energy and markets newsletter 101811
TRANSCRIPT
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October 18,2011
Energy Data Highlights
Retail gasoline price10/17/2011: $3.476/galup$0.059 from week earlierup$0.642 from year earlier
Retail diesel price10/17/2011: $3.801/galup$0.080 from week earlierup$0.728 from year earlier
Crude oil futures price10/14/2011: $86.80/bblup$3.82 from week earlierup$4.11 from year earlier
Natural gas futures price10/14/2011: $3.703/mmBtu
up$0.222 from week earlierup$0.043 from year earlier
Weekly coal production10/8/2011: 21.602 million tonsdown0.309 million tons from week earlierup0.137 million tons from year earlier
http://www.eia.gov/
Natural Gas/ Power News
EIA Storage Release 10/13/11 (Actual): +112 BcfPrevious Week: +97 Bcf-1.6% Change from 1 Year Ago+2.0% Change 5-year Average
Canadian Natural Gas Advances as Midwest Braces for Cold Nights
Follow
http://www.eia.gov/oog/info/gdu/gasdiesel.asphttp://www.eia.gov/oog/info/gdu/gasdiesel.asphttp://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=RCLC1&f=Dhttp://www.eia.gov/dnav/ng/hist/rngc1d.htmhttp://www.eia.gov/cneaf/coal/weekly/weekly_html/wcpweek.htmlhttp://www.eia.gov/http://www.choiceenergyservices.com/http://twitter.com/#!/Choice_Energyhttp://www.facebook.com/pages/Choice-Energy-Services/204397769603350http://www.linkedin.com/company/choice-energyhttp://www.eia.gov/oog/info/gdu/gasdiesel.asphttp://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=RCLC1&f=Dhttp://www.eia.gov/dnav/ng/hist/rngc1d.htmhttp://www.eia.gov/cneaf/coal/weekly/weekly_html/wcpweek.htmlhttp://www.eia.gov/http://www.eia.gov/oog/info/gdu/gasdiesel.asp -
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Canadian spot natural gas surged as lower-than-normal temperatures in the U.S.Midwest are forecast to boost furnace for the rest of month. Gas for promptdelivery at the Alliance pipeline hub near Chicago jumped 9.1 percent amidforecasts that low temperatures in the city will trail seasonal norms through Oct.31. The low in Chicago will dip to 38 degrees Fahrenheit (minus 3 Celsius) Oct. 20,6 degrees below normal, according to AccuWeather Inc. The Midwest is the biggest
consuming region for Canadian gas.http://www.businessweek.com/news/2011-10-17/canadian-natural-gas-advances-as-midwest-braces-for-cold-nights.html
Asian gas oil will rely on Europe for support in winterAsia's gas oil market will look to Europe for support this winter as demand fromtop buyers India and Indonesia ebbs, weighing on prices during what is normallythe product's most profitable months because of its use for heating.http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/10/18/us-asia-gasoil-idUSTRE79H1Z320111018
Amerigas Agrees to Buy Propane Operations
Energy Transfer Partners LP agreed to sell its propane operations for $2.8 billion toAmeriGas Partners LP, a deal that would free Energy Transfer to focus on itsnatural gas pipeline business. Unit holders of Energy Transfer, which had beenone of the largest propane marketers in the U.S., will receive about $1.5 billion incash and about $1.3 billion in AmeriGas common units. The deal, expected toclose by early next year, includes the assumption of $71 million in debt. The dealis "the right move at the right time for Energy Transfer as we focus our efforts andresources on opportunities in the pipeline sectorour primary business," saidEnergy Transfer Partners Chairman and Chief Executive Kelcy Warren.http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204479504576636943168513616.html?mod=WSJ_Commodities_LEFTTopNews
Gas Beating Oil in Shipping as Users Expand StockpilesRecord liquefied-petroleum-gas shipments are eroding a glut of the tankers
hauling the fuel used in stoves, cars and lighters, driving charter rates to the
highest ever at a time when most other ships are losing money.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-10-17/gas-beating-oil-in-shipping-as-users-
expand-stockpiles-freight.html
