ecological power of nations - footprint network
TRANSCRIPT
The Ecological Power of Nations 1
When I was born in 1962, the world still had significant
ecological reserves. Residents of most of the world’s
countries demanded less resources and emitted less
waste than their respective countries’ ecosystems could
regenerate. Today, less than 20 percent of the world
population lives in countries where this is still the case.
This assessment is based on Ecological Footprint
accounting, a balance sheet that compares how much
nature we have to how much nature we use. Based
on about 5000 data points per country and year, all
from UN statistical sources, it documents our resource
balance. The results for 2005: human demand on
the biosphere exceeds by 30 percent what Earth can
renew. In other words, it takes a year and four months
to regenerate what humanity uses within that one year.
Like in the financial world, overspending can work, for
some time. The question is for how long, and at what
costs. When adding up moderate projections of UN
agencies for 2050, based on slow population growth,
slight improvements of people’s diets, decarbonization
of our energy systems, continued increase in agricultural
productivity, human demand would be twice of what
Earth could provide.
Banking on this growing level of consumption is
unrealistic. Demand would be too far out of sync with
supply. Worse, the accumulated ecological debt from
decades of ecological overspending cannot be fed
indefinitely by depleting our planet. There just are not
that many fisheries to overharvest, atmospheres to fill
up with CO2, or forests to deforest.
If we want to realize the “right to develop” – and this
is the motivation behind this publication – we must
work with the budget of nature, not against it. Ignoring
nature’s budget weakens us – makes it less likely that
we can secure human wellbeing.
To succeed, and to make this success last, we need
to reverse these trends. I am an unwavering optimist
and am convinced we can. Consider this: if the current
trends in biocapacity and Footprint were financial
curves, every planner, economist or minister would
know what would need to be done. They would huddle
and identify an aggressive agenda for action. Nothing
less is required with our current resource trends. After
all, money can be printed, but resources cannot.
Foreword
Mathis Wackernagel
Earth, our home planet is the only planet in our so-lar system known to harbor life and life of incredible diversity. The view from space enables us to better understand how thin and fragile is the Earth’s atmo-sphere, how it protects us from the uninhabitable void and why we need to protect it.
The presence of the Moon stabilizes the Earth’s wob-ble thereby making the climate more stable in billions of years of influence. The regular daily and monthly rhythms of Earth’s only natural satellite, the Moon, have guided timekeepers for thousands of years. Its influence on the Earth’s cycles, notably the tides, has also been charted by many cultures throughout many ages. More than 70 spacecraft have been sent to the Moon; 12 astronauts have walked upon its surface and brought back 842 pounds of lunar rock and soil to Earth. This color-coded image shows the Moon’s mineral composition and barren soil.
This work is based in part on statistical information that
countries provide to the United Nations Food and Agricul-
ture Organization (UN FAO), the UN Development Program
(UNDP) and other international agencies. It is presented
here in a way that shows the demand the human commu-
nity is putting on the Earth’s ecological assets. The relation-
ship between this demand and the availability of natural
capital to satisfy it is shown both globally and for individual
nations.
The purpose of this publication is to provide data rather
than policy recommendations, and to open a creative
debate over the implications of living in a resource-con-
strained world. Statistics show that the human community
is using the Earth’s living resources faster than the planet is
able to regenerate them. This publication is intended as a
starting point for discussion to raise awareness of the vari-
ous risks and opportunities for individual countries created
by this resource imbalance by asking such questions as:
• What does this global deficit mean to those countries that
use less biological capacity than they have available?
• What does it mean for those who are in ecological deficit?
• What are the political, economic, social and strategic im-
plications of the fact that eight countries control more than
half the planet’s biological capacity?
• If the wellbeing of all is a
desirable goal, how can
nations work together to best manage ecological assets so
that those assets are not depleted or degraded, but rather,
can continue to meet human demands as well as maintain
a healthy biodiversity?
The data presented in this publication is intended as a
means to enhance the understanding of the extent, use
and distribution of ecological assets, and their relation-
ship to human wellbeing. This provides an objective and
measurable starting point for politicians, decision makers,
opinion leaders and citizens to address the sustainability
challenge—how to live well, while living within the means
of the planet. This challenge is perhaps the key issue of the
21st century, and how it is resolved will likely determine the
fate of humanity and the rest of the Earth’s species.
