engie energía perú · 2018 q2 highlights 2 total energy generation (sein) grew 2.9% in h1 2018...
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ENGIE Energía Perú
Results as of June 2018
2018 Q2 HIGHLIGHTS
2
Total energy generation (SEIN) grew 2.9% in H1 2018 compared to H1 2017. As of June, EEP
maintained a leading position in the sector, accounting for 20% of the total capacity and 6% of the total
energy generation of the system
Q2 2018 EBITDA reached 71.2MUSD, same level of Q1 and 41% above Q4, consolidating the strong
commercial effort to re-contract available efficient capacity. Q2 2018 EBITDA decreased 33% compared to
Q2 2017. The decrease is mainly explained by the end of SPCC PPA and lower re-contracting prices given
market conditions
Q2 2018 Net Result reached 30.3MUSD, increasing significantly compared to Q4 2017 (1MUSD) and
impacted by lower EBITDA and higher D&A against Q2 2017
EEP successfully issued ~70.3MUSD of local corporate bonds @ 6.7%. The bonds were issued in local
currency and backed by a cross currency interest rate swap in two tranches resulting in a final cost of debt
in dollars of (35.1MUSD @ 4.91% and 35.2MUSD @ 4.88%)
ENGIE Energía Perú - Quarterly Results Q2 2018
108106
6050
71 71
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
2017 2018
MAIN FINANCIAL RESULTS Q2 2018
3
EBITDA Q2 Net Result Q2 Total Debt
951.3787.1
2017 Q2 2018 Q2
-17%
55 55
19 130 30
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
2017 2018
Total Debt MUSDEBITDA MUSD Net Result MUSD
Net Debt / EBITDA (12m)
Net Debt / EBITDA x
2.6 2.9
2017 Q2 2018 Q2
+12%
ENGIE Energía Perú - Quarterly Results Q2 2018
EBITDA
111143
2017 H2 2018 H1
+29%
EBITDA MUSD
Net Result
20
60
2017 H2 2018 H1
Net Result MUSD
+203%
-33% -45%
GWh∆
H1 2018 vs
H1 2017
∆
Q2 2018 vs
Q2 2017
Yuncán HPP 760 8% 889 11% 520 11% 499 12% 244 6% 225 10% -4% -8%
Quitaracsa HPP 484 5% 531 6% 360 8% 324 8% 157 4% 135 6% -10% -14%
Chilca1 CCGT 5,617 63% 5,303 63% 2,275 50% 668 16% 1,140 27% 445 21% -71% -61%
Chilca2 CCGT 220 2% 308 4% 22 0% 29 1% 11 0% 16 1% 34% 36%
Ilo21 (Coal) 773 9% 674 8% 371 8% 27 1% 143 3% 7 0% -93% -95%
Ilo1 (Diesel) 210 2% 86 1% 55 1% 0 0% 39 1% 0 0% -100% -100%
Ilo31 (Cold Reserve) 100 1% 7 0% 6 0% 2 0% 5 0% 0 0% -69% -93%
NEPI 18 0% 9 0% 4 0% 9 0% 3 0% 3 0% 113% -12%
Intipampa 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 29 0% 0 0% 22 1% n.a. n.a.
Imports (Ecuador) 21 0% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% n.a. n.a.
Auxiliaries -289 -3% -185 -2% -76 -2% 2 0% -43 -1% -5 0% -102% -88%
NET GENERATION 7,914 88% 7,624 91% 3,536 78% 1,588 37% 1,699 40% 847 39% -55% -50%
COES: NET 1,061 12% 734 9% 1,000 22% 2,683 63% 497 12% 1,307 61% 168% 163%
CLIENTS DEMAND 8,976 100% 8,358 100% 4,536 100% 4,271 100% 2,196 51% 2,155 100% -6% -2%
Q2 2018H1 20182016 2017 H1 2017 Q2 2017
ENERGY PRODUCTION AND BALANCE Q2 2018Lower thermal generation in Q2 2018 and net buyer position in the spot market
4ENGIE Energía Perú - Quarterly Results Q2 2018
H
H
T
T
T
T
T
T
S
H Hydro T Thermal S Solar
MAIN RESULTS Q2 2018
5
Q2 2018 EBITDA stable vs Q1 2018 consolidating the commercial efforts taken during H2 2017
Q2 2018 EBITDA decreased -33% compared to Q2 2017 to 71MUSD, mainly explained by the end of SPCC PPA
(April 2017) which was partially offset by new PPAs. Q2 2018 Net result was affected by lower EBITDA and higher
D&A compared to Q2 2017
However EBITDA H1 2018 presents a pick up of 29% vs H2 2017 mainly explained by commercial efforts / clients
demand
Total debt decreased by 1.5% from March 2018, following the expected amortization schedule, and totalized