It's Official: 'Age of Shale' Has ArrivedShale is rocking the U.S. energy industry to its core. The technique of crackingopen shale rock to release oil and natural gas has spurred hundreds of billions ofdollars worth of deals, including Monday's $4.4 billion proposed purchase ofBrigham Exploration Co. by Norway's Statoil ASA. And it has delivered enormousprofits and revenues to those in its midst, including Halliburton Co., whichreported a record $6.5 billion in third quarter revenue. Shale discoveries havereinvigorated U.S. oil and gas production that just half a dozen years ago waswidely seen as in terminal decline. Today, there is a glut of cheap natural gas, anddomestic oil production is rising for the first time in decades. Shale development iseven spreading to other countries, such as Poland and Argentina. The shale boomhas already minted a half-dozen new billionaires comparable to the riches broughtby the Internet.http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000142405297020365880457663739245542465
6.html
http://www.businessweek.com/news/2011-10-17/canadian-natural-gas-advances-as-midwest-braces-for-cold-nights.htmlhttp://www.businessweek.com/news/2011-10-17/canadian-natural-gas-advances-as-midwest-braces-for-cold-nights.htmlhttp://www.reuters.com/article/2011/10/18/us-asia-gasoil-idUSTRE79H1Z320111018http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/10/18/us-asia-gasoil-idUSTRE79H1Z320111018http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204479504576636943168513616.html?mod=WSJ_Commodities_LEFTTopNewshttp://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204479504576636943168513616.html?mod=WSJ_Commodities_LEFTTopNewshttp://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-10-17/gas-beating-oil-in-shipping-as-users-expand-stockpiles-freight.htmlhttp://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-10-17/gas-beating-oil-in-shipping-as-users-expand-stockpiles-freight.htmlhttp://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203658804576637392455424656.htmlhttp://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203658804576637392455424656.htmlhttp://www.businessweek.com/news/2011-10-17/canadian-natural-gas-advances-as-midwest-braces-for-cold-nights.htmlhttp://www.businessweek.com/news/2011-10-17/canadian-natural-gas-advances-as-midwest-braces-for-cold-nights.htmlhttp://www.reuters.com/article/2011/10/18/us-asia-gasoil-idUSTRE79H1Z320111018http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/10/18/us-asia-gasoil-idUSTRE79H1Z320111018http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204479504576636943168513616.html?mod=WSJ_Commodities_LEFTTopNewshttp://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204479504576636943168513616.html?mod=WSJ_Commodities_LEFTTopNewshttp://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-10-17/gas-beating-oil-in-shipping-as-users-expand-stockpiles-freight.htmlhttp://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-10-17/gas-beating-oil-in-shipping-as-users-expand-stockpiles-freight.htmlhttp://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203658804576637392455424656.htmlhttp://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203658804576637392455424656.html -
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Richard Kinder: New Energy Patch KingRunning pipelines may not sound as sexy as wildcatting for oil, but Richard Kinderhas made a fortune showing how lucrative it can be. The chief executive of KinderMorgan Inc. has parlayed a headstrong belief in the profitability of collecting a toll
to move energy through pipelines into a business empire that has made him thiscity's richest man. Mr. Kinder's stature in the energy world is likely to grow evenlarger with his proposed $21.1 billion purchase of rival El Paso Corp. in a deal thatwill create the nation's fourth biggest energy company. It will also be the largestU.S. operator of natural-gas pipelines at a time when gas produced by fracturingshale formations is transforming the industry across the country.http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203658804576637443345700456.html?mod=WSJ_hp_LEFTWhatsNewsCollection
El Pasos Juicy U.S. Shale Gas Assets May Attract Reliance, Occidental
Indias Reliance Industries Ltd. (RIL), Norways Statoil ASA (STL) and Occidental
Petroleum Corp. (OXY) may be among bidders for El Paso Corp. (EP)s oil andnatural-gas unit as the companies seek to expand their stakes in U.S. shale fields.
