disaster management
TRANSCRIPT
Disaster Management
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Thought of the Day
“KUN FAYAKUN” �ْن� ُك �وُن� �ُك َف�َي
is an Arabic phrase in QuranIt means The Lord says “Be, and it is”
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TermsCapacity• A combination of all the strengths and resources available within a
community, society or organization that can reduce the level of risk, or the effects of a disaster.
Disaster• A serious disruption of the functioning of a community or society causing
widespread human, material, economic or environmental losses which exceed the ability of the affected community or society to cope using its own resources. It results from the combination of hazards, conditions of vulnerability and insufficient capacity to reduce the potential negative consequences of risk.
Disaster risk management (DRM)• The comprehensive approach to reduce the adverse impacts of a disaster.
DRM encompasses all actions taken before, during, and after the disasters. It includes activities on mitigation, preparedness, emergency response, recovery, rehabilitation, and reconstruction.
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TermsDisaster risk reduction (DRR)/disaster reduction• The measures aimed to minimize vulnerabilities and disaster risks throughout a
society, to avoid (prevention) or to limit (mitigation and preparedness) the adverse impacts of hazards, within the broad context of sustainable development.
Early warning• The provision of timely and effective information, through identified
institutions, to communities and individuals so that they can take action to reduce their risks and prepare for effective response.
Emergency• An event, usually sudden, that puts at risk the life or well being of at least one
person.Forecast• Estimate of the occurrence of a future event (UNESCO, WMO). This term is used
with different meanings in different disciplines.
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TermsMeteorological disaster• Disasters resulting from meteorological phenomena, such as floods, cyclones,
droughts, glacial lake outbursts, landslides due to heavy rain and avalanches.Risk assessment/analysis• A methodology to determine the nature and extent of risk by analyzing
potential hazards and evaluating existing vulnerability that could pose a potential threat to people, property, livelihoods and the environment.
Sustainable development• Development that meets the needs of the present without compromising the
ability of future generations to meet their own needs.Vulnerability• The conditions determined by physical, social, economic and environmental
factors or processes, which increase the susceptibility of a community or society to the impact of hazards.
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CATASTROPHE
“… any natural or manmade incident, including terrorism, that results in extraordinary levels of mass casualties, damage, or disruption severely affecting the population, infrastructure, environment, economy, national morale, and/or government functions.”
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Continuum of Magnitude
Emergency Disaster Catastrophe Extinction Level Event
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Resilience
Resilience is the ability of a system, community or society exposed to hazards to resist, absorb, accommodate and recover from the effects of a hazard in a timely and efficient manner, including through the preservation and restoration of its essential basic structures.
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Disaster is an Opportunity
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Rising Exposure to Cyclones and Hurricanes, 2000-2050
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Strategic Emergency Management Plan (SEMP)
The inner circle includes all of the elements that influence the development of the SEMP,such as:• updates of environmental scans;• ongoing/regular all-hazards risk assessments;• engaged leadership;• regular training;• regular exercises; and• a Capability Improvement Process (CAIP)—the whole-of-government approach to the collection and analysis of government response for exercises and real events
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The Planning Context
• EM-Related Plans• SEMP• Operational plans• Regional EM plans• Regional operational
plans• Security plans• Business continuity plans• Inter-agency plans
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The Planning Context
• Assessments• Environmental scans• Criticality assessments
including data on critical infrastructure
• Business impact analyses• Threat assessments• Vulnerability assessments• Risk assessments• All-hazards risk
assessments
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Disaster Risk Management Framework
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Core Response Management Systems
• Core response management systems are similar for most disaster types.
• It reduces confusion if all responses have the same basic organization.
• It’s less expensive.
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Challenges to Decision Making vs Basic Goals
Challenges to Decision Making • Where Uncomfortable Officials • Meet in Unfamiliar Surroundings• To Play Unaccustomed Roles• Making Unpopular Decisions• Based on Inadequate Information• And in Much Too Little Time
Basic GoalsStanding Orders for All Disasters:• Establish/re-establish
communication with affected area.
• Secure and complete search and rescue.
• Meet basic human needs for medical treatment, water, food, shelter, and emergency fuels
• Restore critical infrastructure.• Open schools and local
businesses.• Begin the recovery.
