united states agriculture grain - cornell university...current export restrictions in both ....

Grain: World Markets and Trade

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board - USDA

This could be another year of volatile prices withtight exportable supplies of corn and wheat. Incontrast, the rice world supplies are relativelyabundant.

Against the backdrop of low carry-in corn and wheatstocks, expectations of a large rebound in globalexportable supplies now remain uncertain afterdelayed corn plantings in the United States, reducedU.S. winter wheat production, continued dryness inthe EU, and wet conditions in Canada.

Global corn production is forecast up 52 MMT overlast year, with the United States expected to accountfor half of the gain. However, nearly all of the growthin global corn consumption is expected to come fromforeign demand, in countries such as Brazil, China,and Mexico. For wheat, the year-to-year gain inproduction is a more modest 21 MMT, with morethan three-quarters of the rebound coming fromlarger expected crops in Russia, Ukraine, andKazakhstan. As a result, production and consumptionare expected to be in balance, compared to last year’sshortfall of 14 MMT.

Corn and wheat ending stocks in the exportingcountries are up slightly year-to-year, leaving littlesupply cushion in the event of adverse weatherimpacting crops. For corn, the exporting countriesare: Argentina, Brazil, and the United States. Forwheat the exporters include: Argentina, Australia,Canada, EU, United States, Kazakhstan, Russia, andUkraine.

For rice, record supplies and large ending stocks inthe exporter countries (Thailand, Vietnam, India,Pakistan, and the United States) contrast with wheatand corn, where stocks are still tight.

Wheat and Corn Outlook Remains Tight;Rice Relatively Abundant

United StatesDepartment ofAgriculture

ForeignAgriculturalService

Circular SeriesFG 05-11May 2011

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

05/06 06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12

MMT Wheat & Corn Exporter Ending Stocks Tight

Corn Wheat

28

29

30

31

32

33

34

05

101520253035

06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12

MMT Trade

MMTStocks

Record Rice Trade and Abundant Exporter Ending Stocks

Major Exporters World Trade

1100

1200

1300

1400

1500

1600

02/03 05/06 08/09 11/12

MMT Global Corn and Wheat Production and Consumption In Balance

Production Consumption

Grain: World Markets and Trade, May 2011

2

TABLE OF CONTENTS

World Markets and Trade: Commentary and Current Data Wheat ............................................................................................................. 4 Rice .............................................................................................................. 12 Coarse Grains ............................................................................................... 18 Historical Data Series for Selected Regions and Countries ........................... 39 Endnotes to Grain: World Markets and Trade ............................................. 58 The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 9 a.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. It is available on the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/). This circular is released at 10:00 a.m. on the same day, together with its downloadable data set.

May 2011

http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/�

All Grain Summary Comparison

Marketing Year

Wheat Rice, Milled Corn

2011/122010/112009/102011/122010/112009/102011/122010/112009/10

Production

United States (Jun-May) 60.4 60.1 55.6 7.1 7.6 6.8 332.5 316.2 343.0

Other 623.8 588.0 613.9 432.9 444.0 451.1 480.4 499.2 524.7

World Total 684.2 648.1 669.5 440.1 451.6 457.9 813.0 815.3 867.7

Domestic Consumption


Other 621.0 628.9 633.4 430.7 442.4 451.3 528.7 546.1 564.0

World Total 652.0 661.0 667.2 434.7 446.4 455.3 810.1 839.5 857.5

Ending Stocks


Other 169.6 159.4 162.1 92.7 95.3 94.6 102.0 103.7 106.3

World Total 196.2 182.2 181.3 93.9 97.0 96.2 145.4 122.2 129.1

TY Imports


Other 128.6 120.3 121.0 28.3 28.4 28.1 90.5 90.8 88.8

World Total 131.7 123.2 124.0 28.9 29.0 28.7 90.7 91.4 89.3

TY Exports


Other 110.2 90.7 97.7 27.7 27.6 28.7 43.2 44.4 45.8

World Total 134.4 126.2 126.7 31.6 31.0 32.2 93.1 92.9 91.8

Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and exports

and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.

Marketing years for U.S. grains are: Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).

'Marketing Year' column is germane for U.S. wheat only.

May 2011


4

WHEAT: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

Production/Consumption in Balance

500

550

600

650

700

03/0

4

04/0

5

05/0

6

06/0

7

07/0

8

08/0

9

09/1

0

10/1

1

11/1

2


MMT

Global wheat production is projected to reach 670 million tons, up 21 million from last year. However, dry spring weather is limiting production, particularly in the United States and the EU. Global consumption is projected to expand to 670 million tons, up nearly 8 million from last year, driven mostly by expanding feed wheat demand in China, the EU, and the United States. Given this scenario, global ending stocks are expected to decline slightly.

May 2011


5

Traditional Exporter* Stocks Decline Again

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

MMT

*Argentina, Australia, Canada, EU, the United States

A key price factor for the world wheat market is the level of stocks held by traditional exporters: Australia, Canada, the EU, Argentina and the United States. Ending stocks are expected to tighten somewhat this year. The biggest drop is in the United States, but stocks are still abundant. Slight increases are expected in Australia and the EU, partly offsetting the decline. Although stock levels are expected to recover in Russia and Ukraine, restrictive government export policies will continue to impact prices.

May 2011


6

HIGHLIGHTS FOR 2011/12 Selected Importers Global trade is relatively unchanged from last year. However, there are several offsetting changes. Import demand is lower in North Africa primarily due to larger crops in Morocco and Egypt. Similarly, Mexican imports are expected to decline due to improved production prospects. EU imports are higher because of expected availability of feed-quality wheat from Ukraine. Increases are also expected in several Middle Eastern countries, particularly Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and Israel. Imports are rising in Indonesia due to expanding milling capacity. Nigeria is also raised due to higher expected milling capacity utilization. Selected Exporters Black Sea Countries* Expected to Boost Market Share- U.S. /EU Drop Current export restrictions in both Ukraine and Russia are expected to end June 30. Less restrictive export policies during 2011/12 are expected to facilitate exports. With the resumption of exports, their global market share is expected to double, while that of the United States and the EU is expected to drop. Last year, the United States made considerable gains in the Middle East and Egypt, a primary purchaser of Russian wheat. Bulgaria and Romania were able to export low-quality wheat used as bread flour in Bangladesh and in feed rations in Southeast Asia. However, it is expected that Ukraine will once again provide low-quality wheat to these markets. The United States Expected to Lose Market Share in the Western Hemisphere as Canada Rebounds With a rebound forecast in both production and quality, Canada is expected to recover market share in the Western Hemisphere, particularly in Peru and Mexico, at the expense of the United States.

May 2011


7

PRICES:

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

$/M

T

U.S. Weekly FOB Export Bids

HRS SRW SWW HRW

Domestic: The continued unrest in the Middle East and North Africa, weather related concerns over supplies of Hard Red Winter Wheat (HRW), supportive U.S. corn prices, and technical market factors have contributed to recent price volatility. The U.S. season-average farm price is forecast at a record $6.80-8.20 per bushel. TRADE CHANGES IN 2010/11 Selected Exporters

• Australia is up 1.0 million tons to 16.0 million on the torrid export pace to date.

• Canada is cut 500,000 tons to 16.5 million as high-quality milling wheat supplies dwindle.

• United States is raised 500,000 tons to 35.5 million on strong demand for high-quality

wheat and tight supplies in Canada which will boost the shipments in final months of the trade year.

May 2011


8

Selected Importers

• Bangladesh is up 400,000 tons to 3.4 million on unexpected reports of large purchases of

Pakistani wheat.

• Japan is up 300,000 tons to 5.5 million on the continued strong import pace despite the earthquake.

• Vietnam is boosted 500,000 tons to 2.3 million, a record, on increased demand for feed-

quality wheat used in its growing aquaculture industry.

May 2011

World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade

July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

May

none

TY Exports

7,0007,5005,1728,62110,22812,231 Argentina

15,00016,00013,76413,4507,44911,241 Australia

18,50016,50018,99218,67416,56119,278 Canada

18,00022,00022,11525,35112,27213,813 EU-27

7,5005,0007,8715,7018,1818,089 Kazakhstan

1,2001,2003002,1002,200700 Pakistan

10,0004,00018,55618,39312,22010,790 Russia

3,2003,0004,3712,3421,7632,200 Turkey

8,5003,5009,33713,0371,2363,366 Ukraine

1,100900994616422253 Uruguay

7,66411,0778,7497,5759,6198,800 Others

97,66490,677110,221115,86082,15190,761 Subtotal

29,00035,50024,17527,10134,28224,873 United States

126,664126,177134,396142,961116,433115,634 World Total

none

TY Imports

3,0002,0002,5003,8002,3001,400 Afghanistan

5,3005,3005,1676,3565,9044,874 Algeria

3,0003,4003,3312,8821,5001,731 Bangladesh

6,7006,7006,6676,7627,0767,743 Brazil

1,4001,3501,4241,4031,3091,241 Colombia

9,50010,20010,3009,9007,7007,300 Egypt

6,0004,5005,5197,7376,9335,233 EU-27

6,2005,8005,3645,4195,2275,601 Indonesia

3,7003,3003,9053,8793,4292,892 Iraq

1,7001,5001,8622,0631,1891,494 Israel

5,5005,5005,5025,1565,7015,747 Japan

4,2004,2004,4703,3713,0923,439 Korea, South

3,1003,5003,1963,3423,1363,607 Mexico

2,1003,9002,3043,7594,1921,802 Morocco

4,1003,7004,0793,5502,6333,265 Nigeria

1,6001,7001,7031,3851,4441,367 Peru

3,0003,0003,1883,2012,2662,754 Philippines

2,0001,7001,9101,27575100 Saudi Arabia

1,8001,6001,9011,7121,0601,323 Sudan

1,5001,6001,5341,7682,3721,430 Tunisia

3,0003,0003,2183,5782,1921,778 Turkey

1,5001,5001,6771,4409901,090 Uzbekistan

1,5001,5001,5971,5011,5011,707 Venezuela

2,3002,3001,9271,0161,0661,292 Vietnam

2,6002,6002,6022,7961,9002,414 Yemen

34,73034,90041,71647,73634,28937,278 Others

121,030120,250128,563136,787110,476109,902 Subtotal

2,6842,9772,6532,7753,0052,375 Unaccounted

2,9502,9503,1803,3992,9523,357 United States

126,664126,177134,396142,961116,433115,634 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.

May 2011

World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

May

none

Production

13,50015,00011,00011,00018,60016,300 Argentina

24,50026,00021,92321,42013,56910,822 Australia

26,00023,16726,84828,61120,05425,265 Canada

115,500115,000115,120112,464109,298108,466 China

8,7007,2008,5237,9778,2758,274 Egypt

138,615135,763138,601151,122120,133124,870 EU-27

84,00080,80080,68078,57075,81069,350 India

13,75015,50013,4857,95715,88714,664 Iran

15,0009,70017,05212,53816,46713,460 Kazakhstan

5,9004,8876,4003,7301,5836,327 Morocco

23,50023,90024,00020,95923,29521,277 Pakistan

53,00041,50861,77063,76549,36844,927 Russia

17,40017,00018,45016,80015,50017,500 Turkey

19,00016,84420,86625,88513,93813,947 Ukraine

6,5006,5006,2006,0006,2005,850 Uzbekistan

49,07549,26552,89645,97648,29745,737 Others

613,940588,034623,814614,774556,274547,036 Subtotal

55,60560,10360,36668,01655,82149,217 United States

669,545648,137684,180682,790612,095596,253 World Total

none

Total Consumption

8,7508,6508,5508,3008,0507,850 Algeria

8,5009,0256,7256,8506,5007,600 Australia

10,80010,80011,00010,70010,30010,300 Brazil

7,9008,7006,9277,9776,7938,984 Canada

111,000109,500107,000105,500106,000102,000 China

18,10017,50017,90017,20015,80015,300 Egypt

125,000122,500125,000127,000116,536125,500 EU-27

84,70082,52578,15070,92476,42373,477 India

14,80015,50016,10015,80015,50015,300 Iran

8,4008,3008,0007,4507,2257,200 Morocco

23,40023,20023,00022,80022,40021,700 Pakistan

40,80044,30042,00038,90037,65036,400 Russia

17,30017,20017,10016,90016,80016,650 Turkey

11,80011,60012,30011,90012,30011,700 Ukraine

7,9007,7007,4007,1006,9006,500 Uzbekistan

134,276131,867133,893126,283119,714120,830 Others

636,742630,000623,314608,144588,762585,189 Subtotal

33,74732,10930,93234,29328,61430,940 United States

670,489662,109654,246642,437617,376616,129 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

