filling the knowledge gap on air quality in indian cities
TRANSCRIPT
Filling the knowledge gap on air quality in Indian cities
Particulate Matter (PM)PM10
PM2.5
SO2
NO2
Ozone
CO
VOC
Which pollutants do we worry about?
Oct 19tth, 2017
Nov 6th, 2017
When Do We Talk About Delhi’s Air Pollution?
google topic search trends
Nov 6th, 2016
Nov 3th, 2015
% interest over time
What if, public complied?
Dotted line = 100% public compliance for no-firecrackers; and enjoying the holiday with lesser travel
average mixing height (meters)
Data source: NCEP Reanalysis
HlwE
VOLMassC
**
w
H
l
Blame it on winter weather !!
wl
h
hlwE
volMassC
**
Data source: NCEP Reanalysis
average mixing height (meters)
Blame it on winter weather !!
Oct 19tth, 2017
Nov 6th, 2017
When Do We Talk About Delhi’s Air Pollution?
google topic search trends
Nov 6th, 2016
Nov 3th, 2015
% interest over time
Dec 4th, 2017– are we better off?
PM2.5 annual average is 150 g/m3
4 times the National ambient standard15 times the WHO guideline
focusing on episodes = no long term vision
PM2.5
approaches
www.urbanemissions.info/publications
How many samples; Where?
Sample analysis
Source profiles are key
www.urbanemissions.info/publications
• Concept is well tested• Expensive• Location & time specific• Fuel differentiation possible• Source differentiation not possible• Garbage in; Garbage out• Very scientific (if done right)• Monitoring based exercise, but
results are modeled
Pros-Cons
garbage in, garbage out
Source: CSE presentations
www.urbanemissions.info/publications
www.urbanemissions.info/india-apnawww.indiaairquality.info
Power plants
Vehicle exhaust Road dust Industries Aircraft
TO/LDomestic cooking
Domestic heating
Generator sets
Garbage burning
Energy consumed by fuel type
Vehicle count, used,
emission factors,
standards, policy
legislations
In addition to the
vehicle used, silt
loading on the roads
Energy consumed
in the plants
Takes offs and landing over a 24 hr cycle
Energy consumed by fuel by household
income group
Winter time energy
consumed
Diesel consumed by various commercia
l & domestic
users
Waste generated
by household
& collection
efficiencies
Stat
istic
al
Info
rmat
ion
SNA
P fo
rms
Plant location
Vehicle density,
road density,
population density, hot spot locations
Vehicle density,
road density,
population density, hot spot locations
Plant type and
locationAirport location
Population density, income groups,
city council boundaries
Population density, income groups,
city council boundaries
Location of hospitals, cinemas,
farm houses,
apartment complexes,
hotels, industries, markets
Landfill locations,
waste collection offices,
population density
GIS
dat
a
Gridded emissions for PM, SO2, NOx, VOC, CO, & CO2
open data fields are helping us do this better and faster
• Concept is well tested• Variable expense• Variable spatial & temporal extent• Source and fuel differentiation
possible• Garbage in; Garbage out• Emission factors are measured
(when possible) and everything else is modeled
Pros-Cons
www.urbanemissions.info/publications
Summer concentrations 40‐80 g/m3 daily averageWinter concentrations 90‐320 g/m3 daily average
Summer Winter
what’s polluting Delhi’s air?
Study by Georgia Tech University – published in 2007http://www.urbanemissions.info/whats-polluting-delhis-air/
what’s polluting Delhi’s air?
Study by CPCB and partners – published in 2010http://www.urbanemissions.info/whats-polluting-delhis-air/
what’s polluting Delhi’s air?
Re-grouped from Study by IIT Kanpur – published in 2015http://www.urbanemissions.info/whats-polluting-delhis-air/
Summer Winter
what’s polluting Delhi’s air?
http://www.urbanemissions.info/whats-polluting-delhis-air/
• Vehicle exhaust up to 30%• Biomass burning up to 20%• Soil and road dust up to 20%• Industries up to 15%• Open waste burning up to 15%• Diesel generators up to 10%• Power plants up to 5%• Outside the urban airshed up to 30%
for ambient PM2.5
how many monitors do we need?
All India
2800Urban
1200Rural
www.indiaairquality.info
Emissions
Dispersion Modeling Concentrations
PM, SO2, NOx, CO,
Ozone, VOC
Monitoring
Impacts
Evaluation
Decisions
EconomicTechnical
Policy
Costs & Benefits
Pollution Control
Contributions
SIM-airAir Quality
Management tools
6
20
2010-11
SIM-air city applications in India
2016-17
2
30 2018-??www.urbanemissions.info/india-apna
www.indiaairquality.info
Bhubaneswar, Odisha
• Domain size – 30km x 50km• Meteorology at fine resolution from WRF (driven by NCEP fields)• Dispersion modeling via CAMx chemical transport model• “Outside” is the influence of boundary conditions driven by the dispersion results
based on national emissions inventory (http://www.indiaairquality.info)
Chennai, Tamil Nadu
• Domain size – 50km x 50km• Meteorology at fine resolution from WRF (driven by NCEP fields)• Dispersion modeling via CAMx chemical transport model• “Outside” is the influence of boundary conditions driven by the dispersion results
based on national emissions inventory (http://www.indiaairquality.info)
Kochi, Kerala
• Domain size – 40km x 40km• Meteorology at fine resolution from WRF (driven by NCEP fields)• Dispersion modeling via CAMx chemical transport model• “Outside” is the influence of boundary conditions driven by the dispersion results
based on national emissions inventory (http://www.indiaairquality.info)
Pune, Maharashtra
• Domain size – 40km x 40km• Meteorology at fine resolution from WRF (driven by NCEP fields)• Dispersion modeling via CAMx chemical transport model• “Outside” is the influence of boundary conditions driven by the dispersion results
based on national emissions inventory (http://www.indiaairquality.info)
www.indiaairquality.info
• Clean fuel for all vehicles; all India• Aggressive promotion of walking, cycling,
and public-para transport • Full enforcement of emission standards at
all the industries (including power plants)• Dust free roads and construction sites• Programs to promote reduce waste
generation and to better waste mangement
5 point agenda
clean urban transport
dusty roads
clean freight transport
clean freight transport
coal‐fired thermal power plants
new standards ratified in December, 2015deadline for compliance December, 2017
Atmospheric Environment (2014)
30 100 100 0.03
oldnew
oldnew
oldnew
Conceptual Indian Energy LadderClean Fuel Gap
Kirk Smith
Conceptual Indian Energy LadderClean Fuel Gap
Kirk Smith
Target of 50 million new LPG connections
by 2019
Trash Burning and Open Fires
March, 2016, Mumbai
Urban India generates 188,500 tonnes per day (68.8 million tonnes per year) of municipal solid waste – with at least 30% burning @ landfills, residential areas, and road sides
Conceptual Indian Energy LadderClean Fuel Gap
Agro-waste briquettes
2016
giant vacuum cleaner?
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