feed industry perspective on eu protein production...global compound feed production in 2017 (1,053...

20
Feed Industry Perspective on EU Protein Production Nick Major FEFAC President 23 November 2018 Vienna

Upload: others

Post on 15-Jul-2020

0 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • Feed Industry Perspective on EU Protein Production

    Nick MajorFEFAC President

    23 November 2018Vienna

  • What is FEFAC?

    • European Association of Compound Feed Manufacturers

    • Founded in 1959• Association of associations • 23 Member Associations from

    23 EU Member States• 159.1 mio. T of industrial

    compound feed production in 2017

    • 8 people secretariat in Brussels

    23 November 2018 DEVELOPMENT OF PLANT PROTEINS IN THE EU 2

  • Global compound feed production in 2017 (1,053 mio. t)

    Source: FEFAC / Alltech

    EU-28 (incl. EL)163

    Other Europe87

    China187

    Japan24Other Asia

    171

    Brazil70

    Mexico34

    USA173

    Canada22

    Other America56

    Others66

    23 November 2018 DEVELOPMENT OF PLANT PROTEINS IN THE EU 3

  • EU-28 Livestock sourcing in feedingstuffs – 488 mio. t in 2017

    Source: FEFAC / EU Commission

    235

    53

    41

    159

    Forages Home-grown cereals

    Purchased straight feedingstuffs Industrial compound feed23 November 2018 DEVELOPMENT OF PLANT PROTEINS IN THE EU 4

  • Feed material consumption by the EU-28 feed industry in 2017

    Source: FEFAC

    Feed cereals50%

    Co-products from Food & Bioethanol Industries

    11.5%Oils & Fats

    2%Cakes & Meals26%

    Pulses1.5%

    Dairy products0.5%

    Dried forage1.5%

    Minerals, Additives & Vitamins

    3.5%

    All others 4%

  • EU Protein Plan

    • Announced by Commissioner Hogan at FEFAC Congress June 2017

    • Feed industry the most important potential purchasers of EU grown protein

    623 November 2018 DEVELOPMENT OF PLANT PROTEINS IN THE EU

  • Agronomical strenghts and weaknesses of cultivating vegetable protein in the EU

    • Contribution to reduction of EU protein deficit (strategic aspect)

    • Positive environmental contribution (N-fixing crops)

    • Useful to meet specific niche market demand

    • Lack of competitiveness without direct price support via coupled payments

    • Need to allocate land resources in the most efficient way

    Strengths Weaknesses

    “The feed and livestock industry rapidly reacts to the availability feed materials”

  • Breed

    Production performances

    Environmental factors

    Husbandry practices

    Health

    Activity

    Translate to same language

    Composition

    Antinutrients

    Safety

    Palatability

    Digestibility

    Age

    Processing

    FEED

    PROCESSING

    GIT microbiota

    Additives

    Animal nutrition: Linking high quality protein sources with physiological requirements

    All these parameters matter when considering a feed protein supply!

    Availability

    Price

    23 November 2018 DEVELOPMENT OF PLANT PROTEINS IN THE EU 8

  • Evolution of EU protein supply self sufficiency (%) « The old way »

    33

    26 24 24 2327 27 28 27 29

    33 32 32 31 33

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    9

    Source FEFAC

    23 November 2018

  • The new way: Contribution of feed materials to protein supply and level of EU dependency in 2016/2017

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    Cereals Oilseeds Pulses Soybean meals Rapeseed meal Sunflower meal Feed materials ofanimal origin

    Other co-productsfood and biofuels

    industry

    Self sufficiency Protein supply (percentage of total proteins)

    %

    Crops Oilseed meals

    Source: DG AGRI

    23 November 2018 10

  • EU lost preferential buyer status 10 years ago

    23 November 2018 DEVELOPMENT OF PLANT PROTEINS IN THE EU 11

    Chart1

    2003/20042003/2004

    2004/20052004/2005

    2005/20062005/2006

    2006/20072006/2007

    2007/20082007/2008

    2008/20092008/2009

    2009/20102009/2010

    20010/201120010/2011

    2011/20122011/2012

    2012/20132012/2013

    2013/20142013/2014

    2014/20152014/2015

    2015/20162015/2016

    2016/20172016/2017

    China

    EU

    Evolution of market share of global SBM equivalent imports (source:USDA)

