formula sheet fim
DESCRIPTION
Good sampleTRANSCRIPT
Formula Sheet
Bond Valuation
Share Valuation
Maturity Model with a portfolio of assets and liabilities
Duration
Measuring price sensitivity with duration :
If the level of interest and expected shock to interest rates are the same for both assets and
liabilities, then:
Duration and Convexity
Repricing Model on interest rate risk :
∆NIIi = (GAPi)∆Ri = (RSAi-RSLi) ∆Ri
nt
t
R
FV
R
CP
)1()1(
n
1t
0
ininiiiii MWMWMW ...M 2211
N
ttt
N
ttt
DFCF
tDFCFD
1
1
N
tt
N
tt
PV
tPV
D
1
1
R
RD
P
P
1
)1()1( R
RLD
R
RADE LA
)1( R
RAkDDE LA
2)(2
1
)1(RCX
R
RD
P
P
)1(...
)1()1( 2
210
k
D
k
D
k
DP
)gk(
)g(DP
100
Simple promised return on loan :
Loan rate = Base Rate + Credit risk premium or margin
Contractually Promised return on loan :
1+k = 1 + [f + (BR+m)] / [1- b(1-R)]
Expected return on loan : E(r) = p(1+k).
Term Structure Derivation of Credit Risk:
p (1+ k) = 1+ i or
[(1 - p) γ(1 + k)] + [p(1 + k)] = 1 + i
K – I = Φ = (1 + i) / (γ + p – pγ) – (1 + i)
RAROC = one year income on a loan / loan (asset) at risk or capital at risk
Loan (asset) at risk or capital at risk = DLN = -DLN x LN x (DR/(1+R))
Credit Metrics : VARone day = P × 1.65 × std dev
CreditRisk+ Model :
Concentration Limits for a Loan Portfolio:
KMV Portfolio Manager Model :
Expected return on a loan to borrower i
Risk of a loan to borrower i (σi):
Net FX exposure of an FI:= (FX assetsi – FX liabilitiesi) + (FX boughti – FX soldi)
= Net foreign assetsi + Net FX boughti
! defaultsn ofy Probabilit
n
me n-m
rate Loss
1 capital of percentage a as loss Maximum limit ion Concentrat
iiiii LGD EDF - AIS LE - AIS iR
iiiDii LGD 1EDF LGD U ii EDFL
Promised return on a loan commitment :
(f1+ f2(1-dd)+ (BR+m) dd) )/ (dd- [b(dd)(1-RR)] )
Daily earnings at risk (DEAR) = Dollar market value of the position × Price sensitivity x
Potential adverse move in yield , or
Daily earnings at risk (DEAR) = Dollar market value of the position × Price volatility
Market value at risk (VAR) = DEAR × N
DEAR for Foreign Exchange :
DEAR = dollar value of position × FX volatility
Dollar equivalent value of position = FX position × spot exchange rate
DEAR for Equities
DEAR = dollar value of position × stock market return volatility
market return volatility = 1.65 std devM.
DEAR portfolio =[DEARa2 + DEARb
2 + DEARc
2 + 2rab × DEARa *× DEARb + 2rac × DEARa
× DEARc + 2rbc × DEARb × DEARc]1/2
Liquidity Index :
Hedging Interest Rate Risk with Futures Contracts :
∆F = dollar gain or loss on a futures position for changing interest rates
Number of sold or bought contracts (NF) :
No basis risk
Adjusting for basis risk:
Where:
b = [∆RF/(1+RF)] / [∆R/(1+R)
N
1 i*iW I
i
i
P
P
R
RFDF F
1
ΔΔ
FF
LAF
PD
AkDDN
bPD
AkDDN
FF
LAF
Hedging Foreign Exchange Risk with Futures Contracts :
• h = ΔSt /Δft
• Nf = (Long FX asset position × β)/(size of one FX contract).
• β = estimated value of h using past data.