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IPv6 Trends, Taiwan, Asia-Pacific and Worldwide: an update from 2014 TWNIC OPM Taipei, 21 June 2018
APNIC
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“A global, open, stable and secure
Internet that serves the entire Asia
Pacific community”
Thanks!
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Back in 2014…
2014: Global IPv6 Capability
2.7%
2014: IPv6 Capability in TW
0.8%
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Today…
Today: IPv4 is nearly gone…
Today: IPv4 is nearly gone…
• Today’s IPv4 free poll is around 1.6 /8 blocks – Projected to fully exhaust within 3 years
• IPv4 address availability – Rationing policies in AFRINIC, APNIC, LACNIC, RIPE NCC – Market transfers in some regions, and between APNIC and
RIPE/ARIN
• The time has come to move on from IPv4.
Today: IPv6 is growing fast…
APNIC Labs
2014
IPv6 routing – vs IPv4
IPv4 BGP
IPv4 ASNs
Source: APNIC Labs
750,000 62,000
IPv6 BGP
IPv6 ASNs
55,000 15,000
500,000
15,000
2014
8,000
45,000
2014
Global IPv6 capability is now 18% • APNIC Labs measurement system
– 10+ million samples per day, worldwide – Measurement script (HTML5) embedded within Google Ad*
• “Capable” means “has an IPv6 address” – % of sampled users who can fetch an IPv6 addressed web object – “Preference” is slightly lower: 17.3%
• Other measures place it slightly higher at 20% – Consider APNIC a “low side” count
• Lets rank the economies by IPv6 capability above and below the world average
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Drilling down…
CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC %
BE 58.75% IN 57.27% US 44.42% GR 38.61% DE 38.43% UY 37.46% LU 28.74% BR 28.53%
CH 28.28% FI 28.06% MY 27.53% JP 27.28% GB 26.01% IE 24.99% TT 24.51% FR 22.89%
EE 22.79% CA 21.57% PT 19.03% NZ 18.42%
Global Average = 18%
EC 17.94% AU 17.16% VN 14.91% NO 14.43% TH 13.30% PE 13.28% MO 13.14% HU 12.72%
NL 12.15% TW 12.01% RO 11.79% SA 11.41% SI 11.39% SE 11.17% MX 10.24% CZ 9.67%
GT 9.65% PR 8.68% KR 8.08% AT 7.85% PL 7.81% ZW 7.64% LK 7.36% AR 7.27%
SG 7.19% BO 5.26% DK 5.12% SK 4.00% ES 3.25% BA 2.92% EG 2.82% IL 2.42%
GA 2.42% LV 2.37% AE 2.27% IR 2.21% IT 2.09% BT 1.78% BG 1.62% RU 1.56%
CN 1.36% DO 1.12% KE 1.09% ZA 1.00%
CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC %
BE 58.75% IN 57.27% US 44.42% GR 38.61% DE 38.43% UY 37.46% LU 28.74% BR 28.53%
CH 28.28% FI 28.06% MY 27.53% JP 27.28% GB 26.01% IE 24.99% TT 24.51% FR 22.89%
EE 22.79% CA 21.57% PT 19.03% NZ 18.42%
Global Average = 18%
EC 17.94% AU 17.16% VN 14.91% NO 14.43% TH 13.30% PE 13.28% MO 13.14% HU 12.72%
NL 12.15% TW 12.01% RO 11.79% SA 11.41% SI 11.39% SE 11.17% MX 10.24% CZ 9.67%
GT 9.65% PR 8.68% KR 8.08% AT 7.85% PL 7.81% ZW 7.64% LK 7.36% AR 7.27%
SG 7.19% BO 5.26% DK 5.12% SK 4.00% ES 3.25% BA 2.92% EG 2.82% IL 2.42%
GA 2.42% LV 2.37% AE 2.27% IR 2.21% IT 2.09% BT 1.78% BG 1.62% RU 1.56%
CN 1.36% DO 1.12% KE 1.09% ZA 1.00%
CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC %
BE 58.75% IN 57.27% US 44.42% GR 38.61% DE 38.43% UY 37.46% LU 28.74% BR 28.53%
CH 28.28% FI 28.06% MY 27.53% JP 27.28% GB 26.01% IE 24.99% TT 24.51% FR 22.89%
EE 22.79% CA 21.57% PT 19.03% NZ 18.42%
Global Average = 18%
EC 17.94% AU 17.16% VN 14.91% NO 14.43% TH 13.30% PE 13.28% MO 13.14% HU 12.72%
NL 12.15% TW 12.01% RO 11.79% SA 11.41% SI 11.39% SE 11.17% MX 10.24% CZ 9.67%
GT 9.65% PR 8.68% KR 8.08% AT 7.85% PL 7.81% ZW 7.64% LK 7.36% AR 7.27%
SG 7.19% BO 5.26% DK 5.12% SK 4.00% ES 3.25% BA 2.92% EG 2.82% IL 2.42%
