earnings 2q15 conference call
TRANSCRIPT
2Q15 Earnings Release Conference Call
August 13th, 2015
Agenda
2Q15 Events and Highlights 3
2Q15 Financial Highlights 4
Net Interest Margin 5
Expenses and Efficiency Ratio 6
Loan Portfolio 7Loan Portfolio 7
Continuous Loan Portfolio Management 8
Main Sectors – Energy | Real Estate | Sugar and Ethanol 9
(cont) Main Sectors – Agriculture | Engineering 10
Loan Portfolio Quality 11
FICC 12
Pine Investimentos 13
Funding 14
Asset & Liability Management 15
Capital Adequacy Ratio (BIS), Basel III 16
Guidance 2015 - Review 17
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2Q15 Events and Highlights
1. Sound positive liquidity gap in the past years, with 385 days for loan portfolio versus 501 days for funding.
2. Liquid balance sheet, with a cash position of R$1.2 billion, equivalent to 47% of time deposits.
3. Active and constant liability management generates benefits both in cost and terms of funding.
4. Loan portfolio coverage ratio above 4% as a result of a preemptive increase in provisions in the last twelve months.
5. Further reduction of personnel and administrative expenses, as a result of the diligence and anticipation of an adverse market inp p , g p
2015.
6. 16tth largest bank in derivative transactions and the 4th largest in commodity derivatives according to CETIP – OTC Clearing House.
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2Q15 Financial HighlightsThe main performance indicators were within expectations in the period.
Shareholders' Equity
-2.9%
Total Loan Portfolio1
-10.7%
Total Funding
-9.6%
R$ million
1,244 1,208 9,657 8,621 8,367 7,564 , ,
M 15 J 15M 15 J 15M 15 J 15 Mar-15 Jun-15Mar-15 Jun-15Mar-15 Jun-15
ROAENIM Evolution
-70 bps
Net Income
p
3.3% 3.3%4.0%
3.3%10 10
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1 Includes Stand by LCs, Bank Guarantees, Credit Securities to be Received and Securities (bonds, CRIs, eurobonds and fund shares)
1Q15 2Q151Q15 2Q151Q15 2Q15
Net Interest Margin
NIM Evolution Main Impacts
Lower transactions in FICC business;-70 bps
No revenue generation in Treasury;
Smaller proportion of the loan portfolio over total assets;
Prudential adjustments (Resolution 4277); and
Marginal increase in spreads.
4.0%3.3%
NIM Breakdown
1Q15 2Q15
R$ million
2Q15 1Q15 2Q14 1H15 1H14
Financ ial MarginFinanc ial Margin
Income from financial intermediation 80 54 96 134 205
Overhedge effect (10) 34 (3) 24 (6)
Income from financial intermediation ex overhedge 70 88 93 158 199
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Expenses and Efficiency RatioRigorous cost control.
37.1% 39.1%44.9%
4 0 . 0 %
6 0 . 0 %
4 0
4 5
5 0
38.7% 41.8%4 0 . 0 %
6 0 . 0 %
1 2 0
1 4 0
Expenses
22 23 2220
18- 2 0 . 0 %
0 . 0 %
2 0 . 0 %
2 5
3 0
3 5
- 2 0 . 0 %
0 . 0 %
2 0 . 0 %
6 0
8 0
1 0 0 Personnel Expenses
Other administrative
18 17
- 8 0 . 0 %
- 6 0 . 0 %
- 4 0 . 0 %
5
1 0
1 5
2 0
46 4446
35
- 8 0 . 0 %
- 6 0 . 0 %
- 4 0 . 0 %
2 0
4 0
expenses
Recurring Efficiency Ratio (%)
- 1 0 0 . 0 %0
2Q14 1Q15 2Q15
- 1 0 0 . 0 %0
1H14 1H15
Efficiency Ratio
R$ million
2Q15 1Q15 2Q14 1H15 1H14
Operating expenses1 48 45 45 93 97
(-) Non-recurring expenses (4) (1) (1) (5) (5)
R i O i E (A) 44 43 43 87 92 Recurring Operating Expenses (A) 44 43 43 87 92
Recurring Revenues2 (B) 98 110 116 208 238
Recurring Effic iency Ratio (A/B) 44.9% 39.1% 37.1% 41.8% 38.7%1 Other administrative expenses + tax expenses + personnel expenses2 Gross Income from financial intermediation - provision for loan losses + fee income + overhedge effect - hedge impact - prudential adjustment according to Resolution 4277
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Resolution 4277.
