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Page 1: Excess cost growth in Medicare, Medicaid, and all other health care spending Source: CBO, A Federal Perspective on Health Care Policy and Costs, 2008
Page 2: Excess cost growth in Medicare, Medicaid, and all other health care spending Source: CBO, A Federal Perspective on Health Care Policy and Costs, 2008

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

1975-1990 1990-2005

Per

cen

tag

e P

oin

ts

Medicare

Medicaid

All Other

Total

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

1975-2005

Excess cost growth in Medicare, Medicaid, and all other health care spending

Source: CBO, A Federal Perspective on Health Care Policy and Costs, 2008.

Page 3: Excess cost growth in Medicare, Medicaid, and all other health care spending Source: CBO, A Federal Perspective on Health Care Policy and Costs, 2008

National Health Expenditures as a Percent of GDP

13.8

15.9 16.016.2

16.5

15.4

13

14

15

16

17

1993 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Sources: Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services, Bureua of Economic Analysis

Page 4: Excess cost growth in Medicare, Medicaid, and all other health care spending Source: CBO, A Federal Perspective on Health Care Policy and Costs, 2008

the U.S. Spends More on Health Care Than ANY Other Developed Nation

$-

$1,000

$2,000

$3,000

$4,000

$5,000

$6,000

1970 1980 1990 2003

U.S.AustraliaCanadaDenmarkFranceJapanNorwaySwedenU.K.

Source: Kaiser Family Foundation, Snapshots: Health Care Costs, 2007.

Total Health Expenditures Per Capita, U.S. and Selected Countries

Page 5: Excess cost growth in Medicare, Medicaid, and all other health care spending Source: CBO, A Federal Perspective on Health Care Policy and Costs, 2008

Increases in Health-Insurance Prices Compared to Other Indicators

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Health Insurance Premiums Workers' Earnings Consumer Price Inflation

Source: Henry J. Kaiser Family Foundation and the Health Research and Educational Trust

Page 6: Excess cost growth in Medicare, Medicaid, and all other health care spending Source: CBO, A Federal Perspective on Health Care Policy and Costs, 2008

Employers and employees are spending more on premiums

Source: Kaiser Family Foundation, Employer Health Survey, 2008.

Average Annual Employee and Employer Contributions to Premiums for Family Coverage

$3,354

$2,973

$2,713

$2,661

$2,412

$2,137

$1,787

$1,619

$1,543

$9,325

$8,824

$8,508

$8,167

$7,289

$6,667

$5,866

$5,269

$4,819

$4,247

$3,281

$0 $2,000 $4,000 $6,000 $8,000 $10,000 $12,000 $14,000

2008

2007

2006

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

1999Employee Contribution

Employer Contribution

Page 7: Excess cost growth in Medicare, Medicaid, and all other health care spending Source: CBO, A Federal Perspective on Health Care Policy and Costs, 2008

Deductibles are rising

Average Aggregate Deductible for Workers with Family Coverage,2006-2008

$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

$1,200

$1,400

$1,600

$1,800

$2,000

HMO PPO POS

Plan Type

2006 2007 2008

Source: Kaiser Family Foundation, Employer Health Survey, 2008.

Page 8: Excess cost growth in Medicare, Medicaid, and all other health care spending Source: CBO, A Federal Perspective on Health Care Policy and Costs, 2008

Higher copayments increase the burden on insured workers

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

2008

2007

2006

2005

2004$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

$30

Other

Source: Kaiser Family Foundation, Employer Health Survey, 2008.

Distribution of Copayments for an office visit with a Primary Care Physician

Page 9: Excess cost growth in Medicare, Medicaid, and all other health care spending Source: CBO, A Federal Perspective on Health Care Policy and Costs, 2008

Percentage of Americans Not Covered

13%

14%

15%

16%

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Page 10: Excess cost growth in Medicare, Medicaid, and all other health care spending Source: CBO, A Federal Perspective on Health Care Policy and Costs, 2008

Percent Under 65 Covered By Employers

62%

63%

64%

65%

66%

67%

68%

69%

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Page 11: Excess cost growth in Medicare, Medicaid, and all other health care spending Source: CBO, A Federal Perspective on Health Care Policy and Costs, 2008

Coverage Under Employer InsuranceIs Flat…

150,000

155,000

160,000

165,000

170,000

175,000

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Page 12: Excess cost growth in Medicare, Medicaid, and all other health care spending Source: CBO, A Federal Perspective on Health Care Policy and Costs, 2008

…In a Growing Eligible Population

150,000

155,000

160,000

165,000

170,000

175,000

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

240,000

245,000

250,000

255,000

260,000

265,000

Covered

Population Under 65

Page 13: Excess cost growth in Medicare, Medicaid, and all other health care spending Source: CBO, A Federal Perspective on Health Care Policy and Costs, 2008

Percentage of Firms Offering Health Benefits

66

63

60

61

60

66

68

69

59

61

63

65

67

69

71

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Source: Henry J. Kaiser Family Foundation and the Health Research and Educational Trust

Page 14: Excess cost growth in Medicare, Medicaid, and all other health care spending Source: CBO, A Federal Perspective on Health Care Policy and Costs, 2008

Source: Kaiser Employer Health Survey, 2008.