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Pakistan Earthquake - Oct 2005A Snapshot Of Scale And Magnitude• Magnitude : 7.6 on the Richter Scale - 30,000 sq Km• Affected Area : 30,000 sq Km (Nine Districts – Inhospitable Terrain)• Human Loss : 73,338 Dead and &128,304 Severely Injured• Physical Loss:
– 3 .5 Million Rendered Homeless, over 600,000 Houses Destroyed– 5,344 Education Facilities Destroyed– 307 Health Facilities Destroyed– 715 Government Sector Buildings Damaged– 2,393 Km Roads Damaged
• The Challenge :– Reconstruction and Rehabilitation of Destroyed Infrastructure (Over 12,000 Projects)– Renewal of Livelihood, Protection of Environment, Re-establishment of Telecom and Power
Networks and Rehabilitation of Vulnerable Population– Clearance of Massive Slides and Tons of Rubble
• Colossal Economic Loss Leaving Behind a Reconstruction Bill of over US$ 5 billion
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Pakistan Earthquake - Oct 2005
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• The earthquake in Haiti• 12th Jan 2010• left 1.5 million
homeless • killed 149,095 people of
which 6300 died in a potentially preventable cholera outbreak which infected a further 450,000 residents
Haiti Earthquake 2010
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Floods in Pakistan 2010
• Floods in Pakistan• July to August 2010• affected 20 million
people and destroyed health facilities
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Famine in Africa 2011• The famine in Africa in 2011 • affected 10 million people across
several countries• Large population displacement created
additional public health challenges to areas that have poorly developed health systems
• lack disaster preparedness• Immediate priorities included –
provision of water, sanitation, shelter• trained staff to address widespread
acute malnutrition• surveillance for outbreaks• vaccine programs for preventable
diseases• funding• inter-agency coordination
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Earthquake & Tsunami Japan 2011• The earthquake and tsunami in Japan• 11th March 2011• caused destruction of healthcare
facilities• Initial shortages of food• Water• Fuel• aid materials • rescue teams to the affected rural
population• 400,000 people were evacuated to
shelters with no heating in freezing temperatures
• Japan had invested in disaster management
• had created a more resilient health system which continued to function in spite of the challenges
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World’s Costliest Disasters
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Economic and Insured Losses
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Overall and Insured Losses from Catastrophes
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Economic Losses due to Natural Catastrophes
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Major Disasters since 2010
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Disasters Affect Everyone
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Public Health Emergency Preparedness
The capability of the public health and health-care systems, communities, and individuals to prevent, protect against, quickly respond to, and recover from health emergencies, particularly those whose scale, timing, or unpredictability threatens to overwhelm routine capabilities
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Health System Priorities in All-Hazards Disaster Management WHO
1. Leadership and governance
• International, national and cross-boundary systems of governance, coordination and response for all hazards disasters
2. Health workforce• Public health training in disaster
management and evaluation
3. Medical products, vaccines and technology• Stockpiling disaster-related
medications and equipment, and their distribution
4. Health information• Communications – inter-agency,
two-way with the public and the role of the media as part of disaster management strategy
5. Health financing• Health finance system and disaster
management funding issues
6. Service delivery• Community preparedness
strategies to increase community resilience
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The Complexity Paradigm
• disaster management problems in the future will be more complex
• population growth• climate change• regulatory requirements• short-term thinking
must be rejected• planning over longer
time horizons
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The Uncertainty Paradigm
• uncertainty in time and space
• uncertainty caused by inherent variability of physical components
• uncertainty caused by a fundamental lack of knowledge
• decrease in disaster data availability
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Sources of Uncertainty
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Integrated Disaster Management
Integrated disaster management is an iterative process of decision making regarding prevention of, response to, and recovery from, a disaster.
