friday 12 november 2021 morning time of issue: 0830hours

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Friday 12 November 2021 MORNING Time of Issue: 0830hours IST ALL INDIA WEATHER SUMMARY AND FORECAST BULLETIN Significant Weather Features ♦ The Depression over north coastal Tamil Nadu weakened into a Well Marked Low Pressure Area and lay centered at 0530 hrs IST of today, the 12th November 2021 over north Tamil Nadu and neighborhood. The associated cyclonic circulation extends upto 5.8 km above mean sea level. Under its influence: Light to moderate rainfall at most places with heavy rainfall at isolated places very likely over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, coastal Andhra Pradesh, Rayalaseema south interior Karnataka & Kerala during next 24 hours. ♦ A fresh Low Pressure Area is likely to form over south Andaman sea and neighbourhood by tomorrow. It is likely to move west-northwestwards and become more marked during subsequent 48 hours. Under its influence: i) widespread light to moderate rainfall with isolated heavy falls/thunderstorm very likely over Andaman & Nicobar Islands during 13th-14th November, 2021. ii) Squally weather (speed reaching 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph) very likely over south Andaman sea on 13th & 14th November and over central parts of south Bay of Bengal and adjoining central Bay of Bengal 15th & 16th November. Fishermen are advised not to venture into these areas. Main Weather Observations Rainfall/Thundershowers observed (from 0830 hrs IST to 1730 hours IST of Yesterday):at many places over Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Rayalseema; at a few places over Tamilnadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and at isolated places over Andaman & Nicobar Islands, Odisha, South Interior Karnataka, Kerala & Mahe and Lakshadweep. Significant amount of Rainfall (from 0830 hrs IST to 1730 hours IST of Yesterday): (1 cm or more): Rayalseema: Tirupati-9, Arogayavaram-2; Tamilnadu, Puducherry & Karaikal: Nungambakkam-6, Meenambakkam & Arakkonam-5 each; Vellore and Tiruttani-4 each; Tiruppattur & Dharmapuri-3 each and Cuddalore-1; Coastal Andhra Pradesh: Kavali-4; Narsapur-1; South Interior Karnataka: Bangluru-1. Moderate fog observed (0530 hrs IST of today): at isolated pocket over (New Delhi). Visibility recorded (0530 hrs IST of today) (200 more & Less): Safdarjung-200 m. Heavy Rainfall recorded (from 0830 hrs IST to 1730 hours IST of Yesterday): Heavy Rainfall at isolated places over Rayalseema. Thunderstorm observed (from 1730 hrs IST of yesterday to 0530 hours IST of today) : at isolated places over Coastal Andhra Pradesh. Maximum Temperature Departures as on 11-11-2021: Maximum temperatures were appreciably above normal (3.1°C to 5.0°C) at isolated place over Assam & Meghalaya; above normal (1.6°C to 3.0°C) at isolated places over Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura; Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim and Konkan & Goa. They were markedly below normal (-5.1°C or less) at many places over Rayalaseema; at a few places over Tamilnadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and at isolated places over East Uttar Pradesh; appreciably below normal (-3.1°C to -5.0°C) at many place over Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam and South Interior Karnataka; at a few places over Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi and at isolated place over Madhya Pradesh, Odisha & Telangana; below normal (-1.6°C to -3.0°C) at many places over Coastal & North Interior Karnataka; at a few places over Vidharbha; at isolated places over Himachal Pradesh, West Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathawada and Andaman & Nicobar Islands and near normal at rest parts of the country. Yesterday, the maximum temperature 36.2°C was reported at Bhuj (Saurashtra & Kutch). Minimum Temperature Departures as on 11-11-2021: Minimum temperatures were above normal (1.6°C to 3.0°C) at a few places over Rayalseema and Andaman & Nicobar Islands and at isolated places over Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura. They were below normal (-1.6°C to -3.0°C) at most places over Vidarbha, Konkan & Goa and Marathwada; at many places over East Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Madhya Maharashtra; at a few places over Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit-Baltistan & Muzaffarabad, West Uttar Pradesh, Sub-Himalayan west Bengal & Sikkim, Assam & Meghalaya, Gujarat State, Coastal Karnataka and Tamilnadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and at isolated places over Himachal Pradesh, East Uttar Pradesh, Gangetic West Bengal, Telangana and Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam and near normal over rest parts of the country. Yesterday, the lowest minimum temperature of 9.5°C was reported at Raisen (West Madhya Pradesh) over the plains of the country. * Red color warning does not mean "Red Alert" Red color warning means "Take Action". Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day For more details kindly visit  www.imd.gov.in or contact : +91 11 24631913, 24643965, 24629798 (Service to the Nation since 1875)

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Page 1: Friday 12 November 2021 MORNING Time of Issue: 0830hours

Friday 12 November 2021MORNING

Time of Issue: 0830hours ISTALL INDIA WEATHER SUMMARY AND FORECAST BULLETIN

Significant Weather Features

♦ The Depression over north coastal Tamil Nadu weakened into a Well Marked Low Pressure Area and lay centered at 0530 hrs IST of today, the 12th November 2021 over north Tamil Nadu and neighborhood. The associated cyclonic circulation extends upto 5.8 km above mean sea level.

