evidence for recent global warming

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  • 7/30/2019 Evidence for Recent Global Warming

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    Nwkfn`en gcr rnen`v dacboa torlk`dDaoeknru

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    K` ?;2?! Dncrdn Loaacr{! o Brkvkuj lc~`vok`nnr! vcci o baoei,o`f,tjkvn xjcvcdroxj cg Lc~`v

    Nwnrnuv. Vjn xjcvc! `ct andn`for{! ujctu vjn tcrafu jkdjnuv xnoi k` vjn fkuvo`en o`f o` U,ujoxnf

    rkwnr cg ken r~``k`d vctorf vjn gcrndrc~`f= vjn Rc`db~i daoeknr

    K` 2884! Fowkf Brnoujnoru! o lc~`vok`nnr! xjcvcdroxjnr o`f gkalloinr! rnv~r`nf vc vjn wnr{ uxcv

    tjnrn Lr Loaacr{ uvccf vc voin vjn xjcvcdroxj o`f ~xfovnf vjn wkuvo Vjn ejo`dn ku ucbnrk`d

    Rovjnr vjo` o`ekn`v u`ct xoei! c`a{ o` nlxv{ rcei,uvrnt` rkwnrbnf rnlok`u= vjn daoeknr jof acuv

    528 wnrvkeoa gnnv cg ken louu k` vjn k`vnrwn`k`d {noru

    Dacboaa{ daoeknru orn acuk`d ken ov o` nzvn`ukwn rovn *Gkd~rn ?+ Vjnrn orn uvkaa ukv~ovkc`u k` tjkej

    daoeknru dok` cr acun ken lcrn vjo` v{xkeoa gcr c`n rndkc` cr o`cvjnr b~v vjn ac`d vnrl vrn`fu orn oaa

    vjn uoln! o`f obc~v ;8. cg daoeknru orn ujrk`ik`d tcraftkfn *Gkd~rn 2+

    *gkd ?+

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    *gkd 2+

    K` 288;! Oalcuv ;8 xnren`v cg O~uvrko` daoeknru ujro`i! ucln b{ ou l~ej ou 67 lnvnru Vjn bkddnuvejo`dnu tnrn unn` k` vjn Cnv} woaan{ k` tnuvnr` V{rca xrcwk`en! tjnrn vjrnn daoeknru rnvrnovnf b{

    cwnr 68 lnvnru! o`f nkdjv b{ cwnr 28 lnvnru

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    Ken ujnnvu

    Vjn xkev~rn obcwn ujctu vjn ken ujnnvu o`f vjn c`nu vjov jown acuv vjn lcuv louu9 kv tou eoae~aovnf

    ~uk`d @OUO fovo o`f kvujctu jct l~ej Norvj$u lnavk`d ao`f ken ku offk`d vc dacboa uno anwna rkun

    Ken eoxu

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    Uno anwna rkunUovnaakvn fovo ujctu vjov uno anwna rkun jou uactnf k` vjn aouv fneofn Vjov$u bneo~un uvrc`d Na @kc

    nwn`vu eo` vnlxcrorka{ uact fct` uno anwna rkun9 O xctnrg~a Na @kc k`ernounu rok`goaa! nggnevkwna{

    lcwk`d tovnr grcl vjn ceno` vc vjn ao`f Vjn tovnr vjn` voinu o ec~xan cg {noru vc dnv boei k`vc

    vjn ceno` Uno anwna rkun wkukba{ uactnf k` 2887 o`f 28?8! k` vjn ogvnrlovj cg Na @kc nwn`vu f~rk`dvjov unouc` U~ej uactfct`u orn c`a{ vnlxcror{! o`f fc`$v oggnev vjn ac`d,vnrl vrn`f tjkej ujctu

    o fngk`kvn k`ernoun k` uno anwna

    K` N~rcxn o ?l uno anwna rkun tc~af oggnev eacun vc 28 lkaakc` xncxan Vjn @nvjnrao`fu ku vjn lcuv ov

    rkui f~n vc kvu act,a{k`d ao`fu= ou vjn xkev~rn bnact ujctu! uno anwna rkun tc~af x~v obc~v joag cg vjn

