Grain: World Markets and Trade
Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board - USDA
This could be another year of volatile prices withtight exportable supplies of corn and wheat. Incontrast, the rice world supplies are relativelyabundant.
Against the backdrop of low carry-in corn and wheatstocks, expectations of a large rebound in globalexportable supplies now remain uncertain afterdelayed corn plantings in the United States, reducedU.S. winter wheat production, continued dryness inthe EU, and wet conditions in Canada.
Global corn production is forecast up 52 MMT overlast year, with the United States expected to accountfor half of the gain. However, nearly all of the growthin global corn consumption is expected to come fromforeign demand, in countries such as Brazil, China,and Mexico. For wheat, the year-to-year gain inproduction is a more modest 21 MMT, with morethan three-quarters of the rebound coming fromlarger expected crops in Russia, Ukraine, andKazakhstan. As a result, production and consumptionare expected to be in balance, compared to last year’sshortfall of 14 MMT.
Corn and wheat ending stocks in the exportingcountries are up slightly year-to-year, leaving littlesupply cushion in the event of adverse weatherimpacting crops. For corn, the exporting countriesare: Argentina, Brazil, and the United States. Forwheat the exporters include: Argentina, Australia,Canada, EU, United States, Kazakhstan, Russia, andUkraine.
For rice, record supplies and large ending stocks inthe exporter countries (Thailand, Vietnam, India,Pakistan, and the United States) contrast with wheatand corn, where stocks are still tight.
Wheat and Corn Outlook Remains Tight;Rice Relatively Abundant
United StatesDepartment ofAgriculture
ForeignAgriculturalService
Circular SeriesFG 05-11May 2011
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
05/06 06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12
MMT Wheat & Corn Exporter Ending Stocks Tight
Corn Wheat
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
05
101520253035
06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12
MMT Trade
MMTStocks
Record Rice Trade and Abundant Exporter Ending Stocks
Major Exporters World Trade
1100
1200
1300
1400
1500
1600
02/03 05/06 08/09 11/12
MMT Global Corn and Wheat Production and Consumption In Balance
Production Consumption
Grain: World Markets and Trade, May 2011
2
TABLE OF CONTENTS
World Markets and Trade: Commentary and Current Data Wheat ............................................................................................................. 4 Rice .............................................................................................................. 12 Coarse Grains ............................................................................................... 18 Historical Data Series for Selected Regions and Countries ........................... 39 Endnotes to Grain: World Markets and Trade ............................................. 58 The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 9 a.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. It is available on the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/). This circular is released at 10:00 a.m. on the same day, together with its downloadable data set.
May 2011
All Grain Summary Comparison
Marketing Year
Wheat Rice, Milled Corn
2011/122010/112009/102011/122010/112009/102011/122010/112009/10
Production
United States (Jun-May) 60.4 60.1 55.6 7.1 7.6 6.8 332.5 316.2 343.0
Other 623.8 588.0 613.9 432.9 444.0 451.1 480.4 499.2 524.7
World Total 684.2 648.1 669.5 440.1 451.6 457.9 813.0 815.3 867.7
Domestic Consumption
United States (Jun-May) 30.9 32.1 33.7 4.0 4.0 4.0 281.4 293.4 293.5
Other 621.0 628.9 633.4 430.7 442.4 451.3 528.7 546.1 564.0
World Total 652.0 661.0 667.2 434.7 446.4 455.3 810.1 839.5 857.5
Ending Stocks
United States (Jun-May) 26.6 22.8 19.1 1.2 1.7 1.6 43.4 18.5 22.9
Other 169.6 159.4 162.1 92.7 95.3 94.6 102.0 103.7 106.3
World Total 196.2 182.2 181.3 93.9 97.0 96.2 145.4 122.2 129.1
TY Imports
United States (Jun-May) 3.2 3.0 3.0 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.6 0.5
Other 128.6 120.3 121.0 28.3 28.4 28.1 90.5 90.8 88.8
World Total 131.7 123.2 124.0 28.9 29.0 28.7 90.7 91.4 89.3
TY Exports
United States (Jun-May) 24.2 35.5 29.0 3.9 3.4 3.5 49.9 48.5 46.0
Other 110.2 90.7 97.7 27.7 27.6 28.7 43.2 44.4 45.8
World Total 134.4 126.2 126.7 31.6 31.0 32.2 93.1 92.9 91.8
Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and exports
and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.
Marketing years for U.S. grains are: Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).
'Marketing Year' column is germane for U.S. wheat only.
May 2011
Grain: World Markets and Trade, May 2011
4
WHEAT: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE
Production/Consumption in Balance
500
550
600
650
700
03/0
4
04/0
5
05/0
6
06/0
7
07/0
8
08/0
9
09/1
0
10/1
1
11/1
2
Production Consumption
MMT
Global wheat production is projected to reach 670 million tons, up 21 million from last year. However, dry spring weather is limiting production, particularly in the United States and the EU. Global consumption is projected to expand to 670 million tons, up nearly 8 million from last year, driven mostly by expanding feed wheat demand in China, the EU, and the United States. Given this scenario, global ending stocks are expected to decline slightly.
May 2011
Grain: World Markets and Trade, May 2011
5
Traditional Exporter* Stocks Decline Again
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12
MMT
*Argentina, Australia, Canada, EU, the United States
A key price factor for the world wheat market is the level of stocks held by traditional exporters: Australia, Canada, the EU, Argentina and the United States. Ending stocks are expected to tighten somewhat this year. The biggest drop is in the United States, but stocks are still abundant. Slight increases are expected in Australia and the EU, partly offsetting the decline. Although stock levels are expected to recover in Russia and Ukraine, restrictive government export policies will continue to impact prices.
May 2011
Grain: World Markets and Trade, May 2011
6
HIGHLIGHTS FOR 2011/12 Selected Importers Global trade is relatively unchanged from last year. However, there are several offsetting changes. Import demand is lower in North Africa primarily due to larger crops in Morocco and Egypt. Similarly, Mexican imports are expected to decline due to improved production prospects. EU imports are higher because of expected availability of feed-quality wheat from Ukraine. Increases are also expected in several Middle Eastern countries, particularly Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and Israel. Imports are rising in Indonesia due to expanding milling capacity. Nigeria is also raised due to higher expected milling capacity utilization. Selected Exporters Black Sea Countries* Expected to Boost Market Share- U.S. /EU Drop Current export restrictions in both Ukraine and Russia are expected to end June 30. Less restrictive export policies during 2011/12 are expected to facilitate exports. With the resumption of exports, their global market share is expected to double, while that of the United States and the EU is expected to drop. Last year, the United States made considerable gains in the Middle East and Egypt, a primary purchaser of Russian wheat. Bulgaria and Romania were able to export low-quality wheat used as bread flour in Bangladesh and in feed rations in Southeast Asia. However, it is expected that Ukraine will once again provide low-quality wheat to these markets. The United States Expected to Lose Market Share in the Western Hemisphere as Canada Rebounds With a rebound forecast in both production and quality, Canada is expected to recover market share in the Western Hemisphere, particularly in Peru and Mexico, at the expense of the United States.
May 2011
Grain: World Markets and Trade, May 2011
7
PRICES:
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
$/M
T
U.S. Weekly FOB Export Bids
HRS SRW SWW HRW
Domestic: The continued unrest in the Middle East and North Africa, weather related concerns over supplies of Hard Red Winter Wheat (HRW), supportive U.S. corn prices, and technical market factors have contributed to recent price volatility. The U.S. season-average farm price is forecast at a record $6.80-8.20 per bushel. TRADE CHANGES IN 2010/11 Selected Exporters
• Australia is up 1.0 million tons to 16.0 million on the torrid export pace to date.
• Canada is cut 500,000 tons to 16.5 million as high-quality milling wheat supplies dwindle.
• United States is raised 500,000 tons to 35.5 million on strong demand for high-quality
wheat and tight supplies in Canada which will boost the shipments in final months of the trade year.
May 2011
Grain: World Markets and Trade, May 2011
8
Selected Importers
• Bangladesh is up 400,000 tons to 3.4 million on unexpected reports of large purchases of
Pakistani wheat.
• Japan is up 300,000 tons to 5.5 million on the continued strong import pace despite the earthquake.
• Vietnam is boosted 500,000 tons to 2.3 million, a record, on increased demand for feed-
quality wheat used in its growing aquaculture industry.
May 2011
World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade
July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12
May
none
TY Exports
7,0007,5005,1728,62110,22812,231 Argentina
15,00016,00013,76413,4507,44911,241 Australia
18,50016,50018,99218,67416,56119,278 Canada
18,00022,00022,11525,35112,27213,813 EU-27
7,5005,0007,8715,7018,1818,089 Kazakhstan
1,2001,2003002,1002,200700 Pakistan
10,0004,00018,55618,39312,22010,790 Russia
3,2003,0004,3712,3421,7632,200 Turkey
8,5003,5009,33713,0371,2363,366 Ukraine
1,100900994616422253 Uruguay
7,66411,0778,7497,5759,6198,800 Others
97,66490,677110,221115,86082,15190,761 Subtotal
29,00035,50024,17527,10134,28224,873 United States
126,664126,177134,396142,961116,433115,634 World Total
none
TY Imports
3,0002,0002,5003,8002,3001,400 Afghanistan
5,3005,3005,1676,3565,9044,874 Algeria
3,0003,4003,3312,8821,5001,731 Bangladesh
6,7006,7006,6676,7627,0767,743 Brazil
1,4001,3501,4241,4031,3091,241 Colombia
9,50010,20010,3009,9007,7007,300 Egypt
6,0004,5005,5197,7376,9335,233 EU-27
6,2005,8005,3645,4195,2275,601 Indonesia
3,7003,3003,9053,8793,4292,892 Iraq
1,7001,5001,8622,0631,1891,494 Israel
5,5005,5005,5025,1565,7015,747 Japan
4,2004,2004,4703,3713,0923,439 Korea, South
3,1003,5003,1963,3423,1363,607 Mexico
2,1003,9002,3043,7594,1921,802 Morocco
4,1003,7004,0793,5502,6333,265 Nigeria
1,6001,7001,7031,3851,4441,367 Peru
3,0003,0003,1883,2012,2662,754 Philippines
2,0001,7001,9101,27575100 Saudi Arabia
1,8001,6001,9011,7121,0601,323 Sudan
1,5001,6001,5341,7682,3721,430 Tunisia
3,0003,0003,2183,5782,1921,778 Turkey
1,5001,5001,6771,4409901,090 Uzbekistan
1,5001,5001,5971,5011,5011,707 Venezuela
2,3002,3001,9271,0161,0661,292 Vietnam
2,6002,6002,6022,7961,9002,414 Yemen
34,73034,90041,71647,73634,28937,278 Others
121,030120,250128,563136,787110,476109,902 Subtotal
2,6842,9772,6532,7753,0052,375 Unaccounted
2,9502,9503,1803,3992,9523,357 United States
126,664126,177134,396142,961116,433115,634 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.
May 2011
World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12
May
none
Production
13,50015,00011,00011,00018,60016,300 Argentina
24,50026,00021,92321,42013,56910,822 Australia
26,00023,16726,84828,61120,05425,265 Canada
115,500115,000115,120112,464109,298108,466 China
8,7007,2008,5237,9778,2758,274 Egypt
138,615135,763138,601151,122120,133124,870 EU-27
84,00080,80080,68078,57075,81069,350 India
13,75015,50013,4857,95715,88714,664 Iran
15,0009,70017,05212,53816,46713,460 Kazakhstan
5,9004,8876,4003,7301,5836,327 Morocco
23,50023,90024,00020,95923,29521,277 Pakistan
53,00041,50861,77063,76549,36844,927 Russia
17,40017,00018,45016,80015,50017,500 Turkey
19,00016,84420,86625,88513,93813,947 Ukraine
6,5006,5006,2006,0006,2005,850 Uzbekistan
49,07549,26552,89645,97648,29745,737 Others
613,940588,034623,814614,774556,274547,036 Subtotal
55,60560,10360,36668,01655,82149,217 United States
669,545648,137684,180682,790612,095596,253 World Total
none
Total Consumption
8,7508,6508,5508,3008,0507,850 Algeria
8,5009,0256,7256,8506,5007,600 Australia
10,80010,80011,00010,70010,30010,300 Brazil
7,9008,7006,9277,9776,7938,984 Canada
111,000109,500107,000105,500106,000102,000 China
18,10017,50017,90017,20015,80015,300 Egypt
125,000122,500125,000127,000116,536125,500 EU-27
84,70082,52578,15070,92476,42373,477 India
14,80015,50016,10015,80015,50015,300 Iran
8,4008,3008,0007,4507,2257,200 Morocco
23,40023,20023,00022,80022,40021,700 Pakistan
40,80044,30042,00038,90037,65036,400 Russia
17,30017,20017,10016,90016,80016,650 Turkey
11,80011,60012,30011,90012,30011,700 Ukraine
7,9007,7007,4007,1006,9006,500 Uzbekistan
134,276131,867133,893126,283119,714120,830 Others
636,742630,000623,314608,144588,762585,189 Subtotal
33,74732,10930,93234,29328,61430,940 United States
670,489662,109654,246642,437617,376616,129 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
7,2576,1574,0823,5893,6513,953 Australia
6,1966,1967,8296,5474,4066,865 Canada
64,42559,92554,42545,80339,08138,569 China
5,3965,3965,5964,8574,2744,142 Egypt
13,32011,70515,94218,93712,42914,171 EU-27
13,74514,44516,12013,4305,8004,500 India
8,0295,62912,12110,7434,0684,130 Russia
43,77349,90853,50644,46643,85442,423 Others
162,141159,361169,621148,372117,563118,753 Subtotal
19,11622,84026,55217,8678,32312,414 United States
181,257182,201196,173166,239125,886131,167 World Total
May 2011
Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11
May
2011/12
TY Imports none
7,279 North America 6,475 7,128 6,779 6,850 6,450
1,582 Central America 1,460 1,489 1,469 1,450 1,500
13,855 South America 13,092 13,074 13,091 12,865 12,840
5,233 European Union 6,933 7,737 5,519 4,500 6,000
1,508 Other Europe 1,923 1,712 1,696 1,685 1,685
5,988 Former Soviet Union - 12 6,032 6,569 5,415 5,725 5,750
12,063 Middle East 11,810 28,218 22,515 16,450 17,525
16,400 North Africa 21,742 23,472 21,396 22,400 19,800
11,431 Sub-Saharan Africa 10,287 13,707 15,773 13,990 14,495
11,894 East Asia 11,277 11,322 13,745 13,150 13,000
10,949 South Asia 8,215 10,771 7,586 6,915 7,510
12,441 Southeast Asia 11,405 12,324 13,902 14,550 14,750
2,636 Others 2,777 2,663 2,857 2,670 2,675
113,259 Total 113,428 140,186 131,743 123,200 123,980
Production none
77,722 North America 79,468 100,627 91,362 86,920 85,705
21,222 South America 25,435 20,516 21,039 25,245 23,262
124,870 European Union 120,133 151,122 138,601 135,763 138,615
4,313 Other Europe 4,405 4,712 4,609 3,800 4,120
84,888 Former Soviet Union - 12 92,470 115,491 113,927 80,971 100,595
42,129 Middle East 41,040 30,325 38,369 40,175 37,940
18,576 North Africa 13,948 14,352 20,261 16,133 19,125
5,724 Sub-Saharan Africa 5,547 6,103 6,155 5,592 5,860
109,669 East Asia 110,590 113,776 116,281 116,060 116,740
95,881 South Asia 105,070 103,898 111,200 111,020 112,620
11,099 Oceania 13,846 21,697 22,200 26,277 24,777
160 Others 143 171 176 181 186
596,253 Total 612,095 682,790 684,180 648,137 669,545
Domestic Consumption none
46,124 North America 40,907 48,270 44,159 47,209 48,097
24,193 South America 24,346 24,494 25,658 25,475 25,615
125,500 European Union 116,536 127,000 125,000 122,500 125,000
5,273 Other Europe 5,495 5,560 5,444 5,335 5,340
72,551 Former Soviet Union - 12 74,956 76,366 80,300 81,050 79,020
51,304 Middle East 50,758 52,669 53,615 53,625 53,300
34,219 North Africa 35,825 37,475 39,250 38,975 39,725
16,742 Sub-Saharan Africa 15,696 18,505 20,291 19,647 20,306
113,938 East Asia 117,556 117,188 120,068 122,035 123,710
104,866 South Asia 109,638 105,304 113,861 117,710 120,080
11,719 Southeast Asia 11,009 12,054 13,288 14,285 14,370
8,535 Oceania 7,383 7,720 7,635 9,910 9,390
3,267 Others 3,400 3,272 3,408 3,220 3,220
618,231 Total 613,505 635,877 651,977 660,976 667,173
Ending Stocks none
19,690 North America 13,108 24,729 34,901 29,606 25,832
3,652 South America 4,571 4,015 4,531 4,646 4,411
14,171 European Union 12,429 18,937 15,942 11,705 13,320
1,742 Other Europe 1,817 2,176 2,202 1,412 1,387
11,386 Former Soviet Union - 12 13,044 20,989 23,370 15,956 16,971
12,294 Middle East 11,610 11,564 15,050 13,963 12,216
9,600 North Africa 9,186 9,216 11,248 10,531 9,456
1,395 Sub-Saharan Africa 1,203 1,794 2,785 1,995 1,474
40,957 East Asia 41,899 48,637 57,213 62,898 67,438
8,912 South Asia 10,079 17,359 21,430 20,155 18,455
2,856 Southeast Asia 2,771 2,713 2,915 2,710 2,605
4,224 Oceania 3,917 3,806 4,273 6,315 7,382
288 Others 252 304 313 309 310
131,167 Total 125,886 166,239 196,173 182,201 181,257
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are reported
using local marketing years.
