economics of european integration - stephen kinsella

48
Economics of European Integration EC4333, Lecture 1 Dr Stephen Kinsella Department of Economics, KBS, University of Limerick [email protected], www.stephenkinsella.net September 8, 2009 Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 1 / 18

Upload: others

Post on 07-Apr-2022

2 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Economics of European IntegrationEC4333, Lecture 1

Dr Stephen Kinsella

Department of Economics, KBS, University of [email protected], www.stephenkinsella.net

September 8, 2009

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 1 / 18

Today

1 Module Outline, Grading, & expectations

2 Outline of lectures

3 Defining Integration

4 Scope of the module

5 Some Facts about the EU

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 2 / 18

Learning Outcomes

conversant with the historical literature on the development of the EUhaving written several thousand words on the subject;

understand transaction-cost analysis, institutional analysis, optimalcurrency area theory and simple models of capital and labour marketintegration and be able to apply these theories to current practicefollowing the problem sets given in class;

conversant with the Solow model of economic growth, theory andpractice of covergence, and able to assess the empirical reality ofthese claims;

knowledgeable about EU social and environmental policy and theirimpact on the Irish economy.

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 3 / 18

Learning Outcomes

conversant with the historical literature on the development of the EUhaving written several thousand words on the subject;

understand transaction-cost analysis, institutional analysis, optimalcurrency area theory and simple models of capital and labour marketintegration and be able to apply these theories to current practicefollowing the problem sets given in class;

conversant with the Solow model of economic growth, theory andpractice of covergence, and able to assess the empirical reality ofthese claims;

knowledgeable about EU social and environmental policy and theirimpact on the Irish economy.

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 3 / 18

Learning Outcomes

conversant with the historical literature on the development of the EUhaving written several thousand words on the subject;

understand transaction-cost analysis, institutional analysis, optimalcurrency area theory and simple models of capital and labour marketintegration and be able to apply these theories to current practicefollowing the problem sets given in class;

conversant with the Solow model of economic growth, theory andpractice of covergence, and able to assess the empirical reality ofthese claims;

knowledgeable about EU social and environmental policy and theirimpact on the Irish economy.

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 3 / 18

Learning Outcomes

conversant with the historical literature on the development of the EUhaving written several thousand words on the subject;

understand transaction-cost analysis, institutional analysis, optimalcurrency area theory and simple models of capital and labour marketintegration and be able to apply these theories to current practicefollowing the problem sets given in class;

conversant with the Solow model of economic growth, theory andpractice of covergence, and able to assess the empirical reality ofthese claims;

knowledgeable about EU social and environmental policy and theirimpact on the Irish economy.

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 3 / 18

Grading

Final exam, 50%. 2 Sections. 10 short qs, then 3 from 4 longerquestions. Sample exam week 8.

2 Problem Sets, 15% each

1 Essay, 20%

Essay

Briefly discuss the development of the European Union through the treatystructure. Discuss the potential costs and benefits of the Lisbon Treaty’sratification for the Irish economy.

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 4 / 18

Policies/Expectations

Lecture slides/podcasts/handouts up after lecture

Notes given out at end of class

Fast email turnaround, normally less than 1 day. Email to:[email protected].

If no reply, email again. Prob. Spam.

On pain of spiky, scary death, do not send me text messages asemails. I will cut your ears off, rub the stumps in salt, and playMoby into them.

Come see me whenever, email for a time. No office hours. Office isKB3-42/

Written feedback on all submitted work

Any questions in class, just ask.

Discussion is preferable to lecturing

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 5 / 18

Outline

1 History, Structure, Institutions

2 OCA/EMU Theory

3 Size & Scale Effects, growth & development

4 Macroeconomics, economic inequality in the EU

5 Location effects, international trade, Ireland and the EU.

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 6 / 18

Outline

1 History, Structure, Institutions

2 OCA/EMU Theory

3 Size & Scale Effects, growth & development

4 Macroeconomics, economic inequality in the EU

5 Location effects, international trade, Ireland and the EU.

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 6 / 18

Outline

1 History, Structure, Institutions

2 OCA/EMU Theory

3 Size & Scale Effects, growth & development

4 Macroeconomics, economic inequality in the EU

5 Location effects, international trade, Ireland and the EU.

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 6 / 18

Outline

1 History, Structure, Institutions

2 OCA/EMU Theory

3 Size & Scale Effects, growth & development

4 Macroeconomics, economic inequality in the EU

5 Location effects, international trade, Ireland and the EU.

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 6 / 18

Defining Integration

Debate runs like this

Trade liberalisation vs economic integration–Goes further–Discriminatory

Trade arrangements can differ”