7,2576,1574,0823,5893,6513,953 Australia

6,1966,1967,8296,5474,4066,865 Canada

64,42559,92554,42545,80339,08138,569 China

5,3965,3965,5964,8574,2744,142 Egypt

13,32011,70515,94218,93712,42914,171 EU-27

13,74514,44516,12013,4305,8004,500 India

8,0295,62912,12110,7434,0684,130 Russia

43,77349,90853,50644,46643,85442,423 Others

162,141159,361169,621148,372117,563118,753 Subtotal

19,11622,84026,55217,8678,32312,414 United States

181,257182,201196,173166,239125,886131,167 World Total

May 2011

Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Thousand Metric Tons

2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

May

2011/12

TY Imports none

7,279 North America 6,475 7,128 6,779 6,850 6,450

1,582 Central America 1,460 1,489 1,469 1,450 1,500

13,855 South America 13,092 13,074 13,091 12,865 12,840

5,233 European Union 6,933 7,737 5,519 4,500 6,000

1,508 Other Europe 1,923 1,712 1,696 1,685 1,685

5,988 Former Soviet Union - 12 6,032 6,569 5,415 5,725 5,750

12,063 Middle East 11,810 28,218 22,515 16,450 17,525

16,400 North Africa 21,742 23,472 21,396 22,400 19,800

11,431 Sub-Saharan Africa 10,287 13,707 15,773 13,990 14,495

11,894 East Asia 11,277 11,322 13,745 13,150 13,000

10,949 South Asia 8,215 10,771 7,586 6,915 7,510

12,441 Southeast Asia 11,405 12,324 13,902 14,550 14,750

2,636 Others 2,777 2,663 2,857 2,670 2,675

113,259 Total 113,428 140,186 131,743 123,200 123,980

Production none

77,722 North America 79,468 100,627 91,362 86,920 85,705

21,222 South America 25,435 20,516 21,039 25,245 23,262

124,870 European Union 120,133 151,122 138,601 135,763 138,615

4,313 Other Europe 4,405 4,712 4,609 3,800 4,120


42,129 Middle East 41,040 30,325 38,369 40,175 37,940

18,576 North Africa 13,948 14,352 20,261 16,133 19,125


109,669 East Asia 110,590 113,776 116,281 116,060 116,740

95,881 South Asia 105,070 103,898 111,200 111,020 112,620

11,099 Oceania 13,846 21,697 22,200 26,277 24,777

160 Others 143 171 176 181 186

596,253 Total 612,095 682,790 684,180 648,137 669,545

Domestic Consumption none

46,124 North America 40,907 48,270 44,159 47,209 48,097

24,193 South America 24,346 24,494 25,658 25,475 25,615

125,500 European Union 116,536 127,000 125,000 122,500 125,000

5,273 Other Europe 5,495 5,560 5,444 5,335 5,340


51,304 Middle East 50,758 52,669 53,615 53,625 53,300

34,219 North Africa 35,825 37,475 39,250 38,975 39,725


113,938 East Asia 117,556 117,188 120,068 122,035 123,710

104,866 South Asia 109,638 105,304 113,861 117,710 120,080

11,719 Southeast Asia 11,009 12,054 13,288 14,285 14,370

8,535 Oceania 7,383 7,720 7,635 9,910 9,390

3,267 Others 3,400 3,272 3,408 3,220 3,220

618,231 Total 613,505 635,877 651,977 660,976 667,173

Ending Stocks none

19,690 North America 13,108 24,729 34,901 29,606 25,832

3,652 South America 4,571 4,015 4,531 4,646 4,411

14,171 European Union 12,429 18,937 15,942 11,705 13,320

1,742 Other Europe 1,817 2,176 2,202 1,412 1,387


12,294 Middle East 11,610 11,564 15,050 13,963 12,216

9,600 North Africa 9,186 9,216 11,248 10,531 9,456


40,957 East Asia 41,899 48,637 57,213 62,898 67,438

8,912 South Asia 10,079 17,359 21,430 20,155 18,455

2,856 Southeast Asia 2,771 2,713 2,915 2,710 2,605

4,224 Oceania 3,917 3,806 4,273 6,315 7,382

288 Others 252 304 313 309 310

131,167 Total 125,886 166,239 196,173 182,201 181,257

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are reported

using local marketing years.

May 2011


12

RICE: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

Global production for 2011/2012 is forecast at record levels as Governments of many importing and exporting countries continue to promote rice production by subsidizing input costs or purchasing local paddy to boost farm gate prices. Meanwhile, expanding population is driving rising demand. Stocks held by major exporters, particularly Vietnam, the United States, and India are expected to remain large. Global trade is estimated to reach a new record on strong worldwide demand, especially from the Philippines. On the supply side, Pakistan is expected to recover from last year’s floods and large exportable supplies are forecast out of Vietnam, Thailand, and Cambodia. Consequently, global prices are expected to remain soft, despite the run-up in other commodities. Quotes for benchmark Thai 100B have only increased about $7 (on a base of $484) per ton since last year.

26

27

28

29

30

31

32

420

425

430

435

440

445

450

455

460

465

2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012*

Stoc

ks/T

rade

MM

T

Prod

/Con

s M

MT

Record Production Meets Rising Consumption; Exporter Stocks Plentiful Despite Record Exports

Production Consumption Ending Stocks by Major Exporters**

* Forecast **Major Exporters include Thailand, Vietnam, United States, Pakistan, and India

May 2011


13

TRADE CHANGES FOR 2011 Selected Exporters:

• EU is more than doubled to 400,000 on demand for EU varieties.

• Pakistan is down 150,000 tons to 2.5 million as lower production impacts exports.

• Vietnam is up 200,000 tons to 6.2 million on the pace of exports.

Selected Importers:

• Bangladesh is raised 200,000 tons to 1.0 million on purchases to date. • Brazil is reduced 100,000 tons to 500,000 due to reports of a record crop.

• EU is cut 280,000 tons to 1.1 million on falling demand.

• Iran is boosted 200,000 tons to 1.4 million on lower production than originally

estimated.

May 2011


14

MARKETING YEAR CHANGES For the countries below, marketing year definitions were changed to better reflect common production and marketing cycles within regions. Changes were made beginning with 2007/2008: * For Marketing Year 2007/2008, the starting month is January 2008.

** For Marketing Year 2007/2008, the starting month is July or October 2007. NEW SERIES A trade series for New Zealand was added this month beginning with marketing year 1997/1998. Although New Zealand does not produce rice, imports have grown to a level warranting inclusion in the database.

January-December* Armenia Brunei Israel

Malaysia Saudi Arabia Switzerland

Taiwan July-June**

China October-September**

Afghanistan Nepal Iran Iraq

May 2011

World Rice Trade

January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

May

none

TY Exports

600600468594408436 Argentina

450350401748190 Australia

550600430591511201 Brazil

8007004451,05254131 Burma

1,0001,2001,000800500450 Cambodia

6006006197839691,340 China

350400282150157139 EU-27

230250275244185254 Guyana

2,8002,4002,0522,1233,3836,301 India

150200200200200200 Japan

3,2002,5004,0003,1873,0502,696 Pakistan

1501501351246967 Paraguay

10,00010,0009,0478,57010,0119,557 Thailand

850850808926742734 Uruguay

6,4006,2006,7345,9504,6494,522 Vietnam

5706391,1901,0071,0681,774 Others

28,70027,63927,72526,31826,49128,892 Subtotal

3,4503,3753,8563,0173,2673,025 United States

32,15031,01431,58129,33529,75831,917 World Total

none

TY Imports

5501,0006601501,6581,570 Bangladesh

600500774650417684 Brazil

340330330322365341 Canada

400400366337295472 China

950900840800800980 Cote d'Ivoire

525525498457558574 Cuba

1,0701,0701,2161,3831,5201,342 EU-27

415410390397399348 Hong Kong

4001,7501,1502503502,000 Indonesia

1,5001,4001,0001,4701,4301,460 Iran

1,2001,1501,1401,089975773 Iraq

700700650750546642 Japan

350330320245282242 Korea, South

1,1301,0409071,0861,039799 Malaysia

700655598610578607 Mexico

375400320385300410 Mozambique

1,9501,9002,0002,0001,8001,550 Nigeria

2,2001,0002,4002,0002,5001,900 Philippines

1,1501,1001,0691,0721,166961 Saudi Arabia

700700685715860700 Senegal

750760733745650960 South Africa

350350315250230235 Syria

430420400380350285 United Arab Emirates

500600400500300450 Vietnam

340335330329315338 Yemen

8,5428,6628,8437,9638,1848,140 Others

28,11728,38728,33426,33527,86728,763 Subtotal

3,4032,0072,6852,3181,2402,459 Unaccounted

630620562682651695 United States

32,15031,01431,58129,33529,75831,917 World Total


Note about dates: 2011/12 is calendar year 2012, 2010/11 is calendar year 2011, and so on.

May 2011

World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

May

none

Milled Production

33,00032,90031,00031,00028,80029,000 Bangladesh

7,9009,4507,6578,5708,1997,695 Brazil

11,00010,75010,55010,15010,73010,600 Burma

5,2005,0204,7804,5204,2383,946 Cambodia

140,000139,300136,570134,330130,224127,200 China

3,1003,1004,3004,4024,3854,383 Egypt

97,00094,50089,09099,18096,69093,350 India

37,60036,90036,37038,31037,00035,300 Indonesia

7,6807,7207,7118,0297,9307,786 Japan

4,3004,2954,9164,8434,4084,680 Korea, South

6,8004,7006,8006,9005,7005,450 Pakistan

10,80010,3509,77210,75510,4799,775 Philippines

2,9002,4002,6502,2272,2002,145 Sri Lanka

20,75020,26220,26019,85019,80018,250 Thailand

25,43025,25124,99324,39324,37522,922 Vietnam

37,62737,12535,52333,52231,20831,243 Others

451,087444,023432,942440,981426,366413,725 Subtotal

6,7717,5547,1336,5466,2886,267 United States

457,858451,577440,075447,527432,654419,992 World Total

none

Consumption and Residual

34,00033,70031,60031,00030,74729,764 Bangladesh

8,4008,4008,4008,4008,3508,400 Brazil

10,25010,1509,8509,64810,24910,670 Burma

4,2203,8403,8103,7703,7883,646 Cambodia

137,700136,000134,320133,000127,450127,200 China

3,1003,4003,6704,0003,3403,276 Egypt

94,70091,00085,69091,09090,46686,700 India

39,14038,85038,00037,10036,35035,900 Indonesia

8,2508,1258,2008,3268,1778,250 Japan

4,8004,7974,7604,7884,6704,887 Korea, South

4,6504,5704,4504,1003,9103,925 Nigeria

3,2002,8502,9153,4902,7182,207 Pakistan

13,35013,32513,30013,10013,49912,000 Philippines

10,90010,50010,2009,5009,6009,780 Thailand

19,45019,30019,15019,00019,40018,775 Vietnam

55,18853,56952,41349,83649,27648,962 Others

454,717444,390433,715431,896423,744417,407 Subtotal

4,0134,0084,0154,0824,0424,101 United States

458,730448,398437,730435,978427,786421,508 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

45,73443,63440,53438,54637,76235,915 China

21,10021,60020,50019,00013,00011,430 India

5,2376,3776,5777,0575,6074,607 Indonesia

2,7682,7882,6932,7152,5562,406 Japan

1,2201,5703,3454,6734,4184,868 Philippines

6,0126,0626,1004,7872,7072,510 Thailand

1,9011,8211,4701,9612,0181,392 Vietnam

10,63511,45911,45711,79910,96310,704 Others

94,60795,31192,67690,53879,03173,832 Subtotal

1,5601,7281,1849779351,266 United States

96,16797,03993,86091,51579,96675,098 World Total

Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.

May 2011

Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

May

2011/12

TY Imports none

1,643 North America 1,594 1,614 1,490 1,605 1,670

1,015 Caribbean 1,028 906 989 985 1,015

1,086 South America 1,105 1,116 1,393 1,227 1,372

137 Other Europe 98 126 126 135 135

368 Former Soviet Union - 12 361 412 402 377 310

4,879 Middle East 5,519 5,349 5,187 5,635 5,870

355 North Africa 275 155 350 325 330


2,318 East Asia 1,652 1,877 1,962 2,015 2,050

1,946 South Asia 2,208 528 1,097 1,435 890

5,683 Southeast Asia 4,640 4,542 5,562 4,988 4,735

2,244 Others 2,469 2,217 2,095 1,865 1,800

29,458 Total 28,518 27,017 28,896 29,007 28,747

Production none

6,445 North America 6,466 6,702 7,310 7,704 6,904

798 Caribbean 796 882 984 1,010 1,010

14,220 South America 15,461 16,217 15,173 17,233 15,133

1,676 European Union 1,757 1,620 1,887 1,867 1,899

980 Former Soviet Union - 12 988 906 1,095 1,223 1,262

2,282 Middle East 2,318 2,026 2,002 2,061 2,040

4,413 North Africa 4,406 4,423 4,335 3,140 3,140


142,661 East Asia 145,044 150,087 152,218 153,931 154,876

133,111 South Asia 136,570 142,432 132,775 137,675 142,950

103,789 Southeast Asia 109,790 111,279 110,269 111,944 114,411

695 Others 566 685 810 1,304 1,436

419,992 Total 432,654 447,527 440,075 451,577 457,858


5,230 North America 5,130 5,172 5,153 5,168 5,228

1,118 Central America 1,104 1,125 1,129 1,136 1,126

1,879 Caribbean 1,944 1,831 1,914 2,003 2,028

13,963 South America 14,199 14,534 14,676 14,743 14,697

2,911 European Union 3,185 2,925 2,860 2,700 2,700


7,473 Middle East 7,537 7,577 7,510 7,643 7,865

3,546 North Africa 3,636 4,133 4,038 3,750 3,455


144,289 East Asia 143,296 149,584 150,799 152,143 154,245

124,366 South Asia 129,831 131,370 126,363 133,520 138,250

94,938 Southeast Asia 97,272 96,739 99,159 100,809 102,466

753 Others 688 564 635 670 705

418,443 Total 426,032 434,230 434,743 446,384 455,311

Ending Stocks none

1,409 North America 1,128 1,143 1,354 1,878 1,701

272 Central America 265 200 236 226 241

178 Caribbean 134 109 129 146 148

1,924 South America 1,743 2,229 1,755 2,517 1,813

1,138 European Union 1,126 1,020 1,120 957 876

1,888 Middle East 2,172 1,999 1,607 1,460 1,420

370 North Africa 685 557 497 177 142

1,161 Sub-Saharan Africa 983 974 1,002 1,068 1,176

39,317 East Asia 41,284 42,488 45,038 48,033 49,959

12,636 South Asia 14,306 21,393 22,429 23,559 23,189

14,426 Southeast Asia 15,950 19,249 18,494 16,716 15,195

230 Oceania 52 26 44 97 107

149 Others 138 128 155 205 200

75,098 Total 79,966 91,515 93,860 97,039 96,167



May 2011


18

COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

World coarse grain production in 2011/12 is forecast 62 million tons above the previous year, reaching a new record, and global consumption is forecast up 20 million tons, a new record. However, ending stocks are forecast to build only fractionally after last year’s sharp drawdown. Feed consumption is forecast to expand as economic growth worldwide seems to be underway. Global corn production is forecast at a record 868 million tons, up more than 50 million tons from last year. U.S. corn production is forecast at a record. Global consumption is projected to climb over 20 million tons to a record 861 million. While the gain in production is almost equally split between the United States and foreign countries, essentially all consumption growth occurs in foreign countries. Corn used for ethanol in the United States is expected to grow at the slowest pace since the 1990’s. World corn trade is expected to decline for the second consecutive year, although still in line with the long-term trend. Favorable production in China, EU, Mexico, and Ukraine--and in most major producing countries--will either diminish import demand or spur export competition. Nonetheless, most of the key importers will have expanded trade in 2011/12. Canadian imports are up 600,000 tons, despite sluggish feed grain demand and a large crop,

