gas landscape in brazil challenges and opportunities2016 oct - dec 2016 jan 25th •ct-gn...

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Gas Landscape in Brazil – Challenges and Opportunities Milton Costa Filho Secretary General of IBP

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Page 1: Gas Landscape in Brazil Challenges and Opportunities2016 Oct - Dec 2016 Jan 25th •CT-GN Establishment Meeting Feb •Establishment of the subcommittees between 02/06 e 02/10 •Execution

Gas Landscape in Brazil – Challenges and Opportunities

Milton Costa Filho

Secretary General of IBP

Page 2: Gas Landscape in Brazil Challenges and Opportunities2016 Oct - Dec 2016 Jan 25th •CT-GN Establishment Meeting Feb •Establishment of the subcommittees between 02/06 e 02/10 •Execution

Summary

Natural Gas in Brazil - The journey until nowadays

“Gás para Crescer” Program

“Gas para Crescer” - Topics description

Page 3: Gas Landscape in Brazil Challenges and Opportunities2016 Oct - Dec 2016 Jan 25th •CT-GN Establishment Meeting Feb •Establishment of the subcommittees between 02/06 e 02/10 •Execution

Natural Gas in Brazil - The journey until nowadays

Page 4: Gas Landscape in Brazil Challenges and Opportunities2016 Oct - Dec 2016 Jan 25th •CT-GN Establishment Meeting Feb •Establishment of the subcommittees between 02/06 e 02/10 •Execution

1988 Apr/99 Jul/99 Feb/00 Jan/04 Jun/05 Mar/09 Jan/09 2011 Jul/2011 Nov/11 Oct/15 Nov/16 Feb/16 Jul/16

Natural Gas in Brazil - Timeline

Privatization COMGAS

Start of Operation

GasBol

Petrobras

PPT Thermal

Generation Priority Program

Creation of the IBP Gas Council

First proposalGas Act

Senator Tourinho

Gas Act

LNG First regasification

terminal – Pecém

Petrobras

49% Gaspetro

sold

Petrobras

Start of Operation GASPAL

Petrobras

Start of operation Route 1

Petrobras and partners

Start of Operation Gasene

Petrobras

Sale announcement 90% NTS

Petrobras

Start of operation Route 2

Petrobras and partners

FirstPre-Salt

Gas

Petrobras

Launch of the “Gás para Crescer”

initiative

Source: IBP

Page 5: Gas Landscape in Brazil Challenges and Opportunities2016 Oct - Dec 2016 Jan 25th •CT-GN Establishment Meeting Feb •Establishment of the subcommittees between 02/06 e 02/10 •Execution

Evolution of Natural Gas Demand in Brazil

Source: EPE

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Nat

ura

l Gas

Co

nsu

mp

tio

n (

mill

ion

s o

f m

³/d

ay)

Other Electricity Generation

Page 6: Gas Landscape in Brazil Challenges and Opportunities2016 Oct - Dec 2016 Jan 25th •CT-GN Establishment Meeting Feb •Establishment of the subcommittees between 02/06 e 02/10 •Execution

Source: ANP – Anuário Estatístico 2015

Natural Gas Processing and Transport Infrastructure

Flow (operation)

Flow (construction)

Natural Gas Processing Unit

Planned Gas Pipeline

Operation

Page 7: Gas Landscape in Brazil Challenges and Opportunities2016 Oct - Dec 2016 Jan 25th •CT-GN Establishment Meeting Feb •Establishment of the subcommittees between 02/06 e 02/10 •Execution

Wet Gas Pipeline Routes

Source: Petrobras

Page 8: Gas Landscape in Brazil Challenges and Opportunities2016 Oct - Dec 2016 Jan 25th •CT-GN Establishment Meeting Feb •Establishment of the subcommittees between 02/06 e 02/10 •Execution

Petrobras in Natural Gas

Petrobras

Source: Petrobras

Importation ProductionImportation

Free Market

Production

Free Market

Transmission

Regulated

Trading

Free Market

Distribution

Regulated

Consumption

Free Market

Page 9: Gas Landscape in Brazil Challenges and Opportunities2016 Oct - Dec 2016 Jan 25th •CT-GN Establishment Meeting Feb •Establishment of the subcommittees between 02/06 e 02/10 •Execution

Petrobras in Natural Gas

Petrobras

Assets Sale

Fonte: Petrobras

Importation

Free Market

Production

Free Market

Transmission

Regulated

Trading

Free Market

Distribution

Regulated

Consumption

Free Market

The new

environment

will be shared

among several

agents.