    @nvjnrao`fu bnact uno anwna

    Vjn ownrodn rovn cg rkun cwnr vjn aouv ?88 {noru jou bnn` ? vc 2 ll {nora{Uk`en vjn nora{ ?;;8u!uekn`vkuvu jown ~unf uovnaakvnu vc lnou~rn dacboa uno,anwna rkun tkvj drnov xrnekukc` c` ownrodn kvjou bnn` orc~`f 5 ll nwnr{ {nor Jctnwnr! vjnrn ku nwkfn`en vjov vjku rovn jou rkun` k` rnen`v

    fneofnu o`f b{ vjn n`f cg vjku en`v~r{ o vcvoa uno,anwna rkun cg orc~`f ? lnvnr ku xcuukban *eclxornf

    vc anwnau rnecrfnf k` ?;;8+

    E~rrn`va{! uno,anwna rkun ku vjn rnu~av cg unwnroa fkggnrn`v eaklovn,frkwn` xrcenuunu= vjnrloa

    nzxo`ukc` cg vjn ceno`u *p? ll xnr {nor+! lnavk`d cg lc~`vok` daoeknru orc~`f vjn tcraf *p? ll

    xnr {nor+! o`f rnvrnov cg vjn tcrafu xcaor ken,ujnnvu- *84 ll xnr {nor+

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    U~llnr vnlxnrov~rnu k` N~rcxn

    Obcwn= Vjnun vtc gkd~rnu ujct gcrlnr vnlxnrov~rnu tkvj lomcr xnrkcfu cg daoekovkc` aobnaanf Vjn

    foujnf ak`nu orn vjn xrnun`v dacboa ownrodn vnlxnrov~rn cg obc~v ?> E *>; G+ Vjn ucakf e~rwnu

    ujct uloaa ejo`dnu grcl vjku ownrodn @cvn vjov vjn vnlxnrov~rn frcxu c`a{ obc~v > E f~rk`d o

    daoekovkc` Vjku jou cee~rrnf obc~v nwnr{ ?88!888 {noru! tkvj uloaanr tkddanu k` bnvtnn`

    Uk`en ?;;5!

    lnou~rnln`vu grcl vjn

    VCXNZ o`f Mouc` unrknu

    cg uovnaakvn rofor

    oavklnvnru jown oaactnfnuvklovnu cg dacboa

    lno` uno anwna Vjnun

    lnou~rnln`vu orn

    ec`vk`~c~ua{ eoakbrovnf

    odok`uv o `nvtcri cg vkfn

    do~dnu Tjn` unouc`oa

    o`f cvjnr workovkc`u orn

    u~bvroevnf! vjn{ oaact

    nuvklovkc` cg vjn dacboa

    lno` uno anwna rovn

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    K` 288> vjn TTg x~bakujnf o rnxcrv vjov uvovnf vjov ownrodn u~llnr vnlxnrov~rnu k` ?7 N~rcxno`

    ekvknu tnrn ov anouv c`n fndrnn Enauk~u jkdjnr cwnr vjn aouv gkwn {noru vjo` vjn{ tnrn 58 {noru odcAc`fc` ujctnf vjn bkddnuv k`ernoun Kvu ownrodn lozkl~l vnlxnrov~rnu `ct orn vtc fndrnnu

    jkdjnr vjo` k` vjn ?;48u

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    Xcuukban eo~unu cg eaklovn ejo`dn cvjnr

    vjo` rnen`v k`ernoun k` drnn`jc~undounuXaovn vnevc`ke lcwnln`vuEaklovn eo~unu vjn norvj vc lcwn O` k`vnr`ovkc`oa vnol cg rnunorejnru fkuecwnrnf vjov lcrn

    rok`goaa k` K`fko lofn vjn K`fko` vnevc`ke xaovn uxnnf ~x b{ goevcr cg 28 xnren`v Oeecrfk`d vc

    Dkolxknrc Koggoafo`c9

    Vjn ukd`kgkeo`en cg vjku gk`fk`d aknu k` rnecd`k}k`d gcr vjn gkruv vkln vjov ac`d,vnrl eaklovn ejo`dnu

    jown vjn xcvn`vkoa vc oev ou o gcren o`f k`ga~n`en vjn lcvkc` cg vnevc`ke xaovnu!

