ffmp advanced: 4 th regional severe storms / radar and hydrology conference overview, august 2009 an...

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FFMP Advanced: 4 th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and Hydrology Conference Overview, August 2009 An Overview for 4 th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and Hydrology Conference Tom Filiaggi June 2009 FFMPA FLASH FLOOD MONITORING AND PREDICTION - ADVANCED http://www.nws.noaa.gov/ mdl/ffmp

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Page 1: FFMP Advanced: 4 th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and Hydrology Conference Overview, August 2009 An Overview for 4 th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and

FFMP Advanced: 4th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and Hydrology Conference Overview, August 2009

An Overview for4th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and Hydrology Conference

Tom FiliaggiJune 2009

FFMPAFLASH FLOOD MONITORING AND PREDICTION -

ADVANCED

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/mdl/ffmp

Page 2: FFMP Advanced: 4 th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and Hydrology Conference Overview, August 2009 An Overview for 4 th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and

Agenda

• Current State of Operations• FFMP Displays

– Color Image– Basin Table– Basin Trend– Basin Trace

• FFMP Background Monitoring– Guardian Integration

• Ancillary Elements– Forced FFG– Ingest Data Monitor– RFC FFG Update method

• Responsible Individuals

FFMP Advanced: OB9 User Interface Review May, 2008FFMP Advanced: Debris Flow Workshop Overview, June 2009FFMP Advanced: 4th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and Hydrology Conference Overview, August 2009

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/mdl/ffmp

Page 3: FFMP Advanced: 4 th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and Hydrology Conference Overview, August 2009 An Overview for 4 th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and

FFMPACurrent State of Operations

• WFOs are responsible for issuing flash flood warnings, urban and small stream advisories, and flood warnings, as well as some experimental debris flow warnings.

• FFMP is a baseline AWIPS application with both server and display components.

• Many WFO forecasters use FFMP as a tool to assist with warning operations (Decision Assistance).

FFMP Advanced: OB9 User Interface Review May, 2008FFMP Advanced: Debris Flow Workshop Overview, June 2009FFMP Advanced: 4th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and Hydrology Conference Overview, August 2009

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/mdl/ffmp

Page 4: FFMP Advanced: 4 th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and Hydrology Conference Overview, August 2009 An Overview for 4 th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and

Auto-Aggregation: HUC0FFMP Advanced: OB9 User Interface Review May, 2008FFMP Advanced: Debris Flow Workshop Overview, June 2009FFMP Advanced: 4th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and Hydrology Conference Overview, August 2009

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/mdl/ffmp

Page 5: FFMP Advanced: 4 th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and Hydrology Conference Overview, August 2009 An Overview for 4 th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and

FFMP Advanced: OB9 User Interface Review May, 2008FFMP Advanced: Debris Flow Workshop Overview, June 2009

Auto-Aggregation: HUC1FFMP Advanced: 4th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and Hydrology Conference Overview, August 2009

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/mdl/ffmp

Page 6: FFMP Advanced: 4 th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and Hydrology Conference Overview, August 2009 An Overview for 4 th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and

FFMP Advanced: OB9 User Interface Review May, 2008FFMP Advanced: Debris Flow Workshop Overview, June 2009

Auto-Aggregation: HUC2FFMP Advanced: 4th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and Hydrology Conference Overview, August 2009

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/mdl/ffmp

Page 7: FFMP Advanced: 4 th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and Hydrology Conference Overview, August 2009 An Overview for 4 th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and

FFMP Advanced: OB9 User Interface Review May, 2008FFMP Advanced: Debris Flow Workshop Overview, June 2009

Auto-Aggregation: HUC3FFMP Advanced: 4th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and Hydrology Conference Overview, August 2009

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/mdl/ffmp

Page 8: FFMP Advanced: 4 th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and Hydrology Conference Overview, August 2009 An Overview for 4 th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and

FFMP Advanced: OB9 User Interface Review May, 2008FFMP Advanced: Debris Flow Workshop Overview, June 2009

Auto-Aggregation: HUC4FFMP Advanced: 4th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and Hydrology Conference Overview, August 2009

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/mdl/ffmp

Page 9: FFMP Advanced: 4 th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and Hydrology Conference Overview, August 2009 An Overview for 4 th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and

FFMP Advanced: OB9 User Interface Review May, 2008FFMP Advanced: Debris Flow Workshop Overview, June 2009

Auto-Aggregation: All-and-Only Small BasinsFFMP Advanced: 4th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and Hydrology Conference Overview, August 2009

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/mdl/ffmp

Page 10: FFMP Advanced: 4 th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and Hydrology Conference Overview, August 2009 An Overview for 4 th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and

FFMP Advanced: OB9 User Interface Review May, 2008FFMP Advanced: Debris Flow Workshop Overview, June 2009

