erai executive conference executive brief - “the big picture” of compliance, counterfeits, and...
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What is the impact of disasters like the crisis in Japan, economic downturn following the collapse of Lehman, or environmental regulation EU RoHS on the availability, obsolescence, and counterfeiting of electronic components?See this Executive Brief and Market Intelligence overview from exclusive partners ERAI Inc and IHS Inc.• “The Big Picture” of Compliance, Counterfeits, and Continuity: How obsolescence, environmentalcompliance, and counterfeits are all linked to potential DMSMS, price/availability, design, andsupply chain disruptions.• IHS and ERAI Partnership: How to use end-to-end supply chain, procurement, and lifecycle capabilitiesto reduce risk, lower costs, improve security, and make better design decisions.• Market Intelligence tools from IHS Haystack, Standards Expert, and BOM Manager to implement anti-counterfeit standard AS5553 from SAE for end-to-end counterfeit avoidance and resolution. Proactive qualification and approval of designs,parts, and suppliers; mitigation of obsolescence effects with forecasting/ resolution practices;counterfeit and high risk part reporting, resolution and redesign.TRANSCRIPT
The Big Picture
End-to-End Supply Chain and Design Capabilities toMitigate Risk and Enable Performance
Rory King, Director Design & Supply Chain, IHSGlenn Bassett, VP Strategy, Design & Supply Chain, IHSMark Snider, President and Co-Founder, ERAI Inc.
April 29, 2011
• Founded in 1959, IHS is a leading source of information and expert analysis inpivotal areas shaping today’s global businesses
• Employs 4,400 colleagues in 30 countries who speak 50 different languages
• IHS customers include nearly 70% of the US Fortune1000 and 80% of theGlobal Fortune 500
• Tens of thousands of customers and hundreds of thousands of end-users in over 100 countries
• Public (2005) NYSE: IHS
• FY10 revenue $ 1,075 million
IHS Inc.A Leading Information Provider
2
Just a few of our clientsThousands of users globally
Avid
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 4
“The presence of counterfeitelectronic parts in the DefenseDepartment’s supply chain is agrowing problem that governmentand industry share a commoninterest in solving.”
Carl Levin, D-Michigan, andSen. John McCain, R-Arizona
March 2011
Current Pressures: Counterfeiting a PriorityEarly in 2011 top senators launched the investigation
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 5
Current Pressures: Japan CrisisJapan produces roughly 60% of silicon wafers globally
Semiconductor Fabs
1 Aizu Wakamatsu, Fukushima ON Semiconductor (Logic) Fujitsu (Analog, Discrete, Memory) Texas Instruments (Analog, Optical)
2 Atsugi, Kanagawa Mitsumi (Analog, Logic)
3 Goshogawara, Aomori Renesas (Logic)
4 Gunma ON Semiconductor (Discrete, Logic) Renesas (Analog, Discrete)
5 Hitachinaka, Ibaraki Renesas (Logic, Micro, Memory)
6 Iwate Fujitsu (Micro, Memory) Toshiba (Discrete)
7 Kofu, Yamanashi Renesas (Analog, Logic, Micro)
8 Miho, Ibaraki Texas Instruments (Analog, Optical)
9 Miyagi Fujitsu (Logic, Micro) Rohm (Discrete, Micro)
10 Sendai, Miyagi Freescale (Logic)
11 Shiroishi, Miyagi Sony Semiconductor (Logic)
12 Tsukuba, Ibaraki Rohm (Discrete)
13 Tsuruoka, Yamagata Renesas (Logic)
14 Utsunomiya, Tochigi Matushita (Discrete)
Silicon Wafer Production
A
B
C
D
Shin-Etsu Kamisu, Ibaraki
Shin-Etsu Nishigo, Fukushima
MEMC Utsunomiya, Tochigi
SUMCO Yonezawa, Yamagata
Display Manufacturing Hitachi Displays Panasonic LCD Tohoku Pioneer
Resins, Films, Chemicals,Copper Clad Laminate…
Fukushima
Epicenter
A
B
D
C
1
3
2
4
Tokyo7
6
85
910
11
12
14
13
Source – IHS iSuppli
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6
EU RoHS Recast
EU REACH & SVHCSIN List - Substitute It Now!
