Fuel cell electric vehicles and hydrogen fuel for California

California Energy CommissionIEPR workshop on Transportation Energy Scenarios7/31/2013

Go Campaign

Hydrogen fuel cell electric vehicles make sense

National Research Council March 2013• Analyzed alternative vehicles and fuels

scenarios with the goals of:» Reducing oil consumption by 50% below 2005

levels by 2030» Reducing oil consumption and greenhouse gases

by 80% below 2005 levels by 2050

http://www.nap.edu/catalog.php?record_id=18264

FCEV costs from NRC report*

* NAS Transitions to Alternative Vehicles and Fuels, March 2013 (http://www.nap.edu/catalog.php?record_id=18264)

• Assumes 200,000 per year production volume

• FCEVs competitive with other electric drive vehicles

• Before 2050 the cost of FCEVs could be lower than the cost of an equivalent ICEV, and operating costs should also be lower.

• FCEVs are expected to be equivalent in range and refueling time to ICEVs.

• Fuel cell system costs projected at $36-$40/kW, assuming commercial introduction of FCEVs at annual production volumes over 200,000 units, with the primary economy of scale occurring at 50,000 units (emphasis added)

• Hydrogen costs can be competitive with gasoline**

Fuel cell and hydrogen costs*

* NAS Transitions to Alternative Vehicles and Fuels, March 2013 (http://www.nap.edu/catalog.php?record_id=18264)**FCEVs travel 2-3 times as far as ICEVs on the same energy

California policies and incentives are a smart

investment

FCEVs: Real and ready

Hyundai Tucson ix35 FCEV production launch 2/26/13

Daimler/Nissan/Ford joint development announces 2017 launch of affordable FCEV 1/28/13

Toyota partnership with BMW 1/24/2013 Toyota announces sedan-type FCEV launch in 2015 9/24/12

Honda and GM announce joint development and Honda confirms 2015 launch 7/2/13

Stations must come first• 68 stations provide coverage to

enable market launch» Supports customer convenient

fueling in early markets» Enables travel throughout early

market regions and state

Open Today:• Burbank• Emeryville• Fountain Valley• Harbor City• Irvine #1• Newport Beach• Thousand Palms• Torrance• West LA #1

In Development:• Beverly Hills• Diamond Bar (upgrade)

• Hawthorne• Hermosa Beach• Irvine #2• Los Angeles • San Juan Capistrano• Santa Monica• West LA #2• West Sacramento• Westwood

Plus 7 more stations recently awarded

Hydrogen stations in California

Five clusters to launch market

• Santa Monica and West Los Angeles• Torrance and nearby coastal cities• Southern coastal area of Orange County• Berkeley• South San Francisco Bay area

Locations based on:

• Demographic information

• Individual OEM market assessments

• California Energy Commission/Air Resources Board Vehicle Survey

• Hybrid and alt fuel vehicles registrations

• Geographic distribution of Clean Vehicle Rebate Program

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220

0

5

10

15

20

25

Number of hydrogen stations

Impro

ved

acc

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ibili

ty t

o h

yd

rogen

sta

tions

…

Access to stations

Chart courtesy of National Fuel Cell Research Center at UC Irvine

Infrastructure can support commercial volumes of

FCEVs and becomes self-sustaining

Tip

pin

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oin

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Building a statewide networkMap of 68 Hydrogen Fueling Stations: Existing, In Development

and Needed

Los Angeles Area

Bay Area

H2 stations and vehicle growth

FCEVs will be launched worldwide

Germany: 50 stations by 2015

Japan: 100 stations by 2015

Korea: 43 stations by 2015

Scandinavia: at least 15 stations by 2015

UK: 65 stations to launch

Customers must recognize value in advanced vehicles

and fuels

California ZEV Action Plan

• By 2015: California major metropolitan areas “ZEV-ready” with infrastructure and streamlined permitting

• By 2020: California ZEV infrastructure can support up to 1 million vehicles

• By 2025: Over 1.5 million ZEVs in California

CaFCP MembersAir LiquideAir ProductsAlameda-Contra Costa Transit

District (AC Transit)Automotive Fuel Cell CooperationBallard Power SystemsCalifornia Air Resources BoardCalifornia Department of Food and

AgricultureCalifornia Energy CommissionCalifornia State University-Los

AngelesThe Center for Energy Efficiency

and Renewable Technologies (CEERT)

ChryslerDaimlerEnergy Independence NowGeneral MotorsHondaHydrogenics

HyundaiInstitute of Transportation Studies, UC

DavisLinde North America, Inc.National Fuel Cell Research Center, UC

IrvineNational Renewable Energy Laboratory

(NREL)NissanPowertech LabsProton OnSiteSandia National LaboratoriesSouth Coast Air Quality Management

DistrictSouthern California Gas CompanySunLine Transit AgencyToyotaU.S. Department of EnergyU.S. Department of TransportationU.S. Environmental Protection AgencyVolkswagen

Questions or comments?

Catherine Dunwoody | Executive Director | CaFCP916-371-2870 | cdunwoody@cafcp.org

www.linkedin.com/in/cafcpexecutivedirector/www.cafcp.org