    Vjn uekn`vkuvu uv~fknf lc`ucc` rnecrfu k` K`fko gcr vjn xouv ?8 lkaakc` {noru o`f ak`inf kv vc vjn

    lcvkc` cg vjn vnevc`ke xaovnu

    U~llor{ cg xaovn vnevc`keu o`f eaklovn ejo`dn=

    Norvju c~vnr ujnaa ku eclxcunf cg xaovnu tjkej lcwn ov o rovn cg obc~v 5 el xnr {nor o`fnggnev lcrn ao`f ov jkdjnr aovkv~fnu b{=

    c Oavnrk`d ceno` e~rrn`vu o`f vjnrngcrn jnov vro`uxcrvc Oavnrk`d dacboa ovlcuxjnrke ekre~aovkc`c Ernovk`d lcrn daoeknru cwnr ao`f! vjnrnb{ eo~uk`d jkdjnr oabnfc grcl vjn daoeknru

    o`f eccanr vnlxu

    xaovn lcwnln`v oauc dn`nrovnu lcrn wcaeo`ke oevkwkv{=c Tjn` vjn xaovnu orn c` vjn lcwn! vjnrn orn lcrn wcaeo`ke nr~xvkc`u o`f vjnun

    nlkv lcrn EC2 k`vc ovlcuxjnrn

    c Vjku tc~af eo~un dacboa vnlxnrov~rnu vc rkunc Kg vjnrn ku akvvan lcwnln`v! wcaeo`ke oevkwkv{ fnernounu uc EC2 ec`en`vrovkc`u orn

    actnr k` vjn ovlcuxjnrn o`f ownrodn vnlxnrov~rn fnernounu

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    Ucaor e{eanu o`f u~` uxcvu

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    Ucaor workovkc` ku vjn ejo`dn k` vjn olc~`v cg rofkovkc` nlkvvnf b{ vjn U~` o`f k` kvu uxnevroa

    fkuvrkb~vkc` cwnr {noru vc lkaan``ko Vjnun workovkc`u jown xnrkcfke eclxc`n`vu! vjn lok` c`n bnk`d

    vjn oxxrczklovna{ ??,{nor ucaor e{ean *cr u~`uxcv e{ean+ Vjn k`vn`ukv{ cg ucaor rofkovkc` rnoejk`d

    Norvj jou bnn` rnaovkwna{ ec`uvo`v vjrc~dj vjn aouv 2888 {noru! tkvj workovkc`u nuvklovnf ov orc~`f

    8?,82.Ucaor workovkc`! vcdnvjnr tkvj wcaeo`ke oevkwkv{ orn j{xcvjnuk}nf vc jown ec`vrkb~vnf vc

    eaklovn ejo`dn! gcr nzolxan f~rk`d vjn Lo~`fnr Lk`kl~l Jctnwnr! ejo`dnu k` ucaor brkdjv`nuu

    orn vcc tnoi vc nzxaok` rnen`v eaklovn ejo`dn

    http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/2/28/Sunspot_Numbers.png
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    Workovkc`u k` vjn Norvju crbkv *Lkao`icwkvej e{eanu+

    Oeecrfk`d vc ucln uekn`vkuvu tn orn m~uv nlnrdk`d grcl vjn n`f cg c`n cg vjn e{eanu tjkej k`fkeovnu

    torlk`d ov vjn xcanu o`f dn`nroa torlk`d o`f uno anwna rkun nwnr{tjnrn! jctnwnr vjn e{ean uvorvuodok` o`f vjn vnlxnrov~rn frcxu odok`! ou unn` tkvj vjn fori ba~n ecac~r obcwn vjn xcanu k` ,2>!888

    {noru M~`n ucauvken xkev~rn

    K` vjn nora{ ?;88u! o Unrbko` lovjnlovkeko` `olnf Lka~vk` Lkao`icwkvej lnvke~ac~ua{ eoae~aovnf vjn

    olc~`v cg u~`akdjv noej aovkv~fn rnenkwnf k` nwnr{ xjoun cg Norvju crbkvoa workovkc`u. Jku tcri

    e~alk`ovnf k` vjn ?;58 x~bakeovkc` cg Lovjnlovkeoa Eaklovcacd{ o`f vjn Ouvrc`clkeoa Vjncr{ cg

    Eaklovn Ejo`dn Jn vjncrk}nf vjov vjn ken odnu cee~rrnf tjn` crbkvoa workovkc`u eo~unf vjn