US California Proposition 65
EU Battery DirectiveENERGY STAR
ISO 14064 GHG Standards Norway PoHS
Carbon Disclosure Project (CDP)
Electronic Product EnvironmentalAssessment Tool (EPEAT)
Japan Green
Priority Declarable Substances List
(ASD PDSL)
Environmentally Preferred Products (EPP)
Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI)
PCF - Product Carbon Footprint
UN Stockholm PersistentOrganic Pollutants (POPS)
US FDA
China RoHS
Thailand’s “RoHS”
US EPA Executive Orders
Toxic Substances Control Act (TSCA)Health Canada / Canada’s Chemical
Management Plan
Customer RFP
Full Material Disclosure
Product Content Disclosure
Lifecycle Assessment (LCA)Water
Hazardous
Substances
Energy
Waste
DEHP-Free
Bisphenol-A “BPA Free”
Volatile Organic Compounds
Air Safety
Health
Security
Natural Resources
Argentina RoHS
EU RoHS and WEEE
Directives
Greenpeace
EU Medical Device Directive
EU RoHS and WEEE
Directives
Current Pressures: Environmental ComplianceRegardless of exemptions these have a ripple effect on materials used
Conflict Minerals
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 7
Example: Impact of Environmental Complianceon Through-Life Obsolescence Management
Business Pressures InfluencingProducts
Drivers of innovation and lifecycle decisions.
Product Lifecycle Stages
Products
Parts/Materials
The Supply Chain ProblemOptimizing supply to meet demand.
Introduction
Growth
MaturityDecline
Phase-Out
Obsolete
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 8
Market Shiftto EU RoHS
Example: RoHS’ Unplanned Lifecycle Impact2M+ new parts. Major part changes. Cause of over 20% EOL in ‘06-07.
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
End of Life (EOL)Specific to RoHS/Pb-free Environmental Compliance
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
New Product Introductions (NPI )Specific to RoHS/Pb-free Environmental Compliance
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Product Change Notices (PCN)Specific to RoHS/Pb-free Environmental Compliance
NPI
EOL
PCN
RoHS in Force July 1, 2006
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 9
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Gross EOL by YEAR ENDING 2004 - 2009
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Gross EOL by YEAR ENDING 2004 - 2009Gross EOL by MONTH 2008
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
0
206
619
Gross EOL by MONTH 2008
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
0
206
619EU REACH SVHCPublishedLehman files
Chapter 11
EOL by MFR due solely todemand/sales forecast.
Economic Recession and Chemical Restrictions:The two most dominant factors in the 300% increase of End of Life (EOL) for electrical components exiting 2008.
4
Economic Recession Imposed MajorLifecycle Disruptions
Source: IHS Component Insight, 2010
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 10
Recession triggered large inventory reductions –primary reduction in non-compliant parts employedby medical device companies
Shortages of key electronics components…became pronounced in the first quarter FY10,and continued in the second.
General Electric Co. said supply constraints forelectronic components used in its healthcareequipment cost the company $50 million insales for the quarter.
Effect: Material Shortages andIncreased Lead Time (among other things…)
August 5, 2010
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 1111
Implication: Rising Lead Time = Keyindicator for Increased CounterfeitActivity
What do counterfeits do
Increase warranty/maint. costs 65%
Reduce expected product life 64%
Inhibit sales / customer satisfaction 62%
Add to individual unit costs 51%
Increase development time/costs 38%
What do counterfeits cause?
Product quality/reliability failures 84%
Customer returns/recalls 67%
Production line stoppages 57%
Product launch delays 36%
What do counterfeits impact?
Damage brand / reputation 71%
Product safety / legal liability 55%
Expose contractual liability 42%
Compromise security 37%
Undermine compliance claims 44%
Incidents Continue to Rise
“Jeopardize our missionsand soldiers safety.”
"They ground aircraft and impact airplane safety.”
