emerson electricl electrical products group conference
TRANSCRIPT
Electrical Products Electrical Products GroupGroupDavid N. FarrChairman, Chief Executive Officer & PresidentMay 21, 2008
Non-GAAP Measures
In this presentation we will discuss some non-GAAP measures (denoted with an *) in talking about our company’s performance, and the reconciliation of those measures to the most comparable GAAP measures is contained within this presentation or is available at our website www.emerson.comunder the investor relations tab.
Safe Harbor Statement
Our commentary and responses to your questions may contain forward-looking statements, including our outlook for the remainder of the year and Emerson undertakes no obligation to update any such statement to reflect later developments. Information on factors that could cause actual results to vary materially from those discussed today is available in our most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K as filed with the SEC.
Emerson Business SummaryEmerson Business SummaryEmerson Business Summary
14%$1.2012.5%$1.05 $0.89 $0.83DPS
-25.2%
18.3%
17.4%
-16.7%14.4%CAGR
~21%
$3.00-$3.10
~$2.4B
~$3.2B
+50 to 70 bps-
~$25B2008E
-$3.0B$2.5B$2.2BOperating Cash Flow
20.1%
$2.65
$2.3B
15.8%$3.5B$22.1B2007
-13–17%
-
--
11-13%CAGR
18.4%
$2.23
$1.9B
15.5%$3.1B$19.7B2006
15.5%
$1.69
$1.7B
15.2%$2.6B$16.9B2005
ROTC
EPS(1)
Free Cash Flow *
OP %*(1)
OP $*(1)
Sales(1)
2005-07 2007-08
Strong Performance Continuing Into 2008, April Three-Month Trailing Average Orders Trending at
+10 to +15%
(Continuing Ops)
(5-7% Underlying)*
(1) European appliance motor & pump business reclassified as discontinued operations.
Emerson Global Presence 20071st Half 2008 Sales Growth -- 12% Reported / 7% Underlying*
Emerson Global Presence 2007Emerson Global Presence 200711stst Half 2008 Sales Growth Half 2008 Sales Growth ---- 12% Reported / 7% Underlying*12% Reported / 7% Underlying*
Total Sales 2007 $22.1BTotal Employees 142KLocations 265
US & Canada2007 Sales $11.7B Employees 43,000
Locations 1031st Half Growth
2008 vs. 2007: 5%
Latin America2007 Sales $1.0BEmployees 21,000
Locations 451st Half Growth
2008 vs. 2007: 19%
Western Europe2007 Sales $4.1BEmployees 17,000
Locations 651st Half Growth
2008 vs. 2007: 17%
Eastern Europe & Russia2007 Sales $0.7B Employees 8,000
Locations 101st Half Growth
2008 vs. 2007: 24%
Middle East & Africa2007 Sales $1.0BEmployees 500
Locations 21st Half Growth
2008 vs. 2007: 27%
Asia-Pacific2007 Sales $3.6BEmployees 52,000
Locations 401st Half Growth
2008 vs. 2007: 22%
Process Management SummaryProcess Management SummaryProcess Management Summary
24%
31%
45%
2007 Sales by Product
2007 Sales by Geography
20%24%
34%22%
Measurement Devices
Valves & Regulators
Systems, Solutions &
Services
United States
Europe
Asia
ROW
+40 to 60 bps18.7%18.0%% of Sales$1.07B$0.88BEarnings
+15 to 17%$5.7B$4.9BSales2008E20072006Profile
Market Dynamics• Growing demand for energy is driving
capacity expansion in power plants, LNG facilities and upgrades to existing facilities
• Current level of oil price drives spending in customer base
• PlantWeb Wireless launch is going well• Continued aggressive investment in
new products and expanding global position
• April three-month trailing average order trend at +15 to +20%
10%8%
41%
41%
Industrial Automation SummaryIndustrial Automation SummaryIndustrial Automation Summary
22%7%
13%
18%
22%
18%Fluid Automation
Power Generation
Power Distribution
Motors & Drives
Mechanical Power
Transmission
2007 Sales by Product
2007 Sales by Geography
UnitedStates
ROWAsia
Europe
Industrial Equipment
-50 to -30 bps(1)15.6%15.1%% of Sales$0.67B$0.57BEarnings
+11 to 13%$4.3B$3.8BSales2008E20072006Profile
Market Dynamics• Global capital goods markets remain
healthy• Increasing worldwide demand for
reliable primary and standby power driving alternator sales
• Infrastructure investment in emerging markets supporting demand for drives and motors
• Increased focus on technology, new products and emerging markets will expand growth opportunities