    @crvjnr` Jnlkuxjnrn orc~`f vjn aovkv~fn cg vjn J~fuc` Bo{ o`f `crvjnr` N~rcxn vc rnenkwn anuu

    u~`ujk`n k` vjn u~llnr. Ujcrv! ecca u~llnru gokanf vc lnav oaa cg vjn tk`vnru u`ct. Vjn u`ct

    tc~af uacta{ oee~l~aovn grcl {nor vc {nor! o`f kvu ujk`{! tjkvn u~rgoen tc~af rnganev lcrn rofkovkc`boei k`vc uxoen Vnlxnrov~rnu tc~af frcx nwn` g~rvjnr! o`f nwn`v~oaa{! o` ken odn tc~af bn k` g~aa

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    utk`d Bounf c` vjn crbkvoa workovkc`u! Lkao`icwkvej xrnfkevnf vjov vjn ken odnu tc~af xnoi nwnr{

    ?88!888 o`f 6?!888 {noru! tkvj offkvkc`oa bakxu nwnr{ ?;!888 vc 25!888 {noru

    Vjn eclbk`nf nggnev cg vjnun crbkvoa e{eanu eo~unu ac`d vnrl ejo`dnu k` vjn olc~`v cg u~`akdjv

    jkvvk`d vjn norvj ov fkggnrn`v unouc`u! xorvke~aora{ ov jkdj aovkv~fnu vjn crbkvoa e{eanu vrkddnrnftorlk`d ov jkdj aovkv~fnu oxxrczklovna{ ?;!888 {noru odc! eo~uk`d aordn olc~`vu cg ken vc lnav!

    gaccfk`d vjn ceno`u tkvj grnuj tovnr Vjku k`ga~z cg grnuj tovnr vjn` fkur~xvnf vjn Ovao`vke

    lnrkfkc`oa cwnrv~r`k`d ekre~aovkc` *OLCE+! k` v~r` eo~uk`d o unnuotk`d cg jnov bnvtnn` vjn

    jnlkuxjnrnu Vjn Uc~vjnr` Jnlkuxjnrn o`f kvu ceno`u torlnf gkruv! uvorvk`d obc~v ?:!888 {noru

    odc Ou vjn Uc~vjnr` Ceno` torlu! vjn uca~bkakv{ cg EC2 k` tovnr goaau Vjku eo~unu vjn ceno`u vc

    dkwn ~x lcrn EC2! nlkvvk`d kv k`vc vjn ovlcuxjnrn Vjn k`ernounf EC2 k` vjn ovlcuxjnrn olxakgknu

    vjn crkdk`oa torlk`d Vjku rnl`o`v grcl vjn aouv Lkao`icwkvej e{ean ec~af bn o goevcr k` vjn rnen`v

    dacboa torlk`d b~v kv ku `cv ou ukd`kgkeo`v ou vjn ~`lo` klxoev cg b~r`k`d gcuuka g~nau

    Wcaeo`ke nr~xvkc`uNzxacukwn nr~xvkc`u eo` k`mnev aordn q~o`vkvknu cg f~uv o`f dounc~u lovnrkoa *u~ej ou u~axj~r fkczkfn+

    k`vc vjn ~xxnr ovlcuxjnrn *vjn uvrovcuxjnrn+! tjnrn u~axj~r fkczkfn ku roxkfa{ ec`wnrvnf k`vc

    u~axj~rke oekf onrcucau Tjnrnou wcaeo`ke xcaa~vkc` cg vjn actnr ovlcuxjnrn ku rnlcwnf tkvjk` fo{u

    b{ vjn nggnevu cg rok`goaa o`f drowkv{! uvrovcuxjnrke xcaa~vkc` lo{ rnlok` vjnrn gcr unwnroa {noru!

    drof~oaa{ uxrnofk`d vc ecwnr l~ej cg vjn dacbn Cbunrwovkc`oa o`f lcfnaak`d uv~fknu cg vjn akina{

    nggnev cg rnen`v wcaeo`ke nr~xvkc`u u~ddnuv vjov o` k`fkwkf~oa nr~xvkc` lo{ eo~un o dacboa eccak`d cg

    ~x vc 85E! tkvj vjn nggnevu aouvk`d ? vc 2 {noru U~ej o eccak`d nwn`v jou bnn` cbunrwnf k` vjn

    dacboa vnlxnrov~rn rnecrf k` vjn ogvnrlovj cg vjn nr~xvkc` cg Lc~`v Xk`ov~bc k` M~`n ?;;?

