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Estimates of the Total Populations of Counties and Places in Texas for July 1, 2018 and January 1, 2019 Produced by: The Population Estimates and Projections Program at The Texas Demographic Center The University of Texas at San Antonio October 2019

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Page 1: Estimates of the Total Populations of Counties and Places ...July 1, 2018, when estimates appeared to be inconsistent with other indicators of population and population change, an

Estimates of the Total Populations of Counties and Places in Texas

for July 1, 2018 and January 1, 2019

Produced by:

The Population Estimates and Projections Program

at

The Texas Demographic Center

The University of Texas at San Antonio

October 2019

Page 2: Estimates of the Total Populations of Counties and Places ...July 1, 2018, when estimates appeared to be inconsistent with other indicators of population and population change, an

Population estimates for counties are completed using three methods: ratio-correlation, component-

method II, and housing-unit method. These methods and the types of data used for each are

discussed below.

Ratio-correlation procedures utilize multiple regression techniques with the ratio of variable values for

adjacent time periods rather than simply using the variable values themselves as independent and

dependent variables. After an extensive evaluation of the relative accuracy of alternative procedures

(including difference-rate, ratio-correlation, and rate-correlation methods) and an analysis of

alternative variables, a simple ratio-correlation model was employed to complete the final estimates.

This model used the variables of births, deaths, elementary school enrollment, vehicle registration,

and voter registration.

The component-method II procedure employed utilizes data on births, deaths, and elementary school

enrollment to estimate population. In this method, migration of the school-age population is assumed

to be indicative of migration in the total population (with adjustments being made for the historical

differences between the school-age migration rate and the total population's rate of migration). Data

on public school enrollment from the Texas Education Agency and data from the Texas Demographic

Center's survey of private schools in Texas are used to estimate change in the school-age population.

Data on institutional populations were obtained from applicable institutions, while data on other special

populations, such as the elderly population, utilize Medicare enrollment acquired from the Centers for

Medicare and Medicaid Services in the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services.

The housing-unit method used is of the standard form with change in the number of housing units in

the housing stock of an area, from the base date (in this case, the 2010 Census) to the estimate date

(in this case, July 1, 2018), being used to estimate population change. New housing additions and

demolitions are taken from the U.S. Census Bureau survey of building permits and demolitions and

the Texas Demographic Center’s survey of counties and cities issuing permits for residential buildings

The estimates of the total population for counties and places in Texas for July 1, 2018 and January 1,

2019 are completed by personnel from the Texas Demographic Center at The University of Texas at

San Antonio. In this brief report, the methodology used to prepare the estimates is described.

Because of space limitations, only a summary of the methodology is presented. Those wishing to

obtain a more complete description of the estimation procedures and of the historical and sensitivity

analyses used to select the methods employed in these estimates should contact program personnel

in the Texas Demographic Center at The University of Texas at San Antonio.

Introduction

Methodology for County Estimates

Page 3: Estimates of the Total Populations of Counties and Places ...July 1, 2018, when estimates appeared to be inconsistent with other indicators of population and population change, an

and demolitions. Both the U.S. Census Bureau's building permit survey and the Texas Demographic

Center's survey can only collect data from permit issuing county and city jurisdictions (methods for

dealing with non-permit issuing places are discussed later). Assumptions about vacancy rates and

average household size are then used in conjunction with data on the number of housing units in an

estimate area (including those in the area at the base date and the net number of units added to, or

subtracted from, the base housing stock for the time period between the base date and the estimate

date). Separate estimates are completed by type of structure with the types used being single-family

structures, 2 to 4 unit structures, structures with 5 or more units, and manufactured U.S. Department

of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) inspected/mobile homes. For purposes of the 2018

estimates, vacancy rates and average household sizes for each of the housing structure types from

the U.S. Census Bureau’s American Community Survey (ACS) 2017 5-year Summary File were used.

