don't believe trump's hype: regulations do work for business

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Don't Believe Trump's Hype: Regulations Do Work for Business! March 21, 2017

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Page 1: Don't Believe Trump's Hype: Regulations do Work for Business

Don't Believe Trump's Hype:

Regulations Do Work for Business!

March 21, 2017

Page 2: Don't Believe Trump's Hype: Regulations do Work for Business

BRYAN MCGANNON, DIRECTOR OF POLICY, ASBC

Bryan McGannon’s political campaign experience spans presidential campaigns, congressional races,

and local ballot initiatives. In addition, Bryan has nearly a decade of experience in Washington, D.C. in advocacy roles. Bryan holds a B.A. in Political Science from the University of California, San Diego.

asbcouncil.org/webinars

Page 3: Don't Believe Trump's Hype: Regulations do Work for Business

• Represent over 200,000 businesses in 40 states.• Over 80 business organizations are members.• Over 130 companies are members.• Advocate at federal level in Washington, DC.• Advocate in state capitals.• Place Op-eds and Policy Statements in media.• Have Biz leaders be spokes to media on issues.• Bring Biz leaders to DC to testify & lobby Congress & Administration.

ASBC’s Reach/Capabilities

asbcouncil.org/webinars

Page 4: Don't Believe Trump's Hype: Regulations do Work for Business

CELINDA LAKE, FOUNDER, LAKE PARTNERS

Celinda Lake is a leading American political strategist and one of  the nation's foremost experts on electing women candidates and on framing issues to women voters. Working Woman says she is "arguably the most influential woman in her field." She is renowned for her groundbreaking research on single women voters in conjunction with Women's Voices Women Vote and has helped elect numerous female candidates.

asbcouncil.org/webinars

Page 5: Don't Believe Trump's Hype: Regulations do Work for Business

Upcoming Events

April 11 – 21 EventCongressional In-District Carbon Pricing / Climate Change Lobby Day

asbcouncil.org/webinars

Page 6: Don't Believe Trump's Hype: Regulations do Work for Business

ATTITUDES TOWARDREGULATIONS

Page 7: Don't Believe Trump's Hype: Regulations do Work for Business

Darker colors indicate intensity*Asked to ½ of the respondentsQ14-17: Now I'd like to ask you about some public figures or institutions. For each, please tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression. If you haven't heard of the person, or if you don't know enough about that person to have an impression, just say so and we will move on.

Rules*

Regulations*

Enforcement of regulations*

Standards*

64

58

41

44

21

29

39

24

24

18

17

15

9

12

19

11

UnfavorableNet NO/NH

+43 14/1

Favorability Ratings

Favorable

+29 13/0

+2 17/3

+20 28/4

Despite claims that the public does not view regulations favorably, these data provide a very different picture: a solid majority view “rules” and “regulations” favorably.

Page 8: Don't Believe Trump's Hype: Regulations do Work for Business

SEVEN-IN-TEN VOTERS, INCLUDING COMMANDING MAJORITIES OF EVERY MAJOR SUBGROUP, BELIEVE THAT INCREASED ENFORCEMENT OF THE NATION’S LAWS AND REGULATIONS IS A GOOD THING.

Darker colors indicate intensity.*Asked to ½ of sample

Perception of Increased Enforcement of National Laws and Regulations*

Q27. Generally speaking, do you think that increased enforcement of our national laws and regulations is a good thing or a bad thing? [IF GOOD/BAD] And do you feel that way strongly, or not-so strongly?

Good Bad Don't know

71

143

49

All VotersMen

Women

DemocratsIndpendent/Don’t know

Republicans

NortheastMidwest

SouthWest

Small business employeesNot small business employees

7071

7973

63

6372

7666

7071

1612

108

19

151614

90

1214

4552

5357

38

4844

5446

4948

Bad Good

Page 9: Don't Believe Trump's Hype: Regulations do Work for Business

VOTERS EXPRESS NEAR-UNANIMOUS SUPPORT FOR INCREASED ENFORCEMENT OF LAWS AND REGULATIONS REGARDLESS OF THE WORDS USED TO DESCRIBE ENFORCEMENT. WHILE INTENSITY FOR “TOUGHER” ENFORCEMENT DROPS, IT IS STILL ABOVE 50% AND DRAWS THE SUPPORT OF THREE-QUARTERS OF VOTERS.

