Transcript
Page 1: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

North Dakota Pipeline AuthorityJustin J. Kringstad

December 30, 2010

Page 2: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820
Page 3: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

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December 29, 2010: 156 Drilling Rigs

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Page 4: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

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North Dakota Crude Oil

Page 5: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

Prediction is very difficult,

especially if it's about the future.

-Niels Bohr

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Page 6: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

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yNorth Dakota Oil Production and Price

History Bakken - Three Forks P10 Bakken - Three Forks P50

Bakken - Three Forks P90 $/Barrel History & DOE-EIA Projected $/Barrel P50

$/Barrel P10

Page 7: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

Forecasting Williston Basin Oil Production, BOPD

Production forecast is for visual demonstration purposes only and shouldnot be considered accurate for any near or long term planning.

Today

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Page 8: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

Forecasting Williston Basin Oil Production, BOPD

Production forecast is for visual demonstration purposes only and shouldnot be considered accurate for any near or long term planning.

Today

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Page 9: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

Challenges*

1) Moving oil out of the

Williston Basin

2) Moving oil within the

Williston Basin

*Modified from Bridger and Belle Fourche Pipelines

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Page 10: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

58,000 BOPD

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Page 11: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

Current - 118,000 BOPD

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Page 12: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

Phase VI: 161,500 BOPD

Up to 185,000 BOPDQ1 2011

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Page 13: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

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Rail Transportation

EOG – Stanley, ND

Dakota Transport Solutions – New Town, ND

Others Include:MinotDoreStampedeDonnybrook

Page 14: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

Williston Basin Oil Production & Export Capacity, BOPD

Production forecast is for visual demonstration purposes only and shouldnot be considered accurate for any near or long term planning.

Today

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Page 15: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

The future starts today,

not tomorrow.

-Pope John Paul II

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Page 16: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

Several Exciting Developments For Post 2010 Crude Oil Transport

Enbridge Bakken Expansion Program

Keystone XL Marketlink

True Co.’s Baker 300

Plains Bakken North

Unit Train Development16

Page 17: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

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Bakken Pipeline Expansion

Saskatchewan Manitoba

Enbridge Pipelines(North Dakota)

North Dakota MinnesotaMontana

ReserveGrenora

Alexander

BEAVERLODGE

Stanley

Lignite

BERTHOLD

Minot

CLEARBROOK

Trenton

CROMER

WeyburnSteelman

Midale

Alida

Portal Link

Virden

EPI Mainline

Plaza

Dunn

McGregor

Bakken Pipeline Expansion Project:Berthold to Cromer

SORTI

Phase 7 Beaver Lodge Looping Project:Beaver Lodge to Berthold

EPND Phase 7 Gathering Projects: SORTI, Dunn, Plaza and McGregor

Page 18: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

Proposed TransCanada Marketlink

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• Binding Open Season Complete

• Q1 2013 Proposed Startup

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Page 19: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

Proposed Quintana BakkenLink

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Capacity:100,000 BOPD

Proposed Startup:Q1 – 2013

Size: 304 Miles, 10”-16”

Open Season Started: September 27th

Page 20: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

True Co.’s Proposed “Baker 300”

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Butte Pipeline CapacityCurrent: 118,000 BOPDQ1 2011: 150,000 BOPD

Q1 2012: 200,000 BOPD (w/Loop)

Keystone XL InterconnectQ1 2013: 100,000 BOPD

Page 21: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

Plains Bakken North Pipeline

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Proposed Capacity50,000-75,000 BOPD

Q4 2012

New 103 Miles, 12” PipelineReverse Wascana Pipeline

$160-$200 Million

Page 22: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

Williston Basin Oil Production & Export Capacity, BOPD

Production forecast is for visual demonstration purposes only and shouldnot be considered accurate for any near or long term planning.

*Projects still in the proposed or internal review process

Today

Pipeline Transportation Only

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Page 23: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

Williston Basin Oil Production & Export Capacity, BOPD

Production forecast is for visual demonstration purposes only and shouldnot be considered accurate for any near or long term planning.

*Projects still in the proposed or internal review process

Today

23

Page 24: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

North Dakota Truck Imports/Exports

Information collected through the United States International Trade Commission’s Interactive Tariff and Trade DataWeb

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Page 25: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

*Modified from Bridger and Belle Fourche Pipelines

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Challenges*

1) Moving oil out of the

Williston Basin

2) Moving oil within the

Williston Basin

Page 26: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

Reducing Truck Traffic

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Bridger Four BearsQ1 2011

60,000 BOPDApprox 300 Truckloads/Day

Enbridge SORTI/DunnAnticipated Q2 2012Up to 100,000 BOPD

Approx 500 Truckloads/Day

Page 27: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

Rangeland COLT Hub and Pipeline

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Gathering, Storage, & Transportation

Tie into Enbridge & Tesoro(20 Mile - 8” - 40,000 BOPD)

Anticipated Dec 2011

210,000 Barrels of Tankage

Rail up to 27,000 BOPD initially (Expandable up to 60,000)

Page 28: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

Natural Gas Projects

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Page 29: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

Natural Gas Challenges

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Page 30: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

ND Gas Gathering Statistics

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Wells With Gas Sales

Wells Without Gas Sales

Page 31: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

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Page 32: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

$2.2 - $2.5 BILLION In the Next 1-3 Yrs 32

Page 33: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

New or Expanding Gas Plants

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Hess Tioga Gas PlantCurrent: 110 MMCFDQ4 2012: 250 MMCFD

ONEOK Garden Creek PlantQ4 2011: 100 MMCFD

Hiland Partners Watford City PlantQ1 2011: 50 MMCFD

Saddle Butte PipelineQ4 2010: 45 MMCFD

ONEOK Stateline I PlantQ3 2012: 100 MMCFD

Page 34: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

Raw Natural Gas Processing Plant

Consumer Quality Natural

Gas

Methane and Ethane

Propane

Butane

Natural Gasoline

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Natural Gas ProcessingCurrent Status

Natural GasLiquids

“Y-Grade” if left

fractionated

Page 35: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

Raw Natural Gas Processing Plant

Consumer Quality Natural

GasMethane

Ethane

Propane

Butane

Natural Gasoline

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Natural Gas ProcessingWith Ethane Extraction

Natural GasLiquids

“Y-Grade” if left

fractionated

Page 36: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

North Dakota Natural Gas Liquids

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Page 37: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

Vantage Pipeline: Ethane

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43,000 – 57,000 BPD Proposed Startup:

Q3 – 2012Size: 430 Miles, 10”or 12”

Approx. $290 Million

Page 38: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

ONEOK Bakken Pipeline: Y-Grade

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60,000 – 110,000 BPD Proposed Startup:

Q1/Q2 – 2013Size:

525-615 Miles, 12”Approx. $700 Million

Page 39: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

Refining Study

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Page 40: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

Refining Study

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Page 41: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

NDPA Monthly Webinars

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Page 42: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

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Page 43: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

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Page 44: North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12-30-2010 Slides.pdfNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820

North Dakota Pipeline Authority

600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405Bismarck, ND 58505-0840

Phone: (701)220-6227Fax: (701)328-2820

E-mail: [email protected]

Website: www.pipeline.nd.gov

Thank You!


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