For 2018, the estimates of the number of new manufactured HUD inspected/mobile homes added to

an area's housing stock were obtained from the Texas Demographic Center's survey of building

permits and demolitions. The sum of manufactured HUD inspected/mobile homes from the survey was

subtracted from the U.S. Census Bureau's estimate of the total number of manufactured HUD

inspected/mobile homes shipped to Texas. The difference was allocated to jurisdictions on the basis

of the change in units in jurisdictions for other housing types from 2000 through 2010, to estimate the

distribution for July 1, 2018.

Prior to the release of these estimates, county estimates are evaluated for consistency and

reasonableness by the Texas Demographic Center and external reviewers from other Sate and local

agencies. While generally the housing-unit population estimate is used as the population estimate for

July 1, 2018, when estimates appeared to be inconsistent with other indicators of population and

population change, an estimate produced using another method (i.e., component-method II, ratio-

correlation method, or an average of methods) could be selected as the estimate for July 1, 2018. The

total of all county estimates are then controlled to the July 1, 2018 estimate for the State obtained from

the U.S. Census Bureau.

The January 1, 2019 estimates are obtained by adding births to and subtracting deaths from July 1,

2018 through December 31, 2018, to the July 1, 2018 estimates and assuming that July 1, 2017 to

July 1, 2018 rates of migration continue from July 1, 2018 to January 1, 2019. The State and county

estimates are obtained using the same method with the sum of the county estimates controlled to the

For places, population estimates were made using the same three methods as used for county

estimates. To complete the component-method II estimates for places for 2018, standard component

procedures were applied to 2010 Census population counts. The 2010 Census population used as a

base for the place estimates includes population adjustments that were accepted by the Census

Bureau as a result of the Count Question Resolution (CQR) process. County level birth and death

data from the Texas Department of State Health Services and data from the Texas Education Agency

Methodology for Place Estimates

Page 4: Estimates of the Total Populations of Counties and Places ...July 1, 2018, when estimates appeared to be inconsistent with other indicators of population and population change, an

on public school enrollment and from the Texas Demographic Center’s survey of enrollment in private

schools were used in this procedure. In addition, data on Medicare enrollment is acquired from the

Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services and data on the net movement of persons from the

military to the civilian population were obtained for counties from the U.S. Census Bureau. Values for

each of these items were allocated from counties to places prior to the completion of the place

estimates. Such allocation procedures were necessary because data items that were available for

places (such as birth and death data) showed year-to-year fluctuations and reporting errors that made

the direct use of place-level data problematic. The general allocation procedures used for these items

involved population subgroups closely associated with the item being allocated (i.e., women of

childbearing age for fertility, school-age population for school enrollment, the total population for

deaths, persons 65+ years of age for Medicare enrollment, and the population 14-17 years of age for

net movement). The number in the appropriate subgroups for each place and the remainder of the

county in each county in 2010 were survived to July 1, 2018, and the sum of the survived groups in

each place and the remainder of the county were controlled to the county total for the item as reported

from the appropriate agency to obtain the value for each place. Place estimates were completed for

July 1, 2018 and adjusted to account for population changes due to annexations or other boundary

changes as obtained from the annual Texas Demographic Center boundary and annexation survey.

The housing unit estimates for places were completed using the same general procedures delineated

above (for counties) except that it was necessary to use procedures to allocate new housing units and

demolitions to places that were not reporting jurisdictions. This was done by taking the difference

between the county totals for new building permits and demolitions and the sum of values for places

for which data were reported for a county and proportionally allocating the difference to the non-

reporting places. For the 2018 estimates, the allocation was done on the basis of the non-reporting

places' proportions of county housing stocks as reported in the 2010 Census.

The third method used is the ratio-correlation method. Ratio correlation estimates were made to

allocate county populations to places (and non-place areas) using births, deaths, and housing units for

places as estimation items.

Prior to the release of these estimates, place estimates were evaluated for consistency and

reasonableness by the Texas Demographic Center and external reviewers from other Sate and local

agencies. While generally the housing-unit population estimate is used as the population estimate for

July 1, 2018, when estimates appeared to be inconsistent with other indicators of population and

population change, an estimate produced using another method (component-method II, ratio-

correlation method ,or an average of methods) could be selected as the estimate for July 1, 2018. The

sum of the estimated populations for places in each county (and for that part of each county's

population not living in places) were controlled to county totals to ensure consistency with the county

estimates.

