entrepreneurs de la bioéconomie fbi/sittm technologies
TRANSCRIPT
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The bioeconomy: a new economic cycle
What’s Next?
HuntingAgrarian
Industrial
Information
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Markets of the Bioeconomy
• Biofuels $80 B (potential Canada)
• Bioplastics $10 B (potential Canada)
• Pharmaceuticals $40 B (Canada)
• Nutraceuticals $100 B (world)
• Biopesticides $ 1 B (potential Canada)
• Food from the forest $675 m (actual)
• Consumer goods from forests $125 m (actual)
Governments are promoting bioeconomy—5-10 year planning horizon
• Climate change is a recognized global issue—link to fossil fuels
• Country wide legislations compelling the use of biofuels:o Reduce carbon emissions
o Stimulate regional economies
o Clean air policies
• Municipal governments are getting involved to support community survival
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Four presentations about entrepreneurship in the bioeconomy
• Presentation 1: the financial argument
• Presentation 2: the academic argument
• Presentation 3: the corporate argument
• Presentation 4: the psychological argument
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Presentation 1: The financial argument
• Numerous bioproducts opportunities each with unique:
• Rate of return on capital invested
• Capital investments $1-10,000,000
• Cash flow
• Equity/debt ratios
• Private and public financing
• Business plans
• Sustainability of resources—long term procurement strategy
• Corporate structuring/accountability
• Payback period—2-10 years04/19/23FBi Forest BioProducts Inc. 7
Non Timber Forest Products
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Opportunity InvestmentReturn on
InvestmentJobs
CreatedRisk Factor
Ground hemlock $200,000 5-10%>20
seasonalLabour, accessibility of resource in the region
Fiddlehead ferns $25,000 50-75%>10
seasonalLabour, market demand, buyer prices
Wild mushrooms $50,000 5-30%>10
seasonalLabour, market demand, buyer prices
Wild blueberries $0 to $100,000 5-10%>10
seasonalLabour, market access, available land
Birch syrup $50,000 50-90% 3 seasonalMarket demand, buyer prices
Energy Sector Opportunities
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Opportunity InvestmentReturn on
InvestmentJobs
CreatedRisk Factor
Biodiesel $2,000,000 25-50% 5 full-timeFeedstocks and markets must be secured
Energy crops and natural fibres
variable 5-15% Part timeNeeds to be supported by local research to assess productivity
Creating energy conservation communities
$100,000 10-30% 2 full timeNeed to secure subsidies for start up
The wild side
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Opportunity InvestmentReturn on
InvestmentJobs
CreatedRisk Factor
Cultivation of specialty plants (marijuana) in mine shafts
$2,000,000 5-15% 5Must be associated with operating mine or must be dry shafts
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Presentation 2: academic argument
• To private sector: Small scale, decentralized bioeconomy businesses are emerging
• To governments: Foolishness is the act of repeating the same mistakes while expecting better outcomes
• To NGO’s: New approaches based on the democratization of knowledge are emerging because the most critical energy decisions will be made at Home Depot stores at 10:17 on Saturday mornings
Presentation 3: corporate argument
• Let’s invent “Maudit Bon Monde Inc” (MBMI)
• 100 shareholders
• Bioeconomy business
• MBMI’s First Shareholders Meeting
• Two investment opportunities: o Now at $10.00/share
o Later on the presentation at $ ?/share (my choice).
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MBMI’s First Shareholders Meeting
• Let’s invent “Maudit Bon Monde Inc” (MBMI)
• 100 shareholders
• Our goal: increase shareholder value to $1 B within 5 years
• Our vision: capitalize on trends in the bioeconomy—particularly energy sector
• Our values: the bioeconomy can be used to generate profit while benefiting humankind
• Goal of meeting: find market focus, technology & implementation strategy
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How to position MBMI: energy
• CIPO: 1080 patents on biomass transformation
• Google search:o 15,200,000 hits on biomass
o 6,220,000 hits on biofuels
o 850,000 hits on bioenergy solutions
• Bioeconomy is being introduced
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What we have to do to be credible
• Outstanding management team with accountabilities
• Protection of Intellectual Property
• Enough cast to support cash flow requirements
• Regulatory issues-labor, environment, electrical…
• Shortest distance between a good idea and making money
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Hubbert’s Peak is ushering bioeconomy
• The amount of oil under the ground is finite
• Pre-peak: rapid rise – discoveries & infrastructure
• Post-peak: rapid decline – resource depletion
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Energy facts
• One barrel of oil: 6.1 Gigajoules--$10/GJ• One car/light truck= 34, 43, 52 GJ/year• Steel fabrication: 18 GJ/tonne • Paper fabrication: 24 GJ/tonne• One dry tonne of biomass= 18 GJ• Panicum (switchgrass) = $8/GJ• One house = 116 GJ/year
o Space heating 70 GJo Hot water heating 25 GJ
• 4 % of Canada’s energy comes from biomass
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Overview of biofuel technologies
• Fermentation (Corn, wood—ethanol)
• Combustion (all biomass types)
• Gasification (all biomass types)
o Pyrolysis—bio-oil
o High temperature—syngas
o Catalytic conversion to methanol, biodiesel, ethanol
• Transesterification process-fats to biodiesel
• Wood pellets, chips
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Bioeconomy market failures (things we don’t want MBMI to do)
• IPO syndrome-they will buy it because it’s green
• To access markets, bioproducts (bioenergy) must be:
o Cost-effective in comparison to fossil fuels
o Trouble-free for consumers
o Be culturally acceptable
o Have the same distribution infrastructure as fossil fuels
• Commoditization of feedstocks
• Must underwrite less than two of the above risk factors
Technology size-where is there potential for revenues?