We invite all countries and organizations to participate in
this debate, and to explore the implications of the Ecologi-
cal Footprint and biocapacity data for national programs,
for valuation of ecological services, and for international
agreements such as those designed to protect biodiversity.
In particular, this data provides an important perspective
for shaping and evaluating post-Kyoto and other initiatives
related to the emission and capture of carbon dioxide gen-
erated by the burning of fossil fuels and deforestation. In a
world of “peak everything;” food, water, climate, soil and
energy, this perspective given current ecological reality can
help in the evaluation of proposed solutions to see if they
are sufficient and will result in an absolute reduction in hu-
manity’s ecological overshoot rather than just transferring
pressure from one type of ecosystem to another.
Purpose of this publication
2
The Ecological Power of Nations 3
Recent and ongoing news – from the economy to the
environment – make it clear: The world is changing,
and we cannot continue to ignore the importance of
ecological assets. With an expanding population and
an economy that has already crossed many global lim-
its, now more than ever it is essential to recognize that
the health and wellbeing of the human community de-
pends on the health and wellbeing of the Earth’s eco-
systems.
The world is changing not only with regard to growing
resource scarcity, but also in the way we are becom-
ing increasingly more interconnected and interdepen-
dent. The global economy and the internet are only a
part of the reason for this change. Today, we can track
the flow of resources around the world in an account-
ing system that shows where ecological assets are
available and where they are being used. This gives
us a new way to see the world and provides the foun-
dation for a new chapter of global collaboration with
a view to share the ecological assets, without their
depletion or degradation.
Throughout this publication, you will see demonstrated
the growing need for nations to recognize the value of
their own natural resources as well as the need to find
a way for humanity to live well, within the means of our
planet. You will also learn more about the the Ecologi-
cal Footprint - the metric tool that calculates human
pressure on the planet, and about a new way of look-
ing at nations, from the perspective of natural capital,
questioning whether or not nations have enough natu-
ral capital to supply their own consumption or are they
operating in ecological deficit.
Introduction
All forms of life on the planet coexist within a thin surface lay-er 40 miles thick, the biosphere. This layer extends from the depths of the oceans to the stratosphere and it is here where all living creatures interact with chemical processes and the energy from the sun to sustain life. Picture taken by the Gemini 9 tripulation on July 5, 1966. NASA
4 The Ecological Power of Nations
EF= YF EQF
•PYN
•
BC = AYF EQF•
•
EF = BC + EF EF
CP
I
_ EThe Earth’s biosphere absorbs the energy from the sun and from within its thin, fragile layer, it supplies everything we need to survive. The Earth is made up of complex, interac-
tive systems that are often unpredictable. Air, water, land, and life - including human life - combine forces to create a constantly changing world that we are striving to under-
stand. Photo of anvils over the Pacific Ocean. NASA, July 21, 2003.
The Ecological Power of Nations 5
EF= YF EQF
•PYN
•
BC = AYF EQF•
•
EF = BC + EF EF
CP
I
_ E
We’re going to have to think of ourselves as a subsystem, part of the natural world and that we depend upon it in two ways:
we’ll have to take from the natural world resources at a rate at which the natural world can regenerate and we’ll have to throw back the wastes
from using those natural resources at a rate the natural world can assimilate Herman Daly.
6 The Ecological Power of Nations
The Ecological Power of Nations 7
Latin America, beyond its identity as a culturally cohesive unit is also the largest region of regenerative biological capacity on Earth. With almost the same biocapacity of Asia-Pacific but with a population six times smaller, Latin America contributes an invaluable ecological service to the sustainment of life on this planet. The Amazon basin contains 25% of the species of the planet, 15% of unfrozen fresh water and is home to more than 400 indigenous groups. However, the situation is chang-ing rapidly; more than 2 million hectares of forests are being burned each year; now one of the biggest sources of carbon dioxide emissions into the atmosphere. Photo NASA.
While economies, populations and resource demands
grow, the size of the planet remains the same. To sat-
isfy our demands, the human community is using the
Earth’s living resources more than 35 % faster than
they are regenerated. The continuing growth in this
demand, according to moderate United Nations sce-
narios, suggests that by the early 2030s our consump-
tion will require the capacity of 2 planet Earths. If we
continue on this path without altering course, room to
maneuver will quickly diminish.