May 2011
Grain: World Markets and Trade, May 2011
12
RICE: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE
Global production for 2011/2012 is forecast at record levels as Governments of many importing and exporting countries continue to promote rice production by subsidizing input costs or purchasing local paddy to boost farm gate prices. Meanwhile, expanding population is driving rising demand. Stocks held by major exporters, particularly Vietnam, the United States, and India are expected to remain large. Global trade is estimated to reach a new record on strong worldwide demand, especially from the Philippines. On the supply side, Pakistan is expected to recover from last year’s floods and large exportable supplies are forecast out of Vietnam, Thailand, and Cambodia. Consequently, global prices are expected to remain soft, despite the run-up in other commodities. Quotes for benchmark Thai 100B have only increased about $7 (on a base of $484) per ton since last year.
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
420
425
430
435
440
445
450
455
460
465
2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012*
Stoc
ks/T
rade
MM
T
Prod
/Con
s M
MT
Record Production Meets Rising Consumption; Exporter Stocks Plentiful Despite Record Exports
Production Consumption Ending Stocks by Major Exporters**
* Forecast **Major Exporters include Thailand, Vietnam, United States, Pakistan, and India
May 2011
Grain: World Markets and Trade, May 2011
13
TRADE CHANGES FOR 2011 Selected Exporters:
• EU is more than doubled to 400,000 on demand for EU varieties.
• Pakistan is down 150,000 tons to 2.5 million as lower production impacts exports.
• Vietnam is up 200,000 tons to 6.2 million on the pace of exports.
Selected Importers:
• Bangladesh is raised 200,000 tons to 1.0 million on purchases to date. • Brazil is reduced 100,000 tons to 500,000 due to reports of a record crop.
• EU is cut 280,000 tons to 1.1 million on falling demand.
• Iran is boosted 200,000 tons to 1.4 million on lower production than originally
estimated.
May 2011
Grain: World Markets and Trade, May 2011
14
MARKETING YEAR CHANGES For the countries below, marketing year definitions were changed to better reflect common production and marketing cycles within regions. Changes were made beginning with 2007/2008: * For Marketing Year 2007/2008, the starting month is January 2008.
** For Marketing Year 2007/2008, the starting month is July or October 2007. NEW SERIES A trade series for New Zealand was added this month beginning with marketing year 1997/1998. Although New Zealand does not produce rice, imports have grown to a level warranting inclusion in the database.
January-December* Armenia Brunei Israel
Malaysia Saudi Arabia Switzerland
Taiwan July-June**
China October-September**
Afghanistan Nepal Iran Iraq
May 2011
World Rice Trade
January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12
May
none
TY Exports
600600468594408436 Argentina
450350401748190 Australia
550600430591511201 Brazil
8007004451,05254131 Burma
1,0001,2001,000800500450 Cambodia
6006006197839691,340 China
350400282150157139 EU-27
230250275244185254 Guyana
2,8002,4002,0522,1233,3836,301 India
150200200200200200 Japan
3,2002,5004,0003,1873,0502,696 Pakistan
1501501351246967 Paraguay
10,00010,0009,0478,57010,0119,557 Thailand
850850808926742734 Uruguay
6,4006,2006,7345,9504,6494,522 Vietnam
5706391,1901,0071,0681,774 Others
28,70027,63927,72526,31826,49128,892 Subtotal
3,4503,3753,8563,0173,2673,025 United States
32,15031,01431,58129,33529,75831,917 World Total
none
TY Imports
5501,0006601501,6581,570 Bangladesh
600500774650417684 Brazil
340330330322365341 Canada
400400366337295472 China
950900840800800980 Cote d'Ivoire
525525498457558574 Cuba
1,0701,0701,2161,3831,5201,342 EU-27
415410390397399348 Hong Kong
4001,7501,1502503502,000 Indonesia
1,5001,4001,0001,4701,4301,460 Iran
1,2001,1501,1401,089975773 Iraq
700700650750546642 Japan
350330320245282242 Korea, South
1,1301,0409071,0861,039799 Malaysia
700655598610578607 Mexico
375400320385300410 Mozambique
1,9501,9002,0002,0001,8001,550 Nigeria
2,2001,0002,4002,0002,5001,900 Philippines
1,1501,1001,0691,0721,166961 Saudi Arabia
700700685715860700 Senegal
750760733745650960 South Africa
350350315250230235 Syria
430420400380350285 United Arab Emirates
500600400500300450 Vietnam
340335330329315338 Yemen
8,5428,6628,8437,9638,1848,140 Others
28,11728,38728,33426,33527,86728,763 Subtotal
3,4032,0072,6852,3181,2402,459 Unaccounted
630620562682651695 United States
32,15031,01431,58129,33529,75831,917 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.
Note about dates: 2011/12 is calendar year 2012, 2010/11 is calendar year 2011, and so on.
May 2011
World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12
May
none
Milled Production
33,00032,90031,00031,00028,80029,000 Bangladesh
7,9009,4507,6578,5708,1997,695 Brazil
11,00010,75010,55010,15010,73010,600 Burma
5,2005,0204,7804,5204,2383,946 Cambodia
140,000139,300136,570134,330130,224127,200 China
3,1003,1004,3004,4024,3854,383 Egypt
97,00094,50089,09099,18096,69093,350 India
37,60036,90036,37038,31037,00035,300 Indonesia
7,6807,7207,7118,0297,9307,786 Japan
4,3004,2954,9164,8434,4084,680 Korea, South
6,8004,7006,8006,9005,7005,450 Pakistan
10,80010,3509,77210,75510,4799,775 Philippines
2,9002,4002,6502,2272,2002,145 Sri Lanka
20,75020,26220,26019,85019,80018,250 Thailand
25,43025,25124,99324,39324,37522,922 Vietnam
37,62737,12535,52333,52231,20831,243 Others
451,087444,023432,942440,981426,366413,725 Subtotal
6,7717,5547,1336,5466,2886,267 United States
457,858451,577440,075447,527432,654419,992 World Total
none
Consumption and Residual
34,00033,70031,60031,00030,74729,764 Bangladesh
8,4008,4008,4008,4008,3508,400 Brazil
10,25010,1509,8509,64810,24910,670 Burma
4,2203,8403,8103,7703,7883,646 Cambodia
137,700136,000134,320133,000127,450127,200 China
3,1003,4003,6704,0003,3403,276 Egypt
94,70091,00085,69091,09090,46686,700 India
39,14038,85038,00037,10036,35035,900 Indonesia
8,2508,1258,2008,3268,1778,250 Japan
4,8004,7974,7604,7884,6704,887 Korea, South
4,6504,5704,4504,1003,9103,925 Nigeria
3,2002,8502,9153,4902,7182,207 Pakistan
13,35013,32513,30013,10013,49912,000 Philippines
10,90010,50010,2009,5009,6009,780 Thailand
19,45019,30019,15019,00019,40018,775 Vietnam
55,18853,56952,41349,83649,27648,962 Others
454,717444,390433,715431,896423,744417,407 Subtotal
4,0134,0084,0154,0824,0424,101 United States
458,730448,398437,730435,978427,786421,508 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
45,73443,63440,53438,54637,76235,915 China
21,10021,60020,50019,00013,00011,430 India
5,2376,3776,5777,0575,6074,607 Indonesia
2,7682,7882,6932,7152,5562,406 Japan
1,2201,5703,3454,6734,4184,868 Philippines
6,0126,0626,1004,7872,7072,510 Thailand
1,9011,8211,4701,9612,0181,392 Vietnam
10,63511,45911,45711,79910,96310,704 Others
94,60795,31192,67690,53879,03173,832 Subtotal
1,5601,7281,1849779351,266 United States
96,16797,03993,86091,51579,96675,098 World Total
Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.
May 2011
Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11
May
2011/12
TY Imports none
1,643 North America 1,594 1,614 1,490 1,605 1,670
1,015 Caribbean 1,028 906 989 985 1,015
1,086 South America 1,105 1,116 1,393 1,227 1,372
137 Other Europe 98 126 126 135 135
368 Former Soviet Union - 12 361 412 402 377 310
4,879 Middle East 5,519 5,349 5,187 5,635 5,870
355 North Africa 275 155 350 325 330
7,784 Sub-Saharan Africa 7,569 8,175 8,243 8,415 8,570
2,318 East Asia 1,652 1,877 1,962 2,015 2,050
1,946 South Asia 2,208 528 1,097 1,435 890
5,683 Southeast Asia 4,640 4,542 5,562 4,988 4,735
2,244 Others 2,469 2,217 2,095 1,865 1,800
29,458 Total 28,518 27,017 28,896 29,007 28,747
Production none
6,445 North America 6,466 6,702 7,310 7,704 6,904
798 Caribbean 796 882 984 1,010 1,010
14,220 South America 15,461 16,217 15,173 17,233 15,133
1,676 European Union 1,757 1,620 1,887 1,867 1,899
980 Former Soviet Union - 12 988 906 1,095 1,223 1,262
2,282 Middle East 2,318 2,026 2,002 2,061 2,040
4,413 North Africa 4,406 4,423 4,335 3,140 3,140
8,922 Sub-Saharan Africa 8,492 10,268 11,217 12,485 12,797
142,661 East Asia 145,044 150,087 152,218 153,931 154,876
133,111 South Asia 136,570 142,432 132,775 137,675 142,950
103,789 Southeast Asia 109,790 111,279 110,269 111,944 114,411
695 Others 566 685 810 1,304 1,436
419,992 Total 432,654 447,527 440,075 451,577 457,858
Domestic Consumption none
5,230 North America 5,130 5,172 5,153 5,168 5,228
1,118 Central America 1,104 1,125 1,129 1,136 1,126
1,879 Caribbean 1,944 1,831 1,914 2,003 2,028
13,963 South America 14,199 14,534 14,676 14,743 14,697
2,911 European Union 3,185 2,925 2,860 2,700 2,700
1,329 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,303 1,242 1,280 1,395 1,407
7,473 Middle East 7,537 7,577 7,510 7,643 7,865
3,546 North Africa 3,636 4,133 4,038 3,750 3,455
16,648 Sub-Saharan Africa 16,907 17,434 19,227 20,704 21,139
144,289 East Asia 143,296 149,584 150,799 152,143 154,245
124,366 South Asia 129,831 131,370 126,363 133,520 138,250
94,938 Southeast Asia 97,272 96,739 99,159 100,809 102,466
753 Others 688 564 635 670 705
418,443 Total 426,032 434,230 434,743 446,384 455,311
Ending Stocks none
1,409 North America 1,128 1,143 1,354 1,878 1,701
272 Central America 265 200 236 226 241
178 Caribbean 134 109 129 146 148
1,924 South America 1,743 2,229 1,755 2,517 1,813
1,138 European Union 1,126 1,020 1,120 957 876
1,888 Middle East 2,172 1,999 1,607 1,460 1,420
370 North Africa 685 557 497 177 142
1,161 Sub-Saharan Africa 983 974 1,002 1,068 1,176
39,317 East Asia 41,284 42,488 45,038 48,033 49,959
12,636 South Asia 14,306 21,393 22,429 23,559 23,189
14,426 Southeast Asia 15,950 19,249 18,494 16,716 15,195
230 Oceania 52 26 44 97 107
149 Others 138 128 155 205 200
75,098 Total 79,966 91,515 93,860 97,039 96,167
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are reported
using local marketing years.