Darker colors indicate intensity.*Asked to ¼ of sample**Combined results from Q23-26Q: Do you agree or disagree with this statement: we need [INSERT WORD] enforcement of our laws and regulations in the U.S.? And do you feel that way strongly or not-so strongly.

Agree Disagree

87

1172

Combined**

Enforcement of our Laws and Regulations

Agree Disagree

74

2152

Tougher*

Agree Disagree

87

878

Fairer, more equal*

Agree Disagree

90

879

Commonsense*

Agree Disagree

94

4

80

Proper*

Page 10: Don't Believe Trump's Hype: Regulations do Work for Business

December Battleground Poll conducted by Lake Research Partners and the Tarrance Group. Conducted December 8 th – 11th among 1,000 likely voters. Margin of error +/- 3.1%.

Fairer and tougher enforcement Fewer burdensome regulations Both/Don't Know

50 438

Some people say we need fairer and tougher enforce-ment of regulations in the U.S. to protect American

workers and families and to give the little guys, including small businesses, a fair chance to compete

Other people say that we need fewer burdensome gov-ernment regulations because these regulations only work

to make things more difficult for small businesses and individuals to create jobs and economic growth

OTHER POLLING DATA CONFIRMS THAT VOTERS FAVOR ENFORCEMENT AND REGULATIONS THAT CREATE A FAIR PLAYING FIELD. VOTERS BELIEVE THE GOVERNMENT HAS A ROLE TO PLAY PROTECTING AMERICAN WORKERS AND PROVIDING SMALL BUSINESSES A CHANCE TO COMPETE.

Page 11: Don't Believe Trump's Hype: Regulations do Work for Business

Darker colors indicate intensity*Asked to ½ of sampleQ7-13: Now I'd like to ask you about some public figures or institutions. For each, please tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression. If you haven't heard of the person, or if you don't know enough about that person to have an impression, just say so and we will move on.

Occupational Safety and Health Administration*

The United States Department of Agriculture*

The Food and Drug Administration*

The U.S. Environmantal Protection Agency

The Consumer Product Safety Commission*

The National Highway Transportation Safety Administration*

The Consumer Finance Protection Bureau*

57

58

58

52

55

55

36

17

26

31

33

18

25

18

26

21

19

19

18

18

11

6

11

15

18

7

11

7

+40

Unfavorable Net NO/NH

+32 16/1

Favorability Ratings

Favorable

+27

22/5

+19

19/2

+37

VOTERS’ PERCEPTIONS OF SPECIFIC GOVERNMENT REGULATORY AGENCIES ARE BY-AND-LARGE POSITIVE, WITH MAJORITIES OF VOTERS—INCLUDING MAJORITIES OF REPUBLICANS—EXPRESSING FAVORABLE OPINIONS OF THE FDA, THE USDA, OSHA, THE NHTSA, AND THE CONSUMER PRODUCT SAFETY COMMISSION.

36/10+18

+30

11/0

14/1

22/4

Page 12: Don't Believe Trump's Hype: Regulations do Work for Business

Can prevent deadly mistakes, saving lives

Can protect seniors and children

Can protect against deadly mis-takes, saving lives

Can reduce pollution of our air, land, and water

Can prevent pollution of our air, land, and water

Can ensure oversight of dan-gerous foreign imports

Can hold big businesses and corporations accountable

Can force the government to be accountable

Can force big businesses and corporations to be accountable

Can prevent the financial markets from harming the

U.S. economy

68

66

71

59

63

57

51

47

51

44

26

26

25

24

23

23

23

22

21

21

VOTERS BELIEVE THAT ENFORCEMENT OF LAWS AND REGULATIONS CAN BE MOST EFFECTIVE WHEN IT COMES TO PROTECTING SENIORS AND CHILDREN, PREVENTING DEADLY MISTAKES, AND REDUCING/PREVENTING POLLUTION.

VOTERS ARE MORE SKEPTICAL THAT ENFORCEMENT CAN HOLD BIG BUSINESS ACCOUNTABLE, FORCE THE GOVERNMENT OR BUSINESSES TO BE ACCOUNTABLE, OR PREVENT THE FINANCIAL MARKETS FROM HARMING THE ECONOMY.