In 2008, by September 23rd, humanity’s use of eco-
logical resources exceeded the amount the planet pro-
duced in that entire 2008 year. Since the mid-1980s,
when global ecological overshoot first became a reality,
we have been living on ecological credit. To support
our consumption, we have been liquidating resource
stocks and allowing carbon to concentrate in the at-
mosphere. Ecological overshoot is possible only for a
limited time before ecosystems begin to degrade and
possibly collapse. Many of the results are already vis-
ible today in the form of water shortages, desertifica-
tion, erosion, reduced cropland productivity, overgraz-
ing, deforestation, rapid extinction of species, collapse
of fisheries and global climate change.
Some of the pressures we are putting on the planet
today will have consequences that may only be seen
long into the future.
The Earth’s ecological limits
This chart shows humanity’s increasing Ecological Footprint. In 1961 we used only half of the biocapacity of the Earth; to-day we use 35% more than is available.
In the effort to expand the agricultural frontier, 200 million acres of the Amazon Basin have become unproductive and seen a loss of soil fertility. Tropical forests store between 50 and 170 tons of carbon dioxide per acre, FAO estimates that 7.3 billion tons of carbon dioxide, between 18 and 25% of greenhouse gas emissions come from deforestation annually. Deforesta-tion in Amazonia, Mato Grosso, Brazil (12°38’ S, 60°12’ W). ©Yann Arthus-Bertrand.
8 The Ecological Power of Nations
Huella Ecológica y biocapacidad per cápita de países. 2005
The Ecological Power of Nations 9
The Ecological Footprint measures the area of bi-
ologically productive land and water required to
provide the resources used and absorb the waste
generated by human activity, under current techno-
logy. A country’s Footprint reflects consumption by
its residents, and includes imported goods and ser-
vices but not those which are exported.
Biocapacity is the area of productive land and sea
available to produce resources and absorb waste.
Both the Ecological Footprint and biocapacity are
measured in standard units called global hectares
(gha). One gha represents a hectare of land with
world average productivity.
This graphs shows the relative size of each coun-
try’s Footprint and biocapacity.
10 The Ecological Power of Nations
The Ecological Power of Nations 11
Countries with biocapacity greater than their Footprints
have ecological reserves. An ecological reserve is not
necessarily unused—it may be supplying resources
for export, or sequestering carbon dioxide. Maintaining
ecological reserves provides a competitive advantage,
and serves as insurance against economic and eco-
logical instability. Conversely, as reserves disappear,
countries are at risk of greater dependency on eco-
logical services from others, and the possibilities for
sustainable development are reduced.
Notice that the graphs have different scales
12 The Ecological Power of Nations
Intertropical convergence zone, NASA
The Ecological Power of Nations 13
“First we have to change how we view the world, and that will cause us to change how we act.” Thomas Homer-Dixon
14 The Ecological Power of Nations
The changing world
The Earth as seen from the Space Station window. Today we can see ourselves from space as a sphere in a cosmic voyage. The artificial borders between countries are almost unnotice-able, and the perception of the planet is as a unit in which all it’s parts have a regulatory effect that promotes life. Photo NASA.
The world is changing and we cannot continue to
ignore the importance of ecological assets.
In the past, we valued economic growth and quick
profit with no concern for the environment. Today,
having exceeded the limits of the planet, it becomes
ever more important to manage our ecological wealth
responsibly, so that it can continue to support both
human and economic wellbeing.
In the past, maximizing financial capital was the goal,
regardless of environmental consequences. But per-
haps maximizing ecological assets is a more power-
ful goal. Nature is the playing field that makes pos-
sible all economic activity. Ecological assets can be
both opportunities as well as constraints; how do we
measure them, and manage them wisely?
In the past, we sought to dominate nature in our
quest for it to service mankind, provoking the de-
struction of nature. Can we establish instead a har-
monious relationship between human beings and
the rest of nature to maximize the wellbeing of both?
In the past, we have often treated nature simply as
a pantry of resources. This has lead not only to pol-
lution and the degradation of the natural capital, but
also to a sense of disconnection and loss of mean-
ing. Can we establish instead a symbiotic relation-
ship between human and natural communities, pre-
serving the integrity of life and restoring the sense of
joy at being one with the Earth?
In the past, we asked, who is right? Who is wrong?
Who needs to change? Today, could we begin to ask
ourselves, “how can we collaborate to create a good
life for all?”
In the past, we tried to establish relations only with with the
perfect partner. Could it be that, more important than hav-
ing the perfect partner is being the perfect partner?