• April three-month trailing average order trend at +20%
(1) Includes impact of anti-dumping duties
27%
10%
20%
43%
Network Power SummaryNetwork Power SummaryNetwork Power Summary
2007 Sales by Geography
Europe
AsiaUnited States
ROW
10%14%
17%
15%
7%
28%
9%
2007 Sales by Product
Service
Other
AC Power Systems
Precision Cooling
OSP & Racks
DC Power Systems
Embedded Computing
& Power
+0 to 20 bps(1)12.5%11.1%% of Sales$0.65B$0.48BEarnings
+23 to 25%$5.2B$4.4BSales2008E20072006Profile
Market Dynamics• Greater power in smaller packages
throughout wireless & wireline networks• Distributed fiber initiatives driving
wireline spending• Data center consolidation efforts
continue. Strong demand for AC Power & Precision Cooling Systems
• Business Continuity & Network Reliability needs extending into emerging markets
• April three-month trailing average order trend at +15 to +20%
(1) Includes impact of Motorola Embedded Computing Acquisition.
Climate Technologies SummaryClimate Technologies Summary
7%
7%
7%
73%
6%
57%17%
16%
10%
2007 Sales by Geography
Compressors
Flow Controls
UnitedStates
Asia
Europe
ROW
HeatingControls
Temperature Sensors
Other2007 Sales by Product
+10 to 30 bps14.9%15.3%% of Sales$0.54B$0.52BEarnings
+5 to 7%$3.6B$3.4BSales2008E20072006Profile
Market Dynamics• U.S. housing market softness
continues• Energy responsible product demand
continues to benefit our higher value products and solutions
• Growing usage of electronics in HVACR opens new products and services opportunities
• China’s need for higher efficiency and improved heating technology will drive future scroll demand
• April three-month trailing average order trend at 0 to +5%
85%
5%2%
8%
Appliance And Tools SummaryAppliance And Tools SummaryAppliance And Tools Summary
21%
11%
15%
28%
25%
2007 Sales by Product(1)
2007 Sales by Geography(1)
Appliance Solutions
Commercial Motors
Tools
United States
Europe
ROWAsia
Appliance
Storage
+60 to 80 bps14.1%13.8%% of Sales$0.56B$0.54BEarnings
-4 to -2%$4.0B$3.9BSales2008E(1)2007(1)2006(1)Profile
Market Dynamics• Consumer businesses environment
remains challenging due to falling home prices, high levels of consumer debt and rising food and oil prices
• Decline in housing sector continues, non-residential construction has remained positive -- but positive trends are weakening
• Focus on costs and asset management to create value -- also sale of non-strategic assets
• April three-month trailing average order trend at -5 to 0%
(1) European appliance motor & pump business reclassified as discontinued operations.
Key EPG MessagesKey EPG MessagesKey EPG MessagesStrategic Focus Has Not Changed
– It’s All About Consistent / Intense / Flexible Execution
International Investments and Emerging Markets Remain Central to Our Growth Strategy
– Our Global Growth Continues– Emerging Markets Are Driving Emerson Growth– We Continue to Leverage Our Global Infrastructure
Emerson Leverages Technology to Solve Customer Problems -- Investing for a Competitive Advantage
– Emerson Continues to Invest in Global Engineering & Product Development to Drive Growth
– Emerson is Uniquely Positioned to Help Our Customers Deliver on Energy Responsibility
- Aggressively invest in next generation technology leadership
- Develop more game-changing products and technologies through efficient Portfolio Management and proper allocation of resources.
- Meet sales and profit objectives of new products.- Customer involvement throughout the entire process is essential.
2. Pursue Technology Leadership
- Brand Platforms are being valued globally.- We are positioned to benefit from the favorable industry dynamics.
- Major Growth Initiatives, acquisitions, and divestitures will help keep us within the 5-7% zone.
- Today, some regional key accounts will grow to become Global Marquees.
- Expand Solution and Service offerings to enhance customer value and MRO sales.
- Collaboration among business groups yields new market opportunities.