May 2011
Grain: World Markets and Trade, May 2011
18
COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE
World coarse grain production in 2011/12 is forecast 62 million tons above the previous year, reaching a new record, and global consumption is forecast up 20 million tons, a new record. However, ending stocks are forecast to build only fractionally after last year’s sharp drawdown. Feed consumption is forecast to expand as economic growth worldwide seems to be underway. Global corn production is forecast at a record 868 million tons, up more than 50 million tons from last year. U.S. corn production is forecast at a record. Global consumption is projected to climb over 20 million tons to a record 861 million. While the gain in production is almost equally split between the United States and foreign countries, essentially all consumption growth occurs in foreign countries. Corn used for ethanol in the United States is expected to grow at the slowest pace since the 1990’s. World corn trade is expected to decline for the second consecutive year, although still in line with the long-term trend. Favorable production in China, EU, Mexico, and Ukraine--and in most major producing countries--will either diminish import demand or spur export competition. Nonetheless, most of the key importers will have expanded trade in 2011/12. Canadian imports are up 600,000 tons, despite sluggish feed grain demand and a large crop,
0
50
100
150
MM
T
Falling U.S. and World Carryin Stocks
U.S. All Others
600
700
800
900
1000
1100
1200
Higher Coarse Grain Production Meets Consumption
Production Consumption
75
85
95
105
115
125MMT
Coarse Grain Trade Trends Downward
25
35
45
55
65
75
Perc
ent
U.S. Corn Export Market Share Shrinks Steadily
MMT
May 2011
Grain: World Markets and Trade, May 2011
19
as the country returns to normal after record exports this year. EU imports decline sharply, following better crops. U.S. exports are forecast down with continued tight domestic supplies and high prices; consequently market share continues to shrink. Additionally, Argentina’s record crop and large global supplies of feed-quality wheat provide more competition. World barley trade is expected to decline for the fourth consecutive year as tight supplies in major producing countries constrain world trade. EU exports are expected to fall dramatically, as feed barley production expansion is limited by the relative competitiveness of other crops, while malting barley continues to be a niche crop driven by contracting. Ukrainian exports are forecast higher, although still below levels of the last several years, as the government is expected to allow the movement of new crop supplies. Russian exports are up, but tight domestic supplies will likely limit export opportunities. On the demand side, Saudi trade is down on these limited exportable supplies and a government measure to double the price of imports. Uncertainty also remains over the fate of the Saudi import subsidy in the future. Global sorghum trade is forecast down 14 percent as tighter exportable supplies from the U.S. impact demand from Mexico and EU. Global oats trade is expected to rebound as larger crops in Canada should support greater exports to the United States. PRICES: Domestic: U.S. corn export quotes rose in the first 2 weeks of April then plummeted through the end of April and beginning of May ending at $292/ton. Argentine quotes followed suit, ending at $285/ton. Brazilian corn prices for export remained unavailable for the month of April; however, new crop export quotes were posted in early May.
TMT
225
250
275
300
325
350
$/M
TCorn Weekly Export Bids
U.S. Gulf Argentina Up River Brazil Paranagua
May 2011
Grain: World Markets and Trade, May 2011
20
HIGHLIGHTS FOR 2010/11 Selected Exporters
• U.S. corn is cut 1.5 million tons to 48.5 million based on the slowing pace of sales and shipments.
• Argentine corn is raised 1.0 million tons to 14.0 million because of reduced U.S. competition.
• Canadian corn exports are raised sharply by 600,000 tons to a record 1.6 million tons; corn imports are slashed to 800,000 tons, the lowest in 15 years. Strong exports, (especially to the United States), weak purchases, and a record harvest last year have quickly turned the country into a net exporter for the first time in nearly 20 years.
• Serbian corn is up 300,000 tons to 2.0 million based on the pace of shipments.
• Ukrainian corn is raised 500,000 tons to 6.0 million as export quota restrictions are in the process of being lifted and prospects are good for a record crop.
• Turkish barley plummets 250,000 tons to 150,000 as tight supplies of domestic feed ingredients will likely limit exports, while Ukrainian barley is lowered 300,000 tons to 2.5 million as lower-than-expected new crop supplies should limit late season exports.
• Argentine sorghum is up 200,000 tons to 1.6 million as result of the recently harvested
large crop and the most exports in 25 years. Selected Importers
• U.S. corn is raised 100,000 tons to a record 600,000 as strong imports continue from Canada.
• Iranian corn is boosted 300,000 tons to 3.5 million with strong shipments through February, especially from Brazil.
• Malaysian, Uruguayan, and Vietnamese corn are up 200,000 tons each based on trade data; Russian and Venezuelan corn are cut 200,000 tons each, also based on trade data.
• A data series was added for Namibian corn (starting in 2000) as the country is a consistent importer of about 100,000 tons annually from South Africa.
• Chinese barley is reduced 200,000 tons to 1.7 million on a slower import pace and expectations of continued tightness in global malting barley supplies.
• Saudi and Syrian barley are lowered 200,000 tons each to 6.2 million and 600,000 tons, respectively, on expectations of lower new crop supplies in Ukraine and the EU.
May 2011
World Coarse Grain Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12
May
none
TY Exports
19,50516,70519,02810,24117,78617,191 Argentina
5,7105,9104,4144,8733,8951,995 Australia
8,00511,0058,6277,1878,0328,188 Brazil
3,7504,4003,0683,8526,3793,787 Canada
3,7555,8554,2674,3384,6795,463 EU-27
2,3002,4702,0722,6425,539721 India
1,8053302,5284,9451,4191,836 Russia
2,2052,0151,3651,478132863 Serbia
2,0402,2251,6342,1591,145462 South Africa
10,0058,52010,93611,3805,9093,942 Ukraine
5,5804,9657,0856,0205,65611,123 Others
64,66064,40065,02459,11560,57155,571 Subtotal
49,55052,30054,16451,55868,28959,157 United States
114,210116,700119,188110,673128,860114,728 World Total
none
TY Imports
2,5202,4002,5762,0672,4332,588 Algeria
1,3551,1551,0491,4971,2581,472 Brazil
1,4658702,0111,9003,1872,285 Canada
1,4001,4501,2751,3171,9691,766 Chile
2,3253,2753,7771,6511,1571,156 China
4,1554,0554,1023,4833,6033,714 Colombia
1,0501,0501,0719731,0741,212 Dominican Republic
5,6555,4305,8975,0934,1824,845 Egypt
4,2657,4703,0122,98819,8928,854 EU-27
1,5002,0001,3213172941,069 Indonesia
3,9003,9005,1005,0003,9003,600 Iran
1,5101,7351,5921,2951,7761,684 Israel
19,13519,13519,19819,61119,21019,668 Japan
7,7608,0608,5097,2489,3588,797 Korea, South
3,3003,0003,1072,4473,1812,363 Malaysia
11,42511,52510,91410,46511,01111,040 Mexico
2,2002,1002,2021,8332,1802,145 Morocco
1,5001,5701,8861,5201,5921,646 Peru
8,0058,1059,1769,1869,9687,778 Saudi Arabia
2,6002,6002,2912,8342,5612,079 Syria
4,8504,7504,6634,6584,6844,403 Taiwan
900700500900425100 Thailand
8501,0001,2028751,1821,519 Tunisia
1,6001,2002,1981,3401,103534 Venezuela
1,4001,5001,6001,250700650 Vietnam
12,06112,58313,60213,92115,02414,168 Others
108,686112,618113,831105,669126,904111,135 Subtotal
3,0991,7573,0782,197-1,654987 Unaccounted
2,4252,3252,2792,8073,6102,606 United States
114,210116,700119,188110,673128,860114,728 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.
May 2011
World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12
May
none
Production
32,61028,50928,03119,63427,11827,094 Argentina
13,30713,60711,09612,27212,8956,583 Australia
57,33357,34158,41253,48660,52053,216 Brazil
23,73022,06522,47727,18427,84123,145 Canada
178,260174,160163,630172,410158,863159,119 China
8,9258,9258,0469,0348,3027,928 Ethiopia
145,169139,643155,316162,102136,580137,918 EU-27
40,30040,35033,89039,55040,63033,810 India
8,1006,7506,9008,7008,5007,850 Indonesia
32,22929,52927,27232,25230,57729,181 Mexico
28,10028,10027,95926,67024,00026,000 Nigeria
28,70016,41631,84340,88129,17130,083 Russia
12,99312,44813,88113,08413,6907,760 South Africa
9,89510,09511,17610,4089,44510,896 Turkey
24,35021,44224,14326,27514,59219,165 Ukraine
146,620145,036136,814131,525128,212128,812 Others
790,621754,416760,886785,467730,936708,560 Subtotal
356,196330,230348,755325,867349,861279,998 United States
1,146,8171,084,6461,109,6411,111,3341,080,797988,558 World Total
none
Domestic Consumption
11,42510,6449,9548,7689,3679,694 Argentina
53,29851,57349,71448,19144,60543,312 Brazil
21,52020,76222,21622,89224,02324,502 Canada
176,240172,090166,975160,100156,783153,496 China
13,50013,19513,07212,16211,47711,800 Egypt
148,430152,005150,380151,855154,855148,427 EU-27
38,10037,55032,00036,50035,50032,520 India
9,4709,3709,3708,9208,7708,070 Iran
19,36519,48519,64519,96519,46019,823 Japan
42,12040,74540,88542,06040,23539,920 Mexico
28,05028,15027,75026,55024,00025,750 Nigeria
25,80018,45630,59033,01128,61728,399 Russia
11,35811,17310,91810,46810,1439,153 South Africa
10,80010,80510,87010,70010,56511,610 Turkey
13,60013,44212,96413,69611,93413,149 Ukraine
210,209208,144198,820196,585191,749186,650 Others
837,147816,666813,591804,500782,436770,703 Subtotal
305,683306,415295,160275,978274,533242,798 United States
1,142,8301,123,0811,108,7511,080,4781,056,9691,013,501 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
6,3909,00510,28712,45012,7033,760 Brazil
3,3983,4735,6506,3264,0103,501 Canada
63,63159,55154,37154,14440,40438,020 China
12,43915,19025,83220,84412,72615,335 EU-27
2,9633,8134,0633,1243,1993,284 Iran
3,3592,1251,9415,2394,7403,526 Mexico
4,4154,7205,3404,3273,2661,776 South Africa
39,70938,16541,19342,40638,95735,860 Others
136,304136,042148,677148,860120,005105,062 Subtotal
26,05822,33348,13347,06045,05936,174 United States
162,362158,375196,810195,920165,064141,236 World Total
May 2011
Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11
May
2011/12
TY Imports none
15,931 North America 17,808 15,172 15,204 14,720 15,315
2,906 Central America 2,681 2,491 2,537 2,755 2,950
2,227 Caribbean 2,239 2,011 2,139 2,200 2,210
10,176 South America 10,625 10,072 11,473 10,705 10,920
8,854 European Union 19,892 2,988 3,012 7,470 4,265
952 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,062 664 451 1,110 585
18,903 Middle East 21,810 21,247 21,435 18,847 19,000
11,666 North Africa 10,757 10,592 13,115 11,755 11,975
2,592 Sub-Saharan Africa 3,009 3,735 2,826 1,765 1,630
34,135 East Asia 34,662 33,349 36,276 35,350 34,200
4,394 Southeast Asia 4,746 5,405 6,725 7,365 7,215
1,005 Others 1,223 750 917 901 846
113,741 Total 130,514 108,476 116,110 114,943 111,111
Production none
332,324 North America 408,279 385,303 398,504 381,824 412,155
92,229 South America 99,917 84,977 98,405 98,506 103,166
137,918 European Union 136,580 162,102 155,316 139,643 145,169
11,568 Other Europe 9,370 12,357 11,800 12,190 12,565
58,749 Former Soviet Union - 12 54,154 79,162 68,179 47,690 65,405
19,656 Middle East 18,594 15,827 18,829 18,499 17,591
11,211 North Africa 9,894 10,219 14,891 12,359 13,532
87,720 Sub-Saharan Africa 90,972 96,200 96,605 105,561 102,954
161,420 East Asia 161,053 174,579 165,500 176,245 180,371
40,283 South Asia 47,105 45,688 40,331 46,708 46,583
24,271 Southeast Asia 26,882 27,710 25,386 26,865 29,070
7,230 Oceania 13,542 12,919 11,743 14,254 13,954
3,979 Others 4,455 4,291 4,152 4,302 4,302
988,558 Total 1,080,797 1,111,334 1,109,641 1,084,646 1,146,817
Domestic Consumption none
307,220 North America 338,791 340,930 358,261 367,922 369,323
71,054 South America 73,672 76,315 79,732 82,679 85,498
148,427 European Union 154,855 151,855 150,380 152,005 148,430
11,532 Other Europe 10,423 10,895 10,757 10,786 10,946
51,123 Former Soviet Union - 12 50,587 58,613 55,330 41,944 51,485
37,905 Middle East 38,192 37,833 38,469 38,304 37,934
22,008 North Africa 21,142 21,187 24,679 24,981 25,485
88,738 Sub-Saharan Africa 88,683 96,124 95,692 103,621 102,455
188,986 East Asia 191,632 194,849 201,611 206,544 210,249
39,002 South Asia 42,183 42,673 38,599 44,038 44,513
27,142 Southeast Asia 29,476 30,277 31,158 33,465 34,910
6,885 Oceania 7,666 7,897 7,727 8,477 8,302
9,051 Others 9,314 8,953 8,888 9,238 9,438
1,009,073 Total 1,056,616 1,078,401 1,101,283 1,124,004 1,138,968
Ending Stocks none
43,201 North America 53,809 58,625 55,724 27,931 32,815
9,447 South America 19,618 16,674 14,540 13,618 11,576
15,335 European Union 12,726 20,844 25,832 15,190 12,439
1,523 Other Europe 1,340 1,517 1,653 1,633 1,503
5,330 Former Soviet Union - 12 4,678 8,841 7,123 4,516 6,731
8,558 Middle East 8,663 8,496 9,345 8,299 6,891
3,187 North Africa 2,443 2,743 5,401 4,645 4,642
6,183 Sub-Saharan Africa 7,775 9,645 10,699 11,486 10,680
41,820 East Asia 44,975 57,883 57,843 62,729 66,786
1,588 South Asia 1,763 2,028 1,612 1,949 1,844
2,778 Southeast Asia 3,475 4,446 3,329 3,049 3,179
1,301 Oceania 2,737 3,342 2,926 2,558 2,500
985 Others 1,062 836 783 772 776
141,236 Total 165,064 195,920 196,810 158,375 162,362
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are reported
using local marketing years.