In the past, we thought that it was impossible to agree
unless all participants were willing. Could it be that one
partner can create the difference by choosing to act
with ethical leadership?
In the past, changes were often slow and incremental.
Might we now be on the verge of a quantum leap that
can establish balance between humanity and the natural
world?
“I go and come with a strange liberty in Nature, a part of herself ” .H. D. Thoreau
The Ecological Power of Nations 15
The green pigment of chlo-rophyll from plants, trees and algae absorbs the en-ergy from the sun and pro-duces a series of chemical reactions (photosynthesis) that combine carbon diox-ide with water to produce food. Oxygen is a byproduct of this process. Los Micos lagoon, San Pe-dro Sula region, Honduras (15°47’ N, 87°35’ W) ©Yann Arthus-Bertrand.
16 The Ecological Power of Nations
Helix Nebula, a spectacular image of a dying star unraveling into space at a distance of 650 light years, in the Aquarius constellation. Photo of Splitzer Space Telescope, NASA
The Ecological Power of Nations 17
“A vision is not just a picture of what could be; it is an appeal to our better selves, a call to become something more”.
Rosabeth Moss Kanter
18 The Ecological Power of Nations
Vision of a good life
Humanity’s challenge is to live well, while carefully using
the resources that nature provides so that the wellbe-
ing of future generations is not compromised. This is
the challenge of sustainable development. The United
Nations defines living well as surpassing minimum stan-
dards for life expectancy, for education and literacy, and
for the ability to purchase needed goods and services;
together these determine a nation’s score on the Hu-
man Development Index (HDI). The UN defines a score
of 0.8 as the threshold for a high level of development.
But living well can only be sustained if it is done within
the Earth’s ecological limits. This means that the av-
erage person’s Ecological Footprint must not exceed
the biocapacity available to support each individual on
the planet. Using world-average productivity figures for
the 6.5 billion inhabitants of the planet, we each have
available just over 2 hectares of fertile land. However, if
we take into account that biocapacity must be shared
with other species. In reality we have much less than 2
hectares. Taken together, these two thresholds define
the minimum conditions that must be met if a globally
sustainable society is to be achieved.
As populations expand, economies grow and the de-
mand for ecological resources increases. Thus, both
the biocapacity available to support each individual’s
consumption shrinks and the space for sustainable de-
velopment is reduced.
World population is rising at 1.3% a year.
At this rate, population doubles every 50
years. However since we live in a finite
world, it is impossible for this population
growth to continue indefinitely. Growth will
decline as the Earth’s carrying capacity
becomes more evident. Equally can we
ask ourselves if it is the same with the
economy? Can the economy grow infi-
nitely? After all, the economy is subsidiary
of the environment and cannot continue to
operate without a supply of the resources
upon which it depends, and adequate
means to dispose of its waste. Crowd in Abengourou, Ivory Coast (6°44’ N, 3°29’ W). ©Yann Arthus-Ber-trand.
… From a thing-oriented society to a people-oriented society. M. L. King
The Ecological Power of Nations 19
In a sustainable world, all countries would enjoy a high level of development, defined by the UN as an HDI
score above 0.8, and the average Ecological Footprint would be less than 2.1 global hectares, the amount
currently available per person on the planet. Countries meeting both these criteria would be located in the
green quadrant. As world population grows, or if a percentage of biocapacity is reserved for the use of wild
species, the green quadrant shrinks accordingly.
In spite of international recognition almost twenty years ago of the need for sustainable development, al-
most no country now meets both of these minimal criteria.
Can we learn to live well on less than 2.1 global hectares per person?
20 The Ecological Power of Nations
Garbage disposal is one of the biggest problems of the cit-ies. Mexico produces 20,000 tones of resi-dential garbage daily. Refuse dump in Mexi-co City, Mexico (19°25’ N – 99°01’ W)
The Ecological Power of Nations 21
“We simply don’t have a vision of an alternative economic system that isn’t oriented toward unending material growth.
Until we have an alternative vision, we won’t give up the one we have.” Homer-Dixon
22 The Ecological Power of Nations
A new way to see ourselves
In this graph, countries running ecologi-cal deficits-those whose Footprints ex-ceed their own biocapacity- are shown in red.
Ecological creditor countries -those who have more biocapacity than they them-selves are using- are shown in green.