Page 10: Gas Landscape in Brazil Challenges and Opportunities2016 Oct - Dec 2016 Jan 25th •CT-GN Establishment Meeting Feb •Establishment of the subcommittees between 02/06 e 02/10 •Execution

“Gás para Crescer” Program

Page 11: Gas Landscape in Brazil Challenges and Opportunities2016 Oct - Dec 2016 Jan 25th •CT-GN Establishment Meeting Feb •Establishment of the subcommittees between 02/06 e 02/10 •Execution

July2016

Oct - Dec2016

Jan 25th

•CT-GN Establishment Meeting

Feb

•Establishment of thesubcommitteesbetween 02/06 e 02/10

•Execution ofsubcommitteeactivities

Mar - Apr

•Execution ofsubcommitteeactivities

•Presentation of the amendment proposal within the legal framework until 04/25

May - Jun

•Presentation of the work progress report to CNPE

•Execution ofsubcommitteeactivities

From July

• July 8th CNPE meeting to approve the government proposal.

Milestones - Gás para Crescer

•Public Consultation Draft Resolution CNPE -Guidelines and creation of the MME’s Technical Committee (CT-GN)

•Launch of "Gás para Crescer" at IBP's Natural Gas Seminar

Source: MME and IBP

Page 12: Gas Landscape in Brazil Challenges and Opportunities2016 Oct - Dec 2016 Jan 25th •CT-GN Establishment Meeting Feb •Establishment of the subcommittees between 02/06 e 02/10 •Execution

Technical Committee for the Development of the Natural Gas Industry (CT-GN)

- SC1 -Wet Gas Pipeline,

Processing and LNG

Subcommittee

- SC 4 -Trading

Subcommittee

- SC 8 -NG and Power

Sectors Integration

Subcommittee

- SC 7 -Use of NG from

PSC (Gás da União)

Subcommittee

- SC 2 -Gas

Transmissionand Storage

Subcommittee

- SC 3 -Local

DistributionCompanies

Subcommittee

- SC 5 -Tax

Improvement ofthe NG Sector Subcommittee

- SC 6 -Natural GasFeedstock

Subcommittee

Coordination

EPE

Coordination

ABRACEEL

Coordination

EPE e MME

Coordination

ABRACE

Coordination

ABRACE

Coordination

ABEGAS

Coordination

IBP

Coordination

MIDC

Rapporteur

IBP WG Pipeline, Processing

ANPRegasification

Rapporteur

ABIAPE

Rapporteur

EPE Transmission

ANP Storage

Rapporteur

ABIVIDRO

Rapporteur

IBP eABRAGET

Rapporteur

EPE

Rapporteur

ABEGAS

Rapporteur

ABIQUIM

Gás para Crescer Structure (MME)

Source: MME

Page 13: Gas Landscape in Brazil Challenges and Opportunities2016 Oct - Dec 2016 Jan 25th •CT-GN Establishment Meeting Feb •Establishment of the subcommittees between 02/06 e 02/10 •Execution

“Gas para Crescer” - Topics description

Page 14: Gas Landscape in Brazil Challenges and Opportunities2016 Oct - Dec 2016 Jan 25th •CT-GN Establishment Meeting Feb •Establishment of the subcommittees between 02/06 e 02/10 •Execution

Main discussed topics

Access to the infraestructure:

Wet Gas Pipeline

Processing

LNG Terminals

Arbitration:

ANP or independent entities

Disclosure of information

Investor’s priority

Access refusal

Access fee

SC1 - Wet Gas Pipeline, Processing and LNG

Page 15: Gas Landscape in Brazil Challenges and Opportunities2016 Oct - Dec 2016 Jan 25th •CT-GN Establishment Meeting Feb •Establishment of the subcommittees between 02/06 e 02/10 •Execution

Main discussed topics

Gas Transmission System Coordination models

Operationalization of the model

Gas Transmission System Concession Models

Expansion of the Gas Transmission system

Capacity Reserve Model: entry/exit methodology

Storage

Transparency on Gas Transmission Costs

Capacity Release

SC2 - Gas Transmission and Storage

Page 16: Gas Landscape in Brazil Challenges and Opportunities2016 Oct - Dec 2016 Jan 25th •CT-GN Establishment Meeting Feb •Establishment of the subcommittees between 02/06 e 02/10 •Execution

Main discussed topics

Definition of Local distribution gas services (Art. 25, 2nd

paragraph)

Regulation of Free Consumer and Trader (under discussion)

Guidelines for the State Regulatory Agencies

Auctions for gas purchases by LDCs (part of the guidelines

for the State Regulatory Agencies)

SC3 - Local Distribution Companies

Page 17: Gas Landscape in Brazil Challenges and Opportunities2016 Oct - Dec 2016 Jan 25th •CT-GN Establishment Meeting Feb •Establishment of the subcommittees between 02/06 e 02/10 •Execution

Main discussed topics

Creation of an Independent Manager of the Gas Market

(IMGM)