Under its influence: Light to moderate rainfall at most places with heavy rainfall at isolated places very likely over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, coastal Andhra Pradesh, Rayalaseema south interior Karnataka & Kerala during next 24 hours.

♦ A fresh Low Pressure Area is likely to form over south Andaman sea and neighbourhood by tomorrow. It is likely to move west-northwestwards and become more marked during subsequent 48 hours. Under its influence:

i) widespread light to moderate rainfall with isolated heavy falls/thunderstorm very likely over Andaman & Nicobar Islands during 13th-14th November, 2021.

ii) Squally weather (speed reaching 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph) very likely over south Andaman sea on 13th & 14th November and over central parts of south Bay of Bengal and adjoining central Bay of Bengal 15th & 16th November. Fishermen are advised not to venture into these areas.

Main Weather Observations

♦ Rainfall/Thundershowers observed (from 0830 hrs IST to 1730 hours IST of Yesterday):at many places over Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Rayalseema; at a few places over Tamilnadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and at isolated places over Andaman & Nicobar Islands, Odisha, South Interior Karnataka, Kerala & Mahe and Lakshadweep.

♦ Significant amount of Rainfall (from 0830 hrs IST to 1730 hours IST of Yesterday): (1 cm or more): Rayalseema: Tirupati-9, Arogayavaram-2; Tamilnadu, Puducherry & Karaikal: Nungambakkam-6, Meenambakkam & Arakkonam-5 each; Vellore and Tiruttani-4 each; Tiruppattur & Dharmapuri-3 each and Cuddalore-1; Coastal Andhra Pradesh: Kavali-4; Narsapur-1; South Interior Karnataka: Bangluru-1.

♦ Moderate fog observed (0530 hrs IST of today): at isolated pocket over (New Delhi).

♦ Visibility recorded (0530 hrs IST of today) (200 more & Less): Safdarjung-200 m.

♦ Heavy Rainfall recorded (from 0830 hrs IST to 1730 hours IST of Yesterday): Heavy Rainfall at isolated places over Rayalseema.

♦ Thunderstorm observed (from 1730 hrs IST of yesterday to 0530 hours IST of today): at isolated places over Coastal Andhra Pradesh.

♦ Maximum Temperature Departures as on 11-11-2021: Maximum temperatures were appreciably above normal (3.1°C to 5.0°C) at isolated place over Assam & Meghalaya; above normal (1.6°C to 3.0°C) at isolated places over Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura; Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim and Konkan & Goa. They were markedly below normal (-5.1°C or less) at many places over Rayalaseema; at a few places over Tamilnadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and at isolated places over East Uttar Pradesh; appreciably below normal (-3.1°C to -5.0°C) at many place over Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam and South Interior Karnataka; at a few places over Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi and at isolated place over Madhya Pradesh, Odisha & Telangana; below normal (-1.6°C to -3.0°C) at many places over Coastal & North Interior Karnataka; at a few places over Vidharbha; at isolated places over Himachal Pradesh, West Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathawada and Andaman & Nicobar Islands and near normal at rest parts of the country. Yesterday, the maximum temperature 36.2°C was reported at Bhuj (Saurashtra & Kutch).

♦ Minimum Temperature Departures as on 11-11-2021: Minimum temperatures were above normal (1.6°C to 3.0°C) at a few places over Rayalseema and Andaman & Nicobar Islands and at isolated places over Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura. They were below normal (-1.6°C to -3.0°C) at most places over Vidarbha, Konkan & Goa and Marathwada; at many places over East Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Madhya Maharashtra; at a few places over Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit-Baltistan & Muzaffarabad, West Uttar Pradesh, Sub-Himalayan west Bengal & Sikkim, Assam & Meghalaya, Gujarat State, Coastal Karnataka and Tamilnadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and at isolated places over Himachal Pradesh, East Uttar Pradesh, Gangetic West Bengal, Telangana and Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam and near normal over rest parts of the country. Yesterday, the lowest minimum temperature of 9.5°C was reported at Raisen (West Madhya Pradesh) over the plains of the country.

* Red color warning does not mean "Red Alert" Red color warning means "Take Action". Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day 

For more details kindly visit  www.imd.gov.in or contact : +91 11 24631913, 24643965, 24629798 (Service to the Nation since 1875)

Page 2: Friday 12 November 2021 MORNING Time of Issue: 0830hours

Meteorological Analysis (Based on 0530 hours IST)

♦ The Depression over north coastal Tamil Nadu weakened into a Well Marked Low Pressure Area and lay centered at 0530 hrs IST of today, the 12th November 2021 over north Tamil Nadu and neighborhood. The associated cyclonic circulation extends upto 5.8 km above mean sea level.