    0.1368718245

    0.3846622402

    0.1899539003

    0.3481776514

    0.1971556803

    0.3338045917

    0.1901021917

    0.321312524

    0.2311759116

    0.3119354372

    0.2588965252

    0.2804804749

    0.2930727761

    0.2548823907

    0.2928800989

    0.2516559457

    0.3219825546

    0.2349607463

    0.3256549215

    0.2066763863

    0.3397142816

    0.1956881527

    0.3527682515

    0.1896964398

    0.3500965205

    0.1876214236

    0.3514612615

    0.1819191513

    Chart1 production

    2005/20062005/20062005/2006

    2006/20072006/20072006/2007

    2007/20082007/20082007/2008

    2008/20092008/20092008/2009

    2009/20102009/20102009/2010

    2010/20112010/20112010/2011

    2011/20122011/20122011/2012

    2012/20132012/20132012/2013

    2013/20142013/20142013/2014

    USA

    Brazil

    Argentina

    83.507

    57

    40.5

    87.001

    59

    48.8

    72.859

    61

    46.2

    80.749

    57.8

    32

    91.417

    69

    54.5

    90.605

    75.3

    49

    84.192

    66.5

    40.1

    82.79

    82

    49.3

    91.39

    86.7

    54

    graph production

    2005/20062005/20062005/20062005/20062005/20062005/20062005/20062005/2006

    2006/20072006/20072006/20072006/20072006/20072006/20072006/20072006/2007

    2007/20082007/20082007/20082007/20082007/20082007/20082007/20082007/2008

    2008/20092008/20092008/20092008/20092008/20092008/20092008/20092008/2009

    2009/20102009/20102009/20102009/20102009/20102009/20102009/20102009/2010

    2010/20112010/20112010/20112010/20112010/20112010/20112010/20112010/2011

    2011/20122011/20122011/20122011/20122011/20122011/20122011/20122011/2012

    2012/20132012/20132012/20132012/20132012/20132012/20132012/20132012/2013

    2013/20142013/20142013/20142013/20142013/20142013/20142013/20142013/2014

    2014/20152014/20152014/20152014/20152014/20152014/20152014/20152014/2015

    USA

    Brasil

    Argentina

    China

    India

    Paraguay

    Canada

    others

    83.507

    57

    40.5

    16.35

    7

    3.64

    3.16

    9.374

    87.001

    59

    48.8

    15.2

    7.69

    6.2

    3.46

    9.209

    72.859

    61

    46.2

    13.4

    9.47

    6.9

    2.696

    7.944

    80.749

    57.8

    32

    15.54

    9.1

    4

    3.336

    9.435

    91.417

    69

    54.5

    14.98

    9.7

    6.462

    3.581

    10.96

    90.605

    75.3

    49

    15.1

    9.8

    7.128

    4.445

    12.767

    84.192

    66.5

    40.1

    14.48

    11

    4.043

    4.298

    14.912

    82.79

    82

    49.3

    13.05

    12.2

    8.2

    5.086

    16.144

    91.39

    86.7

    54

    12.2

    9.5

    8.2

    5.36

    19.28

    108.01

    94.5

    57

    12.35

    9.8

    8.3

    6.05

    19.45

    Chart production 13-14

    USA

    Brasil

    Argentina

    China

    India

    Paraguay

    Canada

    others

    91.39

    86.7

    54

    12.2

    9.5

    8.2

    5.36

    19.28

    production

    Production mondiale de soja

    campagne 2005/2006campagne 2006/2007campagne 2007/2008campagne 2008/2009campagne 2009/2010campagne 2010/2011campagne 2011/2012campagne 2012/2013campagne 2013/2014campagne 2014/2015

    MhaMtMhaMtMhaMtMhaMtMhaMtMhaMtMhaMtMhaMtMhaMtMhaMt

    Total Monde92.92220.5394.24236.5690.72220.4796.29211.96102.17260.60102.76264.15103.29239.53109.32268.77113.27286.63118.00315.46

    USA28.8383.5130.1987.0025.9672.8630.2280.7530.9191.4231.0090.6129.8084.1930.8282.7930.8691.3933.61108.01

    Brasil22.2357.0020.7059.0021.3061.0021.7057.8023.5069.0024.2075.3025.0066.5027.7082.0030.1086.7031.5094.50

