friends of canadian broadcasting report

7/17/2019 Friends of Canadian Broadcasting Report

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FEDERAL ELECTION 2015



Brampton CentreBrampton North

Courtenay-AlberniEdmonton Centre

Edmonton Mill WoodsFlamborough-Glanbrook

Hamilton West-Ancaster-Dundas

London WestOakville

Saint John-RothesayVancouver-Granville

+/- 3.82* +/- 3.72 +/- 3.76 +/- 3.69 +/- 3.73 +/- 3.80 +/- 3.76 +/- 3.75 +/- 3.82 +/- 4.33 +/- 3.78

October 8October 8October 8October 8October 8October 8October 8October 8October 8October 8October 8

Riding Date Margin of ErrorSample

653689672701684659672678653

510**665

Formed in 1985, FRIENDS of Canadian Broadcasting is an independent, Canada-widnon-partisan voluntary organization supported by 180,000 households whose mission is defend and enhance the quality and quantity of Canadian programming in the Canadiaudio-visual system. FRIENDS is not affiliated with any broadcaster or political party.

FRIENDS relies upon individuals for donations to finance its watchdog role, public poliinitiatives, public opinion leadership and research activities directed at our priorities. We do naccept contributions from organizations which hold a licence from the CanadiRadio-Television Telecommunications Commission (CRTC), Ottawa's broadcast regulatoagency, or from organizations affiliated with licensees.

FRIENDS of Canadian Broadcasting is a not-for profit organization directed by a SteeriCommittee. Noreen Golfman, Dean of Graduate Studies and Professor of Film and English Memorial University, chairs our Steering Committee and Ian Morrison is our spokesperson a

manager of ongoing operations.

ABOUT FRIENDS OF CANADIAN BROADCASTING

*19 times out of 20

***Caution: Low Sample



Bal Gosal (CPC)Rosemary Keenan (NDP)Ramesh Sangha (LPC)Saul Bottcher (GPC)

Undecided

Certain

38%

12%

37%

3%

11%

Likely27%33%10%3%

26%

Unlike7%12%11%53%

16%

Might

8%

0%

70%

0%

22%

Bal Gosal (CPC)

Rosemary Keenan (NDP)Ramesh Sangha (LPC)Saul Bottcher (GPC)UndecidedSample

35-4930%

17%33%7%14%125

50-64

42%

9%35%

2%

13%

211

65+37%

13%33%4%13%234

Fem32%

12%36%4%16%36

Male

40%

13%35%

5%

7%

292

Gosal Keenan Sangha Bottcher Undecided

All Voters Decided & Leaning

3 6

%

1 2

%

3 6

%

5 % 1 2

%

4 0

%

1 4

%

4 1

%

5 %

18-34

37%

10%41%

5%

7%

83

BRAMPTON CENTRE



BRAMPTON CENTRE

Strong SupporterMight Change

Not Sure

CPC

87%

12%

1%

NDP48%50%

2%

GP6929

1%

LPC

84%

9%

7%

Thinking about the federal election and the CBC,

which of the following two statements is closest to your personal view?

38% More likely to vote for a candidate whofavours increasing the CBC's budget

12% More likely to vote for a candidatewho favours privatizing the CBC

50% Unsure

40% Strongly agree

19% Somewhat agree

32% Neither agree nor disagree

4% Somewhat disagree

6% Strongly disagree

Thinking about the government's recent cuts to the CBC's funding,

do you believe these cuts should be reversed?

Thinking about the federal election and the CBC,have you seen any lawn signs featuring a message 'We Vote CBC!'?

38%

12%

50%

29% Have

54% Have not

17% Unsure

Do you consider yourself to be a strong supporter of this party,or is there a chance you will change your mind before the next election?

29%

54%

17%

59%

10%

32%

Increase Privatize Unsure

Agree Disagree Neither agree nor disagree

Have Have not Unsure



BRAMPTON NORTH

Parm Gill (CPC)Martin Singh (NDP)Ruby Sahota (LPC)Pauline Thornham (GPC)

Undecided

Certain

31%

14%

45%

1%

9%

Likely28%20%13%0%

39%

Unlike76%7%0%0%

17%

Might

10%

9%

67%

0%

14%

Parm Gill (CPC)Martin Singh (NDP)Ruby Sahota (LPC)Pauline Thornham (GPC)UndecidedSample