1 Barriers to trade in goods

2 Barriers to services trade

3 Barriers to trade in productive factors

4 Corporate behaviour

5 Government behaviour

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 7 / 18

Defining Integration

Debate runs like this

Trade liberalisation vs economic integration–Goes further–Discriminatory

Trade arrangements can differ”

1 Barriers to trade in goods

2 Barriers to services trade

3 Barriers to trade in productive factors

4 Corporate behaviour

5 Government behaviour

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 7 / 18

Defining Integration

Debate runs like this

Trade liberalisation vs economic integration–Goes further–Discriminatory

Trade arrangements can differ”

1 Barriers to trade in goods

2 Barriers to services trade

3 Barriers to trade in productive factors

4 Corporate behaviour

5 Government behaviour

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 7 / 18

Defining Integration

Debate runs like this

Trade liberalisation vs economic integration–Goes further–Discriminatory

Trade arrangements can differ”

1 Barriers to trade in goods

2 Barriers to services trade

3 Barriers to trade in productive factors

4 Corporate behaviour

5 Government behaviour

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 7 / 18

EU: Economic solution to a political problemHow can Europe avoid another war?

Country Death Toll Economic Setback to Year’s GDP

Austria 525,000 1886Belgium 82,750 1924Denmark 4,250 1936Finland 79,000 1938France 505,750 1891Germany 6,363,000 1908Italy 355,500 1909Netherlands 250000 1912Norway 10,250 1939-45Sweden 0 1939-45UK 325,000 1939-45

Source: Crafts and Toniolo: Economic Growth in Europe since 1945(Cambridge: CUP,1996, p. 4)

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 8 / 18

Causes of the Second World WarThree answers:

Germany

capitalism

destructive nationalism.

3 post-war solutions:

‘neuter’ Germany via Morgenthau Plan, 1944

adopt communism

pursue European integration.

European integration ultimately prevailed, but this was far from clearin the late 1940s.

Depended on causes. Three schools of thought:

The problem/The solution

The loser (Germany) / De-industrialisation

Capitalism / Communism

Integration. Cold war pushed US, UK, France towards strongGermany and integration

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 9 / 18

Causes of the Second World WarThree answers:

Germany

capitalism

destructive nationalism.

3 post-war solutions:

‘neuter’ Germany via Morgenthau Plan, 1944

adopt communism

pursue European integration.

European integration ultimately prevailed, but this was far from clearin the late 1940s.

Depended on causes. Three schools of thought:

The problem/The solution

The loser (Germany) / De-industrialisation

Capitalism / Communism

Integration. Cold war pushed US, UK, France towards strongGermany and integration

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 9 / 18

Causes of the Second World WarThree answers:

Germany

capitalism

destructive nationalism.

3 post-war solutions:

‘neuter’ Germany via Morgenthau Plan, 1944

adopt communism

pursue European integration.

European integration ultimately prevailed, but this was far from clearin the late 1940s.

Depended on causes. Three schools of thought:

The problem/The solution

The loser (Germany) / De-industrialisation

Capitalism / Communism

Integration. Cold war pushed US, UK, France towards strongGermany and integration

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 9 / 18

Causes of the Second World WarThree answers:

Germany

capitalism

destructive nationalism.

3 post-war solutions:

‘neuter’ Germany via Morgenthau Plan, 1944

adopt communism

pursue European integration.

European integration ultimately prevailed, but this was far from clearin the late 1940s.

Depended on causes. Three schools of thought:

The problem/The solution

The loser (Germany) / De-industrialisation

Capitalism / Communism

Integration. Cold war pushed US, UK, France towards strongGermany and integration

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 9 / 18

Causes of the Second World WarThree answers:

Germany

capitalism

destructive nationalism.

3 post-war solutions:

‘neuter’ Germany via Morgenthau Plan, 1944

adopt communism

pursue European integration.

European integration ultimately prevailed, but this was far from clearin the late 1940s.

Depended on causes. Three schools of thought:

The problem/The solution

The loser (Germany) / De-industrialisation

Capitalism / Communism

Integration. Cold war pushed US, UK, France towards strongGermany and integration

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 9 / 18

Causes of the Second World WarThree answers:

Germany

capitalism

destructive nationalism.

3 post-war solutions:

‘neuter’ Germany via Morgenthau Plan, 1944

adopt communism

pursue European integration.