Source: “Benchmarking Counterfeit & Inferior Grade Components”,Supply & Demand Chain Executive, 2009
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 12
Correlation: Counterfeits and EOLObsolescence and allocation pose significant risk
Source: IHS Inc. 2011
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 13
Tin Whisker Images Courtesy of the NASA
COMPLIANCE (explicit)Fines, Penalties, Recalls, Data, IT, Supplier Evaluation….
SUPPLY CHAIN & DESIGN COSTObsolescence, Supplier Viability, Material Shortages, Continuity
SUPPLIER/MATERIAL COSTSPrice Variance, Manufacturing Processes, Inventory/LTB…
SAFETY & SECURITY COSTSReliability, Tin Whiskers, Counterfeits…
JapaneseElectronics OEM
Recall
Regulatory event = $160M+ governmentseizure of 1M+ product units due to highcadmium concentration levels found insystem cables suspected to violate EU law.
US ConsumerProducts OEM
Recall
Design reliability = $1B+ recall logistics,warranty extensions, excessiverework/repair, while customer loyalty dippedto resolve reliability issues causing hardwarefailure.
Counterfeits and Inferior Grade Components
Source: UK MOD
Conclusion: RoHS Was Very “Costly”Compliance is really not the issue – Obsolescence risks are…
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 14
EU RoHS Recast
EU REACH & SVHCSIN List - Substitute It Now!
US California Proposition 65
EU Battery Directive
ENERGY STAR
ISO 14064 GHG Standards Norway PoHS
Carbon Disclosure Project (CDP)
Electronic Product EnvironmentalAssessment Tool (EPEAT)
Japan Green
Priority Declarable Substances List
(ASD PDSL)
Environmentally Preferred Products (EPP)
Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI)
PCF - Product Carbon Footprint
UN Stockholm PersistentOrganic Pollutants (POPS)
US FDA
China RoHS
Thailand’s “RoHS”
US EPA Executive Orders
Toxic Substances Control Act (TSCA)Health Canada / Canada’s Chemical
Management Plan
Customer RFP
Full Material Disclosure
Product Content Disclosure
Lifecycle Assessment (LCA)Water
Hazardous
Substances
Energy
Waste
DEHP-Free
Bisphenol-A “BPA Free”
Volatile Organic Compounds
Air Safety
Health
Security
Natural Resources
Argentina RoHS
Greenpeace
EU Medical Device Directive
EU RoHS and WEEE Directives
And… RoHS Was Just the Beginning…The discontinuous sustainability and compliance shift
Conflict Minerals
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 15
Now… EU REACH is a Huge DealEuropean Commission roadmap includes 106 priority SVHC by 2012
15
Source: “EU and industry REACH different conclusions”, Jane’s, September 2009
“Airbus UK’s director of operations andcompliance, said the cost of REACH had
been evaluated at several million Euro overthree years, with provisions up to hundreds
of millions of Euro over five years”…
“…[He] said there is a level of ambiguitybecause it will depend ‘on the substancesthat will finally be added to the candidatelist and in Annex XIV’. Airbus UK has set its
2009 REACH budget at some EUR12 million.”
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 16
“Substances”are individual
chemicals
Semiconductors
Communications
Energy & Utilities
Electronic Devices
Aerospace & Defense
Consumer Goods
Chemical & ProcessManufacturedImported Used
“Preparations”are mixturesor solutions
“Articles”any objectproduced
EU REACH “Chemicals” Sectors Impacted
Medical & Healthcare
Why “Hundreds of Millions” in Risk?Material restrictions change the entire supply and demand picture
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 17
Deca-BDE?
Phthalates?
Cadmium?
DEHP?
Lead?
This is NOT exclusive to Any IndustryA typical hospital setting…
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 1818
Entering 2010, the top 3 regulatory drivers
influencing program / resource allocations?
Source: Benchmarking Medical Supply Chains, Supply& Demand Chain Executive, March 2010 (prelim.