0

50

100

150

MM

T

Falling U.S. and World Carryin Stocks

U.S. All Others

600

700

800

900

1000

1100

1200

Higher Coarse Grain Production Meets Consumption


75

85

95

105

115

125MMT

Coarse Grain Trade Trends Downward

25

35

45

55

65

75

Perc

ent

U.S. Corn Export Market Share Shrinks Steadily

MMT

May 2011


19

as the country returns to normal after record exports this year. EU imports decline sharply, following better crops. U.S. exports are forecast down with continued tight domestic supplies and high prices; consequently market share continues to shrink. Additionally, Argentina’s record crop and large global supplies of feed-quality wheat provide more competition. World barley trade is expected to decline for the fourth consecutive year as tight supplies in major producing countries constrain world trade. EU exports are expected to fall dramatically, as feed barley production expansion is limited by the relative competitiveness of other crops, while malting barley continues to be a niche crop driven by contracting. Ukrainian exports are forecast higher, although still below levels of the last several years, as the government is expected to allow the movement of new crop supplies. Russian exports are up, but tight domestic supplies will likely limit export opportunities. On the demand side, Saudi trade is down on these limited exportable supplies and a government measure to double the price of imports. Uncertainty also remains over the fate of the Saudi import subsidy in the future. Global sorghum trade is forecast down 14 percent as tighter exportable supplies from the U.S. impact demand from Mexico and EU. Global oats trade is expected to rebound as larger crops in Canada should support greater exports to the United States. PRICES: Domestic: U.S. corn export quotes rose in the first 2 weeks of April then plummeted through the end of April and beginning of May ending at $292/ton. Argentine quotes followed suit, ending at $285/ton. Brazilian corn prices for export remained unavailable for the month of April; however, new crop export quotes were posted in early May.

TMT

225

250

275

300

325

350

$/M

TCorn Weekly Export Bids

U.S. Gulf Argentina Up River Brazil Paranagua

May 2011


20

HIGHLIGHTS FOR 2010/11 Selected Exporters

• U.S. corn is cut 1.5 million tons to 48.5 million based on the slowing pace of sales and shipments.

• Argentine corn is raised 1.0 million tons to 14.0 million because of reduced U.S. competition.

• Canadian corn exports are raised sharply by 600,000 tons to a record 1.6 million tons; corn imports are slashed to 800,000 tons, the lowest in 15 years. Strong exports, (especially to the United States), weak purchases, and a record harvest last year have quickly turned the country into a net exporter for the first time in nearly 20 years.

• Serbian corn is up 300,000 tons to 2.0 million based on the pace of shipments.

• Ukrainian corn is raised 500,000 tons to 6.0 million as export quota restrictions are in the process of being lifted and prospects are good for a record crop.

• Turkish barley plummets 250,000 tons to 150,000 as tight supplies of domestic feed ingredients will likely limit exports, while Ukrainian barley is lowered 300,000 tons to 2.5 million as lower-than-expected new crop supplies should limit late season exports.

• Argentine sorghum is up 200,000 tons to 1.6 million as result of the recently harvested

large crop and the most exports in 25 years. Selected Importers

• U.S. corn is raised 100,000 tons to a record 600,000 as strong imports continue from Canada.

• Iranian corn is boosted 300,000 tons to 3.5 million with strong shipments through February, especially from Brazil.

• Malaysian, Uruguayan, and Vietnamese corn are up 200,000 tons each based on trade data; Russian and Venezuelan corn are cut 200,000 tons each, also based on trade data.

• A data series was added for Namibian corn (starting in 2000) as the country is a consistent importer of about 100,000 tons annually from South Africa.

• Chinese barley is reduced 200,000 tons to 1.7 million on a slower import pace and expectations of continued tightness in global malting barley supplies.

• Saudi and Syrian barley are lowered 200,000 tons each to 6.2 million and 600,000 tons, respectively, on expectations of lower new crop supplies in Ukraine and the EU.

May 2011

World Coarse Grain Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

May

none

TY Exports

19,50516,70519,02810,24117,78617,191 Argentina

5,7105,9104,4144,8733,8951,995 Australia

8,00511,0058,6277,1878,0328,188 Brazil

3,7504,4003,0683,8526,3793,787 Canada

3,7555,8554,2674,3384,6795,463 EU-27

2,3002,4702,0722,6425,539721 India

1,8053302,5284,9451,4191,836 Russia

2,2052,0151,3651,478132863 Serbia

2,0402,2251,6342,1591,145462 South Africa

10,0058,52010,93611,3805,9093,942 Ukraine

5,5804,9657,0856,0205,65611,123 Others

64,66064,40065,02459,11560,57155,571 Subtotal

49,55052,30054,16451,55868,28959,157 United States

114,210116,700119,188110,673128,860114,728 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,5202,4002,5762,0672,4332,588 Algeria

1,3551,1551,0491,4971,2581,472 Brazil

1,4658702,0111,9003,1872,285 Canada

1,4001,4501,2751,3171,9691,766 Chile

2,3253,2753,7771,6511,1571,156 China

4,1554,0554,1023,4833,6033,714 Colombia

1,0501,0501,0719731,0741,212 Dominican Republic

5,6555,4305,8975,0934,1824,845 Egypt

4,2657,4703,0122,98819,8928,854 EU-27

1,5002,0001,3213172941,069 Indonesia

3,9003,9005,1005,0003,9003,600 Iran

1,5101,7351,5921,2951,7761,684 Israel

19,13519,13519,19819,61119,21019,668 Japan

7,7608,0608,5097,2489,3588,797 Korea, South

3,3003,0003,1072,4473,1812,363 Malaysia

11,42511,52510,91410,46511,01111,040 Mexico

2,2002,1002,2021,8332,1802,145 Morocco

1,5001,5701,8861,5201,5921,646 Peru

8,0058,1059,1769,1869,9687,778 Saudi Arabia

2,6002,6002,2912,8342,5612,079 Syria

4,8504,7504,6634,6584,6844,403 Taiwan

900700500900425100 Thailand

8501,0001,2028751,1821,519 Tunisia

1,6001,2002,1981,3401,103534 Venezuela

1,4001,5001,6001,250700650 Vietnam

12,06112,58313,60213,92115,02414,168 Others

108,686112,618113,831105,669126,904111,135 Subtotal

3,0991,7573,0782,197-1,654987 Unaccounted

2,4252,3252,2792,8073,6102,606 United States

114,210116,700119,188110,673128,860114,728 World Total


May 2011

World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

May

none

Production

32,61028,50928,03119,63427,11827,094 Argentina

13,30713,60711,09612,27212,8956,583 Australia

57,33357,34158,41253,48660,52053,216 Brazil

23,73022,06522,47727,18427,84123,145 Canada

178,260174,160163,630172,410158,863159,119 China

8,9258,9258,0469,0348,3027,928 Ethiopia

145,169139,643155,316162,102136,580137,918 EU-27

40,30040,35033,89039,55040,63033,810 India

8,1006,7506,9008,7008,5007,850 Indonesia

32,22929,52927,27232,25230,57729,181 Mexico

28,10028,10027,95926,67024,00026,000 Nigeria

28,70016,41631,84340,88129,17130,083 Russia

12,99312,44813,88113,08413,6907,760 South Africa

9,89510,09511,17610,4089,44510,896 Turkey

24,35021,44224,14326,27514,59219,165 Ukraine

146,620145,036136,814131,525128,212128,812 Others

790,621754,416760,886785,467730,936708,560 Subtotal

356,196330,230348,755325,867349,861279,998 United States

1,146,8171,084,6461,109,6411,111,3341,080,797988,558 World Total

none

Domestic Consumption

11,42510,6449,9548,7689,3679,694 Argentina

53,29851,57349,71448,19144,60543,312 Brazil

21,52020,76222,21622,89224,02324,502 Canada

176,240172,090166,975160,100156,783153,496 China

13,50013,19513,07212,16211,47711,800 Egypt

148,430152,005150,380151,855154,855148,427 EU-27

38,10037,55032,00036,50035,50032,520 India

9,4709,3709,3708,9208,7708,070 Iran

19,36519,48519,64519,96519,46019,823 Japan

42,12040,74540,88542,06040,23539,920 Mexico

28,05028,15027,75026,55024,00025,750 Nigeria

25,80018,45630,59033,01128,61728,399 Russia

11,35811,17310,91810,46810,1439,153 South Africa

10,80010,80510,87010,70010,56511,610 Turkey

13,60013,44212,96413,69611,93413,149 Ukraine

210,209208,144198,820196,585191,749186,650 Others

837,147816,666813,591804,500782,436770,703 Subtotal

305,683306,415295,160275,978274,533242,798 United States

1,142,8301,123,0811,108,7511,080,4781,056,9691,013,501 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

6,3909,00510,28712,45012,7033,760 Brazil

3,3983,4735,6506,3264,0103,501 Canada

63,63159,55154,37154,14440,40438,020 China

12,43915,19025,83220,84412,72615,335 EU-27

2,9633,8134,0633,1243,1993,284 Iran

3,3592,1251,9415,2394,7403,526 Mexico

4,4154,7205,3404,3273,2661,776 South Africa

39,70938,16541,19342,40638,95735,860 Others

136,304136,042148,677148,860120,005105,062 Subtotal

26,05822,33348,13347,06045,05936,174 United States

162,362158,375196,810195,920165,064141,236 World Total

May 2011

Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

May

2011/12

TY Imports none

15,931 North America 17,808 15,172 15,204 14,720 15,315

2,906 Central America 2,681 2,491 2,537 2,755 2,950

2,227 Caribbean 2,239 2,011 2,139 2,200 2,210

10,176 South America 10,625 10,072 11,473 10,705 10,920

8,854 European Union 19,892 2,988 3,012 7,470 4,265

952 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,062 664 451 1,110 585

18,903 Middle East 21,810 21,247 21,435 18,847 19,000

11,666 North Africa 10,757 10,592 13,115 11,755 11,975


34,135 East Asia 34,662 33,349 36,276 35,350 34,200

4,394 Southeast Asia 4,746 5,405 6,725 7,365 7,215

1,005 Others 1,223 750 917 901 846

113,741 Total 130,514 108,476 116,110 114,943 111,111

Production none

332,324 North America 408,279 385,303 398,504 381,824 412,155

92,229 South America 99,917 84,977 98,405 98,506 103,166

137,918 European Union 136,580 162,102 155,316 139,643 145,169

11,568 Other Europe 9,370 12,357 11,800 12,190 12,565


19,656 Middle East 18,594 15,827 18,829 18,499 17,591

11,211 North Africa 9,894 10,219 14,891 12,359 13,532


161,420 East Asia 161,053 174,579 165,500 176,245 180,371

40,283 South Asia 47,105 45,688 40,331 46,708 46,583

24,271 Southeast Asia 26,882 27,710 25,386 26,865 29,070

7,230 Oceania 13,542 12,919 11,743 14,254 13,954

3,979 Others 4,455 4,291 4,152 4,302 4,302

988,558 Total 1,080,797 1,111,334 1,109,641 1,084,646 1,146,817


307,220 North America 338,791 340,930 358,261 367,922 369,323

71,054 South America 73,672 76,315 79,732 82,679 85,498

148,427 European Union 154,855 151,855 150,380 152,005 148,430

11,532 Other Europe 10,423 10,895 10,757 10,786 10,946


37,905 Middle East 38,192 37,833 38,469 38,304 37,934

22,008 North Africa 21,142 21,187 24,679 24,981 25,485


188,986 East Asia 191,632 194,849 201,611 206,544 210,249

39,002 South Asia 42,183 42,673 38,599 44,038 44,513

27,142 Southeast Asia 29,476 30,277 31,158 33,465 34,910

6,885 Oceania 7,666 7,897 7,727 8,477 8,302

9,051 Others 9,314 8,953 8,888 9,238 9,438

1,009,073 Total 1,056,616 1,078,401 1,101,283 1,124,004 1,138,968

Ending Stocks none

43,201 North America 53,809 58,625 55,724 27,931 32,815

9,447 South America 19,618 16,674 14,540 13,618 11,576

15,335 European Union 12,726 20,844 25,832 15,190 12,439

1,523 Other Europe 1,340 1,517 1,653 1,633 1,503


8,558 Middle East 8,663 8,496 9,345 8,299 6,891

3,187 North Africa 2,443 2,743 5,401 4,645 4,642


41,820 East Asia 44,975 57,883 57,843 62,729 66,786

1,588 South Asia 1,763 2,028 1,612 1,949 1,844

2,778 Southeast Asia 3,475 4,446 3,329 3,049 3,179

1,301 Oceania 2,737 3,342 2,926 2,558 2,500

985 Others 1,062 836 783 772 776

141,236 Total 165,064 195,920 196,810 158,375 162,362



May 2011

World Corn Trade


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

May

none

TY Exports

17,00014,00016,9718,45815,67615,693 Argentina

8,00011,0008,6237,1787,8838,071 Brazil

1,0001,600184366944322 Canada

1,0001,0001,5191,743591664 EU-27

2,2002,4001,9172,5515,077582 India

1,7001,6001,3881,8621,4611,981 Paraguay

1,000254271,3314977 Russia

2,2002,0001,3431,467128854 Serbia

2,0002,2001,5862,1111,124431 South Africa

6,5006,0005,0725,4972,0741,027 Ukraine

3,1802,5504,1993,6412,6167,572 Others

45,78044,37543,22936,20537,62337,274 Subtotal

46,00048,50049,88747,75860,66354,214 United States

91,78092,87593,11683,96398,28691,488 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,5002,4002,5691,9032,1662,463 Algeria