European integration ultimately prevailed, but this was far from clearin the late 1940s.

Depended on causes. Three schools of thought:

The problem/The solution

The loser (Germany) / De-industrialisation

Capitalism / Communism

Integration. Cold war pushed US, UK, France towards strongGermany and integration

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 9 / 18

Causes of the Second World WarThree answers:

Germany

capitalism

destructive nationalism.

3 post-war solutions:

‘neuter’ Germany via Morgenthau Plan, 1944

adopt communism

pursue European integration.

European integration ultimately prevailed, but this was far from clearin the late 1940s.

Depended on causes. Three schools of thought:

The problem/The solution

The loser (Germany) / De-industrialisation

Capitalism / Communism

Integration. Cold war pushed US, UK, France towards strongGermany and integration

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 9 / 18

Causes of the Second World WarThree answers:

Germany

capitalism

destructive nationalism.

3 post-war solutions:

‘neuter’ Germany via Morgenthau Plan, 1944

adopt communism

pursue European integration.

European integration ultimately prevailed, but this was far from clearin the late 1940s.

Depended on causes. Three schools of thought:

The problem/The solution

The loser (Germany) / De-industrialisation

Capitalism / Communism

Integration. Cold war pushed US, UK, France towards strongGermany and integration

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 9 / 18

Causes of the Second World WarThree answers:

Germany

capitalism

destructive nationalism.

3 post-war solutions:

‘neuter’ Germany via Morgenthau Plan, 1944

adopt communism

pursue European integration.

European integration ultimately prevailed, but this was far from clearin the late 1940s.

Depended on causes. Three schools of thought:

The problem/The solution

The loser (Germany) / De-industrialisation

Capitalism / Communism

Integration. Cold war pushed US, UK, France towards strongGermany and integration

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 9 / 18

Causes of the Second World WarThree answers:

Germany

capitalism

destructive nationalism.

3 post-war solutions:

‘neuter’ Germany via Morgenthau Plan, 1944

adopt communism

pursue European integration.

European integration ultimately prevailed, but this was far from clearin the late 1940s.

Depended on causes. Three schools of thought:

The problem/The solution

The loser (Germany) / De-industrialisation

Capitalism / Communism

Integration. Cold war pushed US, UK, France towards strongGermany and integration

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 9 / 18

Causes of the Second World WarThree answers:

Germany

capitalism

destructive nationalism.

3 post-war solutions:

‘neuter’ Germany via Morgenthau Plan, 1944

adopt communism

pursue European integration.

European integration ultimately prevailed, but this was far from clearin the late 1940s.

Depended on causes. Three schools of thought:

The problem/The solution

The loser (Germany) / De-industrialisation

Capitalism / Communism

Integration. Cold war pushed US, UK, France towards strongGermany and integration

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 9 / 18

Steps taken to EU-handout

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 10 / 18

Big IdeasSee Treaty of Rome, 1957, www.ena.lu/

Free trade in goods

Common Trade policies (Lisbon)

Help ensure undistorted competition

1 Prohibit State Aid2 Prosecute Anti Competitive Behaviour3 Reduce distortionary taxes (Irish Corporation Tax)

Allow trading in services

Labour/Capital market integration

Exchange rate coordination

Common social, regional, agricultural, eventually taxation approaches

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 11 / 18

Big IdeasSee Treaty of Rome, 1957, www.ena.lu/

Free trade in goods

Common Trade policies (Lisbon)

Help ensure undistorted competition

1 Prohibit State Aid2 Prosecute Anti Competitive Behaviour3 Reduce distortionary taxes (Irish Corporation Tax)

Allow trading in services

Labour/Capital market integration

Exchange rate coordination

Common social, regional, agricultural, eventually taxation approaches

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 11 / 18

Big IdeasSee Treaty of Rome, 1957, www.ena.lu/

Free trade in goods

Common Trade policies (Lisbon)

Help ensure undistorted competition1 Prohibit State Aid

2 Prosecute Anti Competitive Behaviour3 Reduce distortionary taxes (Irish Corporation Tax)

Allow trading in services

Labour/Capital market integration

Exchange rate coordination

Common social, regional, agricultural, eventually taxation approaches

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 11 / 18

Big IdeasSee Treaty of Rome, 1957, www.ena.lu/

Free trade in goods

Common Trade policies (Lisbon)

Help ensure undistorted competition1 Prohibit State Aid2 Prosecute Anti Competitive Behaviour

