diversification and cross-border interconnections at the core of … · south – north gas...
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snam.it
Diversification and cross-border interconnections at the core of the EU Internal Energy Market European Energy Forum Strasbourg 12th April, 2016
National Production
Import
Power generation
Industrial
Residential & Commercial
Trasporto e dispacciamento
Rigassificazione
Distribuzione
SUPPLY INFRASTRUCTURE SALES TO END USERS
Transportation network
Storage
LNG Regasification
Distribution Network
Snam: An integrated operator with a leadership position in the regulated gas infrastructure in Italy
Snam is a key gas infrastructure player .. 2
Transportation • Regul. Revenues: €m 1,912 • EBIT: €m 1,165 • RAB(1): €bn 15.1 • Network: 32,534 km • Market positioning: 94% of
the Italian market
Distribution • Regul. Revenues: €m 1,063 • EBIT: €m 469 • RAB(1) : €bn 5.7 • Network: 56,717 km • Market positioning: 33% of
the Italian market
Storage • Regul. Revenues: €m 454 • EBIT: €m 319 • RAB(1) : €bn 4 • Capacity: 9 storage sites (16 bcm) • Market positioning: 95% of the
Italian market
Regasification
• Regul. Revenues: €m 18 • EBIT: €m 1 • RAB(1) : €bn 0.1 • Capacity: 1 LNG plant (3.5
bcm)
2015
Source: Snam, Annual Report
3
Snam: shareholding structure and geographical break down
..with a well diversified shareholding and international investors’ structure
Benchmark on EU gas demand and uses (2014, TWh)
Source: Snam elaborations on Eurogas Statistical Report 2015
Italian gas system highlights
• 3rd market by gas demand in Europe and Snam is the national Transmission and Storage leading player
• Significant share of demand driven by electricity generation Italy ranks 1st in EU by installed gas power generating capacity (ca. 22%)
• Balanced primary energy mix with a growing role of renewables (16%, 2014), natural gas (35%, 2014) as the primary source in the energy mix supply in the medium term
• Highly diversified gas supply thanks to 5 interconnections / import pipelines and 3 regasification terminals, with an historical role of Algerian and Russian gas import
• TAP is due to ship volumes from Azerbaijan to Italy by 2020 The route is the first realization of the EU Southern Corridor strategy
Italian gas market key drivers and EU benchmark
Based on a solid footprint in the Italian gas market .. 4
* including heat plants
Italian regulation
EU gas market framework
Italian gas market framework
EU regulation
Investment plan in italy
International strategy
5
Supporting sustainable growth
Exploiting high-quality investment opportunities in Italy
Focusing on main European gas corridors to integrate gas markets leveraging its diversified and valuable asset portfolio
Selective investments
Efficient cost management in the context of a growing asset base
Operational efficiency
Preserving a solid and efficient capital structure
Financial discipline
Driving value creation for all stakeholders Attractive returns
.. with a strategy consistent with EU and Italian political and legislative framework
Key Pillars of Snam’s Growth Strategy
Source: Snam elaboration on public data
(IT)
(FR)
(NL)
(DE)
(ES)
(UK)
(DE)
(FR
(DE)
(BE)
(DE)
(AT)
(PT)
(AT)
(UK)
(DE)
(DE)
Gas Connect Austria OMV Gas Storage
Storage
Transport (Pipelines length, km)
Storage (Capacity, bcm)
LNG (Capacity, bcm)
32,300
32,300
11,800
12,000
10,100
7,900
7,300
5,000
4,200
4,100
2,200
2,000
1,375
1,137
200
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--
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
15.9
10
0.4
--
3.4
0.2
--
2.7
--
0.7
4.4
2.4
0.2
--
--
6.5
2.7
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
3.5
15.5
12
--
40.7
19.5
--
--
--
9
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--
7,9
--
--
--
--
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
1…
1…
1…
1…
1…
1…
1…
1…
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Stake: 40,5%
Stake: 84,47%
Stake: 15,75%
Taking advantage of the 3rd EU Energy Package ..
Snam position within the gas infrastructure sector at EU level
TIGF Interconnector(UK)
• Bi-directional flow capacity provides flexibility and diversification of supply sources to UK and Continental Europe, via a 235 km subsea pipelines, and terminals and compression systems in Bacton and Zeebrugge
• Essential link between major gas hubs of North-West Europe
• Represents a leg of the East-West EU corridor, through 5,000 km of transmission network,14% of France gas transmission grid
• Contributes to French gas area unification through strong transportation investments
• Provides a competitive storage offer - through 5.7 Bcm of storage volumes (20% of French capacity) - with a wide range of products
PEG South
PEG North
PEG TIGF
United Kingdom
Netherlands
Belgium
France
Bacton
Zeebrugge
TAG • Pipeline bringing Russian gas from
Austrian/Slovak border (Baumgarten) to Italy (Arnoldstein-Tarvisio) with 3 lines worth ca. 380 km/each, 5 compressor and 2 metering stations
• Already developed reverse flow capacity to manage substantial flows towards East European countries
• Incremental role for South Eastern Europe
Austrian/Italian Border
Slovakian/Austrian Border
2012
7
.. Snam has progressively developed its presence in Europe ..
