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© OECD/IEA 2015 © OECD/IEA 2015 Duncan Millard Chief Statistician International Energy Agency Dissemination

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Page 1: Duncan Millard International Energy Agencyunstats.un.org/unsd/energy/meetings/2016iwc/29dissemination.pdf · Final energy use by sector Source: IEA World Energy Balances, OECD/IEA,

© OECD/IEA 2015 © OECD/IEA 2015

Duncan Millard

Chief Statistician

International Energy Agency

Dissemination

Page 2: Duncan Millard International Energy Agencyunstats.un.org/unsd/energy/meetings/2016iwc/29dissemination.pdf · Final energy use by sector Source: IEA World Energy Balances, OECD/IEA,

© OECD/IEA 2015

Overview

Why dissemination is important

Charts – the basics of dissemination

Policy needs and use

Innovation – ideas

Page 3: Duncan Millard International Energy Agencyunstats.un.org/unsd/energy/meetings/2016iwc/29dissemination.pdf · Final energy use by sector Source: IEA World Energy Balances, OECD/IEA,

© OECD/IEA 2015

Drivers

Fundamental Principles of Official Statistics • Principle 1. ….. official statistics that meet the test of practical utility are to

be compiled and made available on an impartial basis by official statistical agencies to honour citizens’ entitlement to public information. (73rd plenary

meeting 29 January 2014)

Communique of this G20 Ministers Meeting • We also acknowledge the importance of public disclosure of market related

information on all energy resources.

Raise visibility of statistics and message from stats (advertising)

Inform Government, business, public, investors

Page 4: Duncan Millard International Energy Agencyunstats.un.org/unsd/energy/meetings/2016iwc/29dissemination.pdf · Final energy use by sector Source: IEA World Energy Balances, OECD/IEA,

© OECD/IEA 2015

Data dissemination in IRES

Importance of energy statistics dissemination

Data dissemination and statistical confidentiality

Reference period and dissemination timetable

Data revision Dissemination formats

International reporting

Page 5: Duncan Millard International Energy Agencyunstats.un.org/unsd/energy/meetings/2016iwc/29dissemination.pdf · Final energy use by sector Source: IEA World Energy Balances, OECD/IEA,

© OECD/IEA 2015

Selected Recommendations from IRES

The dissemination policy should be user oriented, reaching and serving all user groups, including format, and provide quality information

While recognizing the importance of statistical confidentiality, countries should implement those rules in a way to promote access to data while ensuring confidentiality

Countries make their energy data available on a calendar period basis

For international comparability, countries which use the fiscal year, should undertake efforts to report annual data according to the calendar year

Countries announce in advance the precise dates when energy statistics will be released

Page 6: Duncan Millard International Energy Agencyunstats.un.org/unsd/energy/meetings/2016iwc/29dissemination.pdf · Final energy use by sector Source: IEA World Energy Balances, OECD/IEA,

© OECD/IEA 2015

Release dates: • monthly data, within 2 calendar months

• quarterly data within 3 calendar months after the end of the reference quarter;

• annual data within 15 calendar months after the end of the reference year

Countries are encouraged to harmonize their data with international standards

It is recommended that countries disseminate their energy statistics internationally as soon as they become available to national users and without any additional restrictions. 37

a glossary of terms should always accompany the disseminated tabulations of energy statistics.

Selected Recommendations from IRES

Page 7: Duncan Millard International Energy Agencyunstats.un.org/unsd/energy/meetings/2016iwc/29dissemination.pdf · Final energy use by sector Source: IEA World Energy Balances, OECD/IEA,

© OECD/IEA 2015

Everyone can understand a good chart!

CO2 emissions per kWh of electricity generation, OECD

A good picture is worth a thousand words

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014

gCO

2 /kWh

Page 8: Duncan Millard International Energy Agencyunstats.un.org/unsd/energy/meetings/2016iwc/29dissemination.pdf · Final energy use by sector Source: IEA World Energy Balances, OECD/IEA,

© OECD/IEA 2015

Good chart?

Page 9: Duncan Millard International Energy Agencyunstats.un.org/unsd/energy/meetings/2016iwc/29dissemination.pdf · Final energy use by sector Source: IEA World Energy Balances, OECD/IEA,

© OECD/IEA 2015

Good chart?

Page 10: Duncan Millard International Energy Agencyunstats.un.org/unsd/energy/meetings/2016iwc/29dissemination.pdf · Final energy use by sector Source: IEA World Energy Balances, OECD/IEA,

© OECD/IEA 2015

UK Energy consumption by main industrial groups 2009

Iron& steel and non -ferrous metals

8% Mineral products11%

Chemicals17%

Mechanical engineering and metal products

5%

Vehicles5%

Food, drink & tobacco

12%

Paper, priniting publishing

9%

Other industries21%

Unclassified12%

Good chart?