Kinder Morgan Inc. is seeking a buyer for El Pasos exploration business to help
pay off debt from this weeks $21.1 billion takeover of the rival pipeline company,
which creates the biggest gas pipeline network in the U.S. The assets for sale,
which include more than half a million acres of shale fields, may command a $7.3
billion price tag, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-10-18/el-paso-s-juicy-u-s-shale-gas-assets-
may-attract-reliance-occidental.html
Green/ Alternative Energy News
Storage Makes the Difference in Reliability
Arguments for solar and wind power are so enticing (endless availability, no
pollution and so on) that its easy to see why the idea of transitioning the world
economy to alternative energy over the next 40 years keeps gaining favor.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-10-17/for-alternative-energy-storage-
makes-the-difference-in-reliability-view.html
Obamas Big Green Mess
This summer, federal inspectors made a routine visit to 11 homes in St. Louis to
see what taxpayers got for the $5 billion that President Obama spent to help
Americans weatherize their homes to save energy. What they found was quite a
surprise. Some of the energy-efficient furnaces installed at taxpayer expense
spewed carbon monoxide that could poison occupants. New water heaters lacked
required pressure valves, putting them in jeopardy of exploding. And a handful of
contractorsunfamiliar with the nuances of specialized weatherization workhad
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203658804576637443345700456.html?mod=WSJ_hp_LEFTWhatsNewsCollectionhttp://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203658804576637443345700456.html?mod=WSJ_hp_LEFTWhatsNewsCollectionhttp://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-10-18/el-paso-s-juicy-u-s-shale-gas-assets-may-attract-reliance-occidental.htmlhttp://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-10-18/el-paso-s-juicy-u-s-shale-gas-assets-may-attract-reliance-occidental.htmlhttp://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-10-17/for-alternative-energy-storage-makes-the-difference-in-reliability-view.htmlhttp://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-10-17/for-alternative-energy-storage-makes-the-difference-in-reliability-view.htmlhttp://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203658804576637443345700456.html?mod=WSJ_hp_LEFTWhatsNewsCollectionhttp://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203658804576637443345700456.html?mod=WSJ_hp_LEFTWhatsNewsCollectionhttp://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-10-18/el-paso-s-juicy-u-s-shale-gas-assets-may-attract-reliance-occidental.htmlhttp://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-10-18/el-paso-s-juicy-u-s-shale-gas-assets-may-attract-reliance-occidental.htmlhttp://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-10-17/for-alternative-energy-storage-makes-the-difference-in-reliability-view.htmlhttp://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-10-17/for-alternative-energy-storage-makes-the-difference-in-reliability-view.html -
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used air blowers in homes with asbestos, potentially dispersing the cancer-causing
agent, according to several Energy Department inspector-general reports.
http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2011/10/16/obama-s-green-energy-
agenda-flop.html
Crude Oil News
OPEC Daily Basket Price 10/17/2011- $110.13
(10/14/2011- $109.01)
Oil Drops For a Second Day After Chinas Economy Grows Slowest Since2009
Oil fell for a second day in New York after China said its economy grew at the
slowest pace in two years and U.S. crude stockpiles were forecast to increase.
Futures dropped as much as 1 percent, extending yesterdays 0.5 percent decline,
after Chinas statistics bureau said the economy grew at 9.1 percent in the third
quarter, less than predicted. An Energy Department report tomorrow may show
U.S. crude inventories climbed for a second week, according to a Bloomberg News
survey. Technical indicators indicate prices may have advanced too fast to be
sustainable.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-10-18/oil-drops-for-a-second-day-after-
china-s-economy-grows-slowest-since-2009.html
Brent falls as China GDP, euro zone weigh
Brent crude futures slid below $110 a barrel on Tuesday, paring earlier gains, after
weaker Chinese third-quarter economic growth prompted concern about future
demand from the world's second-largest oil consumer and as Moody's warned
France of a negative outlook.
