ga-sen survey: may 14, 2013

7/30/2019 GA-Sen survey: May 14, 2013

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Survey of Georgia Registered Voters

Conducted by 20/20 Insight, LLC

May 8-10, 2013

1,662 Registered Voters (2.4% Margin of Error) = RV

Q1

RV

38 Democratic Candidates

42 Republican Candidates

16 Depends on the Candidates

4 Not Sure

-4 Democratic - Republican margin

Q2

Generic State Ballot

Now I am going to read you the names of a few people and things. For each one, I will ask you to rate

them on a scale of 1 to 5, just like how restaurants are reviewed in the newspaper, with 1 being the

worst rating and 5 being the best. If you have heard of the person or thing, but have no opinion, that's

fine, and if you haven't heard of them that is fine too.

1(W

orst)

2 3 4 5(Be

st)

Can't

Rate

NotH

eard

Temp

erat

ure

Tota

lRat

e

Tota

lHea

rd

A Paul Broun RV 11 3 8 5 6 8 59 44 33 41

B Phil Gingrey RV 11 8 13 6 8 9 45 46 46 55

C Karen Handel RV 11 8 12 8 6 8 46 44 45 54

D Jack Kingston RV 9 5 9 6 7 11 54 49 36 46

E Michelle Nunn RV 6 3 5 4 6 8 68 49 24 32

Page 1 of 8 BetterGeorgia.

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May 8-10, 2013


Q3 Republican Primary Voters Only

For comparison, the results of a parallel survey with job titles but not biography:

13 Paul Broun, a Congressman from Athens

19 Phil Gingrey, a Congressman from Marietta

16 Karen Handel, the former Secretary of State

18 Jack Kingston, a Congressman from Savannah

34 not certain at this time/none of these candidates

Q3 The results of this survey with the accompanying biographies of each candidate read:

Not Certain at this time or none of these candidates

10

17

Paul Broun is a Congressman from Athens. He is one of the most conservative members of

Congress and has served since 2007. Broun has been endorsed by former Republican

Presidential candidate Ron Paul. He has focused on cutting federal spending and taxes, and

has advocated for the repeal of Obamacare. Before his election to Congress, he was a fami

physician.

Phil Gingrey is a Congressman from Marietta. He is a conservative who has served in

Congress since 2002, and before that was a member of the Georgia state Senate and aphysician who delivered babies. He has focused on cutting federal spending and taxes, and

as chairman of the Congressional Doctors Caucus has worked to repeal and replace

Obamacare.

Jack Kingston is a Congressman from Savannah who has served since 1992. He is a

conservative who has served on the House Appropriations Committee for several years

where he has focused on budget issues and has been recognized for his efforts to cut federa

spending and taxes. He has also voted to repeal Obamacare.

Karen Handel is the former Georgia Secretary of State. She is a conservative who also serve

as the chairwoman of the Fulton County Commission, where she worked to reduce county

spending and cut taxes. In recent years, she worked for the Susan B. Komen foundation tha

funds efforts to fight breast cancer. While there, she worked to end the foundation's

funding of Planned Parenthood because it provides abortion services.

33

20

18


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May 8-10, 2013


Q4

All voters were then given a general election matchup that includes one of the bios from above (with

the words 'the Republican' inserted after the name). They were also read this biographical statement

about Michelle Nunn (descriptions were rotated randomly):

Michelle Nunn, the Democrat, lives in Atlanta and is the founder and CEO of an international non-profit

that promotes community service and which mobilized over four million volunteers in twenty countries

around the world. She is also the daughter of former United States Senator Sam Nunn.

vote

forN

unn

vote

forR

epub

lican

NotS

ure

A vs Paul Broun 42 45 13

B vs Phil Gingrey 46 46 8

C vs Karen Handel 47 39 14

D vs Jack Kingston 42 48 11

Average Vote 44 44 12

Q5 Age

RV

16 18-29

26 30-44

37 45-64

18 65 & Older

3 Refused To Say

And now we have a few final questions to make sure a representative sample of all voters has been

called.


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May 8-10, 2013


Q6 Gender

RV

53 Female

44 Male

3 Rather Not Say

Q7 And do you come from a Hispanic or Spanish speaking background, or not?