The January 1, 2019 place estimates are prepared using the same extrapolative procedures as

described above for the State and county. Place estimates for each county for January 1, 2019 are

controlled to the county estimate for January 1, 2019.

Page 5: Estimates of the Total Populations of Counties and Places ...July 1, 2018, when estimates appeared to be inconsistent with other indicators of population and population change, an

Ph: 210-458-6543

Fx: 210-458-6540

[email protected]

http://demographics.texas.gov

Dr. Helen You or Dr. Lloyd Potter

Texas Demographic Center

The University of Texas at San Antonio

501 W. César E. Chávez Blvd.

San Antonio, Texas 78207-4415

If you have any questions concerning these estimates, please contact:

The estimates presented here differ from those from other sources, such as those periodically pro-

duced by the U.S. Census Bureau, for several reasons. These estimates have been produced using

techniques that are different than those used by the Census Bureau. The Census Bureau uses only

the distributive housing unit method to estimate place populations and the administrative records

method to estimate county populations. Because the administrative records method uses income tax

data that are not available to analysts outside the Census Bureau, this technique cannot be used by

other agencies. In addition, the estimates reported in the following pages utilize more recent data than

those used by the U.S. Census Bureau. The Census Bureau's county estimates utilize 2017 birth and

death data, whereas 2018 values were employed in the Texas Demographic Center estimates report-

ed here. Also, the Census Bureau utilizes birth and death data only in their county level estimates,

while the Texas Demographic Center includes current births and deaths in both county and place level

estimates. Finally, the Census Bureau estimates include legal boundary updates reported before Jan-

uary 1, 2018 but do not include more recent information for places, whereas information on annexa-

tion and boundary changes through the 2018 calendar year were included in the estimates completed

by the Texas program. Because of these differences, the population estimates presented here and

those from the U.S. Census Bureau are not directly comparable.

Comparisons to U.S. Census Bureau Estimates

Page 6: Estimates of the Total Populations of Counties and Places ...July 1, 2018, when estimates appeared to be inconsistent with other indicators of population and population change, an