♦ The Low Pressure area over central and adjoining south Arabian sea now lies over central parts of south Arabian sea. The associated cyclonic circulation extends upto 5.8 km above mean sea level.

♦ A fresh Low Pressure Area is likely to form over south Andaman sea and neighbourhood by tomorrow, the 13th November. It is likely to move west-northwestwards and become more marked during subsequent 48 hours.

Weather Forecast for next 5 days * upto 0830 hours IST of 17th November, 2021

♦ Meteorological sub-division wise detailed 5 days precipitation forecast is given in Table-1.

♦ No significant change in minimum temperatures over most parts of Northwest India and Madhya Pradesh during next 24 hours and gradual fall by 2-3°C thereafter.

♦ No significant change in minimum temperatures over Gujarat State during next 2 days and rise by 2-3°C thereafter. No significant change in minimum temperature over remaining parts of the country during next 5 days.

♦ No significant change in maximum temperature over most parts of the country during next 5 days.

Weather Outlook for subsequent 2 days From 17th November, 2021 to 19th November, 2021

♦ Light to moderate rainfall at many/most places likely over south peninsular India and Islands. Isolated to scattered light to moderate rainfall over adjoining Central & East India and south Maharashtra. Isolated heavy falls also likely over Coastal Andhra Pradesh and Telangana.

♦ Dry weather likely over remaining parts of the country.

* Red color warning does not mean "Red Alert" Red color warning means "Take Action". Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day 

For more details kindly visit  www.imd.gov.in or contact : +91 11 24631913, 24643965, 24629798 (Service to the Nation since 1875)

Page 3: Friday 12 November 2021 MORNING Time of Issue: 0830hours

Weather Warning during next 5 days *

12 November (Day 1): ♦ Heavy rainfall at isolated places very likely over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Rayalaseema, South Interior Karnataka and Kerala & Mahe.

♦ Thunderstorm accompanied with lightning very likely at isolated places over Andaman & Nicobar Islands, Konkan & Goa, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathawada, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Telangana, Rayalaseema, Interior Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and Kerala & Mahe.

♦ Squally weather (speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph) very likely over Gulf of mannar and adjoining Comorin area. Fishermen are advised not to venture into these areas.

13 November (Day 2): ♦ Heavy rainfall at isolated places very likely over Andaman & Nicobar Islands, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal, South Interior Karnataka and Kerala & Mahe.

♦ Thunderstorm accompanied with lightning & gusty wind(speed 30-40 kmph) very likely at isolated places over Andaman & Nicobar Islands and with lightning at isolated places over Konkan & Goa, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathwada, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Telangana, Rayalaseema, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and Kerala & Mahe.

♦ Squally weather (speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph) very likely over south Andaman sea. Fishermen are advised not to venture into these areas.

14 November (Day 3): ♦ Heavy rainfall at isolated places likely over Andaman & Nicobar Islands, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal, South Interior Karnataka and Kerala & Mahe.

♦ Thunderstorm accompanied with lightning & gusty wind(speed 30-40 kmph) likely at isolated places over Andaman & Nicobar Islands and with lightning at isolated places over Konkan & Goa, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathwada, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Rayalaseema, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and Kerala & Mahe.

♦ Squally weather (speed reaching 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph) likely over south Andaman sea and adjoining Southeast Bay of Bengal & north Andaman sea. Fishermen are advised not to venture into these areas.

15 November (Day 4): ♦ Heavy rainfall at isolated places likely over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal, South Interior Karnataka and Kerala & Mahe.

♦ Thunderstorm accompanied with lightning & gusty wind(speed 30-40 kmph) likely at isolated places over Andaman & Nicobar Islands and with lightning at isolated places over Konkan & Goa, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathwada, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Rayalaseema, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and Kerala & Mahe.

♦ Squally weather (speed reaching 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph) likely over central parts of south Bay of Bengal and adjoining central Bay of Bengal. Fishermen are advised not to venture into these areas.

16 November (Day 5): ♦ Heavy rainfall at isolated places likely over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal, South Interior Karnataka and Kerala & Mahe.

♦ Thunderstorm accompanied with lightning & gusty wind(speed 30-40 kmph) likely at isolated places over Andaman & Nicobar Islands and with lightning at isolated places over Konkan & Goa, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathwada, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Rayalaseema, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and Kerala & Mahe.

♦ Squally weather (speed reaching 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph) likely over central parts of south Bay of Bengal and adjoining central Bay of Bengal. Fishermen are advised not to venture into these areas.

Kindly download MAUSAM APP for location specific forecast & warning, MEGHDOOT APP for Agromet advisory and DAMINI APP for Lightning Warning & visit state MC/RMC websites for district wise warning.

