flexible fees from a strategic sustainability perspective
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From Karl-Henrik Robért, founder of the Natural Step, on flexible fees and strategy.TRANSCRIPT
© 2011 The Natural Step
Karl-Henrik RobèrtBlekinge Institute of Technology, Karlskrona Sweden
The Natural Step, Stockholm Sweden
September 2011
Flexible fees from a strategic sustainability perspective
Logics revolving around defined purpose
© 2011 The Natural Step
Sustainable Development - A Dynamic Challenge
Systematic decline� Forests
� Agriculture
� Fisheries
� Ground water
� Climate
� Metals
� POP’s
� Eutrophy
� Hormones
� Loss of trust
� Segregation
� Corruption
� Epidemias
� Poverty
� ...
time
The ’funnel ’of declining potential to sustain human society
© 2011 The Natural Step
Profitable Also in Loneliness
Opportunities� Resource management
� Waste management
� Tax, legislation, insurance, loans
� New markets
� Innovation/design
� Trust
� Productivity,
� Transaction costs
� Brand
� Stories of meaning
� Team building
� Community
� …
time
© 2011 The Natural Step
So, what’s the problem?
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1. The power of old paradigm assumptions
© 2011 The Natural Step
...sustainable development is to fix ...costs move towards infinity so S.D social/ecological damage when the costs is to strategically eradicate the systemic for this are lower than the economic utility errors at the best prize.
...the incetives to undertake measures ...the incentives to undertake measuresare mainly based on ethics are ethical and self-beneficial
...competetive edge is lost when ...role models get competetive advantagemeasures are not launched with and create momentum for internationalinternational agreements and policies agreements and policies
Cylinder vs Funnel paradigm
It is believed that... In reality...
A Systems perspectiveAn Impact perspective
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1. The power of old paradigm assumptions2. Reductionism
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“Can w
e iron
out th
e gree
nhouse
effec
t?”
“Glob
al warm
ing no
t an is
sue”
“Ethano
l to the
rescue
”
“Ethan
ol cau
ses climate
distruption”
“Species extinc
tion is a natural
process”
“Mankind can not save every other beetle”
“Electric cars too expensive.”
Global warm
ing or nucle
ar winter?
“Whole list of green-house gases”
-PVC
for health
“PVC or healt
h”
Reductionismgetting lost in the leaves
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Reductionism
No unifying framework
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Structured overview, like in a clinical conference
Unifying framework
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time
Backcasting from Principles
Principles for success
• Necessary• Enough• General• Concrete• Non-overlapping
© 2011 The Natural StepCopyright © 2004 The Natural Step
• Systematic and strict, yet open ended approach
• Trade-offs manageable
• System boundaries are set by purpose
• Resource potentials calculable
• Avoiding unknown problems
• Effective cooperation across value chains and stakeholders
• Community building
• Optimization of bottom line chances
Unique deliverables of such principles
© 2011 The Natural Step
Testning i bolag...
© 2011 The Natural Step
It was not until at least ten years later we understood how much money Electrolux had saved and earned from applying the framework to foresee changes on the market and in legislation.
“
”
Billions earned…
© 2011 The Natural Step
As we climb mount Sustainability, with the four sustainability principles at the top, we are doing better than ever on bottom line business.
This is not at the cost of social or ecological systems, but at the cost of our competitors who still haven’t got it.
“
”
Ray Andersson
President, Founder and CEO, Interface. Inc.Portland US, October 2007,
Billions earned…
© 2011 The Natural Step
Clinical conference from value chains to communities and cities…
© 2011 The Natural Step
Hu
• Ottawa
• Saskatoon
• Wolfville
• Madison
• Ashland
• Portsmouth
• Lawrence Township
• Twin Ports
• Duluth
• County of Hawaii
• ...
Hundreds of Municipalities/Cities
• Övertorneå
• Robertsfors
• Morbegno
• Valtellina
• Livigno
• Dublin
• Whistler
• North Vancouver
• Canmore
• Halifax
time
© 2011 The Natural Step
“This simple, science- and systems-based framework is the best out there. It needs to become part of a new common language, as well understood worldwide as the rules of soccer”.Ken Melamed
Mayor
Whistler, Canada
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1. The power of old paradigm assumptions2. Reductionism3. Also with very clever systems thinkers and
strategic planners: pace of transition too slow*
* Learning curve, scale, market-assumptions etc.
