Base Case Behavior for 1990–2040

1

0

0.3

0

0.8

0

0.8

0Inadequate

Physical Activity

4

0

0.3

0

0.4

0

0.6

0

30

0

Particulate Air Pollution

PM2.5

3,000

0

CVD & Risk factorcosts per capita

CVD Deaths per 1000

mcg per m3

Age 65+ fraction of the population

0.3

0

1.5

0

Diagnosisand control

Access to and marketingof smoking quit products

and services

Access to andmarketing of mental

health services

Sources ofstress

Access to andmarketing of healthy

food options

Access to andmarketing of physical

activity options

Access to andmarketing of weight

loss services

Access to andmarketing ofprimary care

Tobacco taxes andsales/marketing

regulations

Smoking bans atwork and public

places

Junk food taxes andsales/marketing

regulations

Quality of primarycare provision Anti-smoking

social marketing

Stress Prevalence

Poor DietFraction

Obesity Prevalence

Use of Primary Care Services Smoking

Prevalence

0.6

0Diabetes

High BP

High cholesterol

Uncontrolled

PrevalencesChronic Disorders

Secondhand Smoke

Exposure

CV event fatality multiplier