1,0007006991,0929611,204 Brazil

1,4008001,9611,8443,1172,226 Canada

3,7003,6003,6513,0683,2673,386 Colombia

700700626586674672 Costa Rica

800800736708811646 Cuba

1,0501,0501,0719731,0741,212 Dominican Republic

5,6005,4005,8325,0314,1514,826 Egypt

4,0006,5002,9312,75414,0167,172 EU-27

700650651673617764 Guatemala

1,5002,0001,3213172941,069 Indonesia

3,5003,5004,3003,6002,9003,300 Iran

1,1001,2501,0538461,3741,311 Israel

16,10016,10015,97916,53316,61416,713 Japan

7,7008,0008,4617,1889,3118,731 Korea, South

3,3003,0003,1072,4473,1812,363 Malaysia

9,2009,0008,2987,7649,5568,944 Mexico

1,9001,8001,8021,5661,8581,683 Morocco

1,4001,5001,7821,4291,4691,528 Peru

2,0001,9001,8721,4821,9611,577 Saudi Arabia

2,2002,0002,0411,7841,6611,729 Syria

4,7004,6004,5214,5324,5274,283 Taiwan

900700500900425100 Thailand

1,6001,2002,1981,3361,103534 Venezuela

1,4001,5001,6001,250700650 Vietnam

8,80510,13010,92910,57511,96411,289 Others

88,75590,78090,49182,18199,75290,375 Subtotal

2,5251,4952,3881,445-1,967794 Unaccounted

500600237337501319 United States

91,78092,87593,11683,96398,28691,488 World Total


The large, negative Unaccounted in 2007/08 arises largely from timing differences between declared exports and Japan's and Korea's

declared imports.

May 2011

World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

May

none

Production

26,00022,00022,80015,50022,01722,500 Argentina

55,00055,00056,10051,00058,60051,000 Brazil

11,50011,7149,56110,59211,6498,990 Canada

172,000168,000158,000165,900152,300151,600 China

6,7006,5006,2806,6456,1746,149 Egypt

59,28855,46757,28162,32147,55553,829 EU-27

21,00020,50016,72019,73018,96015,100 India

8,1006,7506,9008,7008,5007,850 Indonesia

24,50021,50020,37424,22623,60022,350 Mexico

8,7008,7008,7597,9706,5007,800 Nigeria

7,2007,0006,2316,8537,2776,231 Philippines

6,5003,0753,9636,6823,7983,510 Russia

7,0006,8006,4006,1304,0546,415 Serbia

12,50012,00013,42012,56713,1647,300 South Africa

14,50011,91910,48611,4477,4216,426 Ukraine

84,19682,25777,15275,92972,11169,478 Others

524,684499,182480,427492,192463,680446,528 Subtotal

343,043316,165332,549307,142331,177267,503 United States

867,727815,347812,976799,334794,857714,031 World Total

none

Total Consumption

7,5007,1006,7006,4006,8006,700 Argentina

50,50048,80047,00045,50042,50041,000 Brazil

12,00011,10011,60611,68713,76911,442 Canada

168,000164,000159,000152,000149,000145,000 China

12,40012,10012,00011,10010,40010,700 Egypt

63,20061,10059,80061,60064,00062,400 EU-27

18,70018,00015,10017,00014,20013,900 India

9,2009,0008,8008,9008,5008,100 Indonesia

16,10016,20016,30016,70016,60016,500 Japan

7,8008,1008,3827,8948,6388,833 Korea, South

32,10030,30030,20032,40032,00030,700 Mexico

8,7008,8008,6007,9006,5507,600 Nigeria

7,3007,2006,5007,3007,1506,550 Philippines

10,80010,60010,4009,9009,6008,600 South Africa

6,9006,1005,7005,8505,7505,250 Ukraine

132,826127,645122,575119,617115,342111,288 Others

567,265545,197535,369523,300510,966497,995 Subtotal

293,511293,384281,423259,272261,632230,674 United States

860,776838,581816,792782,572772,598728,669 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

6,1898,6899,98912,08412,5793,592 Brazil

63,01458,71453,31453,16939,39436,602 China

3,9974,9095,0426,1494,4177,437 EU-27

1,6952,3452,7952,5022,4742,363 Iran

2,7891,4891,3893,5594,1313,084 Mexico

4,2834,5585,1334,1133,0901,661 South Africa

1,6115016729378251,204 Ukraine

22,71422,45423,71324,22624,31621,165 Others

106,292103,659102,047106,73991,22677,108 Subtotal

22,85218,53443,38042,50441,25533,114 United States

129,144122,193145,427149,243132,481110,222 World Total

May 2011

Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

May

2011/12

TY Imports none

11,489 North America 13,174 9,945 10,496 10,400 11,100

2,906 Central America 2,678 2,491 2,537 2,750 2,950

9,136 South America 9,412 8,565 9,834 8,900 9,130

7,172 European Union 14,016 2,754 2,931 6,500 4,000


10,245 Middle East 10,116 9,462 11,232 10,125 10,575

10,136 North Africa 9,593 9,574 11,725 10,625 11,200

2,011 Sub-Saharan Africa 2,174 2,915 1,909 1,090 985

29,854 East Asia 30,746 28,481 30,386 30,330 29,130

4,385 Southeast Asia 4,715 5,391 6,709 7,355 7,205

2,227 Caribbean 2,239 2,011 2,139 2,200 2,210

632 Others 739 536 576 630 570

90,694 Total 100,253 82,518 90,728 91,380 89,255

Production none

298,843 North America 366,426 341,960 362,484 349,379 379,043

83,335 South America 90,887 76,109 88,867 87,441 91,985

53,829 European Union 47,555 62,321 57,281 55,467 59,288

9,350 Other Europe 7,239 9,965 9,685 10,135 10,435


5,733 Middle East 6,062 6,529 6,163 5,806 5,798

6,351 North Africa 6,376 6,847 6,482 6,702 6,902


153,453 East Asia 154,009 167,566 159,405 169,637 173,651

20,234 South Asia 24,090 24,780 21,840 25,570 26,070

2,890 Central America 3,285 3,222 3,041 3,188 3,188

24,055 Southeast Asia 26,659 27,485 25,162 26,645 28,850

1,050 Others 1,205 1,183 1,179 1,179 1,179

714,031 Total 794,857 799,334 812,976 815,347 867,727


272,816 North America 307,401 303,359 323,229 334,784 337,611

63,147 South America 66,112 67,854 70,439 72,890 75,190

62,400 European Union 64,000 61,600 59,800 61,100 63,200

8,995 Other Europe 7,766 8,351 8,354 8,525 8,585


14,765 Middle East 15,775 15,835 16,625 16,686 17,205

16,050 North Africa 15,750 16,125 17,650 17,800 18,200


176,719 East Asia 180,503 183,015 189,811 194,680 198,255

19,029 South Asia 19,531 22,050 20,320 23,170 23,870

26,922 Southeast Asia 29,249 30,043 30,943 33,250 34,700

5,850 Central America 5,900 5,800 5,700 5,925 6,125

3,190 Others 3,406 3,235 3,250 3,375 3,375

725,237 Total 772,431 781,020 810,086 839,529 857,537

Ending Stocks none

37,535 North America 46,843 47,896 46,527 21,595 27,113

8,360 South America 18,152 15,304 13,550 12,106 10,076

7,437 European Union 4,417 6,149 5,042 4,909 3,997

1,156 Other Europe 1,026 1,184 1,369 1,339 1,209


3,634 Middle East 4,041 4,029 4,468 3,673 2,826

1,591 North Africa 1,583 2,202 2,394 2,011 1,903


39,745 East Asia 43,373 56,283 56,112 61,299 65,625

1,025 South Asia 1,276 1,436 930 1,035 1,130

2,776 Southeast Asia 3,475 4,446 3,329 3,049 3,179

684 Central America 765 613 498 486 484

326 Others 323 260 315 304 303

110,222 Total 132,481 149,243 145,427 122,193 129,144



May 2011

World Barley Trade


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

May

none

TY Exports

1,0001,100549871937537 Argentina

4,7004,5003,8463,2783,3771,927 Australia

1,1001,3001,2031,6182,9471,337 Canada

151513178149 China

557433 Croatia

105147671 Egypt

2,5004,6002,3892,3743,8884,366 EU-27

50203137371131 India

300200354314806606 Kazakhstan

552121 Kenya

25254331934 Moldova

8003002,0863,5981,2771,691 Russia

515221149 Serbia

5015080130345 Turkey

3,5002,5005,7525,8713,8142,911 Ukraine

0151310110165 Others

14,06514,75517,12518,04517,69314,113 Subtotal

200150151158901528 United States

14,26514,90517,27618,20318,59414,641 World Total

none

TY Imports

350450346403285267 Brazil

1,7001,7002,3411,5511,0911,127 China

250250237211256243 Colombia

4004008001,4001,000300 Iran

350350491367251224 Israel

1,3001,3001,4111,3461,3611,359 Japan

500500432514528804 Jordan

250200283252254217 Kuwait

20035058229616658 Libya

200200256263313462 Morocco

2003001339179229 Russia

6,0006,2007,3007,7008,0006,200 Saudi Arabia

4006002501,050900350 Syria

200450336229378866 Tunisia

2007015615924657 Turkey

1,3101,2751,3341,5242,2621,548 Others

13,81014,59516,56817,30417,47014,311 Subtotal

255110406327412-24 Unaccounted

200200302572712354 United States

14,26514,90517,27618,20318,59414,641 World Total


May 2011

World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

May

none

Production

1,5001,5002,400560950700 Algeria

2,2002,3001,3562,1101,6001,330 Argentina

9,0009,3007,9097,9977,1604,257 Australia

1,8001,4001,6502,2001,7001,350 Belarus

8,5007,6059,51711,78110,9849,573 Canada

2,5502,5002,3182,8232,7853,115 China

1,4001,4001,5691,4841,3551,352 Ethiopia

53,89953,14262,02265,50957,54556,220 EU-27

1,5001,3501,6901,2001,3301,220 India

3,0003,5003,4461,5473,1042,956 Iran

2,2001,3002,5192,0592,4411,953 Kazakhstan

3,1002,5703,8001,2727632,535 Morocco

13,5008,35017,88123,14815,66318,155 Russia

5,7005,9006,5005,7006,0007,500 Turkey

8,5008,48411,83312,6125,98111,341 Ukraine

9,3408,9669,0027,9889,1039,157 Others

127,689119,567145,412149,990128,464132,714 Subtotal

3,8103,9254,9495,2304,5753,923 United States

131,499123,492150,361155,220133,039136,637 World Total

none

Total Consumption

1,5001,5001,3501,1001,100950 Algeria

4,6004,7004,5004,0003,1004,000 Australia

1,8001,5501,7002,3001,7501,600 Belarus

7,5007,8258,5049,0657,91610,190 Canada

4,4004,4004,4004,2003,9004,200 China

1,4001,4001,5501,5001,3501,350 Ethiopia

53,50057,00056,50057,00054,20055,700 EU-27

3,6003,7003,7003,5503,6003,400 Iran

1,5251,5501,5501,5501,6001,650 Japan

1,9251,2252,0001,8501,7001,350 Kazakhstan

3,2503,0502,9001,7001,8002,500 Morocco

12,0009,60016,80017,10015,05016,400 Russia

6,3257,0257,4257,4257,4306,910 Saudi Arabia

5,9006,0005,9005,7006,1007,300 Turkey

5,3006,1005,6005,9005,0006,300 Ukraine

15,04814,80615,35714,67214,34914,645 Others

129,828131,568139,987139,248129,702138,765 Subtotal

4,3554,4644,6045,1274,3244,596 United States

134,183136,032144,591144,375134,026143,361 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