Page 11: Duncan Millard International Energy Agencyunstats.un.org/unsd/energy/meetings/2016iwc/29dissemination.pdf · Final energy use by sector Source: IEA World Energy Balances, OECD/IEA,

© OECD/IEA 2015

UK Energy Consumption by main industrial groups 2009

Source: Energy Consumption in the UK 2010

Iron& steel and non -ferrous metals

8%

Mineral products11%

Chemicals17%

Mechanical engineering and metal products

5%

Vehicles5%

Food, drink & tobacco

12%

Paper, priniting publishing

9%

Other industries21%

Unclassified12%

Clearer chart?

Page 12: Duncan Millard International Energy Agencyunstats.un.org/unsd/energy/meetings/2016iwc/29dissemination.pdf · Final energy use by sector Source: IEA World Energy Balances, OECD/IEA,

© OECD/IEA 2015

OECD energy supply from 1971 to 2014

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

1971 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2014

TPES* Production Net imports

Million tonnes of oil equivalent

Page 13: Duncan Millard International Energy Agencyunstats.un.org/unsd/energy/meetings/2016iwc/29dissemination.pdf · Final energy use by sector Source: IEA World Energy Balances, OECD/IEA,

© OECD/IEA 2015 © OECD/IEA 2015

Data for policy analysis

Page 14: Duncan Millard International Energy Agencyunstats.un.org/unsd/energy/meetings/2016iwc/29dissemination.pdf · Final energy use by sector Source: IEA World Energy Balances, OECD/IEA,

© OECD/IEA 2015

The Policy Delivery Cycle – where stats can

impact

• Do we really understand what the

problem or issue is?

• Are you sure there is a gap?

• What policy or evidence is already out

there & what are others doing in

UK/abroad?

• What outcome would indicate success

• Understand, quantify & analyse

impacts, costs, risks & benefits of

policy options, including on GHGs

• Address evidence gaps & identify

research & analysis required

• Monitoring performance

indicators and expected benefits

• Evaluation and reporting, eg

GHGs

• Undertake pilots & collect good

practice

• Benchmark against other

schemes

• Agree and put in place delivery

arrangements with delivery

partners and regulators

• Put in place policy monitoring,

evaluation & reporting

mechanisms

Page 16: Duncan Millard International Energy Agencyunstats.un.org/unsd/energy/meetings/2016iwc/29dissemination.pdf · Final energy use by sector Source: IEA World Energy Balances, OECD/IEA,

© OECD/IEA 2015

World natural gas demand by region

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

3 000

3 500

4 000

Africa

Non-OECDAmericas

Middle East

Asia (incl.China)

Non-OECDEurope/Eurasia

OECD

Billion cubic metres

Page 17: Duncan Millard International Energy Agencyunstats.un.org/unsd/energy/meetings/2016iwc/29dissemination.pdf · Final energy use by sector Source: IEA World Energy Balances, OECD/IEA,

© OECD/IEA 2015

Annual growth rates of world renewables supply from 1990 to 2013

Total TPES1.9%

Renewables2.2%

Solar PV46.6%

Wind 24.8%

Biogases 13.9%

Solarthermal12.3%

Liquid biofuels 10.2%

Geo-thermal2.9%

Hydro2.5%

Solid biofuels/Charcoal

1.4%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

Page 18: Duncan Millard International Energy Agencyunstats.un.org/unsd/energy/meetings/2016iwc/29dissemination.pdf · Final energy use by sector Source: IEA World Energy Balances, OECD/IEA,

© OECD/IEA 2015

OECD Europe: Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity by source

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

TW

h

Wind Solar photovoltaics Primary solid biofuels

Biogases Renewable municipal waste Geothermal

Liquid biofuels Solar thermal Tide, wave and ocean

Page 19: Duncan Millard International Energy Agencyunstats.un.org/unsd/energy/meetings/2016iwc/29dissemination.pdf · Final energy use by sector Source: IEA World Energy Balances, OECD/IEA,

© OECD/IEA 2015

Final energy use by sector

Source: IEA World Energy Balances, OECD/IEA, Paris, 2015.