    Argentina15.2040.5016.3048.8016.3746.2016.0032.0018.6054.5018.3049.0018.6040.1019.4049.3019.8054.0019.8057.00

    China9.5916.359.2815.208.7513.409.1315.549.1914.988.5215.107.6514.487.1713.056.8512.206.8012.35

    India7.807.008.127.698.809.479.609.109.609.709.309.8010.2711.0010.7012.2012.209.5010.919.80

    Paraguay2.433.642.406.202.656.902.554.002.686.462.847.132.804.043.168.203.208.203.308.30

    Canada1.173.161.203.461.172.701.213.341.383.581.484.451.544.301.685.091.865.362.246.05

    others5.679.376.059.215.727.945.889.446.3110.967.1212.777.6314.918.6916.148.4019.289.8419.45

    181.01194.80180.06170.55214.92214.91190.79214.09232.09

    82.08%82.35%81.67%80.46%82.47%81.36%79.65%79.66%80.97%

    MAJ1/16/15

    2005/2006

    2006/2007

    2007/2008

    2008/2009

    2009/2010

    2010/2011

    2011/2012

    2012/2013

    2013/2014

    2014/2015

    base World Agricultural Production April 2014 mis à jour 12/13, 13/14 et 14/15

    production et OGM

    Production mondiale de sojaMAJ11/10/09

    campagne 2005/2006campagne 2006/2007campagne 2007/2008campagne 2008/2009prévisions campagne 2009/2010

    dont OGMdont OGMdont OGMdont OGMdont OGM

    MhaMt(Mha)% Stot.MhaMt(Mha)% Stot.MhaMt(Mha)% Stot.MhaMt(Mha)% Stot.MhaMt(Mha)% Stot.

    Total Monde92.92220.5354.459%94.24236.5658.362%90.72221.1858.765%96.29210.8465.868%101.39250.23

    USA28.8383.5125.0887%30.1987.0026.8789%25.9672.8623.6291%30.2280.7527.8092%31.0190.3491%

    Brésil22.2357.009.4042%20.7059.0010.3550%21.3061.0014.5068%21.7057.0015.0069%22.7063.00

    Argentine15.2040.5014.9098%16.3048.8015.9798%16.3746.2016.0498%16.0032.0015.6898%18.8053.00

    Chine9.5916.350.000%9.2815.200.000%8.7514.000.000%9.1315.500.000%8.8014.50

    Inde7.807.000.000%8.127.690.000%8.809.470.000%9.609.100.000%9.809.00

    Paraguay2.433.641.8074%2.406.202.0083%2.656.902.6098%2.553.902.5098%2.806.70

    Canada1.173.16??1.203.46??1.172.70??1.213.300.6050%1.403.50

    autres5.679.37--6.059.215.728.055.889.290.6010%6.0810.19

    SNIA, d'après USDA, ISAAA, Statistique Canada et missions économiques

    Bolivie

    Chart4

    2003/20042003/20042003/20042003/2004

    2004/20052004/20052004/20052004/2005

    2005/20062005/20062005/20062005/2006

    2006/20072006/20072006/20072006/2007

    2007/20082007/20082007/20082007/2008

    2008/20092008/20092008/20092008/2009

    2009/20102009/20102009/20102009/2010

    20010/201120010/201120010/201120010/2011

    2011/20122011/20122011/20122011/2012

    2012/20132012/20132012/20132012/2013

    2013/20142013/20142013/20142013/2014

    USA

    Argentina

    Brazil

    USA + Brazil + Argentina

    Market share of exporting countries (SBM equivalent) source:USDA

    0.2619478168

    0.2748153503

    0.3435037368

    0.8802669039

    0.3065960039

    0.2897019552

    0.3077364121

    0.9040343713

    0.2675335308

    0.2953493843

    0.325502368

    0.8883852832

    0.2882096944

    0.3030242337

    0.2828304117

    0.8740643398

    0.2795997047

    0.3202479252

    0.2706583492

    0.8705059791

    0.3080414888

    0.2528196829

    0.3230512993

    0.883912471

    0.3296395344

    0.2776797646

    0.2776662741

    0.8849855731

    0.3079730842

    0.2686903713

    0.2868577685

    0.8635212241

    0.2898198016

    0.2454144897

    0.3295979933

    0.8648322846

    0.2786136195

    0.2176095203

    0.334275259

    0.8304983989

    0.3040520469

    0.2102691164

    0.3390735743

    0.8533947377

    exportations

    Exportations(milliers de tonnes)MAJ12/12/13

    source : USDA

    Graines

    2003/20042004/20052005/20062006/20072007/20082008/20092009/20102010/20112011/20122012/20132013/20142014/20152015/20162016/2017