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INTEGRATED DISASTER MANAGEMENT ACTIVITIES
Mitigation • long-term planning• identifying vulnerability of
every part of the territory to particular types of hazards
• identification of steps that should be taken to minimize the risks
• proactive measures taken before an emergency or disaster occurs
Steps can include:• modifying building codes
to ensure buildings can withstand earthquake and high winds
• forbidding building on land that is prone to flooding
• Identification of evacuation procedures
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INTEGRATED DISASTER MANAGEMENT ACTIVITIES
Land Use Planning and Management• Promoting appropriate land
use for local conditions • keeps people and property
out of hazardous areas• provides more affordable
housing and living conditions,
• protects the environment • reduces the costs of growth
and development
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INTEGRATED DISASTER MANAGEMENT ACTIVITIES
Engineering• state-of-the-art
engineering approaches • reducing mortality rates
from hazards and disasters
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INTEGRATED DISASTER MANAGEMENT ACTIVITIES
Building Codes and Standards• quality of buildings and
infrastructure is directly related to loss of life
• Injuries• financial costs of
disasters• disaster-resilient
construction
Building codes provide the minimum acceptable requirements necessary(a) to preserve the public
safety, health, and welfare
(b) to protect the property and the built environment
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INTEGRATED DISASTER MANAGEMENT ACTIVITIES
Prediction, Forecast, and Warning• effective warning
system comprises four elements
• Failure in any one part can mean failure of the whole system
1. Risk knowledge phase• systematic data collection
and risk assessments2. Monitoring phase• development of hazard
monitoring and early warning services
3. Dissemination and communication phase 4. Response capability development phase
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INTEGRATED DISASTER MANAGEMENT ACTIVITIES
Insurance• now available for some
but not all natural disasters
• now available for some but not all natural disasters
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Preparedness
• formulating, testing, and exercising disaster plans
• providing training for disaster responders and the general public
• communicating with the public and others about disaster vulnerability
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Response
• emergency sheltering• search and rescue• care of injured• damage assessment • emergency measures• coordination• communications• ongoing situation
assessment• resource mobilization
during emergency period14,500 meals ready to eat15,000 liters of water by air
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Recovery
• Reconstruction• Restoration• Rehabilitation• Post disaster
development
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Disaster Management Acts
• Emergency Management Act
• National Disaster Mitigation Strategy
• Joint Emergency Preparedness Program
• Emergency Response
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Systems Thinking and IntegratedDisaster Management
• What is a System?• S : X → Y• X is an input vector and
Y is an output vector• a system is a set of
operations that transforms input vector X into output vector Y
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Systems Approach to Disaster Management
• SIMULATION1. Development of a model of the system,2. Operation of the model 3. Observation and interpretation of the resulting outputs
• SYSTEM DYNAMICS SIMULATION• understanding the system and its
boundaries• identifying the key variables• describing the processes that affect
variables through mathematical relationships,
• mapping the structure of the model, and• simulating the model for understanding its
behavior
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Systems Approach to Disaster Management
• OPTIMIZATION• MULTIOBJECTIVE ANALYSIS• DISASTER RISK MANAGEMENT• Risk analysis, Disaster prevention and
Preparedness for disaster
• COMPUTER SUPPORT: DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMS (DSS)
• Problem identification, Problem formulation, “What If” capability (adaptability), Use of analytical models (facilitation), Use of graphics ( fast response)
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Evacuation
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The Environmental Health Shelter Assessment Tool
The Environmental Health Shelter Assessment Tool is intended to• Serve as a standardized instrument
for rapidly assessing environmental health conditions in shelter facilities
• Assist in identifying and prioritizing health and safety issues in shelters
• Provide shelter management officials with data and an assessment of environmental health conditions and recommendations for improvement
• Capture data and create documentation for use in future planning and improvement of shelters
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Supply Chain Management
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Disaster Risks
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Vulnerability Conceptual Framework
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Process Stages in Vulnerability Assessment
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Shifting Approaches In Disaster Management Bangladesh
• Institutional Restructuring to Reflect a Shift in Disaster Management
• Increasing roles and responsibilities of NGOs
• Developments in the Institutional Framework: Introduction to the Comprehensive Disaster Management Plan (CDMP)
• Shift from relief and response to disaster risk management
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ISSUES IN FUTURE DISASTER MANAGEMENT
• Climate Change• Temperature Extremes• Precipitation Extremes • Drought• Tropical Cyclones• Severe Weather Events• Sea-Level Rise• Glacial Lake Outburst Floods (GLOF)
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Integrated Environmental Observation Network
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Tsunami Early Warning Systems
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NOAA GOES-13 satellite showing Hurricane Irene on August 25, 2011 at 10:10 a.m.
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Simulation Models Category 2 Storm
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Green vs. Gray Infrastructure Costs
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FEMA Trailer Types
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Building America Structural Insulated Panel (BASIP) Homes
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Katrina & Kernel Cottages
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Three dimensional map rendition of flooding event-Purdue University
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Satellite ImageVolcanic Eruption
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Thank You