Small Firms Are Less Likely To Offer Health Benefits

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Small Firms (3-199 workers) Large Firms (200+ workers)

Percentage of Firms Offering Health Benefits

Page 15: Excess cost growth in Medicare, Medicaid, and all other health care spending Source: CBO, A Federal Perspective on Health Care Policy and Costs, 2008

Workers Covered by Employers’ Health Benefits

Source: Kaiser Employer Health Survey, 2008.

Health-Insurance Coverage Is Lower in Small Firms

Page 16: Excess cost growth in Medicare, Medicaid, and all other health care spending Source: CBO, A Federal Perspective on Health Care Policy and Costs, 2008

Employer Coverage Is Falling;Uninsured Percentage Is Rising

14.0%13.7%

14.1%

15.1%14.9%

15.3%

15.8%

15.3%

14.7%

68.3%

67.1%

64.4%

63.9%63.5%

67.9%

62.9%62.9%

65.7%

11%

12%

13%

14%

15%

16%

17%

18%

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

62%

63%

64%

65%

66%

67%

68%

69%Under 65, Covered By Employer

Uninsured

Source: U.S. Census Bureau.

Page 17: Excess cost growth in Medicare, Medicaid, and all other health care spending Source: CBO, A Federal Perspective on Health Care Policy and Costs, 2008

Infant Mortality Rates, 2004

6.8

5.3

5.0

4.7

4.1

3.9

3.5

3.1

2.8

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

United States

Canada

England and Wales

Australia

Germany

France

Spain

Sweden

Japan

Infant deaths per 1,000 live births

Infant mortality rate in the U.S. is higher than in other developed countries

Source: National Center for Health Statistics, Health, United States, 2007.

Page 18: Excess cost growth in Medicare, Medicaid, and all other health care spending Source: CBO, A Federal Perspective on Health Care Policy and Costs, 2008

Few Private Employee-Enrollees Can Save ByChoosing a Less-Expensive Insurance Carrier

Source: Marquis and Long, “Trends in Managed Care and Managed Competition, 1993-97,” Health Affairs, 18, no. 6 (1999).

No choice of carrier, 77%

Choice but zero potential savings,

9%

Choice but only partial savings,

8%

Choice with full savings, 6%

Page 19: Excess cost growth in Medicare, Medicaid, and all other health care spending Source: CBO, A Federal Perspective on Health Care Policy and Costs, 2008

Source: Peter Orszag, CBO, Presentation to the Center for Public Health, Stanford University

Medicare Spending per Beneficiary,by Hospital Referral Region, 2005

Page 20: Excess cost growth in Medicare, Medicaid, and all other health care spending Source: CBO, A Federal Perspective on Health Care Policy and Costs, 2008

Source: Elliot Fisher, Dartmouth Medical School.

42.2

23.9

$50,522 19.2 52.1 2.9

$40,181

17.7

1.0

$26,330

12.9

1.1

Total MedicareSpending*

Hospital Days* Physician Visits* Ratio, medicalspecialist/primary care*

UCLA MedicalCenter

MassachusettsGeneral Hospital

Mayo Clinic

82

86

90

CQS**

Cost and Performance at Three High-Quality Medical Centers

*Care Delivery and Spending Among Medicare patients in last 6 months of life.**CMS Composite Quality Score: an aggregate of all quality measures within each clinical area.

Page 21: Excess cost growth in Medicare, Medicaid, and all other health care spending Source: CBO, A Federal Perspective on Health Care Policy and Costs, 2008

Source: The Dartmouth Atlas of Health Care, 1995-2005.

Health Care Is Less Expensive in the Upper-Midwest

Total Medicare reimbursements per enrollee: U.S. vs Upper-Midwest

$2,000

$3,000

$4,000

$5,000

$6,000

$7,000

$8,000

$9,000

1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005

US

IA

MN

WI

Page 22: Excess cost growth in Medicare, Medicaid, and all other health care spending Source: CBO, A Federal Perspective on Health Care Policy and Costs, 2008