Results)
0% 5% 10% 15% 20%
US FDA (e.g. CFR 21)
EU REACH & SVHC
EU RoHS/WEEE
EU Medical Device…
EU RoHS Recast / v2
China RoHS
Health Canada /…
RoHS - Other…
Toxic Substances…
Proposition 65…
87.5%
79.1%
77.0%
72.9%
68.7%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Technical Fit (e.g.Form, Fit, Function)
Material Disclosure &Composition
Compliance Status
Reliability
Lifecycle Analysis &Supply Continuity
4.5%
4.5%
8.0%
30.7%
20.5%
31.8%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Less than 1 Month
1 - 3 Months
3 - 6 Months
6 - 12 Months
12 - 18 Months
More than 18 months
Figure 2: Redesign or certifying your
primary product/line would take?
Source: Survey of 17 of 18 Fortune 1000 TopMedical Products & Equipment companies and
50+ other manufacturers, “Redesigning MedicalSupply Chains”, Supply & Demand Chain
Executive, Thursday, October 15, 2009
Figure 3: To evaluate new or existing
parts for material compliance, which
factors play a role in part selection?
Source: Live Audience Poll Supply & DemandChain Executive Webcast "Redesigning Medical
Supply Chains" Supply & Demand ChainExecutive, Thursday, October 15, 2009
Top 2010 environmental compliance
drivers include the FDA and EU
REACH, RoHS + Recast and MDD.
50% + of all redesign and
certification of medical products
would take more than a year.
Compliance requires comprehensive
material composition, supply chain,
technical design and lifecycle data.
Medical Products Are Exposed to RiskComplex Regulations Long Cycles Major Design & SC Analysis Required
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 19
The Entire Medical Peer Group is WatchingWe held a Webcast called “Redesigning Medical Supply Chains”
… and only 1 did not join our webcast…
Over $80B in spend among the Fortune 1000…
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 20
20
What Steps Can be Taken to Mitigate Risk?Buyer and Supplier must collaborate on regulations, standards, and implementation thereof
Airworthy?
Regulations Standards Parts
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 21
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
End of Life (EOL)Specific to RoHS/Pb-free Environmental Compliance
Monitor Lifecycles PCN/EOL to Detect Issues Price/Lead Time Counterfeit Incidents
Early Warning System to Avoid RiskRobust supply chain traceability and alerting methods to mitigate risk
Qualify+ ApproveQualify
+ ApproveManage+ AvoidManage+ Avoid
Validate+ DetectValidate+ Detect
Report+ ResolveReport
+ ResolveRedesign+ ResupplyRedesign+ Resupply
Establish infrastructure tomitigate risk through qualifiedand approved designs,suppliers, & parts.
Update processes, tools, andinformation to avoidcounterfeit and high riskparts.
Validate, sample and testcomponents for authenticity.Quarantine suspectedcounterfeits.
Procedures to notifystakeholders, reportoccurrences, and resolveincidents.
Maintain controlleddesign/redesign cycles ofproducts. Optimize parts,inventory, and suppliers.
Challenge
…mission failure!
Economic downturn…Environmental Compliance
…shortage… …fake parts…
Establish the Information, Tools, and Processes to Mitigate Risk
Introduction
Growth
MaturityDecline
Phase-Out
Obsolete
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 22
3 Essential Steps We’ll Discuss
Establish the Tools, Processes, and People…
• Standards and Regulations Management
• Technology Value Chain Insight
• BOM and Parts Management
• Counterfeit Intelligence
Identify and Mitigate Supply Chain Risks
Avoid, Detect, and Resolve Counterfeits
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 23
1. ESTABLISH THE TOOLS,PROCESSES, AND PEOPLE…
Best Practice Workflow
Rory KingDirector, Design & Supply ChainIHS Inc
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 24
Standards – A Lead Role in Risk MitigationSAE AS5553 within IHS Standards Expert
24
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 25
Did You Know-Standards Refer to Standards?SAE AS5553 Standard: Counterfeit Electronic Parts; Avoidance, Detection, Mitigation, and Disposition
25
JEDEC
MIL-STD
EIA
ANSI
ISO QMS
IEC
Did you know, AS5553 refers to:-20+ primary references-300+ secondary references
… a lot of critical information…
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 26
IHS clients get standards in one placeStandards collections, revisions, alerts to updates…
26
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 27
Same with Technology Market IntelligenceIHS iSuppli iLibrary for clients