1,2681,2481,258184333462 Algeria

1,5191,8191,9192,4251,662988 Australia

1,0631,1132,5832,8431,5681,491 Canada

5,2467,19715,40510,9165,7055,824 EU-27

1,2681,4681,268622725921 Iran

1,8959952,2453,8131,1531,387 Russia

1,3281,6532,0782,2032,4282,458 Saudi Arabia

6,6956,9287,7106,2735,3076,322 Others

20,28222,42134,46629,27918,88119,853 Subtotal

1,4752,0202,5151,9321,4851,500 United States

21,75724,44136,98131,21120,36621,353 World Total

May 2011

Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

May

2011/12

TY Imports none

476 North America 933 737 373 300 300

723 South America 751 810 772 895 800

167 European Union 519 156 66 150 150

220 Other Europe 207 82 153 125 135


8,478 Middle East 11,506 11,681 10,146 8,570 8,350

1,521 North Africa 1,152 973 1,223 1,025 670

51 Sub-Saharan Africa 154 120 54 85 60

2,595 East Asia 2,550 3,000 3,861 3,125 3,125

5 South Asia 6 48 10 30 30

0 Oceania 0 0 17 5 5

14,665 Total 18,182 17,876 16,870 14,795 14,010

Production none

14,365 North America 16,212 17,822 14,966 12,311 13,091

2,350 South America 2,697 3,156 2,443 3,424 3,358

56,220 European Union 57,545 65,509 62,022 53,142 53,899

1,548 Other Europe 1,412 1,613 1,440 1,380 1,455


12,479 Middle East 11,030 8,004 11,320 11,370 10,470

3,835 North Africa 2,493 2,347 7,324 4,572 5,545


3,549 East Asia 3,240 3,300 2,757 2,922 2,984

1,886 South Asia 2,005 1,607 2,330 1,957 2,032

4,657 Oceania 7,560 8,397 8,309 9,700 9,400

136,637 Total 133,039 155,220 150,361 123,492 131,499


15,661 North America 13,040 15,042 13,858 13,039 12,655

2,332 South America 2,562 2,703 3,033 2,970 3,100

55,700 European Union 54,200 57,000 56,500 57,000 53,500

1,738 Other Europe 1,640 1,705 1,592 1,475 1,575


21,535 Middle East 20,777 20,556 20,403 20,138 19,331

4,925 North Africa 4,352 3,987 5,847 5,970 6,100


6,211 East Asia 5,854 6,109 6,326 6,330 6,305

1,897 South Asia 1,680 1,438 2,163 1,987 1,962

4,400 Oceania 3,500 4,400 4,900 5,125 5,000

143,041 Total 134,269 143,739 144,340 135,895 133,928

Ending Stocks none

3,208 North America 3,281 5,112 5,231 3,347 2,783

559 South America 460 766 501 750 808

5,824 European Union 5,705 10,916 15,405 7,197 5,246

321 Other Europe 279 279 238 248 253


4,859 Middle East 4,507 4,389 4,837 4,591 4,030

1,556 North Africa 818 511 2,963 2,590 2,695


920 East Asia 775 949 1,228 930 719

76 South Asia 54 91 228 210 260

1,046 Oceania 1,698 2,461 1,959 1,854 1,559

21,353 Total 20,366 31,211 36,981 24,441 21,757



May 2011

World Sorghum Trade


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

May

none

TY Exports

1,5001,6001,5079071,172959 Argentina

8001,2503501,36034025 Australia

50504132223144 China

505012454918 India

251539010 Kenya

505050505050 Nigeria

402548482131 South Africa

55507345277187 Others

2,5703,0902,2322,4962,1751,404 Subtotal

3,3003,6004,0843,5986,6644,380 United States

5,8706,6906,3166,0948,8395,784 World Total

none

TY Imports

700650568404268189 Chile

75258314124 China

2002002122026667 Colombia

100100125140300 Ethiopia

1008007665,2671,474 EU-27

1,6001,6001,6491,6291,0841,276 Japan

2,1002,4002,5282,4961,1561,954 Mexico

100100144490 Morocco

300300400300300300 Sudan

757571728364 Taiwan

320382526430784341 Others

5,6706,6326,3135,7579,0595,669 Subtotal

200583334-221113 Unaccounted

000312 United States

5,8706,6906,3166,0948,8395,784 World Total


May 2011

World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

May

none

Production

4,0003,8003,6291,6602,9372,795 Argentina

2,4002,4001,6002,6903,7901,283 Australia

1,7001,7091,8542,0041,4411,605 Brazil

1,8001,9501,5221,8751,5071,516 Burkina

1,8501,8001,6771,8371,9202,183 China

900900900900900900 Egypt

2,6002,6002,0842,6192,6592,316 Ethiopia

722627620517525542 EU-27

6,8006,8006,7007,2507,9307,150 India

925925980930901770 Mali

6,8007,1006,2507,0676,2005,810 Mexico

9001,5007391,214930800 Niger

11,70011,70011,50011,00010,00010,500 Nigeria

4,2005,1602,6304,1924,5005,200 Sudan

850850710700900850 Tanzania

6,4896,6446,1396,3936,2336,398 Others

54,63656,46549,53452,84853,27350,618 Subtotal

8,1288,7739,72811,99812,6367,032 United States

62,76465,23859,26264,84665,90957,650 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,4002,1001,9001,1001,2001,700 Argentina

1,4051,4051,2051,8052,2051,205 Australia

1,7751,7751,8751,8751,3751,475 Brazil

1,8001,8001,6971,7001,5071,516 Burkina

1,9001,8001,9002,0002,0002,050 China

900900900950900900 Egypt

2,7002,5002,4002,7002,6002,300 Ethiopia

6,8006,7006,6007,2007,9007,100 India

1,6001,6001,6501,6001,1001,350 Japan

925925980930901770 Mali

9,0009,5009,7008,6007,2008,100 Mexico

1,1001,3009001,2001,000825 Niger

11,65011,65011,45010,9509,95010,450 Nigeria

4,5005,0003,4004,5005,0005,000 Sudan

900800750700900950 Tanzania

8,5839,3678,0698,42613,6538,089 Others

58,24058,93655,74956,04359,44254,404 Subtotal

4,6995,4625,8498,3195,0814,012 United States

62,93964,39861,59864,36264,52358,416 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

452452152194746231 Argentina

66146677167679116 Australia

225250275456637928 China

2472474723817990 Ethiopia

3144144141,336373217 Mexico

200200200200200200 Nigeria

759764309684697997 Sudan

1,0651,4329731,3511,0781,162 Others

3,9234,2253,1415,1354,7013,841 Subtotal

9318041,0481,3901,340814 United States

4,8545,0294,1896,5256,0414,655 World Total

May 2011

Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

May

2011/12

TY Imports none

1,956 North America 1,157 2,499 2,528 2,400 2,100

284 South America 432 665 848 885 965

1,474 European Union 5,267 66 7 800 100

0 Other Europe 142 0 17 25 20

79 Middle East 156 81 48 132 55

0 North Africa 11 45 166 105 105


1,349 East Asia 1,196 1,719 1,806 1,705 1,755

9 Southeast Asia 31 14 16 10 10

3 Others 5 4 35 5 0

5,671 Total 9,060 5,760 6,313 6,632 5,670

Production none

12,842 North America 18,836 19,065 15,978 15,873 14,928

323 Central America 396 298 326 329 329

128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

5,222 South America 5,102 4,719 6,153 6,441 6,522

542 European Union 525 517 620 627 722

758 Middle East 859 654 602 640 640

915 North Africa 915 915 915 915 915


2,191 East Asia 1,940 1,857 1,697 1,820 1,870

7,305 South Asia 8,081 7,395 6,845 6,945 6,945


1,283 Oceania 3,790 2,690 1,600 2,400 2,400

0 Others 0 0 0 0 0

57,650 Total 65,909 64,846 59,262 65,238 62,764


12,112 North America 12,281 16,919 15,549 14,962 13,699

323 Central America 375 315 325 325 325

128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

4,259 South America 3,793 4,766 5,318 5,669 5,952

1,280 European Union 6,305 905 630 1,405 830

834 Middle East 970 749 694 777 700

915 North Africa 924 965 1,012 1,040 1,015


3,475 East Asia 3,222 3,699 3,643 3,500 3,600

7,258 South Asia 8,053 7,349 6,780 6,845 6,945


1,205 Oceania 2,205 1,805 1,205 1,405 1,405

0 Others 142 0 17 25 20

57,792 Total 64,472 64,555 61,225 64,584 62,637

Ending Stocks none

1,031 North America 1,713 2,726 1,462 1,218 1,245

17 Central America 39 21 22 26 25

415 South America 880 491 394 663 583

14 European Union 71 34 23 40 27

32 Middle East 76 62 18 13 8

39 North Africa 41 29 43 43 43

1,800 Sub-Saharan Africa 1,514 1,727 905 1,984 1,761

1,042 East Asia 733 578 397 372 347

247 South Asia 183 181 154 204 154

16 Oceania 791 676 771 466 661

2 Others 0 0 0 0 0

4,655 Total 6,041 6,525 4,189 5,029 4,854



May 2011

World Oats Trade


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

May

none

TY Exports

551512 Argentina

20015021116117441 Australia

554942 Brazil

1,5501,3501,5391,7922,3211,921 Canada

503537311741 Chile

150150216103133119 EU-27

554274 Russia

5151963316 Others

1,9701,7152,0312,1092,6902,146 Subtotal


2,0151,7602,0692,1472,7432,179 World Total

none

TY Imports

552211 Argentina

553234 Bosnia and Herzegovina

152021141718 Canada

50505739139 China

55221418 Colombia

101011141514 Ecuador

552425 EU-27

606056466862 Japan

7575468213161 Mexico

15103484759 Norway

252521331813 South Africa

505049525651 Switzerland

55061112 Turkey

5541100 Uruguay

05231218 Others

330335310318408345 Subtotal

8525148429140 Unaccounted

1,6001,4001,6111,7872,2441,794 United States

2,0151,7602,0692,1472,7432,179 World Total


May 2011

World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

May

none

Production

140140140808080 Algeria

345350182291472400 Argentina

1,5001,5001,1801,1601,502748 Australia

800700800600600550 Belarus

370370253239238406 Brazil

3,3002,2982,9064,2734,6963,852 Canada

460360381344384380 Chile

420420410300350400 China

7,5737,5738,5058,9358,6347,768 EU-27

160160204138230183 Kazakhstan

148148148148124152 Mexico

245245245328276248 Norway

5,0003,2185,4015,8355,3844,860 Russia

210210218196189210 Turkey

600458731944544690 Ukraine

475475475457457483 Others

21,74618,62522,17924,26824,16021,410 Subtotal

1,0451,1781,3511,2941,3131,357 United States

22,79119,80323,53025,56225,47322,767 World Total

none

Total Consumption

140141140808688 Algeria

350350200300450400 Argentina

1,2501,3009751,0351,335710 Australia

825700800600575550 Belarus

360360250225240400 Brazil

1,6751,4751,7531,7661,9352,280 Canada

400300350325350350 Chile

500450450350375425 China

7,3007,9008,1008,5008,6507,647 EU-27

160150210135215180 Kazakhstan

220195235210235245 Mexico

265255285320340303 Norway

4,9003,4505,5005,6005,3004,850 Russia

215215215210200210 Turkey

600475725925550675 Ukraine

638638622608626646 Others

19,84518,34720,87821,21321,78519,882 Subtotal

2,8122,7803,0112,9683,1613,179 United States

22,65721,12723,88924,18124,94623,061 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

6570708910078 Argentina

244194144147183197 Australia

507575757550 Belarus

8037131,1701,527950556 Canada

7310383667789 China

8066781,150972625795 EU-27

255160397499266185 Russia

171166179197167201 Others

2,4672,1593,2683,5722,4432,151 Subtotal

7779511,1661,221969734 United States

3,2443,1104,4344,7933,4122,885 World Total

May 2011

Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

May

2011/12

TY Imports none

1,873 North America 2,392 1,883 1,678 1,495 1,690

33 South America 30 32 19 25 25


114 Other Europe 108 62 87 70 70


12 Middle East 11 6 0 5 5

9 North Africa 1 0 1 0 0


71 East Asia 81 85 113 110 110

3 Oceania 2 0 0 0 0

2,139 Total 2,652 2,105 1,921 1,735 1,930

Production none

5,361 North America 6,133 5,715 4,405 3,624 4,493

1,234 South America 1,117 897 857 1,121 1,216

7,768 European Union 8,634 8,935 8,505 7,573 7,573

525 Other Europe 553 605 522 522 522


210 Middle East 189 196 218 210 210

110 North Africa 110 110 170 170 170


402 East Asia 352 302 412 422 422

823 Oceania 1,577 1,235 1,255 1,575 1,575

22,767 Total 25,473 25,562 23,530 19,803 22,791


5,704 North America 5,331 4,944 4,999 4,450 4,707

1,228 South America 1,091 896 857 1,071 1,171

7,647 European Union 8,650 8,500 8,100 7,900 7,300

635 Other Europe 680 647 620 592 597


210 Middle East 200 210 215 215 215

118 North Africa 116 110 170 171 170


490 East Asia 445 400 505 510 565

785 Oceania 1,410 1,110 1,050 1,375 1,325

23,138 Total 24,623 24,157 23,821 21,134 22,610

Ending Stocks none

1,298 North America 1,927 2,755 2,341 1,672 1,591

113 South America 126 113 95 99 109

795 European Union 625 972 1,150 678 806

45 Other Europe 34 53 45 45 40


3 Middle East 5 2 5 5 5

1 North Africa 1 1 1 1 1


93 East Asia 81 68 88 110 77

197 Oceania 183 147 144 194 244

2,885 Total 3,412 4,793 4,434 3,110 3,244



May 2011

World Rye Trade


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

May

none

TY Exports

7520025507550 Belarus

10015014276167207 Canada

10010013611459313 EU-27

015104208964 Others

275465407260390634 Subtotal


280470411266398636 World Total

none

TY Imports

112222 Croatia

1015688836 EU-27

1010911771 Israel

75751035783258 Japan

557768 Korea, South

101014111122 Norway

556444 Switzerland

55061418 Turkey

015023016 Others

121276149109215435 Subtotal

3469133493164 Unaccounted

125125129108152137 United States

280470411266398636 World Total


May 2011

World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

May

none

Production

504555557755 Argentina

1,5001,2001,7001,5001,3001,200 Belarus

205216280316252383 Canada

8,2267,8289,9519,2627,6796,541 EU-27

3,3001,6424,3334,5053,9092,959 Russia

270270343247241271 Turkey

6004649541,051562584 Ukraine

176176202190209147 Others

14,32711,84117,81817,12614,22912,140 Subtotal

170189178203160183 United States

14,49712,03017,99617,32914,38912,323 World Total

none

Total Consumption

504555557755 Argentina

1,4001,1501,6001,4001,2001,200 Belarus

120130140152143243 Canada

8,0008,9009,3508,7507,3007,400 EU-27

7575906590258 Japan

505075406530 Kazakhstan

373740596142 Norway

3,3001,8754,3254,4003,7502,950 Russia

270275340275250285 Turkey

650650800800550800 Ukraine

120120124127122173 Others

14,09113,38817,00916,18113,66313,565 Subtotal

306325273292335337 United States

14,39713,71317,28216,47313,99813,902 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