Loan PortfolioThe portfolio amounted to R$8.6 billion...
R$ million
-14.1%
903 989 1,116 924 826
9,6579,5379,930
10,090 10,0329,800 9,826
-10.7%
3 073
2,909 2,905 2,941 2,896 2,969
3,191
1,059
965 903 1,116 924 826
909
585
Trade finance: 6.8%8,6218,994
1
844 990
1,068 1,103 1,071 1,248 1,302
1,118 1 074
2,807
3,073
2,896 Bank Guarantees: 33.6%
4 284 4,509 5,050 5,093 4,904 4,731 4,730 4,440
1,074
BNDES Onlending : 12.5%
4,284 4,509 4,440 4,066
J 13 S 13 D 13 M 14 J 14 S 14 D 14 M 15 J 15
Working Capital: 47.2%2
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Jun-13 Sept-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sept-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15
1 Includes Stand by LC2 Includes debentures, CRIs, Hedge Fund Shares, Eurobonds, Credit Portfolio acquired from financial institutions with recourse and Individuals
Continuous Loan Portfolio Management...with improved sector diversification.
12.4%12%12%11%8% EnergyEnergy12%
Construction Material
2% Food IndustryOther7%
Sectors Rebalance
9 7%10%10%7%8%
12.2%13%12%14%20%
12.3%12%13%12%9%
12.4%12%%
Real Estate
Sugar and Ethanol
12%
Real Estate12%Vehicles and Parts
3%
Retail3%
Meatpacking2%
y1%
6.7%7%5%5%5%
8.5%8%8%7%8%
9.7%10%10%7%8%Agriculture
Engineering
Transportation Sugar and Ethanol
12%Telecom4%
Specialized Services
4%
Metallurgy3%
38.2%38%40%44%42%
Jun‐15Mar‐15Jun‐14Jun‐13Mar‐12
and Logistics
OthersAgriculture
10%Engineering
9%
Transportation and Logistics
7%
Chemicals5%
Foreign Trade4%
4%
The composition of the portfolio of the 20 largest clients changed by over 20% in the past twelve months;
The share of wallet of the 20 largest clients remained below 30%, in line with market peers.
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Main SectorsEnergy| Real Estate | Agriculture
Mall
Energy (12.4%) Real Estate (12.3%)
Exposure by Product Exposure by Segment Exposure by Product Exposure by Segment
BNDES UTE
Warehouse15%
7%Commercial
6%Guarantees
23%Working Capital
17%
BNDES Onlending
9%
UTE14%
Distributors10%
Transmitting9%
Equipment S li
Residential37%
Residential Lots35%
Working Capital
77%Guarantees74%
Wind Energy57%
Supplier6%
SHPs UHEs3%
Sugar and Ethanol (12.2%)
Exposure by Product Exposure by State
BNDES Onlending
11%Trade
Finance9%
PR
GO2%
Exposure by Product Exposure by State
Working
Guarantees26% SP
73%
MG19%
7%
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gCapital
55%
Main SectorsAgriculture| Engineering
BNDES Trade
Agriculture (9.7%) Engineering (8.5%)
Exposure by Product Exposure by Product
Guarantees12%
BNDES Onlending
4%
BNDES Onlending
17%
Trade Finance
12%
Guarantees1%
Working Capital
Working Capital
71%
p84%
Exposure by SegmentExposure by State
MT31%
Others8%
Concession35% Transportation
32%
SP37%
PR
BA11%
MS3%
Oil and Gas
Energy1%
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PR10%
Industrial24%
Oil and Gas9%
Loan Portfolio Quality93.4% of loan portfolio classified between AA-C ratings.