Short-term market (STM)

Accounting / Settlement

Deverticalization (Self-dealing)

Gas release

Auctions (For mitigation of self-dealing)

SC4 - Trading

Page 18: Gas Landscape in Brazil Challenges and Opportunities2016 Oct - Dec 2016 Jan 25th •CT-GN Establishment Meeting Feb •Establishment of the subcommittees between 02/06 e 02/10 •Execution

Main discussed topics

Barriers to the entry of new agents

Prevalence of the contractual flow over the physical flow

GN processing and LNG Regasification

LNG importation: customs matters

Procedure Improvement and Reduction of Legal Insecurity

LNG and NG importation from Bolivia

Back to Back Operations

Transfer price

Topics to be explored in the next phase

Virtual HUB

REIDI

Storage

Wet Gas pipelines

SC5 - Tax Improvement of the NG Sector

Page 19: Gas Landscape in Brazil Challenges and Opportunities2016 Oct - Dec 2016 Jan 25th •CT-GN Establishment Meeting Feb •Establishment of the subcommittees between 02/06 e 02/10 •Execution

Main discussed topics

Subsidize the gas sold as petrochemical feedstock with

securitization resources from “Gás da União”

Maintain the Gas specification to increase the supply of

ethane

SC6 - Natural Gas Feedstock

Page 20: Gas Landscape in Brazil Challenges and Opportunities2016 Oct - Dec 2016 Jan 25th •CT-GN Establishment Meeting Feb •Establishment of the subcommittees between 02/06 e 02/10 •Execution

Main discussed topics

In compliance with CNPE Resolution no. 12/2016, for the

transition period, the “Gás da União” may be offered by

Public Auctions, with publicity, transparency and

participation of interested agents under same condition.

As for the long term when there will be competitiveness,

liquidity and sufficient flexibility in the Brazilian natural gas

market, the “Gás da União” should be included in the model

under construction in SC4 without differentiated treatment

from the other agents.

SC7 - Use of NG from PSC (Gás da União)

Page 21: Gas Landscape in Brazil Challenges and Opportunities2016 Oct - Dec 2016 Jan 25th •CT-GN Establishment Meeting Feb •Establishment of the subcommittees between 02/06 e 02/10 •Execution

Main discussed topics

Adoption of a Rolling Horizon approach for Reserves

Availability (proven)

Penalty clauses in supply contracts due to lack of supply

(double penalty)

Recommendations to Subcommittee 2 – Gas Transmission

and Storage

Other points addressed during Subcommittee discussions

SC8 - NG and Power Sectors Integration

Page 22: Gas Landscape in Brazil Challenges and Opportunities2016 Oct - Dec 2016 Jan 25th •CT-GN Establishment Meeting Feb •Establishment of the subcommittees between 02/06 e 02/10 •Execution
Page 23: Gas Landscape in Brazil Challenges and Opportunities2016 Oct - Dec 2016 Jan 25th •CT-GN Establishment Meeting Feb •Establishment of the subcommittees between 02/06 e 02/10 •Execution

Next IBP Events

Page 24: Gas Landscape in Brazil Challenges and Opportunities2016 Oct - Dec 2016 Jan 25th •CT-GN Establishment Meeting Feb •Establishment of the subcommittees between 02/06 e 02/10 •Execution

RIO DE JANEIROSEPTEMBER 25th-26th | 2017

A unique opportunity to discuss with the key stakeholders of the gas industry the perspectives and challenges of this sector, expanding the possibilities of business

development in all segments of this chain.

Networking | Business | Perspectives

Page 25: Gas Landscape in Brazil Challenges and Opportunities2016 Oct - Dec 2016 Jan 25th •CT-GN Establishment Meeting Feb •Establishment of the subcommittees between 02/06 e 02/10 •Execution

RIO DE JANEIRO SEPTEMBER 25th-26th | 2017

2017 editionConfirmed speaker for the opening session

Márcio FelixMME Oil & Gas Secretary confirmed

Highlight of the 2016 Edition

Launch of the “Gás para Crescer” Program by MME, which is laying the groundwork for the regulatory changes needed to promote the opening of the gas sector in Brazil, a move started from the repositioning of Petrobras in this segment.

Further information soonibp.org.br/seminariogas

Page 26: Gas Landscape in Brazil Challenges and Opportunities2016 Oct - Dec 2016 Jan 25th •CT-GN Establishment Meeting Feb •Establishment of the subcommittees between 02/06 e 02/10 •Execution

Be part of OTC BRASIL 2017

The event attracts E&P leading operators, services companies, regulators, NOCs, andacademia to explore the latest developments of offshore resources in the fields ofdrilling, exploration, production, and environmental protection.

www.otcbrasil.org