218193343268218193 Belarus

607513912335117 Canada

9107741,9261,4241,017616 EU-27

18181851320 Japan

225225308312223183 Russia

221717143430 Turkey

1271774113136856 Ukraine

777755 Others

1,5871,4863,1692,4661,6131,220 Subtotal


1,6101,5103,1932,4791,6231,232 World Total

May 2011

Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

May

2011/12

TY Imports none

137 North America 152 108 129 125 125

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0


28 Other Europe 17 18 22 16 16


89 Middle East 21 17 9 15 15


266 East Asia 89 64 110 80 80

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

572 Total 367 217 278 401 246

Production none

566 North America 412 519 458 405 375

59 South America 84 63 61 50 55

6,541 European Union 7,679 9,262 9,951 7,828 8,226

90 Other Europe 111 119 98 98 98


271 Middle East 241 247 343 270 270


0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0

20 Oceania 20 20 20 20 20

12,323 Total 14,389 17,329 17,996 12,030 14,497


580 North America 478 444 413 455 426

59 South America 84 63 61 50 55

7,400 European Union 7,300 8,750 9,350 8,900 8,000

109 Other Europe 140 137 119 114 114


356 Middle East 257 286 349 285 280


266 East Asia 96 72 97 80 80

20 Oceania 20 20 20 20 20

13,773 Total 13,943 16,415 17,212 13,632 14,378

Ending Stocks none

129 North America 45 136 163 99 83

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

616 European Union 1,017 1,424 1,926 774 910

1 Other Europe 1 1 1 1 1

436 Former Soviet Union - 12 513 899 1,068 601 576

30 Middle East 34 14 17 17 22


20 East Asia 13 5 18 18 18

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

1,232 Total 1,623 2,479 3,193 1,510 1,610



May 2011


39

HISTORICAL DATA SERIES FOR SELECTED REGIONS AND COUNTRIES

CONTENTS

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand .............................................. 40 China: Grain Supply and Demand .............................................................. 41 Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand .................................................. 42 Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand ...................................... 43 Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ............................... 47 Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................. 49 Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ............................... 51 Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ........................... 52

U.S. Grains: Supply and Distribution ......................................................... 53 Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ................................ 54 World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand .............................. 55 World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand ............................................ 56 World Rice: Supply and Demand ............................................................... 57

DG F/SA &F

May 2011

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand

Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Production Imports Exports Feed Dom.

Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

131.7 118.456.315.73.55.026.5 2000/01 17.5

123.4 118.556.512.88.74.825.9 2001/02 18.3

132.6 125.060.018.110.75.026.4 2002/03 18.5

110.6 115.152.49.87.44.524.3 2003/04 11.5

146.9 123.259.214.77.15.726.0 2004/05 27.5

132.4 127.563.015.76.85.125.8 2005/06 23.4

124.9 125.560.213.85.25.124.5 2006/07 14.2

120.1 116.552.412.36.94.924.7 2007/08 12.4

151.1 127.060.525.47.75.726.7 2008/09 18.9

138.6 125.057.522.15.55.425.8 2009/10 15.9

135.8 122.553.022.04.55.225.9 2010/11 11.7

138.6 125.055.018.06.05.425.9 2011/12 13.3

Coarse Grains

140.3 139.7105.59.34.14.233.2 2000/01 18.4

150.5 143.8108.16.73.94.533.7 2001/02 22.4

148.4 145.0109.57.64.44.532.8 2002/03 22.6

131.8 145.3109.74.28.24.032.7 2003/04 13.1

166.7 152.6116.64.93.05.033.4 2004/05 25.3

146.8 148.1110.04.42.84.532.7 2005/06 22.4

137.9 148.4110.94.78.14.332.0 2006/07 15.3

136.6 154.9119.64.620.34.232.2 2007/08 12.7

162.1 151.9114.05.63.44.833.6 2008/09 20.8

155.3 150.4112.63.03.04.832.6 2009/10 25.8

139.6 152.0114.25.87.54.630.3 2010/11 15.2

145.2 148.4110.43.84.34.730.8 2011/12 12.4

Wheat and Coarse Grains

272.0 258.0161.824.97.64.659.7 2000/01 35.9

273.9 262.3164.619.412.74.659.6 2001/02 40.7

281.0 270.0169.525.715.04.759.2 2002/03 41.1

242.4 260.4162.114.015.64.257.0 2003/04 24.7

313.6 275.9175.819.610.15.359.4 2004/05 52.8

279.1 275.6173.020.19.64.858.5 2005/06 45.8

262.8 273.9171.118.513.34.756.4 2006/07 29.5

256.7 271.4172.016.927.24.556.9 2007/08 25.2

313.2 278.9174.530.911.25.260.2 2008/09 39.8

293.9 275.4170.125.18.65.058.3 2009/10 41.8

275.4 274.5167.227.812.04.956.2 2010/11 26.9

283.8 273.4165.421.810.35.056.7 2011/12 25.8

May 2011

China: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

99.6 110.310.00.60.23.726.7 2000/01 91.9

93.9 108.79.01.51.13.824.6 2001/02 76.6

90.3 105.26.51.70.43.823.9 2002/03 60.4

86.5 104.56.02.83.73.922.0 2003/04 43.3

92.0 102.04.01.26.74.321.6 2004/05 38.8

97.4 101.53.51.41.14.322.8 2005/06 34.5

108.5 102.04.02.80.44.623.6 2006/07 38.6

109.3 106.08.02.80.04.623.7 2007/08 39.1

112.5 105.58.00.70.54.823.6 2008/09 45.8

115.1 107.010.00.91.44.724.3 2009/10 54.4

115.0 109.513.01.01.04.724.3 2010/11 59.9

115.5 111.015.01.01.04.724.4 2011/12 64.4

Coarse Grains

114.0 130.494.47.32.44.326.5 2000/01 102.8

122.4 133.096.38.62.04.527.3 2001/02 85.6

130.6 136.398.415.31.84.727.8 2002/03 66.5

124.0 138.399.17.71.54.626.8 2003/04 45.9

138.3 141.1100.37.62.14.928.0 2004/05 37.6

147.8 147.2103.43.82.35.128.8 2005/06 36.7

159.1 153.5104.65.51.25.130.9 2006/07 38.0

158.9 156.8105.30.91.25.031.8 2007/08 40.4

172.4 160.1107.30.21.75.332.2 2008/09 54.1

163.6 167.0112.40.23.84.933.4 2009/10 54.4

174.2 172.1114.30.23.35.233.8 2010/11 59.6

178.3 176.2116.40.32.35.234.2 2011/12 63.6


213.6 240.7104.47.92.64.053.1 2000/01 194.7

216.3 241.7105.310.13.14.252.0 2001/02 162.2

220.9 241.5104.917.12.24.351.7 2002/03 126.8

210.5 242.8105.110.55.34.348.8 2003/04 89.2

230.2 243.1104.38.88.84.649.6 2004/05 76.4

245.2 248.7106.95.23.44.751.6 2005/06 71.2

267.6 255.5108.68.21.54.954.5 2006/07 76.6

268.2 262.8113.33.71.24.855.5 2007/08 79.5

284.9 265.6115.30.92.15.155.8 2008/09 99.9

278.8 274.0122.41.15.24.857.7 2009/10 108.8

289.2 281.6127.31.24.35.058.1 2010/11 119.5

293.8 287.2131.41.33.35.058.6 2011/12 128.1

May 2011

Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

4.6 5.50.70.31.23.31.4 2000/01 1.4

4.9 5.90.90.61.83.41.4 2001/02 1.5

4.9 5.60.90.61.43.51.4 2002/03 1.5

3.9 5.40.70.11.53.11.2 2003/04 1.3

5.4 5.91.00.31.54.01.4 2004/05 2.0

4.2 5.80.90.21.53.71.1 2005/06 1.8

4.3 5.30.70.61.53.61.2 2006/07 1.7

4.4 5.50.80.81.93.71.2 2007/08 1.8

4.7 5.61.00.51.74.21.1 2008/09 2.2

4.6 5.40.80.81.73.81.2 2009/10 2.2

3.8 5.30.70.91.73.61.1 2010/11 1.4

4.1 5.30.70.51.73.71.1 2011/12 1.4

Coarse Grains

8.1 9.07.70.01.03.12.6 2000/01 1.0

10.9 11.19.80.20.84.12.7 2001/02 1.4

11.7 11.49.90.60.64.42.7 2002/03 1.8

9.2 10.89.50.10.83.52.7 2003/04 1.1

12.8 12.210.80.60.64.82.7 2004/05 1.6

12.7 12.010.71.40.74.82.7 2005/06 1.5

11.6 11.510.20.90.94.62.5 2006/07 1.5

9.4 10.49.10.11.03.62.6 2007/08 1.3

12.4 10.99.61.90.64.62.7 2008/09 1.5

11.8 10.89.31.70.74.82.4 2009/10 1.7

12.2 10.89.22.20.84.92.5 2010/11 1.6

12.6 10.99.42.50.74.82.6 2011/12 1.5


12.7 14.58.40.32.23.24.0 2000/01 2.3

15.8 17.010.70.82.63.94.1 2001/02 2.9

16.6 17.010.71.22.04.14.1 2002/03 3.3

13.1 16.210.20.22.33.43.9 2003/04 2.4

18.2 18.111.80.92.14.54.0 2004/05 3.7

16.9 17.811.51.62.14.43.8 2005/06 3.3

15.9 16.810.91.52.44.33.7 2006/07 3.3

13.8 15.910.00.92.93.63.8 2007/08 3.2

17.1 16.510.52.42.34.53.8 2008/09 3.7

16.4 16.210.12.52.44.53.7 2009/10 3.9

16.0 16.110.03.12.44.53.6 2010/11 3.0

16.7 16.310.13.02.44.53.7 2011/12 2.9

May 2011

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

91.0 75.123.521.15.61.849.4 2005/06 15.6

84.9 72.621.622.66.01.846.0 2006/07 11.4

92.5 75.023.621.96.01.947.5 2007/08 13.0

115.5 76.424.737.76.62.251.7 2008/09 21.0

113.9 80.327.836.75.42.154.9 2009/10 23.4

81.0 81.129.213.15.71.651.9 2010/11 16.0

100.6 79.026.526.35.82.051.0 2011/12 17.0

Coarse Grains

55.6 50.534.58.61.12.028.5 2005/06 5.2

58.7 51.135.58.51.02.030.0 2006/07 5.3

54.2 50.635.05.31.01.829.6 2007/08 4.7

79.2 58.642.017.10.72.630.9 2008/09 8.8

68.2 55.339.415.00.42.329.8 2009/10 7.1

47.7 41.928.89.51.11.826.3 2010/11 4.5

65.4 51.536.212.30.62.328.7 2011/12 6.7

May 2011

Millions of Tons/Hectares

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports

ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year

Former Soviet Union - 12

Kazakhstan

12.5 7.52.75.70.10.913.5 2008/09 2.0

17.1 7.62.77.90.11.214.8 2009/10 3.7

9.7 6.62.15.00.00.714.5 2010/11 1.8

15.0 7.52.77.50.01.114.0 2011/12 1.8

Russia

63.8 38.916.218.40.22.426.6 2008/09 10.7

61.8 42.019.018.60.22.228.7 2009/10 12.1

41.5 44.321.54.00.31.626.6 2010/11 5.6

53.0 40.818.010.00.22.026.0 2011/12 8.0

Ukraine

25.9 11.92.913.00.13.77.1 2008/09 3.1

20.9 12.33.39.30.03.16.8 2009/10 2.4

16.8 11.62.83.50.12.76.3 2010/11 4.2

19.0 11.83.08.50.12.96.5 2011/12 2.9

Uzbekistan

6.0 7.11.30.21.44.41.4 2008/09 1.4

6.2 7.41.30.41.74.41.4 2009/10 1.5

6.5 7.71.40.41.54.61.4 2010/11 1.4

6.5 7.91.40.21.54.61.4 2011/12 1.3

Other Former Soviet Union - 12

7.3 10.91.60.44.72.33.1 2008/09 3.7

8.0 11.11.50.53.52.43.3 2009/10 3.7

6.4 10.91.40.23.92.03.1 2010/11 2.9

7.1 11.01.40.14.02.33.1 2011/12 2.9

Total Former Soviet Union - 12

115.5 76.424.737.76.62.251.7 2008/09 21.0

113.9 80.327.836.75.42.154.9 2009/10 23.4

81.0 81.129.213.15.71.651.9 2010/11 16.0

100.6 79.026.526.35.82.051.0 2011/12 17.0

May 2011


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports



Kazakhstan

2.1 1.91.60.30.11.02.1 2008/09 0.3

2.5 2.01.70.40.01.41.8 2009/10 0.5

1.3 1.20.90.30.00.81.6 2010/11 0.3

2.2 1.91.60.30.01.21.8 2011/12 0.3

Russia

23.1 17.112.33.40.12.49.7 2008/09 3.8

17.9 16.812.32.70.02.09.1 2009/10 2.2

8.4 9.65.60.30.31.27.2 2010/11 1.0

13.5 12.07.60.80.21.87.6 2011/12 1.9

Ukraine

12.6 5.94.36.40.03.04.2 2008/09 1.1

11.8 5.63.96.20.02.45.0 2009/10 1.1

8.5 6.14.52.50.02.04.3 2010/11 1.0

8.5 5.33.73.50.02.14.0 2011/12 0.7

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2008/09 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2009/10 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2010/11 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2011/12 0.0


