evaluating bank relationships 27,191 sales & trading – direct model • approximately $100b of...
TRANSCRIPT
Evaluating Bank Relationships Ted Zarrabi
Director – Balance Sheet Strategy
Toyota Financial Services
Agenda
I. Toyota Financial Services Overview
II. Bank Relationships i. Scope
ii. Changing Landscape
III. Evaluating Bank Relationships i. Qualitative Factors
ii. Quantitative Factors
IV. Evaluating Toyota’s Bank Relationships
Agenda
I. Toyota Financial Services Overview
II. Bank Relationships i. Scope
ii. Changing Landscape
III. Evaluating Bank Relationships i. Qualitative Factors
ii. Quantitative Factors
IV. Evaluating Toyota’s Bank Relationships
TFS Business Lines
Consumer Finance
•Loans
•Leases
Dealer Finance
•Wholesale
•Real Estate
•Working Capital
•Revolving Credit Lines
Commercial Finance
•Forklift
•Hino Trucks
•Loans
•Lease
Insurance
•Service Agreements
•Prepaid Maintenance
•Guaranteed Auto Protection
•Excess Wear & Use
•Tire & Wheel
Toyota Financial Services (TFS) offers competitive lending to both
consumers and dealers as well as a wide away of insurance and
warranty products.
TFS Global Funding and Liquidity
As of September 30, 2014
Source: Company Reports
By Deal Type
TMCC Debt Outstanding (USD millions)
Secured
8,237
Unsecured
51,834
Commercial
Paper
27,191
Sales & Trading – Direct model
• Approximately $100B of commercial paper
issued annually
• $4 –10B rolling investment portfolio
Capital Markets & Derivatives – Indirect model
• Secured borrowing programs
• Unsecured long-term funding programs
• Approximately $20B of secured and
unsecured issued annually
• Approximately $2B of derivative trades per
month
~$87B of Debt Outstanding
Agenda
I. Toyota Financial Services Overview
II. Bank Relationships i. Scope
ii. Changing Landscape
III. Evaluating Bank Relationships i. Qualitative Factors
ii. Quantitative Factors
IV. Evaluating Toyota’s Bank Relationships
Scope of Bank Relationships
Advisory
Custody
Cash
Management
Services Capital Markets
Underwriting
Broker/Dealer
Asset
Management
Data &
Technology
Data Warehousing
Valuation&
Risk Systems
Hedging
Investments
Credit &
Lending
Financial
Evaluation generally more qualitative
Boxes in blue are also very quantitative
Evaluation
generally more
quantitative
Changing Landscape – Basel III
Banks’ return on equity
Banks absorb increase in costs
Banks pass on costs to borrowers
Revolver Pricing
Banks able to fully absorb increased
costs
Increased pricing,
Decreased supply
Banking landscape
Banks become more utility-like
No impact on bank behavior
Banks’ cost of equity
Banks perceived to be safer
Bank safety not perceived to change
Lending tilts toward lower-rated firms
Shorter term Longer term
Changing Landscape – Basel III
Banks’ return on equity
Banks absorb increase in costs
Banks pass on costs to borrowers
Revolver Pricing
Banks able to fully absorb increased
costs
Increased pricing,
Decreased supply
Banking landscape
Banks become more utility-like
No impact on bank behavior
Banks’ cost of equity
Banks perceived to be safer
Bank safety not perceived to change
Lending tilts toward lower-rated firms
Shorter term Longer term
Changing Landscape – Basel III
Banks’ return on equity
Banks absorb increase in costs
Banks pass on costs to borrowers
Revolver Pricing
Banks able to fully absorb increased
costs
Increased pricing,
Decreased supply
Banking landscape
Banks become more utility-like
No impact on bank behavior
Banks’ cost of equity
Banks perceived to be safer
Bank safety not perceived to change
Lending tilts toward lower-rated firms
Shorter term Longer term
Changing Landscape – Basel III
Banks’ return on equity
Banks absorb increase in costs
Banks pass on costs to borrowers
Revolver Pricing
Banks able to fully absorb increased
costs
Increased pricing,
Decreased supply
Banking landscape
Banks become more utility-like
No impact on bank behavior
Banks’ cost of equity
Banks perceived to be safer
Bank safety not perceived to change
Lending tilts toward lower-rated firms
Shorter term Longer term
Shift Away from Non-core and Low Profit
“…[Banks] are forced to focus
on business optimization and to make much sharper
resource allocation
decisions.”
Mis-allocated Resources: Why Banks Need to Optimize
Now”; Olyver Wyman, March 2014
Agenda
I. Toyota Financial Services Overview
II. Bank Relationships i. Scope
ii. Changing Landscape
III. Evaluating Bank Relationships i. Qualitative Factors
ii. Quantitative Factors
IV. Evaluating Toyota’s Bank Relationships
Evaluating the Bank Relationship
Service Quality
Underwriting Asset
Management
Investments
Evaluation of the relationship involves both qualitative and quantitative components.
Capability
Qualitative Evaluation
Qualitative evaluation of the bank relationship requires several key
considerations:
Capability in the service provided
Industry leader
Innovator
Cost/Value of the service provided
Discounted cost relative to competitors
Outsized return on investment
Consistency and reliability of service
Available under all market conditions
Stable team and management structure
Unique or niche service
Only provider of particular service
Provides service beyond bounds of competitors
Reputation and brand
Partnership/investment reflects positively on the institution
Quantitative Evaluation
Quantifying the value of a bank relationship generally starts with capturing the
relevant data – questions to ask: How are banks compensated?
