flood risk management and risk governance€¦ · - deutsch-französische brigade - deutsche und -...
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Aspects of Risk Management under Pressure
Flood Risk Management and Risk Governance
Aspects of Flood Risk Management
Preparedness
Early Warning Systems and Flood Forecasts
Protection
Solidarity Principle
Integrated Water Resources Management
Prevention
| | Prof. Dr. Martin Socher 2
| Prof. Dr. Martin Socher 3
Preparedness
May 2013 2nd wettest May since 1881 with 178 % of
mean monthly precipitation.
Flood Forecast Centre Intensely observed weather
conditions
| | Prof. Dr. Martin Socher 4
Further heavy precipitation in Germany, Czech Republic
and Austria between 30th of May and 3rd June 2013 – early
warning and flood forecast systems issuing warnings for all
relevant catchments in the region
German Weather Service (DWD) and regional (Länder)
forecast centres working hand in hand
| | Prof. Dr. Martin Socher 5
Flood Coverage Saxony June 2013
| Prof. Dr. Martin Socher 6
Early warning
Again heavy precipitation in transnational catchment between
25th to 26th of June 2013 resulting in a second flood wave
Strong internal and external cooperation between all competent
national and regional authorities in Czech Republic and
Germany
| Prof. Dr. Martin Socher 7
Precipitation Pattern 25th of June
Active Flood Protection and Defence on a
regional (Länder) and nationwide scale
between 31st of May to 11th June
Main Defence along the Elbe and its tributaries
Mulde and
Saale including Weiße Elster
Neiße and
Danube
| | Prof. Dr. Martin Socher 8
| | Prof. Dr. Martin Socher 9
Grimma
| | Prof. Dr. Martin Socher 10
Broken Dykes downstream Wurzen
| | Prof. Dr. Martin Socher 11
Defence Line June 2013 Eilenburg
| | Prof. Dr. Martin Socher 12
79,031
28,026
15,572
12,512
6,073
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
5/2
6/2
01
3
5/2
7/2
01
3
5/2
8/2
01
3
5/2
9/2
01
3
5/3
0/2
01
3
5/3
1/2
013
6/1
/20
13
6/2
/20
13
6/3
/20
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6/4
/20
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6/5
/20
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6/6
/20
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6/7
/20
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6/8
/20
13
6/9
/20
13
6/1
0/2
01
3
Be
su
ch
era
nza
hl
Clicks ZÜRS public / Flood June 2013
Quelle GDV
| Prof. Dr. Martin Socher 13
221.431
637.240
710.039
505.532
330.991
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
08:0
0
16:0
0
20:0
0
08:0
0
16:0
0
20:0
0
08:0
0
16:0
0
20:0
0
08:0
0
16:0
0
20:0
0
08:0
0
16:0
0
20:0
0
08:0
0
16:0
0
20:0
0
08:0
0
16:0
0
20:0
0
Wasserstand und Durchflüsse Pegel Download (HW-Warnungen (PDF)) HW-Warn-Seite
Clicks Saxon State Flood Centre
31.05 – 06.06.2013
| Prof. Dr. Martin Socher 14
Overtopped dyke defence June 2013 Wurzen
| | Prof. Dr. Martin Socher 15
Pirna
| | Prof. Dr. Martin Socher 16
Bad Schandau
| | Prof. Dr. Martin Socher 17
Active Defence
Coordination via Central Desaster Management Unit under
Leadership of the State Ministry of Interior and active
participation of all other Ministries of the State Government
| | Prof. Dr. Martin Socher 18
Convective Super Cell at 9th of June
Extreme Precipitation, 80 cm hail and flash flood in area
already stricken by June flood
| 22. Juli 2013 | Düsseldorf | Prof. Dr. Martin Socher 19
Glashütte
| Prof. Dr. Martin Socher 20
| | Prof. Dr. Martin Socher 21
Prevention
After the floods in 2002 and 2006 the strategic approach,
based on flood protection concepts has become operational
on Saxon level. Its relevance and importance was under
scrutiny during the floods in 2010, 2011, 2012 and 2013.