787MUSD
ENGIE Energía Perú - Quarterly Results Q2 2018
* Restatement by application of IFRS
** Does not include commercial penalty fees and impairment of assets
(MUSD) Q2 2018 Q1 2018 Q2 2017∆ Q2 2018
vs Q2 2017H1 2018 H2 2017 H1 2017
∆ H1 2018
vs H1 2017FY 2017 FY 2016 ∆ FY
Revenues* 127 132 147 -13% 259 253 319 -19% 576 641 -10%
EBITDA 71 71 106 -33% 143 111 214 -33% 325 309 5%
Net Result 30 30 55 -45% 60 20 110 -45% 130 132 -1%
Recurrent EBITDA** 71 71 106 -33% 143 113 186 -23% 298 330 -10%
Net Recurrent Result** 30 30 55 -45% 60 22 90 -33% 111 169 -35%
Total Debt 787 799 951 -17% 787 837 951 -17% 837 1,009 -17%
Net Debt 729 763 872 -16% 729 800 872 -16% 800 981 -18%
Net Generation GWh 847 740 1,699 -50% 1,588 4,087 3,536 -55% 7,624 7,914 -4%
Clients Demand GWh 2,155 2,116 2,196 -2% 4,271 3,822 4,536 -6% 8,358 8,976 -7%
Net Debt / EBITDA 12m 2.9 2.6 2.6 12% 2.9 2.5 2.6 12% 2.5 3.2 -22%
+182.0
+214.2 -28.0
+3.8 -58.5
+8.4 +2.6 +142.7
+110.8
EBITDAH1 2016
EBITDAH1 2017
Non recurrentevents
∆ CMg CommercialContracts
Other Income Intipampa EBITDAH1 2018
EBITDAH2 2017
EBITDA: H1 2018 vs. H1 2017 -71.6 MUSD
6
- 33%
ENGIE Energía Perú - Quarterly Results Q2 2018
• SPCC PPA maturity
• End of Las Bambas by
the end of August 2017
• Jetty contract
(mainly one shot
initial payment)
• Services to SPCC
Impact of the end of PPA’s in H1 2017 partially
offset by commercial effort driving H1 2018
• Lower marginal
cost due to
new renewable
plants
• 2017 effect
‐28.0MUSD
mainly due to
commercial
penalty fee Las
Bambas
+ 29%
60.3
+102.3
+109.9+7.8 -71.6
-3.8+3.9 -2.3
+16.3
+19.9
Net ResultH1 2016
Net ResultH1 2017
Non recurrentevents
EBITDA D&A Net FinancialExpenses
FX Tax Net ResultH1 2018
Net ResultH2 2017
NET RESULT: H1 2018 vs. H1 2017 -49.6 MUSD
7ENGIE Energía Perú - Quarterly Results Q2 2018
• Methodology
adjustment in 2017
• Lower outstanding debt
• Interest on tax adjustment
in 2017
- 45%
+ 203%
• Tax related to
Las Bambas
penalty
+87.8
+106.1 -28.0
-1.0 -10.2
+1.8+2.5 +71.2
EBITDAQ2 2016
EBITDAQ2 2017
Non recurrentevents
∆ CMg CommercialContracts
Other Income Intipampa EBITDAQ2 2018
EBITDA: Q2 2018 vs. Q2 2017 -34.9 MUSD
8
• SPCC PPA
maturity
• End of Las
Bambas by the
end of August
2017
ENGIE Energía Perú - Quarterly Results Q2 2018
• Jetty contract
• Services to SPCC
Expected PPA maturities and lower prices due to unbalanced market
explained margin contraction
• 2017 effect
‐28.0MUSD due
to commercial
penalty fee Las
Bambas
- 33%
+30.3
+49.3
+54.8
+7.8
-34.9
-2.1+1.9 +0.1
+2.6
Net ResultQ2 2016
Net ResultQ2 2017
Non recurrentevents
EBITDA D&A Net FinancialExpenses
FX Tax Net ResultQ2 2018
NET RESULT: Q2 2018 vs. Q2 2017 -24.5 MUSD
9
- 45%
• Methodology
adjustment• Lower outstanding
debt
ENGIE Energía Perú - Quarterly Results Q2 2018
• Tax related to
Las Bambas
penalty
STOCK PRICE PERFORMANCE
10
Financial Market Data – June 2018
Number of shares issued 601,307,011
Share price (PEN) – 30/06/2018 6.55
VWAP (3m) – (PEN) 6.66
52 week – high – (PEN) 8.20
52 week – low – (PEN) 6.43
Market Cap (MUSD) 1,205
Enterprise Value (EV) (MUSD) 1,934
EV / EBITDA 7.6x
Price to Book Value (P/B) 1.1x
Price / Earnings ratio (P/E) 15.0x
Daily avg. trading volume (Msh) 0.11
EV: Market Cap + Net Debt
P/B: Market Cap / Book Value of Equity
Source: SMV, Lima Stock Exchange
• Market Cap changes in USD is affected by share price movements and FX changes
• In Q2 2018, the share price decreased from 6.89 to 6.55 S/./sh; (-4.9%); while the
exchange rate appreciated slightly against the USD (3.269 PEN/USD).