Is this data readily available in a treasury or finance system?
Has a central repository been established to house all of this information?
Scope of quantitative factors – generally there are two different ways banks are
compensated Explicit Fee
• Fee that has been paid directly to the bank counterparty – can be observed in
Treasury management system. Underwriting Fees
Credit Facility Fees
Advisory/Consulting Fees
Implicit Fee
• Fee earned but not paid directly to the bank counterparty – cannot be observed
in Treasury management system. Asset Management Fees (generally netted out of returns)
Broker/Dealer Fees
Bill & Deliver
Earnings credits
Determine key metrics and reports Metrics need to be comparable (should incorporate both sides of the relationship)
Complexities and Considerations
Not every dollar is equal Fees earned underwriting a bond or through cash management are often more
desirable than advisory fees
Relative value of the fee to the bank can sometimes be difficult to ascertain
Fee may be related to a balance sheet intensive product and thus require
significant capital
Fee earned may require sizeable expense and thus provide minimal benefit to the
bank counterparty
Determining implicit fees can be rather difficult The value of bill and deliver or mark to market benefits of swap business is non-trivial
Fees may need to be adjusted against the value provided Investments returns vs. asset management fees
Everything doesn’t generate a clear value (implicit or explicit) What is the value of funds deposited at a bank?
What is the relationship value of brand, industry position or name marquee?
Agenda
I. Toyota Financial Services Overview
II. Bank Relationships i. Scope
ii. Changing Landscape
III. Evaluating Bank Relationships i. Qualitative Factors
ii. Quantitative Factors
IV. Evaluating Toyota’s Bank Relationships
TFS Bank Relationships
Advisory
Custody
Asset Management
Cash Management
Underwriting
Credit and Lending
Fee potential,
relationship opportunities
for banking partners,
and overall TFS needs.
Least
Most
TFS Bank Scorecard – Data Collection
Valuation
Treasury
Management
System
Cash
Management
Systems
Collateral
Exchange
Bloomberg CP System
Treasury Datamart
Automated “Real Time”
data collection via SQL
Server Integration Services
Oracle, Sybase and SQL
Server Databases
Australia
Europe &
Africa
South
America
Canada
Other
Flat Files from Affiliates
Automated (batched)
daily data load
Mobile Reporting (Roambi)
Custom Excel Reports
Analytical Dashboards
(Tableau)
TFS has a very active set of
bank relationships and thus
requires “real time” analytics
and reporting
TFS Bank Scorecard – Data Collection
Example – Hypothetical Data
Rank Counterparty Total FeesForecasted
Fees Fees Paid
Underwriting
Fees
Cash
Management
Fees
Credit Facility
FeesMMF Fees Broker Fees
Asset
Management
Fees
Other FeesTotal Facilities
Outstanding
Avg Facilities
Outstanding
1 Bank 1 $xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx $xxxx $xxxx
2 Bank 2 $xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx $xxxx $xxxx
3 Bank 3 $xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx $xxxx $xxxx
4 Bank 4 $xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx $xxxx $xxxx
5 Bank 5 $xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx $xxxx $xxxx
6 Bank 6 $xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx $xxxx $xxxx
7 Bank 7 $xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx $xxxx $xxxx
8 Bank 8 $xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx $xxxx $xxxx
9 Bank 9 $xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx $xxxx $xxxx
10 Bank 10 $xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx $xxxx $xxxx
11 Bank 11 $xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx $xxxx $xxxx
12 Bank 12 $xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx $xxxx $xxxx
13 Bank 13 $xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx $xxxx $xxxx
14 Bank 14 $xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx $xxxx $xxxx
15 Bank 15 $xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx $xxxx $xxxx
16 Bank 16 $xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx $xxxx $xxxx
17 Bank 17 $xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx $xxxx $xxxx
18 Bank 18 $xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx $xxxx $xxxx
19 Bank 19 $xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx $xxxx $xxxx
20 Bank 20 $xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx $xxxx $xxxx
21 Bank 21 $xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx $xxxx $xxxx
22 Bank 22 $xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx $xxxx $xxxx
23 Bank 23 $xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx $xxxx $xxxx
24 Bank 24 $xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx $xxxx $xxxx
25 Bank 25 $xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx $xxxx $xxxx
26 Bank 26 $xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx $xxxx $xxxx
27 Bank 27 $xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx $xxxx $xxxx
28 Bank 28 $xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx $xxxx $xxxx
29 Bank 29 $xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx $xxxx $xxxx
30 Bank 30 $xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx $xxxx $xxxx
31 Bank 31 $xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx $xxxx $xxxx
32 Bank 32 $xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx $xxxx $xxxx
33 Bank 33 $xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx $xxxx $xxxx
34 Bank 34 $xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx $xxxx $xxxx
35 Bank 35 $xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx $xxxx $xxxx
FY15 (as of 09/02/14) FY15 (as of 09/02/14) Facilities
Lessons Learned
Transparency and coordination In a global (or very large) organization transparency between affiliates is essential
Global affiliates or business units should coordinate their efforts regarding bank
relationships
Accountability on both sides of the relationship Do not allocate business when the needs of the organization (either through service or
credit and lending) are not met
Do not develop bank relationships where there are no reasonable business
opportunities to allocate to the partner
Minimize treasury/corporate spend that is not allocated to bank partners
Analyzing and regularly “right sizing” bank relationships generally benefits both
sides