february 11, 2016 · 1. accelerate portable classrooms at jchs for ms use in school year 2016-17 2....

February 11, 2016

September 2014: Mercer Middle School (MMS) enrollment projected to be at 111% of capacity for School Year 2015-16; 126% of capacity for 2016-17

March 2015: Dulles District Supervisor Matt Letourneau and School Board Representative Jeff Morse issue Community Alert Newsletter to Dulles District concerning overcrowding

September 2015: Actual MMS enrollment for start of School Year 2015-16 was 117% of capacity; new projection for 2016-17 is 138% of capacity

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Capital Improvement Program Estimates By Date

MMS Enrollment Projections

Mercer EnrollmentEstimate (CIP - Dec 2013)



Mercer Capacity

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JML Enrollment Projections

Lunsford EnrollmentEstimate (CIP - Dec 2013)

Lunsford EnrollmentEstimate (CIP - Dec 2014)

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Lunsford Capacity

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JCHS Enrollment Projections

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Champe Capacity

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FHS Enrollment Projections

Freedom EnrollmentEstimate (CIP - Dec2013)

Freedom EnrollmentEstimate (CIP - Dec2014)

Freedom EnrollmentEstimate (CIP -Dec2015)

Freedom Capacity

30-Sep-14 30-Sep-15 30-Sep-16 30-Sep-17 30-Sep-18 30-Sep-19

Lunsford Enrollment Estimate (CIP - Dec 2014) 1470 1520 1534 1483 1448 1449

Lunsford Enrollment Estimate (CIP -Dec 2015) 1504 1519 1516 1520 1536

Lunsford Capacity 1406 1406 1406 1406 1406 1406

Mercer Enrollment Estimate (CIP - Dec 2014) 1255 1462 1662 1873 2036 2230

Mercer Enrollment Estimate (CIP - Dec 2015) 1584 1859 2136 2383 2711

Mercer Capacity 1350 1350 1350 1350 1350 1350

Enrollment (as a % of Capacity) at JML 107% 108% 108% 108% 109%

Enrollment (as a % of Capacity) at MMS 117% 138% 158% 177% 100%**New Middle School Seven (MS-7) (1350 seats) to relieve Mercer to open in School Year 2019-20

Dulles South Middle School Projections

Dulles South High School Projections


Freedom Enrollment Estimate (CIP - Dec 2013) 1473 1692 1844 2057 2116 2097

Freedom Enrollment Estimate (CIP - Dec 2014) 1454 1651 1816 2035 2170 2220

Freedom Enrollment Estimate (CIP -Dec 2015) 1616 1854 2084 2150 2181

Freedom Capacity 1639 1867 1867 1867 1867 1867

Champe Enrollment Estimate (CIP - Dec 2013) 1173 1291 1429 1583 1813 2023

Champe Enrollment Estimate (CIP - Dec 2014) 1251 1457 1666 1977 2304 2693

Champe Enrollment Estimate (CIP - Dec 2015) 1515 1813 2099 2472 2895

Champe Capacity 1882 1882 1882 1882 1882 1882

Enrollment (as a % of Capacity) at Freedom 87% 99% 112% 115% 117%

Enrollment (as a % of Capacity) at Champe 80% 96% 112% 131% 154%

Champe capacity does not include proposed portable classrooms

New High School to relieve overcrowding at Champe in School Year 2020-21

HS-11 will have a 483 seat excess capacity in School Year 2020-2021

Use Capacity at JL Simpson Middle School in Leesburg◦ Seats available in 2016: 164

◦ Seats available in 2017: 117

Use Capacity at Middle School 9 in Brambleton◦ Seats available in 2017: 395

◦ Seats available in 2018: 172

Balance enrollment with JML based on capacities

Accelerate Champe Portable Classrooms for MS use in 2016 (current schedule - 2017):◦ Seats Available in 2016: 200◦ Seats Available in 2017: 200

Accelerate New Dulles South Middle School MS-7 on Braddock Rd (current schedule -2019)◦ Seats Available in 2019: 1350 ◦ If accelerated, Seats available in 2018: 1350

Create Split School Day into 2 shifts◦ Available for as long as necessary

January enrollment continues to align with projections

1. Accelerate portable classrooms at JCHS for MS use in School Year 2016-17◦ Moves high school students into portable

classrooms

◦ Allows 8th grade MMS students to a wing isolated from JCHS students

◦ Supports excess flow for at least two years

◦ Upon completion of MS-7, portable classrooms will be needed for JCHS overcrowding (121% in 2018)