Overview of Snam participated companies
2013 2014 2015
TAP
• Pipeline project for connecting Shah Deniz 2 gas production to European markets, through the Italian gas network (approx 870 km, 10 bcm/y)
• Fundamental project for the opening of the Southern Corridor contributing to diversification of sources and security of gas supplies
Greece
Albania Italian system
South – North gas interconnections (South Western Europe)
1
South – North gas interconnection (Central Eastern and South Eastern Europe)
2
Southern Gas Corridor (Caspian region)
3
Interconnection plan of Baltic energy market 4
1
4
2 3
Snam initiatives along S-N corridor
• 2011 – Development of reverse-flow capacity between Italy and Austria at Tarvisio interconnection point
• 2015 – First bi-directional flow transmission capacities in Gries Pass by October 2015, through a Strategic Alliance with Fluxys to create gas interconnections increasing liquidity in EU markets
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.. positioning as a key player to support European gas market dynamics
Snam infrastructure positioning at the Heart of the EU Energy Corridors
EU PRIORITY CORRIDORS
Source: Eurogas, statistical report 2014 9
Snam commitment in promoting storage key role for EU market
Storage for market flexibility and security of supply
Germany 25%
Italy 17%
France 12%Austria 8%
Hungary 7%
Netherlands 6%
UK 5%
Czech Rep. 4%
Other 17%
EU28 gas storage capacity: ca. 97 Bcm (2014)
Snam operates in Italy and France approx. 20% of total European gas storage capacity, promoting a full integration of storage and transmission services
Snam Group presence with
storage activities
Snam supports also the role of EU storage for flexibility and security of supply ..
261 270
21 2149173
0
100
200
300
400
500
7 Feb. 2011 7 Feb. 2012Import National production Storage
Source: Snam Rete Gas database 10
Storage for market flexibility Storage for security of supply
Gas storage role in Italy: a possible benchmark for EU?
.. based on its direct and diversified experience in Italy
Interconnection Point
(gas source)
Reason Interrupted capacity
Duration
Tarvisio (RUS)
Ukraine crisis 100% 14 days
(Jan 2009) Gries Pass (NOR-NL)
Mudflow in Switzerland 100% 154 days
(Jul-Dec 2010) Gela
(Lybia) Internal conflict 100% 232 days
(Feb-Oct 2011)
Summary of gas emergencies in Italy
Strategic storage not being used due to large availabilities of alternative gas but a strong and effective measure to protect final
customers in case of need
Benchmark on 2012 peak gas demand (Mcm/d) 464
+134 Mcm/d for exceptional
gas demand
37% of gas demand covered
via storage withdrawal
Storage role to cover exceptional peaks in gas demand in winter time, along with a reduction in electric power import and production from
renewables
Natural gas: fuelling climate targets in an efficient and immediate way
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Natural gas long-term demand & production* (Bcm)
* New Policies Scenario hypothesizes the full implementation of the Energy Policies set out at EU level (the "Current Policies Scenario ‘ foresees a gas demand worth 656 bcm at 2040) ** IHS Rivalry assumes EU on track to reach its 2020 targets. 2030 targets at EU level not reached but different trends among Countries (priority is given to national policies)
Gas demand review in last 5 years
“Unexpected” growth of renewables
Enhanced efficiency in final uses to reach
higher energy saving targets
Economic crisis impact on the industrial
footprint
Reduction of about 160 Bcm (from 2010-2012 to 2015 IEA forecast) impacting
traditional uses
How to turn needs into opportunities? • Reduction of GHG emission in ETS sectors • Reduction of CO2 in transport (95 g/km CO2 at 2020*) • Increasing RES share in energy mix
• Promote “carbon tax” to support gas vs. coal in power generation • Encourage gas use in transport as cleanest fossil fuel • Support biomethane as renewable source
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0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2016 2020 20300
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2016 2020 2030
The growth of the EUA prices and the dynamic of gas prices in a low-oil prices scenario reduces the competitiveness of older and less efficient coal plants
CCGT power generation competitiveness depend on the amount of emission taxes/cost**
Carbon competitiveness Generation costs for Italian plants
Price competition for power generation
• Introduction of carbon tax (as in France or UK) would allow CCGTs to compete with all coal power plants
• Replacing half of the present coal generation with gas generation would reduce CO2 emissions by 8% with an increase in gas demand to 90 Bcm avoiding unnecessary investment costs for electricity infrastructure.