In facing this formidable challenge of living well
within ecological limits, economic indicators of
consumption like GDP perhaps become less valu-
able, and the differences between ‘developed’ and
’developing’ countries become less meaningful. As
resource constraints play an increasingly prominent
role in determining quality of life, the distinction be-
tween countries that have more biocapacity than
they are using and those running ecological deficits
is becoming ever more significant.
Geopolitics in the 20th century emphasized the
strategic importance of controlling non-renewable
natural resources, with demand for fossil fuels,
metals and minerals playing a critical role in shaping
foreign policy in the search for new commercial op-
portunities, and military control.
But in today’s world, new means of connectivity fa-
cilitate social relations and global transactions that
are taking place at the speed of light. The Earth is
transitioning from a battleground to a single, inte-
grated, interdependent, and ultimately indivisible
whole.
Scientists are coming to see the living planet as a
single, self-regulating organism, with its fauna and
flora interacting with geochemical processes keep-
ing the climate stable and suitable for life.
The Ecological Power of Nations 23
This meat factory reflects the degree of industrialization in Ja-pan. Cattle raised here are fed with resources that are grown using biocapacity located in distant regions. Much of this biocapacity is found in ecological creditor countries. Cattle-raising near Fukuyama (East of Hiroshima), Honshu, Japan (34°31’ N, 133°20’ E) ©Yann Arthus-Bertrand.
Agricultural landscape near Quito, Ecuador (0°13’ S, 78°30’ W). ©Yann Arthus-Bertrand.
The search to integrate the human community with the larger biological community suggests the need for a new social and economic architecture, one that is
more aligned with the earth’s physiology. The old geopolitical paradigm is being replaced by a new biopolitical one, and with this shift will come a transition from
competition to collaboration, a richness of new possibilities, and creative new solutions for living well without transgressing the Earth’s ecological limits.
24 The Ecological Power of Nations
Night on Earth reveals the regions of the planet where energy consumption is concentrated. Approximately 85% of the elec-trical energy of the planet is generated from coal and oil, which are increasingly scarce and pollute the atmosphere with car-bon dioxide.
In this picture fires set to burn forest land for agricultural ex-pansion are also visible. Up to 25% of global carbon emis-sions result from the burning of forests.
Flaring of natural gas during petroleum extraction can also be seen. More than 100 billion cubic meters of gas are
wasted each year, enough to power both Germany and France.
The glare of blue light in the oceans comes from commercial fishing at night. Photo NASA.
The Ecological Power of Nations 25
Earth by day shows where land is covered by vegetation, and the marine area where most ecological services are being pro-vided. The services provided by these areas include the cap-ture of dispersed carbon dioxide and its regeneration, through photosynthesis, into useful resources. Other invaluable servic-es provided by ecosystems include climate regulation, oxygen
production, erosion control, recycling of fresh water, and the provision of habitat for biodiversity. These essential services are not typically measured nor valued in monetary terms, and as a result are often taken for granted. This situation is likely to change as the world becomes increasingly resource con-strained, and ecological creditor countries begin to realize the
value of the biocapacity they are making available for use by others, and then seek to be compensated for the ecological services they are providing. Terra modis, aqua modis. NASA 2005
26 The Ecological Power of Nations
Ecological creditor and ecological deficit countries
Countries with ecological defi-cits have an Ecological Footprint greater than their own biocapac-ity. Ecological creditor countries have Footprints smaller than their biocapacity.Creditor countries might use their net biocapacity reserves to sup-port increased consumption by their own residents, to generate goods for export, to sequester carbon, or to set area aside for the protection of biodiversity. Some, but not all of these uses are mutually compatible. Coun-tries running ecological deficits are drawing down their own eco-systems, or depending on the biocapacity of other nations for imported resources and/or for carbon sequestration.
Ecological deficit countries, those without sufficient bio-
capacity to meet their own demands, risk economic dis-
ruption as increasing scarcity of resources and limits on
carbon emissions bring higher prices. Countries whose
biocapacity is greater than their Footprints, ecological
creditors, have ecological assets that could contribute
to maintaining their autonomy and independence, and
provide a form of insurance against economic and eco-
logical instability. This more secure position may prove
advantageous in future international relations.
While countries with ecological deficits may need to im-
port resources, countries with biocapacity greater than
their own Footprints often use the remainder to provide
exports that generate income. If managed well, these
ecological assets can provide an ongoing revenue
stream that continues indefinitely. But if overexploited,
these same ecosystems can become degraded and
suffer a reduction or even permanent loss of productiv-
ity due to pollution, deforestation, agricultural practices
that lead to erosion and a corresponding loss of eco-
systems and their services. This reduces the possibility
of achieving sustainable development goals, both for
that individual nation and for the planet as a whole.