Very well Very/somewhat well

Regulation – Positive Descriptions (Top Tier)

NetPersuad.Very Well

Q29-48. Now, I am going to read you some words and phrases that have been used to describe the enforcement of laws and regulations. Please tell me how well you think each describes the enforcement of laws and regulations: VERY well, PRETTY well, NOT too well, or not well AT ALL. If you don't know how well a word or phrase describes the enforcement of laws and regulations, just say so and we'll go on.

+40 31

+36

+46

22

33

+24 16

+29 33

30

24

+22

+7

+7 18

18+7

-7 30

Page 13: Don't Believe Trump's Hype: Regulations do Work for Business

Clean water

The food and drugs imported from other countries

Government officials

Civil rights

Discrimination

The drugs produced in the U.S.

Nuclear energy and power plants

The products that the United States imports from other coun-

tries

Wall Street banks and the fi-nancial industry

81

76

67

71

67

72

67

67

64

64

56

50

49

49

46

46

44

44

VOTERS SEE A CRITICAL ROLE FOR ENFORCEMENT OF LAWS AND REGULATIONS IN A NUMBER OF AREAS OF AMERICAN LIFE. STRONG MAJORITIES BELIEVE ENFORCEMENT IS EXTREMELY IMPORTANT WHEN IT COMES TO CLEAN WATER, FOOD AND DRUGS FROM OTHER COUNTRIES, AND—AS WE HAVE SEEN IN PREVIOUS RESEARCH—GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS.

OTHER AREAS WHERE VOTERS BELIEVE ENFORCEMENT CAN PLAY AN IMPORTANT ROLE INCLUDE CIVIL RIGHTS, DISCRIMINATION, PHARMACEUTICALS PRODUCED IN THE U.S., NUCLEAR ENERGY, IMPORTS AND THE FINANCIAL INDUSTRY.

Rated 10 Rated 8-10

Importance of Enforcing – First Tier

MeanPersuad.Rated 10

Q55-72 Now, I am going to read you a list of entities where enforcement of laws and regulations can take place. For each entity, please tell me how important you think enforcement of laws and regulations is, using a scale from 0 to 10 with 10 meaning you think enforcement is extremely important, 0 meaning you think it is not important at all, and 5 meaning you don’t know or are undecided. You can be anywhere in between. If you’re unsure about a particular item, just say so, and we’ll go on.

8.7 58

8.4

8.0

35

40

8.2 43

41

45

8.1

8.2

8.1 40

388.0

7.9 34

Page 14: Don't Believe Trump's Hype: Regulations do Work for Business

Clean air

The safety of workplaces

The food grown and produced in the U.S.

Credit card companies

Oil companies

Gas prices

The lending industry

Special interests and lobbyists

The home mortgage industry

67

73

67

67

59

57

60

52

56

43

42

41

40

39

39

37

34

33

A SECOND TIER OF PRIORITIES FOR ENFORCEMENT INCLUDES CLEAN AIR, THE SAFETY OF WORKPLACES, FOOD GROWN IN THE UNITED STATES, AND CREDIT CARD COMPANIES.

VOTERS PLACE LESS EMPHASIS ON ENFORCEMENT WHEN IT COMES TO OIL COMPANIES, GAS PRICES, THE LENDING INDUSTRY, AND THE HOME MORTGAGE INDUSTRY.

Rated 10 Rated 8-10

Importance of Enforcing – Second Tier

MeanPersuad.Rated 10

Now, I am going to read you a list of entities where enforcement of laws and regulations can take place. For each entity, please tell me how important you think enforcement of laws and regulations is, using a scale from 0 to 10 with 10 meaning you think enforcement is extremely important, 0 meaning you think it is not important at all, and 5 meaning you don’t know or are undecided. You can be anywhere in between. If you’re unsure about a particular item, just say so, and we’ll go on.

7.9 40

8.2

8.1

29

34

7.8 31

29

30

7.7

7.4

7.7 18

247.0

7.4 25

Page 15: Don't Believe Trump's Hype: Regulations do Work for Business

CLEAN ENERGY

Page 16: Don't Believe Trump's Hype: Regulations do Work for Business

VOTERS WANT ALL LEVELS OF GOVERNMENT AND AMERICAN BUSINESSES ENGAGED IN CLIMATE CHANGE.