FFMPA Display: Basin Table

• Customizable– Color-coded– Sort-able

• Filterable– Sorted Value– Geographic area

• Time selection– Rate– ¼-hour increments– Max based on purge

• Split Window– Combine QPE & QPF then

compare to Guidance• Interactive

– Auto-aggregation– Zoom, with rules– Color Image Click

• Basin Trend• Basin Trace

• Value added– Virtual Gage Basins– Data gap notice

FFMP Advanced: 4th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and Hydrology Conference Overview, August 2009

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/mdl/ffmp

Page 11: FFMP Advanced: 4 th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and Hydrology Conference Overview, August 2009 An Overview for 4 th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and

FFMP Advanced: OB9 User Interface Review May, 2008FFMP Advanced: Debris Flow Workshop Overview, June 2009

FFMPA Display: Basin Trend

• Customizable– Color-coded– X-axis reversible

• Time selection– All-times inclusive– Standard Guidance

times– Current Time

• Split Window– Combine QPE & QPF

then compare to Guidance

• Interactive– Toggle-able plots– Draggable/scrollable

• Value added– Virtual Gage Basins

FFMP Advanced: 4th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and Hydrology Conference Overview, August 2009

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/mdl/ffmp

Page 12: FFMP Advanced: 4 th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and Hydrology Conference Overview, August 2009 An Overview for 4 th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and

FFMP Advanced: OB9 User Interface Review May, 2008FFMP Advanced: Debris Flow Workshop Overview, June 2009

FFMPA Display: Basin TraceFFMP Advanced: 4th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and Hydrology Conference Overview, August 2009

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/mdl/ffmp

Page 13: FFMP Advanced: 4 th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and Hydrology Conference Overview, August 2009 An Overview for 4 th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and

FFMP Advanced: OB9 User Interface Review May, 2008FFMP Advanced: Debris Flow Workshop Overview, June 2009

FFMPA Background Monitoring• Customizable

– Color-coded– Data Sources– Type choice

• Accum• Ratio• Diff

• Filterable– CWA (Service Backup)

• Time selection– Rate– ¼-hour increments– Max based on purge

• Split Window– Combine QPE & QPF

then compare to Guidance

• Value added– Data gap notice– Multiple Monitor

conditions

FFMP Advanced: 4th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and Hydrology Conference Overview, August 2009

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/mdl/ffmp

Page 14: FFMP Advanced: 4 th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and Hydrology Conference Overview, August 2009 An Overview for 4 th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and

FFMP Advanced: OB9 User Interface Review May, 2008FFMP Advanced: Debris Flow Workshop Overview, June 2009

FFMPA Ancillary: Forced FFG

• Applies user-defined FFG– Strict override– modification

• For a user-defined data source

• For a user-defined period of time

• For a user-defined area– County– Basin– Entire domain

• That is retrievable• Desire Geographic

interface

FFMP Advanced: 4th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and Hydrology Conference Overview, August 2009

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/mdl/ffmp

Page 15: FFMP Advanced: 4 th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and Hydrology Conference Overview, August 2009 An Overview for 4 th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and

FFMP Advanced: OB9 User Interface Review May, 2008FFMP Advanced: HMT Overview, November, 2008

FFMPA Ancillary: Ingest Data Monitor

• Notes health of data ingest, of interest to FFMPA

• User-defined determination of “too old”

• HTML Interface

• Special rules for RADAR DHR

FFMP Advanced: 4th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and Hydrology Conference Overview, August 2009

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/mdl/ffmp

Page 16: FFMP Advanced: 4 th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and Hydrology Conference Overview, August 2009 An Overview for 4 th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and

FFMP Advanced: OB9 User Interface Review May, 2008FFMP Advanced: HMT Overview, November, 2008

FFMPA Ancillary: FFG Update Method

• Elements of Transition method:– Apply a lag, to eliminate double-counting of precipitation in FFMPA analyses. This lag

will be equal to the Time Frame of the Guidance. (ie: 3-hr Guidance = 3-hr lag).– Apply an hourly interpolation scheme that manages precipitation in a way that greatly

enhances the Guidance values for the transition period and avoids increased under-warn situations that could exist with a lag-only approach.

3 Hour GFFG - ABRFC Grid 631,330

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3/3

0z

3/3

6z

3/3

12

z

3/3

18

z

3/4

0z

3/4

6z

3/4

12

z

3/4

18

z

Inc

he

s

Hourly Precip

GFFG

GFFG w/3hr delay

Derived GFFG(assuming 6hr RFCFFG update cycle)

FFMP Advanced: 4th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and Hydrology Conference Overview, August 2009

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/mdl/ffmp

Page 17: FFMP Advanced: 4 th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and Hydrology Conference Overview, August 2009 An Overview for 4 th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and

• Main Developers– Tom Filiaggi - MDL: Lead

[email protected]

– Lingyan Xin - [email protected]

FFMP Advanced: OB9 User Interface Review May, 2008FFMP Advanced: Debris Flow Workshop Overview, June 2009

FFMPA Responsible IndividualsFFMP Advanced: 4th Regional Severe Storms / Radar and Hydrology Conference Overview, August 2009

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/mdl/ffmp