All implemented preventive measures worked according to the
strategic settings.
| | Prof. Dr. Martin Socher 22
Neu errichtete Hochwasserschutzlinie der Dresdener Altstadt
Desaster Management human resources 2013
| | Prof. Dr. Martin Socher 23 Quelle: SMI, Verwaltungsstab
| Prof. Dr. Martin Socher 24
| Prof. Dr. Martin Socher 25
Der Freistaat Sachsen ist dabei von über 8.000 auswärtigen Kräften unterstützt worden. Im Einzelnen stellt sich die Unterstützung wie folgt dar:
Feuerwehr 1.380
- BB - BE - HE - HH
100 200 910 170
THW 935
- BB - RP/HE/SL - BW - BY - NW - HB/NI - TH
150 350
20 30 15 20
350
Rettungsdienste (ASB) 25
- NW - RP
10 15
Streitkräfte 4.600
- Bundeswehr 4.080
- Deutsch-Französische Brigade - deutsche und - französische Soldaten
320 [290]
[30]
- Niederländische Streitkräfte 200
Polizei Bund/Länder 1.310
- BPOL - NW - HE - BW
800 260 130 120
Gesamt 8.250
Quelle: SMI, Verwaltungsstab
Anzahl der Evakuierten in Sachsen
Evakuierte = Personen, von denen amtlich bekannt ist, dass sie ihr Haus verlassen haben
Die Zahl der in den überfluteten Gebieten amtlich gemeldeten Personen liegt ein Vielfaches höher.
| | Prof. Dr. Martin Socher 26 Quelle: SMI, Verwaltungsstab
| | Prof. Dr. Martin Socher 27
Flood Lausitzer Neiße August
2010 Gauge Görlitz
| | Prof. Dr. Martin Socher 28
| 22. Juli 2013 | Düsseldorf | Prof. Dr. Martin Socher 29
Damaged Infrastructur August 2010
| | Prof. Dr. Martin Socher 30
Water Body Gauge W
[cm] AS
Peak
Time[Datum
2010 - Uhrzeit]
Q
[m³/s]
HQ current
statistics
[a]
Kirnitzsch Kirnitzschtal (ca. 315) kein HW-
Meldepegel 07.08. - 20:15 (ca. 100) 500
Lachsbach Porschdorf 1 360 kein HW-
Meldepegel 08.08. - 00:15 252 > 200
Sebnitz Sebnitz 2 323 4 07.08. - 21:15 (ca. 120 .. 150) > 200
Polenz Neustadt 1 195 4 07.08. - 18:45 (ca. 20) 25 - 50
Biela Bielatal 1 159 3 07.08. - 15:15 19,8 25 - 50
Gottleuba Neundorf 177 2 07.08. - 17:00 83,9 50 - 100
Wesenitz Elbersdorf 256 3 16.08. - 00:00 71,7 100
Hoyerswerdaer
Schwarzwasser Zescha 210 4 16.08. - 15:00 20,4 25
Chemnitz Chemnitz 1 355 4 07.08. - 13:45 182 50 - 100
Zwönitz Burkhardtsdorf 2 270 4 07.08. - 10:00 60,1 25 - 50
Würschnitz Harthau 364 kein HW-
Meldepegel 07.08. - 11:00 (ca. 130) 100
Spree Bautzen- Weite
Bleiche 439 4 07.08. - 23:45 162 500
Löbauer Wasser Großschweidnitz 242 4 07.08. - 16:15 42,0 50 -100
Lausitzer Neiße Zittau 1 492 4 07.08. - 20:30 (ca. 450) 200
Lausitzer Neiße Görlitz 707 4 08.08. - 07:15 (ca. 780) 200
Mandau Großschönau 2 351 4 07.08. - 17:30 (ca. 220) 500
Hydrology 1st Flood August 2010
| | Prof. Dr. Martin Socher 31
Evacuation during flash flood with major impact from Witka: 2000 persons
Flood 2010 Solidarity principle
| | Prof. Dr. Martin Socher 32
347 Zones
3800 Kilometer
75.500 Hektar area
Available in the Internet
Inundation zones HQ 100 in Saxony
| | Prof. Dr. Martin Socher 33
Flood Risk Management Concepts in Saxony
| 22. Juli 2013 | Düsseldorf | Prof. Dr. Martin Socher 34
Category Number of
Measures
high 268
medium 780
low 548
Without category 7
sum 1.603
hoch
17%
ohne
Zuordnung
0%
mittel
49%
gering
34%
Prioritization of FRMC measures
| | Prof. Dr. Martin Socher 35
Flood Portal Saxony (LfULG)
Saxon Approach
| Prof. Dr. Martin Socher 36
3. Risk Map Opening Menu LfULG
| | Prof. Dr. Martin Socher 37
Thank You for Your Attention
What role for
local authorities in France ?