*Market Cap variation in 2015 is mainly explained by portfolio rebalance of an institutional investor and subsequent potential reclassification of Peru from Emerging Markets (“EM”) to Frontier market due to its low
liquidity
ENGIE Energía Perú - Quarterly Results Q2 2018
467663
1,020
793 839
1,602
1,187
1,759
2,0052,075
1,427
1,611
1,351
1,205
0
50
100
150
200
250
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
MU
SD M
US
D
Net Result Dividends Market Cap
EQUITY ANALYST VIEW
11
PE
N /
Sh
are
6.5
7.5
8.0
8.5
6.0
Credicorp Larrain Kallpa Inteligo Consensus
Target price 8.4 8.2 8.9 8.8 8.6
Recommendation Underperform Buy Maintain Buy
Date October 2017 April 2018 January 2018 January 2018
2018 Jun
Consensus
Price as of June 30th
6.55
31%
Upside
7.0
BuySell Mantain
9.0
ENGIE Energía Perú - Quarterly Results Q2 2018 11
DIVIDEND PAYMENTS: 680 MUSD since 2004
12
Dividend Policy: Minimum payout ratio of 30%
Payout ratio
of 38% in
2017
ENGIE Energía Perú - Quarterly Results Q2 2018
32
42
28
13 12.4 1520 20 24 31 33
24
43
31
11 13 16
1822
30
9 6
34 3642
41
15
10 10
34
77
42
71
85
59
24 25.4
31
38
42
54
49 49
86%
193%
100%
113%
90%89%
30% 30%31%
30% 31% 30%
38% 38%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
180%
200%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Extraordinary Annual
2nd Half 1rst Half
Payout ratio
THANKS
13
This presentation may contain certain forward-looking statements and information relating to ENGIE Energía Perú S.A. (“Engie Energía Perú” or the
“Company”) that reflect the current views and/or expectations of the Company and its management with respect to its business plan. Forward-looking
statements include, without limitation, any statement that may predict, forecast, indicate or imply future results, performance or achievements, and may
contain words like “believe”, “anticipate”, “expect”, “envisage”, “will likely result”, or any other words or phrases of similar meaning. Such statements are
subject to a number of significant risks, uncertainties and assumptions. We caution that a number of important factors could cause actual results to differ
materially from the plans, objectives, expectations, estimates and intentions expressed in this presentation. In any event, neither the Company nor any of its
affiliates, directors, officers, agents or employees shall be liable before any third party (including investors) for any investment or business decision made or
action taken in reliance on the information and statements contained in this presentation or for any consequential, special or similar damages. The Company
does not intend to provide eventual holders of shares with any revised forward-looking statements of analysis of the differences between any forward-looking
statements and actual results. There can be no assurance that the estimates or the underlying assumptions will be realized and that actual results of
operations or future events will not be materially different from such estimates.
This presentation and its contents are proprietary information and may not be reproduced or otherwise disseminated in whole or in part without ENGIE
Energía Perú prior written consent.
FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT ENGIE ENERGIA PERU
Ticker: ENGIEC1
+51 1 616 79 79 [email protected]
Adriana Burneo, Head of Corporate Finance & Investor Relations – [email protected]
Marcelo Soares, Chief Financial Officer – [email protected]
Av. República de Panamá 3490, Lima 27, Peru www.engie.pe
ENGIE Energía Perú - Quarterly Results Q2 2018
Chilca Complex
• ChilcaUno - 852MW - Natural Gas
• ChilcaDos - 111MW- Natural Gas
Ilo Complex
Nodo - 610MW - Dual Fuel
Ilo31 (Cold Reserve) - 500MW - Dual Fuel
Ilo21 - 135MW - Coal
Intipampa
Solar 41MW
Yuncan
Hydro 136MW
Quitaracsa
Hydro 112MW
* www.engie.com
APPENDIXENGIE Energia Peru overview
14
Largest private electricity company in Peru in terms of
capacity
2,497 MW of installed capacity & ~7,600 GWh of
annual generation
Low Co2 generation base
Diversified & decentralized portfolio of
generation sources
21 years operating in the country & listed since 2005
502 employees
Financial discipline to support future growth ambitions,
AAA local rating
Sponsored by a global leader, ENGIE S.A.*
ENGIE Energía Perú - Quarterly Results Q2 2018