    USA24,12829,86025,57930,38631,59834,81740,79840,95937,15636,12944,59450,14352,68855,792

    Brésil20,41720,13725,91123,48525,36429,98728,57829,95136,25741,90446,82950,61254,38359,500

    Argentine6,7419,5687,2499,55913,8375,59013,0889,2057,3687,7387,84210,5739,9209,000

    Paraguay2,7762,8882,3804,3615,4002,2834,0705,2263,5745,5184,8004,4885,4005,300

    Autres2,1252,3212,6853,5193,3204,2174,9066,3617,8029,5138,61210,4029,88510,520

    total56,18764,77463,80471,31079,51976,89491,44091,70292,157100,802112,677126,218132,276140,112

    USA42.94%46.10%40.09%42.61%39.74%45.28%44.62%44.67%40.32%35.84%39.58%39.73%39.83%39.82%

    Brésil36.34%31.09%40.61%32.93%31.90%39.00%31.25%32.66%39.34%41.57%41.56%40.10%41.11%42.47%

    Argentine12.00%14.77%11.36%13.40%17.40%7.27%14.31%10.04%8.00%7.68%6.96%8.38%7.50%6.42%

    Paraguay4.94%4.46%3.73%6.12%6.79%2.97%4.45%5.70%3.88%5.47%4.26%3.56%4.08%3.78%

    Autres3.78%3.58%4.21%4.93%4.18%5.48%5.37%6.94%8.47%9.44%7.64%8.24%7.47%7.51%

    total100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%

    Tourteaux

    2003/20042004/20052005/20062006/20072007/20082008/20092009/201020010/20112011/20122012/20132013/20142014/20152015/20162016/2017

    Argentine19,22120,65024,22225,63726,81624,02524,91427,61526,04323,66724,97228,57530,32532,400

    Brésil14,79214,25612,89512,71512,13813,10912,98513,98714,67813,24213,94814,39015,40715,200

    USA4,6906,6597,3017,9878,3847,70810,1258,2388,84510,11110,50411,89110,85310,523

    Paraguay1,0826446447971,1171,0761,1241,0435232,1492,5042,5302,5652,710

    Autres5,7804,6266,7196,8497,3206,9276,4587,6628,1869,3538,7907,0776,5037,452

    total45,56546,83551,78153,98555,77552,84555,60658,54558,27558,52260,71864,46365,65368,285

    2003/20042004/20052005/20062006/20072007/20082008/20092009/201020010/20112011/20122012/20132013/20142014/20152015/20162016/2017

    Argentine42.18%44.09%46.78%47.49%48.08%45.46%44.80%47.17%44.69%40.44%41.13%44.33%46.19%47.45%

    Brésil32.46%30.44%24.90%23.55%21.76%24.81%23.35%23.89%25.19%22.63%22.97%22.32%23.47%22.26%

    USA10.29%14.22%14.10%14.79%15.03%14.59%18.21%14.07%15.18%17.28%17.30%18.45%16.53%15.41%

    Paraguay2.37%1.38%1.24%1.48%2.00%2.04%2.02%1.78%0.90%3.67%4.12%3.92%3.91%3.97%

    Autres12.69%9.88%12.98%12.69%13.12%13.11%11.61%13.09%14.05%15.98%14.48%10.98%9.91%10.91%

    total100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%

    Exportations totales (équivalent tourteaux)

    2003/20042004/20052005/20062006/20072007/20082008/20092009/201020010/20112011/20122012/20132013/20142014/20152015/20162016/2017

    USA23,26929,65126,99731,38432,71434,51741,53939,77637,45537,93044,84150,50151,42353,483

    Argentine24,41228,01729,80432,99737,47028,32934,99234,70331,71629,62531,01036,71637,96339,330

    Brésil30,51329,76132,84630,79831,66836,19934,99037,04942,59645,50850,00653,36157,28261,015