B38.3%
June 30th, 2015
Loan Portfolio Quality – Res. 2,682 Non Performing Loans > 90 days (Total Contract)
1.1% 0.7%0.1%
0.7% 0.3% 0.3%1.1%
2.1% 1.8%
C17.0%
Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15AA-A38.1%
D-E4.0%
F-H2.6% Contracts Overdue: total amount of the contracts overdue for more than 90 days / Loan Portfolio
12 0%10 0% 162% 161% 172%250%
450%
650%
2.6%
Products
Contracts Overdue: total amount of the contracts overdue for more than 90 days / Loan Portfolioexcluding Bank Guarantees and Stand-by Letters of Credit.
Credit Coverage Collaterals
5.0%
6.4% 6.6%
4.1% 4.1%6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
4 0%5.0%6.0%7.0%8.0%9.0%10.0% 162% 161% 172%
50%
250% Products Pledge39%Investments
3%
2.9%4.1% 4.1%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
0.0%1.0%2.0%3.0%4.0%
Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Receivables20%
Properties Pledge39%1
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D-H Portfolio Coverage of Total Portfolio Coverage of D-H Overdue Portfolio20%39%
1D-H Portfolio: D-H Portfolio / Loan Portfolio Res. 2,6822Coverage of Total Portfolio: Provisions / Loan Portfolio Res. 2,682 3Coverage D-H Overdue Portfolio: Provisions / D-H Overdue Portfolio
1 2 3
FICCProven trackrecord: 4th biggest bank in commodity derivatives1.
Notional Amount
MtM
June 30th, 2015 R$ million
Client Notional Derivatives by Market Notional Value and MtM
Fi d I
Currencies83% 354
288 221
349 366
(47)(103)
33
Stressed MtM
Commodities10%
Fixed Income7%
14,382 8,376 7,703 7,482 7,948
(532)
(365)
(103)
10%Jun-14 Sept-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15
Scenario on June 30th 2015:
Market Segments Portfolio Profile
Scenario on June 30th,2015:
Duration: 153 days
Mark-to-Market: R$366 million
Fixed Income: Fixed, Floating, Inflation, Libor
Currencies: Dollar, Euro, Yen, Pound, Canadian Dollar,Australian Dollar
Stress Scenario (Dollar: +31% and Commodities Prices: -30%):
Stressed MtM : R$33 million
Commodities: Sugar, Soybean (Grain, Meal and Oil), Corn,Cotton, Metals, Energy
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1Source: Cetip Report, June 2015
Pine Investimentos
R$30,000,000R$24,000,000R$20,000,000
Selected Transactions
Capital Markets: Structuring and Distribution of Fixed
Income TransactionsProject Finance
Lead Coordinator
Structuring CRP
Lead Coordinator
CRI
Lead Coordinator
Income Transactions.
Financial Advisory: Project & Structured Finance, M&A,
and hybrid capital transactions.
Debentures
R$50,000,000R$45,200,000
DebenturesBNDES Onlending
R$630,000,000
February, 2015March, 2015
Lead CoordinatorLead Coordinator
June, 2015
Lead Coordinatory p
Research: Macro and Commodities.
S t b 2014
Lead Coordinator
November 2014
Lead Coordinator
D b 2014
CoordinatorR$ millionFee Generation
Export Prepayment FinanceLong Term Loan
US$58,000,000US$25,000,000
September, 2014November, 2014December, 2014
Project Finance
R$391,459,000
3 2
6 6
August, 2014
Structuring Agent
August, 2014
Financial Advisor
July, 2014
Financial Advisor
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1Q15 2Q15 1H14 1H15
FundingDiversified sources of funding...
