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Fuel and technologyalternatives for commercialvehiclesEuropean Biofuels Technology Platform6th Stakeholder Plenary MeetingDr. Nils-Olof NylundVTT Technical Research Centre of Finland
207/10/2014 2
Outline
Energy use in transportVehicle categoriesCurrent state of the art (heavy-duty diesel)Evaluation of alternativesFinland goes drop-in!Alternative technology vehiclesSummary
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Transport energy
• Transport is some 25 % of total final energy consumption• Road is some 75 % of total transport• Trucks and buses are some 30 % within road transport
37 % passenger cars15 % vans and SUVs
Source: WEF Repowering Transport 2011
407/10/2014 4
Commercial vehicle categories
Light commercial vehicles (vans)
Heavy-duty vehicles
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New HD vehicles (Euro VI) are extremely clean
00,020,040,060,08
0,10,120,140,16
€/km
External costs for NOx and PM
PM
NOx
The argument that one fuel is cleaner(for regulated emissions) than anotheris fading away.
Ultimately the solutionproviding lowest CO2 emissions will win!
Low emissions require high-quality fuels(zero sulphur, zero contaminants…)!
607/10/2014 6
Euro VI technology (example from MAN)
A lot of sensors missing in the picture!
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Gasoline(otto enginesincl. FFV)
Diesel(diesel enginesincl. E95-modifications)
LPG
E10+ (EN xxxxx) Quick
2013 2015 2020 2025
E5 (EN 228), in Finland decision: at least till 2018
Note! Schedules based on estimations or planned CEN schedules and FQD review
E10 (EN 228), at least till 2025
or slow implementation (TR 16514)
E85 (TS 15293) E85 (EN 15293) for FFV cars
B7 (EN 590), at least till 2020
B10 (EN xxxxx, 0-10% FAME)
B20 (EN yyyyy, 15-20% FAME) for dedicated fleets
B30 (EN yyyyy, 25-30% FAME) for dedicated fleets
ED95 (CWA xxxxx) for dedicated fleets proposed but not proceeding
XTL/HVO (TS) XTL/HVO (EN 15940) for dedicated fleets
LPG (EN 589) automotive use
CEN = European Committee for Standardization, CWA = CEN Workshop Agreement, E10+ = 20-25% ethanol or corresponding biocontent, EN = EuropeanStandard, LPG = Liquefied Petroleum Gas, TS = Technical Specification, TR = Technical Report , XTL/HVO = paraffinic diesel
Small-engine gasoline (CWA xxxxx) discussed but not decided
Estimated schedules for standardisationin Europe
Source: Seppo Mikkonen /Neste Oil 2014
807/10/2014 8
Reducing CO2 remains a challenge
To reach the climate goals of 2050, the fuel consumption of a semi-trailer truckshould be clearly less than 10 l/100 km, an annual improvement of some 3 %!
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As for technology options:Remember: In reality, one size doesn’t fit all!
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Hierarchy of fuels
Aviation
Marine
Heavy-duty road vehicles
Rail
Light-duty road vehicles &urban services
Nee
dfo
rliq
uid
fuel
s
Possibilityforelectrification
increases
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Electric timber truck
12 2014-10-07
Substitution of fossil diesel oil is crucial!
• Already shortage of Diesel oil inEurope
• Higher share of diesel cars due toregulations of fuel consumption.
• Aviation fuels and diesel oil arecompetitors
• Environmental marine regulationswill raise demand for diesel oil?
– Biofuels ought to be usedin heavy vehicles
– Biomethane– Synthetic diesel oil– Dimethyleter (DME)
– Electrification of roads….
Threats Solutions
Source: Olof Hådell 2012
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Source: Staffan Lundgren/Volvo 2014
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Liquid hydrocarbons
The superiority of liquid hydrocarbons is due to:excellent energy densityeasy handlingeasy productiona 100 year plus tradition
Comparison to electricity:diesel refuelling >10 MWsuperfast charging 300 kWslow charging 3,5 kW10 kWh= 1 l of diesel fuel
cost of a 10 kWh battery5000 – 10000 €weight 100 kg
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Evaluation of alternative fuels/energies
CostsCost of fuelCost of new vehiclesCost of new infrastructure
Vehicle performanceRangeWeight of energy storageVolume of energy storageSafetyEnergy efficiency(Exhaust emissions, must meet Euro VI= close to zero!)
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Evaluation of alternative fuels/energies, cont.
How is the vehicle operated?Urban serviceLong-haulScheduled operationRandom operation
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Diesel prevails inheavy services
BEVs forurban services
Source: GM
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Number of technology alternatives
Coaches
Long-haul trucks
Urban vehicles:• vans
• trucks (delivery, refuse..)• city buses
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No fuss alternative for diesel vehicles:Paraffinic diesel
Many alternative feedstocks
Alternative processing routes
A true drop-in alternative, up to 100 %
No modifications to infrastructure or vehicles
No storage issues
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Alternatives for light commercial vehicles
Mercedes Sprinter NGT (CNG)
Nissan e-NV200
2207/10/2014 22
Alternatives for single-unit trucks
Dual-fuel CNG
Spark-ignition CNGParallel hybrid
Ethanol
Spark-ignition CNG
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2307/10/2014
Final report now available
http://www.vtt.fi/inf/pdf/technology/2012/T46.pdfhttp://www.iea-amf.vtt.fi/8annexreports.html
Some 400 pages including a 20-pageExecutive Summary
• 21 buses• Combinations of vehicle, fuel &
driving cycle: 180!
SAE 2012-01-1981
2407/10/2014
Energy consumption of European vehiclesBraunschweig cycle
18.815.8 16.4
14.9 15.212.6 12.7
11.3 10.9 10.7
21.1 20.0
16.4 15.6
0
5
10
15
20
25
MJ/
km
Energy Consumption - Braunschweig
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Volvo flags for electrification of buses
Source: Edward Jobson/Volvo 2014
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Alternatives for long-haul trucks
Dual-fuel LNGDME
Spark-ignited CNG/LNG
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Alternative fuels infrastructure decided upon
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Summary
The current HD diesel (Euro VI) is extremely clean for regulatedemissionsReducing CO2 remains a challengeOne size doesn’t fit all, meaning that one single alternativetechnology will not cater for the needs of all vehicle categoriesWhen calculating costs, take into account need for new infrastructure,new vehicles, fuel price and vehicle efficiency“Drop-in” type renewable diesel is really a good optionNumber of available options vary by vehicle category (long-haulhighway vs. urban services)With the directive on infrastructure, the Commission has focused onelectricity and natural gas, not really on biofuels!
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TECHNOLOGY FOR BUSINESS