County

Revised 2010CensusCount

July 1, 2018PopulationEstimate

January 1, 2019PopulationEstimate

NumericalChange2010-18

NumericalChange2010-19

PercentChange2010-18

PercentChange2010-19

Anderson 58,458 58,979 58,854 521 396 0.9 0.7Andrews 14,786 18,678 19,232 3,892 4,446 26.3 30.1Angelina 86,771 91,687 92,353 4,916 5,582 5.7 6.4Aransas 23,158 23,724 23,031 566 -127 2.4 -0.5Archer 9,054 9,459 9,625 405 571 4.5 6.3Armstrong 1,901 1,948 1,949 47 48 2.5 2.5Atascosa 44,911 50,233 50,276 5,322 5,365 11.9 11.9Austin 28,417 31,504 31,724 3,087 3,307 10.9 11.6Bailey 7,165 7,179 7,256 14 91 0.2 1.3Bandera 20,485 22,723 22,874 2,238 2,389 10.9 11.7Bastrop 74,171 88,157 88,296 13,986 14,125 18.9 19.0Baylor 3,726 3,753 3,740 27 14 0.7 0.4Bee 31,861 33,240 33,039 1,379 1,178 4.3 3.7Bell 310,235 353,634 356,587 43,399 46,352 14.0 14.9Bexar 1,714,773 1,979,294 1,991,779 264,521 277,006 15.4 16.2Blanco 10,497 11,772 11,835 1,275 1,338 12.1 12.7Borden 641 667 666 26 25 4.1 3.9Bosque 18,212 18,916 18,882 704 670 3.9 3.7Bowie 92,565 97,397 97,488 4,832 4,923 5.2 5.3Brazoria 313,166 375,517 383,058 62,351 69,892 19.9 22.3Brazos 194,851 226,294 228,292 31,443 33,441 16.1 17.2Brewster 9,232 9,249 9,128 17 -104 0.2 -1.1Briscoe 1,637 1,516 1,535 -121 -102 -7.4 -6.2Brooks 7,223 7,215 7,242 -8 19 -0.1 0.3Brown 38,106 39,279 39,470 1,173 1,364 3.1 3.6Burleson 17,187 18,392 18,381 1,205 1,194 7.0 6.9Burnet 42,750 47,649 48,190 4,899 5,440 11.5 12.7Caldwell 38,066 42,593 42,956 4,527 4,890 11.9 12.8Calhoun 21,381 21,955 21,915 574 534 2.7 2.5Callahan 13,544 14,142 14,102 598 558 4.4 4.1Cameron 406,220 425,827 425,849 19,607 19,629 4.8 4.8Camp 12,401 12,850 12,843 449 442 3.6 3.6Carson 6,182 6,106 6,158 -76 -24 -1.2 -0.4Cass 30,464 30,819 30,892 355 428 1.2 1.4Castro 8,062 7,646 7,672 -416 -390 -5.2 -4.8Chambers 35,096 43,018 43,819 7,922 8,723 22.6 24.9Cherokee 50,845 53,427 53,375 2,582 2,530 5.1 5.0Childress 7,041 6,993 7,007 -48 -34 -0.7 -0.5Clay 10,752 10,410 10,428 -342 -324 -3.2 -3.0Cochran 3,127 2,929 2,931 -198 -196 -6.3 -6.3Coke 3,320 3,359 3,340 39 20 1.2 0.6Coleman 8,895 8,505 8,483 -390 -412 -4.4 -4.6Collin 782,341 1,003,919 1,018,952 221,578 236,611 28.3 30.2Collingsworth 3,057 2,959 2,943 -98 -114 -3.2 -3.7Colorado 20,874 21,730 21,662 856 788 4.1 3.8Comal 108,472 146,941 149,993 38,469 41,521 35.5 38.3Comanche 13,974 13,922 13,915 -52 -59 -0.4 -0.4Concho 4,087 2,239 2,044 -1,848 -2,043 -45.2 -50.0Cooke 38,437 40,095 40,176 1,658 1,739 4.3 4.5Coryell 75,388 73,992 74,095 -1,396 -1,293 -1.9 -1.7Cottle 1,505 1,375 1,373 -130 -132 -8.6 -8.8Crane 4,375 4,711 4,696 336 321 7.7 7.3Crockett 3,719 3,456 3,428 -263 -291 -7.1 -7.8Crosby 6,059 5,796 5,769 -263 -290 -4.3 -4.8

Table 1

Texas Demographic Center Population Estimates Program July 1, 2018 and January 1, 2019 Estimates of the TotalPopulation of Counties and 2010-2018 and 2010-2019 Population Change for All Counties in Texas

Page 7: Estimates of the Total Populations of Counties and Places ...July 1, 2018, when estimates appeared to be inconsistent with other indicators of population and population change, an