    Paraguay3,2202,8682,4774,1555,2752,8344,2585,0673,2756,3986,2005,9866,7236,791

    autres47,20148,62253,84856,69558,33156,09259,38463,44364,28365,84767,34972,47373,26476,385

    total88,82996,711100,910108,894117,005112,053126,015129,156129,236136,140147,479161,651167,506176,171

    2003/20042004/20052005/20062006/20072007/20082008/20092009/201020010/20112011/20122012/20132013/20142014/20152015/20162016/2017

    USA26.19%30.66%26.75%28.82%27.96%30.80%32.96%30.80%28.98%27.86%30.41%31.24%30.70%30.36%

    Argentina27.48%28.97%29.53%30.30%32.02%25.28%27.77%26.87%24.54%21.76%21.03%22.71%22.66%22.32%

    Brazil34.35%30.77%32.55%28.28%27.07%32.31%27.77%28.69%32.96%33.43%33.91%33.01%34.20%34.63%

    Paraguay3.62%2.97%2.45%3.82%4.51%2.53%3.38%3.92%2.53%4.70%4.20%3.70%4.01%3.85%

    autres53.14%50.28%53.36%52.06%49.85%50.06%47.12%49.12%49.74%48.37%45.67%44.83%43.74%43.36%

    total100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%

    USA + Brazil + Argentina88.03%90.40%88.84%87.41%87.05%88.39%88.50%86.35%86.48%83.05%85.34%86.96%

    Chart2 imports

    2003/20042003/20042003/2004

    2004/20052004/20052004/2005

    2005/20062005/20062005/2006

    2006/20072006/20072006/2007

    2007/20082007/20082007/2008

    2008/20092008/20092008/2009

    2009/20102009/20102009/2010

    20010/201120010/201120010/2011

    2011/20122011/20122011/2012

    2012/20132012/20132012/2013

    2013/20142013/20142013/2014

    Total

    EU

    China

    1,000 T

    86600

    33311.75

    11853.1

    95083.07

    33105.8

    18061.4

    100539.33

    33560.49

    19821.9

    105775.74

    33987.07

    20108.2

    114506.74

    35718.71

    26471.2

    111120.07

    31167.01

    28768.6

    120231.57

    30644.91

    35236.6

    125093.17

    31480.44

    36637.3

    128770.02

    30255.9

    41461.7

    128680.69

    26595.26

    41905.5

    144988.9

    28372.61

    49254.8

    Chart3

    2003/20042003/2004

    2004/20052004/2005

    2005/20062005/2006

    2006/20072006/2007

    2007/20082007/2008

    2008/20092008/2009

    2009/20102009/2010

    20010/201120010/2011

    2011/20122011/2012

    2012/20132012/2013

    2013/20142013/2014

    2014/20152014/2015

    2015/20162015/2016

    2016/20172016/2017

    China

    EU

    Evolution of market share of global SBM equivalent imports (source:USDA)

    0.1368718245

    0.3846622402

    0.1899539003

    0.3481776514

    0.1971556803

    0.3338045917

    0.1901021917

    0.321312524

    0.2311759116

    0.3119354372

    0.2588965252

    0.2804804749

    0.2930727761

    0.2548823907

    0.2928800989

    0.2516559457

    0.3219825546

    0.2349607463

    0.3256549215

    0.2066763863

    0.3397142816

    0.1956881527

    0.3527682515

    0.1896964398

    0.3500965205

    0.1876214236

    0.3514612615

    0.1819191513

    importations

    source : USDAMAJ9/20/16

    Importations de graines de soja

    2003/20042004/20052005/20062006/20072007/20082008/20092009/201020010/20112011/20122012/20132013/20142014/20152015/20162016/2017

    Chine16,93325,80228,31728,72637,81641,09850,33852,33959,23159,86570,36478,35082,50086,000

    EU14,67514,54013,93715,29115,12313,21312,68312,47212,07012,53813,29313,42113,70013,000

    Japon4,6884,2953,9624,0944,0143,3963,4012,9172,7592,8302,8303,0043,2503,100

    Mexique3,7973,6403,6673,8443,6143,3273,5233,4983,6063,4093,8423,8193,9504,000

    Autres13,90715,21414,24617,10717,59516,35716,89617,59515,76018,55522,74125,14827,46329,644