RV

5 Yes

91 No

0 Not Sure

4 Rather Not Say

And can you tell me what you consider to be your main race

RV

63 White25 Black/African American

2 American Indian/Alaska Native

1 Asian

0 Native Hawaiian/Other Pacific Islander

1 Some Other Race

3 More Than One Race

0 Not Sure

5 Rather Not Say


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May 8-10, 2013


Q8 Length of Ga Residence

RV

46 Entire Life

51 Lived Elsewhere

3 Refused

36 Elsewhere: Ga since before 2000

9 Elsewhere: After 2000, Before 2008

4 Elsewhere: After 2008

Q9

RV4 1 (Almost Never)

3 2

9 3

21 4

56 5 (Even Primaries)

7 Not Sure

And now think about how often you vote in elections. As you know, the main elections are held every

four years for President, but there are also elections for things like Governor, Congress, Mayor and

School Board. And in addition to the November elections, the political parties hold primary elections

that decide who their nominees will be in the summer. On a scale of 1 to 5, with 1 meaning hardly ever

and 5 meaning you never miss an election, even a primary, how often would you say you vote?


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May 8-10, 2013


Q10

RV

36 Democrat

35 Republican

23 Independent

2 Third Party

4 Not Sure

[D/R combined with followup about what party they usually choose in two way race]

42 Total Democratic Base Vote

45 Total Republican Base Vote

Q11

RV

43 Barack Obama, the Democrat48 Mitt Romney, the Republican

2 Some Other Candidate

5 Refused

2 Did Not Vote

Vote in 2012 Presidential Election was for

Thinking about the political parties, can you tell me what party you consider yourself to be a member

of?


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May 8-10, 2013


Q12 DMA: CODED NOT ASKED

RV

5 Albany

63 Atlanta

5 Augusta

3 Columbus

8 Macon

6 Savannah

2 Tallahassee/Thomasville

7 Fringe/Out of State

Q13 CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT: CODED NOT ASKED

RV

6 1

8 2

8 3

6 46 5

7 6

6 7

7 8

8 9

9 10

7 11

9 12

7 13

6 14

63 Republican Held Seat

37 Democratic Held Seat


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May 8-10, 2013


No live human operators spoke to respondents, who used their touch-tone phones to answer questions. Every

respondent heard the exact same prompt for each question, except where noted a computer randomized the

order in which they heard questions, ballot choices or names. To keep the average call length to a reasonable

amount of time, some questions were read only to a sub-sample or split-sample of respondents. Respondents

had up to 5 seconds to answer each question after the full prompt was read, and could answer early at any

time once they heard their choice. On average for this survey, respondents spentmore than 7 minuteson the

phone, and slightly more than30%of those called who initially agreed to take the survey did not complete it

due to dropoff or some other factor.

The frequencies reported in this survey include the weighted results from ONLY the1,662

modeledrespondents who answered every question including the demographic profile.

Additional demographic weighting was applied to the survey using statistical information available from the

Georgia Secretary of State.More than79%of poll respondents, representing more than 57% of the finalweighted survey result had a final weight applied of less than1.5. A weighting of 1 would mean no weighting

was applied. This weighting, and other factors such as refusal to be interviewed may introduce additional error

that is more difficult to quantify. 20/20 Insight, LLC employed multiple callbacks over successive days and at

different hours during the day and also attempted to convert those who initially decline to participate in order

to reduce any respondent bias introduced by only interviewing the subset of the general population that

answers a call on any random night. A "raking" weighting methodology was used - first the survey was raked

to match Georgia's racial and ethnic population, then the survey was adjusted for age and finally the survey

was adjusted for gender.

Statement of Methodology: 20/20 Insight, LLC surveyed1,662 Georgia Registered VotersfromMay 8-10, 2013.

These interviews were then weighted to representative Georgia Registered voters. The surveys margin of

error is+/-2.4% at a confidence level of 95%. 20/20 Insight, LLC conducts surveys using automated interactive

voice response (IVR) technology. This is what is often referred to in the media as a robo poll.


ga-sen survey: may 14, 2013

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