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/10/18/us-markets-oil-
idUSTRE7922QH20111018
Index Changes Weigh on OilWest Texas Intermediate, once the unassailable global crude-oil benchmark, is
under siege on a new front. For months, many producers, traders and investors
have considered the rival European Brent blend a better barometer of global
demand. They cited a glut of oil in the U.S. as distorting prices of the West Texas
blend traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange in New York. Now, managers
of key commodities indexes have thrown their weight behind the trend. The Dow
http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2011/10/16/obama-s-green-energy-agenda-flop.htmlhttp://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2011/10/16/obama-s-green-energy-agenda-flop.htmlhttp://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-10-18/oil-drops-for-a-second-day-after-china-s-economy-grows-slowest-since-2009.htmlhttp://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-10-18/oil-drops-for-a-second-day-after-china-s-economy-grows-slowest-since-2009.htmlhttp://www.reuters.com/article/2011/10/18/us-markets-oil-idUSTRE7922QH20111018http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/10/18/us-markets-oil-idUSTRE7922QH20111018http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2011/10/16/obama-s-green-energy-agenda-flop.htmlhttp://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2011/10/16/obama-s-green-energy-agenda-flop.htmlhttp://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-10-18/oil-drops-for-a-second-day-after-china-s-economy-grows-slowest-since-2009.htmlhttp://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-10-18/oil-drops-for-a-second-day-after-china-s-economy-grows-slowest-since-2009.htmlhttp://www.reuters.com/article/2011/10/18/us-markets-oil-idUSTRE7922QH20111018http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/10/18/us-markets-oil-idUSTRE7922QH20111018 -
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Jones-UBS Commodity Index and the Standard & Poor's GSCItwo of the most
widely followed commodities indexeshave said in recent days that they plan to
decrease the weighting of WTI and increase or, in DJ-UBS's case, introducethe
weighting of Brent.
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000142405297020365880457663728030476339
2.html?mod=WSJ_Commodities_LEFTTopNews
IEA's Birol says oil investment of $10 trillion needed over 2011-2035
The world needs to invest a total of $10 trillion between now and 2035 to meet
future demand, $2 trillion more than projected a year ago, the International
Energy Agency's chief economist, Fatih Birol, said Tuesday. Birol said this year's
World Energy Outlook, which will be released in November, sees a need for total
energy investment of $38 trillion over the period to 2035, around half of which is
needed for oil and gas and half for electricity. This means an annual investmentrequirement of around $1.5 trillion over the period, Birol told a news conference in
Paris on the sidelines of the IEA's annual ministerial meeting. "Oil and gas are the
key areas for investment," Birol said.
http://www.platts.com/RSSFeedDetailedNews/RSSFeed/Oil/8475612
BP to end payments to oil spill fund earlyBP will be able to cease its payments into a $20bn compensation fund to helpmeet claims from last years Gulf of Mexico oil spill one year earlier than expected
after striking an out-of-court settlement with Anadarko Petroleum. Anadarko, oneof BPs minority partners in the Macondo well, will pay $4bn to settle claimsbetween the two companies.http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/ec6dd916-f894-11e0-ad8f-00144feab49a.html#axzz1b8IkMBRu
TransCanda : We contribute to Houstons economyTransCanada was among the energy companies with information booths atSaturdays Energy Day in downtown Houston. The company is awaiting the Obamaadministrations decision on whether to approve a pipeline that would carry oilfrom Alberta, Canada, to the Gulf Coast.If approved, the 1,700 mile Keystone XLpipeline would deliver crude from oil sands projects in Alberta to refineries on the
Gulf Coast and expand an existing TransCanada Corp. pipeline network that nowends in Cushing, Okla.http://fuelfix.com/blog/2011/10/18/transcanda-we-contribute-to-houstons-economy/
Norways Statoil to buy Brigham for $4.4 billionNorwegian oil and gas operator Statoil is acquiring Austin-based BrighamExploration Co. in a cash deal worth $4.4 billion, the companiesannounced Monday. The Williston acreage extends into the Bakken and ThreeForks formations and holds the potential to produce 60,000 to 100,000 barrels ofoil per day within five years, Statoil said in its announcement.The acreageproduces mostly light crude oil, the company said. Brigham has 88 wells in North
Dakota and seven in Montana, said Bill Maloney, executive vice president forStatoil North America in a conference with reporters.