* Red color warning does not mean "Red Alert" Red color warning means "Take Action". Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day 

For more details kindly visit  www.imd.gov.in or contact : +91 11 24631913, 24643965, 24629798 (Service to the Nation since 1875)

Page 4: Friday 12 November 2021 MORNING Time of Issue: 0830hours

Table-1

* Red color warning does not mean "Red Alert" Red color warning means "Take Action". Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day 

For more details kindly visit  www.imd.gov.in or contact : +91 11 24631913, 24643965, 24629798 (Service to the Nation since 1875)

Page 5: Friday 12 November 2021 MORNING Time of Issue: 0830hours

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Government of India

Earth System Science Organization

Ministry of Earth Sciences

India Meteorological Department

Press: Dated: 11 Nov, 2021

Subject: Current Weather Status and Extended range Forecast for next two weeks

(11-24 Nov 2021)

1. Salient Features for the week ending on 10th Nov 2021

➢ Fairly widespread to wide spread rainfall with Isolated Heavy to Very heavy rainfall reported over

Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal in almost all dates during last week of 4-10 Nov 2021 with

isolated extremely heavy rainfall on 6th and 9th Nov. Chennai city reported Isolated Heavy to Very

heavy rainfall during 6-9 Nov with isolated extremely heavy rainfall of 21-23cm on 6-7 Nov 2021.

➢ In the 1st half of the week, it was due to northeasterly monsoonal winds due to a cyclonic

circulation lay over Westcentral & adjoining Southwest Bay of Bengal off south Andhra Pradesh-

north Tamil Nadu coasts extended upto 4.5 km above mean sea level while during the 2nd half it

was due to formation and movement of a low pressure area which formed over southeast Bay of

Bengal & neighbourhood on 9th Nov and then moved over central parts of south Bay of Bengal

as a well-marked low pressure area with the associated cyclonic circulation extended upto 5.8

above mean sea level on 10th Nov. Under the influence of these systems, Heavy to Very heavy

rainfall at isolated places also reported over south Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam and South

Interior Karnataka for around 2-3 days.

➢ Rainfall during the week: During the week ending on 10 Nov 20221, weekly cumulative

All India Rainfall departure from its long period average (LPA) during the week was

below normal and it was -11% while weekly cumulative over south Peninsular India

reported above normal of +34%. Details of the rainfall distribution over the four broad

geographical regions of India are given in Table 1 and Meteorological sub-division-wise

rainfall both for week and season are given in Annex I and II respectively.

Page 6: Friday 12 November 2021 MORNING Time of Issue: 0830hours

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Table 1: Rainfall status (Week and season)

Region

WEEK SEASON

04.11.2021 TO 10.11.2021 01.10.2021 TO 10.11.2021

Actual Normal % Dep Actual Normal % Dep

EAST &

NORTH-

EAST INDIA 0.1 8.0 -99% 149.1 139.8 7%

NORTH-

WEST INDIA 0.4 2.6 -86% 68.2 26.5 157%

CENTRAL

INDIA 1.8 4.5 -60% 62.5 59.9 4%

SOUTH

PENINSULA 37.2 27.8 34% 248.6 195.6 27%

country as a

whole 8 9 -11% 114.6 89 29%

3. Large scale features

➢ Neutral El-Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) conditions were observed over the

equatorial Pacific. In the month, Equatorial sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are

continued to be below average across the central and east-central Pacific Ocean. The

tropical Pacific atmosphere is showing a consistent with La Niña conditions.

➢ Negative Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) conditions prevailed over the Indian Ocean.

➢ The Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) index currently lies in Phase 4 with amplitude close

to 1. It will continue in same phase during the entire forecast period with amplitude

gradually decreasing during week 1 and then increasing during week 2.Thus, MJO phase

is conducive for enhancement of convective activity and hence cyclogenesis over the

north Indian Ocean during major part of the forecast period.

Page 7: Friday 12 November 2021 MORNING Time of Issue: 0830hours

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4. Forecast for next two week

Forecast for next two week

Weather systems & associated Precipitation during Week 1 (11 to 17 November,

2021) and Week 2 (18 to 24 November, 2021)

Rainfall for week 1 (11 to 17 November, 2021):

o A Depression lay centred at 1430 hrs IST of today, the 11th November 2021, over southwest

& adjoining west-central Bay of Bengal, near Lat. 12.8°N and Long. 80.5°E, about 30 km

southeast of Chennai and 110 km northeast of Puducherry.It is very likely to move

northwestwards and cross north Tamil Nadu & adjoining south Andhra Pradesh coasts close

to Chennai during next few hours.. Under its influence, light to moderate rainfall at

most places with heavy to very heavy rainfall at a few places & extremely heavy

falls at isolated places very likely over north coastal Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, north

interior Tamil Nadu, south coastal Andhra Pradesh and Rayalaseema and heavy to

very heavy rainfall at isolated places over South interior Karnataka, Kerala and

heavy rainfall at isolated places over north coastal Andhra Pradesh on 11th November,

2021. Light to moderate rainfall at most places with heavy rainfall at isolated places

very likely over Tamil Nadu & Puducherry, South interior Karnataka and Kerala on 12th