18-34

35%

16%

36%

0%

13%

98

35-4929%13%49%0%9%136

50-64

32%

16%

41%

0%

11%

199

65+36%8%

44%1%

11%256

Fem25%12%50%0% 12%39

Male

40%

16%

35%

0%

9%

297

Gill Singh Sahota Thornham Undecided


3 2 %

1 4 %

4 3 % 1 %

1 1 %

3 7 %

1 6 %

4 6 % 1 %



BRAMPTON NORTH


Not Sure

CPC

79%

17%

4%

NDP64%33%

4%

GP1000

0

LPC

73%

23%

3%





53% Unsure

35% Strongly agree

13% Somewhat agree







32% Have

54% Have not

14% Unsure





36%

11%

53%

48%

9%

42%

32%

54%

14%



COURTENAY-ALBERNI

John Duncan (CPC)Gord Johns (NDP)Carrie Powell-Davidson (LPC)Glenn Sollitt (GPC)

Undecided

Certain

29%

32%

19%

11%

9%

Likely37%10%32%1%

20%

Unlike12%3%0%86%

0%

Might

9%

7%

7%

67%

9%

John Duncan (CPC)Gord Johns (NDP)Carrie Powell-Davidson (LPC)Glenn Sollitt (GPC)UndecidedSample

18-34

35%

19%

23%

18%

6%

75

35-4924%29%17%17%13%105

50-64

21%

37%

19%

12%

11%

238

65+35%34%14%8%10%254

Fem26%36%15%17%6%35

Male

30%

23%

22%

11%

13%

316

Duncan Johns Powell-Davdson Sollitt Undecided


2

8 %

2

9 %

1

9 %

1

4 %

1

0 %

3

0 %

3

3 %

2

0 %

1

6 %



COURTENAY-ALBERNI


Not Sure

CPC

95%

4%

1%

NDP80%17%

2%

GP4748

6

LPC

69%

31%

0%





38% Unsure

45% Strongly agree

23% Somewhat agree







74% Have

23% Have not

4% Unsure





47%

15%

38%

65%

9%

25%

74%

23%

4%



EDMONTON CENTRE

James Cumming (CPC)Gil McGowan (NDP)Randy Boissonnault (LPC)David Parker (GPC)

Undecided

Certain

31%

33%

26%

2%

9%

Likely17%55%9%3%

16%

Unlike3%71%1%0%

25%

Might

45%

0%

39%

4%

12%

James Cumming (CPC)Gil McGowan (NDP)Randy Boissonnault (LPC)David Parker (GPC)UndecidedSample

18-34

24%

51%

17%

0%

7%

104

35-4927%29%29%4% 11%158

50-64

33%

25%

26%

4%

12%

204

65+38%19%30%1%

11%235

Fem20%43%26%2%9%354

Male

39%

26%

22%

3%

11%

347

Cumming McGowan Boissonnault Parker Undecided


2 9

%

3 5

%

2 4

%

2 % 1 0

%

3 1

%

3 8

%

2 7

%

3 %



EDMONTON CENTRE


Not Sure

CPC

91%

8%

1%

NDP77%20%

3%

GP4252

6

LPC

52%

37%

11%





39% Unsure

47% Strongly agree

12% Somewhat agree







58% Have

35% Have not

7% Unsure





43%

17%

39%

59%25%

17%

58%

35%

7%



EDMONTON MILL WOODS

Tim Uppal (CPC)Jasvir Deol (NDP)Amarjeet Sohi (LPC)Ralph Mclean (GPC)

Undecided

Certain

37%

12%

36%

6%

9%

Likely32%22%30%2%

13%

Unlike28% 5%39%4%

23%

Might

17%

5%

21%

0%

57%

Tim Uppal (CPC)Jasvir Deol (NDP)Amarjeet Sohi (LPC)Ralph Mclean (GPC)UndecidedSample

18-34

25%

13%

47%

7%

7%

103

35-4936%13%31%5%15%157

50-64

45%

14%

27%

2%

12%

211

65+50% 7%28%6% 9%213

Fem31%12%38% 6% 13%34

Male

41%

13%

33%

5%

8%

335

Uppal Deol Sohi Mclean Undecided


3 6 %

1 2 %

3 5 %

5 % 1 1 %

3 9 %

1 5 %

3 9 %

7 %



EDMONTON MILL WOODS


Not Sure

CPC

80%

11%

9%

NDP78%20%

2%

GP4848

4

LPC

70%

26%

5%





46% Unsure

41% Strongly agree

17% Somewhat agree







44% Have

47% Have not

9% Unsure





40%

14%

46%

58%

29%

12%

44%

47%

9%



FLAMBOROUGH-GLANBROOK

David Sweet (CPC)Mike Dilivio (NDP)Jennifer Stebbing (LPC)David Urqhart (GPC)