May 2011
World Corn Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12
May
none
TY Exports
17,00014,00016,9718,45815,67615,693 Argentina
8,00011,0008,6237,1787,8838,071 Brazil
1,0001,600184366944322 Canada
1,0001,0001,5191,743591664 EU-27
2,2002,4001,9172,5515,077582 India
1,7001,6001,3881,8621,4611,981 Paraguay
1,000254271,3314977 Russia
2,2002,0001,3431,467128854 Serbia
2,0002,2001,5862,1111,124431 South Africa
6,5006,0005,0725,4972,0741,027 Ukraine
3,1802,5504,1993,6412,6167,572 Others
45,78044,37543,22936,20537,62337,274 Subtotal
46,00048,50049,88747,75860,66354,214 United States
91,78092,87593,11683,96398,28691,488 World Total
none
TY Imports
2,5002,4002,5691,9032,1662,463 Algeria
1,0007006991,0929611,204 Brazil
1,4008001,9611,8443,1172,226 Canada
3,7003,6003,6513,0683,2673,386 Colombia
700700626586674672 Costa Rica
800800736708811646 Cuba
1,0501,0501,0719731,0741,212 Dominican Republic
5,6005,4005,8325,0314,1514,826 Egypt
4,0006,5002,9312,75414,0167,172 EU-27
700650651673617764 Guatemala
1,5002,0001,3213172941,069 Indonesia
3,5003,5004,3003,6002,9003,300 Iran
1,1001,2501,0538461,3741,311 Israel
16,10016,10015,97916,53316,61416,713 Japan
7,7008,0008,4617,1889,3118,731 Korea, South
3,3003,0003,1072,4473,1812,363 Malaysia
9,2009,0008,2987,7649,5568,944 Mexico
1,9001,8001,8021,5661,8581,683 Morocco
1,4001,5001,7821,4291,4691,528 Peru
2,0001,9001,8721,4821,9611,577 Saudi Arabia
2,2002,0002,0411,7841,6611,729 Syria
4,7004,6004,5214,5324,5274,283 Taiwan
900700500900425100 Thailand
1,6001,2002,1981,3361,103534 Venezuela
1,4001,5001,6001,250700650 Vietnam
8,80510,13010,92910,57511,96411,289 Others
88,75590,78090,49182,18199,75290,375 Subtotal
2,5251,4952,3881,445-1,967794 Unaccounted
500600237337501319 United States
91,78092,87593,11683,96398,28691,488 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.
The large, negative Unaccounted in 2007/08 arises largely from timing differences between declared exports and Japan's and Korea's
declared imports.
May 2011
World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12
May
none
Production
26,00022,00022,80015,50022,01722,500 Argentina
55,00055,00056,10051,00058,60051,000 Brazil
11,50011,7149,56110,59211,6498,990 Canada
172,000168,000158,000165,900152,300151,600 China
6,7006,5006,2806,6456,1746,149 Egypt
59,28855,46757,28162,32147,55553,829 EU-27
21,00020,50016,72019,73018,96015,100 India
8,1006,7506,9008,7008,5007,850 Indonesia
24,50021,50020,37424,22623,60022,350 Mexico
8,7008,7008,7597,9706,5007,800 Nigeria
7,2007,0006,2316,8537,2776,231 Philippines
6,5003,0753,9636,6823,7983,510 Russia
7,0006,8006,4006,1304,0546,415 Serbia
12,50012,00013,42012,56713,1647,300 South Africa
14,50011,91910,48611,4477,4216,426 Ukraine
84,19682,25777,15275,92972,11169,478 Others
524,684499,182480,427492,192463,680446,528 Subtotal
343,043316,165332,549307,142331,177267,503 United States
867,727815,347812,976799,334794,857714,031 World Total
none
Total Consumption
7,5007,1006,7006,4006,8006,700 Argentina
50,50048,80047,00045,50042,50041,000 Brazil
12,00011,10011,60611,68713,76911,442 Canada
168,000164,000159,000152,000149,000145,000 China
12,40012,10012,00011,10010,40010,700 Egypt
63,20061,10059,80061,60064,00062,400 EU-27
18,70018,00015,10017,00014,20013,900 India
9,2009,0008,8008,9008,5008,100 Indonesia
16,10016,20016,30016,70016,60016,500 Japan
7,8008,1008,3827,8948,6388,833 Korea, South
32,10030,30030,20032,40032,00030,700 Mexico
8,7008,8008,6007,9006,5507,600 Nigeria
7,3007,2006,5007,3007,1506,550 Philippines
10,80010,60010,4009,9009,6008,600 South Africa
6,9006,1005,7005,8505,7505,250 Ukraine
132,826127,645122,575119,617115,342111,288 Others
567,265545,197535,369523,300510,966497,995 Subtotal
293,511293,384281,423259,272261,632230,674 United States
860,776838,581816,792782,572772,598728,669 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
6,1898,6899,98912,08412,5793,592 Brazil
63,01458,71453,31453,16939,39436,602 China
3,9974,9095,0426,1494,4177,437 EU-27
1,6952,3452,7952,5022,4742,363 Iran
2,7891,4891,3893,5594,1313,084 Mexico
4,2834,5585,1334,1133,0901,661 South Africa
1,6115016729378251,204 Ukraine
22,71422,45423,71324,22624,31621,165 Others
106,292103,659102,047106,73991,22677,108 Subtotal
22,85218,53443,38042,50441,25533,114 United States
129,144122,193145,427149,243132,481110,222 World Total
May 2011
Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11
May
2011/12
TY Imports none
11,489 North America 13,174 9,945 10,496 10,400 11,100
2,906 Central America 2,678 2,491 2,537 2,750 2,950
9,136 South America 9,412 8,565 9,834 8,900 9,130
7,172 European Union 14,016 2,754 2,931 6,500 4,000
501 Former Soviet Union - 12 651 393 254 475 200
10,245 Middle East 10,116 9,462 11,232 10,125 10,575
10,136 North Africa 9,593 9,574 11,725 10,625 11,200
2,011 Sub-Saharan Africa 2,174 2,915 1,909 1,090 985
29,854 East Asia 30,746 28,481 30,386 30,330 29,130
4,385 Southeast Asia 4,715 5,391 6,709 7,355 7,205
2,227 Caribbean 2,239 2,011 2,139 2,200 2,210
632 Others 739 536 576 630 570
90,694 Total 100,253 82,518 90,728 91,380 89,255
Production none
298,843 North America 366,426 341,960 362,484 349,379 379,043
83,335 South America 90,887 76,109 88,867 87,441 91,985
53,829 European Union 47,555 62,321 57,281 55,467 59,288
9,350 Other Europe 7,239 9,965 9,685 10,135 10,435
12,921 Former Soviet Union - 12 13,908 21,946 18,041 18,556 25,315
5,733 Middle East 6,062 6,529 6,163 5,806 5,798
6,351 North Africa 6,376 6,847 6,482 6,702 6,902
41,987 Sub-Saharan Africa 47,156 49,421 53,346 55,642 56,023
153,453 East Asia 154,009 167,566 159,405 169,637 173,651
20,234 South Asia 24,090 24,780 21,840 25,570 26,070
2,890 Central America 3,285 3,222 3,041 3,188 3,188
24,055 Southeast Asia 26,659 27,485 25,162 26,645 28,850
1,050 Others 1,205 1,183 1,179 1,179 1,179
714,031 Total 794,857 799,334 812,976 815,347 867,727
Domestic Consumption none
272,816 North America 307,401 303,359 323,229 334,784 337,611
63,147 South America 66,112 67,854 70,439 72,890 75,190
62,400 European Union 64,000 61,600 59,800 61,100 63,200
8,995 Other Europe 7,766 8,351 8,354 8,525 8,585
12,274 Former Soviet Union - 12 12,970 14,905 13,115 13,160 16,460
14,765 Middle East 15,775 15,835 16,625 16,686 17,205
16,050 North Africa 15,750 16,125 17,650 17,800 18,200
43,080 Sub-Saharan Africa 44,068 48,848 50,850 54,184 54,761
176,719 East Asia 180,503 183,015 189,811 194,680 198,255
19,029 South Asia 19,531 22,050 20,320 23,170 23,870
26,922 Southeast Asia 29,249 30,043 30,943 33,250 34,700
5,850 Central America 5,900 5,800 5,700 5,925 6,125
3,190 Others 3,406 3,235 3,250 3,375 3,375
725,237 Total 772,431 781,020 810,086 839,529 857,537
Ending Stocks none
37,535 North America 46,843 47,896 46,527 21,595 27,113
8,360 South America 18,152 15,304 13,550 12,106 10,076
7,437 European Union 4,417 6,149 5,042 4,909 3,997
1,156 Other Europe 1,026 1,184 1,369 1,339 1,209
1,756 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,180 1,750 1,356 1,117 2,592
3,634 Middle East 4,041 4,029 4,468 3,673 2,826
1,591 North Africa 1,583 2,202 2,394 2,011 1,903
4,197 Sub-Saharan Africa 6,027 7,691 9,537 9,270 8,707
39,745 East Asia 43,373 56,283 56,112 61,299 65,625
1,025 South Asia 1,276 1,436 930 1,035 1,130
2,776 Southeast Asia 3,475 4,446 3,329 3,049 3,179
684 Central America 765 613 498 486 484
326 Others 323 260 315 304 303
110,222 Total 132,481 149,243 145,427 122,193 129,144
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are reported
using local marketing years.
May 2011
World Barley Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12
May
none
TY Exports
1,0001,100549871937537 Argentina
4,7004,5003,8463,2783,3771,927 Australia
1,1001,3001,2031,6182,9471,337 Canada
151513178149 China
557433 Croatia
105147671 Egypt
2,5004,6002,3892,3743,8884,366 EU-27
50203137371131 India
300200354314806606 Kazakhstan
552121 Kenya
25254331934 Moldova
8003002,0863,5981,2771,691 Russia
515221149 Serbia
5015080130345 Turkey
3,5002,5005,7525,8713,8142,911 Ukraine
0151310110165 Others
14,06514,75517,12518,04517,69314,113 Subtotal
200150151158901528 United States
14,26514,90517,27618,20318,59414,641 World Total
none
TY Imports
350450346403285267 Brazil
1,7001,7002,3411,5511,0911,127 China
250250237211256243 Colombia
4004008001,4001,000300 Iran
350350491367251224 Israel
1,3001,3001,4111,3461,3611,359 Japan
500500432514528804 Jordan
250200283252254217 Kuwait
20035058229616658 Libya
200200256263313462 Morocco
2003001339179229 Russia
6,0006,2007,3007,7008,0006,200 Saudi Arabia
4006002501,050900350 Syria
200450336229378866 Tunisia
2007015615924657 Turkey
1,3101,2751,3341,5242,2621,548 Others
13,81014,59516,56817,30417,47014,311 Subtotal
255110406327412-24 Unaccounted
200200302572712354 United States
14,26514,90517,27618,20318,59414,641 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.
May 2011
World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12
May
none
Production
1,5001,5002,400560950700 Algeria
2,2002,3001,3562,1101,6001,330 Argentina
9,0009,3007,9097,9977,1604,257 Australia
1,8001,4001,6502,2001,7001,350 Belarus
8,5007,6059,51711,78110,9849,573 Canada
2,5502,5002,3182,8232,7853,115 China
1,4001,4001,5691,4841,3551,352 Ethiopia
53,89953,14262,02265,50957,54556,220 EU-27
1,5001,3501,6901,2001,3301,220 India
3,0003,5003,4461,5473,1042,956 Iran
2,2001,3002,5192,0592,4411,953 Kazakhstan
3,1002,5703,8001,2727632,535 Morocco
13,5008,35017,88123,14815,66318,155 Russia
5,7005,9006,5005,7006,0007,500 Turkey
8,5008,48411,83312,6125,98111,341 Ukraine
9,3408,9669,0027,9889,1039,157 Others
127,689119,567145,412149,990128,464132,714 Subtotal
3,8103,9254,9495,2304,5753,923 United States
131,499123,492150,361155,220133,039136,637 World Total
none
Total Consumption
1,5001,5001,3501,1001,100950 Algeria
4,6004,7004,5004,0003,1004,000 Australia
1,8001,5501,7002,3001,7501,600 Belarus
7,5007,8258,5049,0657,91610,190 Canada
4,4004,4004,4004,2003,9004,200 China
1,4001,4001,5501,5001,3501,350 Ethiopia
53,50057,00056,50057,00054,20055,700 EU-27
3,6003,7003,7003,5503,6003,400 Iran
1,5251,5501,5501,5501,6001,650 Japan
1,9251,2252,0001,8501,7001,350 Kazakhstan
3,2503,0502,9001,7001,8002,500 Morocco
12,0009,60016,80017,10015,05016,400 Russia
6,3257,0257,4257,4257,4306,910 Saudi Arabia
5,9006,0005,9005,7006,1007,300 Turkey
5,3006,1005,6005,9005,0006,300 Ukraine
15,04814,80615,35714,67214,34914,645 Others
129,828131,568139,987139,248129,702138,765 Subtotal
4,3554,4644,6045,1274,3244,596 United States
134,183136,032144,591144,375134,026143,361 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
1,2681,2481,258184333462 Algeria
1,5191,8191,9192,4251,662988 Australia
1,0631,1132,5832,8431,5681,491 Canada
5,2467,19715,40510,9165,7055,824 EU-27
1,2681,4681,268622725921 Iran
1,8959952,2453,8131,1531,387 Russia
1,3281,6532,0782,2032,4282,458 Saudi Arabia
6,6956,9287,7106,2735,3076,322 Others
20,28222,42134,46629,27918,88119,853 Subtotal
1,4752,0202,5151,9321,4851,500 United States
21,75724,44136,98131,21120,36621,353 World Total
May 2011
Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11
May
2011/12
TY Imports none
476 North America 933 737 373 300 300
723 South America 751 810 772 895 800
167 European Union 519 156 66 150 150
220 Other Europe 207 82 153 125 135
429 Former Soviet Union - 12 404 269 195 485 385
8,478 Middle East 11,506 11,681 10,146 8,570 8,350
1,521 North Africa 1,152 973 1,223 1,025 670
51 Sub-Saharan Africa 154 120 54 85 60
2,595 East Asia 2,550 3,000 3,861 3,125 3,125
5 South Asia 6 48 10 30 30
0 Oceania 0 0 17 5 5
14,665 Total 18,182 17,876 16,870 14,795 14,010
Production none
14,365 North America 16,212 17,822 14,966 12,311 13,091
2,350 South America 2,697 3,156 2,443 3,424 3,358
56,220 European Union 57,545 65,509 62,022 53,142 53,899
1,548 Other Europe 1,412 1,613 1,440 1,380 1,455
34,010 Former Soviet Union - 12 27,112 41,639 35,500 20,959 27,495
12,479 Middle East 11,030 8,004 11,320 11,370 10,470
3,835 North Africa 2,493 2,347 7,324 4,572 5,545
1,738 Sub-Saharan Africa 1,733 1,826 1,950 1,755 1,770
3,549 East Asia 3,240 3,300 2,757 2,922 2,984
1,886 South Asia 2,005 1,607 2,330 1,957 2,032
4,657 Oceania 7,560 8,397 8,309 9,700 9,400
136,637 Total 133,039 155,220 150,361 123,492 131,499
Domestic Consumption none
15,661 North America 13,040 15,042 13,858 13,039 12,655
2,332 South America 2,562 2,703 3,033 2,970 3,100
55,700 European Union 54,200 57,000 56,500 57,000 53,500
1,738 Other Europe 1,640 1,705 1,592 1,475 1,575
26,852 Former Soviet Union - 12 24,875 28,844 27,740 20,001 22,555
21,535 Middle East 20,777 20,556 20,403 20,138 19,331
4,925 North Africa 4,352 3,987 5,847 5,970 6,100
1,790 Sub-Saharan Africa 1,789 1,955 1,978 1,860 1,845
6,211 East Asia 5,854 6,109 6,326 6,330 6,305
1,897 South Asia 1,680 1,438 2,163 1,987 1,962
4,400 Oceania 3,500 4,400 4,900 5,125 5,000
143,041 Total 134,269 143,739 144,340 135,895 133,928
Ending Stocks none
3,208 North America 3,281 5,112 5,231 3,347 2,783
559 South America 460 766 501 750 808
5,824 European Union 5,705 10,916 15,405 7,197 5,246
321 Other Europe 279 279 238 248 253
2,810 Former Soviet Union - 12 2,575 5,533 4,158 2,516 3,216
4,859 Middle East 4,507 4,389 4,837 4,591 4,030
1,556 North Africa 818 511 2,963 2,590 2,695
174 Sub-Saharan Africa 214 204 233 208 188
920 East Asia 775 949 1,228 930 719
76 South Asia 54 91 228 210 260
1,046 Oceania 1,698 2,461 1,959 1,854 1,559
21,353 Total 20,366 31,211 36,981 24,441 21,757
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are reported
using local marketing years.
