gareth pender institute for infrastructure and environment a new flood inundation modelling heriot...

10
Gareth Pender Institute for Infrastructure and Environment A New Flood Inundation Modelling Heriot Watt University

Upload: theresa-pitts

Post on 19-Jan-2016

220 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Gareth Pender Institute for Infrastructure and Environment A New Flood Inundation Modelling Heriot Watt University

Gareth Pender

Institute for Infrastructure and Environment

A New Flood Inundation Modelling

Heriot Watt University

Page 2: Gareth Pender Institute for Infrastructure and Environment A New Flood Inundation Modelling Heriot Watt University

Introduction to rapid flood spreading modelling-prediction of flood depth and flood extent.

A new conceptual model for maximum velocity prediction.

Illustration of application to case studies.

Contents

Page 3: Gareth Pender Institute for Infrastructure and Environment A New Flood Inundation Modelling Heriot Watt University

Short time to run (Typically < 5s) A good overall agreement of the final water depth and

flood extent predictions between SWEM and RFSM. A good overall agreement of the maximum velocity

prediction over a flood cell between SWEM and RFSM.

useful for application to catchment scale flood modelling and probabilistic flood risk analysis (e.g. Bayesian Analysis).

1.2: Requirements for an RFSM

Page 4: Gareth Pender Institute for Infrastructure and Environment A New Flood Inundation Modelling Heriot Watt University

Pre-calculation

An array of flood storage cells is constructed from DEM Inundation

A specified volume of flood water is distributed across the storage cells.

An example of constant extra head (source: Krupka et al. 2007)

An example of pre-calculation process

Minimum Depth (Dmin)

Minimum Cell Plan area (Amin)

Water level (m)

Volume (cubm)

1.3 Basic RFSM algorithmDTM grid cells

RFSM flood cells

Real Floodplain

Page 5: Gareth Pender Institute for Infrastructure and Environment A New Flood Inundation Modelling Heriot Watt University

Rules to provide accurate prediction:

(1) Water will spread from high location to lower locations (one directional or multiple directional spilling algorithms) with merging process.

(2) Dynamic Driving head based on inflow hydrograph

(3) Floodplain area with a high roughness uses a high driving head

t

discharge

Area 1 =

Area2

Area 2

1.5 Our improved RFSM

Fig. Inflow Hydrograph

Page 6: Gareth Pender Institute for Infrastructure and Environment A New Flood Inundation Modelling Heriot Watt University

Flood extent using ISIS2D after 10 hours

Flood extent using MD-RFSM Flood extent using OD-RFSM

Water depth of cross section comparison using ISIS2D and RFSMs

1.8 Compare RFSMs with ISIS2D

Page 7: Gareth Pender Institute for Infrastructure and Environment A New Flood Inundation Modelling Heriot Watt University

Maximum velocity using ISIS2D

Average Maximum velocity for 17 regions using ISIS2D

Average Maximum velocity predictions for 17 regions using our proposed model

The conceptual model parameter C was calibrated using one ISIS2D simulation with peak inflow value= 150cubm/s for inflow hydrograph.

2.2 Performance Comparison of the conceptual model and ISIS2D

Page 8: Gareth Pender Institute for Infrastructure and Environment A New Flood Inundation Modelling Heriot Watt University

2.4 Application to Thamesmead, London

Thamesmead 2m resolution grid digital elevation data and inflow hydrograph.

Page 9: Gareth Pender Institute for Infrastructure and Environment A New Flood Inundation Modelling Heriot Watt University

(a): Final water depth after 1hour using RFSM (b) : Final water depth after 1hour using TUFLOW

(c): Region average maximum velocity prediction using the new conceptual model (d): Region average maximum velocity prediction using TUFLOW

2.5 Performance Comparison of the conceptual model and TUFLOW

Page 10: Gareth Pender Institute for Infrastructure and Environment A New Flood Inundation Modelling Heriot Watt University

(1) Test more locations.

(2) Fast Rapid flood spreading Modelling using Cellular Automata.

Future work

Thank you!