& 13th and over coastal Andhra Pradesh & Rayalaseema on 12th November, 2021.

o A fresh Low Pressure Area is likely to form over south Andaman sea and

neighbourhood around 13th November. It is likely to move west-northwestwards and

become more marked during subsequent 48 hours. Most of the models are also indicating

it’s intensification and northwestwards movement towards Andhra Pradesh coast in the 2nd half

of the week. Under its influence widespread rainfall with isolated heavy falls very likely

over Andaman & Nicobar Islands on 13Th & 14th November and then a fresh spell of

isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall with isolated extremely heavy rainfall likely over

Andhra Pradesh and adjoining parts of Telengana mainly during 16-18 Nov and it is

likely to be isolated heavy falls very likely over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, South interior

Karnataka and Kerala during the same period.

Page 8: Friday 12 November 2021 MORNING Time of Issue: 0830hours

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o Light isolated to scattered rain/thundershower is very likely over Maharashtra,

Telangana, Chhattisgarh, Odisha and Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura during

most days of the week.

o Weather is very likely to be dry over remaining parts of India during most days of the

week.

o Overall, rainfall activity is likely to be above normal over south Peninsular & east

central India (Except north Maharashtra) and below normal over rest parts of the

country.

Rainfall for week 2 (18 to 24 November, 2021):

o Due to easterly wave activity in the week, northeast monsoon is likely to remain normal

to active conditions mainly over parts of northeastern parts of Peninsular covering

coastal Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, north Tamil Nadu, Rayalaseema and Karnataka.

o Overall rainfall activity is likely to increase as compare to week 1 over India with above

normal over peninsular India and east central India covering areas of coastal Andhra

Pradesh, Telangana, Tamil Nadu, Rayalaseema and Karnataka, Maharashtra, Kerala,

Odisha and Chhattisgarh. It is likely to be normal to below normal over Western Himalayan

region due to absence of any active Western Disturbance to affect northwest

India. (Refer Annex III for rainfall of week 1 and week 2)

Minimum Temperatures for week 1(11 to 17 November, 2021) and week 2(18 to 24

November, 2021)

Minimum Temperatures for Week 1(11 to 17 November, 2021):

o Minimum temperatures are above normal (1.6°C to 3.0°C) at a few places over

Rayalaseema and Andaman & Nicobar Islands and at isolated places over Nagaland,

Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura. They are below normal (-1.6°C to -3.0°C) at most places

over Vidharbha, Konkan & Goa and Marathawada; at many places over East

Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Madhya Maharashtra; at a few places over Jammu,

Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit-Baltistan & Muzaffarabad, West Uttar Pradesh, Sub-Himalayan

west Bengal & Sikkim, Assam & Meghalaya, Gujarat State, Coastal Karnataka and

Tamilnadu, Puducherry & Karaikal.

o No significant change in minimum temperatures over most parts of Northwest India and

Madhya Pradesh till today and gradual fall by 2-4°C thereafter.

Page 9: Friday 12 November 2021 MORNING Time of Issue: 0830hours

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o No significant change in minimum temperatures over Gujarat State during next 2 days

and rise by 2- 3°C thereafter.

o Overall, these are likely to be below normal by 1 to 3⁰ C over northwest, and

adjoining central India; and likely to be near normal or slightly above normal over

remaining parts of the country outside Odisha, South Chhattisgarh and Interior

parts of Karnataka where it is likely to be 1-3degC above normal.

Minimum Temperatures for week 2 (18 to 24 November, 2021):

o Minimum temperatures are very likely to be near normal or below normal by 1 to

2⁰ C over northwest and adjoining central India; and likely to be above normal by

1 to 3⁰C over remaining parts of the country outside southeast Peninsular India

and east central India where it is likely to be 2-4degC above normal. (Refer Annex

V)

5. Cyclogenesis forecast for North Indian Ocean during next 2 weeks

There is (a) moderate probability of cyclogenesis over Andaman Sea and adjoining

southeast BoB during first half of week 1 and (b) possibility of formation of a low

pressure area (LPA) over eastcentral Arabian Sea from the remnant of depression over

BoB during middle of week 1.

For more details refer

https://rsmcnewdelhi.imd.gov.in/uploads/archive/24/24_c5a35e_Extended%20Range%2

0Outlook_11112021.pdf

Next weekly update will be issued on next Thursday i.e. 11 Nov 2021(Happy Diwali)

Legends: Heavy Rain: 64.5 to 115.5 mm Very Heavy Rain: 115.6 to 204.4 mm, Extremely

Heavy Rain > 204.4 mm

Page 10: Friday 12 November 2021 MORNING Time of Issue: 0830hours

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Page 11: Friday 12 November 2021 MORNING Time of Issue: 0830hours

10-11-2021

(1) Area Weighted Rainfall (mm) for the country as a whole :

Rainfall

ActualNormal% Dep.

