earned value refresher by robert perrine, pmp copyright reserved

49
Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP http://www.robertperrine.biz Copyright reserved

Upload: dillon-mall

Post on 31-Mar-2015

219 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

Earned Value Refresher

By Robert Perrine, PMPhttp://www.robertperrine.biz

Copyright reserved

Page 2: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

Copyright, Robert Perrine, PMP

2004 - 2006, Irvine, California, USA. Offered as is, with no warranty regarding the accuracy or

suitability of this material. Copyright reserved. Please, however free to copy and share this document with the following restrictions.

1. You may not charge for use or distribution of this material.

2. Your usage of this material is conditioned upon your compliance with the PMI Code of Ethics.

3. All distributions must be made with the intent to further the collected wisdom of humanity.

4. You may not remove my name or my copyright notices from these documents.

Page 3: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

Overview Basics of EV Work a few quick problems Apply EV to more realistic problems

Page 4: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

Basics of EV

Page 5: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

Basics of EV – EQUATIONSCost Performance Index CPI = EV / AC

Cost Variance CV = EV - AC

Earned Value (for a task) EV = PV * %Complete

Estimate To Complete ETC = EAC - AC

Schedule Performance Index SPI = EV / PV

Schedule Variance SV = EV - PV

Variance At Completion VAC = BAC - EAC

Estimate At Completion (EAC) EAC has a separate set of equations

Page 6: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

Basics of EV –Estimate At Completion

EAC = AC + ETC Re-Estimated

EAC = AC + (BAC - EV) Atypical

EAC = AC + ((BAC - EV) / CPI) Typical

EAC = BAC / CPI Typical

Page 7: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

Basics of EV – Old Vocabulary

ACWP Actual Cost of Work Performed replaced by AC

BCWP Budgeted Cost of Work Performed replaced by EV

BCWS Budgeted Cost of Work Scheduled replaced by PV

Page 8: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

Earned Value Basics of EV Work a few quick problems Apply EV to more realistic problems

Page 9: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

EV Problems – Scenario You are the project manager for a $250,000

upgrade to your company’s internet site. The current project status is shown on next slide. The next board meeting is scheduled for two

months from today. The CEO of your company will demonstrate your

new internet site to the board and to the investors attending that meeting.

Page 10: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

EV Problems – Project Status

Task Description PV EV AC

1.0.0 Operating system $25,000 $23,000 $27,000

2.0.0 Database $90,000 $85,000 $80,000

3.0.0 Web server $10,000 $9,000 $9,000

4.0.0 Firewall $8,000 $8,000 $11,000

5.0.0 Internal testing $10,000 $6,000 $2,000

6.0.0 “Beta” customers $12,000 $1,000 $2,000

7.0.0 Marketing $40,000 $5,000 $4,000

Page 11: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

EV Problems – Question 1 Use the Project Status data, show above.

Which task is on schedule?A) 1.0.0B) 2.0.0C) 3.0.0D) 4.0.0

What is your answer ? Why ?

Page 12: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

EV Problems – Question 1

Task Description PV EV AC

1.0.0 Operating system $25,000 $23,000 $27,000

2.0.0 Database $90,000 $85,000 $80,000

3.0.0 Web server $10,000 $9,000 $9,000

4.0.0 Firewall $8,000 $8,000 $11,000

5.0.0 Internal testing $10,000 $6,000 $2,000

6.0.0 “Beta” customers $12,000 $1,000 $2,000

7.0.0 Marketing $40,000 $5,000 $4,000

Page 13: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

EV Problems – Question 2 You are the project manager for a $250,000 upgrade to

your company’s internet site. The current EV data is shown in Table 1, above. The next board meeting is scheduled for two months from today. The CEO of your company will demonstrate your new internet site to the board and to the investors attending that meeting. Which task has the largest schedule variance? A) 2.0.0B) 5.0.0C) 6.0.0D) 7.0.0

What is your answer ? Why ?

Page 14: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

EV Problems – Question 2

Task Description PV EV SV

1.0.0 Operating system $25,000 $23,000 -2,000

2.0.0 Database $90,000 $85,000 -5,000

3.0.0 Web server $10,000 $9,000 -1,000

4.0.0 Firewall $8,000 $8,000 $0

5.0.0 Internal testing $10,000 $6,000 -4,000

6.0.0 “Beta” customers $12,000 $1,000 -11,000

7.0.0 Marketing $40,000 $5,000 -35,000

Page 15: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

EV Problems – Question 3 Use Table 1, shown above. What is the CPI

on task 7.0.0? A) 1.250B) 0.800C) 8000D) 0.125

What is your answer ? Why ?

