dust emission modeling

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Improving dust emission scheme in climate models - Sagar Parajul MODIS image on 03/19/2012 (Origin: Afghanistan/Pakistan)

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Mineral dust emission representation in climate models.

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Page 1: Dust emission modeling

Improving dust emission scheme in climate models

- Sagar ParajuliMODIS image on 03/19/2012 (Origin: Afghanistan/Pakistan)

Page 2: Dust emission modeling

ScatteringAbsorption

Wind

Creep

Dry/Wet deposition

Dust-cloud interactionCCN/IN

Biogeochemical processes

Longwave back radiation

Page 3: Dust emission modeling

Figure 1. Mean MODIS aerosol optical thickness ( 2003-2012) indicating average level of dust concentration in the study area (Middle East and North Africa). The diameter of circle is proportional to the population of the city.

Page 4: Dust emission modeling

Existing Dust scheme in CLM: (DEAD1) 1Dust Entrainment and Deposition Model

(1Zender, Bian, & Newman, 2003)

Page 5: Dust emission modeling

CLM dust simulation evaluation

Dataset Temporal res. (year:

2003)

Spatial res.

CLM simulation(atmospheric

forcing: Qian et al. 2006)

Daily 0.9ο ×1.25ο

AERONET AOT at 500nm

15 min Station (Solar Village in

Saudi Arabia)

Level 3 MODIS AOD at 550 nm

Daily and monthly

1ο × 1ο

Page 6: Dust emission modeling

CLM Simulated dust flux

MODIS AOT

Page 7: Dust emission modeling

Temporal variations (2003)

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec0

0.5

1

1.5

AO

T a

t 50

0n

m

Mean daily AERONET AOT at 500nm

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec0

2

4

6

8

10x 10

4

Du

st f

lux

(to

ns/

da

y)

CLM4 simulated mean daily dust flux

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec1

2

3

4

5

WS

at

10

m

Mean daily WS at 10m

Page 8: Dust emission modeling

Key issues• Current CLM gives the maximum possible dust emission from

bare surface• Threshold friction speed is key in controlling dust flux which is a

function of mainly soil moisture and percentage clay content • Soil moisture variation in dust source region being very low,

percentage clay content mainly modifies threshold friction speed

Given the unavailability of accurate percentage clay content map, the only way to improve dust emission is:

Either use different parameterization for different geomorphological surfaces

Or use erodibility map in constraining the model estimate

Page 9: Dust emission modeling

Animation: Mean monthly AOD in the study area for 2012

Page 10: Dust emission modeling

Evaluation of the wind data

Description

Spatial res.

Temporal Res.

Data range

References

MODIS Deep Blue AOT at 550 nm

1° × 1°

Daily (01:30 PM local time)

2003-2012

(Hsu et al. 2006)

ERA-Interim Wind Speed

1.5° × 1.5°

6 hourly 2003-2012

(Kalnay et al. 1996)

NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis Wind Speed

2.5° × 2.5°

6 hourly 2003-2012

Uppala et al. 2005)

Page 11: Dust emission modeling

Wind speed and AOT at Bodele

0 2 4 6 8 10 120

1

2

3

4

5

6

1000 hPa NCEP Wind Speed (m/s)

Dee

p B

lue

AO

T a

t 550

nm

y = 0.026*x2 - 0.054*x + 0.91R-square = 0.19

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 140

1

2

3

4

5

6

1000 hPa ERA-Interim Wind Speed (m/s)

Dee

p B

lue

AO

T a

t 550

nm

y = 0.043*x2 - 0.25*x + 1.1R-square = 0.48

Page 12: Dust emission modeling

0 2 4 6 8 100

2

4

6

8

ERA 10m wind at Mezaira (m/s)

Mez

aira

sta

tion

10m

win

d (m

/s)

R - Square = 0.29

SDstn

/SDera

= 0.84

0 0.5 1 1.50

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

Deep Blue AOD at 550nm

AE

RO

NE

T A

OT

at 5

50nm

SDaeronet

/SDmodis

= 0.98

R-square = 0.59

Comparison with ground-based observations

Daily data at 01:30 PM (2003)

6 hourly data (2010)

Page 13: Dust emission modeling

Improving the model: use of Erodibility Map

Page 14: Dust emission modeling

Proposed erodibility map

(correlation map between Deep Blue AOT and 10m wind (data: 365 observations of 2012)

Page 15: Dust emission modeling

Expected improvements:

•Vegetated area with mountainous topography •Agricultural areas

Topographic erodibility map(Ginoux et al. 2001)

Page 16: Dust emission modeling

Use of dust source map

• Proposed dust source map can be used to mask non-erodible areas (represented by insignificant correlation in the map)

• Since residence time of dust is relatively longer than the wind persistence time, this method eliminates the false identification of dust sources associated with transported dust

• Monthly erodibility map can be used to account for the dependence of threshold friction speed on vegetation and seasonality

Page 17: Dust emission modeling

Proposed geomorphological map

(Bullard et al. 2011)

Page 18: Dust emission modeling

Future works

• Implement the developed erodibility in CLM and evaluate the resulting emission

• Use ERA-Interim wind for forcing CLM;

• Look for better percentage clay content map

• Develop geomorphological map from google earth image using image classification algorithm (e.g. maximum likelihood method)

• Integrate geomorphological map into CLM

• Develop dust storm forecasting tool using combination of model and satellite data

Page 19: Dust emission modeling

Thank you!

Page 20: Dust emission modeling

Existing Model: (DEAD1) Dust Entrainment and Deposition Model

T is a global factor to compensate model’s horizontal and temporal resolution sensitivity = 5 × 10-4

S = 1 (source erodibility factor)

(1Zender, Bian, & Newman, 2003)

Page 21: Dust emission modeling

DEAD cont..

Page 22: Dust emission modeling

DEAD cont.…

Page 23: Dust emission modeling

DEAD cont.…

Page 24: Dust emission modeling

http://ldas.gsfc.nasa.gov/gldas/GLDASsoils.php (avilable at .25 and 1 degree)

Page 25: Dust emission modeling

0 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300 330 3600.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

0.08

Julian Days

Surf

ace

SM (

gm/c

m3)

Soil moisture variation in dust source region

Page 26: Dust emission modeling

Soil texture used in GLDAS2/Noah• http://disc.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/hydrology/data-

holdings

Page 27: Dust emission modeling

• Unlike in visible bands, UV surface reflectivity is low and is not affected by albedo

• Non-absorbing aerosols(e.g., sulfate aerosols and sea-salt particles) yield negative AI values. UV-absorbing aerosols (e.g., dust and smoke) yield positive AI values. Clouds yield near-zero values.