feed stats - more robust and accurate global figures for feed output in 2015

8/16/2019 FEED STATS - More robust and accurate global figures for feed output in 2015

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More robust and accurate global figures

for feed output in 2015

FEED STATS

Ask and you shall receive. As global disposableincome increases, consumers have developed a

palate for protein, and, over the past ve years the

feed industry has delivered.

Results from the 2016 Global Feed Survey released in late

January by Alltech estimates international feed tonnage now at

995.50 million metric tonnes, a 1.97 percent increase over last

year and a 14 percent increase since Alltech rst published Global

Feed Survey results in 2011 - but still just 4.5 million tonnes short

of the one billion tonne mark.

The analysis of ve-year trends showed growth predominantly

from the pig, and poultry feed sectors and intensication of

production in the African, Middle Eastern, Latin American and

European regions.

Aquafeed output shows a year-on-year decline according to

these latest gures.

Aquafeeds recorded 35.47 million tonnes, down from 41

million tonnes in the gures released for 2014.

China still accounts for over 50 percent of all farmed sh

produced and it’s aquafeed output is between 60-70 percent of thetotal consumed globally.

“Aquafeed numbers don’t reect the strong growth in this sector.

We do not see that in this survey,” admits Aidan Connolly, chief

innovation ofcer of Alltech, who headed up the initiative to

conduct the survey when he hosted the news webinar in January.

“The production of farmed sh exceeds what we see in feed

production increases,” he acknowledged. He says this could bedue to more efcient farming, better feed conversion ratios and/or

better statistics gathering.

“Traditionally, there has been a lot of wastage and we see

production systems are becoming more efcient,” he added.

Regarding statistics gathering, Mr Connolly said that while it

has become increasingly easier to collect data and the gures

more comprehensive over the years, there always would be

difculties in achieving accuracy and that some estimates had to

be used. In addition, this year’s survey cover 32,341 feedmills in

total, up form 31,043 for 2014.

The feed barometer

“The feed industry is an excellent barometer of economic health

and, based on our ve years of data, predicts economic growth

more accurately than many other indices,” says Mr Connolly.

The Global Feed Survey assesses the compound feed production

from more than 130 countries through information obtained in

partnership with local feed associations and Alltech’s sales team,

who visit the 32,341 feed mills annually.

The 2016 survey showed poultry feed has the market share and

is growing faster than any other species, with 46 percent of total

global feed manufactured specically for broilers, egg layers,

turkeys, duck and other fowl. This year’s survey also conrmed

that corn and soybean meal are the standard feed ingredients

globally.

The top 10 feed producers in the world remained the same:

China, the United States, Brazil, Mexico, India, Spain, Russia,

Germany, Japan and France. As a region, Europe saw the most

growth, up 13 million tonnes over last year, with the largestcontributions coming from Russia, Turkey, Belarus and Poland.

Down two percent from last year, China still holds the title

of leading feed producer in Alltech’s annual Feed Survey with

179.93 million tonnes manufactured throughout the country’s

8550 feedmills.

"Aqua feed numbers fall despite global

increase in farmed fish production"

"The number of feedmills in China, the United

States and Brazil, the first, second and third

largest markets has declined"

Milling and Grain congratulates Alltech on producing

the most up-to-date, reliable statistics on feed

production the industry has access to.

The European Feed Manufacturers Association

continues to provide in-depth statistics on its 27

member counties in its annual Feed Facts, but this is

more a historical record which provides three-year-

old gures plus forecasts. Other national associations

also collect data, such as the American Feed Industry

Association.

Others servicing the industry, such as Feed Internationaland AllAboutFeed, have attempted to provide

meaningful global gures and did provided a useful

service to readers in the past.

However, Alltech’s ongoing annual survey, which is

right up-to-date and which sees value in the industry

having access to accurate gures, has become the

record of choice. While there were estimates and

missing data in the early years, the 2015 gures –

published in January 2016 - are the most accurate yet.

58 | February 2016 - Milling and Grain

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However, this is the third year the world’s leader has reported

a consolidation of its feed tonnage production into a smaller

number of feedmills.

The number of feedmills in the United States and Brazil, the

second and third largest markets, also declined. The US

produced 172.73 million metric tonnes from 6012

feedmills (6718 mills in 2014) and Brazil

manufactured 68.70 million metric tonnes

from 1556 feedmills (1698 mills in 2014).

According to Mr Connolly, the consolidation

of feed production into fewer mills is driven by

many factors.

“The Chinese, in particular, see a benet of having

fewer feedmills—lower cost, more efcient and easier to

control from the perspective of traceability and food safety,” Mr

Connolly said.

Other notable regional and species statistics from the 2016 Feed

Survey are:

Europe’s 5545 feed mills, with Russia’s contributions,

augmented their production by 22 percent in 2015 compared to

the previous year. The Middle East demonstrated a 17 percent

increase with 21.438 million tonnes from the region’s 719 mills.

Africa, Asia Pacic and Latin America were up 5, 4 and 3 percent

respectively while North America remained at.

Pig feed production was down 2 percent, with 253.53 million

tonnes. Aqua, with 35.47 million metric tonnes, is down 5

percent this year; although outside of China this gure seems to

relate to more accurate data collection and not a specic decline,

especially given that aqua has been a grower, up 19 percentoverall in the past ve years. Equine feed, at 8.22 million tonnes,

declined 2 percent compared to 2014.

Poultry feed production continues to surge with a 5 percent

increase, now at a total 463.69 million metric tonnes. Ruminant

feed was also positive with 201.36 million tonnes, a 3 percent

increase. Pets are up 4 percent at 22.59 million tonnes.

“Having met with groups such as the United Nations Food &

Agriculture Organisation (FAO) in Rome and the InternationalFeed Industry Federation (IFIF), Alltech appreciates how difcult

it is to collect and collate this data, but also how valuable it is on

our journey to feed a planet with more than nine billion people by

2050,” Mr Connolly said.

“With ve years of work behind it, this is the most robust and

reliable dataset on the sector available today.”

The Global Feed Survey outlines Alltech’s estimate of the

world’s feed tonnage and trends and is intended to serve as open

information resource for policy and decision makers and industry

insiders alike.

A summary of the 2016 Alltech Global Feed Survey ndings,

including a recording of the webinar with Aidan Connolly, a

booklet of the results and an interactive map, is available.

www.alltech.com

" This is the third year the world’s leader has

reported a consolidation of its feed tonnage

production into a smaller number of feedmills"

"The Global Feed Survey outlines

Alltech’s estimate of the world’s feed

tonnage and trends and is intended to

serve as open information resource

for policy and decision makers and

industry insiders alike"

" Poultry feed production continues to surge

with a 5% increase, now at a total 463.69 million

metric tonnes"

Alabama Catsh Feedmill Llc located in Uniontown,Alabama - Kenneth Mccall | Dreamstime.com

60 | February 2016 - Milling and Grain

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feed stats - more robust and accurate global figures for feed output in 2015

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