1. Strengthen Business Platforms
ActionsStrategic Imperatives
Emerson’s Strategic Focus Has Not ChangedEmersonEmerson’’s Strategic Focus Has Not Changeds Strategic Focus Has Not Changed
- Price actions must stay ahead of material inflation.- Global best cost sourcing – adopt a cross-functional, sharing approach to integrate the supply chain.
- Improve on-time delivery performance to exceed customer expectations.
- Continue to improve Trade Working Capital, generate strong Operating Cash Flow, and manage Capital Expenditures -- asset efficiency.
- ROTC improvement will continue to be a key value driver.
4. Drive Business Efficiency
- Geographic mix and presence allows continued growth.
- Take care of mature markets, but emerging markets play an ever increasing role in success.
- We will reach new milestones by the end of this five year period and must invest accordingly.
- Reposition assets to drive profitabilityimprovements and to better serve customers.
3. Globalize Assets
ActionsStrategic Imperatives
Emerson’s Strategic Focus Has Not ChangedEmersonEmerson’’s Strategic Focus Has Not Changeds Strategic Focus Has Not Changed
Key EPG MessagesKey EPG MessagesKey EPG MessagesStrategic Focus Has Not Changed
– It’s All About Consistent / Intense / Flexible Execution
International Investments and Emerging Markets Remain Central to Our Growth Strategy
– Our Global Growth Continues– Emerging Markets Are Driving Emerson Growth– We Continue to Leverage Our Global Infrastructure
Emerson Leverages Technology to Solve Customer Problems -- Investing for a Competitive Advantage
– Emerson Continues to Invest in Global Engineering & Product Development to Drive Growth
– Emerson is Uniquely Positioned to Help Our Customers Deliver on Energy Responsibility
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
India Latin America China
200220072010T
High Growth In Emerging Markets Continues to Drive Sales – Latin America and Middle East & Africa Reached $1B Zone in 2007
High Growth In Emerging Markets Continues to High Growth In Emerging Markets Continues to Drive Sales Drive Sales –– Latin America and Middle East & Latin America and Middle East & Africa Reached $1B Zone in 2007Africa Reached $1B Zone in 2007
$B
Eastern Europe & Russia
Middle East & Africa
Asia Pacific Sales Expected To Reach ~$4B In 2008 – 2 Years Ahead of Our Target
T
T
T T
T
International52%
$11.7B
United States48%
$10.9B
2007
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006
United States Sales %
International Sales %28%
~54%
55%
2010T
Emerging Markets % ~30%32+%
International Sales Have Grown Steadily and Surpassed The United States For The First Time In 2007
International Sales Have Grown Steadily International Sales Have Grown Steadily and Surpassed The United States For The First and Surpassed The United States For The First Time In 2007Time In 2007
2008E
2008E Sales Are Pushing Towards 54% International, With~30% of Sales from Emerging Markets. We Should Exceed our 2010 Targets.
~45% of Growth From Emerging
Markets, And Will Be ~50% Over
The Next 3 Years
The Importance Of Emerson’s Investment in Emerging Markets Is Really Paying Off in Our Sales Growth And Strong Market Presence
The Importance Of EmersonThe Importance Of Emerson’’s Investment in s Investment in Emerging Markets Is Really Paying Off in Our Emerging Markets Is Really Paying Off in Our Sales Growth And Strong Market PresenceSales Growth And Strong Market Presence
~$25B~$7B
~$18B2008E
$13BTotal Emerson Sales$2BEmerging Markets
$11BMature Markets2010T1998
~$5B~$7BΔ Mature Markets
Δ Emerging Markets
$28-$31B
$19-21B$9-10B
Emerging Markets Will Continue to Outgrow Mature Markets Over The Next 3 Years. We Target Growth of +1% More Than GFI Growth in
Mature Markets and 2x GFI Growth for Emerging Markets
Emerging Markets Sales Growth Emerging Markets Sales Growth Emerging Markets Sales Growth
*Excluding: Australia/NZ, China, Japan, and India
Emerson Target is to Grow Emerging Market Sales at ~2x the Gross Fixed Investment (GFI) Rate