County

Revised 2010CensusCount

July 1, 2018PopulationEstimate

January 1, 2019PopulationEstimate

NumericalChange2010-18

NumericalChange2010-19

PercentChange2010-18

PercentChange2010-19

Culberson 2,398 2,175 2,154 -223 -244 -9.3 -10.2Dallam 6,703 7,311 7,310 608 607 9.1 9.1Dallas 2,368,139 2,646,173 2,650,320 278,034 282,181 11.7 11.9Dawson 13,833 12,581 12,544 -1,252 -1,289 -9.1 -9.3Deaf Smith 19,372 19,538 19,461 166 89 0.9 0.5Delta 5,231 5,282 5,254 51 23 1.0 0.4Denton 662,614 851,828 861,357 189,214 198,743 28.6 30.0De Witt 20,097 20,938 20,860 841 763 4.2 3.8Dickens 2,444 2,255 2,271 -189 -173 -7.7 -7.1Dimmit 9,996 10,308 10,020 312 24 3.1 0.2Donley 3,677 3,346 3,359 -331 -318 -9.0 -8.6Duval 11,782 10,985 10,949 -797 -833 -6.8 -7.1Eastland 18,583 18,458 18,416 -125 -167 -0.7 -0.9Ector 137,130 163,349 165,230 26,219 28,100 19.1 20.5Edwards 2,002 1,913 1,912 -89 -90 -4.4 -4.5Ellis 149,610 178,965 182,439 29,355 32,829 19.6 21.9El Paso 800,647 852,552 855,623 51,905 54,976 6.5 6.9Erath 37,890 43,016 43,366 5,126 5,476 13.5 14.5Falls 17,866 17,355 17,346 -511 -520 -2.9 -2.9Fannin 33,915 35,320 35,347 1,405 1,432 4.1 4.2Fayette 24,554 25,857 25,816 1,303 1,262 5.3 5.1Fisher 3,974 3,777 3,708 -197 -266 -5.0 -6.7Floyd 6,446 5,715 5,698 -731 -748 -11.3 -11.6Foard 1,336 1,215 1,205 -121 -131 -9.1 -9.8Fort Bend 585,375 779,600 786,213 194,225 200,838 33.2 34.3Franklin 10,605 10,785 10,748 180 143 1.7 1.3Freestone 19,816 20,429 20,472 613 656 3.1 3.3Frio 17,217 19,411 19,735 2,194 2,518 12.7 14.6Gaines 17,526 21,004 21,200 3,478 3,674 19.8 21.0Galveston 291,309 337,503 339,241 46,194 47,932 15.9 16.5Garza 6,461 6,398 6,360 -63 -101 -1.0 -1.6Gillespie 24,837 26,973 27,016 2,136 2,179 8.6 8.8Glasscock 1,226 1,380 1,448 154 222 12.6 18.1Goliad 7,210 7,791 7,869 581 659 8.1 9.1Gonzales 19,807 20,641 20,659 834 852 4.2 4.3Gray 22,535 21,993 21,657 -542 -878 -2.4 -3.9Grayson 120,877 134,738 137,479 13,861 16,602 11.5 13.7Gregg 121,730 125,906 126,215 4,176 4,485 3.4 3.7Grimes 26,604 28,871 29,190 2,267 2,586 8.5 9.7Guadalupe 131,533 162,618 165,452 31,085 33,919 23.6 25.8Hale 36,273 33,919 33,987 -2,354 -2,286 -6.5 -6.3Hall 3,353 3,106 3,095 -247 -258 -7.4 -7.7Hamilton 8,517 8,667 8,625 150 108 1.8 1.3Hansford 5,613 5,415 5,405 -198 -208 -3.5 -3.7Hardeman 4,139 3,816 3,761 -323 -378 -7.8 -9.1Hardin 54,635 58,355 58,370 3,720 3,735 6.8 6.8Harris 4,092,459 4,686,778 4,714,391 594,319 621,932 14.5 15.2Harrison 65,631 68,453 68,682 2,822 3,051 4.3 4.6Hartley 6,062 5,825 5,647 -237 -415 -3.9 -6.8Haskell 5,899 5,743 5,764 -156 -135 -2.6 -2.3Hays 157,107 221,266 226,853 64,159 69,746 40.8 44.4Hemphill 3,807 3,848 3,779 41 -28 1.1 -0.7Henderson 78,532 82,517 82,422 3,985 3,890 5.1 5.0Hidalgo 774,773 880,024 890,414 105,251 115,641 13.6 14.9Hill 35,089 36,354 36,532 1,265 1,443 3.6 4.1Hockley 22,935 23,318 23,232 383 297 1.7 1.3Hood 51,182 60,178 61,334 8,996 10,152 17.6 19.8Hopkins 35,161 36,968 37,163 1,807 2,002 5.1 5.7Houston 23,732 23,339 23,319 -393 -413 -1.7 -1.7

Page 8: Estimates of the Total Populations of Counties and Places ...July 1, 2018, when estimates appeared to be inconsistent with other indicators of population and population change, an