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 28
Market, Commodity, and Manufacturing InsightIHS iSuppli provides technology value chain market intelligence
Source: IHS iSuppli 2011 – Do Not Use or Reproduce
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 29
Component Supply HealthClients gain a view into health of critical components
Source: IHS iSuppli April 2011 Component Health Watch (CHW)
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 30
2. IDENTIFY AND MITIGATESUPPLY CHAIN RISKS
BEST PRACTICE WORKFLOW
Glenn BassettVP Strategic Business DevelopmentIHS Design & Supply Chain
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 31
Risk Identification
• Some examples…
• Predicted Obsolescence• i.e. Proactive Avoiding of Design Risk
• Component Health Risk• i.e. Rising Costs and Lead Times, Allocation
• Lifecycle Event Risk• i.e. EOL / Lifebuy Notice
• Supply Chain Failure• i.e. Potential Impact of Japan Crisis
• Counterfeit Incident• i.e. Suspected Counterfeit or High Risk Part
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 32
Moving From Risk Identification To Mitigation
• From Manufacturer & Commodity To End Units Impacted
• Identifying Components In My Business
• Linking Down To BOMS & End Devices
• Prioritize Key Components/BOMS/Devices
• Identifying Sources Of Inventory
• Leverage Alternate Sourcing Tools
• Identify Mitigation Plan Working With Suppliers
• Develop Counterfeit Mitigation Plan
• Longer Term Impacts
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 33
Moving From Manufacturer/Commodity To MPN
• Leverage Reference Database To Identify MPNs At Risk
• Analyze AVL For Linkage In Risk Components
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 34
Moving From MPN To BOM
Shown: IHS BOM Manager
• Leveraging BOM Tools In PLM,PDM, Or In This Case IHS BOMManager Helps Move From MPNTo Affected BOM
• With BOM Identified, End UnitExposure Can Be Correlated
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 35
Prioritize Key Components, BOM, Devices
In-production with near-termdelivery
Proto-type / Pre-ProductionNPI Production Imminent
• Prioritize End Unit Exposure
• Calculate Time Horizon / Revenue Risk Profile
• Prioritize Through End Unit Back To Component
Calculate Inventory Need & Priority
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 36
Where can I get this?
Where Does Current InventoryExist?
• Direct from the Factory
• Approved Vendor / Manufacturer(AVL / AML)
• Franchised and AuthorizedSources
• Approved Independent Distributors
• ERAI Members
• Valid Alternate Parts or Sources
Shown: IHS-ERAI
Shown: IHS BOM Manager
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 37
What alternatives exist?
Equivalent Parts?Upgrades? Downgrades?Functionally equivalent options?Are they ROHS Compliant?
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 38
Choices
• AVL Or Alternate• Authorized Channel Inventory
• Secondary Market
• Inventory Investment• Bridge Buy
• Making Bets On Near Term Recovery Or Redesign
• Lifetime Buy
• Mitigating Greater Risk Time Horizon
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 39
Counterfeit Incident TrackingERAI and GIDEP are 2 sources of validated incident reports
Source: IHS Inc. 2011
Of reports made, 9% came from GIDEP and 91% from ERAI during the period shown.
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 40
The Last 6-Years of Component EOL2009 – Economic Events Drive EOL: What About 2012
Manufacturer-Issued End of Life (EOL)Distribution of EOL by Dominant Business Driver
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Unspecified / Administrative
Supply Side
Organizational
Innovation, Technology, and Manufacturing
Environmental Compliance
Demand-Side
Impact of RoHSCompliance
Demand-Side Drivers~90% of EOL in 2009
Technology< 25% of Change
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 41
Moving From Risk Identification To Mitigation
• From Manufacturer & Commodity To End Units Impacted
• Identifying Components In My Business
• Linking Down To BOMS & End Devices
• Prioritize Key Components/BOMS/Devices
• Identifying Sources Of Inventory
• Leverage Alternate Sourcing Tools
• Identify Mitigation Plan Working With Suppliers
• Develop Counterfeit Mitigation Plan
• Longer Term Impacts
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 42
3. AVOID, DETECT, ANDRESOLVE COUNTERFEITS
Best Practice Workflow
Mark SniderPresident,ERAI Inc.