Page 16: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

EV Problems – Question 3

Task Description PV EV AC

7.0.0 Marketing $40,000

$5,000 $4,000

CPI = EV / AC = 5,000 / 4,000 = 1.250

Page 17: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

EV Problems – Question 3

Task Description PV EV AC

7.0.0 Marketing $40,000

$5,000 $4,000

CPI = EV / AC = 5,000 / 4,000 = 1.250Is Task 7.0.0 under-budget so far? YES

Page 18: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

EV Problems – Question 3

Task Description PV EV AC

7.0.0 Marketing $40,000

$5,000 $4,000

CPI = EV / AC = 5,000 / 4,000 = 1.250Is Task 7.0.0 under-budget so far? YESIs Task 7.0.0 on-schedule so far?NO, but who asked

Page 19: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

Earned Value Basics of EV Work a few quick problems Apply EV to more realistic problems

Page 20: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

EV Problems – Question 4 You are the project manager for a $250,000 upgrade to

your company’s internet site. The current EV data is shown in Table 1, above. The next board meeting is scheduled for two months from today. The CEO of your company will demonstrate your new internet site to the board and to the investors attending that meeting. The CEO has just called and asked you for the “percent completion” as of today. What is your answer? A) 45% B) 50%C) 55%D) 60%

Page 21: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

EV Problems – Question 4 Analyze the Question

What does “Percent Complete” mean? Hours worked ? Miles of highway, lines of code ?

Basic EV equation EV = PV * (%Complete) Applies to a Task Also applies to the project

Page 22: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

EV Problems – Question 4 Identify a Strategy For a task

EV = PV * (%Complete) %Complete = EV / PV When expressed as a decimal it is SPI.

For a Project %Complete = SUM(EV) / SUM(Project PV)

Page 23: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

EV Problems – Question 4 EV is based upon “A Point in Time”

SPI = EV / PV AT THIS POINT IN TIME

Page 24: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

EV Problems – Question 4 Identify a Strategy For a task

EV = PV * (%Complete) %Complete = EV / PV

For a Project %Complete = SUM(EV) / SUM(Project PV) What is the total PV for a project?

Page 25: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

EV Problems – Question 4 Identify a Strategy For a task

EV = PV * (%Complete) %Complete = EV / PV

For a Project %Complete = SUM(EV) / SUM(Project PV) What is the total PV for a project? BAC

Page 26: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

EV Problems – Question 4 Identify a Strategy For a task

EV = PV * (%Complete) %Complete = EV / PV

For a Project %Complete = SUM(EV) / SUM(Project PV) What is the total PV for a project? BAC What is the BAC for this project ?

Page 27: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

EV Problems – Question 4 Identify a Strategy For a task

EV = PV * (%Complete) %Complete = EV / PV

For a Project %Complete = SUM(EV) / SUM(Project PV) What is the total PV for a project? BAC What is the BAC for this project ? BAC = $250,000

Page 28: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

EV Problems – Question 4 What do we know

%Complete = Sum(EV) / BAC BAC = $250,000

Page 29: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

EV Problems – Question 4 What do we know

%Complete = Sum(EV) / BAC BAC = $250,000

What else do we need to find ?

Page 30: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

EV Problems – Question 4 What do we know

%Complete = Sum(EV) / BAC BAC = $250,000

What else do we need to find ? Sum(EV)

Page 31: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

EV Problems – Question 4 What do we know

%Complete = Sum(EV) / BAC BAC = $250,000

What else do we need to find ? Sum(EV) = $137,000

Page 32: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

EV Problems – Question 4 What do we know

%Complete = Sum(EV) / BAC BAC = $250,000

What else do we need to find ? Sum(EV) = $137,000

What is the ANSWER ?