May 2011
World Sorghum Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12
May
none
TY Exports
1,5001,6001,5079071,172959 Argentina
8001,2503501,36034025 Australia
50504132223144 China
505012454918 India
251539010 Kenya
505050505050 Nigeria
402548482131 South Africa
55507345277187 Others
2,5703,0902,2322,4962,1751,404 Subtotal
3,3003,6004,0843,5986,6644,380 United States
5,8706,6906,3166,0948,8395,784 World Total
none
TY Imports
700650568404268189 Chile
75258314124 China
2002002122026667 Colombia
100100125140300 Ethiopia
1008007665,2671,474 EU-27
1,6001,6001,6491,6291,0841,276 Japan
2,1002,4002,5282,4961,1561,954 Mexico
100100144490 Morocco
300300400300300300 Sudan
757571728364 Taiwan
320382526430784341 Others
5,6706,6326,3135,7579,0595,669 Subtotal
200583334-221113 Unaccounted
000312 United States
5,8706,6906,3166,0948,8395,784 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.
May 2011
World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12
May
none
Production
4,0003,8003,6291,6602,9372,795 Argentina
2,4002,4001,6002,6903,7901,283 Australia
1,7001,7091,8542,0041,4411,605 Brazil
1,8001,9501,5221,8751,5071,516 Burkina
1,8501,8001,6771,8371,9202,183 China
900900900900900900 Egypt
2,6002,6002,0842,6192,6592,316 Ethiopia
722627620517525542 EU-27
6,8006,8006,7007,2507,9307,150 India
925925980930901770 Mali
6,8007,1006,2507,0676,2005,810 Mexico
9001,5007391,214930800 Niger
11,70011,70011,50011,00010,00010,500 Nigeria
4,2005,1602,6304,1924,5005,200 Sudan
850850710700900850 Tanzania
6,4896,6446,1396,3936,2336,398 Others
54,63656,46549,53452,84853,27350,618 Subtotal
8,1288,7739,72811,99812,6367,032 United States
62,76465,23859,26264,84665,90957,650 World Total
none
Total Consumption
2,4002,1001,9001,1001,2001,700 Argentina
1,4051,4051,2051,8052,2051,205 Australia
1,7751,7751,8751,8751,3751,475 Brazil
1,8001,8001,6971,7001,5071,516 Burkina
1,9001,8001,9002,0002,0002,050 China
900900900950900900 Egypt
2,7002,5002,4002,7002,6002,300 Ethiopia
6,8006,7006,6007,2007,9007,100 India
1,6001,6001,6501,6001,1001,350 Japan
925925980930901770 Mali
9,0009,5009,7008,6007,2008,100 Mexico
1,1001,3009001,2001,000825 Niger
11,65011,65011,45010,9509,95010,450 Nigeria
4,5005,0003,4004,5005,0005,000 Sudan
900800750700900950 Tanzania
8,5839,3678,0698,42613,6538,089 Others
58,24058,93655,74956,04359,44254,404 Subtotal
4,6995,4625,8498,3195,0814,012 United States
62,93964,39861,59864,36264,52358,416 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
452452152194746231 Argentina
66146677167679116 Australia
225250275456637928 China
2472474723817990 Ethiopia
3144144141,336373217 Mexico
200200200200200200 Nigeria
759764309684697997 Sudan
1,0651,4329731,3511,0781,162 Others
3,9234,2253,1415,1354,7013,841 Subtotal
9318041,0481,3901,340814 United States
4,8545,0294,1896,5256,0414,655 World Total
May 2011
Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11
May
2011/12
TY Imports none
1,956 North America 1,157 2,499 2,528 2,400 2,100
284 South America 432 665 848 885 965
1,474 European Union 5,267 66 7 800 100
0 Other Europe 142 0 17 25 20
79 Middle East 156 81 48 132 55
0 North Africa 11 45 166 105 105
517 Sub-Saharan Africa 663 667 842 565 560
1,349 East Asia 1,196 1,719 1,806 1,705 1,755
9 Southeast Asia 31 14 16 10 10
3 Others 5 4 35 5 0
5,671 Total 9,060 5,760 6,313 6,632 5,670
Production none
12,842 North America 18,836 19,065 15,978 15,873 14,928
323 Central America 396 298 326 329 329
128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128
5,222 South America 5,102 4,719 6,153 6,441 6,522
542 European Union 525 517 620 627 722
758 Middle East 859 654 602 640 640
915 North Africa 915 915 915 915 915
26,088 Sub-Saharan Africa 25,280 26,553 24,344 29,070 27,315
2,191 East Asia 1,940 1,857 1,697 1,820 1,870
7,305 South Asia 8,081 7,395 6,845 6,945 6,945
53 Southeast Asia 57 55 54 50 50
1,283 Oceania 3,790 2,690 1,600 2,400 2,400
0 Others 0 0 0 0 0
57,650 Total 65,909 64,846 59,262 65,238 62,764
Domestic Consumption none
12,112 North America 12,281 16,919 15,549 14,962 13,699
323 Central America 375 315 325 325 325
128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128
4,259 South America 3,793 4,766 5,318 5,669 5,952
1,280 European Union 6,305 905 630 1,405 830
834 Middle East 970 749 694 777 700
915 North Africa 924 965 1,012 1,040 1,015
25,946 Sub-Saharan Africa 26,013 26,891 25,879 28,458 27,978
3,475 East Asia 3,222 3,699 3,643 3,500 3,600
7,258 South Asia 8,053 7,349 6,780 6,845 6,945
57 Southeast Asia 61 64 45 45 40
1,205 Oceania 2,205 1,805 1,205 1,405 1,405
0 Others 142 0 17 25 20
57,792 Total 64,472 64,555 61,225 64,584 62,637
Ending Stocks none
1,031 North America 1,713 2,726 1,462 1,218 1,245
17 Central America 39 21 22 26 25
415 South America 880 491 394 663 583
14 European Union 71 34 23 40 27
32 Middle East 76 62 18 13 8
39 North Africa 41 29 43 43 43
1,800 Sub-Saharan Africa 1,514 1,727 905 1,984 1,761
1,042 East Asia 733 578 397 372 347
247 South Asia 183 181 154 204 154
16 Oceania 791 676 771 466 661
2 Others 0 0 0 0 0
4,655 Total 6,041 6,525 4,189 5,029 4,854
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are reported
using local marketing years.
May 2011
World Oats Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12
May
none
TY Exports
551512 Argentina
20015021116117441 Australia
554942 Brazil
1,5501,3501,5391,7922,3211,921 Canada
503537311741 Chile
150150216103133119 EU-27
554274 Russia
5151963316 Others
1,9701,7152,0312,1092,6902,146 Subtotal
454538385333 United States
2,0151,7602,0692,1472,7432,179 World Total
none
TY Imports
552211 Argentina
553234 Bosnia and Herzegovina
152021141718 Canada
50505739139 China
55221418 Colombia
101011141514 Ecuador
552425 EU-27
606056466862 Japan
7575468213161 Mexico
15103484759 Norway
252521331813 South Africa
505049525651 Switzerland
55061112 Turkey
5541100 Uruguay
05231218 Others
330335310318408345 Subtotal
8525148429140 Unaccounted
1,6001,4001,6111,7872,2441,794 United States
2,0151,7602,0692,1472,7432,179 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.
May 2011
World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12
May
none
Production
140140140808080 Algeria
345350182291472400 Argentina
1,5001,5001,1801,1601,502748 Australia
800700800600600550 Belarus
370370253239238406 Brazil
3,3002,2982,9064,2734,6963,852 Canada
460360381344384380 Chile
420420410300350400 China
7,5737,5738,5058,9358,6347,768 EU-27
160160204138230183 Kazakhstan
148148148148124152 Mexico
245245245328276248 Norway
5,0003,2185,4015,8355,3844,860 Russia
210210218196189210 Turkey
600458731944544690 Ukraine
475475475457457483 Others
21,74618,62522,17924,26824,16021,410 Subtotal
1,0451,1781,3511,2941,3131,357 United States
22,79119,80323,53025,56225,47322,767 World Total
none
Total Consumption
140141140808688 Algeria
350350200300450400 Argentina
1,2501,3009751,0351,335710 Australia
825700800600575550 Belarus
360360250225240400 Brazil
1,6751,4751,7531,7661,9352,280 Canada
400300350325350350 Chile
500450450350375425 China
7,3007,9008,1008,5008,6507,647 EU-27
160150210135215180 Kazakhstan
220195235210235245 Mexico
265255285320340303 Norway
4,9003,4505,5005,6005,3004,850 Russia
215215215210200210 Turkey
600475725925550675 Ukraine
638638622608626646 Others
19,84518,34720,87821,21321,78519,882 Subtotal
2,8122,7803,0112,9683,1613,179 United States
22,65721,12723,88924,18124,94623,061 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
6570708910078 Argentina
244194144147183197 Australia
507575757550 Belarus
8037131,1701,527950556 Canada
7310383667789 China
8066781,150972625795 EU-27
255160397499266185 Russia
171166179197167201 Others
2,4672,1593,2683,5722,4432,151 Subtotal
7779511,1661,221969734 United States
3,2443,1104,4344,7933,4122,885 World Total
May 2011
Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11
May
2011/12
TY Imports none
1,873 North America 2,392 1,883 1,678 1,495 1,690
33 South America 30 32 19 25 25
5 European Union 2 4 2 5 5
114 Other Europe 108 62 87 70 70
6 Former Soviet Union - 12 7 0 0 0 0
12 Middle East 11 6 0 5 5
9 North Africa 1 0 1 0 0
13 Sub-Saharan Africa 18 33 21 25 25
71 East Asia 81 85 113 110 110
3 Oceania 2 0 0 0 0
2,139 Total 2,652 2,105 1,921 1,735 1,930
Production none
5,361 North America 6,133 5,715 4,405 3,624 4,493
1,234 South America 1,117 897 857 1,121 1,216
7,768 European Union 8,634 8,935 8,505 7,573 7,573
525 Other Europe 553 605 522 522 522
6,289 Former Soviet Union - 12 6,763 7,522 7,141 4,541 6,565
210 Middle East 189 196 218 210 210
110 North Africa 110 110 170 170 170
45 Sub-Saharan Africa 45 45 45 45 45
402 East Asia 352 302 412 422 422
823 Oceania 1,577 1,235 1,255 1,575 1,575
22,767 Total 25,473 25,562 23,530 19,803 22,791
Domestic Consumption none
5,704 North America 5,331 4,944 4,999 4,450 4,707
1,228 South America 1,091 896 857 1,071 1,171
7,647 European Union 8,650 8,500 8,100 7,900 7,300
635 Other Europe 680 647 620 592 597
6,261 Former Soviet Union - 12 6,645 7,265 7,240 4,780 6,490
210 Middle East 200 210 215 215 215
118 North Africa 116 110 170 171 170
60 Sub-Saharan Africa 55 75 65 70 70
490 East Asia 445 400 505 510 565
785 Oceania 1,410 1,110 1,050 1,375 1,325
23,138 Total 24,623 24,157 23,821 21,134 22,610
Ending Stocks none
1,298 North America 1,927 2,755 2,341 1,672 1,591
113 South America 126 113 95 99 109
795 European Union 625 972 1,150 678 806
45 Other Europe 34 53 45 45 40
328 Former Soviet Union - 12 410 659 541 282 347
3 Middle East 5 2 5 5 5
1 North Africa 1 1 1 1 1
12 Sub-Saharan Africa 20 23 24 24 24
93 East Asia 81 68 88 110 77
197 Oceania 183 147 144 194 244
2,885 Total 3,412 4,793 4,434 3,110 3,244
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are reported
using local marketing years.
May 2011
World Rye Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12
May
none
TY Exports
7520025507550 Belarus
10015014276167207 Canada
10010013611459313 EU-27
015104208964 Others
275465407260390634 Subtotal
554682 United States
280470411266398636 World Total
none
TY Imports
112222 Croatia
1015688836 EU-27
1010911771 Israel
75751035783258 Japan
557768 Korea, South
101014111122 Norway
556444 Switzerland
55061418 Turkey
015023016 Others
121276149109215435 Subtotal
3469133493164 Unaccounted
125125129108152137 United States
280470411266398636 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.