    Total54,00063,49164,12969,06278,16277,39186,84188,82193,42697,197113,070123,742130,863135,744

    Chine31.36%40.64%44.16%41.59%48.38%53.10%57.97%58.93%63.40%61.59%62.23%63.32%63.04%63.35%

    UE 2727.18%22.90%21.73%22.14%19.35%17.07%14.60%14.04%12.92%12.90%11.76%10.85%10.47%9.58%

    Japon8.68%6.76%6.18%5.93%5.14%4.39%3.92%3.28%2.95%2.91%2.50%2.43%2.48%2.28%

    Mexique7.03%5.73%5.72%5.57%4.62%4.30%4.06%3.94%3.86%3.51%3.40%3.09%3.02%2.95%

    Autres25.75%23.96%22.21%24.77%22.51%21.14%19.46%19.81%16.87%19.09%20.11%20.32%20.99%21.84%

    Total100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%

    Importations de tourteaux de soja

    2003/20042004/20052005/20062006/20072007/20082008/20092009/201020010/20112011/20122012/20132013/20142014/20152015/20162016/2017

    UE 2722,01221,91022,82922,21324,07420,99320,87921,87720,96216,94118,13719,15820,40021,150

    Japon1,1961,5031,6011,7371,7471,8122,1062,2082,2821,7651,9761,6991,7501,900

    Mexique7921,2511,7281,7801,4011,5181,2091,5001,5481,2951,4101,7952,0002,100

    Autres21,02021,53125,00226,86827,10027,20629,17031,11632,04033,83836,40237,53740,04041,612

    Total45,02046,19551,16052,59854,32251,52953,36456,70156,83253,83957,92560,18964,19066,762

    UE 2748.89%47.43%44.62%42.23%44.32%40.74%39.13%38.58%36.88%31.47%31.31%31.83%31.78%31.68%

    Japon2.66%3.25%3.13%3.30%3.22%3.52%3.95%3.89%4.02%3.28%3.41%2.82%2.73%2.85%

    Mexique1.76%2.71%3.38%3.38%2.58%2.95%2.27%2.65%2.72%2.41%2.43%2.98%3.12%3.15%

    Autres46.69%46.61%48.87%51.08%49.89%52.80%54.66%54.88%56.38%62.85%62.84%62.37%62.38%62.33%

    Total100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%

    Importations totales (équivalent tourteau)

    2003/20042004/20052005/20062006/20072007/20082008/20092009/201020010/20112011/20122012/20132013/20142014/20152015/20162016/2017

    Chine11,85318,06119,82220,10826,47128,76935,23736,63741,46241,90649,25554,84557,75060,200

    UE 2733,31233,10633,56033,98735,71931,16730,64531,48030,25626,59528,37329,49230,94931,160

    Japon4,8064,8104,6524,8894,8384,4274,7254,4544,4063,9444,1554,0124,2534,287

    Mexique3,7164,0544,5524,7404,1844,0803,9224,1934,3253,9204,3684,7365,0425,180

    Autres44,76753,11357,77662,15969,76671,44680,94084,96589,78394,221108,093117,230124,712130,658

    Total86,60095,083100,539105,776114,507111,120120,232125,093128,770128,681144,989155,470164,955171,285

    Chine13.7%19.0%19.7%19.0%23.1%25.9%29.3%29.3%32.2%32.6%34.0%35.3%35.0%35.1%

    UE 2738.5%34.8%33.4%32.1%31.2%28.0%25.5%25.2%23.5%20.7%19.6%19.0%18.8%18.2%

    Japon5.5%5.1%4.6%4.6%4.2%4.0%3.9%3.6%3.4%3.1%2.9%2.6%2.6%2.5%

    Mexique4.3%4.3%4.5%4.5%3.7%3.7%3.3%3.4%3.4%3.0%3.0%3.0%3.1%3.0%

    Autres51.7%55.9%57.5%58.8%60.9%64.3%67.3%67.9%69.7%73.2%74.6%75.4%75.6%76.3%

    Total100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%

    % China13.69%19.00%19.72%19.01%23.12%25.89%29.31%29.29%32.20%32.57%33.97%35.28%35.01%35.15%