• Large scaleo Address large markets, own and operate
green energy technologies• E.g Atikokan Generating Station
• Small scaleo Fit technology to end users, sell and/or
license technology• E.g. small scale biodiesel manufacturing
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The Frankentank v3
• Patent pending (CIPO)
• ESA/CSA pending
• 220 V, single-phase
• 250 L batch in 8 hours
• 2 hours hands-on-time
• Dry-wash technique
• Methanol recovery
• Spill containment
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Feedstock
Volume (L) 250 250
% FFA 0% 5%
% MIU 0% 1%
Reactants
Triglycerides (kg) 220 207
Methanol (L)a 50 47
Catalyst
KOH (kg) 1.4 3.6
Products
Biodiesel (L)b 245 235
Glycerol (L) 22 21
Excess methanol (L)c 19 18
Soap (L)d 0 13
Total byproduct (L) 36 48
a - methanol is added at 18% w/w of triglyceride
b - 95% conversion of fat to biodiesel
c - 25% of XS in raw biodiesel; 75% in byproduct
d - 100% conversion of fatty acids to soaps
Canola Oil WVOAmount Cost Amount Cost
Feedstock (L, $/L) 250 $0.05 250 $0.00
Total ($)
Methanol (L, $/L) a b 50 $0.92 47 $0.92
Total ($)
Potassium Hydroxide (kg, $/kg) 1.4 $2.70 3.6 $2.70
Total ($)
Cleaning Powder (kg, $/kg) 1.0 $2.50 1.0 $2.50
Total ($)
Filter Bags (ea, $/ea) 2 $4.00 2 $4.00
Total ($)
Electricity (kWh, $/kWh) 16 $0.06 16 $0.06
Total ($)
TOTAL ($)
TOTAL ($/L)
a - methanol is bought at $1.25 per L
b - 70% of excess methanol is recovered
$1 $1
$46
$11 $0
$0.30 $0.27
$73 $64
$8 $8
$4 $10
$43
$3 $3
Canola Oil WVO
A few Frankenthoughts
Market opportunity
• Permit fuel/users to invest in technology to meet their needs/regional needs
• Reduce transport costs of biomass
• Take advantage of o Emerging gasification
o Emerging biodiesel
o Emerging biooil technologies
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Business opportunities: social entrepreneuship
• Development of technologies to fit the Democratization of Energy/Knowledge
• Deployment and operations of small scale technologies
• Working with communities to support their needs
• Managing the development process—there is no consulting firm out there that that can provide the ultimate consultant out there
o Project definition/management/delivery
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Why biodiesel is the buzz
$0.40
$0.60
$0.80
$1.00
$1.20
$1.40
$1.60
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Pu
mp
Pri
ce
- D
ies
el
($/L
)
• Diesel price increasing at $0.12 per L per year in Ontario
• 5 % biodiesel target in Canada
• Culturally acceptable
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Diesel in Canada - 2004
Residential Industrial cont…
Space heating 2,789,000 2,789,000 Petroleum Refining 16,000 336,000 352,000
Commerical/Institutional - Cement 5,000 5,000
Wholesale Trade 12,000 8,000 20,000 Chemicals 53,000 53,000
Retail Trade 32,000 21,000 53,000 Iron & Steel 189,000 189,000
Transportation & Warehousing 36,000 10,000 46,000 Other Manufacturing 43,000 43,000
Information & Culture 106,000 12,000 118,000 Forestry 10,000 - 10,000
Offices 240,000 81,000 321,000 Mining 93,000 1,000 94,000
Education Services 59,000 7,000 66,000 Transportation -
Health Care & Social Assistance 54,000 7,000 61,000 Passenger Transportation 1,724,000 1,724,000
Arts, Entertainment & Recreation 17,000 2,000 19,000 Freight Transportation 17,874,000 1,645,000 19,519,000
Accomodations & Food 37,000 16,000 53,000 Off-Road 761,000 64,000 825,000
Industrial - Agriculture -
Construction 332,000 332,000 Motive & Non-Motive 2,224,000 324,000 19,000 2,567,000
Pulp & Paper 23,000 189,000 212,000 Electricity Generatiion -
Smelting & Refining 1,000 1,000 Electricty Generation 166,000 3,864,000 4,030,000
