therefore unfit for use› Inadequate packaging
› Business cards fall out of parcels when you open them
› Print products are often inadequately secured in place
› Posters are packaged in a rolled up state, are damaged when being rolled up
› Shipping› One provider shipped the wrong products several times› 2 out of 4 test orders were mixed up
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Work in Progress: Complaints Management
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Reality check after more than 200 mystery shopping orders …
› Support management often inadequate› Usually a lack of clear guidelines for handling complaints
› No clear definition of when, how and with what gesture of goodwill complaints should be dealt with
› Complaints handling cycles are too long
› Extreme example: an overnight reprint was only actioned two weeks later, although the error was known and accepted on Day 1
› Embarrassing: customer had paid for an overnight service …
› Problem: Coopetition› Often there are evidently no consistent quality standards› Quality control? Often a total lack of!
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Work in Progress: “Genuine” eCommerce
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… there’s still a long way to go to setting up “user-friendly” stores.
› Website› Frequently not set up to be 100% responsive -> therefore not “mobile-friendly” either› Design/UX – often not compatible – “user experience” is evidently an alien concept to many› Too many compromises: yes, yes – print is special – but eCommerce has its own rules …
› Product Configuration› Often confusing and not target audience-specific› Configuration-related correlations are not clear to the user
› e.g.: relationship between format, substrate and printing method
› Lack of pricing transparency› The sum total resulting from configuration changes is only displayed at the end of the configuration process.
The composition of the sum total and the consequences of any changes are often not clear.
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Work in Progress: Mass Customization
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… lots of providers are experimenting with it.
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Work in Progress: Mass Customization
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… and one is just getting on with it.
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Work in Progress: Mass Customization
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Personalized print as a standard for the future?
› Many providers underestimate MC concepts and focus on automation and eCommerce …
Period of Mass Production
Period ofMass Customization
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Digital Ditch at D/A/CH
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Smaller Online Printers need to learn “how to be digital” ….
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Work in Progress: Customer Centricity
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Customer Centricity DNA for online print – turning customers into fans …
PRMailing
Print/TV
Social
E-Mail Website
Chat Blog
Sale Call
Coupon
Social SEO
SEO
SEA
APP
Webstore
Portfolio eCommerce
SMS
Community
Social
UX
FAQ
E-MailMailing
Webstore NP
E-Mail Reviews Community
Social Events
UX Chat UX UX
Product Configurator
ProductConfigurator
ProductConfigurator
Portfolio
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Work in Progress: Customer Centricity
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Many online print providers ignore key issues.Result: customers “restrict” their choice to “cheap” …
PRMailing
Print/TV
Social
E-Mail Website
Chat Blog
Sale Call
Coupon
Social SEO
SEO
SEA
APP
Webstore
Portfolio eCommerce
SMS
Community
Social
UX
FAQ
E-MailMailing
Webstore NP
E-Mail Reviews Community
Social Events
UX Chat UX UX
ProductConfigurator
ProductConfigurator
ProductConfigurator
Portfolio
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Work in Progress: Marketing
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Providers that have not evolved into brands at the right time have to invest …
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Conclusion: online print involves more than just having an online store
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Those that want to bridge the “digital divide” have to work hard to achieve it.
› Never before …› … in the history of the print industry have there been so many sales channels for print› … have there been so many opportunities to generate sales using print products› … has it been so “easy” to showcase a product portfolio› … has it been so important to champion your own business NOW - rather than simply acting as a
“fulfilment agent” for other providers
› Therefore smaller online print providers in particular have to understand that customer centricity and the right marketing mix are just as vital as first-rate production facilities!
› Tip: act now – and don’t wait to “ride on someone else’s coattails” …!
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The “Digital Ditch” becomes a Businessfield enabler
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Smaller Online-Printers will needa solution that helps them to
solve their automation problemsand to stay in the „online print race“
Because…
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What will happen to the big players and the market?
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Big Online Printers have tobecome „Print Factories“
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Conclusion.
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Print will be online in future.Print industry has to transform.
Print suppliers have a historic chancenow to implement new online
business models into the market.
Just do it.
QUESTIONS? [email protected]
Thank you for being so attentive.
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To Finish … Top Miniaturization Trend from the UK
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Moo saves on materials and presents the business card in SIM format
Moo announcement dated 1.4.2017