    % EU38.47%34.82%33.38%32.13%31.19%28.05%25.49%25.17%23.50%20.67%19.57%18.97%18.76%18.19%

    oilseeds, world market and trade, september 2016

    gr principaux producteurs

    USA

    Brésil

    Argentine

    Chine

    Inde

    Paraguay

    Canada

    autres

    Principaux producteurs de soja Campagne 2008/2009 production totale : 210,84 millions de tonnes (source : USDA)

    80.749

    57

    32

    15.5

    9.1

    3.9

    3.3

    9.291

    Graph exportateurs total

    USA

    Argentina

    Brazil

    Paraguay

    autres

    Principaux exportateurs de soja (équivalent tourteau)Campagne 2008/2009Exportations totales : 106 millions de tonnes (d'après USDA)

    0.3080414888

    0.2528196829

    0.3230512993

    0.0252907141

    0.5005836504

    Graph exportateurs

    Argentine

    Brésil

    USA

    Paraguay

    Autres

    Principaux exportateurs de tourteaux de soja Campagne 2008/2009 Total exportations : 52,3 millions de tonnes (source : USDA)

    24025

    13109

    7708

    1076

    6927

    Graph export graines

    USA

    Brésil

    Argentine

    Paraguay

    Autres

    Principaux exportateurs de graines de soja - Campagne 08/09 Total des exportations : 76,9 millions de tonnes (d'après USDA)

    34817

    29987

    5590

    2283

    4217

    Graph import total

    UE 27

    Japon

    Mexique

    Autres

    Principaux importateurs de soja (équivalent tourteau) Campagne 2008/2009 - Importations totales : 104,3 millions de tonnes (d'après USDA)

    31167.01

    4426.92

    4079.79

    71446.35

    Gr évol import graines

    2003/20042003/20042003/20042003/20042003/20042003/20042003/20042003/20042003/20042003/2004

    2004/20052004/20052004/20052004/20052004/20052004/20052004/20052004/20052004/20052004/2005

    2005/20062005/20062005/20062005/20062005/20062005/20062005/20062005/20062005/20062005/2006

    2006/20072006/20072006/20072006/20072006/20072006/20072006/20072006/20072006/20072006/2007

    2007/20082007/20082007/20082007/20082007/20082007/20082007/20082007/20082007/20082007/2008

    2008/20092008/20092008/20092008/20092008/20092008/20092008/20092008/20092008/20092008/2009

    2009/20102009/20102009/20102009/20102009/20102009/20102009/20102009/20102009/20102009/2010

    Chine

    EU

    Japon

    Mexique

    Autres

    Importations de graines de soja en milliers de tonnes (d'après USDA)

    16933

    14675

    4688

    3797

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    13907

    25802

    14540

    4295

    3640

    15214

    28317

    13937

    3962

    3667

    14246

    28726

    15291

    4094

    3844

    17107

    37816

    15123

    4014

    3614

    17595

    41098

    13213

    3396

    3327

    16357

    50338

    12683

    3401

    3523

    16896

    Gr évol import total (V)

    2003/20042003/20042003/20042003/20042003/20042003/20042003/20042003/20042003/20042003/20042003/20042003/20042003/2004

    2004/20052004/20052004/20052004/20052004/20052004/20052004/20052004/20052004/20052004/20052004/20052004/20052004/2005

    2005/20062005/20062005/20062005/20062005/20062005/20062005/20062005/20062005/20062005/20062005/20062005/20062005/2006

    2006/20072006/20072006/20072006/20072006/20072006/20072006/20072006/20072006/20072006/20072006/20072006/20072006/2007

    2007/20082007/20082007/20082007/20082007/20082007/20082007/20082007/20082007/20082007/20082007/20082007/20082007/2008

    2008/20092008/20092008/20092008/20092008/20092008/20092008/20092008/20092008/20092008/20092008/20092008/20092008/2009

    2009/20102009/20102009/20102009/20102009/20102009/20102009/20102009/20102009/20102009/20102009/20102009/20102009/2010

    UE 27

    Chine

    Mexique

    Japon

    Autres

    Importations de soja (équivalent tourteau) (en milliers de tonnes d'après USDA)