Undecided

Certain

45%

11%

23%

7%

14%

Likely22%5%0%34%

40%

Unlike9%73%0%0%

18%

Might

3%

0%

17%

71%

9%

David Sweet (CPC)Mike Dilivio (NDP)

Jennifer Stebbing (LPC)David Urqhart (GPC)UndecidedSample

35-4945%9%

19%5%22%134

65+37%10%

31%5%

17%208

Fem9%

16%

23% 9% 13%35

Male

43%

8%

23%

7%

19%

304

Sweet Dilivio Stebbing Urqhart Undecided

18-34

39%

18%

16%

17%

11%

126

50-64

43%

10%

30%

2%

15%

191


4 1 %

1 2 %

2 3 %

8 %

1 6 %

4 8 %

1 4 %

2 8 %

9 %



FLAMBOROUGH-GLANBROOK


Not Sure

CPC

80%

15%

5%

NDP79%16%

5%

GP3464

2

LPC

79%

16%

5%


which of the following two statements is closest to your personal view



4% Unsure

34% Strongly agree

17% Somewhat agree







42% Have

48% Have not

10% Unsure





37%

16%

46%

51%

33%

16%

42%

48%

10%



HAMILTON WEST-ANCASTER-DUNDAS

Vincent Samuel (CPC)Alex Johnstone (NDP)Filomena Tassi (LPC)Peter Ormond (GPC)

Undecided

Certain

26%

16%

43%

6%

9%

Likely6%5%

36%1%

52%

Unlike9%7%

68%0%

15%

Might

12%

2%

15%

26%

46%

Vincent Samuel (CPC)Alex Johnstone (NDP)

Filomena Tassi (LPC)Peter Ormond (GPC)UndecidedSample

35-4925%16%

39%7%13%136

65+29%13%

43%3% 11%250

Fem22%17%

43% 7% 12%35

Male

26%

11%

43%

6%

15%

320

Samuel Johnstone Tassi Ormond Undecided

18-34

24%

14%

39%

7%

16%

97

50-64

25%

16%

39%

7%

13%

189


2 4 %

1 4 %

4 3 %

6 %

1 3 %

2 7 %

1 6 %

5 0 %

7 %



HAMILTON WEST-ANCASTER-DUNDAS


Not Sure

CPC

91%

8%

1%

NDP64%33%

3%

GP5222

26

LPC

67%

29%

4%





38% Unsure

44% Strongly agree

19% Somewhat agree







72% Have

24% Have not

5% Unsure





48%

14%

38%

63%7%

28%

72%

24%

5%



LONDON WEST

Vincent Samuel (CPC)Alex Johnstone (NDP)Filomena Tassi (LPC)Peter Ormond (GPC)

Undecided

Certain

31%

18%

38%

4%

9%

Likely6%12%15%33%

34%

Unlike0%5%16%0%

79%

Might

25%

5%

10%

5%

56%

Ed Holder (CPC)Matthew Rowlinson (NDP)

Kate Young (LPC)Dimitri Lascaris (GPC)UndecidedSample

35-4926%15%

40%1%

18%134

65+6%10%

30%2% 11%230

Fem24%19%

38%5%

15%35

Male

36%

15%

36%

5%

8%

322

Holder Rowlinson Young Lascaris Undecided

18-34

22%

24%

35%

12%

7%

87

50-64

30%

16%

41%

3%

10%

227


3 0 %

1 7 %

3 7 %

5 % 1 2 %

3 3 %

1 9 %

4 2 %

6 %



LONDON WEST


Not Sure

CPC

89%

9%

2%

NDP74%25%

1%

GP3165

4

LPC

68%

27%

5%





40% Unsure

45% Strongly agree

17% Somewhat agree







74% Have

21% Have not

5% Unsure





43%

16%

40%

63%

25%

12%

74%

21%

5%



OAKVILLE

Terence Young (CPC)Che Marville (NDP)John Oliver (LPC)David Doel (GPC)

Undecided

Certain

36%

3%

50%

5%

6%

Likely40%12%12%25%

11%

Unlike9%0%0%57%

34%

Might

35%

0%

19%

10%

36%

Terence Young (CPC)Che Marville (NDP)