19%
81%
2003 Sales
2008E Sales
Emerging markets
Rest of World
Emerging markets
Rest of World
2007-08 2003-08Sales ($B) 2008E CAGR CAGRChina $2.1 24% 24%India 0.6 23% 40%Rest of Asia* 1.1 13% 15%Eastern Europe 0.5 21% 20%Russia 0.4 19% 33%Latin America 1.2 20% 20%Middle East 0.9 20% 25%Africa 0.3 37% 20%TOTAL $7+B 21% 23%GFI Growth 11% 11%
~30%
~70%
Emerson’s Major Shared FacilitiesEmersonEmerson’’s Major Shared Facilitiess Major Shared Facilities
ShanghaiSuzhou
Manila
Hong KongShenzhen
Xi’an
Pune
Dubai
Cluj
Nove Mesto
Mexico City
ServicesManufacturingEngineering
~6,400 Best Cost Headcount Involved in Engineering & Development and Providing Support Globally
Support Resource Expansion Accelerating with Four Emerson Centers Support Resource Expansion Accelerating with Four Emerson Centers
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
6,400
4,800
Romania vs. West Europe4:1 Salary Advantage
120 People
Xi’an vs. Eastern China2 ½:1 Salary Advantage
100 People
India vs. United States5:1 Salary Advantage
1350 People Manila vs. United States7:1 Salary Advantage
2,500 People
Total Best Cost CountrySupport Headcount
Engineering & DesignSupport Resources
1,7002,000
2,8003,600
Key EPG MessagesKey EPG MessagesKey EPG MessagesStrategic Focus Has Not Changed
– It’s All About Consistent / Intense / Flexible Execution
International Investments and Emerging Markets Remain Central to Our Growth Strategy
– Our Global Growth Continues– Emerging Markets Are Driving Emerson Growth– We Continue to Leverage Our Global Infrastructure
Emerson Leverages Technology to Solve Customer Problems -- Investing for a Competitive Advantage
– Emerson Continues to Invest in Global Engineering & Product Development to Drive Growth
– Emerson is Uniquely Positioned to Help Our Customers Deliver on Energy Responsibility
We Continue to Build Global Engineering and Technology Capacity To Drive Innovation / New Products
We Continue to Build Global Engineering and We Continue to Build Global Engineering and Technology Capacity Technology Capacity To Drive Innovation / To Drive Innovation / New ProductsNew Products
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008E
High Cost
Rapid Expansion
Best Cost6,000
7,2007,700
8,500
5,5005,000
Number of engineers
5,000
422
191
613
135
478
2003 Growth 2020 Efficiency 2020 Potential
70% of Global Energy Growth Could Potentially be Offset with Aggressive Efficiency Efforts70% of Global Energy Growth Could Potentially 70% of Global Energy Growth Could Potentially be Offset with Aggressive Efficiency Effortsbe Offset with Aggressive Efficiency Efforts
Demand - QBTU
Efficiency Potential (QBTU)
PowerRefining
SteelChemicals
Air transportRoad transport
CommercialResidential 32
13130
250
421
Total potential energy efficiency opportunity = 135 QBTU
Emerson Participation
We Are Investing for Energy Efficiency:Our Products Are Reducing OurCustomers’ Energy Consumption
We Are Investing for Energy Efficiency:We Are Investing for Energy Efficiency:Our Products Are Reducing OurOur Products Are Reducing OurCustomersCustomers’’ Energy ConsumptionEnergy Consumption
Hot water tank sensors / controlsReduces energy consumption and lowers associated carbon dioxide emissions
Appliance and Tools
Expected to realize savings of 4,000 gigawatthours by 2012Equivalent to a reduction of 100 million metric tons of CO2
Industrial Automation
Network Power
Climate Technology
Process Management
“Teamwork” mode prevents units from fighting (humidifying and dehumidifying)Up to a 7% energy savings
Annual energy and maintenance expenses can be reduced by 15% or moreEstimated savings of 7B kilowatt hours of electricity annually
Reduce emissions for the chemical, oil and gas, and pulp and paper industriesWireless monitoring solutions reduce emissions
Customers are Experiencing the Benefits of Process Management Wireless: Major Oil RefineryCustomers are Experiencing the Benefits of Process Management Wireless: Major Oil Refinery