3.6 3.72.90.00.12.81.3 2008/09 0.4

3.0 3.12.30.00.12.51.2 2009/10 0.4

2.6 2.82.00.00.22.11.2 2010/11 0.3

3.1 3.12.30.00.12.41.3 2011/12 0.4


41.6 28.821.310.10.32.417.3 2008/09 5.5

35.5 27.720.49.30.22.117.2 2009/10 4.2

21.0 20.013.23.10.51.514.4 2010/11 2.5

27.5 22.615.44.60.41.914.8 2011/12 3.2

May 2011


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports



Kazakhstan

0.4 0.40.30.00.04.30.1 2008/09 0.0

0.5 0.40.30.00.04.70.1 2009/10 0.0

0.3 0.30.30.00.03.10.1 2010/11 0.0

0.6 0.50.40.00.04.60.1 2011/12 0.1

Russia

6.7 5.24.51.30.13.71.8 2008/09 0.3

4.0 3.73.20.40.02.91.4 2009/10 0.1

3.1 3.43.00.00.32.21.4 2010/11 0.1

6.5 5.24.51.00.13.41.9 2011/12 0.4

Ukraine

11.4 5.95.15.50.04.72.4 2008/09 0.9

10.5 5.75.05.10.05.02.1 2009/10 0.7

11.9 6.15.46.00.04.52.6 2010/11 0.5

14.5 6.96.26.50.04.83.0 2011/12 1.6

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2008/09 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2009/10 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2010/11 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2011/12 0.0


3.2 3.33.00.10.33.80.8 2008/09 0.5

3.0 3.12.80.10.23.60.8 2009/10 0.5

3.1 3.22.90.10.23.90.8 2010/11 0.5

3.6 3.73.40.10.13.90.9 2011/12 0.5


21.9 14.913.06.90.44.25.2 2008/09 1.8

18.0 13.111.55.60.34.14.4 2009/10 1.4

18.6 13.211.76.10.53.75.0 2010/11 1.1

25.3 16.514.67.60.24.26.0 2011/12 2.6

May 2011

Million Metric Tons/Hectares

Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports


Wheat Competitors

Argentina

15.1 5.40.19.50.02.56.0 2003/04 1.6

16.9 5.40.111.90.02.66.4 2004/05 1.3

13.8 5.10.09.60.02.55.5 2005/06 0.4

16.3 5.40.110.70.02.66.2 2006/07 0.6

18.6 5.70.111.20.02.86.6 2007/08 2.4

11.0 5.30.06.80.02.15.3 2008/09 1.3

11.0 5.80.05.10.03.03.7 2009/10 1.4

15.0 5.90.08.50.03.44.4 2010/11 2.0

13.5 5.90.08.00.02.94.7 2011/12 1.6

Australia

26.1 6.03.218.00.12.013.1 2003/04 5.4

21.9 6.03.214.70.11.613.4 2004/05 6.7

25.2 6.63.716.00.12.012.5 2005/06 9.4

10.8 7.64.78.70.10.911.8 2006/07 4.0

13.6 6.53.57.50.11.112.6 2007/08 3.7

21.4 6.93.814.70.11.613.5 2008/09 3.6

21.9 6.73.714.80.11.614.0 2009/10 4.1

26.0 9.05.915.00.11.913.4 2010/11 6.2

24.5 8.55.415.00.11.813.8 2011/12 7.3

Canada

23.0 7.23.115.80.22.310.2 2003/04 6.0

24.8 8.23.814.90.32.69.4 2004/05 7.9

25.7 8.23.816.00.32.79.4 2005/06 9.7

25.3 9.04.519.40.32.69.7 2006/07 6.9

20.1 6.82.216.10.42.38.6 2007/08 4.4

28.6 8.03.218.90.42.910.0 2008/09 6.5

26.8 6.92.219.00.42.89.6 2009/10 7.8

23.2 8.74.016.50.42.88.3 2010/11 6.2

26.0 7.93.218.50.42.79.7 2011/12 6.2

Total Wheat Competitors

64.3 18.56.443.30.32.229.2 2003/04 13.0

63.6 19.67.141.50.32.229.2 2004/05 15.9

64.7 19.97.541.70.42.427.3 2005/06 19.4

52.4 21.99.338.90.41.927.7 2006/07 11.4

May 2011


Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports


52.2 18.95.834.80.51.927.8 2007/08 10.4

61.0 20.27.040.40.52.128.8 2008/09 11.4

59.8 19.55.939.00.52.227.3 2009/10 13.3

64.2 23.69.940.00.52.526.0 2010/11 14.3

64.0 22.38.641.50.52.328.2 2011/12 15.0

India

65.1 68.30.65.70.02.624.9 2003/04 6.9

72.2 72.80.52.10.02.726.6 2004/05 4.1

68.6 70.00.30.80.02.626.5 2005/06 2.0

69.4 73.50.30.16.72.626.4 2006/07 4.5

75.8 76.40.20.02.02.728.0 2007/08 5.8

78.6 70.90.10.00.02.828.2 2008/09 13.4

80.7 78.20.10.10.22.927.8 2009/10 16.1

80.8 82.50.20.30.32.828.4 2010/11 14.4

84.0 84.70.20.30.32.929.4 2011/12 13.7

Turkey

16.8 16.81.00.81.12.08.6 2003/04 1.7

18.5 16.81.02.00.42.28.6 2004/05 1.8

18.5 16.10.43.20.12.28.6 2005/06 1.1

17.5 16.70.82.41.72.08.6 2006/07 1.3

15.5 16.80.81.72.22.07.7 2007/08 0.4

16.8 16.90.72.23.52.27.7 2008/09 1.5

18.5 17.10.84.33.22.47.8 2009/10 1.8

17.0 17.20.73.03.02.18.0 2010/11 1.6

17.4 17.30.73.23.02.27.8 2011/12 1.5

May 2011


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports


Argentina

15.0 4.42.810.90.06.42.3 2003/04 0.4

20.5 5.23.514.60.07.42.8 2004/05 1.1

15.8 6.24.49.50.06.52.4 2005/06 1.3

22.5 6.74.815.30.08.02.8 2006/07 1.8

22.0 6.84.914.80.06.53.4 2007/08 2.2

15.5 6.44.510.30.06.22.5 2008/09 1.0

22.8 6.74.816.50.08.42.7 2009/10 0.6

22.0 7.15.114.50.06.93.2 2010/11 1.0

26.0 7.55.418.00.07.63.4 2011/12 1.5

China

115.8 128.497.07.60.04.824.1 2003/04 44.9

130.3 131.098.07.60.05.125.4 2004/05 36.6

139.4 137.0101.03.70.15.326.4 2005/06 35.3

151.6 145.0104.05.30.05.328.5 2006/07 36.6

152.3 149.0105.00.50.05.229.5 2007/08 39.4

165.9 152.0107.00.20.05.629.9 2008/09 53.2

158.0 159.0112.00.21.35.131.2 2009/10 53.3

168.0 164.0114.00.11.55.331.5 2010/11 58.7

172.0 168.0116.00.20.55.431.9 2011/12 63.0

South Africa

9.7 8.74.10.70.22.93.3 2003/04 3.0

11.7 9.75.02.10.43.63.2 2004/05 3.2

6.9 8.24.00.50.93.42.0 2005/06 2.3

7.3 8.64.40.51.12.52.9 2006/07 1.7

13.2 9.64.32.20.04.03.3 2007/08 3.1

12.6 9.94.31.70.04.32.9 2008/09 4.1

13.4 10.44.72.00.04.13.3 2009/10 5.1

12.0 10.64.82.00.04.12.9 2010/11 4.6

12.5 10.84.92.00.04.23.0 2011/12 4.3

Brazil

42.0 36.330.54.40.43.412.4 2003/04 7.9

35.0 38.532.10.70.53.011.6 2004/05 4.2

41.7 39.533.04.51.13.212.9 2005/06 3.0

51.0 41.034.510.81.43.614.0 2006/07 3.6

58.6 42.536.07.80.74.014.7 2007/08 12.6

51.0 45.538.57.11.13.614.1 2008/09 12.1

May 2011


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports


56.1 47.040.011.60.44.312.9 2009/10 10.0

55.0 48.841.88.51.04.113.3 2010/11 8.7

55.0 50.543.58.01.04.213.0 2011/12 6.2

Total Corn Competitors

182.5 177.8134.423.70.64.342.1 2003/04 56.1

197.5 184.4138.625.00.94.643.0 2004/05 45.1

203.8 190.9142.418.32.14.743.7 2005/06 41.8

232.4 201.3147.731.92.64.848.2 2006/07 43.6

246.1 207.9150.225.30.84.850.9 2007/08 57.3

245.0 213.8154.319.31.25.049.4 2008/09 70.3

250.3 223.1161.530.21.75.050.1 2009/10 69.0

257.0 230.5165.725.12.55.050.9 2010/11 73.0

265.5 236.8169.828.21.55.251.3 2011/12 75.0

May 2011


Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports


Australia

10.4 3.12.26.40.02.34.5 2003/04 1.9

7.7 3.52.54.30.01.74.6 2004/05 1.9

9.5 3.52.55.30.02.24.4 2005/06 2.6

4.3 4.02.91.90.01.04.2 2006/07 1.0

7.2 3.12.13.40.01.54.9 2007/08 1.7

8.0 4.02.93.20.01.65.0 2008/09 2.4

7.9 4.53.33.90.01.84.4 2009/10 1.9

9.3 4.73.44.70.02.34.1 2010/11 1.8

9.0 4.63.34.70.02.34.0 2011/12 1.5

Canada

12.2 9.78.41.80.02.84.4 2003/04 2.1

12.6 10.18.81.20.13.33.8 2004/05 3.4

11.7 9.68.42.30.03.23.6 2005/06 3.3

9.6 10.28.81.20.03.03.2 2006/07 1.5

11.0 7.96.63.00.12.74.0 2007/08 1.6

11.8 9.17.71.50.03.43.5 2008/09 2.8

9.5 8.57.31.30.03.32.9 2009/10 2.6

7.6 7.86.71.30.13.22.4 2010/11 1.1

8.5 7.56.31.10.13.12.7 2011/12 1.1

EU-27

55.8 58.041.82.60.74.014.1 2003/04 4.5

64.1 54.638.63.30.34.713.7 2004/05 11.1

54.8 54.138.23.30.14.013.8 2005/06 8.5

56.2 55.738.73.50.24.113.8 2006/07 5.8

57.5 54.238.73.80.34.213.8 2007/08 5.7

65.5 57.041.53.60.34.514.5 2008/09 10.9

62.0 56.541.51.10.14.413.9 2009/10 15.4

53.1 57.042.04.50.24.212.5 2010/11 7.2

53.9 53.538.52.50.24.312.5 2011/12 5.2

May 2011


Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports


Argentina

2.2 2.01.90.20.04.60.5 2003/04 0.4

2.9 2.62.40.40.05.20.6 2004/05 0.4

2.3 2.32.10.20.04.70.5 2005/06 0.2

2.8 1.71.51.10.04.70.6 2006/07 0.2

2.9 1.21.01.20.04.70.6 2007/08 0.7

1.7 1.11.01.10.03.70.5 2008/09 0.2

3.6 1.91.71.80.04.80.8 2009/10 0.2

3.8 2.11.91.40.04.80.8 2010/11 0.5

4.0 2.42.21.60.04.70.9 2011/12 0.5

Australia

2.0 1.41.40.60.02.70.7 2003/04 0.1

2.0 1.81.80.20.02.70.8 2004/05 0.1

1.9 1.91.90.10.02.50.8 2005/06 0.0

1.3 1.21.20.10.02.10.6 2006/07 0.0

3.8 2.22.20.80.04.00.9 2007/08 0.8

2.7 1.81.81.00.03.50.8 2008/09 0.7

1.6 1.21.20.30.03.10.5 2009/10 0.8

2.4 1.41.41.30.03.50.7 2010/11 0.5

2.4 1.41.40.80.03.40.7 2011/12 0.7

May 2011

U.S. Grains Supply and Distribution: Wheat, Corn, Sorghum, Barley, Oats, Rye, and Rice

Thousand Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumption

Domestic

Consumption

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

26,55230,9324,03124,17523,9773,1803,22860,366nr320,191 2009/10

22,84032,1094,62735,50034,7002,9502,99460,103nr319,278 2010/11

19,11633,7475,98729,00028,5762,9502,99455,605nr319,439 2011/12

Corn

43,380281,423130,57449,88750,462237212332,549nr1032,169 2009/10

18,534293,384130,81648,50048,262600635316,165nr1032,960 2010/11

22,852293,511129,54646,00045,722500508343,043nr1034,432 2011/12

Sorghum

1,0485,8493,5634,0844,221009,728nr42,234 2009/10

8045,4623,0483,6003,556018,773nr51,946 2010/11

9314,6992,2863,3003,302008,128nr41,983 2011/12

Barley

2,5154,6041,0401511233023614,949nr41,260 2009/10

2,0204,4649801501742002183,925nr4998 2010/11

1,4754,3558712002182002183,810nr41,052 2011/12

Oats

1,1663,0111,92838311,6111,6361,351nr2558 2009/10

9512,7801,67745441,4001,4311,178nr2511 2010/11

7772,8121,71045441,6001,6371,045nr2445 2011/12

Rye

242733742129108178nr2102 2009/10

243258754125140189nr2107 2010/11

233067055125140170nr299 2011/12

Rice, Milled

1,1844,015nr3,8563,5155626047,1339,97281,256 2009/10

1,7284,008nr3,3753,5586205567,55411,02881,463 2010/11

1,5604,013nr3,4503,4986305726,7719,57081,214 2011/12

Notes: Wheat Trade Year (TY) statistics are on July/June years. Barley, corn, sorghum, rye and oats Trade Year (TY) statistics

are on Oct/Sept years. Rice Trade Year (TY) statistics are for the subsequent calendar year; 'Imports' and 'Exports' columns

contain data on the local marketing year: wheat, barley, oats and rye are June/May; corn and sorghum are Sept/Aug; rice is

Aug/July.