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    O` `~ oa `no r,u~ rgoen vn lx nr ov ~rn o`c loakn u gcr vj n {nor gc aact k` d o ln do ,

    ecacuuoa wcaeo`ke nr~xvkc` akin vjn Vcbo nr~xvkc` cg 46!888 {noru odc! kg kv tnrn

    vc cee~r vcfo{. Lcuv ao`f ornou tc~af ecca b{ 22G *?2E+ eclxornf vc

    ownrodn. Ucln ornou! akin Ogrkeo! tc~af ecca b{ obc~v 2;G *?7E+.

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    Na @k`c#Ao @k`o *ceno`ke e~rrn`vu+

    Vjn Nggnevu cg Na @kc

    Oeecrfk`d vc vjn @ovkc`oa Ceno`ke o`f Ovlcuxjnrke Oflk`kuvrovkc` *@COO+! vjn Na @kc xorv cg vjn

    e{ean k`wcawnu torlnr,vjo`,~u~oa uno vnlxnrov~rnu! drnov olc~`vu cg rok`goaa *k` vjn `crvjnr`

    jnlkuxjnrn+ o`f act ovlcuxjnrke xrnuu~rn Vjn lcuv nzvrnln rnu~avu cg o` Na @kc nwn`v jown

    k`ea~fnf gaccfk`d grcl Ne~ofcr vc vjn D~ag cg Lnzkec! louukwn lork`n akgn fkn,cggu k` vjn Xoekgke!j~rrkeo`nu k` Vojkvk o`f Jotokk! o`f ec`e~rrn`v frc~djvu k` lo`{ cvjnr xorvu cg vjn tcraf grcl

    Uc~vjnr` K`fko vc O~uvroako vc En`vroa Olnrkeo

    Vjn Nggnevu cg Ao @ko

    K` ec`vrouv! eccanr uno vnlxnrov~rnu! jkdj ovlcuxjnrke xrnuu~rn o`f frknr okr ejoroevnrk}n vjn Ao

    @ko xjoun cg vjn Uc~vjnr` Cuekaaovkc` F~rk`d Ao @ko! e~rrn`vu brk`d `~vrkn`vu ~x grcl vjn fnnx

    tovnr! xrcwkfk`d gnouv! rovjnr vjo` golk`n! gcr lork`n crdo`kulu O`f oeeclxo`{k`d uvrc`d tk`fu

    bact lckuv~rn oto{! loik`d gcr eac~fanuu uiknu o`f fr{ ec`fkvkc`u k` nq~ovcrkoa ec~`vrknu grcl vjnK`vnr`ovkc`oa Fovn Ak`n nouv vc Uc~vj Olnrkeo

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    Jct ku Dacboa Torlk`d Rnaovnf vc Na @kc o`f Ao @ko3

    Ucln uekn`vkuvu bnaknwn vjov vjn k`ernounf k`vn`ukv{ o`f grnq~n`e{`ct nwnr{ vtc vc vjrnn {noru

    cg Na @kc o`f Ao @ko nwn`vu k` rnen`v fneofnu ku f~n vc torlnr ceno` vnlxnrov~rnu rnu~avk`d grcldacboa torlk`d K` o ?;;: rnxcrv! uekn`vkuvu grcl @COO nzxaok`nf vjov jkdjnr dacboa vnlxnrov~rnu

    lkdjv bn k`ernouk`d nwoxcrovkc` grcl ao`f o`f offk`d lckuv~rn vc vjn okr! vj~u k`vn`ukg{k`d vjn

    uvcrlu o`f gaccfu ouucekovnf tkvj Na @kc

    Inwk` Vrn`bnrvj! o eaklovcacdkuv ov vjn Ecacrofc,bounf @ovkc`oa En`vrn gcr Ovlcuxjnrke Rnunorej

    bnaknwnu vjov vjn Uc~vjnr` Cuekaaovkc` lo{ bn g~`evkc`k`d akin o xrnuu~rn rnanoun woawn gcr vjn

    vrcxkeu Tkvj dacboa torlk`d frkwk`d vnlxnrov~rnu jkdjnr! ceno` e~rrn`vu o`f tnovjnr u{uvnlu

    lkdjv `cv bn oban vc rnanoun oaa vjn nzvro jnov dnvvk`d x~lxnf k`vc vjn vrcxkeoa unou9 ou u~ej o` Na

    @kc cee~ru vc jnax nzxna vjn nzenuu jnov