(2) Categorywise No. of Subdivisions & % Area of the Country :

L. ExcessExcessNormalDeficientL. DeficientNo Rain

(3) Categorywise comparative distribution of Sub-divisions ( cumulative rainfall ) and All India % Rainfall Departure for last five years since October 1st

CategoryL. ExcessExcessNormalDeficientL. DeficientNo RainAll India% Dep.

(4) Categorywise comparative % distribution of districts ( cumulative rainfall ) for last five years since October 1st

Category 11-11-2020 13-11-2019 7-11-2018 8-11-2017 9-11-2016L. Excess 43% 13% 35% 2% 11% 0%Excess 14% 9% 17% 2% 14% 22%Normal 14% 13% 14% 10% 15% 17%Deficient 20% 23% 19% 17% 13% 21%L. Deficient 9% 18% 12% 40% 15% 35%No Rain 0% 24% 3% 29% 32% 5%

COASTAL KARNATAKA E(59)---->LE(73) ODISHA N(-18)---->D(-25)EAST MADHYA PRADESH N(-16)---->D(-20)SAURASHTRA & KUTCH LE(60)---->E(39)LAKSHADWEEP E(20)---->N(13)

16 11 0 (0%) 0(0%)

3 5 7 (24%)24%

5(15%)15%

9 12 0 (0%) 0(0%)

1 2 8 (24%) 9(21%)3 4 7 (14%) 8(23%)

10-11-2021 03.11.2021 10-11-2021 03.11.20214 2 14 (38%)

76%14(41%)

85%

9.0 9.5 89.0 80.0-11% 0% 29% 33%

10-11-2021 03.11.2021 10-11-2021 03.11.20218.0 9.5 114.6 106.6

Improvements Deteriorations

28%31%

22

5

29% -7% -4%

71%

56%

-51%

6

75

7

10 108

0

9-11-2016

Week Ending on Cumulative upto

7-11-20181

39%

013-11-2019

210-11-2021

POST-MONSOON SEASON-2021

Performance since 1st October up to

CategoryWeek Ending on Cumulative upto

13

7

8 78

-34%38%

3 42

0

29%

08

0

7

10-11-2021

35%

10

0

5

14 16

14%

05

11-11-2020

54

41%

7

8-11-2017

40%66%

57%

(ii)

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S. METEOROLOGICAL Week 04-11-2021 TO 10-11-2021 PERIOD: 01-10-2021 TO 10-11-2021NO. SUBDIVISIONS ACTUAL NORMAL % DEP. CAT. ACTUAL NORMAL % DEP. CAT.EAST & NORTH EAST INDIA 0.1 8.0 149.1 139.81 ARUNACHAL PRADESH 0.7 15.5 -96% LD 126.2 204.1 -38% D2 ASSAM & MEGHALAYA 0.0 8.2 -99% LD 138.9 168.3 -17% N3 N M M T 0.0 13.9 -100% NR 88.9 184.6 -52% D4 SHWB & SIKKIM 0.0 5.5 -100% NR 274.3 159.9 72% LE5 GANGETIC WEST BENGAL 0.0 6.9 -100% NR 190.5 137.8 38% E6 JHARKHAND 0.0 3.3 -100% NR 111.7 79.6 40% E7 BIHAR 0.0 2.2 -100% NR 189.6 64.6 193% LENORTH WEST INDIA 0.4 2.6 68.2 26.51 EAST U.P. 0.0 1.2 -100% NR 87.4 38.8 125% LE2 WEST U.P. 0.0 0.9 -100% NR 92.3 23.5 293% LE3 UTTARAKHAND 0.0 2.3 -100% NR 204.2 38.6 429% LE4 HAR. CHD & DELHI 0.0 0.6 -100% NR 25.9 11.0 136% LE5 PUNJAB 0.0 1.2 -100% NR 35.3 10.7 230% LE6 HIMACHAL PRADESH 0.1 3.8 -97% LD 57.8 32.8 76% LE7 J & K AND LADAKH 1.6 7.6 -79% LD 105.7 45.2 134% LE8 WEST RAJASTHAN 0.0 0.2 -100% NR 11.1 7.8 42% E9 EAST RAJASTHAN 0.0 1.5 -100% NR 33.3 16.1 107% LECENTRAL INDIA 1.8 4.5 62.5 59.91 ODISHA 0.7 11.6 -94% LD 87.4 116.9 -25% D2 WEST MADHYA PRADESH 0.0 2.8 -100% NR 76.2 33.3 129% LE3 EAST MADHYA PRADESH 0.1 1.6 -94% LD 29.4 36.6 -20% D4 GUJARAT REGION 0.0 2.5 -100% NR 19.5 21.3 -9% N5 SAURASHTRA & KUTCH 0.0 2.8 -100% NR 28.6 20.6 39% E6 KONKAN & GOA 21.2 7.7 176% LE 139.9 120.6 16% N7 MADHYA MAHARASHTRA 7.5 6.0 25% E 100.3 81.0 24% E8 MARATHWADA 3.6 5.8 -39% D 99.5 79.4 25% E9 VIDARBHA 0.0 3.1 -100% NR 56.5 62.0 -9% N10 CHHATTISGARH 0.3 2.1 -86% LD 40.8 63.2 -35% DSOUTH PENINSULA 37.2 27.8 248.6 195.61 A & N ISLAND 43.0 68.2 -37% D 469.5 368.9 27% E2 COASTAL A. P.& YANAM 26.4 34.2 -23% D 155.8 247.0 -37% D3 TELANGANA 1.6 7.8 -80% LD 65.4 105.6 -38% D4 RAYALASEEMA 24.1 20.6 17% N 191.6 162.1 18% N5 TAMIL., PUDU. & KARAIKAL 97.5 56.1 74% LE 385.7 255.9 51% E6 COASTAL KARNATAKA 62.1 19.9 212% LE 368.1 213.1 73% LE7 N. I. KARNATAKA 2.9 7.8 -63% LD 94.2 117.0 -19% N8 S. I. KARNATAKA 35.8 16.6 116% LE 313.2 166.5 88% LE9 KERALA & MAHE 49.1 52.4 -6% N 709.1 381.9 86% LE10 LAKSHADWEEP 35.0 41.3 -15% N 225.4 200.1 13% NCOUNTRY AS A WHOLE 8.0 9.0 114.6 89.0