GA 2.42% LV 2.37% AE 2.27% IR 2.21% IT 2.09% BT 1.78% BG 1.62% RU 1.56%
CN 1.36% DO 1.12% KE 1.09% ZA 1.00%
CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC %
BE 58.75% IN 57.27% US 44.42% GR 38.61% DE 38.43% UY 37.46% LU 28.74% BR 28.53%
CH 28.28% FI 28.06% MY 27.53% JP 27.28% GB 26.01% IE 24.99% TT 24.51% FR 22.89%
EE 22.79% CA 21.57% PT 19.03% NZ 18.42%
Global Average = 18%
EC 17.94% AU 17.16% VN 14.91% NO 14.43% TH 13.30% PE 13.28% MO 13.14% HU 12.72%
NL 12.15% TW 12.01% RO 11.79% SA 11.41% SI 11.39% SE 11.17% MX 10.24% CZ 9.67%
GT 9.65% PR 8.68% KR 8.08% AT 7.85% PL 7.81% ZW 7.64% LK 7.36% AR 7.27%
SG 7.19% BO 5.26% DK 5.12% SK 4.00% ES 3.25% BA 2.92% EG 2.82% IL 2.42%
GA 2.42% LV 2.37% AE 2.27% IR 2.21% IT 2.09% BT 1.78% BG 1.62% RU 1.56%
CN 1.36% DO 1.12% KE 1.09% ZA 1.00%
Taiwan
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Taiwan
Taiwan, E Asia
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
East Asia
Taiwan
Taiwan, E Asia, Asia
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
AsiaEast AsiaTaiwan
Taiwan, E Asia, Asia, and the World
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
WorldAsiaEast AsiaTaiwan
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Some cases…
Australia, Taiwan, India, Viet Nam…
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
AustraliaTaiwanIndiaVietnam
Australia
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
AustraliaTelstraInternode
Australia
ASAS1221 - ASN-TELSTRA Telstra Pty Ltd
ASAS4739 - INTERNODE-AS Internode Pty Ltd
ASAS133612 - VODAFONE-AS-AP Vodafone Australia Pty Ltd
ASAS4804 - MPX-AS Microplex PTY LTD
ASAS7545 - TPG-INTERNET-AP TPG Telecom Limited
ASAS9443 - INTERNETPRIMUS-AS-AP Primus Telecommunications
149 other ASN
IPv6 IPv4
Australia: Telstra and Internode
• Telstra – 464XLAT on Mobile, dualstack on Fiber – Multiple APN deployment in phases, long test period – iPhone support delayed during rollout pending iOS updates
• Internode – dualstack on Fiber and xDSL – First significant adopter of IPv6 in Australia – Long tail of old CPE directly owned by customers – Company acquired by iiNet and subsequently TPG and run as
independent ISP, but no longer prioritizing IPv6
India
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
IndiaRelianceBharti MobileHutchinson
India
ASAS55836 - RELIANCEJIO-IN Reliance Jio Infocomm Limited
ASAS38266 - HUTCHVAS-AS Vodafone Essar Ltd., Telecommunication - Value Added Services
ASAS45271 - ICLNET-AS-AP Idea Cellular Limited
ASAS45609 - BHARTI-MOBILITY-AS-AP Bharti Airtel Ltd. AS for GPRS Service
ASAS9829 - BSNL-NIB National Internet Backbone
822 other ASN
IPv6 IPv4
India
• Reliance – 464XLAT on mobile, MAP-T and dual stack on Cable – Clean build LTE (4G) deployment went live as IPv6 – Dominant after highly aggressive promotion campaign – Others followed: Hutchison, Airtel, Idea
• Bharti Airtel – Dual stack on mobile
Viet Nam
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
VietnamVNPTFPT
Viet Nam
ASAS18403 - FPT-AS-AP The Corporation for Financing Promoting Technology
ASAS45899 - VNPT-AS-VN VNPT Corp
ASAS7552 - VIETEL-AS-AP Viettel Group
ASAS24086 - VIETTEL-AS-VN Viettel Corporation
IPv6 IPv4
Viet Nam
• FPT – PPPoE dual stack deployment on Cable and Fiber – 6PE in MPLS core (RFC4798) – https://blog.apnic.net/2017/08/16/fpt-telecoms-ipv6-journey
• VNPT – Followed FPT after experiences integrated into national plan – 6PE/6VPE and dual stack, planning move to IPv6-only (464XLAT) – https://blog.apnic.net/2018/06/06/vnpts-deployment-of-ipv6-a-