Page 33: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

EV Problems – Question 4 What do we know

%Complete = Sum(EV) / BAC BAC = $250,000

What else do we need to find ? Sum(EV) = $137,000

What is the ANSWER ? %Complete = 137,000 / 250,000 = 0.548

Page 34: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

EV Problems – Question 4 You are the project manager for a $250,000 upgrade to

your company’s internet site. The current EV data is shown in Table 1, above. The next board meeting is scheduled for two months from today. The CEO of your company will demonstrate your new internet site to the board and to the investors attending that meeting. The CEO has just called and asked you for the “percent completion” as of today. What is your answer? A) 45% B) 50%C) 55%D) 60%

What is your answer ?

Page 35: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

EV Problems – Question 4 You are the project manager for a $250,000 upgrade to

your company’s internet site. The current EV data is shown in Table 1, above. The next board meeting is scheduled for two months from today. The CEO of your company will demonstrate your new internet site to the board and to the investors attending that meeting. The CEO has just called and asked you for the “percent completion” as of today. What is your answer? A) 45% B) 50%C) 55%D) 60%

What is your answer ? C

Page 36: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

Earned Value Basics of EV Work a few quick problems Apply EV to more realistic problems

Here’s another one

Page 37: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

EV Problems – Question 5 You are the project manager for a $250,000 upgrade to

your company’s internet site. The current EV data is shown in Table 1, above. The next board meeting is scheduled for two months from today. The CEO of your company will demonstrate your new internet site to the board and to the investors attending that meeting. The CFO has just called and asked for your revised estimate on the total cost of the project. You review the data and realized that, aside from some hardware price increases initially, the remainder of the project plan is accurate. What is your revised estimated total project cost?A) $252,000 B) $250,000C) $248,000D) $246,350

Page 38: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

EV Problems – Question 5

Analyze the Question What is the EV name for

“revised estimated total project cost”?

Page 39: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

EV Problems – Question 5

Analyze the Question What is the EV name for

“revised estimated total project cost”? EAC “Estimate At Completion”

Page 40: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

EV Problems – Question 5

Analyze the Question What is the EV name for

“revised estimated total project cost”? EAC “Estimate At Completion” What are the formulas for EAC ?

Page 41: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

EV Problems – Question 5 EAC

EAC = AC + ETC Re-Estimated

EAC = AC + (BAC - EV) Atypical

EAC = AC + ((BAC - EV) / CPI) Typical

EAC = BAC / CPI Typical

Page 42: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

EV Problems – Question 5 EAC

EAC = AC + ETC Re-Estimated

EAC = AC + (BAC - EV) Atypical

EAC = AC + ((BAC - EV) / CPI) Typical

EAC = BAC / CPI Typical

Which one fits this problem ? Why ?

Page 43: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

EV Problems – Question 5 EAC

EAC = AC + ETC Re-Estimated

EAC = AC + (BAC - EV) Atypical

EAC = AC + ((BAC - EV) / CPI) Typical

EAC = BAC / CPI Typical

Which one fits this problem ? Why ?

Page 44: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

EV Problems – Question 5 EAC

EAC = AC + ETC Re-Estimated

EAC = AC + (BAC - EV) Atypical

EAC = AC + ((BAC - EV) / CPI) Typical

EAC = BAC / CPI Typical

Which one fits this problem ? Why ?What do we need to find ?

Page 45: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

EV Problems – Question 5 Totals

Task Description PV EV AC

1.0.0 Operating system $25,000 $23,000 $27,000

2.0.0 Database $90,000 $85,000 $80,000

3.0.0 Web server $10,000 $9,000 $9,000

4.0.0 Firewall $8,000 $8,000 $11,000

5.0.0 Internal testing $10,000 $6,000 $2,000

6.0.0 “Beta” customers $12,000 $1,000 $2,000

7.0.0 Marketing $40,000 $5,000 $4,000

SUM 137,000 135,000

Page 46: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

EV Problems – Question 5 Calculate the Answer

EAC = AC + (BAC - EV) = 135,000 + (250,000 – 137,000)

= 135,000 + 113,000 = 248,000

Page 47: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

EV Problems – Question 5 Find Your Answer A) $252,000

B) $250,000C) $248,000D) $246,350

Page 48: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

EV Problems – Question 5 Find Your Answer A) $252,000

B) $250,000C) $248,000D) $246,350

Page 49: Earned Value Refresher By Robert Perrine, PMP  Copyright reserved

Earned Value – Summary A few formulas to memorize Know the vocabulary – new and old EAC has a few variations