CATEGORYWISE NO. OF SUBDIVISIONS & % AREA (SUBDIVISIONAL) OF THE COUNTRY

Week 04-11-2021 TO 10-11-2021 PERIOD: 01-10-2021 TO 10-11-2021CATEGORY

LARGE EXCESSEXCESSNORMALDEFICIENTLARGE DEFICIENTNO RAIN

34% 27%

-11% 29%

-99% 7%

-86% 157%

-60% 4%

SUBDIVISIONAL% AREA OF COUNTRY SUBDIVISIONS % AREA OF COUNTRY

7 24%3%4%8% 14

SUBDIVISION-WISE RAINFALL (MM) DISTRIBUTION

SUBDIVISIONSNO. OF SUBDIVISIONAL NO. OF

16 47% 0 0%

4 38%1

3 5%7 14%8 24%

(iii)

3

9 33% 0 0%

Note: The rainfall values are rounded off upto one place of decimal.

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S. Week 04-11-2021 TO 10-11-2021 PERIOD: 01-10-2021 TO 10-11-2021NO. ACTUAL NORMAL % DEP. CAT. ACTUAL NORMAL % DEP. CAT.

1 ARUNACHAL PRADESH 0.7 15.5 -96% LD 126.2 204.1 -38% D2 ASSAM 0 5.8 -99% LD 121.4 136.2 -11% N3 MEGHALAYA 0 16.8 -100% NR 203.4 288.9 -30% D4 NAGALAND 0 5.6 -100% NR 74.6 127.9 -42% D5 MANIPUR 0 20.5 -100% NR 74.4 188.7 -61% LD6 MIZORAM 0 16.4 -100% NR 105.7 226.3 -53% D7 TRIPURA 0 10.6 -100% NR 104.6 184.6 -43% D8 SIKKIM 0 8.9 -100% NR 302.9 179 69% LE9 WEST BENGAL 0 6.2 -100% NR 208.9 141.7 47% E10 JHARKHAND 0 3.3 -100% NR 111.7 79.6 40% E11 BIHAR 0 2.2 -100% NR 189.6 64.6 193% LE

1 UTTAR PRADESH 0 1.1 -100% NR 89.4 32.4 176% LE2 UTTARAKHAND 0 2.3 -100% NR 204.2 38.6 429% LE3 HARYANA 0 0.5 -100% NR 24.9 10.9 129% LE4 CHANDIGARH (UT) 0 2.3 -100% NR 41.1 26 58% E5 DELHI 0 0.5 -100% NR 56.7 12.4 357% LE6 PUNJAB 0 1.2 -100% NR 35.3 10.7 230% LE7 HIMACHAL PRADESH 0.1 3.8 -97% LD 57.8 32.8 76% LE8 JAMMU & KASHMIR(UT) 1.6 7.6 -79% LD 105.7 45.2 134% LE

