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•Daily Operations Briefing Thursday, October 17, 2013

8:30 a.m. EDT

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Significant Activity: Oct 16 – 17 Significant Events: None

Tropical Activity:

• Atlantic – Area 1 (10%)

• Eastern Pacific – Post-Tropical Cyclone Priscilla

• Central Pacific – No tropical cyclones expected through Friday night

• Western Pacific – Typhoon Francisco (26W)

Significant Weather:

• Heavy rain – Southern Texas to Louisiana

• Rain and thunderstorms – Southern Texas & Southeast

• Critical Fire Weather Areas / Red Flag Warnings: None

• Space Weather: No space weather storms observed or predicted

Earthquake Activity: No significant activity

Declaration Activity:

• 3 amendments to change the FCO:

• Amendment No. 4 to FEMA-3365-EM-CO

• Amendment No. 7 to FEMA-4145-DR-CO

• Amendment No. 7 to FEMA-4116-DR-IL

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Updates at 2:00 am/pm and 8:00 am/pm EDT

Atlantic – Tropical Outlook

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Atlantic - Area 1

As of 8:00 a.m. EDT

• Low pressure system located about 200 miles NNE of Bermuda

• Producing large area of disorganized showers and

thunderstorms

• Low expected to move NE near or along a frontal boundary

over central Atlantic over next couple of days

• Environmental conditions remain unfavorable for subtropical or

tropical cyclone formation

• Probability of tropical cyclone development:

• Next 48 hours: Low (10%)

• Next 5 days: Low (10%)

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http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_epac.shtml

This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and

11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be

issued as conditions warrant.

Eastern Pacific – Tropical Outlook

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Eastern Pacific – Post-Tropical Cyclone Priscilla

As of 11:00 p.m. EDT, October 16, 2013 – Last Advisory Issued

• Located 765 miles WSW of southern tip of Baja California, Mexico

• Expected to dissipate by Saturday

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http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/cphc/

This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and

11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be

issued as conditions warrant.

Central Pacific – Tropical Outlook

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Western Pacific –Typhoon Francisco (26W) As of 5:00 a.m. EDT

• Located 185 miles southwest of Guam

• Moving NNW at 6 mph

• Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph with higher gusts

• Forecast to strengthen over the next 24 hours

• Typhoon force winds extend 25 miles from the center

• Tropical Storm force winds extend 145 miles from the center

• Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Guam

• Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for portions of the

Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands (CNMI)

• 4-5 inches of rain is forecast across affected area

• Guam EOC is fully activated w/all ESFs; CNMI is not activated

• FEMA Region IX remains at Watch/Steady State

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http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/noaa/noaad1.pdf

National Weather Forecast

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Active Watches/Warnings

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/largemap.php

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http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day1-3.shtml

Precipitation Forecast – 3 Day

Day 1

Day 2

Day 3

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http://water.weather.gov/ahps/forecasts.php?current_color=flood&current_type=all&fcst_t

ype=fcst&conus_map=d_map

River Forecast – 7 Day

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Convective Outlooks Days 1 – 3

Day 1 Day 2

Day 3

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Critical Fire Weather Areas Days 1 – 8

Day 1 Day 2

Day 3-8

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http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats_ie.php

Hazard Outlook: Oct 19 – 23

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NOAA Scales Activity (Range: 1/minor to 5/extreme)

Past

24 Hours Current

Next

24 Hours

Space Weather Activity: None None None

• Geomagnetic Storms None None None

• Solar Radiation Storms None None None

• Radio Blackouts None None None

Space Weather

Sunspot Activity

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/drap/global.html http://spaceweather.com/

HF Communication Impact

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Declaration Requests in Process Requests

APPROVED (since last report)

Requests DENIED

(since last report)

1 Date Requested

KS – DR Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding September 25, 2013

Disaster Requests & Declarations

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Disaster Amendments

A B C D E F G

Debris Removal Emergency Protective

Measures Road Systems & Bridges Water Control Facilities Public Buildings & Contents Public Utilities Parks, Recreational, & Other

Amendment Effective Date Action

Amendment No. 4 to

FEMA-3365-EM-CO October 15, 2013 Changes FCO to Thomas J. McCool

Amendment No. 7 to

FEMA-4145-DR-CO October 15, 2013 Changes FCO to Thomas J. McCool

Amendment No. 7 to

FEMA-4116-DR-IL October 4, 2013 Changes FCO to David Samaniego

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Open Field Offices as of October 17, 2013

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Deployed Detailed Available Not Available Total

30 1 7 1 39

OFDC Cadre Member Status

Total Available Type 1 Type 2 Type 3 Type 4

8* 1 4 2 1

As of: 10/11/2013

* All Type 1 FCOs are available unless deployed to a Level 1 event

Deployed Available Pending Hire On Board Positions

8 1 1 9 10

Federal Coordinating Officer

Federal Disaster Recovery Coordinator

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MCOV Fleet / Deployment Status

Fully Mission Capable 52 Partially Mission Capable 0 Non-Mission Capable 3 Total Not Deployed 34

MCOV FLEET STATUS MCOV DISASTER SUPPORT DEPLOYMENTS

Location Units

Assigned Available

FMC Deployed

Committed PMC Unavailable DR-State OPCON

En

Route Unit Prep

Open

Request Notes:

MERS Maynard 3 3 0 0 0 DR-4145-CO 21 0 0

MERS Frederick 8 6 2 0 0 0 0 0

MERS Thomasville 14 11 3 0 0 0 0 0

DC Ft Worth 20 6 14 0 0 0 0 0

MERS Denver 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 0

MERS Bothell 4 2 0 0 2 0 0 0

Sacramento 4 3 0 0 1 0 0 0

TOTAL 55 31 21 0 3 TOTAL 21 0 0 0

Included in above totals, units in route for turn-in. 0 0

Data as of: 10/16/13 @ 1500

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Active IA Disasters - Referral Status & Awards

Data as of: 10/16/13 @ 1500 # Max Grants = Applicants awarded maximum IHP ($32,400 for Major Disasters declared FY 2014)

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IA Registration Statistics

IA Registrations and IHP Amounts as of October 16, 2013 @ 1500

DR/EM # - State Registrations Approved

Applicants Total HA Approved

Total ONA

Approved Total IHP Approved

4145 - CO 24,820 14,333 $40,599,275 $2,983,298 $43,582,573

Totals 24,820 14,333 $40,599,275 $2,983,298 $43,582,573

24 hour change +174 +124 +$553,221 +$108,351 +$661,572

NPSC Call Data for October 15, 2013

Total Calls Answered (Help Line + Registration Intake) 2,224

Average time to answer call 12 seconds

Maximum / Minimum time to answer a call 1 minute, 3 seconds / 9 seconds

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Housing Inspection Statistics

Inspection Data as of October 16, 2013 @ 1500

DR #-State Inspectors Inspections

Assigned

Inspections

Completed Inspection % Complete

Turnaround Time

(Days)

4145 - CO 27 21,715 21,427 98.67% 2.4

TOTAL 27 21,715 21,427 98.67% 2.4

24 hour change 0 +187 +187 +0.01% -0.0

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HIGHLIGHTS:.

AK - National Renewable Energy Labs (NREL) representative is

now on site at JFO as a component of the Infrastructure Systems

Recovery Support Function (IS RSF).

CO – 3 RSF coordinators are in Colorado at present (CPCB,

Housing, Infrastructure). The AET recommends the activation of 5

RSFs (Housing, Infrastructure, NCR, Economics, CPCB).

LA - St. John the Baptist Parish to host six Puget Sound

(Washington State) area recovery planners in their efforts to gain

knowledge of how the parish utilized NDRF to develop and

implement post-disaster recovery plans.

DISASTER STATE FDRC

Sandy CT James McPherson

Sandy NJ Peter Martinasco

Sandy

NY Ken Curtin

Isaac LA Wayne Rickard

Drought 39 States Colleen Callahan (USDA)

Tornado OK Wayne Rickard

Flood CO Dan Alexander

Flood AK Joan Rave

Flood IL Earl Zuelke

NDRF Operations

Legend

Active NDRF Operations

NDRF Assessments

Drought

No NDRF Operations

Data as of: 10/16/13 @ 1500

AK

HI

AET – Advanced Evaluation Team

CPCB – Community Planning Capacity Building

IS – Infrastructure Systems

JFO – Joint Field Office

NCR – Natural and Cultural Resources

NDRF – National Disaster Recovery Framework

RSF – Recovery Support Function

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IMAT Status National Teams

Team Status Team Status Team Status

Blue/White East West CO

Regional Teams Team Status Team Status Team Status

Region I Region V Region VIII

Region II Region VI-1 Region IX-1

Region III Region VI-2 Region IX-2

Region IV-1 Region VII Region X

Region IV-2

= Assigned/Deployed

= Not Mission Capable

= Available/Mission Capable

= Available/Partially Mission Capable

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Urban Search & Rescue INCIDENT SUPPORT TEAMS (Red-White-Blue) – Monthly On Call Rotation

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC

WEST CENTRAL EAST

Team Status Team Status Team Status

CA-TF1 Available AZ-TF1 Available FL-TF1 Available

CA-TF2 Available CO-TF1 Available FL-TF2 Available

CA-TF3 Available IN-TF1 Available MA-TF1 Available

CA-TF4 Available MO-TF1 Available MD-TF1 Available

CA-TF5 Available NE-TF1 Available NY-TF1 Available

CA-TF6 Available NM-TF1 Conditional PA-TF1 Available

CA-TF7 Available NV-TF1 Conditional VA-TF1 Available

CA-TF8 Available TN-TF1 Available VA-TF2 Available

WA-TF1 Available TX-TF1 Available OH-TF1 Available

UT-TF1 Available

= Assigned/Deployed = Out-of-Service

= Available/Mission Capable = Available/Partially Mission Capable

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Region RRCC Regional Watch Center

I Not Activated Maynard MOC (24/7)

II Not Activated 24/7

III Not Activated 24/7

IV Not Activated 24/7

V Not Activated 24/7

VI Not Activated Denton MOC (24/7)

VII Not Activated 24/7

VIII Not Activated Denver MOC (24/7)

IX Not Activated 24/7

X Not Activated Bothell MOC (24/7)

RRCC / Regional Watch Center Status

= Not Mission Capable = Available/Partially Mission Capable = Available/Mission Capable

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National Team Status

Team/Status Current Location Remarks

National Watch Center Washington, DC Enhanced Watch (Day only)

NRCC Washington, DC Not Activated

HLT Miami, FL Activated

DEST Washington, DC Not Activated

Mission Capable Partially Mission Capable Not Mission Capable

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Great Shakeout Exercise

October 17, 2013

• At 10:17 a.m. EDT, millions of people

worldwide will practice how to Drop, Cover,

and Hold On

• Practice earthquake preparedness:

• Drop, Cover and Hold On

• Learn safety tips

• Develop an emergency plan

• For more information visit:

http://www.shakeout.org/southeast/

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