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• Asking for higher tax
• Asking for tougher legislation
• Complementary currencies (local, regional, global)
Differentiated fees...
Examples of outreach from proactive corporations – knowledge in combination with pragmatism –
© 2011 The Natural Step
© 2011 The Natural Step
• The current new-paradigm incompetence amongst our leaders implies an
unexploited competitive opportunity also within current economic system.
• However, new economic means are needed to increase pace of S.D, and to move
latecomers.
• No silver bullet, but combined with robust sustainability on the table and a balance
between magnitude and timing of prizing, flexible fees offers an elegant pragmatic
means for policy making to support strategic sustainable development.
• Flexible fees would benefit from:
(i) Further exploration of underpinning assumptions e.g. a fairer outline of green
taxes.
(ii) Exploration of other objectives than those linked to flows e.g. halting encroaching and
mismanagement of fertile land and waters, and a "humanization" of the economy.
You cannot play chess against one principle of checkmate at a time.
(iii) Exploration of the landscape for policy making, and how this could be improved for
the implementation of flexible fees.
Strategic Sustainable Development and
Flexible Fees
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“Would you tell me, please, which way I ought to go from here?” asked Alice. “That depends a good deal on where you want to get to,” said the cat. “I don’t much care where,” said Alice. “Then it doesn’t matter which way you go,” said the cat.
© 2011 The Natural Step
VisionMission
Brainstorm solutionsC
Prioritization & action planning• Right direction?• Flexible?• Economic enough?
Understanding sustainabilityA
DBaseline analysisWhere are we today? What is the gap?
B
Vision within sustainability principles
The funnel
Today
Applying the Framework in four steps - ABCD planning process
Core valuesStrategic goals
© 2011 The Natural Step
Modelling… from the Globe down
into Drillholes
AAAA
BBBBCCCC
DDDD
...3i1i3i1i232ukukucuc
rw
Jrwmum −+−=
++ &&&&&& φ
Actions
B C
... ...
... ...
... ...
© 2011 The Natural Step
© 2011 The Natural Step
Forecasting: Planning from trends in rear-
view mirror, minus problems (”Cylinder
paradigm”)
•”Nothing is harmless”
•”Little harm as possible”
•”X% better than before”
•”More science needed”
”Expert-drift” and
detachment from
leadership
© 2011 The Natural Step
Backcasting: Success in whole
system through front screen (Funnel
paradigm)
• ”These are our objectives…”
• ”This is the gap…”
• ”We have done this…”
• ”We are going to do this…”
Leadership from overview (vision),
community (shepard) and support
(coach)
Begin game immidiately
Celebrate early wins
Gray areas from experience
Develop tools as needed (and ask
masters students for help)
© 2011 The Natural Step
Indicators
METAL IN TOP
SOIL(MG/KG)
WEATHERING
(W)
(KTON/YEAR)
MINING(M)
(KTON/YEAR
)
FOSSIL F(F)
(KTON/YEAR)
(M+F) / W
Al 72 000 1 100 000 18 000 34 000 0,047
Fe 26 000 390 000 540 000 34 000 1,5
Ti 2 900 44 000 2 500 1 700 0,095
Cr 54 830 3 800 34 4,6
Cu 25 380 9 000 55 24
Pb 19 290 3 300 85 12
Cd 0,35 5,3 20 3,4 4,4
Hg 0,09 1,4 5,2 10 11
(table from Azar, C., J. Holmberg and K. Lindgren. 1996. Socio-ecological indicators for sustainability. Ecological Economics 18: 89-112, listed in Course Outline: Additional Readings)
© 2011 The Natural Step
Put into Clinical Conference in International Research: Real Change
Product-Service Innovation (Sweden)
Business development (Sweden)
Industrial metal flows (Norway)
Conflict resolution (Israel)
Algae biomass (Australia)
Green Science / Chemistry (USA)
Water management (Netherlands)
Rainforest ecosystems (Brazil)
Traffic systems (Sweden)
Energy systems (Sweden)
Eco-efficiency (Finland)
Volume: from 1 to10 M USD in 3 yearsNot counting educationNot counting partners inputNew Research Alliance launched
© 2011 The Natural Step
• Purpose: To explore, test and share unifying framework.
• International NGO
• Role models
• Areas of action:– Research
– Training
– Coaching
– Advice