May 2011
World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12
May
none
Production
504555557755 Argentina
1,5001,2001,7001,5001,3001,200 Belarus
205216280316252383 Canada
8,2267,8289,9519,2627,6796,541 EU-27
3,3001,6424,3334,5053,9092,959 Russia
270270343247241271 Turkey
6004649541,051562584 Ukraine
176176202190209147 Others
14,32711,84117,81817,12614,22912,140 Subtotal
170189178203160183 United States
14,49712,03017,99617,32914,38912,323 World Total
none
Total Consumption
504555557755 Argentina
1,4001,1501,6001,4001,2001,200 Belarus
120130140152143243 Canada
8,0008,9009,3508,7507,3007,400 EU-27
7575906590258 Japan
505075406530 Kazakhstan
373740596142 Norway
3,3001,8754,3254,4003,7502,950 Russia
270275340275250285 Turkey
650650800800550800 Ukraine
120120124127122173 Others
14,09113,38817,00916,18113,66313,565 Subtotal
306325273292335337 United States
14,39713,71317,28216,47313,99813,902 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
218193343268218193 Belarus
607513912335117 Canada
9107741,9261,4241,017616 EU-27
18181851320 Japan
225225308312223183 Russia
221717143430 Turkey
1271774113136856 Ukraine
777755 Others
1,5871,4863,1692,4661,6131,220 Subtotal
232424131012 United States
1,6101,5103,1932,4791,6231,232 World Total
May 2011
Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11
May
2011/12
TY Imports none
137 North America 152 108 129 125 125
0 South America 0 0 0 0 0
36 European Union 88 8 6 15 10
28 Other Europe 17 18 22 16 16
16 Former Soviet Union - 12 0 2 2 150 0
89 Middle East 21 17 9 15 15
0 Sub-Saharan Africa 0 0 0 0 0
266 East Asia 89 64 110 80 80
0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0
572 Total 367 217 278 401 246
Production none
566 North America 412 519 458 405 375
59 South America 84 63 61 50 55
6,541 European Union 7,679 9,262 9,951 7,828 8,226
90 Other Europe 111 119 98 98 98
4,773 Former Soviet Union - 12 5,839 7,096 7,062 3,356 5,450
271 Middle East 241 247 343 270 270
3 Sub-Saharan Africa 3 3 3 3 3
0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0
20 Oceania 20 20 20 20 20
12,323 Total 14,389 17,329 17,996 12,030 14,497
Domestic Consumption none
580 North America 478 444 413 455 426
59 South America 84 63 61 50 55
7,400 European Union 7,300 8,750 9,350 8,900 8,000
109 Other Europe 140 137 119 114 114
4,980 Former Soviet Union - 12 5,565 6,640 6,800 3,725 5,400
356 Middle East 257 286 349 285 280
3 Sub-Saharan Africa 3 3 3 3 3
266 East Asia 96 72 97 80 80
20 Oceania 20 20 20 20 20
13,773 Total 13,943 16,415 17,212 13,632 14,378
Ending Stocks none
129 North America 45 136 163 99 83
0 South America 0 0 0 0 0
616 European Union 1,017 1,424 1,926 774 910
1 Other Europe 1 1 1 1 1
436 Former Soviet Union - 12 513 899 1,068 601 576
30 Middle East 34 14 17 17 22
0 Sub-Saharan Africa 0 0 0 0 0
20 East Asia 13 5 18 18 18
0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0
1,232 Total 1,623 2,479 3,193 1,510 1,610
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are reported
using local marketing years.
May 2011
Grain: World Markets and Trade, May 2011
39
HISTORICAL DATA SERIES FOR SELECTED REGIONS AND COUNTRIES
CONTENTS
European Union: Grain Supply and Demand .............................................. 40 China: Grain Supply and Demand .............................................................. 41 Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand .................................................. 42 Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand ...................................... 43 Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ............................... 47 Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................. 49 Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ............................... 51 Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ........................... 52
U.S. Grains: Supply and Distribution ......................................................... 53 Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ................................ 54 World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand .............................. 55 World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand ............................................ 56 World Rice: Supply and Demand ............................................................... 57
DG F/SA &F
May 2011
European Union: Grain Supply and Demand
Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares
Area
Harvested
Yield Production Imports Exports Feed Dom.
Consumpti
Domestic
Consumpti
Ending
Stocks
Wheat
131.7 118.456.315.73.55.026.5 2000/01 17.5
123.4 118.556.512.88.74.825.9 2001/02 18.3
132.6 125.060.018.110.75.026.4 2002/03 18.5
110.6 115.152.49.87.44.524.3 2003/04 11.5
146.9 123.259.214.77.15.726.0 2004/05 27.5
132.4 127.563.015.76.85.125.8 2005/06 23.4
124.9 125.560.213.85.25.124.5 2006/07 14.2
120.1 116.552.412.36.94.924.7 2007/08 12.4
151.1 127.060.525.47.75.726.7 2008/09 18.9
138.6 125.057.522.15.55.425.8 2009/10 15.9
135.8 122.553.022.04.55.225.9 2010/11 11.7
138.6 125.055.018.06.05.425.9 2011/12 13.3
Coarse Grains
140.3 139.7105.59.34.14.233.2 2000/01 18.4
150.5 143.8108.16.73.94.533.7 2001/02 22.4
148.4 145.0109.57.64.44.532.8 2002/03 22.6
131.8 145.3109.74.28.24.032.7 2003/04 13.1
166.7 152.6116.64.93.05.033.4 2004/05 25.3
146.8 148.1110.04.42.84.532.7 2005/06 22.4
137.9 148.4110.94.78.14.332.0 2006/07 15.3
136.6 154.9119.64.620.34.232.2 2007/08 12.7
162.1 151.9114.05.63.44.833.6 2008/09 20.8
155.3 150.4112.63.03.04.832.6 2009/10 25.8
139.6 152.0114.25.87.54.630.3 2010/11 15.2
145.2 148.4110.43.84.34.730.8 2011/12 12.4
Wheat and Coarse Grains
272.0 258.0161.824.97.64.659.7 2000/01 35.9
273.9 262.3164.619.412.74.659.6 2001/02 40.7
281.0 270.0169.525.715.04.759.2 2002/03 41.1
242.4 260.4162.114.015.64.257.0 2003/04 24.7
313.6 275.9175.819.610.15.359.4 2004/05 52.8
279.1 275.6173.020.19.64.858.5 2005/06 45.8
262.8 273.9171.118.513.34.756.4 2006/07 29.5
256.7 271.4172.016.927.24.556.9 2007/08 25.2
313.2 278.9174.530.911.25.260.2 2008/09 39.8
293.9 275.4170.125.18.65.058.3 2009/10 41.8
275.4 274.5167.227.812.04.956.2 2010/11 26.9
283.8 273.4165.421.810.35.056.7 2011/12 25.8
May 2011
China: Grain Supply and Demand
Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares
Area
Harvested
Yield Production Imports Exports Feed Dom.
Consumpti
Domestic
Consumpti
Ending
Stocks
Wheat
99.6 110.310.00.60.23.726.7 2000/01 91.9
93.9 108.79.01.51.13.824.6 2001/02 76.6
90.3 105.26.51.70.43.823.9 2002/03 60.4
86.5 104.56.02.83.73.922.0 2003/04 43.3
92.0 102.04.01.26.74.321.6 2004/05 38.8
97.4 101.53.51.41.14.322.8 2005/06 34.5
108.5 102.04.02.80.44.623.6 2006/07 38.6
109.3 106.08.02.80.04.623.7 2007/08 39.1
112.5 105.58.00.70.54.823.6 2008/09 45.8
115.1 107.010.00.91.44.724.3 2009/10 54.4
115.0 109.513.01.01.04.724.3 2010/11 59.9
115.5 111.015.01.01.04.724.4 2011/12 64.4
Coarse Grains
114.0 130.494.47.32.44.326.5 2000/01 102.8
122.4 133.096.38.62.04.527.3 2001/02 85.6
130.6 136.398.415.31.84.727.8 2002/03 66.5
124.0 138.399.17.71.54.626.8 2003/04 45.9
138.3 141.1100.37.62.14.928.0 2004/05 37.6
147.8 147.2103.43.82.35.128.8 2005/06 36.7
159.1 153.5104.65.51.25.130.9 2006/07 38.0
158.9 156.8105.30.91.25.031.8 2007/08 40.4
172.4 160.1107.30.21.75.332.2 2008/09 54.1
163.6 167.0112.40.23.84.933.4 2009/10 54.4
174.2 172.1114.30.23.35.233.8 2010/11 59.6
178.3 176.2116.40.32.35.234.2 2011/12 63.6
Wheat and Coarse Grains
213.6 240.7104.47.92.64.053.1 2000/01 194.7
216.3 241.7105.310.13.14.252.0 2001/02 162.2
220.9 241.5104.917.12.24.351.7 2002/03 126.8
210.5 242.8105.110.55.34.348.8 2003/04 89.2
230.2 243.1104.38.88.84.649.6 2004/05 76.4
245.2 248.7106.95.23.44.751.6 2005/06 71.2
267.6 255.5108.68.21.54.954.5 2006/07 76.6
268.2 262.8113.33.71.24.855.5 2007/08 79.5
284.9 265.6115.30.92.15.155.8 2008/09 99.9
278.8 274.0122.41.15.24.857.7 2009/10 108.8
289.2 281.6127.31.24.35.058.1 2010/11 119.5
293.8 287.2131.41.33.35.058.6 2011/12 128.1
May 2011
Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand
Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares
Area
Harvested
Yield Production Imports Exports Feed Dom.
Consumpti
Domestic
Consumpti
Ending
Stocks
Wheat
4.6 5.50.70.31.23.31.4 2000/01 1.4
4.9 5.90.90.61.83.41.4 2001/02 1.5
4.9 5.60.90.61.43.51.4 2002/03 1.5
3.9 5.40.70.11.53.11.2 2003/04 1.3
5.4 5.91.00.31.54.01.4 2004/05 2.0
4.2 5.80.90.21.53.71.1 2005/06 1.8
4.3 5.30.70.61.53.61.2 2006/07 1.7
4.4 5.50.80.81.93.71.2 2007/08 1.8
4.7 5.61.00.51.74.21.1 2008/09 2.2
4.6 5.40.80.81.73.81.2 2009/10 2.2
3.8 5.30.70.91.73.61.1 2010/11 1.4
4.1 5.30.70.51.73.71.1 2011/12 1.4
Coarse Grains
8.1 9.07.70.01.03.12.6 2000/01 1.0
10.9 11.19.80.20.84.12.7 2001/02 1.4
11.7 11.49.90.60.64.42.7 2002/03 1.8
9.2 10.89.50.10.83.52.7 2003/04 1.1
12.8 12.210.80.60.64.82.7 2004/05 1.6
12.7 12.010.71.40.74.82.7 2005/06 1.5
11.6 11.510.20.90.94.62.5 2006/07 1.5
9.4 10.49.10.11.03.62.6 2007/08 1.3
12.4 10.99.61.90.64.62.7 2008/09 1.5
11.8 10.89.31.70.74.82.4 2009/10 1.7
12.2 10.89.22.20.84.92.5 2010/11 1.6
12.6 10.99.42.50.74.82.6 2011/12 1.5
Wheat and Coarse Grains
12.7 14.58.40.32.23.24.0 2000/01 2.3
15.8 17.010.70.82.63.94.1 2001/02 2.9
16.6 17.010.71.22.04.14.1 2002/03 3.3
13.1 16.210.20.22.33.43.9 2003/04 2.4
18.2 18.111.80.92.14.54.0 2004/05 3.7
16.9 17.811.51.62.14.43.8 2005/06 3.3
15.9 16.810.91.52.44.33.7 2006/07 3.3
13.8 15.910.00.92.93.63.8 2007/08 3.2
17.1 16.510.52.42.34.53.8 2008/09 3.7
16.4 16.210.12.52.44.53.7 2009/10 3.9
16.0 16.110.03.12.44.53.6 2010/11 3.0
16.7 16.310.13.02.44.53.7 2011/12 2.9
May 2011
Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand
Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares
Area
Harvested
Yield Production Imports Exports Feed Dom.