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 43
Our Commitment is Personal
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 44
• Founded in 1995, ERAI is an information services organization thatmonitors, investigates and reports issues affecting the global hi-techelectronics supply chain.
• ERAI provides tools to mitigate risks on substandard parts, counterfeitparts, vendors and even customers.
• Subscribers include OEMs, CMs, Distributors, OCMs, governmentagencies and industry associations.
• Founding participant in SAE International G-19 Counterfeit ElectronicComponents Committee and several sub-groups
ERAI Inc.A World of Information at Your Fingertips
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 45
• ERAI is not a distributoror parts broker
• ERAI is not a sourcebookor online catalog
• ERAI is not a componentmanufacturer or OEM
• ERAI is not a test labor inspection service
• ERAI is not a qualitystandards organization
Who ERAI is not…
We do notbuy, sell, or test parts!
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 46
Exclusive Partner to Only IHSOne provider of counterfeit alerts and supply chain risk mitigation
46
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 47
Why? IHS ClientsThousands of users globally
Avid
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 48
Source: ERAI Inc, 2004 to YTD Feb 2011
What’s Being Counterfeited?
Source: IHS Component Insight, IHS Inc, 2011* 2011 figures are projected annual estimates based on March YTD 2011 actuals and previous annual proportions.
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 49
What’s Being Counterfeited?Part Classes with 1.5% or more of total incidents
49
Rank Minor or Leaf Class Major Class # Incidents % of Total
1 Operational Amplifier ANALOG IC 194 6.0%
2 Programmable ROM MEMORY IC 176 5.5%
3 Microcontroller MICROPROCESSOR IC 157 4.9%
4 Static RAM MEMORY IC 143 4.5%
5 Programmable Logic Device PROG LOGIC IC 140 4.4%
6 FET General Purpose Power TRANSISTOR 131 4.1%
7 Field Programmable Gate Array PROG LOGIC IC 109 3.4%
8 Line Driver or Receiver INTERFACE IC 100 3.1%
9 Analog to Digital Converter ANALOG IC 96 3.0%
10 Switching Regulator or Controller LINEAR REGULATOR 92 2.9%
11 Power Management Circuit LINEAR REGULATOR 80 2.5%
12 Peripheral Driver INTERFACE IC 60 1.9%
13 Digital to Analog Converter ANALOG IC 57 1.8%
14 Ceramic Capacitor CAPACITOR 56 1.7%
15 Microprocessor MICROPROCESSOR IC 54 1.7%
16 Dynamic RAM MEMORY IC 49 1.5%
52.8%
Top Counterfeit Incidents Reported by Part ClassClasses with 1.5% or Greater Proportion of Total Incidents
Source: IHS Inc, 2011* 2011 figures are factored projected based on March YTD 2011 and previous annual proportions.
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 50
Industry’s Reported Counterfeit IncidentsERAI and GIDEP are 2 sources of validated incident reports
50
Source: IHS Inc. 2011
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 51
Over 50 counterfeits in the last 14 days!Shown: ERAI Reported Parts
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 52
How Risk Enters Your Supply ChainIntended and unintended ports of entry for counterfeits
1. Many unsafe part & supplier “sources”
• Online Broker Search Engines
• Maverick procurement methods or spending limits
2. These are counterfeit ports of entry
• Rapid access to millions of parts
• Minimal membership requirements
• Quick & easy access to a large audience of buyers
3. Are you creating your own shortages?
• Multiple RFQ’s create false demand signals
• Leads to price increases and incentive for counterfeiting
Request for QuoteRequest for Quote
Request for Quote…………
Request for Quote
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 53
53
No Supplier is Immune from RiskLack of accountability and traceability allows counterfeits to enter
“It is not uncommon, however,for authorized distributors topurchase parts outside of theOCM supply chain in order to
fulfill customer requirements –58 percent purchase parts from
other sources.