How much do you think each should do about climate change: a great deal, some, a little, or not much at all?

The Federal Government State or Local Government American Businesses

A great deal Not much at allSome A little

48

34

89

46

36

99

5630

6 7

% A Great Deal Base 91

Persuasion 46Opposition 12

% A Great Deal Base 82

Persuasion 44Opposition 14

% A Great Deal Base 88

Persuasion 57Opposition 12

82% 82% 86%

Source: ecoAmerica survey of 1000 registered voters nationwide. August 12-19, 2016.

Page 17: Don't Believe Trump's Hype: Regulations do Work for Business

AMERICANS STRONGLY FAVOR POLICIES THAT WOULD REDUCE THE POLLUTION THAT CAUSES CLIMATE CHANGE. THEY PREFER “RULES” TO “GOVERNMENT STEPS” THOUGH OVERWHELMINGLY SUPPORT BOTH, AND STRONGLY SUPPORT FINING COMPANIES FOR THE POLLUTION THEY CREATE.

Government taking steps to put limits on the pollution

that causes climate change.

Rules that put limits on the pollution that causes climate

change.

A proposal to reduce carbon pollution by imposing a fine on large companies for the

pollution they create.

Favor Oppose Favor Oppose Favor Oppose

49

9

56

7

60

8

72

20

75

20

80

17

Not so strongly favor Not so strongly opposeStrongly favor Strongly oppose

  

Do you favor or oppose:

Page 18: Don't Believe Trump's Hype: Regulations do Work for Business

Source: “Widespread Public Support for Renewable Energy Mandates Despite Proposed Rollbacks”, National Surveys on Energy and Environment, June 2015

As the American electorate grows increasingly concerned with rising global temperatures, public support for energy industry regulations is on the rise. 74% of Americans believe that state governments should require a set portion of all electricity to come from renewable energy sources such as wind and solar power. This support holds steady across race, income, education level, religion, political, and region of the country, and has been shown to be strongly linked to the understanding that average global temperatures are getting warmer.

Page 19: Don't Believe Trump's Hype: Regulations do Work for Business

Source: “Public support for regulation of power plant emissions under the Clean Power Plan”, National Surveys on Energy and Environment, January 2015

The majority of Americans back government regulation of greenhouse gases emitted by new and existing power plants, across party affiliation – Democrats, Republicans, and Independents all indicate support for federal and state government regulated reductions.

0.12 0.060.22 0.13

16% 9%

29%16%

29% 31% 20%33%

73% 83%

55%

73%

The federal government now requires that any new power plant reduce their greenhouse gas emissions significantly.

Strongly oppose Somewhat oppose Somewhat support Strongly support

0.12 0.070.21 0.12

21%14%

30%

19%30% 35%

24% 33%

67%76%

60%67%

The federal government has introduced a Clean Power Plan that is designed to reduce greenhouse gases from existing power plants. It gives each state flexibility in deciding how to reduce these

emissions through negotiations with the federal government.

Strongly oppose Somewhat oppose Somewhat support Strongly supportO V E R A L L

O V E R A L L D E M O C R A T S

D E M O C R A T S

R E P U B L I C A N S

R E P U B L I C A N S

I N D E P E N D E N T S

I N D E P E N D E N T S

Page 20: Don't Believe Trump's Hype: Regulations do Work for Business

Source: “Public support for regulation of power plant emissions under the Clean Power Plan”, National Surveys on Energy and Environment, January 2015

Americans have clear preferences on how the government should reduce power plant emissions. In large numbers, they support 1) Requiring a set portion of all electricity to come from renewable energy sources such as wind and solar, and 2) Requiring increased energy efficiency standards for new homes and appliances. They are less enthusiastic about increasing taxes on fossil fuels and cap and trade.

M a j o r i t y S U P P O R TM a j o r i t y S U P P O R T

M a j o r i t y O P P O S E

P l u r a l i t y O P P O S E

Page 21: Don't Believe Trump's Hype: Regulations do Work for Business

HEALTH CARE & PRESCRIPTION DRUG PRICES

Page 22: Don't Believe Trump's Hype: Regulations do Work for Business

MOST AMERICANS FAVOR POLICY CHANGES TO LOWER DRUG COSTS.