May 2011

Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand

Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Production TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks


1,248.0 332.11,197.1593.4189.62.2576.9 1982/83

1,162.5 278.51,216.1588.4193.22.1563.8 1983/84

1,315.0 340.01,253.5609.9203.62.3567.0 1984/85

1,328.5 420.61,247.9613.1165.22.3570.9 1985/86

1,348.0 469.21,299.4644.2174.72.4565.6 1986/87

1,285.9 423.11,329.8655.1202.22.4544.8 1987/88

1,218.1 339.31,302.0618.2203.32.2542.4 1988/89

1,327.4 320.51,346.2642.9208.92.4548.9 1989/90

1,417.6 368.71,369.5667.3190.12.6549.0 1990/91

1,355.7 359.51,364.9650.1207.52.5546.3 1991/92

1,431.6 398.41,389.9662.3205.22.6548.8 1992/93

1,356.1 365.21,389.2654.0188.22.5539.2 1993/94

1,392.5 361.71,396.0666.9200.12.6537.6 1994/95

1,338.5 319.31,380.9637.4187.52.5533.4 1995/96

1,490.5 367.51,442.3670.4198.42.7552.8 1996/97

1,491.6 414.51,444.6681.1190.32.8539.5 1997/98

1,481.9 447.41,449.0681.0198.72.8533.9 1998/99

1,464.8 443.41,468.3685.7214.32.8514.7 1999/00

1,446.8 419.71,470.4693.9205.12.8514.3 2000/01

1,480.5 404.11,496.2708.7208.52.9516.3 2001/02

1,442.3 340.81,505.5706.4209.62.8506.6 2002/03

1,470.9 277.91,533.8712.6206.22.9516.0 2003/04

1,642.4 334.01,586.2751.6215.23.2517.7 2004/05

1,599.4 317.21,616.2751.8222.83.1521.0 2005/06

1,584.8 272.41,629.6741.9230.43.1518.5 2006/07

1,692.9 291.01,674.3753.8245.33.2536.9 2007/08

1,794.1 362.21,722.9765.0253.63.3538.7 2008/09

1,793.8 393.01,763.0769.5253.63.3538.0 2009/10

1,732.8 340.61,785.2770.5242.93.3530.1 2010/11

1,816.4 343.61,813.3781.8240.93.4538.6 2011/12

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the

present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

May 2011

World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

533.1 137.1531.3103.7103.92.4226.3 1989/90

588.8 171.6554.3130.1101.32.5231.7 1990/91

543.5 163.2551.8113.8111.42.4223.4 1991/92

562.6 177.0548.5110.9113.22.5222.8 1992/93

558.5 182.5553.0108.0101.72.5221.8 1993/94

523.0 163.4542.199.6101.52.4214.5 1994/95

537.5 155.9545.192.799.22.5219.1 1995/96

581.5 164.5572.897.4104.02.5230.3 1996/97

610.2 198.1576.7101.9104.52.7228.5 1997/98

590.4 209.3579.2105.3102.02.6225.4 1998/99

586.8 210.3585.8100.5111.92.7215.7 1999/00

583.1 207.8585.7105.2102.42.7218.0 2000/01

583.6 204.5586.8107.2108.02.7215.4 2001/02

568.6 168.8604.3111.6106.82.6215.0 2002/03

554.8 134.6589.097.5103.62.6210.0 2003/04

626.7 153.9607.4106.6113.92.9217.2 2004/05

619.1 151.0622.0112.8114.12.8219.7 2005/06

596.3 131.2616.1108.1115.62.8213.0 2006/07

612.1 125.9617.499.0116.42.8218.2 2007/08

682.8 166.2642.4118.0143.03.0225.3 2008/09

684.2 196.2654.2119.2134.43.0227.3 2009/10

648.1 182.2662.1122.8126.22.9222.5 2010/11

669.5 181.3670.5124.2126.73.0225.0 2011/12

Coarse Grains

794.3 183.4814.9539.2105.02.5322.5 1989/90

828.8 197.1815.2537.388.92.6317.2 1990/91

812.2 196.3813.1536.296.22.5322.9 1991/92

868.9 221.3841.4551.391.92.7326.0 1992/93

797.6 182.7836.2546.186.52.5317.4 1993/94

869.4 198.3853.8567.498.62.7323.1 1994/95

800.9 163.4835.8544.788.32.5314.4 1995/96

909.1 203.0869.5573.094.42.8322.5 1996/97

881.4 216.4867.9579.285.82.8311.0 1997/98

891.5 238.1869.7575.796.72.9308.6 1998/99

878.0 233.0882.6585.2102.42.9299.0 1999/00

863.7 212.0884.8588.8102.72.9296.2 2000/01

897.0 199.6909.4601.6100.53.0300.9 2001/02

873.6 172.0901.2594.8102.83.0291.6 2002/03

916.1 143.3944.8615.1102.63.0306.0 2003/04

1,015.6 180.1978.8645.0101.33.4300.5 2004/05

980.3 166.2994.3638.9108.63.3301.3 2005/06

988.6 141.21,013.5633.9114.73.2305.4 2006/07

1,080.8 165.11,057.0654.8128.93.4318.7 2007/08

1,111.3 195.91,080.5646.9110.73.5313.5 2008/09

1,109.6 196.81,108.8650.3119.23.6310.7 2009/10

1,084.6 158.41,123.1647.7116.73.5307.6 2010/11

1,146.8 162.41,142.8657.6114.23.7313.6 2011/12

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the

present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

May 2011

World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Corn

461.7 132.9474.1324.874.53.6127.3 1989/90

482.0 141.4473.4318.558.83.7129.2 1990/91

493.0 141.0493.3334.463.03.7132.6 1991/92

535.6 162.7512.1348.762.64.0133.2 1992/93

475.8 129.4509.0342.057.43.6130.7 1993/94

559.3 153.2535.6371.571.94.1135.2 1994/95

516.4 133.0536.6365.164.83.8135.0 1995/96

593.0 165.8560.1387.766.74.2141.7 1996/97

574.4 166.4573.8400.463.14.2136.3 1997/98

606.0 191.0581.5404.368.74.4139.2 1998/99

608.1 193.8605.3422.472.34.4139.1 1999/00

591.4 175.1610.1427.275.94.3137.3 2000/01

601.4 151.3625.1436.472.84.4137.7 2001/02

603.1 127.0627.5432.977.04.4137.4 2002/03

627.5 105.3649.2445.579.14.4142.0 2003/04

715.8 131.8689.3475.476.04.9145.5 2004/05

699.7 124.9706.7477.982.74.8145.7 2005/06

714.0 110.2728.7478.291.54.8149.9 2006/07

794.9 132.5772.6497.098.34.9161.2 2007/08

799.3 149.2782.6480.184.05.0158.8 2008/09

813.0 145.4816.8484.493.15.2157.7 2009/10

815.3 122.2838.6493.592.95.1161.1 2010/11

867.7 129.1860.8506.191.85.2166.1 2011/12

Barley

166.2 27.5170.4126.018.52.373.7 1989/90

179.5 31.5175.5130.819.62.573.0 1990/91

169.9 34.9166.5120.319.42.276.6 1991/92

166.3 35.0165.6119.016.42.373.1 1992/93

169.0 34.9169.1123.818.82.373.8 1993/94

160.7 30.0165.6120.915.32.272.8 1994/95

141.2 20.5150.7107.813.42.168.6 1995/96

153.1 24.1149.5106.317.92.365.5 1996/97

153.9 32.2145.8104.112.82.464.5 1997/98

136.0 29.0139.399.517.82.260.8 1998/99

127.4 23.9132.594.017.82.354.5 1999/00

133.1 22.6134.494.616.22.553.9 2000/01

143.5 29.3136.895.517.22.556.3 2001/02

134.4 27.5136.295.016.32.455.8 2002/03

142.2 23.4146.3102.814.82.459.4 2003/04

152.3 33.0142.7100.217.02.658.2 2004/05

136.2 28.1141.197.517.52.456.2 2005/06

136.6 21.4143.498.014.62.457.0 2006/07

133.0 20.4134.091.118.62.357.5 2007/08

155.2 31.2144.4100.318.22.855.8 2008/09

150.4 37.0144.6100.517.32.755.7 2009/10

123.5 24.4136.092.714.92.450.7 2010/11

131.5 21.8134.290.314.32.651.0 2011/12

Notes: Coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present,

coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

May 2011

World Rice: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production TY Exports Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Rice, Milled

418.2 56.8278.711.2285.03.0140.5 1982/83

450.9 69.3294.411.9306.93.1144.6 1983/84

464.9 87.7298.411.0316.83.2144.1 1984/85

467.3 97.7308.011.8318.03.2144.7 1985/86

464.6 103.3310.412.9316.13.2144.8 1986/87

464.8 105.3313.111.4315.13.3141.4 1987/88

490.8 111.7325.714.0332.13.3146.6 1988/89

510.3 120.6336.311.7345.23.5147.8 1989/90

519.4 126.7345.312.3351.43.5147.0 1990/91

522.8 126.7353.214.4353.23.5147.5 1991/92

524.2 123.2357.514.9354.03.6146.5 1992/93

526.1 119.0358.916.6354.73.6145.3 1993/94

539.9 117.6365.520.8364.13.7147.4 1994/95

547.3 118.1368.319.7368.83.7148.4 1995/96

565.3 120.3379.218.9381.43.8150.1 1996/97

575.2 127.7379.927.6387.43.8151.7 1997/98

587.0 134.0388.624.8394.93.8153.1 1998/99

608.8 143.1400.222.8409.33.9155.9 1999/00

594.3 146.7395.824.4399.43.9152.4 2000/01

594.7 132.9413.527.8399.73.9151.4 2001/02

563.5 102.9408.427.5378.53.8146.9 2002/03

585.4 81.5413.927.3392.53.9149.3 2003/04

597.0 74.0408.729.0401.23.9151.8 2004/05

622.9 76.6415.629.1418.24.0153.8 2005/06

626.2 75.1421.531.9420.04.1154.6 2006/07

645.4 80.0427.829.8432.74.2155.3 2007/08

669.2 91.5436.029.3447.54.2157.9 2008/09

658.8 93.9437.731.6440.14.2156.0 2009/10

676.6 97.0448.431.0451.64.3158.1 2010/11

685.5 96.2458.732.2457.94.3159.9 2011/12

Notes: Stocks, exports and consumption are expressed on a milled basis in marketing years.

May 2011


58

ENDNOTES TO GRAIN: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE REGIONAL TABLES North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States. Central America: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama. Caribbean: Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French West Indies, Grenada, Guadeloupe, Haiti, Jamaica and Dep, Leeward-Windward Islands, Martinique, Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles, Puerto Rico, Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, Turks and Caicos Islands, Virgin Islands of the U.S. South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas), French Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela. EU: Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom. Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Former Yugoslavia, Gibraltar, Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland. Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan. Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen. North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia. Sub-Saharan Africa: all African countries except North Africa. East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia, Taiwan. South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives. Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam. Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea.

May 2011


59

OTHER NOTES Local Marketing Years (LMY): LMY refers to the 12-month period following the main harvest, when the crop is marketed (i.e., consumed, traded, or stored). The year first listed begins a country's LMY for that commodity (2008/09 starts in 2008); except for summer grains in certain Southern Hemisphere countries and for rice in selected countries, where the second year begins the LMY (2008/09 starts in 2009). Key exporter LMY’s are:

Wheat Corn Barley Sorghum Argentina (Dec/Nov) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Nov/Oct) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Oct/Sep) Brazil (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) Australia (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) China (Oct/Sep) EU-27 (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) China (Jul/Jun) South Africa (May/Apr) Russia (Jul/Jun) EU-27 (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) India (Apr/Mar) United States (Jun/May) Kazakhstan (Jul/Jun) Russia(Jul/Jun) Turkey (Jun/May) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) United States (Jun/May)

For a complete list of local marketing years, please see the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx). Stocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in time. Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in local marketing year imports and local marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however, reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only. Trade: All PSD tables are balanced on the different local marketing years. All trade tables contain Trade Year (TY) data which puts all countries on a uniform, 12-month period for analytical comparisons: wheat is July/June; coarse grains, corn, barley, sorghum, oats, and rye are Oct/Sept; and rice is calendar year. EU Consolidation: The trade figures starting from 1999/00 represent EU-27 and exclude all intra-trade. For the years 1960/61 through 1998/99, figures are the EU-15 and also exclude all intra-trade. EU-15 member states' data for grains are no longer maintained in the official USDA database. Data for the individual NMS-10, plus Bulgaria and Romania, exists only prior to 1999/00. Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected pasta products on a grain equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled

May 2011

http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx�


60

equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains. Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries, and trade to countries outside the USDA database. The Field Crops and Livestock Branch, Industry and Sector Analysis Division, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA, Washington DC 20250, prepared this circular. Information is gathered from official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S. agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information. Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-6590. Note: The previous report in this series was the Grain: World Markets and Trade Foreign Agricultural Service Circular FG 04-11 April 2011. For further details on world grain production, please see World Agricultural Production Foreign Agricultural Service Circular WAP 05-11 May 2011. This circular is available in its entirety on the World Wide Web via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov

May 2011

united states agriculture grain - cornell university...current export restrictions in both ....

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