Consumpti
Domestic
Consumpti
Ending
Stocks
Wheat
91.0 75.123.521.15.61.849.4 2005/06 15.6
84.9 72.621.622.66.01.846.0 2006/07 11.4
92.5 75.023.621.96.01.947.5 2007/08 13.0
115.5 76.424.737.76.62.251.7 2008/09 21.0
113.9 80.327.836.75.42.154.9 2009/10 23.4
81.0 81.129.213.15.71.651.9 2010/11 16.0
100.6 79.026.526.35.82.051.0 2011/12 17.0
Coarse Grains
55.6 50.534.58.61.12.028.5 2005/06 5.2
58.7 51.135.58.51.02.030.0 2006/07 5.3
54.2 50.635.05.31.01.829.6 2007/08 4.7
79.2 58.642.017.10.72.630.9 2008/09 8.8
68.2 55.339.415.00.42.329.8 2009/10 7.1
47.7 41.928.89.51.11.826.3 2010/11 4.5
65.4 51.536.212.30.62.328.7 2011/12 6.7
May 2011
Millions of Tons/Hectares
Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat)
Area
Harvested
Ending
Stocks
Total
Consumpti
Feed and
Residual
MY ExportsMY
Imports
ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year
Former Soviet Union - 12
Kazakhstan
12.5 7.52.75.70.10.913.5 2008/09 2.0
17.1 7.62.77.90.11.214.8 2009/10 3.7
9.7 6.62.15.00.00.714.5 2010/11 1.8
15.0 7.52.77.50.01.114.0 2011/12 1.8
Russia
63.8 38.916.218.40.22.426.6 2008/09 10.7
61.8 42.019.018.60.22.228.7 2009/10 12.1
41.5 44.321.54.00.31.626.6 2010/11 5.6
53.0 40.818.010.00.22.026.0 2011/12 8.0
Ukraine
25.9 11.92.913.00.13.77.1 2008/09 3.1
20.9 12.33.39.30.03.16.8 2009/10 2.4
16.8 11.62.83.50.12.76.3 2010/11 4.2
19.0 11.83.08.50.12.96.5 2011/12 2.9
Uzbekistan
6.0 7.11.30.21.44.41.4 2008/09 1.4
6.2 7.41.30.41.74.41.4 2009/10 1.5
6.5 7.71.40.41.54.61.4 2010/11 1.4
6.5 7.91.40.21.54.61.4 2011/12 1.3
Other Former Soviet Union - 12
7.3 10.91.60.44.72.33.1 2008/09 3.7
8.0 11.11.50.53.52.43.3 2009/10 3.7
6.4 10.91.40.23.92.03.1 2010/11 2.9
7.1 11.01.40.14.02.33.1 2011/12 2.9
Total Former Soviet Union - 12
115.5 76.424.737.76.62.251.7 2008/09 21.0
113.9 80.327.836.75.42.154.9 2009/10 23.4
81.0 81.129.213.15.71.651.9 2010/11 16.0
100.6 79.026.526.35.82.051.0 2011/12 17.0
May 2011
Millions of Tons/Hectares
Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley)
Area
Harvested
Ending
Stocks
Total
Consumpti
Feed and
Residual
MY ExportsMY
Imports
ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year
Former Soviet Union - 12
Kazakhstan
2.1 1.91.60.30.11.02.1 2008/09 0.3
2.5 2.01.70.40.01.41.8 2009/10 0.5
1.3 1.20.90.30.00.81.6 2010/11 0.3
2.2 1.91.60.30.01.21.8 2011/12 0.3
Russia
23.1 17.112.33.40.12.49.7 2008/09 3.8
17.9 16.812.32.70.02.09.1 2009/10 2.2
8.4 9.65.60.30.31.27.2 2010/11 1.0
13.5 12.07.60.80.21.87.6 2011/12 1.9
Ukraine
12.6 5.94.36.40.03.04.2 2008/09 1.1
11.8 5.63.96.20.02.45.0 2009/10 1.1
8.5 6.14.52.50.02.04.3 2010/11 1.0
8.5 5.33.73.50.02.14.0 2011/12 0.7
Uzbekistan
0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2008/09 0.0
0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2009/10 0.0
0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2010/11 0.0
0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2011/12 0.0
Other Former Soviet Union - 12
3.6 3.72.90.00.12.81.3 2008/09 0.4
3.0 3.12.30.00.12.51.2 2009/10 0.4
2.6 2.82.00.00.22.11.2 2010/11 0.3
3.1 3.12.30.00.12.41.3 2011/12 0.4
Total Former Soviet Union - 12
41.6 28.821.310.10.32.417.3 2008/09 5.5
35.5 27.720.49.30.22.117.2 2009/10 4.2
21.0 20.013.23.10.51.514.4 2010/11 2.5
27.5 22.615.44.60.41.914.8 2011/12 3.2
May 2011
Millions of Tons/Hectares
Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn)
Area
Harvested
Ending
Stocks
Total
Consumpti
Feed and
Residual
MY ExportsMY
Imports
ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year
Former Soviet Union - 12
Kazakhstan
0.4 0.40.30.00.04.30.1 2008/09 0.0
0.5 0.40.30.00.04.70.1 2009/10 0.0
0.3 0.30.30.00.03.10.1 2010/11 0.0
0.6 0.50.40.00.04.60.1 2011/12 0.1
Russia
6.7 5.24.51.30.13.71.8 2008/09 0.3
4.0 3.73.20.40.02.91.4 2009/10 0.1
3.1 3.43.00.00.32.21.4 2010/11 0.1
6.5 5.24.51.00.13.41.9 2011/12 0.4
Ukraine
11.4 5.95.15.50.04.72.4 2008/09 0.9
10.5 5.75.05.10.05.02.1 2009/10 0.7
11.9 6.15.46.00.04.52.6 2010/11 0.5
14.5 6.96.26.50.04.83.0 2011/12 1.6
Uzbekistan
0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2008/09 0.0
0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2009/10 0.0
0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2010/11 0.0
0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2011/12 0.0
Other Former Soviet Union - 12
3.2 3.33.00.10.33.80.8 2008/09 0.5
3.0 3.12.80.10.23.60.8 2009/10 0.5
3.1 3.22.90.10.23.90.8 2010/11 0.5
3.6 3.73.40.10.13.90.9 2011/12 0.5
Total Former Soviet Union - 12
21.9 14.913.06.90.44.25.2 2008/09 1.8
18.0 13.111.55.60.34.14.4 2009/10 1.4
18.6 13.211.76.10.53.75.0 2010/11 1.1
25.3 16.514.67.60.24.26.0 2011/12 2.6
May 2011
Million Metric Tons/Hectares
Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters
Area
Harvested
Ending
Stocks
Total
Consumpti
Feed and
Residual
MY ExportsMY
Imports
ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year
Wheat Competitors
Argentina
15.1 5.40.19.50.02.56.0 2003/04 1.6
16.9 5.40.111.90.02.66.4 2004/05 1.3
13.8 5.10.09.60.02.55.5 2005/06 0.4
16.3 5.40.110.70.02.66.2 2006/07 0.6
18.6 5.70.111.20.02.86.6 2007/08 2.4
11.0 5.30.06.80.02.15.3 2008/09 1.3
11.0 5.80.05.10.03.03.7 2009/10 1.4
15.0 5.90.08.50.03.44.4 2010/11 2.0
13.5 5.90.08.00.02.94.7 2011/12 1.6
Australia
26.1 6.03.218.00.12.013.1 2003/04 5.4
21.9 6.03.214.70.11.613.4 2004/05 6.7
25.2 6.63.716.00.12.012.5 2005/06 9.4
10.8 7.64.78.70.10.911.8 2006/07 4.0
13.6 6.53.57.50.11.112.6 2007/08 3.7
21.4 6.93.814.70.11.613.5 2008/09 3.6
21.9 6.73.714.80.11.614.0 2009/10 4.1
26.0 9.05.915.00.11.913.4 2010/11 6.2
24.5 8.55.415.00.11.813.8 2011/12 7.3
Canada
23.0 7.23.115.80.22.310.2 2003/04 6.0
24.8 8.23.814.90.32.69.4 2004/05 7.9
25.7 8.23.816.00.32.79.4 2005/06 9.7
25.3 9.04.519.40.32.69.7 2006/07 6.9
20.1 6.82.216.10.42.38.6 2007/08 4.4
28.6 8.03.218.90.42.910.0 2008/09 6.5
26.8 6.92.219.00.42.89.6 2009/10 7.8
23.2 8.74.016.50.42.88.3 2010/11 6.2
26.0 7.93.218.50.42.79.7 2011/12 6.2
Total Wheat Competitors
64.3 18.56.443.30.32.229.2 2003/04 13.0
63.6 19.67.141.50.32.229.2 2004/05 15.9
64.7 19.97.541.70.42.427.3 2005/06 19.4
52.4 21.99.338.90.41.927.7 2006/07 11.4
May 2011
Million Metric Tons/Hectares
Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)
Area
Harvested
Ending
Stocks
Total
Consumpti
Feed and
Residual
MY ExportsMY
Imports
ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year
52.2 18.95.834.80.51.927.8 2007/08 10.4
61.0 20.27.040.40.52.128.8 2008/09 11.4
59.8 19.55.939.00.52.227.3 2009/10 13.3
64.2 23.69.940.00.52.526.0 2010/11 14.3
64.0 22.38.641.50.52.328.2 2011/12 15.0
India
65.1 68.30.65.70.02.624.9 2003/04 6.9
72.2 72.80.52.10.02.726.6 2004/05 4.1
68.6 70.00.30.80.02.626.5 2005/06 2.0
69.4 73.50.30.16.72.626.4 2006/07 4.5
75.8 76.40.20.02.02.728.0 2007/08 5.8
78.6 70.90.10.00.02.828.2 2008/09 13.4
80.7 78.20.10.10.22.927.8 2009/10 16.1
80.8 82.50.20.30.32.828.4 2010/11 14.4
84.0 84.70.20.30.32.929.4 2011/12 13.7
Turkey
16.8 16.81.00.81.12.08.6 2003/04 1.7
18.5 16.81.02.00.42.28.6 2004/05 1.8
18.5 16.10.43.20.12.28.6 2005/06 1.1
17.5 16.70.82.41.72.08.6 2006/07 1.3
15.5 16.80.81.72.22.07.7 2007/08 0.4
16.8 16.90.72.23.52.27.7 2008/09 1.5
18.5 17.10.84.33.22.47.8 2009/10 1.8
17.0 17.20.73.03.02.18.0 2010/11 1.6
17.4 17.30.73.23.02.27.8 2011/12 1.5
May 2011
Million Metric Tons/Hectares
Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters
Area
Harvested
Ending
Stocks
Total
Consumpti
Feed and
Residual
MY ExportsMY
Imports
ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year
Argentina
15.0 4.42.810.90.06.42.3 2003/04 0.4
20.5 5.23.514.60.07.42.8 2004/05 1.1
15.8 6.24.49.50.06.52.4 2005/06 1.3
22.5 6.74.815.30.08.02.8 2006/07 1.8
22.0 6.84.914.80.06.53.4 2007/08 2.2
15.5 6.44.510.30.06.22.5 2008/09 1.0
22.8 6.74.816.50.08.42.7 2009/10 0.6
22.0 7.15.114.50.06.93.2 2010/11 1.0
26.0 7.55.418.00.07.63.4 2011/12 1.5
China
115.8 128.497.07.60.04.824.1 2003/04 44.9
130.3 131.098.07.60.05.125.4 2004/05 36.6
139.4 137.0101.03.70.15.326.4 2005/06 35.3
151.6 145.0104.05.30.05.328.5 2006/07 36.6
152.3 149.0105.00.50.05.229.5 2007/08 39.4
165.9 152.0107.00.20.05.629.9 2008/09 53.2
158.0 159.0112.00.21.35.131.2 2009/10 53.3
168.0 164.0114.00.11.55.331.5 2010/11 58.7
172.0 168.0116.00.20.55.431.9 2011/12 63.0
South Africa
9.7 8.74.10.70.22.93.3 2003/04 3.0
11.7 9.75.02.10.43.63.2 2004/05 3.2
6.9 8.24.00.50.93.42.0 2005/06 2.3
7.3 8.64.40.51.12.52.9 2006/07 1.7
13.2 9.64.32.20.04.03.3 2007/08 3.1
12.6 9.94.31.70.04.32.9 2008/09 4.1
13.4 10.44.72.00.04.13.3 2009/10 5.1
12.0 10.64.82.00.04.12.9 2010/11 4.6
12.5 10.84.92.00.04.23.0 2011/12 4.3
Brazil
42.0 36.330.54.40.43.412.4 2003/04 7.9
35.0 38.532.10.70.53.011.6 2004/05 4.2
41.7 39.533.04.51.13.212.9 2005/06 3.0
51.0 41.034.510.81.43.614.0 2006/07 3.6
58.6 42.536.07.80.74.014.7 2007/08 12.6
51.0 45.538.57.11.13.614.1 2008/09 12.1
May 2011
Million Metric Tons/Hectares
Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)
Area
Harvested
Ending
Stocks
Total
Consumpti
Feed and
Residual
MY ExportsMY
Imports
ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year
56.1 47.040.011.60.44.312.9 2009/10 10.0
55.0 48.841.88.51.04.113.3 2010/11 8.7
55.0 50.543.58.01.04.213.0 2011/12 6.2
Total Corn Competitors
182.5 177.8134.423.70.64.342.1 2003/04 56.1
197.5 184.4138.625.00.94.643.0 2004/05 45.1
203.8 190.9142.418.32.14.743.7 2005/06 41.8
232.4 201.3147.731.92.64.848.2 2006/07 43.6
246.1 207.9150.225.30.84.850.9 2007/08 57.3
245.0 213.8154.319.31.25.049.4 2008/09 70.3
250.3 223.1161.530.21.75.050.1 2009/10 69.0
257.0 230.5165.725.12.55.050.9 2010/11 73.0
265.5 236.8169.828.21.55.251.3 2011/12 75.0
May 2011
Million Metric Tons/Hectares
Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters
Area
Harvested
Ending
Stocks
Total
Consumpti
Feed and
Residual
MY ExportsMY
Imports
ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year
Australia
10.4 3.12.26.40.02.34.5 2003/04 1.9
7.7 3.52.54.30.01.74.6 2004/05 1.9
9.5 3.52.55.30.02.24.4 2005/06 2.6
4.3 4.02.91.90.01.04.2 2006/07 1.0
7.2 3.12.13.40.01.54.9 2007/08 1.7
8.0 4.02.93.20.01.65.0 2008/09 2.4
7.9 4.53.33.90.01.84.4 2009/10 1.9
9.3 4.73.44.70.02.34.1 2010/11 1.8
9.0 4.63.34.70.02.34.0 2011/12 1.5
Canada
12.2 9.78.41.80.02.84.4 2003/04 2.1
12.6 10.18.81.20.13.33.8 2004/05 3.4
11.7 9.68.42.30.03.23.6 2005/06 3.3
9.6 10.28.81.20.03.03.2 2006/07 1.5
11.0 7.96.63.00.12.74.0 2007/08 1.6
11.8 9.17.71.50.03.43.5 2008/09 2.8
9.5 8.57.31.30.03.32.9 2009/10 2.6
7.6 7.86.71.30.13.22.4 2010/11 1.1
8.5 7.56.31.10.13.12.7 2011/12 1.1
EU-27
55.8 58.041.82.60.74.014.1 2003/04 4.5
64.1 54.638.63.30.34.713.7 2004/05 11.1
54.8 54.138.23.30.14.013.8 2005/06 8.5
56.2 55.738.73.50.24.113.8 2006/07 5.8
57.5 54.238.73.80.34.213.8 2007/08 5.7
65.5 57.041.53.60.34.514.5 2008/09 10.9
62.0 56.541.51.10.14.413.9 2009/10 15.4
53.1 57.042.04.50.24.212.5 2010/11 7.2
53.9 53.538.52.50.24.312.5 2011/12 5.2
May 2011
Million Metric Tons/Hectares
Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters
Area
Harvested
Ending
Stocks
Total
Consumpti
Feed and
Residual
MY ExportsMY
Imports
ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year
Argentina
2.2 2.01.90.20.04.60.5 2003/04 0.4
2.9 2.62.40.40.05.20.6 2004/05 0.4
2.3 2.32.10.20.04.70.5 2005/06 0.2
2.8 1.71.51.10.04.70.6 2006/07 0.2
2.9 1.21.01.20.04.70.6 2007/08 0.7
1.7 1.11.01.10.03.70.5 2008/09 0.2
3.6 1.91.71.80.04.80.8 2009/10 0.2
3.8 2.11.91.40.04.80.8 2010/11 0.5
4.0 2.42.21.60.04.70.9 2011/12 0.5
Australia
2.0 1.41.40.60.02.70.7 2003/04 0.1
2.0 1.81.80.20.02.70.8 2004/05 0.1
1.9 1.91.90.10.02.50.8 2005/06 0.0
1.3 1.21.20.10.02.10.6 2006/07 0.0
3.8 2.22.20.80.04.00.9 2007/08 0.8
2.7 1.81.81.00.03.50.8 2008/09 0.7
1.6 1.21.20.30.03.10.5 2009/10 0.8
2.4 1.41.41.30.03.50.7 2010/11 0.5
2.4 1.41.40.80.03.40.7 2011/12 0.7
May 2011
U.S. Grains Supply and Distribution: Wheat, Corn, Sorghum, Barley, Oats, Rye, and Rice
Thousand Metric Tons/Hectares
Area
Harvested
Yield Rough
Production
Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom.
Consumption
Domestic
Consumption
Ending
Stocks
Wheat
26,55230,9324,03124,17523,9773,1803,22860,366nr320,191 2009/10
22,84032,1094,62735,50034,7002,9502,99460,103nr319,278 2010/11
19,11633,7475,98729,00028,5762,9502,99455,605nr319,439 2011/12
Corn
43,380281,423130,57449,88750,462237212332,549nr1032,169 2009/10
18,534293,384130,81648,50048,262600635316,165nr1032,960 2010/11
22,852293,511129,54646,00045,722500508343,043nr1034,432 2011/12
Sorghum
1,0485,8493,5634,0844,221009,728nr42,234 2009/10
8045,4623,0483,6003,556018,773nr51,946 2010/11
9314,6992,2863,3003,302008,128nr41,983 2011/12
Barley
2,5154,6041,0401511233023614,949nr41,260 2009/10
2,0204,4649801501742002183,925nr4998 2010/11
1,4754,3558712002182002183,810nr41,052 2011/12
Oats
1,1663,0111,92838311,6111,6361,351nr2558 2009/10
9512,7801,67745441,4001,4311,178nr2511 2010/11
7772,8121,71045441,6001,6371,045nr2445 2011/12
Rye
242733742129108178nr2102 2009/10
243258754125140189nr2107 2010/11
233067055125140170nr299 2011/12
Rice, Milled
1,1844,015nr3,8563,5155626047,1339,97281,256 2009/10
1,7284,008nr3,3753,5586205567,55411,02881,463 2010/11
1,5604,013nr3,4503,4986305726,7719,57081,214 2011/12
Notes: Wheat Trade Year (TY) statistics are on July/June years. Barley, corn, sorghum, rye and oats Trade Year (TY) statistics
are on Oct/Sept years. Rice Trade Year (TY) statistics are for the subsequent calendar year; 'Imports' and 'Exports' columns
contain data on the local marketing year: wheat, barley, oats and rye are June/May; corn and sorghum are Sept/Aug; rice is
Aug/July.