John Oliver (LPC)David Doel (GPC)UndecidedSample

35-4936%

4%

45%

7%

9%

133

65+40%6%

46%3% 5%238

Fem32% 3%

50% 8%7%35

Male

40%

4%

43%

6%

7%

300

Young Marville Oliver Doel Undecided

18-34

31%

4%

51%

13%

6%

85

50-64

39%

5%

45%

4%

7%

197


3 6

%

4 % 4 7

%

7 % 7 % 3 8

%

5 % 5 0

%

7 %



OAKVILLE


Not Sure

CPC

79%

20%

1%

NDP52%47%

2%

GP2171

9

LPC

73%

24%

3%





35% Unsure

42% Strongly agree

16% Somewhat agree







72% Have

25% Have not

4% Unsure





45%

20%

35%

58%27%

16%

72%

25%

4%



SAINT JOHN-ROTHESAY

Rodney Weston (CPC)AJ Griffin (NDP)Wayne Long (LPC)Sharon Murphy (GPC)

Undecided

Certain

32%

20%

34%

2%

12%

Likely44%33%14%0%

9%

Unlike17%11%45%0%

26%

Might

13%

50%

8%

7%

21%

Rodney Weston (CPC)AJ Griffin (NDP)

Wayne Long (LPC)Sharon Murphy (GPC)UndecidedSample

35-4928%

21%

38%

7%

7%

99

65+42%11%

34%2%11%201

Fem31%17%

35%3%15%274

Male

33%

26%

30%

2%

9%

236

Weston AJ Griffin Long Murphy Undecided

18-34

30%

37%

16%

0%

17%

75

50-64

29%

18%

39%

1%

13%

135


3 2

%

2 1

%

3 2

%

3 % 1 2

%

3 6

%

2 6

%

3 4

%

4 %




which of the follow two statements is closest to your personal view?



45% Unsure


SAINT JOHN-ROTHESAY


Not Sure










47% Strongly agree

14% Somewhat agree




67% Have

26% Have not

7% Unsure

NDP67%30%

3%

GP5731

11

LPC

70%

24%

6%

CPC

77%

17%

6%

45%

9%

45%

61%

10%

29%

67%

26%

7%



VANCOUVER-GRANVILLE

Erinn Broshko (CPC)Mira Oreck (NDP)Jody Wilson-Raybould (LPC)Michael Barkusky (GPC)

Undecided

Certain

17%

26%

41%

8%

9%

Likely18%46%18%0%

18%

Unlike18%26%18%0%

38%

Might

8%

0%

11%

16%

65%

Erinn Broshko (CPC)Mira Oreck (NDP)

Jody Wilson-Raybould (LPC)Michael Barkusky (GPC)UndecidedSample

35-4914%

33%

41%

2%

10%

102

65+33%8%

36%7%17%232

Fem17%26%

41%5%11%36

Male

17%

24%

37%

11%

11%

301

Broshko Oreck Wilson-Raybould Barkusky Undecided

18-34

8%

25%

44%

14%

9%

95

50-64

20%

27%

33%

8%

12%

236


1 7 %

2 5 %

3 9 %

8 %

1 1 %

2 0 %

2 8 %

4 4 %

9 %



VANCOUVER-GRANVILLE


Not Sure

CPC

89%

11%

0%

NDP58%40%

2%

GP8416

0

LPC

75%

19%

6%





26% Unsure

63% Strongly agree

16% Somewhat agree







25% Have

65% Have not

11% Unsure





79%

15%

7%

65%

9%

26%

24%

65%

11%



Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experienceat all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respectedcommentator on Canadian public affairs.

Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accuratesnapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in

Alberta (2015), a majority Liberal government in British Columbia, and a majorityLiberal government in Ontario. Most recently, Mainstreet was the most accuratepollster of last October’s Toronto mayoral election.



Polls were conducted in Brampton Centre, Brampton North,Courtenay-Alberni, Edmonton Centre, Edmonton Mill Woods,Flamborough-Glanbrook, Hamilton West-Ancaster-Dundas, LondonWest, Oakville, Saint John-Rothesay and Vancouver Granville usingSmart IVR™. See next page for dial dates, samples and margins of error.

Polls were commissioned and paid for by the Friends of CanadianBroadasting.

For More Information:

Mainstreet Research:

friends of canadian broadcasting report

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