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203658804576637280304763392.html?mod=WSJ_Commodities_LEFTTopNewshttp://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203658804576637280304763392.html?mod=WSJ_Commodities_LEFTTopNewshttp://www.platts.com/RSSFeedDetailedNews/RSSFeed/Oil/8475612http://fuelfix.com/blog/2011/10/18/transcanda-we-contribute-to-houstons-economy/http://fuelfix.com/blog/2011/10/18/transcanda-we-contribute-to-houstons-economy/http://fuelfix.com/blog/2011/10/18/transcanda-we-contribute-to-houstons-economy/http://fuelfix.com/blog/2011/10/18/norways-statoil-to-buy-brigham-for-4-4-billion/http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203658804576637280304763392.html?mod=WSJ_Commodities_LEFTTopNewshttp://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203658804576637280304763392.html?mod=WSJ_Commodities_LEFTTopNewshttp://www.platts.com/RSSFeedDetailedNews/RSSFeed/Oil/8475612http://fuelfix.com/blog/2011/10/18/transcanda-we-contribute-to-houstons-economy/http://fuelfix.com/blog/2011/10/18/transcanda-we-contribute-to-houstons-economy/http://fuelfix.com/blog/2011/10/18/transcanda-we-contribute-to-houstons-economy/http://fuelfix.com/blog/2011/10/18/norways-statoil-to-buy-brigham-for-4-4-billion/ -
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http://fuelfix.com/blog/2011/10/18/norways-statoil-to-buy-brigham-for-4-4-billion/
Tallow Replaces Crude Oil as Biofuels Go to War
Biofuels face their biggest test yet -- whether they can power fighter jets and
tanks in battle at prices the worlds best-funded military can afford. The U.S. AirForce is set to certify all of its 40-plus aircraft models to burn fuels derived from
waste oils and plants by 2013, three years ahead of target, Air Force Deputy
Assistant Secretary Kevin Geiss said. The Army wants 25 percent of its energy
from renewable sources by 2025. The Navy and Marines aim to shift half their
energy use from oil, gas and coal by 2020. Reliance on fossil fuels is simply too
much of a vulnerability for a military organization to have, U.S. Navy Secretary
Raymond Mabus said in an interview.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-10-18/animal-fat-replaces-crude-oil-in-f16s-
as-biofuels-head-to-war-commodities.html
Recent Rig Counts
Area
Last
Count
Cou
nt
Change
from Prior
Count
Date of
Prior
Count
Change
from Last
Year
Date of
Last Year's
Count
U.S. 14 Oct11
2023 +11 7 Oct 11 +353 15 Oct 10
Canada 14 Oct11
512 -10 7 Oct 11 +89 15 Oct 10
International
September 2011
1174 -9 August2011
+54 September2010
http://investor.shareholder.com/bhi/rig_counts/rc_index.cfm
Weather
6 to 10 Day Outlooks
Temperature
http://fuelfix.com/blog/2011/10/18/norways-statoil-to-buy-brigham-for-4-4-billion/http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-10-18/animal-fat-replaces-crude-oil-in-f16s-as-biofuels-head-to-war-commodities.htmlhttp://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-10-18/animal-fat-replaces-crude-oil-in-f16s-as-biofuels-head-to-war-commodities.htmlhttp://investor.shareholder.com/bhi/rig_counts/rc_index.cfmhttp://fuelfix.com/blog/2011/10/18/norways-statoil-to-buy-brigham-for-4-4-billion/http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-10-18/animal-fat-replaces-crude-oil-in-f16s-as-biofuels-head-to-war-commodities.htmlhttp://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-10-18/animal-fat-replaces-crude-oil-in-f16s-as-biofuels-head-to-war-commodities.htmlhttp://investor.shareholder.com/bhi/rig_counts/rc_index.cfm -
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Precipitation
8 to 14 Day Outlooks Temperature
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Precipitation
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