How then do we best manage this ecological wealth?
This challenge is for all countries, ecological creditors
as well as those running ecological deficits, and meet-
The Ecological Power of Nations 27
ing this challenge requires both vision, and the practical
tools to make sustainable development a reality.
When Japan imports Ecuadorian wood to make pa-
per, when Europe imports meat fed by Brazilian soy, or
when the United States imports Peruvian cotton, these
importing countries, all of whom are running ecological
deficits, are using biocapacity from beyond their own
borders. Because disruptions of this supply chain can
negatively impact their economies and their quality of
life, countries with ecological deficits that are importing
renewable resources are dependent on how well both
their own ecological assets and those of their trading
partners are being managed.
For countries that can’t currently afford to import re-
sources, it is especially in their self-interest to make
sure their own biocapacity is well-managed. If not,
these countries are at greater risk of scarcity, hunger,
desertification, economic collapse, political instability
and resource wars.
In an increasingly resource-constrained world, ecologi-
cal assets and the politics of the biosphere are playing
an ever more important role in international relations.
Every country has its own unique characteristics and
its own path to follow, and there are many factors each
needs to consider to decrease risks to the quality of life
of its inhabitants. But all countries face a common set
of challenges as well: to build and maintain a robust
economy while minimizing dependence on limited eco-
logical resources, and to ensure that the biocapacity
on which it depends, whether local or global, can con-
tinue to provide the necessary resources and to safely
absorb the waste. Changes are slow and the sooner
we act, the greater will be the return on the investment.
Pioneers may well benefit.
Meeting these challenges will require the creation of
resource-efficient and waste-reuse infrastructure, and
in many cases a leapfrogging over resource-intensive
phases of development that are no longer technologi-
cally necessary. Together with the appropriate programs
and regulations, this focus on investing in low-Footprint
infrastructure will help bring about and then sustain a
high level of development. However, reaching this goal
also means managing biocapacity to optimize its long-
term productivity, while paying careful attention to the
impact of a growing population on overall demand for
goods and services.
Exploitation of forests for wood is a main contributor to the Brazilian economy. Close to 8,000 square miles are deforested each year in the Amazon basin. The world loses around 45,000 square miles a year of tropical forest. 80% of the deforesta-tion is illegal so what is needed is political will and economic incentives to keep the forests alive. Floating wood down the Amazon, near the city of Manaus, Amazonas, Brazil (3°09’ S, 59°58’ W). ©Yann Arthus-Bertrand.
28 The Ecological Power of Nations
Investment priorities
Today’s infrastructure investment policies are decisions
that will affect the future wellbeing for generations, as what
is built today will be around for many decades to come.
Ecological Footprint analysis can inform the decision
making process so the infrastructure projects we are
about to build will contribute to future quality of life, and
not become resource traps that compromise wellbeing
and increase dependency and vulnerability. It can help
us shape and answer questions like:
How can we best invest in renewable energies that,
while reducing dependency on polluting and increas-
ingly scarce fossil fuels, do not create problems else-
where in the biosphere? How do we build and en-
courage use of the most efficient and resilient public
transportation systems?
Big infrastructure projects take years to plan, design
and finance and while many are about to leave the
drawing board and begin the building phase, with the
ecological challenges we are facing, numerous proj-
ects are already obsolete even before they are built.
Which infrastructure ventures need to be redesigned
to avoid falling into resource traps that will compromise
the wellbeing of future generations? Which will be resil-
ient enough to take advantage of future opportunities in
a resource constrained world?
Renewable and clean energy is generated with technologies developed by the air space indus-try to harness the power of the wind. Windmills of Banning Pass, near Palm Springs, California, United States (33°55’ N, 116°42’ W). ©Yann Ar-thus-Bertrand.
Moderate UN projections translated into Ecological
Footprint terms, suggest that by the mid 2030s the
pressure from human activity will be double the Earth’s
biocapacity to meet it. We have already been running
ecological deficits for at least a quarter of a century, and
the accumulating debt continues to grow. The degrada-
tion of the ecosystem is in danger of bringing collapse
to life as we know it. Society needs to change course
to live within the limits of our one and only planet. We
need the right information, the creativity and the will to
establish unprecedented global collaborations.