Petroleum Refining 16,000 336,000 352,000 TOTAL 22,583,000 4,362,000 6,909,000 33,854,000
DFO = Diesel Fuel Oil
LFO & KER = Light Fuel Oil & Kerosene
HFO = Heavy Fuel Oil
SectorDFO
(103 L/yr)
LFO & KER
(103 L/yr)
HFO
(103 L/yr)
TOTAL
(103 L/yr)Sector
TOTAL
(103 L/yr)
HFO
(103 L/yr)
LFO & KER
(103 L/yr)
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20 cSt – Max Viscosity
Temperature (ºC)
Vis
co
sit
y (
cS
t)
Vegetable Oil
Diesel
Biodiesel
Viscosity-Temperature Curves
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The Biodiesel Reaction is simple
1) Waste Vegetable Oil
2) Raw Biodiesel (A)and Crude Byproduct (B)
3) Purified Biodiesel
A
B
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Quality Standard – ASTM D6751
Flash Point 93 130 min. degree C Water & Sediment 2709 0.05 max. vol. %Carbon Residue 4530 0.05 max. wt. %Sulfated Ash 874 0.02 max. wt. %Kinematic Viscosity (40ºC) 445 1.9 - 6.0 mm²/sec. Sulfur 5453 0.05 max. wt. % Cetane 613 47 min.Cloud Point 2500 By Customer degree C Copper Corrosion 130 No. 3 max.Acid Number 664 0.80 max. mg KOH/g Free Glycerin 6854 0.02 wt. % Total Glycerin 6854 0.24 wt. %Phosphorous 4951 10 max ppm Distillation 1160 360 max degree C
PropertyASTM Method
Limits Units
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Tailpipe Emission Reductions
US DOE – National Renewable Energy LabLow Sulfur Diesel vs. B20 (October, 2006)
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Energy Return on InvestmentRegular Diesel
Domestic Crude Production 0.573 48%
Foreign Crude Production 0.540 45%
Domestic Crude Transport 0.003 0%
Foreign Crude Transport 0.013 1%
Crude Oil Refining 0.065 5%
Diesel Fuel Transport 0.006 1%
TOTAL 1.201 100%
Biodiesel
Soybean Agriculture 0.066 21%
Soybean Transport 0.003 1%
Soybean Crushing 0.080 26%
Soy Oil Transport 0.007 2%
Soy Oil Conversion 0.151 48%
Biodiesel Transport 0.004 1%
TOTAL 0.311 100%
StagePrimary Energy
(MJ per MJ)Percent
StagePrimary Energy
(MJ per MJ)Percent
Fossil Energy Ratio = Energy In
Energy Out
FER Diesel = 0.83
Fossil Energy Ratio = Energy In
Energy Out
FER Biodiesel = 3.22
Energy Density of Diesel = 36 MJ/L
Energy Density of Biodiesel = 33 MJ/L
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Biodiesel – Tax AdvantagesCanada-Wide Road Tax on Diesel
BC – B5-B50 15.0 ¢/L exemption
MB – 11.5 ¢/L exemption
ON – 14.3 ¢/L exemption
QC – 16.2 ¢/L exemption
NS – 15.4 ¢/L exemption
PEI – 20.8 ¢/L in discussions
AB – 9.0 ¢/L no exemption
SK – 16.5 ¢/L no exemption
NB – 16.9 ¢/L no exemption
NFL – 16.5 ¢/L no exemption
YK – 9.1 ¢/L no exemption
NWT – 7.2 ¢/L no exemption
NU – 9.1 ¢/L no exemption
11.5¢15.0¢
Long term business strategy
• Develop market for product –5 continents
• Create a distribution system for Stick-it-to-The ManTm technologies
• Secure partnerships to develop new technologies/products
• Acquire companies with complementary technologies
• Create manufacturing strategies worldwide
• New venture: manage process for other businesses.
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Business opportunity: managing the development process on behalf of private sector/communities
• Idea to market
• Reducing technology risks
• Reducing market risks
• Finding the right talent to support small businesses
• Finding subsidies to support small businesses
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Psychological argument: risk and benefits
• Goal is $1 B in value
• 75 % grants and loans from governments
• Massive worldwide opportunities
• Great management team
• Current share value: $10/share—because we still are not certain to have success
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