County

Revised 2010CensusCount

July 1, 2018PopulationEstimate

January 1, 2019PopulationEstimate

NumericalChange2010-18

NumericalChange2010-19

PercentChange2010-18

PercentChange2010-19

Howard 35,012 36,070 36,004 1,058 992 3.0 2.8Hudspeth 3,476 3,669 3,655 193 179 5.6 5.1Hunt 86,129 96,208 97,442 10,079 11,313 11.7 13.1Hutchinson 22,150 20,782 20,591 -1,368 -1,559 -6.2 -7.0Irion 1,599 1,610 1,652 11 53 0.7 3.3Jack 9,044 9,249 9,229 205 185 2.3 2.0Jackson 14,075 15,234 15,302 1,159 1,227 8.2 8.7Jasper 35,710 36,407 36,746 697 1,036 2.0 2.9Jeff Davis 2,342 2,407 2,481 65 139 2.8 5.9Jefferson 252,273 252,469 253,046 196 773 0.1 0.3Jim Hogg 5,300 5,130 5,129 -170 -171 -3.2 -3.2Jim Wells 40,838 41,080 41,518 242 680 0.6 1.7Johnson 150,934 172,289 173,191 21,355 22,257 14.1 14.7Jones 20,202 19,764 19,704 -438 -498 -2.2 -2.5Karnes 14,824 15,318 15,304 494 480 3.3 3.2Kaufman 103,350 125,620 128,122 22,270 24,772 21.5 24.0Kendall 33,410 46,469 47,453 13,059 14,043 39.1 42.0Kenedy 416 414 412 -2 -4 -0.5 -1.0Kent 808 767 764 -41 -44 -5.1 -5.4Kerr 49,625 52,496 52,575 2,871 2,950 5.8 5.9Kimble 4,607 4,672 4,722 65 115 1.4 2.5King 286 271 254 -15 -32 -5.2 -11.2Kinney 3,598 3,717 3,711 119 113 3.3 3.1Kleberg 32,061 32,295 32,580 234 519 0.7 1.6Knox 3,719 3,465 3,393 -254 -326 -6.8 -8.8Lamar 49,793 50,485 50,279 692 486 1.4 1.0Lamb 13,977 12,862 12,696 -1,115 -1,281 -8.0 -9.2Lampasas 19,677 21,194 21,220 1,517 1,543 7.7 7.8La Salle 6,886 7,484 7,403 598 517 8.7 7.5Lavaca 19,263 20,256 20,447 993 1,184 5.2 6.1Lee 16,612 17,366 17,373 754 761 4.5 4.6Leon 16,801 17,491 17,453 690 652 4.1 3.9Liberty 75,643 86,495 88,248 10,852 12,605 14.3 16.7Limestone 23,384 23,843 23,725 459 341 2.0 1.5Lipscomb 3,302 3,337 3,320 35 18 1.1 0.5Live Oak 11,531 12,058 12,042 527 511 4.6 4.4Llano 19,301 21,576 21,863 2,275 2,562 11.8 13.3Loving 82 94 103 12 21 14.6 25.6Lubbock 278,831 306,837 307,870 28,006 29,039 10.0 10.4Lynn 5,915 5,977 5,942 62 27 1.0 0.5McCulloch 8,283 8,318 8,311 35 28 0.4 0.3McLennan 234,906 254,952 255,816 20,046 20,910 8.5 8.9McMullen 707 752 740 45 33 6.4 4.7Madison 13,664 14,421 14,468 757 804 5.5 5.9Marion 10,546 9,957 9,860 -589 -686 -5.6 -6.5Martin 4,799 5,727 5,875 928 1,076 19.3 22.4Mason 4,012 4,263 4,340 251 328 6.3 8.2Matagorda 36,702 36,550 36,488 -152 -214 -0.4 -0.6Maverick 54,258 57,425 57,272 3,167 3,014 5.8 5.6Medina 46,006 52,268 52,191 6,262 6,185 13.6 13.4Menard 2,242 2,141 2,134 -101 -108 -4.5 -4.8Midland 136,872 171,954 175,630 35,082 38,758 25.6 28.3Milam 24,757 25,208 25,288 451 531 1.8 2.1Mills 4,936 4,931 4,940 -5 4 -0.1 0.1Mitchell 9,403 8,263 8,135 -1,140 -1,268 -12.1 -13.5Montague 19,719 19,630 19,631 -89 -88 -0.5 -0.4Montgomery 455,746 594,453 610,513 138,707 154,767 30.4 34.0Moore 21,904 21,331 20,615 -573 -1,289 -2.6 -5.9Morris 12,934 12,335 12,258 -599 -676 -4.6 -5.2