May 2011
Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand
Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares
Area
Harvested
Yield Production TY Exports Feed Dom.
Consumpti
Domestic
Consumpti
Ending
Stocks
Wheat and Coarse Grains
1,248.0 332.11,197.1593.4189.62.2576.9 1982/83
1,162.5 278.51,216.1588.4193.22.1563.8 1983/84
1,315.0 340.01,253.5609.9203.62.3567.0 1984/85
1,328.5 420.61,247.9613.1165.22.3570.9 1985/86
1,348.0 469.21,299.4644.2174.72.4565.6 1986/87
1,285.9 423.11,329.8655.1202.22.4544.8 1987/88
1,218.1 339.31,302.0618.2203.32.2542.4 1988/89
1,327.4 320.51,346.2642.9208.92.4548.9 1989/90
1,417.6 368.71,369.5667.3190.12.6549.0 1990/91
1,355.7 359.51,364.9650.1207.52.5546.3 1991/92
1,431.6 398.41,389.9662.3205.22.6548.8 1992/93
1,356.1 365.21,389.2654.0188.22.5539.2 1993/94
1,392.5 361.71,396.0666.9200.12.6537.6 1994/95
1,338.5 319.31,380.9637.4187.52.5533.4 1995/96
1,490.5 367.51,442.3670.4198.42.7552.8 1996/97
1,491.6 414.51,444.6681.1190.32.8539.5 1997/98
1,481.9 447.41,449.0681.0198.72.8533.9 1998/99
1,464.8 443.41,468.3685.7214.32.8514.7 1999/00
1,446.8 419.71,470.4693.9205.12.8514.3 2000/01
1,480.5 404.11,496.2708.7208.52.9516.3 2001/02
1,442.3 340.81,505.5706.4209.62.8506.6 2002/03
1,470.9 277.91,533.8712.6206.22.9516.0 2003/04
1,642.4 334.01,586.2751.6215.23.2517.7 2004/05
1,599.4 317.21,616.2751.8222.83.1521.0 2005/06
1,584.8 272.41,629.6741.9230.43.1518.5 2006/07
1,692.9 291.01,674.3753.8245.33.2536.9 2007/08
1,794.1 362.21,722.9765.0253.63.3538.7 2008/09
1,793.8 393.01,763.0769.5253.63.3538.0 2009/10
1,732.8 340.61,785.2770.5242.93.3530.1 2010/11
1,816.4 343.61,813.3781.8240.93.4538.6 2011/12
Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the
present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.
May 2011
World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand
Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares
Area
Harvested
Yield Production TY Exports Feed Dom.
Consumpti
Domestic
Consumpti
Ending
Stocks
Wheat
533.1 137.1531.3103.7103.92.4226.3 1989/90
588.8 171.6554.3130.1101.32.5231.7 1990/91
543.5 163.2551.8113.8111.42.4223.4 1991/92
562.6 177.0548.5110.9113.22.5222.8 1992/93
558.5 182.5553.0108.0101.72.5221.8 1993/94
523.0 163.4542.199.6101.52.4214.5 1994/95
537.5 155.9545.192.799.22.5219.1 1995/96
581.5 164.5572.897.4104.02.5230.3 1996/97
610.2 198.1576.7101.9104.52.7228.5 1997/98
590.4 209.3579.2105.3102.02.6225.4 1998/99
586.8 210.3585.8100.5111.92.7215.7 1999/00
583.1 207.8585.7105.2102.42.7218.0 2000/01
583.6 204.5586.8107.2108.02.7215.4 2001/02
568.6 168.8604.3111.6106.82.6215.0 2002/03
554.8 134.6589.097.5103.62.6210.0 2003/04
626.7 153.9607.4106.6113.92.9217.2 2004/05
619.1 151.0622.0112.8114.12.8219.7 2005/06
596.3 131.2616.1108.1115.62.8213.0 2006/07
612.1 125.9617.499.0116.42.8218.2 2007/08
682.8 166.2642.4118.0143.03.0225.3 2008/09
684.2 196.2654.2119.2134.43.0227.3 2009/10
648.1 182.2662.1122.8126.22.9222.5 2010/11
669.5 181.3670.5124.2126.73.0225.0 2011/12
Coarse Grains
794.3 183.4814.9539.2105.02.5322.5 1989/90
828.8 197.1815.2537.388.92.6317.2 1990/91
812.2 196.3813.1536.296.22.5322.9 1991/92
868.9 221.3841.4551.391.92.7326.0 1992/93
797.6 182.7836.2546.186.52.5317.4 1993/94
869.4 198.3853.8567.498.62.7323.1 1994/95
800.9 163.4835.8544.788.32.5314.4 1995/96
909.1 203.0869.5573.094.42.8322.5 1996/97
881.4 216.4867.9579.285.82.8311.0 1997/98
891.5 238.1869.7575.796.72.9308.6 1998/99
878.0 233.0882.6585.2102.42.9299.0 1999/00
863.7 212.0884.8588.8102.72.9296.2 2000/01
897.0 199.6909.4601.6100.53.0300.9 2001/02
873.6 172.0901.2594.8102.83.0291.6 2002/03
916.1 143.3944.8615.1102.63.0306.0 2003/04
1,015.6 180.1978.8645.0101.33.4300.5 2004/05
980.3 166.2994.3638.9108.63.3301.3 2005/06
988.6 141.21,013.5633.9114.73.2305.4 2006/07
1,080.8 165.11,057.0654.8128.93.4318.7 2007/08
1,111.3 195.91,080.5646.9110.73.5313.5 2008/09
1,109.6 196.81,108.8650.3119.23.6310.7 2009/10
1,084.6 158.41,123.1647.7116.73.5307.6 2010/11
1,146.8 162.41,142.8657.6114.23.7313.6 2011/12
Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the
present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.
May 2011
World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand
Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares
Area
Harvested
Yield Production TY Exports Feed Dom.
Consumpti
Domestic
Consumpti
Ending
Stocks
Corn
461.7 132.9474.1324.874.53.6127.3 1989/90
482.0 141.4473.4318.558.83.7129.2 1990/91
493.0 141.0493.3334.463.03.7132.6 1991/92
535.6 162.7512.1348.762.64.0133.2 1992/93
475.8 129.4509.0342.057.43.6130.7 1993/94
559.3 153.2535.6371.571.94.1135.2 1994/95
516.4 133.0536.6365.164.83.8135.0 1995/96
593.0 165.8560.1387.766.74.2141.7 1996/97
574.4 166.4573.8400.463.14.2136.3 1997/98
606.0 191.0581.5404.368.74.4139.2 1998/99
608.1 193.8605.3422.472.34.4139.1 1999/00
591.4 175.1610.1427.275.94.3137.3 2000/01
601.4 151.3625.1436.472.84.4137.7 2001/02
603.1 127.0627.5432.977.04.4137.4 2002/03
627.5 105.3649.2445.579.14.4142.0 2003/04
715.8 131.8689.3475.476.04.9145.5 2004/05
699.7 124.9706.7477.982.74.8145.7 2005/06
714.0 110.2728.7478.291.54.8149.9 2006/07
794.9 132.5772.6497.098.34.9161.2 2007/08
799.3 149.2782.6480.184.05.0158.8 2008/09
813.0 145.4816.8484.493.15.2157.7 2009/10
815.3 122.2838.6493.592.95.1161.1 2010/11
867.7 129.1860.8506.191.85.2166.1 2011/12
Barley
166.2 27.5170.4126.018.52.373.7 1989/90
179.5 31.5175.5130.819.62.573.0 1990/91
169.9 34.9166.5120.319.42.276.6 1991/92
166.3 35.0165.6119.016.42.373.1 1992/93
169.0 34.9169.1123.818.82.373.8 1993/94
160.7 30.0165.6120.915.32.272.8 1994/95
141.2 20.5150.7107.813.42.168.6 1995/96
153.1 24.1149.5106.317.92.365.5 1996/97
153.9 32.2145.8104.112.82.464.5 1997/98
136.0 29.0139.399.517.82.260.8 1998/99
127.4 23.9132.594.017.82.354.5 1999/00
133.1 22.6134.494.616.22.553.9 2000/01
143.5 29.3136.895.517.22.556.3 2001/02
134.4 27.5136.295.016.32.455.8 2002/03
142.2 23.4146.3102.814.82.459.4 2003/04
152.3 33.0142.7100.217.02.658.2 2004/05
136.2 28.1141.197.517.52.456.2 2005/06
136.6 21.4143.498.014.62.457.0 2006/07
133.0 20.4134.091.118.62.357.5 2007/08
155.2 31.2144.4100.318.22.855.8 2008/09
150.4 37.0144.6100.517.32.755.7 2009/10
123.5 24.4136.092.714.92.450.7 2010/11
131.5 21.8134.290.314.32.651.0 2011/12
Notes: Coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present,
coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.
May 2011
World Rice: Supply and Demand
Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares
Area
Harvested
Yield Rough
Production
Production TY Exports Domestic
Consumpti
Ending
Stocks
Rice, Milled
418.2 56.8278.711.2285.03.0140.5 1982/83
450.9 69.3294.411.9306.93.1144.6 1983/84
464.9 87.7298.411.0316.83.2144.1 1984/85
467.3 97.7308.011.8318.03.2144.7 1985/86
464.6 103.3310.412.9316.13.2144.8 1986/87
464.8 105.3313.111.4315.13.3141.4 1987/88
490.8 111.7325.714.0332.13.3146.6 1988/89
510.3 120.6336.311.7345.23.5147.8 1989/90
519.4 126.7345.312.3351.43.5147.0 1990/91
522.8 126.7353.214.4353.23.5147.5 1991/92
524.2 123.2357.514.9354.03.6146.5 1992/93
526.1 119.0358.916.6354.73.6145.3 1993/94
539.9 117.6365.520.8364.13.7147.4 1994/95
547.3 118.1368.319.7368.83.7148.4 1995/96
565.3 120.3379.218.9381.43.8150.1 1996/97
575.2 127.7379.927.6387.43.8151.7 1997/98
587.0 134.0388.624.8394.93.8153.1 1998/99
608.8 143.1400.222.8409.33.9155.9 1999/00
594.3 146.7395.824.4399.43.9152.4 2000/01
594.7 132.9413.527.8399.73.9151.4 2001/02
563.5 102.9408.427.5378.53.8146.9 2002/03
585.4 81.5413.927.3392.53.9149.3 2003/04
597.0 74.0408.729.0401.23.9151.8 2004/05
622.9 76.6415.629.1418.24.0153.8 2005/06
626.2 75.1421.531.9420.04.1154.6 2006/07
645.4 80.0427.829.8432.74.2155.3 2007/08
669.2 91.5436.029.3447.54.2157.9 2008/09
658.8 93.9437.731.6440.14.2156.0 2009/10
676.6 97.0448.431.0451.64.3158.1 2010/11
685.5 96.2458.732.2457.94.3159.9 2011/12
Notes: Stocks, exports and consumption are expressed on a milled basis in marketing years.
May 2011
Grain: World Markets and Trade, May 2011
58
ENDNOTES TO GRAIN: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE REGIONAL TABLES North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States. Central America: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama. Caribbean: Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French West Indies, Grenada, Guadeloupe, Haiti, Jamaica and Dep, Leeward-Windward Islands, Martinique, Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles, Puerto Rico, Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, Turks and Caicos Islands, Virgin Islands of the U.S. South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas), French Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela. EU: Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom. Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Former Yugoslavia, Gibraltar, Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland. Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan. Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen. North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia. Sub-Saharan Africa: all African countries except North Africa. East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia, Taiwan. South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives. Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam. Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea.
May 2011
Grain: World Markets and Trade, May 2011
59
OTHER NOTES Local Marketing Years (LMY): LMY refers to the 12-month period following the main harvest, when the crop is marketed (i.e., consumed, traded, or stored). The year first listed begins a country's LMY for that commodity (2008/09 starts in 2008); except for summer grains in certain Southern Hemisphere countries and for rice in selected countries, where the second year begins the LMY (2008/09 starts in 2009). Key exporter LMY’s are:
Wheat Corn Barley Sorghum Argentina (Dec/Nov) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Nov/Oct) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Oct/Sep) Brazil (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) Australia (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) China (Oct/Sep) EU-27 (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) China (Jul/Jun) South Africa (May/Apr) Russia (Jul/Jun) EU-27 (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) India (Apr/Mar) United States (Jun/May) Kazakhstan (Jul/Jun) Russia(Jul/Jun) Turkey (Jun/May) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) United States (Jun/May)
For a complete list of local marketing years, please see the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx). Stocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in time. Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in local marketing year imports and local marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however, reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only. Trade: All PSD tables are balanced on the different local marketing years. All trade tables contain Trade Year (TY) data which puts all countries on a uniform, 12-month period for analytical comparisons: wheat is July/June; coarse grains, corn, barley, sorghum, oats, and rye are Oct/Sept; and rice is calendar year. EU Consolidation: The trade figures starting from 1999/00 represent EU-27 and exclude all intra-trade. For the years 1960/61 through 1998/99, figures are the EU-15 and also exclude all intra-trade. EU-15 member states' data for grains are no longer maintained in the official USDA database. Data for the individual NMS-10, plus Bulgaria and Romania, exists only prior to 1999/00. Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected pasta products on a grain equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled
May 2011
Grain: World Markets and Trade, May 2011
60
equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains. Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries, and trade to countries outside the USDA database. The Field Crops and Livestock Branch, Industry and Sector Analysis Division, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA, Washington DC 20250, prepared this circular. Information is gathered from official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S. agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information. Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-6590. Note: The previous report in this series was the Grain: World Markets and Trade Foreign Agricultural Service Circular FG 04-11 April 2011. For further details on world grain production, please see World Agricultural Production Foreign Agricultural Service Circular WAP 05-11 May 2011. This circular is available in its entirety on the World Wide Web via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov
May 2011