30-Sep-14 30-Sep-15 30-Sep-16 30-Sep-17 30-Sep-18 30-Sep-19Lunsford Enrollment Estimate (CIP - Dec 2014) 1470 1520 1534 1483 1448 1449Lunsford Enrollment Estimate (CIP -Dec 2015) 1504 1519 1516 1520 1536Lunsford Capacity 1406 1406 1406 1406 1406 1406Mercer Enrollment Estimate (CIP - Dec 2014) 1255 1462 1662 1873 2036 2230Mercer Enrollment Estimate (CIP - Dec 2015) 1584 1859 2136 2383 2711Mercer Capacity 1350 1350 1350 1350 1350 1350% Dulles South Seats at JML 51%% Dulles South Seats at MMS 49%Total Seats Required before portable classrooms** 3088 3378 3652 3903 2897Portable Classroom for JCHS creates seats for MMS 200 200Seats required with portable classroom 3088 3178 3452 3903 2897Enrollment at JML 1504 1519 1516 1520 1536Enrollment at MMS 1584 1659 1936 2383 2711Enrollment (as a % of Capacity) at JML 107% 108% 108% 108% 109%Enrollment (as a % of Capacity) at MMS 117% 123% 143% 177% 201%**New Middle School (1350 seats) to relieve Mercer to open in School Year 2019-20 based on CIPJCHS enrollment requires return of middle school capacity plus portable classrooms

1. Accelerate portable classrooms at JCHS for MS use in School Year 2016-17

2. Balance the middle school enrollment across Dulles South Middle Schools◦ MMS/JML in 2016-17 through 2017-18

◦ MMS/JML/MS-7 in 2018-19 and beyond

30-Sep-14 30-Sep-15 30-Sep-16 30-Sep-17 30-Sep-18 30-Sep-19Lunsford Enrollment Estimate (CIP - Dec 2014) 1470 1520 1534 1483 1448 1449Lunsford Enrollment Estimate (CIP -Dec 2015) 1504 1519 1516 1520 1536

Lunsford Capacity 1406 1406 1406 1406 1406 1406Mercer Enrollment Estimate (CIP - Dec 2014) 1255 1462 1662 1873 2036 2230

Mercer Enrollment Estimate (CIP - Dec 2015) 1584 1859 2136 2383 2711Mercer Capacity 1350 1350 1350 1350 1350 1350

% Dulles South Seats at JML 51%% Dulles South Seats at MMS 49%Total Seats Required before portable classrooms** 3088 3378 3652 3903 2897

Portable Classroom for JCHS creates seats for MMS 200 200Seats required with portable classroom 3088 3178 3452 3903 2897Students added/subtracted from JML for balance 71 102 245 471 -58Students added/subtracted from MMS for balance -71 -102 -245 -471 58Enrollment at JML once balanced 1575 1621 1761 1991 1478

Enrollment at MMS once balanced 1513 1757 1891 1912 1419Enrollment (as a % of Capacity) at JML balanced 112% 115% 125% 142% 105%

Enrollment (as a % of Capacity) at MMS balanced 112% 115% 125% 142% 105%**New Middle School (1350 seats) to relieve Mercer to open in School Year 2019-20 based on CIPJCHS enrollment requires return of middle school capacity plus portable classrooms


2. Balance the middle school enrollment across Dulles South Middle Schools

3. Rezone some planning zones to MS-9 (opening school year 2017-18), filling excess capacity◦ Excess capacity provides 395 seats in school year

2017-18; 172 in school year 2018-19


Lunsford Enrollment Estimate (CIP - Dec 2014) 1470 1520 1534 1483 1448 1449Lunsford Enrollment Estimate (CIP -Dec 2015) 1504 1519 1516 1520 1536

Lunsford Capacity 1406 1406 1406 1406 1406 1406Mercer Enrollment Estimate (CIP - Dec 2014) 1255 1462 1662 1873 2036 2230

Mercer Enrollment Estimate (CIP - Dec 2015) 1584 1859 2136 2383 2711Mercer Capacity 1350 1350 1350 1350 1350 1350

% Dulles South Seats at JML 51%% Dulles South Seats at MMS 49%Total Seats Required before portable classrooms** 3088 3378 3652 3903 2897

Portable Classroom for JCHS creates seats for MMS 200 200Seats required with portable classroom 3088 3178 3452 3903 2897