Page 9: Estimates of the Total Populations of Counties and Places ...July 1, 2018, when estimates appeared to be inconsistent with other indicators of population and population change, an

County

Revised 2010CensusCount

July 1, 2018PopulationEstimate

January 1, 2019PopulationEstimate

NumericalChange2010-18

NumericalChange2010-19

PercentChange2010-18

PercentChange2010-19

Motley 1,210 1,230 1,225 20 15 1.7 1.2Nacogdoches 64,524 65,561 65,483 1,037 959 1.6 1.5Navarro 47,735 50,175 50,263 2,440 2,528 5.1 5.3Newton 14,445 13,759 13,692 -686 -753 -4.7 -5.2Nolan 15,216 14,493 14,551 -723 -665 -4.8 -4.4Nueces 340,223 361,243 361,387 21,020 21,164 6.2 6.2Ochiltree 10,223 10,159 10,012 -64 -211 -0.6 -2.1Oldham 2,052 2,112 2,100 60 48 2.9 2.3Orange 81,837 84,862 84,866 3,025 3,029 3.7 3.7Palo Pinto 28,111 28,874 28,865 763 754 2.7 2.7Panola 23,796 24,554 24,573 758 777 3.2 3.3Parker 116,927 136,391 138,007 19,464 21,080 16.6 18.0Parmer 10,269 9,862 9,872 -407 -397 -4.0 -3.9Pecos 15,507 15,110 14,870 -397 -637 -2.6 -4.1Polk 45,413 49,556 49,856 4,143 4,443 9.1 9.8Potter 121,073 117,191 116,744 -3,882 -4,329 -3.2 -3.6Presidio 7,818 7,030 7,014 -788 -804 -10.1 -10.3Rains 10,914 12,259 12,641 1,345 1,727 12.3 15.8Randall 120,725 139,785 142,446 19,060 21,721 15.8 18.0Reagan 3,367 3,733 3,756 366 389 10.9 11.6Real 3,309 3,569 3,600 260 291 7.9 8.8Red River 12,860 11,971 12,071 -889 -789 -6.9 -6.1Reeves 13,783 15,672 15,853 1,889 2,070 13.7 15.0Refugio 7,383 6,944 6,817 -439 -566 -5.9 -7.7Roberts 929 891 872 -38 -57 -4.1 -6.1Robertson 16,622 17,896 17,937 1,274 1,315 7.7 7.9Rockwall 78,337 98,492 97,807 20,155 19,470 25.7 24.9Runnels 10,501 9,938 9,693 -563 -808 -5.4 -7.7Rusk 53,330 54,042 53,959 712 629 1.3 1.2Sabine 10,834 11,038 11,138 204 304 1.9 2.8San Augustine 8,865 8,562 8,656 -303 -209 -3.4 -2.4San Jacinto 26,384 29,190 29,507 2,806 3,123 10.6 11.8San Patricio 64,804 65,920 65,960 1,116 1,156 1.7 1.8San Saba 6,131 6,246 6,224 115 93 1.9 1.5Schleicher 3,461 3,030 3,099 -431 -362 -12.5 -10.5Scurry 16,921 17,049 17,129 128 208 0.8 1.2Shackelford 3,378 3,314 3,263 -64 -115 -1.9 -3.4Shelby 25,448 24,609 24,624 -839 -824 -3.3 -3.2Sherman 3,034 3,086 3,116 52 82 1.7 2.7Smith 209,714 229,523 230,086 19,809 20,372 9.4 9.7Somervell 8,490 9,477 9,604 987 1,114 11.6 13.1Starr 60,968 63,649 63,406 2,681 2,438 4.4 4.0Stephens 9,630 9,639 9,703 9 73 0.1 0.8Sterling 1,143 1,291 1,294 148 151 12.9 13.2Stonewall 1,490 1,387 1,409 -103 -81 -6.9 -5.4Sutton 4,128 3,745 3,745 -383 -383 -9.3 -9.3Swisher 7,854 7,430 7,421 -424 -433 -5.4 -5.5Tarrant 1,809,034 2,052,267 2,064,380 243,233 255,346 13.4 14.1Taylor 131,506 138,849 138,849 7,343 7,343 5.6 5.6Terrell 984 832 843 -152 -141 -15.4 -14.3Terry 12,651 12,553 12,478 -98 -173 -0.8 -1.4Throckmorton 1,641 1,531 1,525 -110 -116 -6.7 -7.1Titus 32,334 33,880 33,793 1,546 1,459 4.8 4.5Tom Green 110,224 117,490 117,278 7,266 7,054 6.6 6.4Travis 1,024,266 1,248,631 1,260,620 224,365 236,354 21.9 23.1Trinity 14,585 14,663 14,643 78 58 0.5 0.4Tyler 21,766 22,437 22,474 671 708 3.1 3.3Upshur 39,309 41,066 40,998 1,757 1,689 4.5 4.3Upton 3,355 3,706 3,743 351 388 10.5 11.6