Specifically, 47 percent ofauthorized distributors procure
parts from independentdistributors, 29 percent procure
from brokers, and 27 percentprocure from Internet-exclusive
sources.”
Source: U.S. Department of Commerce,Office of Technology Evaluation,
Counterfeit Electronics Survey,November 2009.
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 54
Best Practices to Avoid RiskStay Within Your Trusted Supply Chain
1. Direct from the Factory
2. Approved Vendor / Manufacturer (AVL / AML)
3. Franchised and Authorized Sources
4. Approved Independent Distributors
5. ERAI Members
6. Valid Alternate Parts or Sources• Distributors, Aftermarket Sources
• Alternate Parts - Upgrades, Downgrades, Equivalents…
• Manufacturers and Products sanctioned by qualifying authorities• Government QML/QPL
Contractually define your expectations. Test accordingly.Contractually define your expectations. Test accordingly.
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 55
“The presence of counterfeitelectronic parts in the DefenseDepartment’s supply chain is agrowing problem that governmentand industry share a commoninterest in solving.”
Carl Levin, D-Michigan, andSen. John McCain, R-Arizona
March 2011
Congress Investigation LaunchedEarly in 2011 senators launched the investigation
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 56
Industry’s Recognized ReportsGIDEP and ERAI are the counterfeit reporting entities
Recognized by U.S. SenateRecognized by the G-19
IHS + ERAI WorkflowWhat it looks like to thousands of IHS users
AUTHORIZATIONREQUIRED
AUTHORIZATIONREQUIRED
ERAI notices GIDEP notices
Example: Alert to Infineon BTS716GCustomers alerted to counterfeit incident as reported by ERAI
•Subscribers of IHS 4DOnline BOM Manager, COMET, and Parts Universe have access toalerts from ERAI, GIDEP, and other sources.•Subscribers to the IHS-ERAI solution provides ERAI membership, giving them access toERAI’s comprehensive market intelligence community, tools, and services.
Alert!
Example: Infineon BTS716GAlerts are accessible via the IHS product
Users Seamlessly Navigate to ERAIIHS customers browse directly from IHS into ERAI products
It Provides Complete Reported Parts DetailProvides access to ERAI market intelligence
Vet Real Stock from “Available” PartsIt limits risk exposure from fake sources and price games
Ability to Vet the Open MarketExample ERAI Member Details
Ability to Vet Open Market SourcesQualify your suppliers
ASK YOUR SUPPLIERS…
Industry Membership and Reporting?
Quality System and Processes?
Warranty and Insurance?
Supplier Qualification and Purchasing Process?
Non-Conforming Material Control?
Inspection and Test?
Efforts made to verify a Parts’ Authenticity before use?
ASK YOUR SUPPLIERS…
Industry Membership and Reporting?
Quality System and Processes?
Warranty and Insurance?
Supplier Qualification and Purchasing Process?
Non-Conforming Material Control?
Inspection and Test?
Efforts made to verify a Parts’ Authenticity before use?
Search and Monitor Supplier RiskA wide range of incidents pose serious business problems
Example: AAOK ElectronicsPast due invoices, wire fraud, faulty product for example…
BOM Risk Analysis & Monitoringvia ERAI BOM Scrubber
BOM Analysis: Risk IdentifiedFile is processed in seconds; can be monitored after
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Report and Resolve IncidentsComprehensive reporting of part and supplier complaints
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 70
Conclusion – Fight the FakesApril’s digital edition of Supply & Demand Chain Executive magazine
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 71
Steps to Securing the Supply ChainWith market intelligence from IHS and ERAI
Establish the Tools, Processes, and People…
• Standards and Regulations Management
• Technology Value Chain Insight
• BOM and Parts Management
• Counterfeit Intelligence
Identify and Mitigate Supply Chain Risks
Avoid, Detect, and Resolve Counterfeits
Copyright © 2011 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved. 72
Thank You
Questions?
Rory King, Director Design & Supply Chain, IHS
Glenn Bassett, VP Strategy, Design & Supply Chain, IHS
Mark Snider, President and Co-Founder, ERAI Inc.