The Ecological Power of Nations 29
Vehicles are responsible for 20% of world greenhouse gas emissions, but indirectly they are also responsible for emis-sions from the manufacturing of steel, aluminum, rubber, lead, asphalt, and cement for road building. There are 800 million cars in the world today. These cars re-quire continuous investment in new roads and other hard sur-faces, which typically result in the paving over of bioproductive areas. Freeway interchange near the port of Yokohama, Hons-hu, Japan (35°27’ N, 139°41’ E). ©Yann Arthus-Bertrand.
The Earth provides us with everything we need to live
and thrive, but with the human community having al-
ready surpassed the planet’s ecological limits, devel-
oping sustainably can no longer be delayed.
Just as it is essential for a business to keep detailed
financial accounts in order to manage and benefit from
its assets, countries need ecological resource ac-
counts to manage their ecological assets and protect
the wellbeing of their populations. With the same atten-
tion that today we pay to GDP, paying close attention
to biocapacity and Ecological Footprint resource ac-
counts can tell us how much we have, how much we
are using, what is being used, and by whom. Doing so
provides us with the essential information needed to
make ecological limits a central consideration in policy
and decision making. It can help us answer questions
such as:
Is your country running an ecological deficit or are you
still an ecological creditor?
What are the risks and opportunities for your country in
a resource constrained world?
What ecological assets does your country have, and
how are they valued in the world market?
Are these ecological assets thriving or declining?
Can technological advances and greater efficiency
compensate for increased demand for goods and ser-
vices?
How can your population live well using fewer re-
sources?
Are your infrastructure investments contributing to
your country’s security, or are they increasing its vul-
nerability?
This new symbiotic vision based on biological resourc-
es means rethinking the conventional geopolitical as-
sumptions and ideas about security and progress that
don’t take into account the natural dynamic of ecosys-
tems, and all that is making it difficult to live in a sustain-
able way.
30 The Ecological Power of Nations
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32 The Ecological Power of Nations
The Ecological Power of Nations 33
34 The Ecological Power of Nations
The Ecological Power of Nations 35
36 The Ecological Power of Nations
The Ecological Power of Nations 37
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The Ecological Power of Nations 39
40 The Ecological Power of Nations
Credits
Global Footprint Network Mathis Wackernagel - Executive Director
Fundación Acuerdo EcuadorGloria Dávila – Executive Director
Foro de Ciudades para la VidaLiliana Miranda: Director
Text y ProductionJuan Alfonso Peña
Contributing EditorsSteven GoldfingerPati PoblatiGloria DávilaLiliana MirandaMathis Wackernagel
InfographicsMeredith StechbartJuan Carcelen
PhotographyYann Arthus-BertrandPatricio PillajoJuan Alfonso PeñaNASA
Additional Contribution Susan BurnsJennifer MitchelAili PyhalaMartin KaercherTatjana PuschkarskyKristin KaneAnna Oursler Rachel Hodara
Graphic designDaniela Arias
PrintedImprenta MariscalQuito EcuadorAugust 2009
Photographs
Photographs accredited as NASA, provided by many sources, are the result of the collaboration between various institutions: Image science & Análisis Laboratory, JSC (Jonson Space Center), JPL (Jet Propulsion Laboratory), Splitzer Space Telescope. UCSD, Caltech, UA. All pho-tographs and images have been obtained using a variety of methods from X ray, MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer), OLS (Operational Linescan System) taken from terrestrial systems, space chips, and orbiting satellites. Photos courtesy of Yann Arthus-Bertrand from the book “Earth from Above 365 Days” published by Harry N. Abrams. www.yannarthus-bertrand.org and www.goodplanet.orgPhotos from Patricio Pillajo courtesy of Fundación TerraCover photo: Charlevoix