Page 10: Estimates of the Total Populations of Counties and Places ...July 1, 2018, when estimates appeared to be inconsistent with other indicators of population and population change, an

County

Revised 2010CensusCount

July 1, 2018PopulationEstimate

January 1, 2019PopulationEstimate

NumericalChange2010-18

NumericalChange2010-19

PercentChange2010-18

PercentChange2010-19

Uvalde 26,405 27,768 27,691 1,363 1,286 5.2 4.9Val Verde 48,879 50,560 50,624 1,681 1,745 3.4 3.6Van Zandt 52,579 56,092 56,596 3,513 4,017 6.7 7.6Victoria 86,793 92,025 92,059 5,232 5,266 6.0 6.1Walker 67,861 74,359 75,055 6,498 7,194 9.6 10.6Waller 43,205 53,305 54,349 10,100 11,144 23.4 25.8Ward 10,658 11,322 11,372 664 714 6.2 6.7Washington 33,718 35,711 35,801 1,993 2,083 5.9 6.2Webb 250,304 280,945 281,964 30,641 31,660 12.2 12.6Wharton 41,280 41,093 41,141 -187 -139 -0.5 -0.3Wheeler 5,410 5,201 5,059 -209 -351 -3.9 -6.5Wichita 131,500 133,296 133,814 1,796 2,314 1.4 1.8Wilbarger 13,535 12,615 12,548 -920 -987 -6.8 -7.3Willacy 22,134 21,691 21,475 -443 -659 -2.0 -3.0Williamson 422,679 563,041 571,610 140,362 148,931 33.2 35.2Wilson 42,918 50,755 51,077 7,837 8,159 18.3 19.0Winkler 7,110 7,685 7,696 575 586 8.1 8.2Wise 59,127 68,690 69,647 9,563 10,520 16.2 17.8Wood 41,964 44,985 45,229 3,021 3,265 7.2 7.8Yoakum 7,879 8,928 9,109 1,049 1,230 13.3 15.6Young 18,550 18,501 18,304 -49 -246 -0.3 -1.3Zapata 14,018 14,015 13,903 -3 -115 0.0 -0.8Zavala 11,677 12,199 12,338 522 661 4.5 5.7

State of Texas 25,145,565 28,702,243 28,901,062 3,556,678 3,755,497 14.1 14.9Source: Texas Demographic Center, Population Estimates and Projections Program