22Source: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking poll (conducted September 14-20, 2016)

Page 23: Don't Believe Trump's Hype: Regulations do Work for Business

PEOPLE STRONGLY SUPPORT PLACING REGULATIONS ON PRESCRIPTION DRUG COMPANIES.

23Source: Lake Research Partners online survey of 1,503 adults. May 17-22, 2016.

Page 24: Don't Believe Trump's Hype: Regulations do Work for Business

24

IN THE SEARCH FOR THE RIGHT HEALTH INSURANCE PLAN, MOST SMALL BUSINESS OWNERS THINK THEY ARE AT A DISADVANTAGE COMPARED TO LARGE BUSINESSES.

Thinking about the process for finding the right health insurance plan for your business, do you think small and large businesses face the same challenges equally, or do you think small businesses are at a disadvantage compared to large businesses?

Small businesses are at a dis-advantage

Small and large businesses face same challenges equally

Not sure

79

165

During Process For Finding The Right Health Insurance Plan…

Source: Lake Research Partners online survey of 504 small business owners (September 28-October 4, 2016). Margin of error is +/-4.4%.

Page 25: Don't Believe Trump's Hype: Regulations do Work for Business

25

Proposed Policy Solutions % Strongly Agee

% Total Agree

[PAYING FOR DELAYS] It should be illegal for a drug company to pay another company that makes generic drugs to delay the release of a generic drug.

56 88

[TAXES PAY FOR R&D] Prescription drugs that are developed with taxpayer dollars should be made affordable to every American. 54 90[REIMPORTATION] Americans should be allowed to purchase their prescription drugs from Canada. 50 85[NEGOTIATE] The federal government should be able to negotiate with drug companies to get lower prices on prescription drugs for people on Medicare.

48 85

[TRANSPARENCY] Drug companies should be required to justify their prices by disclosing how much they spend on research, manufacturing, and marketing.

41 82

SMALL BUSINESS OWNERS WIDELY AND INTENSELY SUPPORT PROPOSED SOLUTIONS FOR ADDRESSING RISING RX DRUG COSTS.

Now you are going to see a series of statements about prescription drugs. Please indicate if you agree or disagree with each one on a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means you strongly disagree and 10 means you strongly agree. You can use any number between 0 and 10.

Source: Lake Research Partners online survey of 504 small business owners (September 28-October 4, 2016). Margin of error is +/-4.4%.

Page 26: Don't Believe Trump's Hype: Regulations do Work for Business

MESSAGING ON REGULATION

Page 27: Don't Believe Trump's Hype: Regulations do Work for Business

27

Base (21% of voters) Persuadables (63% of voters) Opposition (16% of voters)

• Strongly believe increased enforcement of nation’s laws and regulations is a good thing

• Say the enforcement of our laws and regulations in the U.S. generally works/ succeeds

• Disagree that excessive regulation is costing Americans money and costing the economy jobs

• More likely to be female, Democrat, and residents of the Northeast than counterpart groups and electorate overall

• Hold conflicting and sometimes contradictory positions with regards to their perceptions of—and support for—increased enforcement of laws and regulations

• Support enforcement, but worry about potential for excessive regulations to cost Americans money and jobs

• More closely mirror popular vote margin in 2016 vote, but skew more likely to be comprised of Millennials and from the West than all voters

• Believe increased enforcement of nation’s laws and regulations is bad--or at best only somewhat good

• See enforcement of our laws and regulations in the U.S. generally not working/ failing more often than succeeding

• Agree that excessive regulation is costing Americans money and jobs

• More likely to be male, Republican, older, white and from the Midwest than electorate overall

Page 28: Don't Believe Trump's Hype: Regulations do Work for Business

IncreasedEnforcement

of Regulations

Restore Balance: Prevent Economic Disasters

Enforcement Works

Protect Health & Safety of Americans

• Proper enforcement of our laws can ensure everyone plays by the same set of rules. Regulations that ensure things like clean water, clean air, and financial responsibility, create good jobs and put money in the pockets of working families, helping entire communities not just shareholders.

