fit for uncertainty
TRANSCRIPT
ILLUSTRATION BY PILAR COPETE ON FLICKR.COM
SOLVING CUSTOMER PROBLEMS
FIT FOR UNCERTAINTY
Tuesday 24th October 2017
PHOTO BY H HEYERLEIN ON UNSPLASH
INPUT VARIABLESWHAT KIND OF DATA, EXPERIENCE, INFORMATION DO WE PUT INTO OUR ORGANIZATIONS TO MAKE THEM TICK
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THERE IS A GAP BETWEEN WHAT WE WANT OUR ORGANIZATIONS TO BECOME AND WHAT WE PUT INTO THEM TO GET THERE
DATA - INSIGHT - STRATEGY - CREATIVE
PHOTO BY SHARON PITTAWAY ON UNSPLASH
WE ARE REDESIGNING OUR ORGANIZATIONS TO FIT THE 21ST CENTURY. WE ARE CONFIGURING THEM FOR
LEARNING, FLEXIBILITY AND ADAPTABILITY.
WHAT FUELS THE 21ST CENTURY ORGANIZATION?
Basically that you build for flexibility but everything you do ends up becoming a slightly different version from the first thing that you did
«HYPER-RATIONALIZATION»- Joshua Prince-Ramus -
Software + HardwareGovernance, Management, Teams, Talent, Coordination, Strategy, Decisions etc.Data, Experience, Information, Insight
FREEDOM OF CHOICE:THE FUTURE IS ONLY COMPLICATED IF YOU FAIL TO SEE IT FROM WHAT IS DRIVING THE CHANGE
CHOICE:NO REAL CHOICE: CHOICE:NO REAL CHOICE:
THE PRODUCT IS JUST A TEMPORARY OUTPUT THERE IS NO SUSTAINABLE ADVANTAGE STUCK ON THEIR CORE BUSINESS MODELS WHEN THE CORE TECHNOLOGY BECOMES STRETCHABLE
- GARY HAMEL -
- RITA MCGRATH -
- CLAYTON CHRISTENSEN -
«[organizations] get fixed on measuring their solution, not the job they’re being hired to help solve..»
- Des Traynor, Co-Founder, Chief Strategy Officer, VP of Marketing, Intercom - - https://blog.intercom.com/your-product-is-already-obsolete/
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IT ALL BEGINS WITH THE HERE
THE RESPONSIBILITY OF BUSINESS ORGANIZATIONS
29/365 - 2017
OUTCOMEPEOPLE
.OUTCOME
.EFFICIENCY
.RATIO
- Clayton Christensen -
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Over time organizations seem to forget their understanding of the market, their CVP. They become prone to unconsciously hold a very limited view of their future. Seeing the world from a technology,
market or product perspective creates a very narrow frame of reference where new wealth opportunities are easily overlooked.
ORGANIZATIONS DON’T DIE — THEY SUFFOCATECORE TECHNOLOGY - CORE BUSINESS MODEL
Competition offering the same CVP is conciously let in as they are using different core technology or core
business model
Creating a market by understanding the customer’s progress, struggle and circumstance (customer value proposition)
The original technology and processes end up becoming a commodity or infrastructure
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ALMOST EVERY ORGANIZATION IS DESIGNED TO CRASH INTO A WALL:
McKinsey-ism:
Demand patterns change
Based on articles and talks by Shoshana Zuboff, and Gary Hamel
EARLY CONSUMERSPROPRIETARY CAPITALISM
MASS CONSUMERSMANAGERIAL CAPITALISM
NEW SOCIETY OF INDIVIDUALSDISTRIBUTED CAPITALISM
ZONE OF INNOVATION
1890 20051915 2020 2050
ZONE OF INNOVATION
MIGRATION PATH
MIGRATION PATH
ZONE OF MUTATION
ZONE OF MUTATION
ELECTRICITY
INTERNET
MOBILEBIG DATAIOTCLOUD
+
+COMBUSTION ENGINE
Zero marginal cost“Every century or so, fundamental changes in the nature of consumption create new demand patterns that existing organizations can’t meet.” - Shoshana Zuboff
MACHINE LEARNING VR / AR / NR
http://www.180360720.no/?p=5227
We are living in the age of mass individualization. No two people get the same Google search result, see the same products on amazon.com, have the same
Facebook feed or iTunes catalogue. Every smartphone is unique two minutes after its first boot.
We are living in an age where the new mega industries have all become personal services industries and the old incumbents are still struggling to put out a mass product at almost no
margin or cost (e.g. digital news media, insurance, banks, bikes, cars, tooth picks etc.).
What’s the difference? Innovations improve the framework in which enterprises produce and deliver goods and services. Mutations create new frameworks. - Shoshana Zuboff, Creating value in the age of ditributed capitalism
«TO GET THE BEST POSSIBLE OUTCOME FROM WHAT WE PUT IN»
Farmers get up every morning because they have a job to solve:
MUTATION
link
PHOTO BY SHARON PITTAWAY ON UNSPLASH
DESIGN THINKING 3.0Why are we using the terminology Design thinking 3.0? Well, we could be using just Design Thinking, but we want to underscore that this is a further developed version of DT. Both in the sense that we are going to do the test integrated in the services and communication we are already offering. And we are getting results and responding in real-time. This is not design thinking as a slow cumbersome process. But design thinking engineered to fit inside the fast paced every day operations of the industry and its markets.
“JUST MAKE SOMETHING AND KEEP FIXING IT” - BURT RUTAN
PROBE-SENSE-RESPOND - DAVE SNOWDEN
“KERNELL” - ROBIN CHASE
AVOIDING THE HAWTHORNE EFFECT - EPLEKAKE
FROM #FAIL-SAFE TO EXPERIMENTS
GATHER INPUT VARIABLES
IOT + External Data + Space Img.We don’t know what this data will do to organizations
Computer Vision + Machine LearningSensors
Processing power(Doubles every 12 months)
Data Volume(Doubles every 18 months)
Systemix Compexity
Big Data allows evidence-based decision-making
SOURCE: DIGITAL GROWTH. SOURCE: DIRK HELBING
SOURCE: PLANET.COM
Most of our future data won’t be our own - IBM Watson planet.com
SOFTWARE:
«The measure of a successful organization is its ability to let its stakeholders
and talents liberate it.»- Helge Tennø -
A responsive organization is only as good as what it is responding to
Thank youHelge Tennø
@congbo
https://medium.com/everything-new-is-dangerous