The customer had cases where the crude storage tanks were overfilled as the oil was offloaded from bargesClean up and environmental fines could cost upwards of $1M– A Wired solution had estimated installation
costs of $500K
A wireless transmitter was installed with mechanical switches to monitor the tank levels and prevent overfilling without the prohibited wiring costsRefinery improved environmental compliance and reduced costs with Smart Wireless Solution
We Offer the Widest and Fastest Growing Portfolio of Wireless Products in the IndustryWe Offer the Widest and Fastest Growing We Offer the Widest and Fastest Growing Portfolio of Wireless Products in the IndustryPortfolio of Wireless Products in the Industry
North America 10/06Europe 1/07Singapore 6/07Malaysia 7/07Australia 8/07Venezuela 8/07NA (Phase 2) 9/07China 9/07Argentina 10/07EUR (Phase 2) 11/07Brazil 11/07Thailand 11/07India 12/07Mexico 12/07Middle East 3/08
Smart Wireless Global Launches
…
Shipping Now
Shipping 2008
Pressure Level Temperature
Wireless Gateway
Oil & Gas RemoteControl
Flow Density / Viscosity
Gas Specific Gravity
Radar Level
Field DeviceCommunicator
Gas & LiquidAnalysis
Level Switch Valve Positioners
Device ‘StrandedDiagnostics’
Discrete
Multi-pointTemperature
Asset Management
Software
Pressure Level Temperature
Wireless Gateway
Oil & Gas RemoteControl
Flow Density / Viscosity
Gas Specific Gravity
Radar Level
Field DeviceCommunicator
Gas & LiquidAnalysis
Level Switch Valve Positioners
Device ‘StrandedDiagnostics’
Discrete
Multi-pointTemperature
Asset Management
Software
Vibration
Lighting
Climate Technologies’ Intelligent Store™
Offers Many Opportunities for Delivering Improved Energy Efficiency to Customers
Climate TechnologiesClimate Technologies’’ Intelligent StoreIntelligent Store™™
Offers Many Opportunities for Delivering Offers Many Opportunities for Delivering Improved Energy Efficiency to CustomersImproved Energy Efficiency to Customers
Monitoring Service
Installation
Commissioning
Refrigeration Units
Refrigeration Racks
Condenser
A/C Units
Ventilation Units
Case Control
Self Contained
Ice Machine
Intelligent Store Electronics
Pull-Through Other Components
Services
Products
Recent Large Win in Australia – Initial Focus on Lighting and Display Cases. Worth ~$25M over 5 years.
Summary Of 2008 ExpectationsSummary Of 2008 ExpectationsSummary Of 2008 ExpectationsSolid First Half Of 2008 Delivered In A More Challenging Environment
– Strong Underlying Growth And Global Performance– Orders Continue At Double-digit Pace– More Challenging Environment The Second Half Of Year Vs. First Half– Must Continue to Offset Higher Material Inflation with Appropriate
Price Increase Actions – Tougher 2009 EnvironmentWe Will Continue To Make Strategic Investments –
– Key Technologies – Breakthrough Products– Globalizing Asset Base– Acquisitions And Divestitures Where And When Appropriate
Cash Is Key – Operating Cash Flow Up 34% First Half 08 Vs. 07– Strong Balance Sheet – Flexibility For The Future– Fuels Investment For Long Term Growth– Substantial Amounts Of Cash Returned To Shareholders Through
Dividends And Share Repurchase 50-60%– Very Focused Acquisition Strategy
Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial MeasuresReconciliation of NonReconciliation of Non--GAAP Financial GAAP Financial MeasuresMeasures
14.0%$3,094
(402)
15.8%$3,496
2007
% Sales Pretax Earnings
Other Deductions, NetInterest Expense and
% Sales *Operating Profit *
14.3 - 14.5%13.5%12.6%$3,500 - $3,620$2,673$2,132
(485) - (495)(380)(433)
16.3 - 16.5%15.5%15.2%$3,985 - $4,115$3,053$2,565
2008E20062005
The following reconciles each non-GAAP measure with the most directly comparable GAAP measure ($ M):
Note: Historical OP margins adjusted to exclude discontinued operations.
12%5%7%
1st Half 2008
11-13%Net Sales~6%Currency/Acq/Div
5-7%Underlying Sales*2008E
$2,335 (681)
$3,016 2007
~$2,400$1,911$1,669Free Cash Flow*~(800)(601)(518)Capital Expenditures
~$3,200$2,512$2,187Operating Cash Flow2008E20062005