Cumbria Health Protection Board
Weekly COVID-19 SummaryWeek 31 (Ending Friday 31st July)
Summary Produced Wednesday 5th August
Produced By Cumbria Resilience Multi Agency Intelligence Cell (MAIC) 1
Weekly Summary
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Key points for week ending 31 July (Week 31):
• 59 new cases in Cumbria - increase from previous week
• New positive cases increased in Carlisle, South Lakeland, Allerdale and
Barrow-in-Furness
• Currently no change to the existing public health advice;
• Carlisle has the highest number and rate of new positive cases than other
areas in Cumbria; both Carlisle and Eden’s rates remain higher than the
national average
• The number of contacts being traced has increased in line with positive
cases; local contact tracing remains significant for situational awareness;
• Close monitoring of the data continues, in particular in South Lakeland;
• If the number of positive cases in an area continues to increase the advice
may change.
Cases
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Note: This represents the number of people with a positive test result
Key Points for Cumbria’s districts in Week 31:
• Carlisle had the greatest number of new cases (+26 new cases), up from +14 new cases in week 30);
• Carlisle also overtook Eden in having the highest rate of new cases (+26 new cases = 24 new cases per 100k population);
• Both Eden and Carlisle’s rates of new cases were well above the national average (Eden = 17 new cases per 100k population and
Carlisle = 24 new cases per 100 population vs. England’s 8 cases per 100k population);
• As well as Carlisle, South Lakeland, Allerdale and Barrow-in-Furness all experienced increases in new cases;
• South Lakeland experienced the second greatest numerical increase after Carlisle, so that South Lakeland now has the second highest
number of new cases (+10 new cases, up from +7 new cases in week 30).
Mid-2019
PopulationNew Positive
Cases
Rate of New
Positive
Cases Per
100,000
Population
Total
Positive
Cases
New
Positive
Cases
Rate of
New
Positive
Cases Per
100,000
Population
Numerical
Change in
New
Positive
Cases
% Change
in New
Positive
Cases
Increase in
Rate of
New
Positive
Cases Per
100,000
Persons
Cumbria 500,012 47 9 2,855 59 12 12 26 2
Allerdale 97,761 6 6 358 8 8 2 33 2
Barrow-in-Furness 67,049 1 1 706 2 3 1 100 1
Carlisle 108,678 14 13 723 26 24 12 86 11
Copeland 68,183 4 6 340 4 6 0 0 0
Eden 53,253 15 28 203 9 17 -6 -40 -11
South Lakeland 105,088 7 7 520 10 10 3 43 3
Weekly Summary: Public Health England (PHE) COVID 19 Positive Cases (Includes Pillar 1 & Pillar 2)
Week 30 (Ending 24 Jul 20) Week 31 (Ending 31 Jul 20) Week 30 - Week 31 Change
Source: PHE Postcode COVID-19 Positive Cases Data
Last Updated: 04/08/2020
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Cumbria Cases
Note: This represents the number of people with a positive test result
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District CasesCarlisle has had the greatest number of new cases for five of the last six weeks.
South Lakeland had the second highest number of new cases in the last week, with South Lakeland’s
new cases having increased over each of the last three weeks.
Note: This represents the number of people with a positive test result.
Daily Lab-confirmed cases – Pillar 1 & 2[Preliminary up to 2nd August]
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20-Jul
21-Jul 22-Jul
23-Jul
24-Jul 25-Jul 26-Jul 27-Jul
28-Jul
29-Jul
30-Jul
31-Jul
01-Aug
02-Aug
Allerdale 2 1 1 3 2 1 2 2
Barrow 1 1 1
Carlisle 3 2 1 3 1 5 2 5 6 3 3 2
Copeland 3 1 1 1 2
Eden 2 2 6 5 1 1 1 1 1 4 1
South Lakeland
2 2 1 1 6 3 1 1 2
Cumbria 8 8 11 8 4 2 7 13 11 11 5 10 3 4
[Data is subject to revisions]
Source: https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
[Updated Tuesday 4 August 2020 at 10:39pm]
R estimates & Growth Rates NHS Region
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Region RGrowth rate % per day
England 0.8-1.0 -4 to -1
East of England* 0.7-1.0 -6 to -1
London* 0.8-1.0 -4 to 0
Midlands 0.7-0.9 -6 to -2
North East and Yorkshire* 0.7-0.9 -6 to -2
North West* 0.8-1.1 -5 to +1
South East 0.8-1.0 -3 to 0
South West* 0.8-1.1 -4 to +1
Source: gov.uk. Friday 31st July.
North Cumbria falls within the North East and
Yorkshire region.
The values are shown as a range, the most likely true
values are somewhere towards the middle of this range.
*Low case numbers and/ or a high degree of variability in
transmission across the region means these estimates are
insufficiently robust to inform policy decisions.
Local Contact Tracing
The national test and trace system is complimented by local contact-tracing and focussed on cases linked to an organisation:
• In the week ending Tuesday 4th August 47 index cases across Cumbria have been logged on the local system, these include early-intervention work with schools when someone displays symptoms
• From the 47 index cases a further 114 contacts have been identified and traced with the majority related to Carlisle
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