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

1971 1980 1990 2000 2013

Mill

ion t

onnes o

f oil

equiv

ale

nt

(Mto

e)

OECD Non-OECD

Commercial and public services

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

1971 1980 1990 2000 2013

Mill

ion t

onnes o

f oil

equiv

ale

nt

(Mto

e)

OECD Non-OECD

Industry

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

1971 1980 1990 2000 2013

Mill

ion t

onnes o

f oil

equiv

ale

nt

(Mto

e)

OECD Non-OECD

Transport

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

1971 1980 1990 2000 2013

Mill

ion t

onnes o

f oil

equiv

ale

nt

(Mto

e)

OECD Non-OECD

Residential

Page 20: Duncan Millard International Energy Agencyunstats.un.org/unsd/energy/meetings/2016iwc/29dissemination.pdf · Final energy use by sector Source: IEA World Energy Balances, OECD/IEA,

© OECD/IEA 2015 © OECD/IEA 2015

Data dissemination at the IEA

http://www.iea.org/statistics/

Page 21: Duncan Millard International Energy Agencyunstats.un.org/unsd/energy/meetings/2016iwc/29dissemination.pdf · Final energy use by sector Source: IEA World Energy Balances, OECD/IEA,

© OECD/IEA 2015

• Redesign of free monthly stats release (changed name from surveys to statistics), include bullet commentary, promoted on stats website

• Partial redesign of books (more next year), all have summary trends sections, data moved forward

• Trends sections reproduced as free PDFs

• First web news release on what data say: production and renewables

• Redesign website

• Free on line headline annual time series data from end October

• New summary 2015 data from monthly surveys – March 2016

Developments during 2015

Page 22: Duncan Millard International Energy Agencyunstats.un.org/unsd/energy/meetings/2016iwc/29dissemination.pdf · Final energy use by sector Source: IEA World Energy Balances, OECD/IEA,

© OECD/IEA 2015

New format for Monthly Statistics

Page 23: Duncan Millard International Energy Agencyunstats.un.org/unsd/energy/meetings/2016iwc/29dissemination.pdf · Final energy use by sector Source: IEA World Energy Balances, OECD/IEA,

© OECD/IEA 2015

Release of free excerpts of publications

Page 24: Duncan Millard International Energy Agencyunstats.un.org/unsd/energy/meetings/2016iwc/29dissemination.pdf · Final energy use by sector Source: IEA World Energy Balances, OECD/IEA,

© OECD/IEA 2015

Pre COP21 - Release of free factsheets – RD&D and CO2 emissions

Page 25: Duncan Millard International Energy Agencyunstats.un.org/unsd/energy/meetings/2016iwc/29dissemination.pdf · Final energy use by sector Source: IEA World Energy Balances, OECD/IEA,

© OECD/IEA 2015

EDC Free Data launched November Mission: to provide a set of free headline data in a user-friendly format

Output: Freely downloadable Excel-file on the IEA-website including:

a) Time series 1971-2013 for 11 products, 5 flows for ~45 countries

and regions, out of total of 75 products, 95 flows in full data

b) Data definitions

c) Interactive Pivot-chart (example on the right)

Around 50,000 downloads a month

Page 26: Duncan Millard International Energy Agencyunstats.un.org/unsd/energy/meetings/2016iwc/29dissemination.pdf · Final energy use by sector Source: IEA World Energy Balances, OECD/IEA,

© OECD/IEA 2015

Maximising use of Monthly Statistics

Headline provisional annual data for 2015 published 5th April 2016 OECD electricity generation from

wind and solar grew 16% in 2015

Latest IEA data reports also highlight

US-led gains in oil and gas production

Page 27: Duncan Millard International Energy Agencyunstats.un.org/unsd/energy/meetings/2016iwc/29dissemination.pdf · Final energy use by sector Source: IEA World Energy Balances, OECD/IEA,

© OECD/IEA 2015

Dissemination of Statistics

Keep it simple but factual

Make access easy for all – website, books, apps, etc

Who is audience, what level of numerical skill

Charts must make point easier to understand – they are the hook

Should raise a “why” question

• Associated text should answer

Page 28: Duncan Millard International Energy Agencyunstats.un.org/unsd/energy/meetings/2016iwc/29dissemination.pdf · Final energy use by sector Source: IEA World Energy Balances, OECD/IEA,

© OECD/IEA 2015

Questions

Page 29: Duncan Millard International Energy Agencyunstats.un.org/unsd/energy/meetings/2016iwc/29dissemination.pdf · Final energy use by sector Source: IEA World Energy Balances, OECD/IEA,

© OECD/IEA 2015

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

1971 1980 1990 2000 2013

Mill

ion t

onnes o

f oil

equiv

ale

nt

(Mto

e)

OECD Non-OECD

Electricity

Residential consumption

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1971 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2013

Mill

ion t

onnes o

f oil

equiv

ale

nt

(Mto

e)

OECD Non-OECD

Biofuels and waste

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

1971 1980 1990 2000 2013

Mill

ion t

onnes o

f oil

equiv

ale

nt

(Mto

e)

OECD Non-OECD

Natural Gas

Source: IEA World Energy Balances, OECD/IEA, Paris, 2015.