R$ million
58% 48% 48%44% 41%39% 41% 35% 47% Cash over Deposits
8 797 8 638Trade Finance: 8%
-11.6%
8.0%
459 434 323
113 364
346 388
687 429
500
478
473 531 430
773 973
871 834
1,064 819 839
929
605
8,367
7,5647,111
7,8948,383
8,7978,559 8,638 8,500
Private Placements: 9.7%
Multilateral Lines: 10.8%
International Capital Markets:
1 141 1,174 1,086 286
649 632
582 594 709 635
509
689
762 792
833 508 892
747
796 787
435
437
459 427
323 347
338 272
80
69 346
837 819
181
429 735 997 International Capital Markets: 3.6%
Financial Letter : 10.4%
Local Capital Markets: 6.3%
Onlending: 14 4%
1,013 1,048
1,112 1,022 761 731
254 372 475 659
908 920
1,122
110 93 90
76 80 98
69
157 197
19 20 23
27 41 30
27 24 18
862 1,099 1,141 ,
1,292 1,333
1,161 1,091
509 476
Onlending: 14.4%
Demand Deposits: 0.2%
Interbank Time Deposits: 2.6%
Hi h N W h I di id l Ti
2,185 1,944 2,175 2,314 2,271 1,905 1,720
1,209 951
731 545
361 291
1,273 1,322
High Net Worth Individual Time Deposits: 17.5%
Corporate Time Deposits: 3.8%
Institutional Time Deposits: 12.6%
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Jun-13 Sept-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sept-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15
Asset & Liability Management... keeping a positive gap between credit and funding.
7 9x 7 7 7 8x 7 8
9 . 0
1 0 . 0
Expanded loan Porfolio
Loan Portfolio excluding Bank Guarantees 83%
80% 80%77% 76%
Leverage Credit over Funding Ratio
7.9x 7.7x 7.8x 7.8x7.1x
5.6x 5.4x 5.4x 5.2x4.7x
4 . 0
5 . 0
6 . 0
7 . 0
8 . 0
77% 76%
‐
1 . 0
2 . 0
3 . 0
Jun-14 Sept-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Jun-14 Sept-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15Jun 14 Sept 14 Dec 14 Mar 15 Jun 15
Total Deposits Others
Leverage: Expanded Loan Portfolio / Shareholders’ EquityExpanded Loan Portfolio excluding Bank Guarantees and Stand-by Letters of Credit /
Shareholders’ Equity
Credit over Funding ratio: Loan Portfolio excluding Bank Guarantees and Stand-by Letters ofCredit / Total Funding
ALM – Average Maturity Total Deposits over Total FundingR$ milliondays
53% 57% 59%
Total Deposits Others
8,638 8,367 7,5648,559 8,500
GAP: +116 days
488 472 498 514 501
47% 43% 41%
57% 59% 64% 63%y
410 398
371 362 385
Funding
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47% 43% 41% 36% 37%
Jun-14 Sept-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15
Jun-14 Sept-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15
Credit
Capital Adequacy Ratio (BIS), Basel III BIS ratio reached 13.1%
Tier II Tier I
2.3%2.2%
13 0% 13 1%
17.0%15.9%
14.1% 13.7% 13.7% 13.8% 13.9%
Minimum Regulatory Capital (11%)
14 7% 13 7%
2.1% 1.5% 1.5% 1.4% 1.4% 0.8% 0.8%13.0% 13.1%
14.7% 13.7%12.0% 12.2% 12.2% 12.4% 12.4% 12.2% 12.3%
Jun-13 Sept-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sept-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15
R$ Milion BIS Ratio (%)
Tier I 1,174 12.3%
Tier II 75 0.8%
Total 1,248 13.1%
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Guidance 2015 - ReviewMarket1 GDP(E) 2015: -1.8%
Published Amended
Expanded Loan Portfolio -5% to +5% -15% to -5%
NIM 4% to 5% 3.5% to 4.5%
Personal and Administrative Expenses -10% to -5% -15% to -10%
ROAE 7% to 10% 5% to 8%
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1Source: Report Focus, July 7, 2015
Investor Relations
Noberto N. Pinheiro Junior
CEO/IRO
João BritoCFO
Raquel Varela BastosHead of Investor Relations, Marketing & PressHead of Investor Relations, Marketing & Press
Luiz MaximoInvestor Relations Specialist
Ana LopesInvestor Relations AnalystInvestor Relations Analyst
Gabriel NettoInvestor Relations Analyst
Phone: (55 11) 3372-5343
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This report may contain forward-looking statements concerning the business prospects, projections of operating and financial results and growth outlook of PINE. These are merely projections and as suchare based solely on management’s expectations regarding the future of the business. These statements depend substantially on market conditions, the performance of the sector and the Brazilian economy(political and economic changes, volatility in interest and exchange rates, technological changes, inflation, financial disintermediation, competitive pressures on products and prices and changes in taxlegislation) and therefore are subject to change without prior notice.