• Whether prohibiting big banks from destroying our economy, stopping the credit card industry from charging billions in hidden fees, or preventing the tax cheats from hiding trillions in offshore tax havens, or preventing polluters from poisoning our air and water, tough but fair enforcement of our laws helps keep Americans safer from physical and economic harm.

• System is out of balance, favoring wealthy & powerful over ordinary Americans & small biz.

• Can’t trust big business to police itself when penalties are so low. Employers who have workplace death fined avg. of $7k. Wall St. execs responsible for financial collapse avoided prosecution, got bonuses instead. Execs should be held to the same standards as the rest of us--incl. criminal penalties, even jail.

• Taxpayers spent millions of dollars bailing out auto industry while some of the same companies deliberately broke US laws, jeopardizing lives. VW lied about dangerous emissions for millions of vehicles, GM ignored evidence of fatal defects in its cars. Until they were caught, hundreds of drivers died and untold damage was done to our air quality.

• Flint not the only example of lax enforcement, lead-contaminated tap water is national problem; 18M use water systems with lead levels that violate current standards—not incl. schools.

• 2014: est. 10,000 gallons of toxic chemical waste leaked into WV river, contaminating drinking water for over 300,000 residents, putting pregnant women, seniors, and children at risk. Water system hadn’t been tested in over a decade, in violation of the laws, and warnings of contamination were ignored.

• 2013: explosion at a fertilizer facility in West, TX killed 15, incl. 12 first responders, and destroyed three schools, a nursing home, and hundreds of homes. Last time facility was inspected by OSHA was 1985, despite serious violation got just $30 fine. (Note, in May 2016, the West Texas incident was ruled arson, but officials have still blamed

the explosion in part on a lack of regulatory enforcement.)

WORDS THAT WORK & MESSAGE TRIANGLE

Page 29: Don't Believe Trump's Hype: Regulations do Work for Business

29

#1 Message – Safeguarding Americans w/ExamplesEnforcement of our laws is about safeguarding Americans. And when done properly, enforcement can prevent economic catastrophe, protect our health, and save lives. When enforcement of public protections is neglected, the results can be disastrous. In 2013, an explosion at a small fertilizer facility in West, Texas killed 15 people, including 12 first responders, and destroyed three schools, a nursing facility, and hundreds of homes. In 2014 an estimated 10,000 gallons of toxic chemical waste leaked from a private storage facility into a West Virginia river due to lax enforcement. The leak contaminated the drinking water supply of over 300,000 residents, putting pregnant women, seniors, and children at risk. The water system hadn’t been tested in over a decade, and warnings of contamination were ignored. We need strong and improved enforcement to prevent deadly situations like these from threatening American communities. Tough but fair enforcement of our laws helps keep Americans safer from physical and economic harm.

Series1

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Base Opposition

Persuadable

Page 30: Don't Believe Trump's Hype: Regulations do Work for Business

30

30

Strengths of Our SideWe can’t trust big businesses and corporations to police themselves (esp. when penalties are so

minimal)Protect health, save lives

Big corporations promoting profits above the health and safety of AmericansBig corporations, not just ordinary Americans, need to be held accountable for their actions

System is out of balance, favoring the wealthy and powerful over ordinary Americans and small businesses

Industry lobbyists are easily able to buy politicians Effective enforcement of regulations can create jobs & good wages

Safeguarding Americans from an economic catastrophe Investment in water infrastructure will create hundreds of thousands of well-paid jobs

Benefits of fair regulation far exceed the costs

Vulnerabilities/Strengths of the OppositionStaggering costs of Federal debt costing taxpayers and small businesses

Regulations often put too much power in the hands of a few out of touch bureaucrats Case studies are isolated examples not indicative of a systemic problem, and more government is

not the answerSmall business are crushed by the weight of bureaucratic red tape and burdensome regulations

Page 31: Don't Believe Trump's Hype: Regulations do Work for Business

Washington, DC | Berkeley, CA | New York, NYLakeResearch.com202.776.9066

Celinda [email protected]

Page 32: Don't Believe Trump's Hype: Regulations do Work for Business

Working with ASBC

Richard Eidlin, Vice President/[email protected]

Bryan McGannon, Policy [email protected]