13 septembre 2013
Most severe floods during the last three decades
Loire 1856
2 000 ME
1 000 ME
3 000 ME
4 000 ME
5 000 ME
6 000 ME
7 000 ME
Rhône 1840
17 000 ME Seine 1910
No major Flood since 1910
Potential damages
Context
1848
2000
Context
City of Orléans
A territory very exposed to floods :
17 M people
10 M jobs
EPRI nationale 2011
Context
French territories are not adapted to flood
« Vendéennes style» houses in la Faute sur mer – Xynthia
Storm Dordrecht
Mainz Context
Insufficient protection
Context
In financial terms : a national frame based on two major axis
Insurance Protection = 90% of flood risk management policy
Increasing costs No national strategy
Administrative complexity
Repairs of dikes
Role of local authorities
Local authorities finance
2/3 of this axis
A decreasing involvement of
State…
In legal terms : National level defines rules and responsabilities
Local level : operationnal level
What are the responsabilities ? Mayor is responsible for people safety in case of local flood
Local representative of State is responsible for people safety in case of wide scale flood
National level gives legal tools to the municipalities
But, in parallel to the municipalities, different types of other local authorities may undertake, under their own responsability, actions for flood risk management
Role of local authorities
Diversity of local authorities in France
22 regions
No legal hierarchy between the different levels
100 « départements »
2500 « intercommunalités »
36 000 municipalities
Several hundred of River basin management Authorities
Actions of Municipalities
Crisis management People awareness
Elaboration of legal document of Land management
Maintenance of dikes
Major
difficulties
Lack of human
capacities to
implement legal
obligations
Actions of « Intercommunalités »
Helping municipalities in respecting their legal obligations (technical terms)
Innovative urban regeneration
Maintenance of
dikes(sometimes)
Major
difficulties
Lack of
knowledge and
political
willingness
Elaboration of activity continuity plans for their public services exposed to flood risk
Implementation of action for the reduction of vulnerability of houses
Actions of « départements »
Helping municipalities in respecting their legal obligations (financial and technical terms)
Maintenance of dikes (financial and technical action)
Major
difficulties
Lack of
knowledge and
political
willingness
Elaboration of activity continuity plan for their public services exposed to flood risk
Actions of « régions »
Helping municipalities in respecting their legal obligations(financial terms)
Maintenance of dikes (financial action)
Major
difficulties
Lack of
knowledge and
political
willingness
Reduction of vulnerability of compagnies
Actions of « river basin Authorities »
Helping municipalities in respecting their legal obligations (financial and technical terms)
Implementation of structural measures
Major difficulties
Lack of financial
capacities and of
strong political
position
Reduction of vulnerability
A general schema
But in fact a very important diversity of cases
No national rules to define precisely actions of local authorities at the different level (except for municipalities)
But an essential action to face the decreasing involvement of state
An important challenge for governance With the progressive decentralization, and the implemenation of the
flood directive, local authorities becomes the major stakeholders for the risk management (2/3 of fundings)
But …
…a very high complexity
…an expensive cost
… a real difficulty to make a good articulation between the different scales of local authorities
A new law of decentralization « Acte III » : a solution to precise « who does what » in
the future ?
Are we creating safe and sustainable communities?
David Murphy
Flood and Coastal Risk Manager
OECD Risk Workshop 12-13 September 2013, Paris
UNCLASSIFIED
Outline
UK’s Approach to Resilience
Legislation and Governance
Capacity and investment to deliver
What this means for Flood Risk Management
Key to Success
3
UNCLASSIFIED
UK’s Approach to Resilience
4
Danny Sigger
Press Association
UNCLASSIFIED
National Risk Assessment
5
UNCLASSIFIED
Civil Contingencies Act 2004
6
Category 1 (core responders) Emergency Services (eg Police, Fire, Ambulance)
Local Authorities
Health Bodies
Government Agencies (eg Environment Agency)
Category 2 (co-operating responders) Utility companies (eg electricity, gas, telephone)
Transport (rail, road, airports)
Health Bodies
Government agencies (eg H&S Executive)
UNCLASSIFIED
Local Resilience Forum
Main duties: Plan for emergencies
Business Continuity Plans
Establish arrangements for
warning and informing the public
Co-ordinate exercises and training
Co-operate and share information
7
UNCLASSIFIED
Capacity and Investment to Deliver
National Resilience Capabilities Programme
Local accountability
Political appetite
Type of threat or hazard
8
UNCLASSIFIED
What this means for Flood Risk Management
Governance
Boundaries
Investment
Insurance
Skills and Capacity
9
UNCLASSIFIED 10
Floods and Water Management Act: Coastal - Environment Agency
Main Rivers - Environment Agency
Ordinary Rivers - Lower tier local authorities
Surface Water - Upper tier local authorities
Groundwater - Upper tier local authorities
Reservoir - Reservoir owners
Highways - Local Authorities / Highways Agency
Sewers - Water Companies
UNCLASSIFIED
Key to Success
Resilience is everyone’s business
All Risks
Bottom up approach
Teamwork across sectors
Increased sharing of information
11