forest, Quebec Province, Canada. ©Yann Arthus-Bertrand. Page 2.1: Color coded mineral and soil compossi-tion of the moon, NASA. Page 2.2 Earth satellite composition, NASA. Page 3: biosphere, gemini 9, NASA. Page 4: Anvil over the pacific ocean, ISS007,July 21, 2003 NASA. Page 6: Composition of satellite images, NASA. Page 7: Deforestation in Amazonia, Mato Grosso, Bra-zil. ©Yann Arthus-Bertrand. Page 12: intertropical convergence zone, NASA. Page 14: Internacional Space Station window, NASA. Page 15 Los Micos lagoon, San Pedro Sula region, Honduras. ©Yann Arthus-Bertrand. Page 16: Helix Nebula, Splitzer Space Telescope. NASA. Page 18: Crowd in Abengourou, Ivory coast ©Yann Arthus-Bertrand. Page 19.1: Plantation, Juan Alfonso Peña. 19.2: Ají, Juan Alfonso Peña. 19.3: Tomatoes, Juan Alfonso Peña. 19.4: Corn. Juan Alfonso Peña. 19.5: Herbs, Juan Alfonso Peña. 19.6: Water, Patricio Pillajo. Page 20: Refuse dump in Mexico City, Mexico ©Yann Arthus-Ber-trand. Page 23.1: Cattle-raising near Fukuyama (East of Hiroshima), Honshu, Japan. ©Yann Arthus-Bertrand. 23.2: Agricultural landsca-pe near Quito, Ecuador. ©Yann Arthus-Bertrand. Page 24: Data Marc Imhoff, NASA GSFC & Christopher Elvidge of NOAA NGDC. Image Craig Mayhew & Robert Simmon, NASA GSFC. Pag. 25: Images with-out clouds. Terra MODIS y Aqua MODIS, NASA. Oct. 2005. Page 27: Floating wood down the Amazon, near the city of Manaus, Amazonas, Brazil. ©Yann Arthus-Bertrand. Page 28: Windmills of Banning Pass, near Palm Springs, California, United States. ©Yann Arthus-Bertrand. Page 29: Freeway interchange near the port of Yokohama, Honshu, Japan. ©Yann Arthus-Bertrand. Inner back cover: High Andean forest, Ecuador. © Patricio Pillajo
References and further reading
Ecological Footprint Atlas, Global Footprint Network, 2008. www.foot-printnetwork.org/atlas.Biosphere, Vladimir Vernardsky, 1962El cambio climático no tiene fronteras, Carlos Amat, Comunidad Andina. 2008Global Land Cover, Institute for Environment and Sustainability, Joint Research Centre, European Commission, 2000 http://ies.jrc.ec.europa.eu/our-activities/global-support/global-land-cover-2000.html. Quanti-fying and mapping the human appropiation of net primary production in earth’s terrestrial ecosystems. H.Haberl, K.H. Erb, F. Krausman, V. Gaube, E. Bondeau, C. Plutzar, S. Gingrich, W. Lucht, M. Fisher-K. 2007, www.pnas.org/content/104/31/12942/soppl/DC1.Climate change, scientific bases IPCC, 2001. Cambridge University Press, UK.Nuestra huella ecológica, Mathis Wackernagel and William Reese, 1996. LOM Ediciones.Sea around us, Global database on marine fisheries and ecosystems center. 2008, University of British Columbia. www.seaaroundus.org United Nations Commodity Trade Statistics Database. UN Comtrade. 2008. UN. NY. http://comtrade.un.orgCountry classification, Data and statistic division World Bank, 2008. http://go.worldbank.org/K2CKM78CC0 Earth trends environmental in-formation, World Resources Institute. 2007. http://earthtrends.wri.orgToward a new sustainable economy, Robert Costanza, University of Vermont. 2009, real-world economics review, issue no. 49 https://docs.google.com/gview?a=v&attid=0.1&thid=1204aae476eb62b4&mt=application%2Fpdf Living Planet Report. WWF, GFN, ZSL. 2008. For the common good. Redirecting the Economy toward Community, the Environment, and a Sustainable Future. Herman Daly-John B. Cobb. 1989.The Upside of Down: Catastrophe, Creativity, and the Renewal of Civili-zation. Thomas Homer-Dixon. 2006 The Ingenuity Gap, how can we solve the problems of the future. Thom-as Homer-Dixon. 2000An Ecological Footprint Approach to external debt relief. Mariano Torras. 2003. Adelphi University NY. From production-based to consumption-based national emission inven-tories. Glen P. Peters. 2007 ww.elsevier.com/locate/ecoleconAfter the meltdown. David Korten. 2009. ww.davidkorten.org Target atmospheric CO2: Where should humanity aim? James Hansen, Makiko Sato, Pushker Kharecha, David Beerling, Robert Berner, Valerie Masson-Delmotte, Mark Pagani, Maureen Raymo, Dana L. Royer, James C. Zachos. The Open Atmospheric Science Journal, vol 2, 2008,