success/
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Other cases…
United Kingdom
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
United KingdomSkyBTOrange
United Kingdom
ASAS5607 - BSKYB-BROADBAND-AS
ASAS2856 - BT-UK-AS BTnet UK Regional network
ASAS12576 - ORANGE-PCS
ASAS13285 - OPALTELECOM-AS TalkTalk Communications Limited
ASAS5089 - NTL
ASAS6871 - PLUSNET UK Internet Service Provider ASAS9105 - TISCALI-UK ISP Network, UK
292 other ASN
IPv6 IPv4
United Kingdom
• Sky – Dualstack on Cable and Fiber – In-house MAP-T for own CPE – Deployment phased by CPE versions, applied nationally – https://blog.apnic.net/2018/04/04/connecting-5-million-users-to-ipv6/
• BT – 464XLAT on mobile
Uruguay
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
UruguayAntel
Uruguay
ASAS6057 - Administracion Nacional de Telecomunicaciones
ASAS19422 - Telefonica Moviles del Uruguay SA ASAS11664 - Techtel LMDS Comunicaciones Interactivas S.A.
IPv6 IPv4
Malaysia
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
MalaysiaTMNetMaxisDIGIIXCelcomNetUMobile
Malaysia
ASAS4818 - DIGIIX-AP DiGi Telecommunications Sdn. Bhd.
ASAS4788 - TMNET-AS-AP TM Net, Internet Service Provider
ASAS9534 - MAXIS-AS1-AP Binariang Berhad
ASAS10030 - CELCOMNET-AP Celcom Internet Service Provider
ASAS9930 - TTNET-MY TIME dotCom Berhad
ASAS38466 - UMOBILE-AS-AP U Mobile Sdn Bhd
IPv6 IPv4
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Back to Taiwan…
Taiwan
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
TaiwanTANETHINETEMOMEchunghwa
Taiwan (2018)
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
TaiwanTANETHINETEMOMEchunghwa
Taiwan
ASAS17421 - EMOME-NET Mobile Business Group
ASAS3462 - HINET Data Communication Business Group
ASAS24158 - TAIWANMOBILE-AS Taiwan Mobile Co., Ltd.
ASAS9674 - FET-TW Far EastTone Telecommunication Co., Ltd.
ASAS131591 - AMBIT-AS-TW Ambit Microsystem Corporation ASAS24157 - VIBO-NET-AS Taiwan Star Telecom Corporation Limited.(Former Vibo Telecom
Inc.) 51 other ASN
IPv6 IPv4
Taiwan • Recent signs of activity from two major ASN in the Chinese
region of Taiwan – HINET Chunghwa Telecom (Landline, FTTx, xSDL) – EMOME (mobile division of Chunghwa)
• Representing almost 50% of Taiwanese samples • Early stages of a very rapid deployment
– Signs of “competitive tension” in IPv6?
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What’s next?
How much longer?
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https://hbr.org/2013/11/the-pace-of-technology-adoption-is-speeding-up
Sigmoid curves
The next five years?
Conclusions • IPv6 deployment is happening globally
– Ongoing sustained and accelerating growth – Evidence of competitive pressure
• Hard to predict where and when – We have strong, developed G8/G20 economies with little or no IPv6 – We have emerging Internet Economies with a lot of IPv6
• A new digital divide? – Lack of capital investment for deployment – Lack of competitive incentive? – Plan now, or pay later
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Finally…
apnic.net/survey
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Next Conference
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conference.apnic.net/46
Call for Papers open now https://conference.apnic.net/46/program/call-for-papers
Later…
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APRICOT 2019 / APNIC 47 Daejeon, Republic of Korea
18 to 28 February 2019
APNIC 48 Chang Mai, Thailand
5 to 12 September 2019
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