3 Reduce distortionary taxes (Irish Corporation Tax)

Allow trading in services

Labour/Capital market integration

Exchange rate coordination

Common social, regional, agricultural, eventually taxation approaches

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 11 / 18

Big IdeasSee Treaty of Rome, 1957, www.ena.lu/

Free trade in goods

Common Trade policies (Lisbon)

Help ensure undistorted competition1 Prohibit State Aid2 Prosecute Anti Competitive Behaviour3 Reduce distortionary taxes (Irish Corporation Tax)

Allow trading in services

Labour/Capital market integration

Exchange rate coordination

Common social, regional, agricultural, eventually taxation approaches

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 11 / 18

Big IdeasSee Treaty of Rome, 1957, www.ena.lu/

Free trade in goods

Common Trade policies (Lisbon)

Help ensure undistorted competition1 Prohibit State Aid2 Prosecute Anti Competitive Behaviour3 Reduce distortionary taxes (Irish Corporation Tax)

Allow trading in services

Labour/Capital market integration

Exchange rate coordination

Common social, regional, agricultural, eventually taxation approaches

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 11 / 18

Big IdeasSee Treaty of Rome, 1957, www.ena.lu/

Free trade in goods

Common Trade policies (Lisbon)

Help ensure undistorted competition1 Prohibit State Aid2 Prosecute Anti Competitive Behaviour3 Reduce distortionary taxes (Irish Corporation Tax)

Allow trading in services

Labour/Capital market integration

Exchange rate coordination

Common social, regional, agricultural, eventually taxation approaches

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 11 / 18

Big IdeasSee Treaty of Rome, 1957, www.ena.lu/

Free trade in goods

Common Trade policies (Lisbon)

Help ensure undistorted competition1 Prohibit State Aid2 Prosecute Anti Competitive Behaviour3 Reduce distortionary taxes (Irish Corporation Tax)

Allow trading in services

Labour/Capital market integration

Exchange rate coordination

Common social, regional, agricultural, eventually taxation approaches

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 11 / 18

Big IdeasSee Treaty of Rome, 1957, www.ena.lu/

Free trade in goods

Common Trade policies (Lisbon)

Help ensure undistorted competition1 Prohibit State Aid2 Prosecute Anti Competitive Behaviour3 Reduce distortionary taxes (Irish Corporation Tax)

Allow trading in services

Labour/Capital market integration

Exchange rate coordination

Common social, regional, agricultural, eventually taxation approaches

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 11 / 18

Structures to house these ideasUnderneath the banner of the EU sit:

Competencies vs supranationality

European Commmunity

Common foreign/security policy (Lisbon)

Justice, Home affairs

All underpinned by treaty law.

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 12 / 18

Structures to house these ideasUnderneath the banner of the EU sit:

Competencies vs supranationality

European Commmunity

Common foreign/security policy (Lisbon)

Justice, Home affairs

All underpinned by treaty law.

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 12 / 18

Structures to house these ideasUnderneath the banner of the EU sit:

Competencies vs supranationality

European Commmunity

Common foreign/security policy (Lisbon)

Justice, Home affairs

All underpinned by treaty law.

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 12 / 18

Structures to house these ideasUnderneath the banner of the EU sit:

Competencies vs supranationality

European Commmunity

Common foreign/security policy (Lisbon)

Justice, Home affairs

All underpinned by treaty law.

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 12 / 18

Budget

Figure: Evolution of EU Budget.Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 13 / 18

Population

Figure: PopulationDr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 14 / 18

Net Contribution by member

Figure: Net Contributions by MemberDr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 15 / 18

An index of Integration

Figure: Index of Economic Integration.Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 16 / 18

Next Time:

Institutions of Economic and Monetary Union, development of currentpolicies and prospects for the future. Models of Customs Unions forProduct and Factor Markets and empirical results on levels of integrationacross these markets Readings:

Baldwin & Wyplosz, Chapters 1 and 2 and 3.

Eichengreen, B. The European Economy since 1945, MIT Press, 2007.

* Beach, D., The Dynamics of European Integration, pgs. 1–31, andpgs. 214–244, 337.142 BEA.

El-Agraa, A.M., The European Union: Economics and Policies, 6thed., pgs 1-19 and 72-79, 337.142 AGR.

McDonald, F. and Dearden, S. European Economic Integration, 3rded., pgs 34-53, 337.142 MCD.

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 17 / 18

References

Dr Stephen Kinsella (University of Limerick) EC4333, Economics of EU Integration September 8, 2009 18 / 18