Use excess capacity at MS-9 395 172Seats required after excess capacity is used 3088 3178 3057 3731 2897Students added/subtracted from JML for balance 71 102 44 383 -58Students added/subtracted from MMS for balance -71 -102 -44 -383 58Enrollment at JML once balanced 1575 1621 1560 1903 1478

Enrollment at MMS once balanced 1513 1757 1497 1828 1419Enrollment (as a % of Capacity) at JML balanced 112% 115% 111% 135% 105%Enrollment (as a % of Capacity) at MMS balanced 112% 115% 111% 135% 105%**New Middle School (1350 seats) to relieve Mercer to open in School Year 2019-20 based on CIPJCHS enrollment requires return of middle school capacity plus portable classrooms


2. Balance the middle school enrollment across Dulles South Middle Schools

3. Rezone some planning zones to MS-9 (opening school year 2017-18), filling excess capacity

4. Accelerate construction of MS-7 from a 2019=20 opening to a 2018-2019 opening◦ Provides 1350 seats for Dulles South students◦ Boundary change is determined in the fall 2016 but isn’t

effective until the fall of 2018


Lunsford Enrollment Estimate (CIP - Dec 2014) 1470 1520 1534 1483 1448 1449Lunsford Enrollment Estimate (CIP -Dec 2015) 1504 1519 1516 1520 1536

Lunsford Capacity 1406 1406 1406 1406 1406 1406Mercer Enrollment Estimate (CIP - Dec 2014) 1255 1462 1662 1873 2036 2230Mercer Enrollment Estimate (CIP - Dec 2015) 1584 1859 2136 2383 2711Mercer Capacity 1350 1350 1350 1350 1350 1350

% Dulles South Seats at JML 51%

% Dulles South Seats at MMS 49%Total Seats Required before portable classrooms** 3088 3378 3652 2553 2897

Portable Classroom for JCHS creates seats for MMS 200 200Seats required with portable classroom 3088 3178 3452 2553 2897Use excess capacity at MS-9 395 172Seats required after excess capacity is used 3088 3178 3057 2381 2897Students added/subtracted from JML for balance 71 102 44 -305 -58

Students added/subtracted from MMS for balance -71 -102 -44 305 58Enrollment at JML once balanced 1575 1621 1560 1215 1478Enrollment at MMS once balanced 1513 1557 1497 1166 1419Enrollment (as a % of Capacity) at JML balanced 112% 115% 111% 86% 105%Enrollment (as a % of Capacity) at MMS balanced 112% 115% 111% 86% 105%

**New Middle School (1350 seats) to relieve Mercer to open in School Year 2019-20 based on CIPJCHS enrollment requires return of middle school capacity plus portable classrooms

112% 115% 111% 135% 105%

112% 115% 111% 135% 105%

112% 115% 111% 86% 105%

112% 115% 111% 86% 105%

As is with MS-7 opening in 2019

Balanced with JML

Using Portables

Using MS-9 excess capacity

Accelerating MS-7 by 1 year

30-Sep-15 30-Sep-16 30-Sep-17 30-Sep-18 30-Sep-19

107% 108% 108% 108% 109%

117% 123% 143% 177% 201%

112% 115% 125% 142% 105%

112% 115% 125% 142% 105%

107% 108% 108% 108% 109%

117% 138% 158% 177% 100%

February 23 Tuesday TBD County Government CenterBoard of Supervisors Business and Finance Committee Meeting/CIP Work Session

March 28 Monday 6:30 p.m. School Administration Building Secondary School (MS-9 & HS-11) School Attendance Zones Overview/Public Hearing

March 31 Thursday 6:30 p.m. School Administration Building Secondary School (MS-9 & HS-11) School Attendance Zones Work Session

April 4,7,11,18 6:30 p.m. School Administration Building Secondary School (MS-9 & HS-11) School Attendance Zones Briefing/Public Hearings

April 5 Tuesday TBD County Government CenterTentative Final Board of Supervisors Budget Adoption

May 2 Monday 6:30 p.m. School Administration Building Secondary School (MS-9 & HS-11) School Attendance Zones Briefing/Public Hearing

Principal Phillips’ presentation will be uploaded once the portable classroom plan is approved by LCPS. He will present it to the students before posting.

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february 11, 2016 · 1. accelerate portable classrooms at jchs for ms use in school year 2016-17 2....

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