    33311.75

    11853.1

    3715.69

    4805.76

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    44766.8

    33105.8

    18061.4

    4053.8

    4810.15

    53113.32

    33560.49

    19821.9

    4551.59

    4651.74

    57775.51

    33987.07

    20108.2

    4739.88

    4889.38

    62159.41

    35718.71

    26471.2

    4183.78

    4837.78

    69766.47

    31167.01

    28768.6

    4079.79

    4426.92

    71446.35

    30644.91

    35236.6

    3921.71

    4724.77

    80940.18

    Graph import graines

    Chine

    EU

    Japon

    Mexique

    Autres

    Principaux importateurs de graines de soja - Campagne 08/09 - Importations totales : 73,2 millions de tonnes

    41098

    13213

    3396

    3327

    16357

  • Reducing geopolitical vulnerability & stimulating responsible production standards

    23 November 2018 DEVELOPMENT OF PLANT PROTEINS IN THE EU 12

  • EU protein deficit: A long-standing issue

    23 November 2018 DEVELOPMENT OF PLANT PROTEINS IN THE EU

    • Report (1973) followed on US & Brazil self-imposed export restrictions

    • European Community protein deficit 80%• Meat and bone meal included!

    13

  • 4.3% self-sufficiency “feed cakes” (1973)

    23 November 2018 DEVELOPMENT OF PLANT PROTEINS IN THE EU 14

  • The proven record of plant breeding innovation

    23 November 2018 DEVELOPMENT OF PLANT PROTEINS IN THE EU 15

  • What future for EU plant breeding innovation?

    23 November 2018 DEVELOPMENT OF PLANT PROTEINS IN THE EU 16

  • Overview international legislation Germany/France: rules for non-GM animal feeding

    23 November 2018 DEVELOPMENT OF PLANT PROTEINS IN THE EU 17

    Animal Species Period in Germany Period in France

    Beef cattle Twelve months and in any case at least three quarters of their life

    One year before slaughtering or ¾ life if slaughtering before 1 year old

    Small ruminants Six months One year before slaughtering or ¾ life if slaughtering before 1 year old

    Pig meat Four months One year before slaughtering or ¾ life if slaughtering before 1 year old

    Broilers Ten weeks 3 days old chick

    Layers Six weeks 3 days old chick or 6 weeks before eggs production

  • Feed market opportunities and challenges

    • Nutritional quality of EU vegetable protein is key • “Non-GM” premium can help the growth of EU vegetable protein

    in niche markets, BUT :• Urgent need for harmonization on “non-GM” feed specifications

    – No level playing field - single market principles under pressure• Organic feed – more restrictions than opportunities

    – At least 30% of feed should come from farm (pigs and poultry)– Use of synthetic amino-acids is forbidden

    • Less possibilities to optimize feed formulation• Excess of proteins leads to nitrogen excretion

    23 November 2018 DEVELOPMENT OF PLANT PROTEINS IN THE EU 18

  • Feed safety management capacity building

    Risk management optimisation along the feed chain

    Co-operation between control authorities & industry operators

    Preservation of animal health to reduce need for antibiotics

    Improve the quality & nutritional value of food products

    Increasing nutrient efficiency

    Measure the environmental performance of feed production

    Facilitate responsible sourcing

    Develop new resource efficiency indicators

    Accommodate animal welfare demands

    THE FEFAC 2030 Animal Feed Industry Vision

    Feed Safety Management Animal Nutrition Sustainability

    19

  • Thank you for your attention

    Stay informed on the feed industry via Twitter (@FEFAC_EU) & the

    FEFAC NewsFEED

    �����Feed Industry Perspective on EU Protein Production����Nick Major�FEFAC President �What is FEFAC?Global compound feed production in 2017 (1,053 mio. t)Slide Number 4Feed material consumption by the EU-28 feed industry in 2017EU Protein PlanAgronomical strenghts and weaknesses of cultivating vegetable protein in the EUSlide Number 8Evolution of EU protein supply self sufficiency (%) �« The old way »The new way: Contribution of feed materials to protein supply and level of EU dependency in 2016/2017EU lost preferential buyer status 10 years agoReducing geopolitical vulnerability & stimulating responsible production standards EU protein deficit: A long-standing issue4.3% self-sufficiency “feed cakes” (1973)The proven record of plant breeding innovationWhat future for EU plant breeding innovation?Overview international legislation Germany/France: rules for non-GM animal feedingFeed market opportunities and challengesSlide Number 19���Thank you for your attention��Stay informed on the feed industry via Twitter (@FEFAC_EU) & the FEFAC NewsFEED