12 Source: Snam elaboration
(€/MWh)
57 21 11.5 EUA (€/t) 100 56 22 Carbon tax (€/t)*
New coal power plants Old coal power plants CCGT
*Total emissions costs including EUA ** Clean spark spread resulting higher than clean dark spread
Italy today with EUA Italy adopting French carbon tax
Gas for transport
Specific deadlines for the development of infrastructures for supplying alternative fuels
European strategy for the development of more efficient and sustainable solutions in fuelling
Increasing attention in controlling emissions in maritime transport. 2 different targets for specific areas: • SECA: sulphur contents in marine fuel < 0.1% by Jan 2015 • No-SECA: sulphur contents in marine fuel < 0.5% by Jan 2020
2020 2025 2030
CNG fuelling stations (road)
LNG bunkering facilities in all ports
LNG fuelling stations in roads and bunkering facilities in main ports
SECA SECA Area
No-SECA area
Directive 2014/94/EU (DAFI) Directive 2012/33/UE
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Italian Legislative Decree 112/2014 anticipates the sulphur limit emission at
2018, subject to the same anticipation by
neighbouring countries.
CNG today is the cheapest solutions for the reduction of CO2 emissions..
..becoming an immediate opportunity for gas in the transport sector
Snam can play a direct role to promote the natural gas for road transportation *Index consumption; in 2015 equal to 46% ** Estimated number stations required
14
Estimates for the Italian market show a good potential even with relative market share
*** Market share of CNG in transport sector
2008 2014
523k 885k
700 1040
+9.2% p.a.
+6.8% p.a.
Target 2030 ~5M CAGR
+13%
1 Bcm 8 Bcm 0.6 Bcm
2500** ~ +140%
1.3% 2.2% 9% ***
Gas for transport: Italian state of the art and potential
… and to NOx and Particulates, real source
of city pollution
Several automotive industries have already introduced Natural Gas
Vehicles
15
Mass balancing on a single European biomethane grid enabling trans-European trading
Harmonized European biomethane registers enabling traceability also between EU member states
Harmonization of European support regimes
Growing awareness of biomethane role in the decarbonisation strategy all over Europe…
…but additional efforts for a full and consistent EU development
ETS sectors (i.e. power generation) can collect the full “carbon value” of biomethane Feed-in-tariffs for injection into the gas grid in most EU countries
National targets in several countries (Germany, France, Netherlands)
National biomethane Registers of Guarantees of Origins in several European countries
Tax reliefs for specific uses
111
300
2011 2014Plants
+170% Biomethane plants and capacity in
Europe 2010 2013
Capacity (Bcm)
+330% 154
54
23 0.3
1.3
Biomethane is a renewable and programmable source contributing to RES targets and to additional domestic production
Biomethane is injected into the gas grid and can support gas infrastructure role
Biomethane
Snam, together with Confagricoltura and Consorzio Italiano
Biogas, developed a common position paper issued to
national and EU authorities to promote biomethane
development
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The electric industry view
The gas industry view
Objectives to achieve
Achievement of targets set by the EU “20-20-20” package and “Framework to 2030”
- Increase RES share in energy mix
- Reduce CO2 emissions
Targeting the emission reductions optimizing the actual infrastructure to improve the efficiency and enhanced the system security developing programmable RES
High investments in the electric network to reach the targets and higher costs to backup the not programmable RES evolution
How to achieve them?
The “gas” case: a “do-able” way to achieve the energy policy targets
Implementation of the policies for the reduction of CO2 emissions and development of renewable energy programmable (biomethane): Introduction of "carbon tax" to allow the switch from coal to gas
reducing the share of coal in the energy mix Necessity of active policies to support biomethane development
and linking gas grid to RES evolution; Action: support biomethane value linked to the EUA to facilitate the consumption in the thermoelectric sector
* Industrial Emissions Directive, EU
Utilization of coal plants up to 40 years with the sole application of emission limits required by the IED (oxide emissions and particulates that become stricter from 2023).
Strong development of non-programmable renewable (wind and solar) to achieve the target reducing the increase of biomethane.
Strong investments required on electricity networks (national and local)
The gas sector in the decarbonisation path Efficient and immediate
17
E-HIGHWAY 2050
Development of highway for power generation from RES in EU
EUROPEAN GAS GRID
50% reduction of coal with gas switch in EU reduces 250 Mt/y CO2 emissions
Gas Grid limited investment needed
400 B€ for new electric grids to reduce 200 Mt/y CO2
The gas sector in the decarbonisation path Efficient and immediate
Snam is the leading infrastructure player to
support Europe to implement the EU gas
market development, in cooperation with other
relevant continental players and stakeholders
Snam role in the EU gas market development
18
snam.it
Diversification and cross-border interconnections at the core of the EU Internal Energy Market European Energy Forum Strasbourg 12th April, 2016