LADAKH(UT) 0 0.4 -100% NR 4.2 4 4% N9 RAJASTHAN 0 0.8 -100% NR 20.9 11.5 82% LECENTRAL INDIA1 ODISHA 0.7 11.6 -94% LD 87.4 116.9 -25% D2 MADHYA PRADESH 0 2.3 -98% LD 55.8 34.7 61% LE3 GUJARAT 0 2.6 -100% NR 24.2 20.8 16% N4 DADRA & NAGAR HAVELI (UT) 0 5.6 0% ND 114.2 46.7 145% LE5 DAMAN & DIU (UT) 0 6.7 -100% NR 19.2 41.1 -53% D6 GOA 32.6 12.4 163% LE 274.4 172.5 59% E7 MAHARASHTRA 5.5 5.2 5% N 88.4 78 13% N8 CHHATISGARH 0.3 2.1 -86% LD 40.8 63.2 -35% DSOUTH PENINSULA1 A & N ISLAND (UT) 43 68.2 -37% D 469.5 368.9 27% E2 ANDHRA PRADESH 25.4 28.6 -11% N 170.8 211.9 -19% N3 TELANGANA 1.6 7.8 -80% LD 65.4 105.6 -38% D4 TAMILNADU 96.8 55.8 73% LE 384.1 255.2 50% E5 PUDUCHERRY (UT) 296.6 143.1 107% LE 824.1 439.8 87% LE6 KARNATAKA 24.7 13.2 87% LE 227.4 150.4 51% E7 KERALA 49.1 52.4 -6% N 709.1 381.9 86% LE8 LAKSHADWEEP (UT) 35 41.3 -15% N 225.4 200.1 13% N

COUNTRY AS A WHOLE 8.0 9.0 114.6 89.0

CATEGORYWISE DISTRIBUTION OF NO. OF STATES

Week 04-11-2021 TO 10-11-2021 PERIOD: 01-10-2021 TO 10-11-2021

(iv)

-11% 29%

STATE-WISE RAINFALL (MM) DISTRIBUTION

STATES

LARGE EXCESS

NORTH WEST INDIA

LARGE DEFICIENT9

8DEFICIENT

0

EAST & NORTH EAST INDIA

14

16

1

1

NO DATA 00

CATEGORY NO. OF STATES NO. OF STATES

4

NORMAL

NO RAIN 19

EXCESS 74

Note: The rainfall values are rounded off upto one place of decimal.

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S. TONO. LE E N D LD NR ND TOTAL1 A & N ISLAND (UT) 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 32. ARUNACHAL PRADESH 0 1 1 9 5 0 0 163. ASSAM 2 5 7 10 3 0 0 274. MEGHALAYA 0 0 3 3 1 0 0 75. NAGALAND 0 0 2 7 2 0 0 116. MANIPUR 0 0 2 1 6 0 0 97. MIZORAM 0 0 0 6 2 0 0 88. TRIPURA 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 49. SIKKIM 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 410. WEST BENGAL 7 5 5 2 0 0 0 1911. ODISHA 1 2 5 19 3 0 0 3012. JHARKHAND 6 10 4 4 0 0 0 2413. BIHAR 37 1 0 0 0 0 0 3814. UTTAR PRADESH 55 9 7 3 0 1 0 7515. UTTARAKHAND 12 1 0 0 0 0 0 1316. HARYANA 15 3 3 0 1 0 0 2217. CHANDIGARH (UT) 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 118. DELHI 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 919. PUNJAB 21 1 0 0 0 0 0 2220. HIMACHAL PRADESH 8 3 1 0 0 0 0 1221. JAMMU & KASHMIR(UT) 18 1 1 0 0 0 0 2022. LADAKH(UT) 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 223. RAJASTHAN 18 3 3 3 5 1 0 3324. MADHYA PRADESH 26 5 9 9 2 0 0 5125. GUJARAT 7 5 7 6 8 0 0 3326. DADRA & NAGAR HAVELI (UT) 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 127. DAMAN & DIU (UT) 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 228. GOA 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 229. MAHARASHTRA 6 10 9 8 3 0 0 3630. CHHATISGARH 1 0 4 15 7 0 0 2731. ANDHRA PRADESH 0 2 3 7 1 0 0 1332. TELANGANA 0 1 5 21 6 0 0 3333. TAMILNADU 16 17 5 0 0 0 0 3834. PUDUCHERRY (UT) 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 435. KARNATAKA 14 5 7 2 2 0 0 3036. KERALA 12 1 1 0 0 0 0 1437. LAKSHADWEEP (UT) 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1

TOTAL 300 94 99 141 58 2 0 694

43% 14% 14% 20% 9% 0%694 WHOSE DATA RECEIVED

LE E N D LD NR13% 9% 13% 23% 18% 24%

13-11-2019 35% 17% 14% 19% 12% 3%7-11-2018 2% 2% 10% 17% 40% 29%8-11-2017 11% 14% 15% 13% 15% 32%

0% 22% 17% 21% 35% 5%

(v)

PERCENT DISTRIBUTION OF DISTRICTS IN EARLIER YEARS SINCE 1st June

OF DISTRICTS OUT OF THECATEGORYWISE DISTRIBUTION

DATE11-11-2020

9-11-2016

STATES

STATEWISE DISTRIBUTION OF NO. OF DISTRICTS WITH EXCESS, NORMAL,DEFICIENT,SCANTY AND NO RAINFALL

PERIOD FROM : 01-10-2021 10-11-2021

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